March 04th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq surges more than 1% to take out 2021 record, S&P 500 closes above 5100 for the first time

The Nasdaq Composite
rose to an all-time high Friday, surpassing its 2021 record, as investors bet that megacap technology stocks were the best way to play slowing inflation and a coming artificial intelligence boom.

Dow……39087 +90.99 +0.23%
Nasdaq16275 +183.02+1.14%
S&P 500.5137 +40.8 +0.80%

FTSE…..7683 +52.5 +0.69%
Dax……17735 +56.88 +0.32%
CAC……7934 +6.74 +0.09%

Nikkei..39911 +744.6 +1.90%
HSI…….16589 +78.0 +0.47%
Shanghai.3027 +11.9 +0.39%

IDX…..7311.91 -4.20 -0.06%
LQ45….987.90 -2.03 -0.21%
IDX30…501.08 -1.10 -0.22%

IDXEnergy..2109.97 +3.05 +0.14%
IDX BscMat.1257.05 +3.75 +0.30%
IDX Indstrl…1103.77 +3.72 +0.34%
IDXNONCYC.710.20 +2.45 +0.35%
IDX Hlthcare1318.64 +0.53 +0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…847.74 +1.29 +0.15%
IDX Techno3679.23 -28.41 -0.77%
IDX Transp 1564.32 -11.44 -0.73%
IDX Infrast 1610.26 +10.70 +0.67%
IDX Finance.1516.63 -8.64 -0.57%
IDX Banking.1373.52 -6.45 -0.47%
IDX Property.. 692 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6754+0.0129 +0.19%
ICBI…378.1215 -0.1577 -0.04%
US2Yr.4.533 -0.090 -1.95%
US5Yr 4.162 -0.090 -2.17%
US10Yr4.186 -0.065 -1.53%
US30Yr.4.331-0.051 -1.16%
VIX………13.11 -0.29 -2.16%

USDIndx 103.8610 -0.295 -0.28%
Como Indx..277.11 +2.03 +0.74%
BCOMIN…..137.85 -0.06 -0.04%

IndoCDS..70.24 -0.47 -0.66%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/03)

IDR…..15704.00‼️-15.00 -0.10%
Jisdor.15696.00‼️ -19.00 -0.12%

Euro….1.0837 +0.0033 +0.31%

TLKM…25.27 -0.31 -1.19%
(4020)
EIDO……22.48 +0.12 +0.51%
EEM……40.48 +0.52 +1.30%

Oil…….79.97 +1.71 +2.18%
Gold..2095.70 +41.00 +2.00%
Timah..26489.00 -67.00 -0.25%
(Closed 01/03)
Nickel..17768.50 -101.50 -0.57%
(Closed 01/03)
Silver……23.36 +0.48 +2.09%
Copper.386.15 +1.45 +0.38%

Iron Ore 62% 113.89 -10.97 -8.79%‼️
(01/03)
Nturl Gas..1.836 +0.016 +0.88%
Ammonia China.2976.67 +16.67 +0.56%
(Domestic Price)(29/02/02)

Coal price.132.00 +1.00 +0.76%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.00 +3.75 +2.84%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.50 +3.40 +2.57%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.50 +3.15 +2.38%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price..106.95 +2.55 +2.44%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.25 +3.40 +3.30%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..104.10 +3.60 +3.58%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.70 +3.50 +3.53%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)..3961 -8.00 -0.20%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……424.50 -4.75 -1.11%
SoybeanOil 45.16 -0.05 -0.11%
Wheat…557.75 -18.50 -3.21%

Wood pulp..5290.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing ijo semua, IDX merah tipis, US bond rate merah, USD index merah, bagus buat saham, harusnya sih ijo hari ini, walau koreksi wave C belum beres majornya

Gold Silver Copper ijo, Tin Nickel Iron ore merah, Oil up gas up coal ijo tebel, ADRO INDY jalan terus ini harusnya. CPO merah tipis AALI LSIP masih jalan di tempat

IHSG – stoch down macd sell MFI down w% sw, BD acc, FNS, untung masih dijagain bandar lokal,kalo ga udah nyungsep ini IHSG. Selain Coal dan Basic Materials yang jalan, kayanya mending masih nahan diri jangan belanja dulu

Cacing RSI arahnya pada bagus, tapi index MACD sell signal, hati2 mendadak ngebalik

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BRPT GOTO ITMG WIFI SMAR. Big acc ADRO BRPT

MACD BUy signal: ADRO UNVR AGRO BTPS MARK PTRO SMSM

February 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 250 points lower, S&P 500 slips from record as bond yields surge

Stocks fell Monday as Treasury yields spiked higher on concerns that the Federal Reserve may not cut rates as much as expected. Lackluster results from McDonald’s also dampened investor sentiment.

