April 16th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close 1% lower as yields jump, traders await Israel response to Iran

Stocks retreated on Monday as rising yields and worries over the conflict in the Middle East overshadowed strong Goldman Sachs
earnings and hot retail sales data.

Dow……37735 -248.1 -0.65%
Nasdaq15885 -290.1 -1.79%
S&P 500.5062 -61.6 -1.20%

FTSE…..7966 -30.1 -0.38%
Dax……18027 +96.3 +0.54%
CAC……8045 +34.3 +0.43%

Nikkei..39233 -290.8 -0.74%
HSI……16601 -121.2 -0.72%
Shanghai.3057+37.9 +1.26%

IDX…..7286.88 closed +0%
LQ45….963.73 closed +0%
IDX30…488.17 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2155.81 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1359.61 closed. +0%
IDX Indstrl…1096.75 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.715.36 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1371.58 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…815.23 closed +0%
IDXTechno3513.14 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1444.51 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1600.91 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1475.65 closed +0%
IDX Banking.1317.47 closed +0%
IDX Property.. 652 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7048 closed +0%
ICBI…379.8860 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.925‼️ +0.013 +0.27%
US5Yr 4.627‼️ +0.016 +0.39%
US10Yr4.601‼️ -0.028 -0.61%
US30Yr.4.724‼️+0.016 +0.34%
VIX………19.23 +1.92 +11.09%‼️

USDIndx 106.2080‼️+0.17 +0.16%
Como Indx..298.18 +0.31 +0.10%
BCOMIN..152.51‼️ +1.97 +1.31%

IndoCDS..75.23 +1.01 +1.36%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/04)

IDR…..15848.00‼️closed +0%
Jisdor.15873.00‼️closed +0%

Euro….1.0627‼️ +0.00 +0.03%

TLKM…20.85 +0.10 +0.48%
( 3309)
EIDO……21.48 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM……40.27 -0.27 -0.65%

Oil…….85.90 +0.49 +0.57%
Gold..2401.20 +94.30 +4.08%‼️
(04/04-15/04)
Timah..28935.00 +3418.00 +11.81%‼️
(03/04 ’til 12/04)
Nickel..17991.50 +194.5 +1.09%❗️
(Closed 04/04)
Silver….28.97 +2.03 +7.53%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
Copper.437.50 +16.10 +3.77%
(04/04 – 15/04)
Iron Ore 62% 106.05 +5.64 +5.61%‼️
(03/04-12/04)
Nturl Gas..1.686‼️ -0.002 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3216.67 +183.34 +6.04%‼️
(Domestic Price)(04/04 – 12/04)

Coal price.129.75 +0.50 +0.39%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.50 +2.75 +2.06%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.20 +3.20 +2.35%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.75 +2.50 +1.80%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..120.70 -0.60 -0.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.00 -1.25 -1.05%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.50 -0.90 -0.75%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.55 -1.45 -1.21%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4202 -205.00 -4.88%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….444.25 -3.00 -0.67%
SoybeanOil 46.01 -0.44 -0.95%
Wheat…567.50 -3.00 -0.67%

Wood pulp..5700 unch +0%
(Closed 15/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lama libur, ketemu serangan Iran ke Israel… DJI sudah beberapa hari trun terus, europe varied, asia kebanyakan merah kemaren, IHSG hari ini kayanya akan rada goncang…

Suasana perang, selalu USD naik, commodity terkait energy naik, Bond Yield dan interest rate biasanya naik biar orang keep dana di system. Belum pasti gimana dampak ke BEI, kemungkinan besar akan goyang dulu, baru nanti setelah shock nya lewat yang hubungan sama energy yang jalan

Semua precious metals naik, oil naik, gas turun, coal naik, CPO drop. Normally saya akan hold ANTM erat erat, dan ELSA, dan ADRO, tapi entahlah dengan kondisi sekarang

IHSG – kalo dari elliot wavenya sih, emang jadwal nerusin ABC correction… walau terakhir market closing stoch buy, macd revup, FF rev net buy, tapi kondisi global memanas di saat kita libur bisa jadi efeknya meledak di opening day hari ini

dari sini sih masih jadwalnya basic materials, dan kalo liat metal2 naik ya cocok, tapi masih unpredictable karena suasana global

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BBCA INCO TLKM ELSA IMAS LPPF MIKA SGRO. Big accum ANTM INCO MIKA

MACD buy Signal: PGEO SIDO ADMR BSDE DOID JPFA. Big accum SIDO DOID

March 07th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq close higher Wednesday, regaining some ground from recent sell-off

Stocks rose Wednesday, with the market turning a corner following back-to-back losing sessions on Wall Street.

