Daily Analysis 20230217

Daily Analysis 20230217

February 17th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 400 points lower as hot inflation report, comments from Fed’s Bullard raise rate hike fears

Stocks fell Thursday after another hot inflation report, and a decline in jobless claims, showed the economy is holding up amid the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes.

Dow…….33697 -431.2 -1.26%
Nasdaq.11856 -214.8 -1.78%
S&P 500..4090 -57.2 -1.38%

FTSE…….8013 +14.70 +0.18%
Dax……..15534 +27.3 +0.18%
CAC……..7366 +65.3 +0.89%

Nikkei…..27696 +194.6 +0.71%
HSI………20988 +175.5 +0.84%
Shanghai..3249 -31.5 -0.96%

IDX…..6895.66 -18.87 -0.27%
LQ45….953.49 -4.15 -0.43%
IDX30…495.68 -2.19 -0.44%

IDXEnergy…2098.15 -11.47 -0.54%
IDX BscMat 1260.50 -1.75 -0.14%
IDX Indstrl…1157.69 -0.67 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC..755.41 -4.04 -0.53%
IDX Hlthcare1605.40 -11.73 -0.73%
IDXCYCLIC…849.72 +4.64 +0.55%
IDX Techno5585.84 +57.44 +1.04%
IDX Transp1846.95 +15.38 +0.84%
IDX Infrast….867.03 +7.94 +0.92 %
IDX Finance1423.17 -3.19 -0.22%
IDX Banking1156.81 -8.52 -0.73%
IDX Property….697 -0.30 -0.05%

Indo10Yr.6.7698 -0.0076 -0.11%
ICBI..350.6495 +0.1943 +0.06%
US10Yr.3.8430 +0.0340 +0.89%
VIX……20.17 +1.94 +10.64%‼️

USDIndx104.0500+0.2289+0.21%‼️
Como Indx.270.25 -0.13 -0.05%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..163.48 +1.63 +1.01%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15206.50 +39.50 +0.26%
Jisdor.15176.00 -18.00 -0.12%

Euro……1.0690 -0.0045 -0.42%

TLKM….24.87 -0.09 -0.36%
(3774)
EIDO……23.29 -0.11 -0.47%
EEM……40.12 +0.01 +0.02%

Oil……..78.49 -0.10 -0.13%
Gold 1851.80 +6.50 +0.35%
Timah 26658 -159.00 -0.59%
(Closed 02/15)
Nickel.26647.00 +620.90 +2.38%‼️
(Closed 02/16)
Silver…….21.71 +0.14 +0.64%
Copper..412.15 +10.00 +2.49%

Nturl Gas.2.394 -0.072 -2.92%

Ammonia4406.67 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/15)

Coal price.214.00 -5.90 -2.68%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price186.30 -9.70 -4.95%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price183.95 -11.45 -5.86%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price185.45 -11.65 -5.91%‼️
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.00 +0.50 +0.37%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 139.00-3.00 -2.11%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price137.00 -3.00 -2.14%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price137.40 -1.60 -1.15%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4070 +126 +3.19%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..675.00 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil..62.15 +0.71 +1.16%
Wheat…….776.25 -4.00. -0.51%

Wood pulp…6030.00 -20 -0.33%
(Closed 02/16)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Era9wati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah rada dalem, europe market closing masih ijo asia varied, IHSG merah lagi

CPO naik tinggi, itu kayanya kemaren AALI LSIP naik tinggi… Oil merah, gas drop, coal drop, metal2 naik semua, watchout for ANTM MDKA INCO

IHSG – 2 hari NFS, belum jadi break resistance, masih SW dulu. stoch down, MACD sell, MFI sw, bd sw, jangan terlalu aggresive dulu, cermati yang lagi hajatan aja. Major trend masih up, wave 3, tapi belum lari. Kayanya nunggu resmi laporan keuangan big bank keluar semua dulu

