Daily Analysis 20230410
Daily Analysis 20230313
March 13th, 2023
Good morning,
Dow closes more than 300 points lower, posts worst week since June as Silicon Valley Bank collapse sparks selloff
Stocks tumbled Friday as tech-focused lender Silicon Valley Bank shut down following losses in its bond portfolio, prompting the biggest bank failure since the global financial crisis and sending shockwaves through the banking sector.
Dow……31910 -345.2 -1.07%
Nasdaq11139 -199.5 -1.76%
S&P 500.3862 -56.8 -1.45%
FTSE…….7748 -131.6 -1.67%
Dax……..15428 -205.2 -1.31%
CAC……..7221 -95.2 -1.30%
Nikkei…..28144 -479.2 -1.67%
HSI……..19320 -605.8 -3.04%‼️
Shanghai.3230 -46.02 -1.40%
IDX…..6765.30 -34.49 -0.51%
LQ45….937.14 -5.75 -0.61%
IDX30…487.68 -3.61 -0.73%
IDXEnergy…2050.29 -10.55 -0.51%
IDX BscMat 1177.07 -1.75 -0.15%
IDX Indstrl..1170.18 -6.01 -0.51%
IDXNONCYC..727.65 -1.25 -0.17%
IDX Hlthcare1544.07 -3.04 -0.20%
IDXCYCLIC…829.95 -4.46 -0.53%
IDX Techno.5358.07 -72.43 -1.33%
IDX Transp.1814.30 -26.98 -1.47%
IDX Infrast….831.78 -4.62 -0.55%
IDX Finance1393.63 -9.78 -0.70%
IDX Banking1132.84 -9.79 -0.86%
IDX Property….681 -2.50 -0.37%
Indo10Yr.6.9713 -0.0182 -0.26%
ICBI….349.0598 +0.4047 +0.12%
US2Yr4.5925 -0.0045 -0.10%
US5Yr 3.9700.-0.0170 -0.43%
US10Yr3.7040 -0.0090-0.26%
US30Yr.3.7120 -0.012 -0.32%
VIX…… 24.80 +2.19 +9.69%‼️
USDIndx104.5760 -0.6790 -0.65%‼️
Como Indx.264.99 +0.34 +0.13%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…156.28 -1.38 -0.88%
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)
IDR…..15450.00‼️ +17.50 +0.11%
Jisdor.15468.00‼️ +30.00 +0.19%
Euro……1.0643 +0.00630 +0.60%
TLKM….25.99 +0.32 +1.25%
(4020)
EIDO……22.11 -0.09 -0.41%
EEM……37.84 -0.20 -0.53%
Oil….76.68 +0.96 +1.27%
Gold1867.20‼️ +32.60 +1.88%
Timah .22912.00 – 439 -1.65%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel..22688.00 -577.0 -2.48%
(Closed 03/10)
Silver…..20.51 +0.34 +1.69%
Copper.400.05 -0.85 -0.21%
Nturl Gas.2.436 -0.0560 -2.25%
Ammonia 4406.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/08)
Coal price.185.24 +5.25 +2.92%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.193.00 +9.00 +4.89%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.197.34 +9.25 +4.92%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.50 +5.00 +2.55%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.00 +8.25 +6.51%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 132.00 +8.75 +7.10%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.50 +7.75 +6.26%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.50 +7.05 +5.66%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)
CPO(May)…4098 -106 -2.52%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..617.25 +5.75 +0.94%
SoybeanOil.56.61 -0.45 -0.79%
Wheat…..679.25 +13.50 +2.03%
Wood pulp…5690.00 unch +0.18%
(Closed 03/12)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Index regional closing merah semua, HangSeng paling dalem drop nya. Masih rada suram, tapi ga lama lagi harusnya, bank sudah mulai gerak
OIl up, gas down, coal jump, gold silver ijo, metal2 lain merah, cpo drop lagi. Siap siap ANTM MDKA
IHSG – stochastic and macd still down, 833 buy, BD flalt, NFB udah 2 hari, MFIup, w% sw, udah koreksi ke sekitar fibo 50-61, udah cukup buat mantul, walau jeleknya triangle breakdown…
Financials udah gerak, Property, Technology. Yang kemaren leading Industrials sama Energy melemah
Stoch Buy Signal: BBTN SCMA TPIA
MACD buy signal: BBRI TPIA
Alligator Buy Signal: MTEL
Daily Analysis 2020310
March 10th, 2023
Good morning,
S&P 500 closes 1.8% lower as bank stocks succumb to pressure, Dow sheds more than 500 points
Stocks tumbled Thursday as banks and other financial stocks sold off, and investors braced for a key payroll report Friday that could shape the direction of interest rates.