Dow……38661 +75.9 +0.20%
Nasdaq16032 +91.95 +0.58%
S&P 500.5105 +26.1 +0.51%

FTSE…..7679 +33.2 +0.43%
Dax……17717 +18.3 +0.10%
CAC……7955 +21.9 +0.28%

Nikkei..40091 -6.9 -0.02%
HSI…….16438 +275.5 +1.70%
Shanghai.3039 -7.9 -0.26%

IDX…..7301.72 +54.26 +0.33%
LQ45….994.06 +14.17 +1.46%
IDX30…505.18 +7.79 +1.57%

IDXEnergy..2127.77 -2.44 -0.11%
IDX BscMat.1251.71 +9.64 +0.78%
IDX Indstrl…1107.46 +6.44 +0.58%
IDXNONCYC.704.68 +4.18 +0.60%
IDX Hlthcare1314.87 +2.44 +0.19%
IDXCYCLIC…835.93 -4.85 -0.58%
IDX Techno3739.27 +188.67 +5.31%‼️
IDX Transp 1570.82 +18.29 +1.18%’
IDX Infrast 1573.88 -14.56 -0.92%
IDX Finance.1521.57 +17.61 +1.17%
IDX Banking.1386.29 +19.37 +1.42%
IDX Property.. 678 +1.3 +0.19%

Indo10Yr.6.6845-0.0141 -0.21%
ICBI…378.1590 +0.2627 +0.07%
US2Yr.4.562 unch +0%
US5Yr 4.120 -0.028 -0.68%
US10Yr4.108 -0.046 -1.11%
US30Yr.4.241-0.049 -1.14%
VIX………14.50 +0.04 +0.28%

USDIndx 103.3600 -0.418 -0.40%
Como Indx..278.12 +2.30 +0.83%
BCOMIN…..138.64 +0.80 +0.58%

IndoCDS..70.25 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (06/03)

IDR…..15705.00 -66.00 -0.42%
Jisdor.15723.00 -33.00 -0.21%

Euro….1.0899 +0.0042 +0.39%

TLKM…24.73 +0.27 +1.10%
(3888)
EIDO……22.53 +0.38 +1.72%
EEM……40.61 +0.57 +1.41%

Oil…….79.13 +0.98 +1.25%
Gold..2158.20‼️ +16.30 +0.76%
Timah..26824.00 -9.00 -0.03%
(Closed 05/03)
Nickel..17604.50 -325.00 -1.81%
(Closed 06/03)
Silver….24.49 +0.51 +2.12%
Copper.387.50 +2.80 +0.73%

Iron Ore 62% 116.94 +3.05 +2.68%
(04/03)
Nturl Gas..1.927 -0.021 -1.08%
Ammonia China.3110.0‼️ +16.67 +0.54%
(Domestic Price)(05/03/24)

Coal price.136.75 -0.70 -0.51%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.25 -2.10 -1.49%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.40 -2.30 -1.63%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.75 -3.05 -2.17%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price..112.60 -0.15 -0.13%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..111.65 -1.00 -0.89%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..110.20 -0.15 -0.14%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price..109.95 +1.00 +0.92%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)..4081 +92.00 +2.30%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……428.75 +2.50 +0.59%
SoybeanOil 45.32 +0.28 +0.62%
Wheat…531.00 -20.00 -3.63%

Wood pulp..5340.00 +30 +0.56%
(Closed 06/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe ijo lagi, US bond rate turun lagi, USD index turun, ini harusnya bagus buat IHSG hari ini. Tpi beware kemaren ijonya tebel banget, bisa jadi pada profit taking hari ini

Gold Silver Copper Iron Ore up, kemaren ANTM PSAB pada naik, MDKA bengong, mungkin karena LK nya masih minus. Tin Nickel down, beware INCO kalo reverse down. Oil up gas down coal down, mungkin koreksi sehat dulu buat saham2 coal yang kemaren kenceng banget, tapi turunnya ga banyak sih, tapi kalo dibanting yang exit dulu aja, nanti rebuy di buy signal berikutnya. CPO up lumayan tinggi, semoga LSIP lanjut kenceng

IHSG – kemaren ditarik tinggi jadi macd dan stoch nya terlihat mau rev up, tapi kebaca di MFI tetep down, vol transaksi tidak terlalu significant perubahannya, BD acc, FNB lagi, semoga sih tidak kembali FNS hari ini, kalo ga bisa dibanting dalem lagi. Major masih harus koreksi wave C, hati hati belanjanya, saatnya take profit dulu malah bagusnya sih. Trailing stop lah

GOTO digoreng, langsung ngangkat IHSG tinggi, rapuh ini, financials ga gerak, infrastructure udahan, yang firm cuma energy yang coal sama basic materials, industrials aman paling di ASII UNTR yang laba naik, harus sangat selektif, belum saatnya pesta belanja

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT BUKA GOTO PGAS BMTR MTMH TRON. rada resiko semua kecuali BMTR, kita check apakah tahun ini gorengannya agak cepet di awal tahun dan bukan di tengah taun…

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO BUKA MAPI HRTA SMAR. ga ada yang menarik

February 13th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow rises more than 100 points to close at a record

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose to a new high on Monday as investors awaited fresh inflation and earnings data.

