Daily Analysis 20221219

Daily Analysis 20221219

December 19th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 200 points lower, falls for a second straight week as recession fears grow

Stocks dropped Friday, building on their year-end sell-off, as fears grow over a recession taking place as the Federal Reserve continues raising rates.

Dow…….32920 -281.8    -0.85%
Nasdaq.10705 -105.1    -0.97%
S&P 500..3852  -43.4     -1.11%

FTSE…….7332   -94.1     -1.27%
Dax……..13893  -93.2     -0.67%
CAC……..6453   -70.1.    -1.08%

Nikkei….27527  -524.6    -1.87%
HSI……..19451  +82.1     +0.42%
Shanghai..3168  -0.8       -0.02%
ST Times..3241  -32.9     -1.01%

IDX…….6812.19  +60.33  +0.89%
LQ45……951.18  +8.82    +0.94%

IDX Energy..2159.47  +18.93  +0.88%
IDX BscMat 1267.52 +19.13  +1.53%
IDX Indstrl…1177.78  -0.18     -0.02%
IDXNONCYC..727.71 +2.10    +0.29%
IDX Hlthcare.1557.43+10.71  +0.69%
IDXCYCLIC…..841.61  -8.18     -0.96%
IDX Techno..5222.58  -2.91     -0.06%
IDX Transp…1702.99  -8.51     -0.50%
IDX Infrast……845.42 +0.44    +0.05%
IDX Finance 1451.34 +13.21  +0.92%
IDX Banking 1180.04 +19.09  +1.64%
IDX Property….705       -5.60    -0.79%

Indo10Yr.6.9946  -0.0231  -0.33%👍
ICBI….343.8874 +0.2873  +0.08%👍
US10Yr..3.4820  +0.0320  +0.93%
VIX……22.62       -0.21       -0.92%👍

USDIndx.104.7010 +0.0930 +0.09%
Como Indx.271.38   -3.34    -1.22%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..162.48   -1.61    -0.98%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15598.00 -21.00  -0.13%
Jisdor..15617.00 -13.00  -0.08%

Euro……1.0586  -0.0039 -0.37%

TLKM…….23.17     -0.02    -0.09%
(3618)
EIDO……….22.77   +0.36   +1.61%
EEM……….37.83    +0.11   +0.29%

Oil………….74.29    -1.82    -2.39%
Gold …..1800.20   +12.40  +0.69%
Timah…..23535      -65          -0.28%
(Closed 16/12)
Nickel…28466.50  +170.00  +0.60%
(Closed 16/12)
Silver………23.33   +0.02   +0.10%
Copper…376.15    -0.15     -0.04%

Nturl Gas..6.611   -0.265  -3.85%‼️

Ammonia..4756.67  -33.33    -0.70%
China
(Domestic Price)(15/12)

Coal price….403.00   +1.10   +0.27%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….372.00   -4.55    -1.21%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.00   -4.80    -1.33%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…234.20   -5.80     -2.42%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price…205.65  -12.95  -5.92%‼️
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…205.70  -13.60  -6.20%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80         –              -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..3917   +23   +0.59%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….653.00  -0.50    -0.08%
SoybeanOil.62.46     -0.52    -0.83%
Wheat………753.50    -3.75   -0.50%

Wood pulp…6510.00  unch  +0%
(Closed 18/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at US closing lanjut merah, Europe juga, Asia pada merah kecuali HSI sama IHSG. Malah IHSG naik tinggi. Semoga bisa lanjut hari ini ijonya

Metal2 pada naik kecuali timah sama copper, Oil Gas turun, Coal spot naik, future turun, CPO naik. Saham coal masih bisa diharapkan lanjut naik, paling ketahan kalo index mau merah dulu

IHSG – stoch buy, MACD revup, MFI up, BD akum, masih FNS, reg bull div mulai jalan, udah confirmed buy 2 bull candle, belum tembus MA10 sama belum MACD buy signal tapi. LR mantul, semoga lanjut rally ke atas…

 

Basic Materials, Financials sama Technology… Basic materials layak dicermati, ANTM release lapkeu bagus, harga metal pada naik, kita tunggu buy signal. Financials semoga dorong rally index

Stoch buy signal: AMRT BBNI INCO ITMG UNTR UNVR HEAL

MACD Buy signal: ARTO sama ada sektor energy juga, semoga firm rally lagi

Daily Analysis 20221205

Daily Analysis 20221205

December 05th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq end Friday lower after November jobs report; indexes notch weekly gains

Stocks cut much of their earlier losses Friday as investors looked past hotter-than-expected labor data to the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting.

