Daily Analysis 20240110

Daily Analysis 20240110

January 10th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes slightly lower as stocks’ early 2024 struggles linger

The S&P 500
trimmed an earlier decline Tuesday, boosted by tech shares, but still ended the day with modest losses.

Dow……37525 -157.9 -0.42%
Nasdaq14857 +13.9 +0.09%
S&P 500.4757 -7.05 -0.15%

FTSE…..7684 -10.2 -0.13%
Dax……16688 -28.1 -0.17%
CAC……7427 -22.6 -0.32%

Nikkei..33377 closed +0%
HSI…….16190 -34.4 -0.62%
Shanghai.2893+5.7 +0.20%

IDX…..7200.20 -83.37 -1.14%
LQ45….970.08 -6.36 -0.65%
IDX30…497.85 -0.29 -0.06%

IDXEnergy..2156.90 -13.52 -0.62%
IDX BscMat.1241.32 -55.67 -4.29%‼️
IDX Indstrl…1102.94 +2.18 +0.20%
IDXNONCYC.708.58 -4.91 -0.69%
IDX Hlthcare1326.71 -2.10 -0.16%
IDXCYCLIC…845.35 +10.28 +1.23%
IDX Techno4338.89 -14.42 -0.33%
IDX Transp 1652.31 -27.48 -1.64%
IDX Infrast 1532.96 -23.06 -1.48%
IDX Finance.1502.59+9.75 +0.65%
IDX Banking.1315.00+10.65 +0.82%
IDX Property.. 717 +1.10 +0.15%

Indo10Yr.6.6734 +0.0164 +0.25%
ICBI…373.7378 -0.3219 -0.097%
US2Yr.4.366 -0.009 -0.21%
US5Yr 3.972 -0.014 -0.35%
US10Yr4.015-0.012 -0.30%
US30Yr.4.185+0.001+0.02%
VIX….12.76 -0.32 -2.45%

USDIndx 102.5080 +0.096 +0.09%
Como Indx..264.69 +3.04 +1.16%
BCOMIN……136.48 -0.57 -0.42%

IndoCDS..77.70‼️ +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (08/01)

IDR…..15520.00 -5.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.15518.00 -4.00 -0.03%

Euro….1.0932 -0.0019 -0.17%

TLKM…25.18 -0.01 -0.04%
(3907)
EIDO….22.28 -0.24 -1.07%
EEM….38.99 -0.56 -1.42%

Oil……..72.24 +1.47 +2.08%
Gold..2033.00 -0.50 -0.02%
Timah..24500.00 -122.00 -0.50%
(Closed 08/01)
Nickel..16226.00 -32 -0.20%
(Closed 09/01)
Silver……23.09 -0.22 -0.94%
Copper.375.86 -5.15 -1.35%

Iron Ore 62% 140.87 -0.58 -0.41%
(08/01)
Nturl Gas..2.943 +0.037 +1.27%
Ammonia China.3400.00‼️ -50.00 -1.45%
(Domestic Price)(09/02)

Coal price.135.65 +3.65 +2.77%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 134.20 +4.70 +3.63%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.25 +4.00 +3.12%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 130.25 +3.75 +2.96%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.111.25 -1.50 -1.33%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.15 -1.55 -1.41%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.105.35 -0.75 -0.71%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.30 +0.30 +0.29%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3734 +40 +1.08%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……459.25 +4.25 +0.93%
SoybeanOil 48.45 +0.64 +1.34%
Wheat…610.00 +13.75 +2.31%

Wood pulp..5060.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 09/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US market merah, nasdaq masih ijo tipis, europe juga, asia merah kecuali shanghai

US bond rates turun lagi, harusnya bagus ini buat ngangkat saham. IHSG dua hari plunged down hard masa ga ada rebound sih…

USD index up, metal2 down, ga jadi jalan ini basic materials versi mineral mineral, consider exit ANTM INCO MDKA TINS dll di DCB hari ini

Oil rebound, gas up, coal newcastle up lumayan tinggi, CPO lanjut ijo, harusnya AALI LSIP jadi lanjut jalan ini walau market merah