Dow……38797 +125.7 +0.33%
Nasdaq15943 -48.1 -0.30%
S&P 500.5022 -4.8 -0.09%

FTSE…..7574 +1.1 +0.01%
Dax……17037 +110.9 +0.65%
CAC……7690 +42.3 +0.55%

Nikkei..36897 closed +0%
HSI……15747 closed +0%
Shanghai.2866 closed +0%

IDX…..7297.67 +62.52 +0.86%
LQ45….995.17 +12.03 +1.22%
IDX30…505.97 +6.37 +1.27%

IDXEnergy..2085.75 +2.57 +0.24%
IDX BscMat.1247.75 +3.73 +0.30%
IDX Indstrl…1085.47 +2.57 +0.24%
IDXNONCYC.700.76 -2.48 -0.35%
IDX Hlthcare1335.29 -1.26 -0.09%
IDXCYCLIC…848.48 -2.86 -0.34%
IDX Techno4014.65. +20.80.+0.52%
IDX Transp 1560.18 -5.90 -0.38%
IDX Infrast 1530.18 +12.89 +0.85%
IDX Finance.1521.20 +17.73 +1.18%
IDX Banking.1379.50 +33.06 +2.46%
IDX Property.. 700 +4.30. +0.61%

Indo10Yr.6.6891 +0.0202+0.30%
ICBI…376.6831 -0.238 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.480 -0.006 -0.13%
US5Yr 4.139 -0.003 -0.07%
US10Yr4.183 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4.380+0.006 +0.14%
VIX…13.93 +1.00 +7.73%‼️

USDIndx 104.1700 ‼️+0.059 +0.06%
Como Indx..273.31 -1.03 -0.38%
BCOMIN……133.12 +0.95 +0.72%

IndoCDS..74.22 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (09/02)

IDR…..15594.50 -40.50.0.26%
Jisdor.15685.00 -73.00.0.46%

Euro….1.0771 -0.0013 -0.12%

TLKM…25.79 +0.29 +1.12%
(4045)
EIDO……22.65 +0.24 +1.07%
EEM……39.89 +0.32 +0.81%

Oil…….76.92 +0.08 +0.10%
Gold..2033.00 -5.70 -0.28%
Timah..26367.00 +472.00 +1.82%
(Closed 09/03)
Nickel..15921.00 -86.00 -0.54%
(Closed 09/02)
Silver……22.77 +0.18 +0.80%
Copper.372.40 +4.25 +1.15%

Iron Ore 62% 128.75 – -%
(09/02)
Nturl Gas..1.753 -0.108 -5.80%‼️
Ammonia China.2866.67‼️ -66.66 -2.27%
(Domestic Price)(07/02/02)

Coal price 126.00 -0.60 -0.47%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.123.10 -2.10 -1.67%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.00 -2.30 -1.82%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice..124.40 -2.15 -1.70%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .94.50 -1.50 -1.56%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..92.10 -2.45 -2.59%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..89.15 -2.15 -2.35%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..87.60 -2.20 -2.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3881 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……430.50 +1.50 +0.35%
SoybeanOil 47.40 -0.35 -0.73%
Wheat….597.50 +0.75 +0.13%

Wood pulp..5124.00 unch +0%
(Closed 12/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI touch record high, Nasdaq SP500 koreksi dulu dikit, europe ijo, asia tutup libur imlek, USbond rate pendek turun, yang panjang naik, ok sih ini wajar, harusnya masih ijo hari ini

USD index up, gold nickel down, tin silver copper up, oil up, gas drop, coal down, CPO closed. Belum terlalu gimana gimana ini, TINS mungkin yang perlu dicermati apa udah mau reversal

IHSG – stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD flat FNB naik terus, semoga bukan technical trap tapi emang wave B nya tinggi. Spec buy di yang firm bisa, tapi hati2 jebakan betmen, pantau ketat

Ga ada yang firm jalan dan leading, so extra caution, energy industrials property boleh dilirik

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN INCO CTRA ISAT MAPA MTMH TINS. Big accum BBTN INCO ISAT

MACD Buy Signal: GOTO INCO SIDO SRTG BSDE MTMH NISP INCI ECII. Big accum INCO, SRTG spike

Stochastic continuation Signal and Big Accum: INCO JSMR

February 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 250 points lower, S&P 500 slips from record as bond yields surge

Stocks fell Monday as Treasury yields spiked higher on concerns that the Federal Reserve may not cut rates as much as expected. Lackluster results from McDonald’s also dampened investor sentiment.