Dow……38380 -274.3 -0.71%
Nasdaq15598 -31.3 -0.20%
S&P 500.4943 -15.8 -0.32%

FTSE…..7613 -2.7 -0.04%
Dax……16904 -14.2 -0.08%
CAC……7590 -2.3 -0.03%

Nikkei..36354 +196.2 +0.54%
HSI……15510 -23.6 -0.15%
Shanghai.2702-27.97 -1.02%

IDX…..7198.62 -40.17 -0.55%
LQ45….975.49 -9.18 -0.93%
IDX30…495.28 -4.32 -0.87%

IDXEnergy..2077.88 -8.11 -0.39%
IDX BscMat.1286.32 +5.98 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1088.65 +1.59 +0.15%
IDXNONCYC.701.14 +4.87 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare1338.64 -7.30 -0.54%
IDXCYCLIC…852.04 -5.17 -0.60%
IDX Techno4069.31 -25.47 -0.62%
IDX Transp 1563.64 +2.63 +0.17%
IDX Infrast 1519.13 -7.81 -0.51%
IDX Finance.1492.16 -2.88 -0.19%
IDX Banking.1332.38 -2.91 -0.22%
IDX Property.. 690 -0.50 -0.07%

Indo10Yr.6.6531 +0.0445 +0.67%
ICBI…376.6494 -1.0915 -0.29%
US2Yr.4.474 +0.102 +2.33%
US5Yr 4.122 +0.136 +3.41%‼️
US10Yr4.160 +0.138 +3.43%‼️
US30Yr.4.343+0.119 +2.82%
VIX…13.67 -0.18 -1.33%

USDIndx 104.4520 ‼️+0.530 +0.51%
Como Indx..269.19 +0.45 +0.17%
BCOMIN……134.80 -1.81 -1.33%

IndoCDS..74.69 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/02)

IDR…..15708.00‼️ +48.00 +0.31%
Jisdor.15705.00‼️ +17.00 +0.11%

Euro….1.0743 -0.0045 -0.42%

TLKM…25.14 -0.15 -0.61%
(3948)
EIDO……21.89 -0.17 -0.77%
EEM……38.70 +0.05 +0.13%

Oil…….72.78 +0.50 +0.69%
Gold..2041.40 -12.30 -0.60%
Timah..25550.00 – -%
(Closed 03/03)
Nickel..15948.00 -294.50 -1.81%
(Closed 02/02)
Silver……22.42 -0.38 -1.67%
Copper.377.40 -4.75 -1.24%

Iron Ore 62% 128.63 – -%
(02/02)
Nturl Gas..2.062 -0.029 -1.39%
Ammonia China.2983.33 -166.67-5.29%‼️
(Domestic Price)(05/02/02)

Coal price 119.00 -0.90 -0.75%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.123.65 +3.75 +3.12%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.60 +4.70 +3.95%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.124.00 +4.70 +3.94%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .98.15 -0.25 -0.25%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.20 -0.30 -0.31%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..92.80 -0.25 -0.27%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.90 -0.30 -0.33%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3799 +19 +0.60%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……442.75 unch +0%
SoybeanOil 45.33 +0.60 +1.34%
Wheat….590.25 -9.50 -1.58%

Wood pulp..5104.00 +6.00 +0.12%
(Closed 05/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nyusul merah semua after asia market kemaren… Udah curiga begitu dari bond rate yang naik tinggi. Ini masih naik lagi, USD index juga naik, lanjut merah lagi sepertinya IHSG hari ini.