Dow…….34430   +34.9      +0.10%
Nasdaq.11462   -20.95     -0.18%
S&P 500..4072   -4.9         -0.12%

FTSE…….7556   -2.3         -0.03%
Dax……..14529  +39.1      +0.27%
CAC……..6742   -11.7        -0.17%

Nikkei….27778    -448.2     -1.59%
HSI……..18675    -61.1        -0.33%
Shanghai..3156  -9.3          -0.29%
ST Times..3259  -33.6       -1.02%

IDX…….7019.64   -1.16.    -0.02%
LQ45……989.59   -6.37     -0.64%

IDX Energy..2134.91   +31.84 +1.54%
IDX BscMat 1289.58   -2.01    -0.16%
IDX Indstrl…1238.23   -22.24  -1.76%
IDXNONCYC..741.67  +0.63   +0.09%
IDX Hlthcare.1530.80 +0.48   +0.03%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.48  +1.01   +0.11%
IDX Techno….5737.08 -72.30  -1.24%
IDX Transp…1793.62   -3.23    -0.18%
IDX Infrast……894.70  +1.45   +0.16%
IDX Finance 1480.37   -6.78    -0.46%,
IDX Banking 1204.01   -6.04    -0.50%
IDX Property….719       -0.30    -0.04%

Indo10Yr….7.0064  -0.0329  -0.47%👍
ICBI……..344.0600 +0.6140 +0.18%👍
US10Yr..3.5060   -0.0230   -0.65%👍
VIX……19.06       -0.78        -3.93%👍

USDIndx..104.5450  -0.1710  -0.16%👍
Como Indx..276.69  -2.77      -0.99%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..168.17  +3.30     +2.00%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15425.50  -137.00   -0.88%👍
Jisdor..15429.00  -188.00   -1.20%👍

Euro……..1.0538  +0.0013  +0.12%

TLKM……..25.62  +0.24     +0.95%👍
(3953)
EIDO………23.98   unch      +0%
EEM……….39.54  +0.15     +0.38%

Oil………….79.98    -1.24      -1.53%
Gold ……1809.60  -5.60      -0.31%
Timah…..22921    -76.00    -0.33%
(Closed 02/12)
Nickel…27454.00 +624.50   +2.27%
(Closed 02/12)
Silver………23.25    +0.41      +1.79%
Copper….385.05    +3.30      +0.86%

Nturl Gas…..6.222   -0.612     -8.96%‼

Ammonia..4740.00  +50.00  +1.07%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(30/11)

Coal price….391.00   +6.00   +1.56%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….385.00  +9.00   +2.39%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.85  +9.10   +2.48%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….267.00   +1.00    +0.38%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….271.30   +2.30    +0.86%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….268.70   +2.00    +0.75%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80         –              -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……3958   -123    -3.01%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….646.25  -14.25   -2.16%
SoybeanOil…64.44    -1.34      -2.04%
Wheat………761.00   -22.00    -2.81%

Wood pulp…6580.00  unch   +0%
(Closed 04/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional jum’at closing tipis2 di US dan Europe, asia minus… masih sideways

Oil Gas turun lagi, Coal lanjut naik, metal2 ga kompak, gold lead turun, nickel silver copper naik. Primadonanya saham saham batubara, ANTM sama INCO kalo gini

CPO drop lagi, masih suram ini…

IHSG – masih sideways aja, tapi lagi net sell foreign nya, hati hati… Kita pantau lagi infobank15

Infobank15 – bearish divergence confirmed by 2 bear candle, hadeuh… LR masih ok,, stoch sell, macd rev down, MFI masih UP, urusannya sama FNS ini makanya ga jalan, sabar sabar, window dressing is coming… Jangan aggressive dulu

Banyak yang cacing RSI nya leading, tapi financials belum… Energy Property Healthcare Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Daily Analysis 20221201

Daily Analysis 20221201

December 01st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 ends 3-day losing streak. Dow jumps 700 points after Powell signals smaller rate hikes

Stocks saw broad gains Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed that the central bank will slow the pace of its aggressive rate-hiking campaign that has weighed on markets.