Tinggal infrastructure yang arahnya bagus, healthcare melemah juga

Stoch Buy Signal: ASII TINS BRMS LSIP WIFI

MACD Buy Signal: GOTO INDY SRTG AALI ASSA LSIP

Alligator Buy Signal: INDF AGII BRMS MLPL IGAR

Supertrend: MTEL AALI LSIP WIFI

Daily Analysis 20230209

Daily Analysis 20230209

February 9th, 2023
Good morning,
S&P 500 closes 1% lower, Nasdaq sheds 1.7% on Wednesday amid corporate profit worries
U.S. stocks slid Wednesday as investors returned focus to the latest batch of corporate earnings. Wall Street also continued to weigh the outlook for future Federal Reserve policy moves.
Dow…….33949  -207.7  -0.61%
Nasdaq.11911   -203.3  -1.68%
S&P 500..4118   -46.1    -1.11%
FTSE…….7885  +20.5    +0.26%
Dax……..15412 +91.2    +0.60%
CAC……..7120   -12.5    -0.18%
Nikkei…..27606  -70.01  -0.29%
HSI………21284   -15.2.   -0.07%
Shanghai..3232  -15.99 -0.49%
IDX…..6940.12  +4.82    +0.07%
LQ45….958.95  +2.34    +024%
IDXEnergy…2131.44  -7.22    -0.34%
IDX BscMat 1265.06 +6.06   +0.48%
IDX Indstrl…1166.39  -3.20    -0.27%
IDXNONCYC..762.95 +5.57   +0.73%
IDX Hlthcare1580.02 +5.24   +0.33%
IDXCYCLIC…847.57   -1.84    -0.22%
IDX Techno5738.75   -42.17  -0.73%
IDX Transp1806.55  +18.44  +1.03%
IDX Infrast….857.24  -1.89     -0.22%
IDX Finance1433.62 +1.02    +0.07%
IDX Banking1165.64 +3.81.   +0.33,%
IDX Property….709    -3.30     -0.46%
Indo10Yr.6.7376 -0.0174 -0.26%
ICBI..350.6164   +0.4348 +0.12%
US10Yr.3.6530 -0.0210 -0.57%
VIX…..19.63     +0.97     +5.20%
USDIndx103.4720-0.1560 -0.15%
Como Indx.270.94 +0.15  +0.06%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…166.71   -1.20    -0.71%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
  (5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)
IDR…..15095.50 -52.50  -0.35%
Jisdor.15122.00 -17.00  -0.11%
Euro……1.0714 -0.0013 -0.13%
TLKM….25.46  ×0.12   +0.47%
(3850)
EIDO……23.50  +0.02  +0.09%
EEM……40.39   -0.05   -0.12%
Oil……78.47  +0.99   +1.28%
Gold 1890.70 +6.60     +0.35%
Timah 26880  +191      +0.71%
(Closed 02/07)
Nickel.27420.50 -57.50 -0.21%
(Closed 02/08)
Silver…….22.42   +0.23     +1.04%
Copper..403.55   -3.40      -0.84%
Nturl Gas.2.419   -0.174  -6.71%‼️
Ammonia4040.00  unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/07)
Coal price.239.35 -17.65  -6.87%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price229.00  -33.75  -12.84%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 224.15 -22.85  -9.25%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 225.90 -20.20  -8.21%‼️
(Mei/Newcastle)
Coal price.129.65 -9.05 -6.52%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 125.65 -6.35 -4.81%‼️
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price126.90 -10.10 -7.37%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price128.00 -8.00  -5.88%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
CPO(Apr)….3998  +73  +1.86%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………..678.50  +4.50   +0.67%
SoybeanOil..60.71   -0.27    -0.44%
Wheat…….764.75  +15.00 +2.00%
Wood pulp…6250.00  unch  +0%
(Closed 02/08)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe perancis yang merah, asia hampir semua merah, cuma IHSG ijo tipis. Masih belum mau rally

Oil lanjut naik, gas drop, coal drop, metal2 rata2 ijo tipis, yang merah nickel sama copper, makin dekat ini sama waktunya ANTM MDKA rebound

CPO naik lagi, kita tunggu buy signal AALI LSIP

IHSG – hampir breakout neckline, FF acc terus, BD acc, stoch almost buy, macd up, MFI flat, masih ok so far

Pada melempem kembali kecuali Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals sama Healthcare

Stoch Buy Signal: ADRO BBCA BBRI GOTO INDF INDY ITMG PTBA TBIG

SMGR SCMA prepare exit today, signal ngebalik

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO UNTR BSSR

Daily Analysis 20230119

Daily Analysis 20230119

January 19th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts worst day in more than a month, Dow closes 600 points lower
The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled more than 600 points on Wednesday as investors took profits on some of the strong January gains and as a disappointing December retail sales reading raised concerns about a recession. Shares of banks led the losses.

