June 08th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq end Wednesday lower as market rally pauses

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed lower Wednesday, with the broad market index fluctuating near its highest closing levels since August 2022.

Dow……33665 +91.7 +0.27%
Nasdaq13105 -171.5 -1.28%
S&P 500.4268 -16.3 -0.38%

FTSE…..7624 -3.8 -0.05%
Dax……15961 -31.9 -0.20%
CAC……7203 -6.2 -0.09%

Nikkei…..31914 -593.04 -1.82%
HSI………19252 +152.7 +0.80%
Shanghai.3198 +2.4 +0.08%

IDX…..6619.75 +0.03 +0.01%
LQ45….945.39 -1.29 -0.14%
IDX30…492.37 -0.97 -0.20%

IDXEnergy…1741.52 -13.88 -0.79%
IDX BscMat.1002.24 -0.16 -0.02%
IDX Indstrl…1162.08 +0.28 +0.02%
IDXNONCYC.743.47 +5.05 +0.68%
IDX Hlthcare1484.25 -0.82 -0.06%
IDXCYCLIC…878.08 +19.73 +2.30%.
IDX Techno..4784.92 -12.09 -0.25%
IDX Transp..1917.18 +25.78 +1.36%
IDX Infrast…..850.73 +9.85 +1.17%
IDX Finance.1371.82 -3.33 -0.24%
IDX Banking.1155.58 -4.85 -0.42%
IDX Property..737 +13.20 +1.82%

Indo10Yr.6.4376👍-0.0077 -0.12%
ICBI..364.5473👍 +0.4549 +0.11%
US2Yr.4.5560 +0.045 +1.00%
US5Yr 3.9350 +0.112 +2.93%
US10Yr3.8000 +0.133 +3.64%
US30Yr.3.9530👍 +0.293 +8.01%
VIX……13.94👍 -0.02 -0.14%

USDIndx104.0990‼️-0.0260 -0.03%
Como Indx.261.43 +0.76 +0.29%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……143.54 +1.30 +0.92%

IndoCDS.85.68👍 +1.00 +1.18%
(5-yr INOCD5) (06/06)

IDR…..14877.50 +17.50 +0.12%
Jisdor.14875.00 +36.00 +0.24%

Euro……1.0699 +0.0004 +0.04%

TLKM…27.92 +0.23 +0.83%
(4153)
EIDO….23.22 -0.08 -0.34%
EEM….39.40 -0.17 -0.43%

Oil……72.50 +0.94 +1.31%
Gold…1957.10 -22.90 -1.16%
Timah..25618.00 +53.00 +0.21%
(Closed 06/06)
Nickel..21460.50 +481.00 +2.29%
(Closed 07/06)
Silver……23.53 -0.15 -0.63%
Copper..375.20 -1.30 -0.35%

Iron Ore 62% 108.59 +1.21 +1.13%
(06/06)
Nturl Gas.2.328 +0.062 +2.74%

Coal price.136.00 +1.65 +1.15%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.85 +2.75 +1.98%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.85 +3.15 +2.22%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.00 +2.80 +1.94%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price110.00 +3.35 +3.14%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.105.50 +5.35 +5.34%‼️
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.25 +5.25 +5.30%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.104.25 +5.75 +5.88%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3318 -2 -0.06%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……608.00 +10.50 +1.76%
SoybeanOil 50.92 +1.66 +3.37%
Wheat…627.75 +3.75 +0.60%

Wood pulp..4380.00 +80 +1.86%
(Closed 04/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US koreksi after S&P touch year high, DJI masih positif tapi. Europe merah, asia ijo kecuali nikkei. IHSG doji, harusnya ijo hari ini

Oil gas coal ijo, energy jalan. Gold Silver Copper turun, minor pull back, pas buat rencana entry ANTM. MDKA pasang trailing stop dulu nanti re-entry kalo 833 buy. Timah Nikel ijo, chart juga mendukung TINS sama INCO jalan

IHSG – stoch rev up, macd still down, MFI sw, w% sw, BD acc, last day FNS, hammer-inverted hammer-doji, triple bottom, harusnya reversal ini