IHSG – firm collapse after wave 5, stoch sell macd sell, mfi sw, w% down, BD dist masih FNB, ayo cuci gudang yang ga yakin contrarian ganjel bursa…

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Industrials, Property

Daily Analysis 20240104

Daily Analysis 20240104

January 04th, 2024
Good morning,
Dow tumbles nearly 300 points Wednesday, Nasdaq closes lower for a 2nd straight day in 2024
The Nasdaq Composite
 fell for a second session Wednesday to start the year, building on its worst daily performance in nearly three months.
Dow……37430   -284.9   -0.76%
Nasdaq14592   -173.7   -1.18%
S&P 500.4705   -38.02   -0.80%
FTSE…..7682  -39.2     -0.51%
Dax……16538 -230.97 -1.38%
CAC……7412  -119.0    -1.58%
Nikkei..33464    closed   +0%
HSI…….16646   -142.1    -0.85%
Shanghai.2967 +4.97     +0.17%
IDX…..7379.09 -44.50    -0.61%
LQ45….973.38 -6.05       -0.38%
IDX30…494.25 -4.17       -0.84%
IDXEnergy..2134.80   -8.16     -0.38%
IDX BscMat.1326.31 -5.83     -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1103.81 -1.70     -0.15%
IDXNONCYC.718.44 -5.97     -0.82%
IDX Hlthcare1341.16 -12.40  -0.92%
IDXCYCLIC…825.24  +3.63    +0.44%
IDX Techno4418.00  +0.19    +0.02%
IDX Transp 1656.97 +2.01     +0.12%
IDX Infrast  1577.29. +0.98   +0.06%
IDX Finance.1448.02 -4.07.   -0.28%
IDX Banking.1267.99 -1.01    -0.08%
IDX Property.. 709      -0.90    -0.12%
Indo10Yr.6.6494+0.0333 +0.50%
ICBI…374.1959  -0.4937  -0.13%
US2Yr.4.333  +0.009   +0.21%
US5Yr 3.905  -0.017    -0.43%
US10Yr3.920 -0.021    -0.53%
US30Yr.4.070-0.013    -0.32%
VIX….14.04  +0.84  +6.36%‼️
USDIndx 102.4570 +0.221 +0.22%
Como Indx..265.25  +2.62    +1.00%
BCOMIN……139.93   -1.24     -0.88%
 IndoCDS..69.23    -0.06    -0.09%
  (5-yr INOCD5) (02/01)
IDR…..15481.00 +11.00 +0.07%
Jisdor.15495.00 +22.00 +0.14%
Euro….1.0920  -0.0022  -0.20%
TLKM…25.62  -0.28   -1.08%
(3970)
EIDO….22.05   -0.16   -0.72%
EEM….39.52   -0.22    -0.55%
Oil……..72.70  +2.32  +3.30%‼️
Gold..2042.80 -30.60 -1.48%
Timah..25184.00 -231   -0.91%
(Closed 02/01)
Nickel..16425.00 -140   -0.85%
(Closed 03/01)
Silver……23.16   -0.80     -3.32%
Copper.386.15   -1.90     -0.49%
Iron Ore 62% 136.37   –        -%
 (02/01)
Nturl Gas..2.687  +0.113  +4.39%‼️
Ammonia China.3656.67 +33.34 +0.92%
(Domestic Price)(02/02)
Coal price.128.50  +0.75  +0.59%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.09  +0.15  +0.67%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.75  +0.90  +0.72%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.40  +0.50  +0.40%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.108.95 +2.80   +2.64%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 +2.20  +2.17%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 99.25  +2.15  +2.21%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .97.20  +2.00  +2.10%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
CPO(Mar)..3624   -36        -0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……465.25     +1.50    +0.32%
SoybeanOil 48.60 +0.31    +0.64%
Wheat….600.25    -6.50      -1.07%
Wood pulp..5050.00 +10  +0.20%
(Closed 02/01)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Update Global Economic Calendar
3 Jan 2023