Dow…….33297 -613.9 -1.81%
Nasdaq.10957 -138.1 -1.24%
S&P 500..3929* -62.1 -1.56%

FTSE…….7831 -20.3 -0.26%
Dax……..15182 -5.3 -0.03%
CAC……..7084 +6.2. +0.09%

Nikkei…..26791 +652.4 +2.50%
HSI………21678 +100.4 +0.47%
Shanghai..3224 +0.2 +0.01%

IDX…..6765.79 -1.55 -0.02%
LQ45….929.76 -0.09 -0.01%

IDX Energy..2151.10 +9.90 +0.46%
IDX BscMat 1254.79 -14.12 -1.11%
IDX Indstrl…1148.28 +6.30 +0.55%
IDXNONCYC..724.25 +3.29 +0.46%
IDX Hlthcare1545.64 +8.35 +0.54%
IDXCYCLIC…814.39 -2.80 -0.34%
IDX Techno.5355.72 -16.64 -0.31%
IDX Transp..1651.07 +7.68 +0.47%
IDX Infrast…..846.97 +2.51 +0.30%
IDX Finance 1375.91 -3.74 -0.27%
IDX Banking1101.50 -3.93 -0.36%
IDX Property….695 +2.10 +0.31%

Indo10Yr.6.8270 -0.0179 -0.25%👍
ICBI…348.7290 +0.1986 +0.06%👍
US10Yr..3.3750 -0.1600 -4.53%‼️
VIX…..20.34 +0.98 +5.06%

USDIndx102.4100 +0.021 +0.02%
Como Indx.276.13 -1.09 -0.39%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..176.01 +2.55 +1.47%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15087.50 -77.50 -0.51%👍
Jisdor..15137.00 -17.00 -0.11%

Euro……1.0788 -0.0003 -0.03%

TLKM…..25.59 -0.22 -0.85%
(3874)
EIDO…..22.63 -0.01 -0.04%
EEM……40.79 -0.28 -0.68%

Oil……..79.46 -0.70 -0.87%
Gold ..1907.90 -2.90 -0.15%
Timah…28416 -50 -0.18%
(Closed 17/01)
Nickel.28126.00 +1529.50 +5.75%‼️
(Closed 18/01)
Silver…….23.65 -0.42 -1.75%
Copper..423.45 +1.15 +0.27%

Nturl Gas..3.280 -0.3570 -9.81%

Ammonia.4190.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(12/01)

Coal price..368.00 -1.25 -0.34%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price..326.50 -3.50 -1.06%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price..301.00 -3.00 -0.99%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price..287.55. +2.55 +0.89%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price..175.00 +5.00 +2.94%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..171.00 +3.00 +1.75%
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..173.90 +3.40 +1.99%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..173.85 +3.55 +2.08%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)…..3868 +70 +1.84%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..681.25 -4.00 -0.58%
SoybeanOil..64.12 +0.28 +0.44%
Wheat……..742.50 -9.25 -1.23%

Wood pulp…6290.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Wah US merah dalem, lebih parah dari kemaren. Europe dan Asia tipis tipis, nikkei aja yang ijo tebel. Bisa kebawa merah lagi hari ini, apa mau closing gap dulu kali ya

Metal2 kebanyakan merah, copper ijo tipis nikel naik tinggi. Oil turun, gas drop, coal Newcastle turun tipis, Rotterdam naik tebel, rada aneh ini ga kompak. CPO ijo tebel, semoga LSIP firm jalan

IHSG – NFS lagi, tutup gap dulu kalo gini kayanya, masih tetep firm sih mau wave 3, semoga koreksinya ga dalem terus mantul… MFI masih up, Stoch buy macd buy, bd acc

Tinggal sisa Healthcare di quadrant 4 – leading yang sudutnya masih ok, keliatannya Basic Materials kompakan koreksi dulu ini, Transportation, Property, Industrials, kita liat detail saham2 nya apa bener itu yang mau jadi ganjel index

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA KLBF AALI WSKT PTRO

MACD Buy Signal: BBTN INDY BSDE BTPS CTRA DOID MMLP

Daily Analysis 20230113

Daily Analysis 20230113

January 13th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher, Nasdaq clinches fifth day of gains after CPI report shows cooling inflation

Stocks closed higher Thursday after December’s consumer price report showed inflation cooled for the month, raising hopes the Federal Reserve can once again slow interest rate hikes.

