CGS International Sekuritas Indonesia:
Kamis, 2 Januari 2025

Dow… 42,544.22 -29.51 -0.07%
S&P 500… 5,881.63 -25.31 -0.43%
FTSE 100… 8,173.02 +52.01 +0.64%
Nikkei… 39,894.54 -386.62 -0.96%

Indo 10 Yr… 7.00 -0.05 -0.31%
VIX… 17.35 -0.05 -0.29%
Indo CDS 5Y… 78.89 +0.75 +0.96%

TLKM (US)… 16.45 +0.02 +0.12%
EIDO… 18.48 -0.05 -0.27%

Oil… 71.72 +0.73 +1.03%
Gold… 2,624.50 +18.00 +0.69%
Timah… 28,846.00 -237.01 -0.81%
Nikel… 15,110.95 -78.88 -0.52%
Silver… 28.90 -0.05 -0.17%
Copper… 8,652.67 -142.18 -1.62%
Natural Gas… 3.63 -0.30 -7.70%
CPO… 4,861.00 -64.00 -1.30%
Coal*… 125.25 +0.70 +0.56%
Softwood Kraft Pulp 5,864.00 -14.00 -0.24%
*(Newcastle/Desember)
**majority closed per 31 Dec-24

Phintraco ga release data seperti biasa, kita cari dari beberapa sumber

US closing 30 des merah, europe ijo, asia merah, US treasury bond yield merah, masih belum menentu mau kemana, tapi kalo technical sih bilang mantul, cocok sama arah US treasury bond

USD index up, gold up metal2 lain down, oil up, gas down, coal up, coal sama oil ini menarik

IHSG – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, w% flat, elliot wave reverse done, lagi bikin higher low, reg bull div MACD RSI, confirmed by 2 bull candle, belum cancelled, sempet NFB tapi last day net sell lagi. Tanda2nya udah mau mantul sih

Terlihat mulai meriah, Infrastructure leading sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals, yang paling penting financials terlihat gerak

Stochastic Buy Signal Banyak, yang big accum AMMN, BUKA, GOTO, PTBA, AUTO, menarik dicermati BBCA BBNI

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTBA UNVR CMRY CTRA GJTL MPMX MYOR ULTJ, big accum PTBA UNVR SILO, GJTL kita liat juga

PTBA – abis reg bull div lanjut jalan, loncat kemaren 5% jadi stoch and macd buy, MFI up, w% up, BD FF rev acc, yang kosong portonya kayanya bisa bow di tengah candle kemaren

Coal price macd buy signal, menarik ini ADRO INDY ITMG PTBA

Abis spike jual ada spike kecil

AUTO – valuation ok, stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI still down, w%up, bd acc, FF masih dist, ada spike, kita check dulu

Harusnya sih target 2600 an ya, apalagi kalo liat retracement pattern harusnya bawa ke fibo 61 di 2900 an. Januari group astra suka jalan, kita liat AUTO gimana januari

Kurang ok ternyata… Nanti dulu deh

BBCA – stoch buy macd rev up MFI masih down, w%sw, BD FF udah sempet acc,last day rev dist lagi,reg bull div belum cancelled, confirmed by 2 bull candle

no spike… tapi Index sama BBCA seringnya searah, so 2 2 nya udah keliatan mau mantul, bisa spec buy

SILO – overpriced, skip

GJTL – stoch buy, macd buy, mfi sw, w% up, BD dist tipis, FF rev acc, abc correction seems down, valuation ok, harusnya bisa spec buy

Hajatan ini mah, saham LKH dan ada spike begini, dan bagusnya lagi ini valuation masih rendah ga kaya PTRO yang udah dihajatin sampe 4x lipat. BOW GJTL, idealnya dapet di fibo 23 di 1115

November 05th, 2024

Dow leads stocks lower as Wall Street braces for Election Day

US stocks slipped during a jittery session on Monday to kick off a week of potentially huge market-moving events — the presidential election and the Federal Reserve policy decision.

