Global Update:

July 27th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow sheds more than 200 points after Walmart profit warning, S&P 500 falls 1%

U.S. stocks fell Tuesday after Walmart cut its earnings forecast, sending other retail shares lower and adding to concern that consumer spending might not be strong enough to keep the U.S. out of a recession.

Dow…….31762 -228.5 -0.71%
Nasdaq.11563 -220.1 -1.87%
S&P 500..3921 -45.8 -1.15%

FTSE…….7306 -0.02 -0.00%
Dax……..13097 -113.4 -0.86%
CAC……..6211 -26.1 -0.42%

Nikkei….27655 -44.04 -0.16%
HSI……..20906 +342.9 +1.67%
Shanghai..3277 +27.1 +0.83%
ST Times..3192 +11.7 +0.37%

IDX…….6871.54 +13.13 +0.19%
LQ45…..968.48 +1.35 +0.14%

IDX Energy…1762.10 +21.00 +1.21%
IDX Bsc Mat.1270.86 -4.39 -0.34%
IDX Industrl..1221.16 +1.34 +0.11%
IDXNONCYC..721.07 -3.54 -0.49%
IDX Hlthcare.1509.16 -5.80 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.11 -6.12 -0.69%
IDX Techno..7632.21 -185.40 -2.37%
IDX Transp…1957.78 +2.17 +0.11%
IDX Infrast……989.59 +7.44 +0.75%
IDX Finance 1478.35 +14.17 +0.97%
IDX Banking..1101.28 +11.21 +1.03%
IDX Property…….676 -1.20 -0.18%

Indo10Yr….7.4649 -0.0268 -0.36%
ICBI……….329.0763 +0.5530 +0.17%
US10Yr…..2.7870 -0.0330 -1.17%
VIX…………24.69 +1.33 +5.69%

USDIndx 107.1890 +0.7060 +0.66%‼
Como Indx..286.50 +1.74 +0.61%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.42 +0.22 +0.15%

IndoCDS…135.05 +2.78 +2.10%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14993.00 unch +0%
Jisdor..14984.00 -8.00 -0.05%

Euro………1.0129 -0.0091 -0.89%

TLKM……..28.13 +0.18 +0.64%
(4215)
EIDO………22.49 -0.11 -0.49%
EEM………39.25 -0.31 -0.78%

Oil…………95.52 -0.79 -0.82%
Gold ……1734.30 -0.50 -0.03%
Timah. .24947.00 -317.00 -1.27%
( Closed 25/7)
Nickel..22102.50 -430.00 -1.95%
(Closed 26/7)
Silver…….18.56 +0.26 +1.42%
Copper….339.95 +4.55 +1.36%

Nturl Gas…..8.785- +0.167 +1.94%

Ammonia….3890.00 +200 +5.42%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(25/7)

Coal price….414.00 +3.75 +0.91%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…440.00 +28.95 +7.04%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…389.50 +2.15 +0.56%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…388.00 +24.00 +6.59%‼
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3788 +142 +3.89%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………600.75 +17.00 +2.91%
SoybeanOil…57.95 +0.40 +0.69%
Wheat………803.75 +33.75 +4.38%‼

Wood pulp…6650.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 26/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US lanjut merah rada dalem… europe juga merah, asia kebanyakan ijo kecuali nikkei

Masih membuka kemungkinan index tutup gap dulu

Oil gold tin nickel turun, silver copper gas naik, coal lanjut naik lagi, cpo juga

Kemungkinan ANTM INCO TINS koreksi dulu while saham saham coal lanjut naik. AALI LSIP kemarin diperkirakan langsung lanjut tapi malah koreksi, semoga ini lanjut naik lagi

In general sektor sektor tidak menggembirakan. Walau ada beberapa saham di dalam masing2 sektor yang terlihat bergerak, kaya saham2 coal, UNTR.

Global Update:

July 11th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq rises for fifth-straight day after strong jobs report as Wall Street notches winning week

The Nasdaq Composite rose in choppy trading on Friday as investors reacted to a stronger-than-expected jobs report that will likely keep the Federal Reserve on track for its aggressive rate hikes.

Dow…….31338 -46.4 -0.15%
Nasdaq.11635 +13.96 +0.12%
S&P 500..3899 -3.2 -0.08%

FTSE…….7196 +7.2 +0.10%
Dax……..13015 +172.01 +1.34%
CAC……..6033 +26.4 +0.44%

Nikkei….26517 +26.7 +0.10%
HSI……..21726 +82.2 +0.38%
Shanghai..3356 -8.3 -0.25%
ST Times..3131 +1.9 +0.06%