GERMANY MARKET :
Unemployment Change (Dec)
Actual : 5K
Forecast : 20K
Previous : 22K

Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Actual : 5.9%
Forecast : 5.9%
Previous : 5.9%

Unemployment Persons (Dec)
Actual : 2.703M
Forecast : –
Previous : 2.702M

U.S MARKET :
MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec/29)
Actual : -10.7%
Forecast : –
Previous : -1.5%

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Dec/29)
Actual : 6.76%
Forecast : –
Previous : 6.83%

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Actual : 47.4
Forecast : 47.1
Previous : 46.7

ISM Manufacturing Employment (Dec)
Actual : 48.1
Forecast : 46.1
Previous : 45.8

ISM Manufacturing New Orders (Dec)
Actual : 47.1
Forecast : –
Previous : 48.3

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

US merah dalem, keliatanya karena release berita ISM manufacturing unemployment dan new order turun. europe merah, asia juga, IHSG kemaren memang sudah diduga jadwal turun, sekarang diharap naik tapi kalo global merah semua rada berat. Semoga hanya sideways atau koreksi kecil

US bond rates ga banyak rubah, USD index naik, metal turun semua, oil gas coal naik, CPO masih turun. Kayanya belum jalan ini ANTM INCO TINS MDKA, tapi harusnya major udah uptrend. AALI LSIP juga

IHSG – stoch up flattening OB, MACD up flattening, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD mulai dist, FNS, udah di wave 5, agak mengkhawatirkan…

Cacing RSI malah all good, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals yang arahnya paling bagus

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA ARTO GOTO TOWR ADHI HEAL ISAT JSMR PTPP. yang big accum cuma TOWR

MACD Buy Signal: BRIS BBKP BRMS Big accum BRIS BBKP

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INCO big acc MPMX spike

Daily Analysis 20230810

Daily Analysis 20230810

August 10th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow sheds nearly 200 points, Nasdaq drops 1% as August slide resumes ahead of inflation report

Stocks fell Wednesday as Wall Street awaited fresh inflation data coming later in the week.

Dow……35123 -191.1 -0.54%
Nasdaq13722 -162.3 -1.17%
S&P 500.4468 -31.7 -0.70%

FTSE…..7587 +59.9 +0.80%
Dax……15853 +77.7 +0.49%
CAC……7322 +52.6 +0.72%

Nikkei…32204 -172.96 -0.53%
HSI…….19246 +61.9 +0.32%
Shanghai.3245 -16.1 -0.49%

IDX…..6875.11 +6.30 +0.09%
LQ45….965.30 +3.44 +0.36%
IDX30…501.17 +1.48 +0.30%

IDXEnergy…1912.13 -10.42 -0.54%
IDX BscMat.1098.62 -3.62 -0.33%
IDX Indstrl…1212.50 -0.29 -0.02%
IDXNONCYC.750.05 +4.32 +0.58%
IDX Hlthcare1488.99 -0.99 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC….914.77 +2.86 +0.31%
IDX Techno.4453.84 -99.49 -2.18%
IDX Transp..1858.40 -28.97 -1.53%
IDX Infrast… .853.97 +3.61 +0.42%
IDX Finance.1430.66 -0.56 -0.04%
IDX Banking.1226.56+8.11 +0.67%
IDX Property..757 -8.90 -1.16%

Indo10Yr.6.3977+0.0035 +0.05%
ICBI….369.3157 +0.1254 +0.03%
US2Yr.4.8100 +0.050 +1.05%
US5Yr 4.1390 +0.025 +0.61%
US10Yr4.0100 -0.011 -0.27%
US30Yr.4.1650-0.027 -0.64%
VIX…….15.96 -0.03 -0.19%

USDIndx 102.4900 -0.0380 -0.04%
Como Indx…282.04 +2.82 +1.01%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….142.90 +0.05 +0.03%

IndoCDS.80.23 +2.03 +2.60%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/08)