Dow…….41795 -257.6 -0.61%
Nasdaq. 18180 -59.93 -0.33%
S&P 500 5713 -16.1 -0.28%

FTSE…..8184 +7.1 +0.09%
Dax……19148 -107.1 -0.56%
CAC……7372 -37.4 -0.50%

Nikkei….38054 closed +0%
HSI………20568 +61.1 +0.30%
Shanghai.3310 +38.2 +1.17%

IDX…7479.50 -25.76 -0.34%
LQ45…913.42 +0.81 +0.09%
IDX30.470.71 +1.26 +0.26%

IDXEnergy….2717.76 -12.16 -0.45%
IDX BscMat1379.00 -21.60 -1.54%
IDX Indstrl..1090.32 -5.19 -0.47%
IDXNONCYC.748.63 +0.67 +0.09%
IDX Hlthcare1506.68 -15.60 -1.02%
IDXCYCLC…..868.43 -12.36 -1.40%
IDX Techno..3953.41 -49.09 -1.23%
IDX Transp 1445.59 -33.07 -2.24%
IDX Infrast 1472.57 -13.45 -1.23%
IDX Finance1512.89 -3.39 -0.22%
IDX Banking1292.34 +6.27. +0.49%
IDX Property..821 -12.6 -1.51%

Indo10Yr.6.8735❗️+0.0034 +0.49%
ICBI….392.7677❗️-0.0785 -0.02%
US2Yr.4.168 ❗️-0.044 -1.04%
US5Yr 4.148 ❗️-0.007 -0.17%
US10Yr4.293❗️ -0.093 -2.12%
US30Yr.4.466❗️-0.115 -2.51%
VIX..21.98 +0.10 +0.46%

USDIndx 103.8860❗️-0.400 -0.38%
Como Indx.282.75 +3.31 +1.18%
BCOMIN…..149.10 +0.69 +0.47%

IndoCDS..71.24 +1.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/11)

IDR…….15752.00‼️ +20.50 +0.13%
Jisdor..15723.00‼️ +28.00 +0.18%

Euro…1.0878❗️ +0.0006 +0.06%

TLKM.17.70 +0.21 +1.17%
( 2783)
EIDO…21.16 +0.08 +0.38%
EEM……44.74 +0.20 +0.45%

Oil………71.47 +1.98 +2.85%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.21 +2.10 +2.89%
(Brent)
Gold…2746.20 -3.00 -0.2l11%
(Comex)
Gold…2736.72 +0.19 +0.01%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.31724.00 +511.00 +1.64%
(Closed 01/11)
Nickel.16120.50 +136.50 +0.85%
(Closed 04/12)
Silver….32.6 -0.07 -0.21%
Copper.443.15 +6.00 +1.37%

Iron Ore 62% 102.49 -1.29 -1.24%
(01/11)
Nturl Gas 2.789 +0.126 +4.73%
Ammonia China 2766.67 +46.67 +1.72%
(Domestic Price)(04/11)

Coal price.143.90 -0.05 -0.03%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.90 -0.05 -0.03%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.90 +0.20 +0.14%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.70 +0.20 +0.14%
(Feb/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.05 +0.65 +0.55%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.20 +0.10 +0.21%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.20 +0.30 +0.25%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal Price 120.45 +0.20. +0.17%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jan) 4891 +26 +0.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………416.50 +2.00 +0.48%
SoybeanOil 45.56 -0.74 -1.60%
Wheat……568.75 +0.75. +0.13%

Wood pulp.4640.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Be loomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe merah, asia ijo, IHSG yang merah dalem, US Treasury bond merah dalem, kayanya technical rebound dulu hari ini mah IHSG, tapi ga banyak

USD index down, gold spot ijo tipis, tin nickel copper ijo, silver iron ore merah, perlu dicermati TINS dan INCO, oil ijo tebel, gas juga, coal melempem, CPO naik lagi, kita liat AKRA dan AALI LSIP

IHSG – nah ini mulai FNB, ada titik terang, stoch macd rsi mfi w% masih jelek semua, kalo ini wave 4 masih agak dalem, tapi sah aja berhenti sekarang juga, ABC nya cenderung flat. Kita cermati BBCA BBRI

Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, nah ini kalo bener jalan index ikut… Energy sama healthcare siap2, infrstructure belum jadi jalan, JSMR terpaksa cutloss kemaren

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI KLBF PGAS PGEO BTPS PTMP SRTG MLIA, SRTG big accum

MACD Buy Signal ADRO SRTG

BBRI – stoch buy, MACD dikit lagi, MFI masih down, w% sw, BD masih dist, FF rev acc, ini bisa spec buy harusnya, bisa jadi hari ini start gerak

Big caps emang jarang spike, ini ada tapi kecil

Average aman, BD lagi pada diem, tunggu momentum aja ini, tapi BBRI seringkali kebaca di Stoch dan digerakin juga sama foreign, so Spec Buy BBRI at last close price, setengah botol dulu

SRTG – stoch MACD buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, tembus ke atas cloud ichimoku, alligatornya nyusun buy lagi, BD accum, FNS tapi, dari retracement pattern udah nyusun 50-38 mau ke 61. Agak resiko di index yang belum pasti jalan lagi wave 5, tapi faktor pendukung buy nya udah ok, BOW SRTG di tengah candle kemaren, setengah botol aja harusnya ok ini

spike kecil, spike gede sebelumnya belum done, masih mungkin dikejar sih ini

Average nya ga aman, amannya minimal buy di bawah average BB di 2335, so jangan FOMO, BOW 2330 aja deh setengah botol

ADRO – ada yang aneh ini, hajatan sendiri… stoch macd buy MFI up, BD FF acc, loncat2 pake bikin gap segala, padahal coal price nya melempem… Ga berani ngejar, kalo energy jalan juga masuk di ITMG aja sama INDY yang ketinggalan

KLBF – sedikit overpriced, masih ok lah buat trade, stoch buy macd belum ada reg bull div, MFI masih down, w% mulai up, BD dist, FNS, masuk watchlist dulu, retracement pattern sih harusnya bawa mantul dari fibo 23

PGAS – belum saatnya

October 07th, 2024

Dow jumps 300 points for record close as September’s big jobs report spurs rally

Stocks advanced on Friday after an expectation-defying jobs report gave investors confidence around the health of the economy.

Dow…….42353 +341.2 +0.81%
Nasdaq. 18138 +219.4 +1.22%
S&P 500 5751 +51.1 +0.90%

FTSE…..8281 -1.9 -0.02%
Dax……19121 +105.5 +0.55%
CAC……7451 +63.6 +0.85%

Nikkei….3863- +83.6 +0.22%
HSI……22737 +623.4 +2.82%
Shanghai.3337 closed. +0%

IDX…7496.09 -47.74 -0.63%
LQ45…929.73 -7.66 -0.82%
IDX30.479.49 -4.07 -0.84%

IDXEnergy…..2747.12 +2.52 +0.09%
IDX BscMat1398.31 -3.31 -0.24%
IDX Indstrl..1071.77 -5.24 -0.49%
IDXNONCYC.734.51 -1.29 -0.18%
IDX Hlthcare1579.34 +7.83 +0.50%
IDXCYCLIC…862.34 -6.80 -0.78%
IDXTechno 3667.05 -87.78 -2.34%
IDX Transp 1483.23 -10.86 -0.73%
IDX Infrast 1522.48 +1.74 +0.11%
IDX Finance1499.61 -11.00 -0.73%
IDX Banking1306.38 -14.09 -1.07%
IDX Property..782 -10.80 -2.34%

Indo10Yr.6.6366 +0.0397 +1.42%
ICBI….394.0557 -0.8889 -0.23%
US2Yr.3.924 +0.2190 +5.91%‼️
US5Yr 3.804 +0.176 +4.85%‼️
US10Yr3.969 +0.121 +3.14%‼️
US30Yr.4.181+0.072 +1.72%
VIX..19.21 -1.28 -6.25%