Index belum mantul tapi sektor udah keliatan pada gerak. Yang paling menarik energy sama basic materials

Stochastic Buy Signal nya banyak banget, ga ada yang big accum, kebawa bawa index aja ini, kita liat beberapa yang itungan blue chip lah EXCL INDF MYOR

MACD buy signal juga banyak banget, yang highlight kita ambil INCO INDY UNTR UNVR LSIP PWON

Alligator Buy Signal: LMSH

May 03rd, 2023

Good morning,

Dow tumbles more than 300 points as banking sector worries reignite before Fed rate decision

Stocks tumbled on Tuesday as traders’ fears around contagion in the regional banking sector returned ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision.

Dow……36885 -367.2 -1.08%
Nasdaq12081 -132.1 -1.08%
S&P 500.4120 -48.3 -1.16%

FTSE…..7773 -97.5 -1.24%
Dax……15727 -195.4 -1.23%
CAC……7838 -108.3 -1.45%

Nikkei…..29158 +34.8 +0.12%
HSI………19934 +39.2 +0.20%
Shanghai.3323 closed +0%

IDX…..6863.30 -52.41 -0.76%
LQ45….955.61 -6.14 -0.64%
IDX30…498.12 -2.88 -0.58%

IDXEnergy…2031.80 -63.06 -3.01%‼
IDX BscMat 1150.71 -20.46 -1.75%
IDX Indstrl…1184.32 -22.91 -1.90%
IDXNONCYC.722.64 -4.03 -0.55%
IDX Hlthcare1509.31-32.36 -2.10%
IDXCYCLIC….813.38 +2.56 +0.32%
IDX Techno..4983.33 -53.74 -1.09%
IDX Transp..1813.01 +3.13 +0.17%
IDX Infrast…..813.26 -8.79 -1.07%
IDX Finance.1384.16 -1.38 -0.10%
IDX Banking.1157.43 +6.39 +0.56%
IDX Property…697 -2.60 -0.37%

Indo10Yr.6.7290 +0.0139 +0.21%
ICBI….357.1434 +0.1426 +0.04%
US2Yr.3.9923 -0.1484 -3.58%‼
US5Yr 3.4690 -0.1638 -4.51%‼
US10Yr3.4330-0.1370 -3.84%‼
US30Yr.3.7140-0.0950-2.49%
VIX…… 17.78 +1.70 +10.57%‼

USDIndx101.9580 -0.1930 -0.19%
Como Indx.260.64 -5.68 -2.13%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.16 -0.33 -0.21%

IndoCDS..96.04 +5.93 +6.57%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/05)

IDR…..14713.50 +39.50 +0.27%
Jisdor.14703.00 +42 +0.29%

Euro……1.1006 +0.0031 +0.28%

TLKM..28.54 +0.03 +0.11%
(4196)
EIDO….24.25 -0.43 -1.74%
EEM….38.62 -0.38 -0.97%

Oil……71.59 -4.04 -5.40%
Gold.2024.90 +33.70+1.69%
Timah..26088.00 closed +0%
(Closed 28/04)
Nickel..24955.50 +696.50+2.87%
(Closed 02/05)
Silver……25.62 +0.37 +1.47%
Copper…386.60 -6.80 -1.73%

Nturl Gas.2.217 -0.0960 -4.15%

Coal price.187.55 +2.40 +1.30%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.190.00 +2.40 +1.28%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.194.00 +2.40 +1.25%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.198.25 +2.40 +1.23%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.136.10 -0.30 -0.22%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.132.50 -0.30 -0.23%
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.50 -0.30 -0.23%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.85 -0.20 -0.15%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3412 +59 +1.76%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..580.00 -4.50 -0.77%
SoybeanOil51.79 -0.02 -0.04%
Wheat….609.25 -9.90 -1.46%

Wood pulp..4000.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/05)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe merah, asia kecuali IDX ijo

Oil Gas drop lagi, Coal ijo. Metal ijo semua kecuali copper. CPO ijo

 