Dow…….34190 +216.96 +0.64%
Nasdaq.11001 +69.4. +0.64%
S&P 500..3983 +13.6 +0.34%

FTSE…….7794 +69.1 +0.89%
Dax……..15058 +110.4 +0.74%
CAC……..6976 +51.5 +0.74%

Nikkei…..26450 +3.8 +0.01%
HSI………21514 +78.1 +0.36%
Shanghai…3164 +1.6 +0.05%
ST Times..3268 -3.7 -0.11%

IDX…..6629.93 +45.48 +0.69%
LQ45….905.68 +10.73 +1.20%

IDX Energy..2089.81 -21.78 -1.03%
IDX BscMat 1237.27 +14.26 +1.17%
IDX Indstrl…1135.06 +7.76 +0.69%
IDXNONCYC..721.76 +2.35 +0.33%
IDX Hlthcare1530.34 -2.74. -0.18%
IDXCYCLIC…813.15 +3.73 +0.46%
IDX Techno.5161.45 +84.35 +1.66%
IDX Transp..1625.81 -15.41 -0.94%
IDX Infrast…..843.42 +1.91 +0.23%
IDX Finance 1359.80 +21.93 +1.64%
IDX Banking1078.08 +21.44 +2.03%
IDX Property….693 +7.80 +1.14%

Indo10Yr.6.8487 -0.0572 -0.83%👍
ICBI…348.5588 +1.1720 +0.34%👍
US10Yr..3.4490 -0.1050 -2.95%
VIX…..18.83 -2.26 -10.72%👍

USDIndx102.2540 -0.9970 -0.97%👍
Como Indx.273.77 +2.50 +0.92%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..171.55 +1.39 +0.82%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15338.50 -143.00 -0.92%👍
Jisdor..15366.00 -161.00 -1.03%👍

Euro……1.0850 +0.0094 +0.87%👍

TLKM…..25.08 +0.45 +1.83%
(3854)
EIDO…..22.30 +0.58 +2.67%
EEM……41.03 +0.20 +0.49%

Oil…….78.39 +0.98 +1.27%
Gold ..1898.80 +19.90 +1.06%‼️
Timah…26813 +953.00 +3.69%‼️
(Closed 11/01)
Nickel.27789.50 +1829.0 +7.05%‼️
(Closed 12/01)
Silver…….24.00 +0.52 +2.23%
Copper..419.65 +3.05 +0.73%

Nturl Gas..3.681 -0.012 -0.32%

Ammonia.4290.00 -33.33 -0.77%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(11/01)

Coal price..377.50 +7.50 +2.02%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price..342.90 +7.65 +2.28%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.316.90 +7.15 +2.31%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price..172.70 +7.70 +4.67%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..173.80 +10.85 +6.66%‼️
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..173.10 +10.65 +6.56%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)…..3891 -18 -0.46%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……….671.00 +15.00 +2.29%
SoybeanOil..63.25 +1.14 +1.84%
Wheat……..742.75 +2.75 +0.37%

Wood pulp…6330.00. -20 -0.31%
(Closed 12/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Again, almost ijo semua, kecuali singapore… Semoga lanjut

Commodity naik semua kecuali gas dan cpo, firm lanjut ini sih. Coal naik significant walau belum sampe 400 lagi, harusnya bawa rebound

IHSG – mantul di support kuat, harusnya lanjut ke atas. stoch mulai oversold, mulai flat, MACD mulai flattening juga, foregn masih NFS tapi mengecil, DS akum tipis, MFI masih sw, sabar jangan aggerssive dulu, bisa buy yang firm jalan di moment yang tepat

Firm, Basic Materials jalan, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, yang mau nyusul Transportation, Financials, Industrials. Property dari awal pas mulai gerak memang mencurigakan, akhirnya lemes juga

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BBCA BBTN BFIN EMTK MEDC MIKA WIKA AKRA CTRA LINK PRDA SMRA

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM INKP MEDC PRDA

Daily Analysis 20230111

Daily Analysis 20230111

January 11th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher as investors await inflation report, Nasdaq notches 3-day win streak

Stocks advanced Tuesday as investors continued building on the new year’s early rally while waiting for economic data and corporate earnings coming later in the week.