Dow…..32255 -543.5 -1.66%
Nasdaq11338 -237.7 -2.05%
S&P 500.3918 -73.7 -1.85%
FTSE…….7880 -49.9 -0.63%
Dax……..15633 +1.3 +0.01%
CAC……..7316 -8.9 -0.11%
Nikkei…..28623 +178.96 +0.63%
HSI…….. .19926 -125.5. -0.63%
Shanghai.3276 -7.2 -0.22%
IDX…..6799.79 +23.42 +0.41%
LQ45….942.89 +3.85 +0.41%
IDX30…491.29 +2.03 +0.41%
IDXEnergy…2060.85 +14.48 +0.71%
IDX BscMat 1178.83 +1.23 +0.10%
IDX Indstrl..1176.18 +11.27 +0.97%
IDXNONCYC..728.90 -3.12 -0.43%
IDX Hlthcare1547.10 +17.20 +1.12%
IDXCYCLIC…834.42 +1.12 +0.14%
IDX Techno.5430.51 +7.23 +0.13%
IDX Transp.1841.28 +29.65 +1.64%
IDX Infrast….836.40 +1.03 +0.12%
IDX Finance1403.41 +5.29 +0.38%
IDX Banking1142.63 +9.29 +0.82%
IDX Property….685 -0.00 -0.00%
Indo10Yr.6.9895 +0.0129+0.18%‼️
ICBI….348.6551 -0.0142 -0.00%‼️
US2Yr4.8700 -0.1960 -3.87%‼️
US5Yr 4.1895-0.1470 -3.38%‼️
US10Yr3.9070‼️-0.0690 -1.73%
US30Yr.3.8570‼️-0.0200 -0.53%
VIX…… 22.61 +3.50 +18.32%‼️
USDIndx105.2550-0.4140 -0.39%‼️
Como Indx.264.65 -2.36 -0.88%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…157.67 -1.07 -0.67%
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)
IDR…..15432.50‼️ -5.00 -0.03%
Jisdor.15438.00‼️ -13.00. -0.08%
Euro……1.0580 +0.00320 +0.30%
TLKM….25.67 -0.03 -0.12%
(3963)
EIDO……22.20 -0.03 -0.14%
EEM…38.04 -0.86 -2.21%
Oil….75.72 -0.94 -1.23%
Gold1834.60 +16.00 +0.88%
Timah 23742‼️ – 435 -1.80%
(Closed 03/08)
Nickel..23265.00 -648.0 -2.71%
(Closed 03/09)
Silver…..20.17 +0.01 +0.07%
Copper.403.90 +1.20 +0.30%
Nturl Gas.2.492 -0.1010 -3.90%‼️
Ammonia 4406.67 unch _+0%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/08)
Coal price.180.00 +0.50 +0.28%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.184.00 +1.75 +0.96%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.188.10 +1.90 +1.02%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.196.50 +3.70 +1.92%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.126.75 +3.40 +2.76%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 123.25 +5.45 +4.63%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 123.75 +5.25 +4.43%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 124.45 +5.15 +4.32%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)
CPO(May)…4204 +23 +0.55%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..611.50 -14.00 -2.24%
SoybeanOil.57.06 -2.02 -3.42%‼️
Wheat……665.75 -21.75 -3.16%‼️
Wood pulp…5700.00 -30 -0.52%
(Closed 03/09)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US merah dalem lagi, europe varied, asia juga, IDX kemaren ijo dan gap up, kalo gini bisa jadi dibawa tutup gap dulu
OIl gas lanjut turun, coal lanjut naik, metal2 varied, yang logam mulia ijo, timah nikel merah. Watch bangunnya ANTM sama MDKA
CPO ijo, kita tunggu gerakan emiten CPO
IHSG – kemaren gap up, hati2 bikin tail hari ini, tapi udah 2 hari NFB, harusnya udah mulai ke atas arahnya. Stoch down MACD down, MFI up, 833 buy, w%up, BD masih flat. Tunggu momentumnua, bank bankudah mulai gerak, ga lama lagi index harusnya diangkat
Yup, Financials udah mulai gerak, Industrials masih leading tapi melemah, Energy melemah, Property juga, Technology terlihat mau jalan
Stochastic Buy Signal: Banyak banget, ACES BBCA BRIS EMTK EXCL ICBP ITMG TOWR BMTR ERAA LPPF MIKA MYOR MNCN
Sesuai sektor, prioritas liat FInancials dulu, sama yang akumulasi
MACD Buy Signal: BBNI RMKE WIFI
Alligator Buy Signal: ADRO HRUM MTMH
Daily Analysis 20230308
March 08th, 2023
Good morning,
Dow closes 570 points lower, turns negative for 2023 as Powell ignites higher rate fears
Stocks sold off sharply Tuesday after comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested that rates may need to go higher for longer, fueling fears of a potentially larger hike at the central bank’s next policy meeting.