USDIndx 102.5200‼️+0.531 +0.52%
Como Indx….291.65 +0.50 +0.17%
BCOMIN….155.98 +1.59 +1.03%

IndoCDS..69.26 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/10)

IDR…….15485.00‼️ +56.50 +0.37%
Jisdor..15495.00 ‼️ +101.00 +0.66%

Euro…1.0974❗️ -0.0061 -0.55%

TLKM.18.70 -0.09 -0.48%
( 2898)
EIDO…21.60 -0.46 -2.09%
EEM…46.97 +0.47 +1.01%

Oil………..74.38 +0.55 +0.75%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..78.05 +0.43 +0.55%
(Brent)
Gold…2667.80 -7.60 -0.28%
(Comex)
Gold…2653.60 -2.38 -0.09%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.33805.00 +96.00 +0.28%
(Closed 04/10)
Nickel.17825.50 +79.50 +0.46%
(Closed 04/10)
Silver… ..32.39 +0.07 +0.22%
Copper.457.40 +2.70 +0.59%

Iron Ore 62% 108.84 -0.53 -0.49%
(04/10)
Nturl Gas 2.831 -0.139 -4.68%
Ammonia China 2836.67 closed +0%
(Domestic Price)(03/10)

Coal price.148.20 +7.40 +5.26%‼️
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.149.60 +7.00 +4.91%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.50 +6.30 +4.34%‼️
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price.152.60 +6.35 +4.34%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)

Coal price.122.05 +5.05 +4.32%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.123.45 +5.85 +4.97%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..123.95 +5.25 +4.43%‼️
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..124.55 +4.65 +3.88%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 4305 +123 +2 94%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………424.75 -3.50 -0.82%
SoybeanOil 43.97 -0.56 -1.26%
Wheat….589.76 -13.75 -2.28%

Wood pulp.4790.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel, europe mostly ijo, asua ijo kecuali IHSG yang merah rada dalem. Tapi US treasury bond naik tinggi juga, biasanya jelek buat pasar saham besoknya.

USD index juga up, metal2 masih kebanyakan up kecuali gold sama iron ore, oil up gas up coal CPO jump, harusnya AALI LSIP ADRO INDY ITMG menarik ini

IHSG – technical indicators masih jelek, tapi dari level wave 4 nya udah mau sampe target, bisa jadi kalo hari ini drop terus pada sepakat cukup, akan jadi doji dan jadi turning point wave 5 sampe akhir tahun

Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: AUTO ELSA, big accum juga

MACD Buy Signal: PGAS

September 25th, 2024

S&P 500, Dow hit fresh records, China stocks soar on new stimulus

US stocks rose modestly on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial average notching record closes. Investors digested China’s launch of aggressive stimulus and a notable dip in US consumer sentiment.

Dow…….42208 +83.6 +0.20%
Nasdaq. 18075 +100.3 +0.56%
S&P 500 5733 +14.4 +0.25%

FTSE…8283 +23.1 +0.28%
Dax……18997 +149.8 +0.80%
CAC……7604 +95.9 +1.28%

Nikkei..37941 +216.7 +0.57%
HSI…..19001 +753.5 +4.13%‼️
Shanghai.2863+114.2 +4.15%‼️

IDX….7778.49 +2.76 +0.04%
LQ45…985.41 +0.16 +0.02%
IDX30.504.75 +0.76 +0.15%

IDXEnergy. 2726.29 +11.78 +0.43%
IDX BscMat1338.27 +6.89. +0.52%
IDX Indstrl..1084.77 -1.45 -0.13%
IDXNONCYC.750.63 +7.35 +0.99%
IDX Hlthcare1545.17 -3.63. -0.23%
IDXCYCLIC…896.57 -8.61 -0.95%
IDXTechno 3783.98 -43.64 -1.14%
IDX Transp 1528.75 +6.35 +0.42%
IDX Infrast 1573.30 +8.46 +0.54%
IDX Finance1575.02 +2.38 +0.15%
IDX Banking1410.37 -1.43 -0.24%
IDX Property..785 +0.30 +0.04%