*Dow…….34590 +737.2 +2.18%*
*Nasdaq.11468 +484.2 +4.41%*
*S&P 500..4080 +122.5 +3.09%*

FTSE…….7573 +61.1 +0.81%
Dax……..14397 +41.6 +0.29%
CAC……..6739 +69.6 +1.04%

Nikkei….27969 -58.9 -0.21%
HSI……..18597 +392.6 +2.16%
Shanghai..3151 +1.6 +0.05%
ST Times..3290 +14.1 +0.43%

IDX…….7081.31 +69.24 +0.99%
LQ45….1008.28 +13.06 +1.31%

IDX Energy..2078.75 +6.79 +0.33%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.28 +3.93 +0.31%
IDX Industrl..1246.26 +7.94 +0.64%
IDXNONCYC..744.99 +6.54 +0.89%
IDX Hlthcare.1537.02 +18.24 +1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…..894.72 +4.05 +0.45%
IDX Techno….5896.76 -108.60 -1.81%
IDX Transp…1775.28 -2.37 -0.13%
IDX Infrast……894.06 -1.51 -0.17%
IDX Finance 1509.34 +26.69 +1.80%,
*IDX Banking 1231.39 +33.53 +2.80%‼️*
IDX Property….718 +2.80 +0.39%

*Indo10Yr….7.1218 -0.0308 -0.43%👍*
*ICBI……..341.9633 +0.8271 +0.24%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7030 -0.0450 -1.22%*
*VIX……20.58 -1.31 -5.98%*

*USDIndx..106.0250 -0.8060 -0.75%*
Como Indx..279.76 +4.24 +1.54%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……162.30 +4.19 +2.65%*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15731.50 -11.00 -0.07%‼️*
*Jisdor..15742.00 +5.00 +0.03%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0408 +0.0079 +0.76%👍*

TLKM……..25.48 +0.37 +1.47%
*(4011)*
EIDO………23.77 +0.46 +1.97%
*EEM……….38.52 +1.11 +2.89%*

*Oil………….80.55 +2.35 +3.01%‼️*
Gold ……1759.90 -3.80 -0.22%
Timah…..22788 +434.00 +1.94%
*(Closed 29/11)*
Nickel…26928.50 +59.00 +0.22%
*(Closed 30/11)*
Silver………21.78 +0.35 +1.61%
Copper…..373.80 +9.85 +2.71%

Nturl Gas…..7.274 -0.055 -0.75%

Ammonia..4623.33 +33.33 +0.73%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(29/11)

*Coal price….398.50 +11.10 +2.87%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price….389.00 +15.50 +4.15%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….379.50 +14.25 +3.90%‼️*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….279.00 +19.00 +7.31%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….283.95 +23.45 +9.00%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….282.90 +24.50 +9.48%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……4236 +15 +0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….667.00 -2.50 -0.37%
SoybeanOil…71.88 -1.10 -1.51%
Wheat………795.50 +14.00 +1.79%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 30/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Ijo semua kecuali IHSG sama Nikkei, US ijo tebel abis pengumuman akan slow down kenaikan suku bunga fed. Bagus buat saham overall

Coal lanjut naik tinggi, metal metal ijo kecuali gold, oil rebond, gas koreksi tipis, CPO ijo tipis, masih bullish baru di coal. Banks keliatan di gas, mau mulai santa claus rally? Probably

IHSG – bener bener dibawa sideways, foreign masih net buy terus, optimis tinggal tunggu breakout

 

Energy, Healthcare, Property, disusul Industrials sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals dan Consumer Cyclicals, Basic Materials mulai gerak, ini kalo Financials lanjut firm jadi semuanya jalan, index lari lagi.

Daily Analysis 20221130

Daily Analysis 20221130

November 30th, 2022 Good morning, S&P 500 and Nasdaq close lower for third day as investors look to Fed Chair Powell’s speech The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed lower…