IDR…..15189.50‼️-28.00 -0.18%
Jisdor.15206.00 ‼️-23.00 -0.15%

Euro……1.0977 +0.0022 +0.20%

TLKM…24.58 +0.35 +1.44%
(3738)
EIDO….23.07 +0.08 +0.35%
EEM…..40.09 +0.10 +0.25%

Oil…..84.23‼️ +1.53 +1.85%
Gold…1948.90‼️ -10.50 -0.54%
Timah..27300.00 -456.00 -1.64%
(Closed 08/08)
Nickel..20518.50 -358.50 -1.72%
(Closed 09/08)
Silver…… 22.74 -0.09 -0.39%
Copper.378.60 +1.10 +0.29%

Iron Ore 62% 104.41 -0.32 -0.31%
(08/08)
Nturl Gas.2.7920 +0.1700 +6.09%‼️
Ammonia China..3366.67 -16.6 -0.49%
(Domestic Price)(08/08)

Coal price..142.50 unch +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.25 +3.00 +2.07%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.90 +2.65 +1.79%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.25 +2.35 +1.55%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price115.85 +1.10 +0.96%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.60 +2.60 +2.20%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.65 +1.65 +1.39%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.40 +1.60 +1.32%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3765 +73 +1.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………494.25 -4.50 -0.90%
SoybeanOil 60.43 +0.58 +0.97%
Wheat…..661.75 -4.50 -2.90%

Wood pulp..4600.00‼️ +40 +0.88%
(Closed 09/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing merah, Europe ijo, Asia Varied, ID Sing Korea Hongkong ijo, Jepang China merah

USD index turun tipis, ga terlalu ngaruh, Gold Silver iron ore merah, copper ijo tipis, timah nikel lanjut merah, Oil Gas lanjut ijo, Coal ijo, CPO lijo. Masih sideways buat ANTM MDKA, hati2 TINS INCO NCKL

IHSG – indicator type oscillators masih bilang belum ok, tapi rada pede karena FNB. Diharapkan galama konsolidasi terus breakout ke atas, Big Banks udah mulai jalan, kemaren keganjel GOTO yang dibanting juga tetep berhasil closing ijo, semoga lanjut, walau sepertinya masih sideways dulu

Basic Materials, Industrials, Property, Financials, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: BMRI PTBA TLKM AALI BDMN BSSR JPFA TINS RDTX INDS

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT BRIS CPIN TLKM BELI CTRA ISAT

Alligator Buy Signal: ADMR MTEL

Supertrend Buy Signal: JPFA

Daily Analysis 20230803

Daily Analysis 20230803

Selamat pagi 🌻,
3 Agustus 2023

DJIA 35.282 -348.16 (-0.98%)
S&P 500 4.513 -63.34 (-1.38%)
Nasdaq 15.370 -347.27 (-2.21%)
FTSE 7.561 -104.64 (-1.36%)
DAX 16.020 -220.38 (-1.36%)
CAC 7.312.84 -93.23 (-1.26%)
HSI 19.514 -496.00 (-2.48%)
Nikkei 32.707 -759.00 (-2.27%)
JCI 6.854 -31.99 (-0.46%)

Crudeoil 79.64 -0.06 (-0.08%)

Gold 1.971 +0.55 (+0.02%)
Nickel 21.578 -779.5 (-3.49%)
Natural gas 2.480 -0.007 (-0.28%)
Coal Newcastle 142.75 -0.10 (-0.07%)
Coal Aug 23 133.5 -0.85
Coal Sep 23 138.25 -0.60

RK/ CGS-CIMB Sekuritas Bandung
Tiktok : rienan777

Source : Investing, Barchat

Waks, semua index regional merah, USD index naik, semua commodity turun kecuali CPO sama copper. Ga asik ini buat IHSG hari ini… Kemaren INCO UNTR udah kena trailing stop, ANTM beware…

IHSG – semua teknikal jelek, MACD udah sell, masih NFS terus dan BD ga kuat nahan, market global lagi jelek, kita liat koreksinya sampe mana. Itungan fibo 23 di 6739, rada jauh, itungan last swing retracementnya udah di fibo 38, semoga langsung mantul, ga ke 50 dulu

Basic Materials, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: INTP SCMA TOWR