IDX…….6740.22 +87.63 +1.32%
LQ45…..959.68 +13.10 +1.38%

IDX Energy…1648.73 +17.12 +1.05%
IDX Bsc Mat.1201.90 +31.48 +2.69%
IDX Industrl..1167.29 +11.86 +1.03%
IDXNONCYC..709.97 +2.84 +0.40%
IDX Hlthcare.1510.00 -1.14 -0.08%
IDXCYCLIC…..869.47 +0.39 +0.04%
IDX Techno….7783.19 +226.28 +2.99%
IDX Transp…1893.90 +30.51 +1.64%
IDX Infrast……960.07 +0.72 +0.07%
IDX Finance 1413.10 +23.03 +1.66%
IDX Property…….668 -1.10 -0.16%

Indo10Yr….7.3829 +0.0109 +0.15%
ICBI……….330.9639 -0.1308 -0.04%
US10Yr…..3.1010 +0.0930 +3.09%
VIX…………24.64 -1.44 -5.52%

USDIndx 107.0070 -0.1230 -0.11%‼
Como Indx..287.75 +2.67 +0.94%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..150.77 -0.82 -0.54%

IndoCDS…144.98 -5.32 -3.54%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14979.00 -22.50 -0.15%‼
Jisdor..14981.00 -5.00 -0.03%‼

Euro………1.0185 +0.0023 +0.23%

TLKM……..26.51 -0.37 -1.38%
(3971)
EIDO………21.82 +0.12 +0.55%
EEM……….40.09 unch +0%

Oil…………104.79 +2.24 +2.18%
Gold …….1742.30 +3.00 +0.17%
Timah. .25364.00 -620 -2.39%‼
( Closed 08/7)
Nickel…21499.00 +248.50 +1.16%
(Closed 09/7)
Silver…….19.24 +0.09 +0.47%
Copper….352.20 -2.05 -0.58%

Nturl Gas…..6.067 +0.5260 +9.49%‼

Ammonia ..4473.33 -67.33 -1.51%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(07/7)

Coal price…413.75 +3.75 +0.91%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…415.50 +3.50 +0.85%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…388.90 +3.90 +1.01%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…381.+10 +6.10 +1.63%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4288 +153 +3.79%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………623.50 +27.25 +4.57%‼
SoybeanOil…60.49 +0.90 +1.51%
Wheat………891.50 +55.00 +6.57%‼

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0.%
(Closed 10/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Hampir semua index ijo di jum’at, US DJI sama Shanghai merah tipis. Commodity naik semua kecuali timah dan tembaga. Oil stay diatas 100usd/ barrel, coal sampe 413 USD/MT, energy soaring lagi harusnya.

Kita assess kemungkinan pola flat style correction yang kejadian… Akan confirm bila MACD nya lanjut golden cross

Global update:

July 05th, 2022

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to the Independence Day

Dow…….31097 closed +0%
Nasdaq.11128 closed +0%
S&P 500..3825 closed +0%

FTSE…….7233 +64.0 +0.89%
Dax……..12773 -39.7 -0.31%
CAC……..5955 +23.6 +0.40%

Nikkei….26154 +218.2 +0.84%
HSI……..21830 -29.4 -0.13%
Shanghai..3405 +17.8 +0.53%
ST Times..3120 +24.7 +0.80%

IDX…….6639.17 -155.16 -2.28%
LQ45…..950.15 -24.18 -2.48%

IDX Energy…1602.14 -7.39 -0.46%
IDX Bsc Mat.1162.72 -21.62 -1.83%
IDX Industrl..1160.69 -13.21 -1.13%
IDXNONCYC..697.34 -19.06 -2.66%
IDX Hlthcare.1493.10 -22.24 -1.47%
IDXCYCLIC…..861.90 -14.55 -1.56%
IDX Techno.7439.89 -310.35 -4.00%‼️
IDX Transp.1822.06 -67.47 -3.57%‼️
IDX Infrast……945.82 -11.45 -1.20%
IDX Finance 1371.52 -36.36 -2.58%
IDX Property…….658 -11.90 -1.78%

Indo10Yr….7.3820 +0.0234 +0.32%
ICBI……….330.9518 +0.1091 +0.03%
US10Yr…..2.8890 closed +0%
VIX…………26.70 closed +0%

USDIndx 105.21¥0 +0.0810 +0.08%
Como Indx….291.83 closed +0%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..151.71 closed +0%

IndoCDS…144.02 – –
(5-yr INOCD5) .

IDR……14971.50 +29.00 +0.19%‼️
Jisdor..14960.00 +4.00 +0.03%‼️

Euro………1.0424 +0.0010 +0.10%

TLKM……..27.25 closed +0%
(4077)
EIDO……….22.09 closed +0%
EEM……….39.85 closed -0%

Oil………….110.51 +2.08 +1.92%
Gold …… .1808.60 +7.10 +0.39%
Timah. .26650.00 +199 +0.75%
( Closed 01/7)
Nickel..22652.50 +809.00 +3.70%‼️
(Closed 03/7)
Silver……….19.92 +0.25 +1.26%
Copper…..356.90 -3.50 -0.97%

Nturl Gas…..5.876 +0.256 +4.56%

Ammonia ..4790.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(30/6)

Coal price…396.45 +8.45 +2.18%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…391.44 +16.45 +4.39%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…376.00 +7.00 +1.90%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…350.90 +11.75 +3.35%‼️
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4340 -355 -7.55%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..607.50 closed +0%
SoybeanOil…..62.36 closed +0%
Wheat……….846.00 closed +0%

Wood pulp…6616.00 -8.00 -0.11%
(Closed 04/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US tutup, hari kemerdekaan. Regional hampir semua ijo, cuma jerman sama hangseng merah tipis, while IHSG merah dalem. Kenapa? Ya ga ada alasan fundamental yang saya jelas, tapi alasan technical ada, memang harus turun menyelesaikan siklus ABC correction nya, minimal sampe level harga sekarang di 6500-an.

