Daily Analysis 20241004
October 04th, 2024
Dow leads declines ahead of jobs report, oil surges 5% as Mideast focus intensifies
Stocks slipped on Thursday as Wall Street awaited the key jobs report and dissected a slew of economic data ahead of it. Meanwhile, the possibility of an Israeli retaliatory attack against Iran’s oil facilities sent oil soaring for a third day.
Dow…….42012 -184.9 -0.44%
Nasdaq. 17918 -6.7 -0.04%
S&P 500 5700 -9.6 -0.17%
FTSE…8283 -8.3 -0.10%
Dax……19015 -149.3 -0.78%
CAC……7478 -99.8 -1.32%
Nikkei..38552 +743.3 +1.97%
HSI……22114 -330.2 -1.47%
Shanghai.3337 closed. +0%
IDX…7543.83 -19.43 -0.26%
LQ45…937.39 -1.31 -1.31%
IDX30.483.56 -0.02 -0.00%
IDXEnergy…..2744.60 -19.69 -0.71%
IDX BscMat1401.62 -9.77 -0.69%
IDX Indstrl..1077.01 +3.32 +0.31%
IDXNONCYC.735.80 +0.36 +0.05%
IDX Hlthcare1571.51 -10.97 -0.69%
IDXCYCLIC…869.14 +5.54 +0.64%
IDXTechno 3754.83 -42.32 -1.11%
IDX Transp 1494.09 -2.09 -0.14%
IDX Infrast 1520.74 +1.02 +0.07%
IDX Finance1510.61 +4.57 +0.30%
IDX Banking1320.47 +5.00 +0.38%
IDX Property..793 +3.40 +0.44%
Indo10Yr.6.5610 +0.0359 +0.55%
ICBI….394.9446 -0.6365 -0.16%
US2Yr.3.705 +0.068 +1.87%
US5Yr 3.628 +0.076 +2.14%
US10Yr3.848 +0.062 +1.64%
US30Yr.4.181+0.053 +1.28%
VIX..20.49 +1.59 +8.41%‼️
USDIndx 101.9890❗️+0.312 +0.31%
Como Indx….291.15 +4.02 +1.40%
BCOMIN….154.39 -3.26 -2.07%
IndoCDS..69.26 +0.51 +0.74%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/10)
IDR…….15428.50❗️ +160.50 +1.05%
Jisdor..15394.00 ❗️ +147.00 +0.96%
Euro…1.1035❗️ -0.0012 -0.11%
TLKM.18.79 -0.37 -1.93%
( 2893)
EIDO…22.06 -0.26 -1.14%
EEM…46.54 -0.60 -1.27%
Oil………..73.83 +3.00 +4.24%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..77.62 +3.72 +5.03%‼️
(Brent)
Gold…2675.40 -4.20 -0.16%
(Comex)
Gold…2655.98 -5.04 -0.19%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.33709.00 -184.00 -0.54%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel.17825.50 -394.50 -2.17%
(Closed 03/10)
Silver… ..32.32 +0.20 +0.62%
Copper.454.70 -11.00 -2.36%
Iron Ore 62% 109.29‼️+0.55 +0.51%
(02/10)
Nturl Gas 2.970 +0.057 +1.96%
Ammonia China 2836.67 closed +0%
(Domestic Price)(03/10)
Coal price.140.80 +0.55 +0.39%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.65 +1.05 +0.74%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.20 +2.00 +1.40%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.25 +2.25 +1.56%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.117.00 +0.90 +0.78%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.60 +2.10 +1.82%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..118.50 +2.05 +1.76%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..119.90 +1.55 +1.31%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
CPO(Des) 4182 -14 -0 33%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………428.25 -4.25 -0.98%
SoybeanOil 44.53 +0.89 +2.04%
Wheat….603.50 -11.75 -1.91%
Wood pulp.4790.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/10)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Kemaren semua closing merah, urusan perang salah satu faktornya. US treasury bond yield naik, masih suram IHSG hari ini.
USD index up, metal2 doen kecuali silver dan iron ore, oil loncat lagi karena perangnya iran sebagai produsen besar minyak dunia, gas up coal up CPO down, AKRA ELSA MEDC masih manggung, mungkin ANTM INCO MDKA dkk konsolidasi atau malah udahan dulu, AALI LSIP mulai siap2 exit
IHSG – semua indic bilang down, gap dibawah, elliot wave bilang wave 4, BD sw FNS, sabar dulu, tunggu beres index turun
Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials, sama ada Consumer Cyclicals nongol kemaren kebawa sama ERAA
OIl Price hike yang paling belum jalan AKRA, kalo nekat mau nyusul ya masuknya di AKRA
Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA MAHA MNCN VKTR, big accum AKRA VKTR
MACD Buy Signal: JSMR SMGR, JSMR big accum, SMGR FNB dan Vol Spike
Daily Analysis 20241003
October 03rd, 2024
Stocks edge higher amid Mideast caution, Tesla slips after deliveries fall short
US stocks drifted higher on Wednesday as escalating Israel-Iran tensions fanned worries about a wider Middle East conflict, initially prompting caution in the market.