IHSG – kejedot neckline double bottom, financials belum jalan, masih koreksi or sideways dulu kayanya. Stoch up rev MACD still up, 833 sell,MFI sw, w% sw, FNS, BD flat. DI fibo 38, harusnya sih rebound dari titik ini

Property di quadrant leading, melemah tapi kemaren bertahan ga merah. Infrastructure Transportation, Basic Materials, Healthcare, Technology improving

Stochastic Buy Signal: ARTO BFIN SMRA

MACD Buy Signal: BMRI BFIN SGER

Alligator Buy Signal: INDF

April 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow, S&P 500 close lower Wednesday as First Republic woes eclipse Big Tech earnings

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
lost more than 200 points as investors’ worries over First Republic overshadowed their excitement around Big Tech earnings.

Dow……33302 -228.96 -0.68%
Nasdaq11854 +55.2 +0.47%
S&P 500.4055 -15.6 -0.38%

FTSE…..7853 -38.5 -0.49%
Dax……15796 -76.4 -0.48%
CAC……7467 -64.95 -0.86%

Nikkei…..28416 -203.6 -0.71%
HSI………19757 +139.4 +0.71%
Shanghai.3264 -0.8 -0.02%

IDX…..6910.15 +88.34 +1.29%
LQ45….963.21 +14.87 +1.57%
IDX30…502.17 +8.08 +1.64%

IDXEnergy…2097.25 +30.69 +1.49%
IDX BscMat 1163.77 +5.61 +0.48%
IDX Indstrl…1227.68 +20.28 +1.68%
IDXNONCYC.715.67 +8.65 +1.22%
IDX Hlthcare1531.12+15.21 +1.00%
IDXCYCLIC…..810.00 +0.69 +0.09%
IDX Techno..4831.13 -9.64 -0.20%
IDX Transp..1777.92 +46.15 +2.66%
IDX Infrast…..818.64 +10.28 +1.27%
IDX Finance.1390.61 +0.81 +0.06%
IDX Banking.1158.39 +6.52. +0.57%
IDX Property…692 +8.00 +1.18%

Indo10Yr.6.7162 -0.0427 -0.63%👍
ICBI….356.6914 +1.1217 +0.32%👍
US2Yr.3.9480 +0.0008 +0.02%
US5Yr 3.4941 +0.0467 +1.35%
US10Yr3.4450+0.0450 +1.32%
US30Yr.3.7050+0.0490 +1.34%
VIX…… 18.84 +0.08 +0.43%

USDIndx101.4670 -0.3960 -0.39%
Como Indx.264.94 -3.84 -1.43%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…152.19 +0.52 +0.35%

IndoCDS..95.070 +0.010 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/04)

IDR…..14836.00 -103.00 -0.69%👍
Jisdor.14882.00 +27.00 +0.18%

Euro……1.1040 +0.0062 +0.56%

TLKM..29.16 +0.75 +2.64%
(4340)
EIDO…24.26 +0.54 +2.28%
EEM……38.41 +0.22 +0.58%

Oil……74.31 -2.93 -3.79%‼
Gold.1999.90 -8.00 -0.40%
Timah..25584.00 -1062.00 -3.99%‼
(Closed 25/04)
Nickel..23658.50 +398.00 +1.71%
(Closed 26/04)
Silver……25.18 -0.10 -0.40%
Copper…385.70 -1.65 -0.43%

Nturl Gas.2.311 -0.0075 -3.14%‼

Ammonia 3050.00‼ unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(25/04)

Coal price.190.15 +1.10 +0.58%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.190.00 +3.15 +1.69%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.193.00 +1.25 +0.65%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.196.10 +0.50 +0.26%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.140.15 +0.15 +0.11%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.134.90 -3.10 -2.25%
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.00 -2.75 -2.05%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 129.90 -2.50 -1.88%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3571 -67 -1.84%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..601.00 -6.75 -1.11%
SoybeanOil52.50 +0.36 +0.69%
Wheat…..642.00 -11.00 -1.68%