MACD Buy Signal: MTEL

Daily Analysis 20230802

Daily Analysis 20230802

Selamat pagi 🌻,
2 Agustus 2023

DJIA 35.630 +71.15. (+0.20%)
S&P 500 4.576 -12.23 (-0.27%)
Nasdaq 15.718 -38.99 (-0.25%)
FTSE 7.666 -33.14 (-0.43%)
DAX 16.240 -206.43 (-1.26%)
CAC 7.406 -91.7 (-1.22%)
HSI 20.010 -57.00 (-0.28%)
Nikkei 33.466 +261.5 (+0.79%)
JCI 6.886 -44.86 (-0.65%)

Crudeoil 82.30 +0.93 (+1.14%)
CPO Aug 3792 -82.0 (-2.12%)
Gold 1.987 +9.05 (+0.46%)
Nickel 22.287 -5.5 (-0.02%)
Coal Sep 23 140.90

RK/ CGS-CIMB Sekuritas Bandung

DJI ijo tapi nasdaq dan SP500 merah, europe merah, asia varied, besar kemungkinan hari ini IHSG masih merah, atau mungkin ijo tipis. Ga dapet USD index tadi pas closing US market, per pagi ini sih merah, dan semua metal naik. Harusnya jadi masih ok buat ANTM INCO MDKA. Oil naik, gas turun, coal naik, harusnya perbaikan buat saham2 energy yang kemaren dibanting

IHSG – kemaren merah dalem, harusnya ada perlawanan dikit hari ini, asal bandar lokal mau nahan, ga kaya kemaren ikutan distribusi sama foreign. Stoch sell, macd rev down, MFI down, w% down, hati2 jangan asal pegang barang kecuali saham yang lagi contrarian sama index. Yang ga juat jalan masih tapi profit jual dulu aja. Harusnya sih, kalo nurut sama retracement pattern akan mantul di fibo 38

Basic Materials, Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BRPT CPIN MAPI TOWR JSMR

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT ANTM

Alligator Buy Signal: ASSA

Supertrend Buy Signal: BRPT

Daily Analysis 20230801

Daily Analysis 20230801

1 Agustus 2023

DJIA           35559 +100. +0.28%
S&P 500    4588 +6.73 +0.15%
Nasdaq    14346 +29.3 +0.21%
FTSE         7699 +5.14 +0.07%
DAX         16446  -22.9  -0.14%
CAC         7497 +21.3 +0.29%
HSI          20067 +143. +0.72%
Nikkei      33205 +438. +1.34%
JCI           6931 +31.1 +0.45%

EIDO        23.46 +0.09 +0.39%

Crudeoil      81.80 +1.22 +1.51%
CPO Aug    3792  -82.0  -2.12%
PulpPaper   498 +7.62 +1.55%
Gold          1965 +5.60 +0.28%
Nickel      22366 +40.0 +0.18%
Tin           28740  -270.  -0.93%
Coal        137.30  -2.20  -1.58%
Coal Sep 23         140.90

RK/ CGS-CIMB Sekuritas Bandung

Ga sempet screenshot Investing.com di akhir market US, jadi data kurang lengkap

US ijo, europe jerman merah tipis, asia ijo, masih ok harusnya buat IHSG hari ini

Gold Nickel ijo Tin merah, Oil ijo Coal merah, CPO merah lagi. ANTM MDKA INCO harusnya lanjut, ADRO INDY PTBA slow dulu, MEDC ELSA harusnya lanjut, re-entry MEDC? Kita liat dulu, jangan FOMO

IHSG – stoch sell, MACD up rev, MFI down, w% down, BD masih acc, FF belum balik acc abis FNS 2 hari, secara umum masih ok, dari retracement pattern juga, udah koreksi ke fibo 38, saatnya lanjut ke 61

Siap siap Transportation, Infrastructure, masih leading energy tapi melemah, basic materials mulai jalan lagi

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM CPIN MAPI TOWR AGII JPFA JSMR. JSMR Big acc

MACD Buy Signal: ELSA big acc, FNB

Alligator Buy Signal: ASSA