Dow…….33704 +186.5 +0.56%
Nasdaq.10743 +106.98+1.01%
S&P 500..3919 +27.2 +0.70%

FTSE…….7695 -30.5. -0.39%
Dax……..14775 -18.2 -0.12%
CAC……..6869 -38.2 -0.55%

Nikkei…..26176 +201.7 +078%
HSI………21331 -56.9 -0.27%
Shanghai…3170 -6.6 -0.21%
ST Times..3263 -42.8 -1.29%

IDX…..6622.50 -65.77 -0.98%
LQ45….901.09 -14.77 -1.61%

IDX Energy..2106.55 +32.81 +1.58%
IDX BscMat 1226.54 -8.82 -0.71%
IDX Indstrl…1132.61 +1.21 +0.11%
IDXNONCYC..721.27 -7.14 -0.98%
IDX Hlthcare1551.74 -19.27 -1.23%
IDXCYCLIC…807.61 -6.91 -0.85%
IDX Techno.5102.56 +2.72 +0.05%
IDX Transp..1631.88 -0.17 -0.01%
IDX Infrast…..843.52 -1.35 -0.16%
IDX Finance 1351.60 -24.01 -1.75%
*IDX Banking1075.98 -35.35 -3.18%‼️*
IDX Property….690 -0.40 -0.06%

*Indo10Yr.6.9583 -0.0398 -0.57%👍*
*ICBI…346.7760 +0.8563 +0.86%👍*
*US10Yr..3.6210 +0.1040 +2.96%*
*VIX…..20.58 -1.39 -6.33%*

*USDIndx103.2670 +0.0670 +0.06%*
Como Indx.268.09 -0.55 -0.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..168.24 +0.64 +0.38%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15575.00 +8.00 +0.05%*
*Jisdor..15589.00 +15.00 +0.10%*

*Euro……1.0735 +0.0004 +0.04%*

TLKM…..24.42 +0.26 +1.08%
*(3807)*
EIDO…..21.72 -0.18 -0.82%
EEM……40.66 +0.29 +0.72%

Oil…….75.12 +0.49 +0.66%
Gold ..1876.50 -1.30 -0.07%
*Timah…25861 +591 +2.34%*
*(Closed 09/01)*
Nickel.27328.00 -56.0 -0.20%
*(Closed 10/01)*
Silver…….23.67 -0.21 -0.86%
Copper..407.75 +5.10 +1.27%

*Nturl Gas..3.565 -0.337 -8.64%*

*Ammonia..4456.67 -150 -3.26%‼️*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(09/01)

Coal price….390.45 -3.40 -0.86%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….361.00 -3.05 -0.84%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….334.65 -3.50 -1.04%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price…172.10 -0.50 -0.29%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..171.65 +0.75 +0.44%
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..170.95 +0.60 +0.35%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Mar)…..3972 -165 -4.01%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……….655.00 +2.25 +0.34%
SoybeanOil..62.57 -0.78 -1.23%
Wheat……..731.00 -10.50 -1.42%

*Wood pulp…6360.00. -40 -0.63%*
(Closed 10/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo, europe merah,asia hampir semua merah kecuali nikkei, semoga sentimen positif US bawa IHSG ijo hari ini

Oil up, gas drop, coal down, energy belum lagi sih ini, Gold turun tipis, timah up, nickel merah tipis silverdown, copper up, sideways dulu tambang2an kayanya

IHSG – low kemarin 6570, bahaya banget, support kuat di 6559 base wave 1 elliot wave, tembus ini elliot wave nya theoretically failed. Kalo ngitung fibonacci extension malah di titik low sebelumnya deket 6500, semoga ga kejadian

IHSG – masih FNS lagi, stoch masih down, MACD masih down, MFI down, semoga cepet berubah, kondisi gini hati2 mending banyak pegang cash

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property (???), Infrastructure, Basic Materials, disusul Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: INDY INTP ITMG PGAS UNTR CTRA TAPG

MACD Buy Signal: PRDA PWON

Daily Analysis 20221216

Daily Analysis 20221216

December 16th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes out its worst day in three months, falls more than 700 points as recession fears grow

Stocks fell sharply Thursday after new data showed retail sales declined more than expected in November, raising fears that the Federal Reserve’s relentless interest rate hikes are tipping the economy into a recession.