Wood pulp..4110.00‼ -50.00 -1.20%
(Closed 26/04)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah Nasdaq ijo, Europe merah, Asia varied, IHSG sama Hangseng jalan. Hari ini koreksi sehat dulu keliatannya

oil gas merah, coal ijo, metal2 merah semua kecuali nikel, pas buat INCO. CPO masih merah lagi

IHSG – kemaren opening jump, tutup gap, closing lebih tinggi, candle long lower shadow, harusnya lanjut sih. Stoch up, MACDup, MFI flat, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, breakout resistance fibo 38, dikit lagi double bottom nya firm. Semoga lanjut rally nya

Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget, kita liat yang sambil big accum: INCO JPFA APIC SMDR

MACD Buy Signal: CPIN PTBA AVIA LSIP

Alligator Buy Signal: BTPS

Supertrend Buy Signal: INDF ASSA HEAL PTPP SMDR

INCO – stoch buy macd up MFI down w% sw, BD FF acc, udah bikin higher low, posisi di modus volume profile, Elliot wave besarnya masih perkiraan wave 3, walau koreksi jauh tapi ga break bottom wave 2, bisa buy ini

Belum ada spike baru

Harga masih aman

JPFA – Abis drop jauh, sabar tunggu higher low

APIC – wah, saham hajatan, ga berani ah volatile banget gini ngejarnya

Udah tinggal ditunggu guyurannya ini sih

SMDR – stoch buy, macd up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, abis gorengan, koreksi udah sampe fibo 61, ok buat mantul, bikin double bottom, breakout resistance, menarik, kita check spike

Udah ada spike, tapi belum terlalu significant

harga sih aman, tinggal idealnya tunggu spike yang significant kita baru ikut entry

CPIN – sabar tunggu higher low

PTBA – stoch almost buy, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, FF acc BD dist, mencurigakan… itungan proyeksi Elliot wave udah beres wave 5, dan ketemu reg bear div, jangan dulu deh… Buat new entry ga berani

LSIP – masuk saham value investing, stoch buy MACD buy MFI down w% sw, BD FF ngebalik buy, double bottom setelah bikin higher low, ok sih buat BOW setengah candle kemaren, soale pas CPO price juga turun.

Belum ada spike baru

Harga sih aman banget… BOW setengah botol dulu

BTPS – stoch rev down, MACD still up, 833 sell MFI sw w% sw, BD FF dist, udah bikin higher low sih, tapi skip dulu, belum waktunya

INDF – stoch buy macd up,MFI flat, w%uptrend, BD dist, FF acc, baru breakout resistance / neckline CNH, ketemu reg bear RSI, bisa BOW sih ini, stoploss kalo breakdown neckline lagi

Belum ah, ada reg bear ga ada spike bd dist… skip dulu

ASSA – stoch sell macd up 833buy.BD acc FF acc tipis, MFI down, w% uptrend, telat sih entry nya harusnya di MACD kemaren, walau sekarang ikut 833 bisa jadi ok continuation

Belum spike significant lagi

HEAL – stoch overbought, MACD up, MFI up BD FF acc, w% up, deket fibo 38, sabar tunggu bikin higher low di fibo 23

Spike lumayan

 

March 21th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher on Monday as banking crisis fears ease

Stocks closed higher on Monday as traders grew hopeful that a crisis in the banking sector may be easing. The gains followed a forced takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS engineered by the Swiss government.

Dow……32245 +382.6 +1.20%
Nasdaq11676 +45.03 +0.39%
S&P 500.3952 +34.9 +0.89%

FTSE…..7404 +68.5 +0.93%
Dax…..14934 +165.2 +1.12%
CAC……7013 +87.7 +1.27%

Nikkei…..26946 -388.1 -1.42%
HSI………19000 -517.9 -2.65%
Shanghai.3235 -15.6 -0.48%