Metal2 lanjut merah semua, ANTM MDKA INCO TINS bubar dulu ini… Oil ijo, gas merah, coal spot merah dikit, future newcastle ijo tebel. Semoga ADRO lanjut. CPO naik dikit, AALI LSIP belum jelas kemana

IHSG – stoch up, macd ga jadi rev up, malah lanjut down, MFI sw, w% sw, masih FNB tapi agak turun, keliatannya bener lanjut wave C. Hati hati prefer keep cash

Tinggal heakthcare sama consumer non-cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: ESSA KLBF ADHI AGRO DSNG ERAA GTRA INDY PNLF SCMA INDS CINT. Big Accum KLBF AGRO SCMA

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI UNVR HEAL PTRO AMFG CINT, Big Accum UNVR

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: PTPP

January 31st, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq 100 futures slide, Alphabet shares drop after results

Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100
fell Tuesday night after a pair of mega-cap tech companies posted their quarterly results. Wall Street also looked toward the Federal Reserve’s decision on rate policy.

Dow……38467 +133.9 +0.35%
Nasdaq15510 -118.2 -0.76%
S&P 500.4925 -2.96 -0.06%

FTSE…..7666 +33.6 +0.44%
Dax……16972 +30.6 +0.18%
CAC……7677 +36.7 +0.48%

Nikkei..36066 +38.9 +0.11%
HSI……15703 -373.8 -2.33%
Shanghai.2831 -52.8 -1.83%

IDX…..7192.22 +35.04 +0.49%
LQ45….971.70 +9.78 +1.02%
IDX30…493.78 +5.93 +1.22%

IDXEnergy..2097.94 -7.30 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1284.55 -5.74 -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1087.81 +2.42 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.693.75 -3.14 -0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1318.21+8.41. +0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…859.07 +7.60 +0.89%
IDX Techno4103.92 +118.31 +2.97%
IDX Transp 1515.04 -7.75 -0.51%
IDX Infrast 1497.23 -13.74 -0.91%
IDX Finance.1510.97 -8.20 -0.54%
IDX Banking.1300.04 +25.68 +2.02%
IDX Property.. 698 -2.30 -0.32%

Indo10Yr.6.6555 – 0.0229 -0.34%
ICBI…376.0857 +0.4541 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.339 +0.017 +0.39%
US5Yr 3.974 -0.012 -0.30%
US10Yr4.036 -0.036 -0.93%
US30Yr.4.251-0.064 -1.48%
VIX…13.31 -0.29 -2.13%

USDIndx 103.3970❗️ -0.212 -0.20%
Como Indx..274.00 +3.12 +1.15%
BCOMIN……140.02 +0.77 +0.55%

IndoCDS..76.73 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/01)

IDR…..15780.00‼️ -30.00 -0.19%
Jisdor.15825.00 ‼️ -29.00 -0.18%

Euro….1.0844 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.33 -0.22 -0.86%
(4008)
EIDO……21.75 +0.18 +0.83%
EEM……38.60 -0.31 -0.80%

Oil…….77.81 +0.85 +1.10%
Gold..2054.50 +3.30 +0.16%
Timah..26664.00 – -%
(Closed 29/01)
Nickel..16513.50 +54.00 +0.33%
(Closed 30/01)
Silver……23.28 -0.05 -0.21%
Copper.391.15 +2.55 +0.66%

Iron Ore 62% 135.55 unch +0%
(29/01)
Nturl Gas..2.091 +0.032 +1.55%
Ammonia China.3260.00 -83.00 -2.48%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 119.55 +3.15 +2.71%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.50 +5.00 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 120.30 +4.40 +3.80%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.119.80 +3.80 +3.28%‼️
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .96.15 +1.85 +1.96%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +1.90 +2.07%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.10 +1.20 +1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.75 +1.30 +1.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3842 -107 -2.71%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.75 +7.50 +1.70%
SoybeanOil 46.00 +0.45 +0.99%
Wheat…605.50 +12.20 +1.70%

Wood pulp..5076.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 30/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

REMINDER REBALANCING

UPDATE (29/01/2024)

EVALUASI INDEKS LQ45, IDX30, IDX80, KOMPAS100, PEFINDO25, INDEKS BUMN20, IDXSMC-LIQ, IDXSMC-COM, IDXHIDIV20, IDXV30, IDXG30, IDXQ30, IDXLQ45LCL