Dow…….42197 +39.6 +0.09%
Nasdaq. 17924 +14.8 +0.08%
S&P 500 5709 +0.8 +0.01%
FTSE…8291 +14.2 +0.17%
Dax……19164 -48.4 -0.25%
CAC……7578 +3.5 +0.05%
Nikkei..37808 -843.2 -2.18%
HSI…..22444 +1310.1 +6.20%‼️
Shanghai.3337 closed. +0%
IDX…7563.26 -78.87 -1.03%
LQ45…938.70 -14.66 -1.54%
IDX30.483.58 -6.54 -1.33%
IDXEnergy…..2764.29 -8.27 -0.30%
IDX BscMat1411.38 +0.47 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl..1073.69 -4.84 -0.45%
IDXNONCYC.735.44 -9.95 -1.33%
IDX Hlthcare1582.48 -5.97 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…863.60 -15.30 -1.74%
IDXTechno 3797.15 -53.41 -1.39%
IDX Transp 1496.18 -29.75 -1.95%
IDX Infrast 1519.72 -27.06 -1.75%
IDX Finance1506.04 -20.20 -1.32%
IDX Banking1315.47 -19.10 -1.43%
IDX Property..789 -18.10 -1.50%
Indo10Yr.6.5610 +0.020 +0.31%
ICBI….395.5811 -0.3373 -0.09%
US2Yr.3.637 +0.031 +0.86%
US5Yr 3.552 +0.043 +1.23%
US10Yr3.786 +0.054 +1.45%
US30Yr.4.128+0.057 +1.40%
VIX..18.90 -0.36 -1.87%
USDIndx 101.6770❗️+0.480 +0.48%
Como Indx….287.13 +0.76 +0.27%
BCOMIN….157.65 +2.12 +1.36%
IndoCDS..68.75 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/10)
IDR…….15268.00 +62.00 +0.41%
Jisdor..15247.00 +43.00 +0.28%
Euro…1.1047❗️ -0.0020 -0.18%
TLKM.19.16 -0.66 -3.33%‼️
( 2921)
EIDO…22.32 -0.34 -1.48%
EEM…47.10 +0.94 +2.02%
Oil………..70.83 -0.12 -0.17%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..73.90 +0.34 +0.46%
(Brent)
Gold…2679.60 -3.20 -0.12%
(Comex)
Gold…2661.02 -1.19 -0.04%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.33893.00 +14.00 +0.04%
(Closed 02/10)
Nickel.18220.00 +522.50 +2.95%‼️
(Closed 02/10)
Silver… ..32.12 +0.46 +1.45%
Copper.465.70 +6.00 +1.31%
Iron Ore 62% 108.74 +14.51 +15.89%‼️
(01/10)
Nturl Gas 2.914 +0.010 +0.34%
Ammonia China 2836.67 closed +0%
(Domestic Price)(02/10)
Coal price.140.25 -1.40 -0.99%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.55 -1.10 -0.77%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.20 -0.70 -0.49%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.00 -0.90 -0.62%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.116.10 -1.80 -1.53%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..115.50 -2.75 -2.33%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..116.45 -2.45 -2.06%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..118.35 -1.85 -1.54%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
CPO(Des) 4196 +187 +4 66%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………432.50 +3.50 +0.82%
SoybeanOil 43.64 +0.73 +1.70%
Wheat….615.25 +16.25 +2.71%
Wood pulp.4790.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/10)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US ijo tipis, europe varied, asia cuma hongkong yang ijo, US t bond yield up, kemungkinan ya merah lagi hari ini IHSG
USD Index up, gold down tipis metal lain up, nickel iron ore jump, oil tipis2, gas up, coal down, CPO jump. Masih diharapkan rally INCO AALI
IHSG – masih firm downtrend, wave 4, stoch macd mfi down, w% down, sempet FNB sehari, kemaren lanjut FNS lagi, masih belum beres, target level juga belum sampe, sabar jangan belanja2 dulu
Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials
Stochastic Buy Signal: DSNG MARK TEBE LPIN BRAM
MACD Buy Signal: ELSA SMIL
Stochastic Continuation Signal & Big Accum: MEDC ADMR
Daily Analysis 20240926
DJI merah Nasdaq ijo tipis, europe merah, asia varied jepang korea singapore indonesia merah, china hongkong ijo. US Treasury Bond Yield up, kemungkinan besar IHSG merah lagi hari ini
USD index up, metal2 juga up, oil down, gas down, coal flat, CPO up, masih ok ini ANTM INCO MDKA TINS AALI LSIP, oil oil semoga masih lanjut, kemaren uda koreksi dikit, tapi trailing stop on, lagi bahaya index
IHSG – technically udah bahaya, otw wave 4. Nanti kita gambar kemungkinan target level nya. Itu udah mulai FNS, beware longsor
Technology, Healthcare, Transportation, COnsumer non-cyclicals, Basic Materials, Industrials Energy. Yang bisa diharapkan jadi ganjel index yang basic materials, industrials sama energy
Stochastic Buy Signal: BUKA EXCL SMGR DSNG PTPP PTRO AMFG, big accum EXCL
MACD Buy Signal: ESSA BMTR HMSP SMDR, big accum ESSA
Daily Analysis 20240925
Daily Analysis 20240920
September 20th, 2024
Dow jumps 500 points, S&P 500 closes above 5,700 for the first time a day after Fed slashes rates
Stocks jumped Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
and S&P 500
rising to new all-time highs, as traders cheered the Federal Reserve’s Wednesday decision to lower interest rates by a half percentage point.