Indo10Yr.6.4992 -0.0062 -0.10%
ICBI….396.0881 +0.1320 +0.03%
US2Yr.3.540 -0.047 -1.31%
US5Yr 3.472 -0.034 -0.96%
US10Yr3.737 -0.012 -0.32%
US30Yr.4.086 -0.010 -0.24%
VIX..15.39 -0.50 -3.15%👍

USDIndx 100.4660❗️-0.385 -0.38%
Como Indx….287.59 +3.46 +1.22%
BCOMIN….150.35 +4.08 +2.79%

IndoCDS..70.28 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/09)

IDR…….15187.00 -18.50 -0.12%
Jisdor..15186.00 -5.00 -0.03%

Euro…1.1185❗️ +0.073 +0.65%

TLKM.20.79 -0.09 -0.41%
( 3157)
EIDO…23.57 +0.17 +0.70%
EEM..45.53 +1.52 +3.45%‼️

Oil………..71.56 +0.89 +1.26%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..75.17 +1.27 +1.79%
(Brent)
Gold…2682.30‼️ +29.60 +1.13%
(Comex)
Gold…2659.45‼️ +31.85 +1.21%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32689.00 +394.00 +1.22%
(Closed 24/09)
Nickel..16745.00 +188.00 +1.14%
(Closed 24/09)
Silver… ..32.49 +1.45 +4.67%‼️
Copper.453.05 +18.55 +4.27%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 91.60 -0.33 -0.36%
(23/09)
Nturl Gas 2.816 -0.031 -1.09%
Ammonia China 2816.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(24/09)

Coal price.139.50 unch +0%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.40 +0.65 +0.47%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.65 +1.05 +0.75%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.85 +1.10 +0.78%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.80 +0.15 +0.13%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..113.35 -0.60 -0.53%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.55 -0.35 -0.31%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.55 -0.45 -0.39%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3989 +12 +0.30%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………411.75 -1.75 -0.42%
SoybeanOil 43.34 +1.50 +3.59%
Wheat……578.00 -4.50 -0.77%

Wood pulp.4800.00 unch +0%
(Closed 24/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua up, hongkong china up tebel banget, US treasury bond yield down, lanjut kenceng harusnya IHSG hari ini

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali iron ore, oil coal up, gas down, CPO up, harusnya lanjut ANTM MDKA INCO TINS AKRA MEDC AALI LSIP ADRO INDY PTBA

IHSG – stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% sw, bd acc FNB tapi turun, hati hati banget, technical udah bilang sell, kemungkinan besar ya mau wave 4

Technology, Transportation, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, tapi semuanya udah jalan duluan dan rawan koreksi, yang menarik diliat Basic Materials dan Energy

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT ESSA ITMG UNVR CTRA JPFA PWON SSMS SIMP, big accum AMRT ITMG CTRA

MACD Buy Signal: GGRM INKP MDKA CTRA PNLF SIMP, big accum CTRA

ITMG – bareng sama coal coal lain loncat, stopch buy macd almost buy, loncat kemaren juga cuma 2.7%, ga tinggi2 amat, masih layak dikejar kalo emang confirm jalan panjang, MFI bottoming, w% up, BD FF rev big acc, unclosed gap, menarik sih

spike target done, hmmm

XL pas kemaren loncat malah jualan, mencurigakan sih… Tapi bisa ini spec buy, idealnya BOW di average BK 26270

CTRA – udah run panjang, memang sih stimulus nya bunga bank turun, tapi technicalnya udah mau udahan harusnya, stoch macd buy, MFI up w% uptrend, BD FF big acc, tapi ini udah ujung wave 5, saya sih minggir dulu ya…

Udah diatas average bandar, ga rekomen deh

INKP – macd rev buy, stoch masih down, MFI up, w% sw, BD masih dist, FF rev acc, ada freq spike, harga belum gerak, menarik dicermati

spike ok

Biggest holder accum, 2’nd nya malah dist, 3’rd nya diem, hmmm… Tapi average aman

Harga Pulp and Paper naik, MACD nya buy, bisa spec buy INKP