(Periode Efektif 01 Februari 2024 – 31 Juli 2024)

INDEKS LQ45
Baru : MBMA, MTEL, PGEO, PTMP
Keluar : INDY, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

INDEKS IDX30
Baru : ACES, ICBP, INKP, PGEO
Keluar : EMTK, ESSA, HRUM, TOWR

INDEKS IDX80
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, MAPA, MBMA, PGEO, PTMP, SMIL, TRON, WIFI
Keluar : AVIA, DOID, HMSP, JKON, OMED, PNBN, RMKE, SMDR, WIKA

INDEKS KOMPAS100
Baru : AUTO, CFIN, DRMA, GTRA, HRTA, IMAS, MAPA, MARK, MBMA, NISP, PGEO, PTMP, PTRO, SILO, SMIL, SMSM, SSIA, TRON, WIIM
Keluar : AALI, AGII, AVIA, BBKP, BDMN, BELI, BSSR, HMSP, JKON, LSIP, MMIX, MSIN, OMED, PNBN, PNIN, RMKE, SMDR, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS PEFINDO25
Baru : ADMR, AUTO, DILD, ESSA, GJTL, LPPF, LSIP, MAPA, MIDI, TAPG
Keluar : AKRA, BSSR, DSNG, HEXA, HRTA, MIKA, POWR, SIDO, SMSM, SSIA

(Periode Efektif 05 Februari 2024 – 02 Agustus 2024)

INDEKS BUMN20
Baru : BJTM, PGEO,
Keluar : JKON, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-LIQ
Baru : AUTO, CMRY, GGRM, HEAL. INCO, MAPA, MIDI, TOWR
Keluar : ADMR, ARTO, BDMN, BEST, BJBR, LSIP, SSIA, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-COM
Baru : ARTA, AXIO, BEEF, GGRM, HOKI, INCO, JAWA, PDPP, TOWR
*zKeluar :*z ADMR, ARTO, BOLA, CUAN, DEFI, DSSA, FILM, GLVA, GSMF, HOMI, JIHD, MDLN, MREI, NIKL, PANI, PEGE, PGEO, PPRE, RONY, SMIL, SONA, TEBE, TFAS, TOPS, WEGE, WTON

INDEKS IDXHIDIV20
Baru : BRPT, ICBP, INKP, KLBF, SMGR, TPIA, UNVR
Keluar : BJBR, BJTM, BNGA, BSSR, HEXA, HMSP, MPMX

INDEKS IDXV30
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, JSMR, SMRA, WIFI
Keluar : DOID, JKON, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXG30
Baru : AUTO, BBTN, GJTL, MAPA
Keluar : ASSA, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXQ30
Baru : AKRA, AMRT, GGRM, MYOR, SMIL, TRON
Keluar : AVIA, EMTK, HMSP, RMKE, SRTG, TINS

INDEKS IDXLQ45LCL
Baru : MAPI, MBMA, MTEL, PGEO
Keluar : ASII, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

(Listri. Source : IDX)

SP500 abis cetak new record koreksi dulu, DJI nya ijo, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG sempet merah dulu tapi closing ijo, firm mau wave B

US bond rate pendek naik, panjang turun, semoga ga banyak pengaruh ke stock market, USD index merah, metal2 lanjut naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, coal ijonya tebel, CPO merah dalem, MDKA harusnya jalan, ELSA AKRA MEDC lanjut, coal apakah udah mau rebound? AALI LSIP agak kawatir ini

IHSG – dari ilmu elliot wave, wave B nya ga panjang ini keliatanya, daripada aggressive sekarang mending tunggu wave C beres… Udah 2 hari FNB, BD acc, big bank di push naik, GOTO di push naik, tapi in total saham yang turun lebih banyak dari saham yang naik. Masih keep cash

Terlihat Healthcare ngebalik nyusul basic materials, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure… Padahal kemaren KLBF dibanting sampe cutloss

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO ASII BBNI ITMG PTBA SIDO ASSA BRMS CTRA HMSP LPPF MTEL SMRA. Big Acc ASII BBNI PTBA

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTPP BRAM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: BRIS

January 17th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 200 points lower Tuesday after 10-year Treasury yield tops 4%

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell Tuesday as bond yields ticked higher and Wall Street pored through the latest batch of fourth-quarter earnings.