Dow…….42025 +522.1 +1.26%
Nasdaq. 18013 +440.7 +2.51%
S&P 500 5714 +95.4 +1.70%
FTSE…8329 +75.04 +0.91%
Dax……19002 +290.9 +1.55%
CAC……7615 +170.5 +2.29%
Nikkei..37155 +775.16 +2.13%
HSI……18013 +353.1 +2.20%
Shanghai.2736 +18.7 +0.69%
IDX….7905.39‼️ +76.26 +0.97%
LQ45…979.68 +9.43 +0.97%
IDX30.499.81 +4.71 +0.95%
IDXEnergy. 2688.52 +26.66 +1.00%
IDX BscMat1335.52 +13.91 +1.05%
IDX Indstrl..1092.57 +1.17 +0.11%
IDXNONCYC.736.48 +2.87 +0.39%
IDX Hlthcare1536.96 -6.15. -0.40%
IDXCYCLIC…905.33 +1.27 +0.18%
IDXTechno 3808.56 -20.65 -2.59%
IDX Transp 1514.00 +12.90 +0.86%
IDX Infrast 1644.97 +20.29 +1.25%
IDX Finance1572.24 +14.75 +0.95%
IDX Banking1404.75 +18.89 +1.36%
IDX Property..791 +17.30 +2.23%
Indo10Yr.6.5821👍-0.0334 -0.51%
ICBI….394.2302👍+0.7792 +0.20%
US2Yr.3.588 -0.040 -1.10%
US5Yr 3.486 -0.070 -0.20%
US10Yr3.719 +0.040 +0.11%
US30Yr.4.054 +0.023 +0.57%
VIX..16.33 -1.90 -10.42%👍
USDIndx 100.6140❗️ -0.336 -0.33%
Como Indx….282.19 +2.37 +0.85%
BCOMIN….147.23 +1.25 +0.85%
IndoCDS..67.73👍 -0.51 -0.75%
(5-yr INOCD5) (18/09)
IDR…….15239.00👍 -96.00 -0.63%
Jisdor..15287.00👍 -63.00 -0.41%
Euro…1.1162❗️ +0.0044 +0.40%
TLKM.20.62 +0.12 +0.59%
( 3152)
EIDO…23.32 +0.56 +2.46%
EEM….43.78 +0.93 +2.16%
Oil………..72.10 +1.19 +1.68%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..74.88 +2.00 +2.74%
(Brent)
Gold…2611.90 +13.30 +0.51%
(Comex)
Gold…2587.58 +29.04 +1.13%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31823.00 +229.00 .+0.72%
(Closed 18/09)
Nickel..16333.50 +105.50 +0.65%
(Closed 18/09)
Silver… ..31.12 +0.43 +1.40%
Copper.434.50 +4.60 +1.07%
Iron Ore 62% 91.57 -0.41 -0.45%
(18/09)
Nturl Gas 2.340 +0.045 +1.96%
Ammonia China 2710.00 +33.33 +1.25%
(Domestic Price)(18/09)
Coal price.139.50 +0.50 +0.36%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.75 +1.50 +1.11%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.00 +1.70 +1.26%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.25 +1.40 +1.02%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.114.25 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..110.80 -1.80 -1.60%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 110.75 -1.70 -1.51%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.20 -1.35 -1.11%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
CPO(Des) 3879 +31 +0.81%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………405.75 -7.00 -1.70%
SoybeanOil 40.93 +0.62 +1.54%
Wheat……565.50 -10.25 -1.78%
Wood pulp.4830.00 -20.00 -0.41%
(Closed 19/09)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US ijo tebel menyambut fed rate cut, europe ijo, asia udah ijo duluan, welcome 8000 IHSG
US T-bond yield yang pendek down, USD index down, metal2 up kecuali iron ore, oil up, gas up, coal up, CPO up, considering profit taking di beberapa saham yang udah gerak jauh. Begitu 8000 kena, peluang wave 4 incoming jadi besar banget
IHSG – stoch macd mfi up, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, efek BI dan Fed cut rate, harusnya sampe ke atas 8000
Property, Financials, Technology, Transportation, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare
Stochastic Buy Signal: DSNG PTMP
MACD Buy Signal: ASII INTP MEDC PTBA BRMS BTPS ENRG VKTR HAIS, big accum ASII MEDC BRMS BTPS VKTR
Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: BRPT BNGA