IDX…..6612.49 -65.75 -0.98%
LQ45….915.57 -8.69 -0.94%
IDX30…477.53 -4.92 -1.02%

IDXEnergy.1976.31 -37.62 -1.87%
IDX BscMat 1130.20 +4.32 +0.38%
IDX Indstrl…1139.55 -12.22 -1.06%
IDXNONCYC..715.23 -2.61 -0.36%
IDX Hlthcare1546.87 -16.10 -1.03%
IDXCYCLIC…..787.50 -8.02 -1.03%
IDX Techno..4849.76 -174.60 -0.09%
IDX Transp..1744.59 +48.82 +2.88%
IDX Infrast…..808.28 +12.33 +1.55%
IDX Finance.1354.90 -16.77 -0.96%
IDX Banking.1109.55 -8.60 -0.77%
IDX Property….659 -5.10 .-0.76%

Indo10Yr.6.9104 +0.0103 +0.15%
ICBI…..350.8423 -0.0033 -0.00%
US2Yr3.9658 +0.1200 +3.11%
US5Yr 3.5840 +0.0770 +2.20%
US10Yr3.4830 +0.0450 +1.30%
US30Yr.3.6680+0.0410 +1.13%
VIX…… 24.15 -1.36 -5.33%

USDIndx103.2810 -0.4270 -0.41%
Como Indx.255.17 +0.52 +0.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.22 +0.20 +0.13%

IndoCDS..101.480 -7.420 -6.81%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/17)

IDR…..15360.00 +15.00 +0.10%
Jisdor.15372.00 +8.00 +0.05%

Euro……1.0723 +0.0110 +1.04%

TLKM….26.29 -0.11 -0.42%
(4041)
EIDO……22.05 +0.05 +0.23%
EEM……37.75 +0.14 +0.37%

Oil….67.65 +0.91 +1.36%
Gold.2000.00‼️+9.80 +0.49%*
Timah .22510.00 +292.00 +1.31%
(Closed 03/17)
Nickel..22800.00 -744.00 -3.16%‼️
(Closed 03/17)
Silver…..22.67 +0.21 +0.93%
Copper..395.60 +6.35 +1.63%

Nturl Gas.2.240 -0.1060 -4.51%‼️

Ammonia 4173.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/16)

Coal price.172.25 -0.75 -0.43%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.174.05 -1.00 -0.57%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.176.50 -2.60 -1.45%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.180.15 -3.95 -2.14%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.134.50 unch +0%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..124.05 -2.95 -2.32%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.55 -2.70 -2.16%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.25 -2.65 -2.14%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3790 -131 -3.34%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..633.00 -1.25 -0.20%
SoybeanOil.57.99 +0.53 +0.92%
Wheat…..700.75 -9.75 -1.37%

Wood pulp…5530.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/20)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo lagi, europe juga, giliran asia nyusul hari ini sepertinya

OIl ijo coal gas merah, metal2 ijo semua kecuali nikel, tinggal tunggu waktunya ANTM MDKA lari ini… CPO masih belum ok juga, masih belum gilirannya

IHSG – kemaren NFS langsung merah dalem, technically mulai konsolidasi, belum saatnya rally memang, bank dulu jalan baru index jalan. Sabar tunggu momentumnya

DI market merah Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare jadi ganjel Property juga tapi ga akan jalan sebelum banking biasanya

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO AKRA ICBP INDY INKP AGRO DSNG MTMH TOBA WIFI ANJT LMSH

Ga ada yang big accum posisinya, kemungkinan cuma karena jum’at mantul kenceng jadi yang sudah sangat oversold jadi buy signal

Kita assess beberapa yang sektornya jalan dan mewakili sektor yang ada issue

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BBRI INDF BRMS DSNG MTMH

Yang Big Accumulation… ARTO BBCA di Financials, bagus untuk banking mulai dorong index. INCO, tapi harga nikelnya drop, belum dulu, INDF ini ok, sektornya jalan, mau masuk ramadhan lebaran, PTBA DOID di energy, tapi coal price masih belum ok. ERAA sektornya belum, tapi biasanya lebaran baju baru henpon baru so ok buat ditunggu buy signalnya. MTEL hold, masih bagus