Dow……37361 -231.9 -0.62%
Nasdaq14944 -28.4 -0.19%
S&P 500.4766 -17.9 -0.37%

FTSE…..7558 -36.6 -0.48%
Dax……16572 -50.5 -0.30%
CAC……7398 -13.7 -0.18%

Nikkei..35619 -15.42 -0.78%
HSI…….15866 -350.4 -2.16%
Shanghai.2894 +7.7 +0.27%

IDX…..7242.79 +18.70 +0.26%
LQ45….975.39 +1.34 +0.14%
IDX30…502.80 -0.35 -0.07%

IDXEnergy..2194.91 .91 +1.06%
IDX BscMat.1249.83 +0.41 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl…1127.74 +11.77+1.06%
IDXNONCYC.707.91 +1.34 +0.19%
IDX Hlthcare1310.72 -25.74 -1.93%
IDXCYCLIC…864.61 +8.98 +1.05%
IDX Techno4310.93 -26.38 -0.61%
IDX Transp 1710.92 -0.81 -0.05%
IDX Infrast 1534.48 +2.42 +0.16%
IDX Finance.1512.23 -4.22 -0.28%
IDX Banking.1331.17 -1.46 -0.11%
IDX Property.. 714 +1.40 +0.19%

Indo10Yr.6.6805 +0.0229 +0.34%
ICBI…375.0189 +0.0247 -0.01%
US2Yr.4.222 +0.076 +1.83%
US5Yr 3.934 +0.102 +2.66%
US10Yr4.064 +0.078 +1.96%
US30Yr.4.297 +0.122 +2.92%
VIX….13.84 +0.59 +4.45%‼️

USDIndx 103.3570❗️ +0.953 +0.93%
Como Indx..264.30 -0.08 -0.03%
BCOMIN……136.24 +0.24 +1.29%

IndoCDS..74.21 -0.02 -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/01)

IDR…..15592.50 +37.50 +0.24%
Jisdor.15592.00 +37.00 +0.24%

Euro….1.0877 -0.0072 -0.66%

TLKM…25.80 -0.12 -0.43%
(4033)
EIDO……22.44 -0.21 -0.93%
EEM……38.25 -0.95 -2.42%

Oil……..72.40 -0.10 -0.14%
Gold..2030.20 -28.80 -1.40%
Timah..24781.00 +150.00 +0.61%
(Closed 15/01)
Nickel..16227.00 +59.5 +0.37%
(Closed 16/01)
Silver……23.09 -0.24 -1.01%
Copper.376.65 -1.75 -0.46%

Iron Ore 62% 137.22 – -%
(12/01)
Nturl Gas..2.829 -0.277 -8.92%‼️
Ammonia China.3183.33‼️ -66.67 -2.05%
(Domestic Price)(15/02)

Coal price.129.50 -0.35 -0.39%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.40 +1.15 +0.91%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.127.25: +1.00 +0.80%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 125.85 +0.85 +0.68%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.107.75 +0.25 +0.23%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 +2.25 +2.22%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price..100.85 +1.80 +1.82%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…99.30 +1.80 +1.85%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3881 +61 +1.61%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……443.50 -3.50 -0.78%
SoybeanOil 48.25 -1.00 -2.07%
Wheat…582.00 -14.00 -2.35%

Wood pulp..5054.00+4.00 +0.10%
(Closed 16/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Weh, US lanjut merah, europe juga, asia cenderung merah, yang ijo tipis. IHSG kemaren ijo, jadi kemungkinan merah lagi hari ini.

US Bond rate up rada tingi, bad for stocks, USD index juga naik, bad for commodities in general. Kebanyakan metal down kecuali Tin and Nickel, Oil down, Gas Drop, tapi Coal and CPO up. Good for ADRO PTBA ITMG INDY AALI LSIP

IHSG – stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% sw, BD sw, FNB, hidden bullish divergence, 833 buy, semoga rada ada dorongannya minimal ga dibanting, sideways correction aja

Still financials, energy, yang ketangkep kemaren beli KLBF ini mulai keliatan healthcare mau bangun. Property yang kayanya udahan