*Dow…….33202 -764.1 -2.25%*
*Nasdaq.10811 -360.4 -3.23%‼️*
*S&P 500..3896 -99.6 -2.49%*

FTSE…….7426 -69.8 -0.93%
*Dax……..14460 -473.97 -3.28%‼️*
*CAC……..6522 -208.02 -3.09%‼️*

Nikkei….28052 -104.5 -0.37%
HSI……..19369 -304.9 -1.55%
Shanghai..3169 -7.9 -0.25%
ST Times..3274 -4.8 -0.15%

IDX…….6751.86 -49.89 -0.73%
LQ45……942.36 -8.80 -0.93%

IDX Energy..2140.54 -6.98 -0.32%
IDX BscMat 1248.38 -2.87 -0.23%
IDX Indstrl…1177.96 -2.44 -0.21%
IDXNONCYC..725.61 -1.92 -0.26%
IDX Hlthcare.1546.72 -10.59 -0.68%
IDXCYCLIC…..849.78 -8.86 -1.03%
IDX Techno..5225.49 +45.25 +0.87%
IDX Transp…1711.51 +0.61 +0.04%
IDX Infrast……844.98 -5.81 -0.68%
IDX Finance 1438.41 -11.62 -0.80%
IDX Banking 1160.95 -10.84 -0.92%
IDX Property….705 -5.60 -0.79%

*Indo10Yr.7.0177 unch +0%*
*ICBI….343.6001 +0.0308 +0.01%*
*US10Yr..3.4500 -0.0530 -1.51%*
*VIX……22.83 +1.69 +7.99%*

*USDIndx.104.6080 +0.6060 +0.58%*
Como Indx.274.72 -1.91 -0.69%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN…..164.09 -3.42 -2.04%*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15619.00 +26.50 +0.17%*
*Jisdor..15630.00 +11.00 +0.07%*

*Euro……1.0625 -0.0058 -0.54%*

*TLKM…….22.41 -0.41 -2.07%*
*(3503)*
EIDO……….22.41 -0.41 -1.80%
*EEM……….37.72 -0.89 -2.31%*

Oil………….76.11 -1.17 -1.51%
*Gold …..1787.80 -30.90 -1.70%*
Timah…..24275 -369 -1.50%
*(Closed 14/12)*
Nickel…28296.50 -193.00 -0.68%
*(Closed 15/12)
*Silver………23.31 -0.83 -3.44%‼️*
*Copper….376.30 -11.50 -2.97%*

*Nturl Gas..6.876 +0.521 +8.20%‼️*

Ammonia..4790.00 -43.33 -0.90%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(14/12)

Coal price….401.90 -2.10 -0.52%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….376.55 -2.55 -0.67%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….359.80 -3.40 -0.94%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…240.00 -0.60 -0.25%
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price…218.60 -6.45 -2.87%*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price…219.30 -5.95 -2.64%*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)…..3874 -76 -1.42%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….653.50 +3.00 +0.46%
SoybeanOil.62.98 +0.14 +0.22%
Wheat………757.25 +8.00 +1.07%

Wood pulp…6510.00 unch +0%
(Closed 15/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US & Europe kebakaran semua indexnya, gara2 nilai retail sales yang jelek dan kekhawatiran efek kenaikan suku bunga Fed. Bisa dalem lagi kita hari ini

Semua komoditas turun kecuali gas yang malah naik tinggi. Coal juga turun tapi masih stay diatas 400, semoga ga ikut koreksi saham2 emiten batubara

IHSG – stoch buy, MACD masih down, kemaren Foreign udah tipis buangnya, bandar flat, regbull div belum tembus MA 10, lagi di area strong support, semoga kuat terus lanjut mantul

Sektor2 yang kemaren leading mulai rontok, tapi yang menggembirakan Financials mulai jalan, bareng basic materials, infrastructure, transportation. Tapi basic materials komoditas turun kayanya ikut kebanting dulu

Kemungkinan cuma energy yang bisa bertahan leading

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BBRI INDY INKP SMGR ELSA PTPP SRTG TKIM

MACD Buy Signal: BUKA JSMR