Masih mungkin turun tutup gap 6162, tapi kecil kemungkinan disekaliguskan, harusnya ada technical rebound dulu, walau misalnya akan lanjut

Selective buying di saham coal sama minyak, nikel2an kita liat sama sama, mungkin rebound mungkin masih koreksi. Tunggu konfirmasi buy signal aja

Reminder:

Kemungkinan 1: kaya taun kemaren, mantul di area yang sama dengan wave A

Kemungkinan 2: Lanjut tutup gap dan beresin ABC correction pola standar

Global update:

July 01st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts worst first half since 1970, Nasdaq falls more than 1% to end the quarter

Stocks fell on Thursday, as the S&P 500 capped its worst first half in more than 50 years.

Dow…….30775 -253.9 -0.27%
Nasdaq.11029 -149.2 -1.33%
S&P 500..3785 -33.5 -0.88%

FTSE…….7169 -143.04 -1.96%
Dax……..12784 -219.6 -1.69%
CAC……..5923 -108.6 -1.80%

Nikkei….26393 -411.6 -1.54%
HSI……..21860 -137.1 -0.62%
Shanghai..3399 +37.1 +1.10%
ST Times..3102 -32.7 -1.04%

IDX…….6911.58 -30.77 -0.44%
LQ45…..991.94 -3.77 -0.38%

IDX Energy…1638.18 -17.88 -1.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1220.87 -21.18 -1.71%
IDX Industrl..1210.49 -6.26 -0.51%
IDXNONCYC..723.26 -1.96 -0.27%
IDX Hlthcare.1519.86 +16.85 +1.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..891.84 -6.28 -0.70%
IDX Techno..7885.76 +83.61 +1.07%
IDX Transp…1974.62 -34.10 -1.70%
IDX Infrast……965.61 -5.04 -0.52%
IDX Finance 1437.32 -15.34 -1.06%
IDX Property…….678 -4.20 -0.62%

Indo10Yr….7.3623 -0.0281 -0.38%‼
ICBI……….330.9035 +0.5162 +0.16%‼
US10Yr…..2.9720 -0.1210 -3.91%
VIX…………28.71 +0.55 +1.95%

USDIndx 104.6850 -0.4210 -0.40%
Como Indx….291.15 -8.19 -2.74%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..155.73 -4.99 -3.11%‼

IndoCDS…144.45 +8.46 +6.22%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14903.00 +50.50 +0.34%‼
Jisdor..14882.00 +e4.00 +0.23%‼

Euro………1.0478 +0.0034 +0.33%

TLKM……..27.04 -0.36 -1.31%
(4024)
EIDO……….22.38 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM……….40.10 -0.19 -0.47%

Oil………….105.88 -3.81 -3.47%‼
Gold …… .1805.60 -13.40 -0.74%
Timah. .26774.00 -26 -0.10%
( Closed 29/6)
Nickel..22745.50 -1152.00 -4.82%‼
(Closed 29/6)
Silver……….20.15 -0.59 -2.84%
Copper…..367.75 -10.45 -2.76%

Nturl Gas…..5.670 -0.764 -11.87%‼

Ammonia ..4773.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/6)

Coal price…380.00 +5.95 +1.57%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…368.95 +8.95 +2.49%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…370.00 +5.25 +1.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…352.00 +6.50 +1.88%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4912 +8 +0.16%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..619.75 -34.00 -5.20%‼
SoybeanOil…..64.46 -2.52 -3.76%‼
Wheat……….884.00 -46.00 -4.95%‼

Wood pulp…6624.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/6)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Regional hampir semua merah, cuma china yang ijo

Hampir semua commodity turun, kecuali coal yang naik signifikan dan cpo yang naik tipis. Momentum rebound buat saham coal, technically udah waktunya rebound sih

Yak, sesuai perkiraan mulai menukik… Sayangnya saham perkiraan bakal kontrarian nya ga pas, property ikut dibanting, infra ikut dibanting, even consumer yang kemaren jaya ikut dibanting walau ga jauh

Exit di DCB, off market sampe IHSG tercapai level aman buat buy lagi. Itu rencana paling moderate…

Either 6500-an atau 6055-an, sesuai itungan fibonacci extension-nya