Global update:

September 12th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 300 points higher, stocks snap 3-week Fed-induced slide

U.S. stocks rallied Friday as Wall Street caps off a strong weekly performance, recovering from a Federal Reserve-induced slump.

Dow…….32152 +377.2 +1.19%
Nasdaq.12112 +250.2 +2.11%
S&P 500..4067 +61.2 +1.53%

FTSE…….7351 +89.0 +1.23%
Dax……..13088 +183.9 +1.43%
CAC……..6212 +86.4 +1.41%

Nikkei….28215 +149.5 +0.53%
HSI……..19362 +507.6 +2.69%
Shanghai..3262 +26.5 +0.82%
ST Times..3263 +29.3 +0.91%

IDX…….7242.66 +10.64 +0.15%
LQ45…1032.00 +3.94 +0.38%

IDX Energy..2010.73 -6.01 -0.30%
IDX Bsc Mat.1336.80 -0.33 -0.02%
IDX Industrl..1365.38 -0.45 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC..696.95 +0.09 +0.01%
IDX Hlthcare.1437.62 +12.35 +0.87%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.15 -3.78 -0.43%
IDX Techno..7637.19 -19.58 -0.26%
IDX Transp…1903.27 -9.73 -0.51%
IDX Infrast…..1034.61 -3.05 -0.29%
IDX Finance 1513.59 -2.68 -0.18%
IDX Banking..1172.54 +2.41 +0.21%
IDX Property…713 +5.20 +0.74%

Indo10Yr….7.1959 -0.0104 -0.15%
ICBI……..335.9986 +0.2725 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.3210 +0.0290 +0.88%
VIX…………22.79 -0.82 -3.47%

USDIndx 109.0030 -0.6540 -0.60%
Como Indx..284.12 +5.81 +2.09%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..152.36 +3.14 +2.11%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14830.00 -70.50 -0.47%
Jisdor..14846.00 -59.00 -0.40%

Euro……..1.0042 +0.0043 +0.43%

TLKM……..30.44 +0.13 +0.43%
(4519)
EIDO………24.37 +0.15 +0.62%
EEM………39.00 +0.57 +1.48%

Oil…………..86.79 +3.25 +3.89%‼
Gold ……..1728.60 +8.40 +0.49%
Timah. .20851.00 -355.00 -1.67%
( Closed 07/9)
Nickel…23032.00 +1161.00 +5.31%‼
(Closed 09/9)
Silver…….18.77 +0.33 +1.76%
Copper….356.80 +4.10 +1.16%

Nturl Gas…..8.038 +0.072 +0.90%

Ammonia..4133.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(08/9)

Coal price….435.25 -5.10 -1.16%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….430.60 -3.50 -0.81%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….421.25 -2.00 -0.47%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….337.00 -4.00 -1.17%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….320.00 -11.50 -3.47%‼
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….334.50 -17.35 -4.24%‼
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3595 +53 +1.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..685.00 +16.50 +2.47%
SoybeanOil…64.82 +1.59 +2.51%
Wheat……..869.50 +40.50 +4.89%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing semua regional index ijo… Tapi global crisis belum beres

Kita liat chart nya DJI deh

DJI – stoch buy, macd almost buy, alligator sw, supertrend down, 3 white soldiers, ga up jum’at, bullish divergence dan hidden bullish divergence confirmed by MA10, EMA 9-21 baru death cross, price masih dibawah EMA 50. Mungkin hanya technical rebound, karena issue nya belum bener2 solved

Kalo liat ini sih getting ready untuk wave 3…

Sepertinya akan koreksi dulu tutup gap, konsolidasi, baru setelah MA nya firm mulai jalan wave 3

Harga komoditas terkait energy drop, oil sama coal, udah pas lah bawa energy ABC correction dulu. Natural Gas ijo tapi ga terlalu tebel

Gold silver copper naik, pas buat MDKA, nikel naik tinggi, cocok buat ANTM INCO, tin turun tapi. CPO naik, semoga panjang biar AALI LSIP bisa rebound

IHSG – MADC nya masih sideways, belum berhasil cross, selama masih belum bikin new record high masih lebih besar kemungkinan turun bikin wave 2 dulu

IHSG – foreign masih masuk terus, diluar itu sih keliatan mentok mau ke atas…

Basic Materials, Industrials, yang lain belum

Property udah mulai gerak tapi di RSI quadrant belum keliatan

Global Update:

September 09th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes almost 200 points higher as investors weigh future interest rate hikes

Stocks rose Thursday after moving between gains and losses as Wall Street weighed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments on the central bank continuing to fight inflation.