Dow…..32856 -574.98 -1.72%
Nasdaq11530 -145.4 -1.25%
S&P 500.3986 -62.1 -1.53%
FTSE…….7919 -10.3 -0.13%
Dax……..15560 -94.1 -0.60%
CAC……..7339 -33.9 -0.46%
Nikkei…..28309 +71.4 +0.25%
HSI……. .20534 -68.7 -0.33%
Shanghai.3285 -36.9 -1.11%
IDX…..6766.77 -40.24 -0.59%
LQ45….935.74 -2.98 -0.32%
IDX30…486.93 -1.93 -0.40%
IDXEnergy…2052.85 -36.18 -1.73%
IDX BscMat 1192.84 -14.75 -1.22%
IDX Indstrl..1171.30 -20.22 -1.70%
IDXNONCYC..731.23 -5.62 -0.76%
IDX Hlthcare1540.19 -5.25 -0.34%
IDXCYCLIC…841.61 -3.18 -0.38%
IDX Techno.5429.08 -30.68 -0.71%
IDX Transp.1800.08 -50.78 -2.74%
IDX Infrast….832.76 -10.11 -1.20%
IDX Finance1395.89 -9.83 -0.70%
IDX Banking1128.15 -2.30 -0.20%
IDX Property….685 -1.60 -0.23%
Indo10Yr.6.9517 +0.0191 +0.28%
ICBI….349.1900 -0.1630 -0.05%
US2Yr5.0148‼️+0.1210 +2.47%‼️
US5Yr 4.3150‼️+0.0460 +1.08%
US10Yr3.9700‼️-0.0130 -0.34%
US30Yr.3.8770‼️-0.0350 -0.90%
VIX……. 19.59 +0.98 +5.27%‼️
USDIndx104.2740 -0.2470 -0.24%
Como Indx.269.58 -4.01 -1.47%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…157.91 -3.34 -2.07%
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)
IDR…..15367.00 +72.00 +0.47%‼️
Jisdor.15301.00 +58.00 +0.38%‼️
Euro……1.0549 -0.0133 -1.24%
TLKM….25.35 -0.33 -1.28%
(3879)
EIDO……22.11 -0.31 -1.38%
EEM……38.74 -0.66 -1.68%
Oil….77.58 -2.88 -3.58%‼️
Gold…1820.00 -34.60 -1.87%‼️
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel..24217.00 -295.50 -1.21%
(Closed 03/06)
Silver…..20.20 -0.94 -4.43%‼️
Copper.397.50 -11.35 -2.78%
Nturl Gas.2.658 +0.0530 +2.03%
Ammonia 4422.33 +16.66 +0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/06)
Coal price.179.25 -2.50 -1.38%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.183.25 -5.50 -2.91%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.186.50 -4.35 -2.28%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.192.65 -3.10 -1.58%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.124.50 -1.50 -1.22%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.50 -1.50 -1.29%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.50 +2.50 +2.14%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.00 +3.30 +2.82%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
CPO(May)…4206 -72 -1.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..634.25 -2.75 -0.43%
SoybeanOil..60.45 -0.74 -1.21%
Wheat….698.00 +16.50 +5.08%‼️
Wood pulp…5760.00 -40 -0.69%
(Closed 03/07)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Semua merah kecuali nikkei, US drop dalem. Semoga commodity juga kecuali gas. PGAS jalan? Maybe…
IHSG – stoch ngebalik jadi sell lagi, beneran ini berbahaya… Tapi dari fibonacci retracement lagi di fibo 50, semoga mantul. masih NFS terus, dan BD ga jagain, MFI sw, w% downtrend, triangle breakdown, berhenti belanja dulu bagusnya kecuali saham2 yang firm dipake ganjel index
Industrials Energy Property Technology. Tapi bener2 hati2, harga commodity terkait energy pada turun, Property kayanya yang mendingan
Stoch Buy Signal: ANTM BBNI ICBP SIDO
MACD Buy Signal: DSNG MTEL RAJA
Daily Analysis 20230307
March 07th, 2023
Good morning,
Dow closes higher Monday to notch four-day win streak
The Dow rose slightly Monday, as Wall Street fought to hold onto last week’s gains and investors braced for a busy week of economic news.