Dow……38380 -274.3 -0.71%
Nasdaq15598 -31.3 -0.20%
S&P 500.4943 -15.8 -0.32%

FTSE…..7613 -2.7 -0.04%
Dax……16904 -14.2 -0.08%
CAC……7590 -2.3 -0.03%

Nikkei..36354 +196.2 +0.54%
HSI……15510 -23.6 -0.15%
Shanghai.2702-27.97 -1.02%

IDX…..7198.62 -40.17 -0.55%
LQ45….975.49 -9.18 -0.93%
IDX30…495.28 -4.32 -0.87%

IDXEnergy..2077.88 -8.11 -0.39%
IDX BscMat.1286.32 +5.98 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1088.65 +1.59 +0.15%
IDXNONCYC.701.14 +4.87 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare1338.64 -7.30 -0.54%
IDXCYCLIC…852.04 -5.17 -0.60%
IDX Techno4069.31 -25.47 -0.62%
IDX Transp 1563.64 +2.63 +0.17%
IDX Infrast 1519.13 -7.81 -0.51%
IDX Finance.1492.16 -2.88 -0.19%
IDX Banking.1332.38 -2.91 -0.22%
IDX Property.. 690 -0.50 -0.07%

Indo10Yr.6.6531 +0.0445 +0.67%
ICBI…376.6494 -1.0915 -0.29%
US2Yr.4.474 +0.102 +2.33%
US5Yr 4.122 +0.136 +3.41%‼️
US10Yr4.160 +0.138 +3.43%‼️
US30Yr.4.343+0.119 +2.82%
VIX…13.67 -0.18 -1.33%

USDIndx 104.4520 ‼️+0.530 +0.51%
Como Indx..269.19 +0.45 +0.17%
BCOMIN……134.80 -1.81 -1.33%

IndoCDS..74.69 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/02)

IDR…..15708.00‼️ +48.00 +0.31%
Jisdor.15705.00‼️ +17.00 +0.11%

Euro….1.0743 -0.0045 -0.42%

TLKM…25.14 -0.15 -0.61%
(3948)
EIDO……21.89 -0.17 -0.77%
EEM……38.70 +0.05 +0.13%

Oil…….72.78 +0.50 +0.69%
Gold..2041.40 -12.30 -0.60%
Timah..25550.00 – -%
(Closed 03/03)
Nickel..15948.00 -294.50 -1.81%
(Closed 02/02)
Silver……22.42 -0.38 -1.67%
Copper.377.40 -4.75 -1.24%

Iron Ore 62% 128.63 – -%
(02/02)
Nturl Gas..2.062 -0.029 -1.39%
Ammonia China.2983.33 -166.67-5.29%‼️
(Domestic Price)(05/02/02)

Coal price 119.00 -0.90 -0.75%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.123.65 +3.75 +3.12%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.60 +4.70 +3.95%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.124.00 +4.70 +3.94%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .98.15 -0.25 -0.25%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.20 -0.30 -0.31%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..92.80 -0.25 -0.27%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.90 -0.30 -0.33%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3799 +19 +0.60%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……442.75 unch +0%
SoybeanOil 45.33 +0.60 +1.34%
Wheat….590.25 -9.50 -1.58%

Wood pulp..5104.00 +6.00 +0.12%
(Closed 05/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nyusul merah semua after asia market kemaren… Udah curiga begitu dari bond rate yang naik tinggi. Ini masih naik lagi, USD index juga naik, lanjut merah lagi sepertinya IHSG hari ini.

Metal2 lanjut merah semua, ANTM MDKA INCO TINS bubar dulu ini… Oil ijo, gas merah, coal spot merah dikit, future newcastle ijo tebel. Semoga ADRO lanjut. CPO naik dikit, AALI LSIP belum jelas kemana

IHSG – stoch up, macd ga jadi rev up, malah lanjut down, MFI sw, w% sw, masih FNB tapi agak turun, keliatannya bener lanjut wave C. Hati hati prefer keep cash

Tinggal heakthcare sama consumer non-cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: ESSA KLBF ADHI AGRO DSNG ERAA GTRA INDY PNLF SCMA INDS CINT. Big Accum KLBF AGRO SCMA

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI UNVR HEAL PTRO AMFG CINT, Big Accum UNVR

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: PTPP