Dow…..33431 +40.5 +0.12%
Nasdaq11676 -13.3 -0.11%
S&P 500.4048 +2.8 +0.07%
FTSE…….7930 -17.3 -0.22%
Dax……..15654 +75.2 +0.48%
CAC……..7373 +25.1 +0.34%
Nikkei…..28238 +310.3 +1.11%
HSI……. .20603 +35.7 +0.17%
Shanghai.3322 -6.4 -0.19%
IDX…..6807.00 -6.64 -0.10%
LQ45….938.72 -0.25 -0.03%
IDX30…488.87 +0.16 +0.03%
IDXEnergy…2089.03 -18.92 -0.90%
IDX BscMat 1207.59 -11.39 -0.93%
IDX Indstrl..1191.53 -5.68 -0.47%
IDXNONCYC..736.85 +5.22 +0.71%
IDX Hlthcare1545.44 -9.89 -0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…845.79 -0.63 -0.08%
IDX Techno.5467.75 +11.97 +0.22%
IDX Transp..1850.86 +6.77 +0.37%
IDX Infrast….842.86 -6.06 -0.71%
IDX Finance1405.72 +0.77 +0.06%
IDX Banking1127.75 -12.61 -1.11%
IDX Property….685 -1.60 -0.23%
Indo10Yr.6.9326 -0.0035 -0.05%
ICBI….349.3529 +0.1378 +0.04%
US2Yr 4.8861‼️+0.0250 +0.52%
US5Yr 4.2546‼️+0.0020 +0.04%
US10Yr3.9640‼️+0.0010 +0.02%
US30Yr.3.8990‼️+0.0120 +0.30%
VIX……. 18.61 +0.12 +0.65%
USDIndx104.2740 -0.2470 -0.24%
Como Indx.273.59 -1.47 -0.53%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….161.24 -0.76 -0.47%
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)
IDR…..15295.00 -16.00 -0.10%‼️
Jisdor.15301.00 -5.00 -0.03%‼️
Euro……1.0682 +0.0044 +0.44%
TLKM….25.68 -0.34 -1.31%
(3929)
EIDO……22.42 -0.19 -0.84%
EEM……39.40 -0.14 -0.35%
Oil……80.46 +0.76 +0.98%
Gold…1854.60 unch +0%
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel..24512.50 -162.50 -0.66%
(Closed 03/06)
Silver…….21.14 -0.10 -0.49%
Copper..408.85 +2.15 +0.53%
Nturl Gas.2.605 -0.404 -13.43%‼️
Ammonia 4406.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/02)
Coal price.181.75 -7.15 -3.79%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.188.75 -6.65 -3.40%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.190.85 -8.45 -4.24%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.75 -5.25 -2.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.123.00 -8.75 -6.64%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 116.00 -10.25 -8.12%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.00 -9.80 -7.73%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 116.70 -10.65 -8.36%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)
CPO(May)…4278 -79 -1.81%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..637.00 -2.75 -0.43%
SoybeanOil..60.45 -0.74 -1.21%
Wheat……695.25 -13.50 -1.90%
Wood pulp…5800.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/06)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
DJI ijo tipis, Nasdaq merah tiips, europe varied, asia kemaren kebanyakan tipis2 kecuali nikkei yang ijo tebel. Masih sideways dulu keliatannya
Oil ijo tipis, gas drop, coal lanjut merah, kita check NCF chart later… Metal2 tipis tipis semua, belum kemana mana
Dari hitungan elliot wave lanjut ABC correction, level harga coal sekarang sudah memenuhi level beres retracement, bisa diharapkan mantul, MACD masih up tapi stochastic ngebalik lagi, masih di area oversold sih, Masih berharap ada satu swing lagi ke atas di maret
IHSG – masih NFS, BD lokal ga jagain juga jadi ngebalik lagi deh stochastic nya,MACD down MFI sw W% sw, lagi di fibo 50 dari kenaikan terakhir, udah terbentuk reg bull div di CCI,semoga false break triangle, terus jadi keatas. Tapi short term masih down or sw dulu
Industrials, Energy, Property. Tapi kemaren Energy nya drop semua malah, heuheu
Stoch Buy Signal: BBRI GOTO UNVR ADHI ADMR GGRM ISAT MTMH PNLF INCI LMSH
Index abis drop banyak saham jadi oversold, mantul dikit jadi buy signal, kalo udah banyak buy signal gini mending pilih hanya LQ45
MACD Buy Signal: MTMH SMDR INCI LMSH LTLS
Alligator Buy Signal: BABP BSSR





