Dow…….31775   +193.2    +0.61%
Nasdaq.11862   +70.2      +0.50%
S&P 500..4006   +26.3      +0.66%

FTSE…….7262   +24.2     +0.33%
Dax……..12904   -11.7      -0.09%
CAC……..6126   +19.98   +0.33%

Nikkei….28065    +634.98 +2.31%
HSI……..18855     -189.7    -1.00%
Shanghai..3236    -10.7      -0.33%
ST Times..3234   +22.8     +0.71%

IDX…….7232.02  +45.26  +0.63%
LQ45…1028.06   +8.39    +0.82%

IDX Energy..2016.74    -26.96   -1.32%
IDX Bsc Mat.1337.13  +26.04   +1.99%
IDX Industrl..1365.83   -5.99     -0.44%
IDXNONCYC..696.86    -5.91     -0.84%
IDX Hlthcare.1425.27  +6.12     +0.43%
IDXCYCLIC…..885.93   +6.35     +0.72%
IDX Techno..7656.76   +130.25 +1.73%
IDX Transp…1913.00   -10.01    -0.52%
IDX Infrast…..1037.66  +10.85  +1.06%
IDX Finance 1516.28    +10.63  +0.71%
IDX Banking..1170.13  +15.22  +1.32%
IDX Property…713        +5.20     +0.74%

Indo10Yr….7.2063   -0.0044   -0.06%
ICBI……..335.7261   +0.4283  +0.13%
US10Yr……3.2920   +0.0270  +0.83%
VIX…………23.61      -1.03       -4.18%

USDIndx 109.6570  +0.095  +0.09%
Como Indx..278.31  +1.79   +0.65%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..149.21  +2.16    +1.47%
.
IndoCDS…122.88     –                -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14905.50  -17.00   -0.11%
Jisdor..14905.00  -22.00   -0.15%

Euro……..0.9999  -0.0091  -0.90%

TLKM……..30.31  +0.21      +0.70%
(4518)
EIDO………24.22   +0.17      +0.71%
EEM………38.43    -0.21        -0.54%

Oil…………..83.54   +1.60      +1.95%
Gold ……..1720.20   -7.60    -0.44%
Timah. .20851.00   -355.00   -1.67%
( Closed 07/9)
Nickel…21871.00   +256.50  +1.19%
(Closed 08/9)
Silver…….18.44      +0.18     +0.99%
Copper….352.70    +9.65     +2.81%

Nturl Gas…..7.966  +0.11    +1.40%

Ammonia..4133.33  +33.33  +0.81%
China
(Domestic Price)(07/9)

Coal price….440.35   +1.35   +0.30%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.10   -0.60    -0.14%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.25   -0.45    -0.11%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….341.00  -34.00   -9.07%‼
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….331.50  -26.50   -7.40%‼
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….334.50  -14.80   -4.24%‼
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3542  -162     -4.37%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..668.50   -2.50     -0.37%
SoybeanOil…63.23  +1.13   +1.82%
Wheat……..829.00   -15.25   -1.81%

Wood pulp…6750.00  +10   +0.15%
(Closed 08/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Us lanjut ijo lagi, Europe mayoritas ijo, asia varied, tapi mostly ijo atau merah tipis kecuali hangseng

Oil gas coal mantul abis kemaren merah, gold tin merah, nickel silver copper ijo,lebih nungguin nickel sih, rombongan issue batere lebih terpengaruh nickel. CPO drop lagi, waks tambah lama lagi rencana mau beli LSIP ini mah

Belum mau dibawa turun wave 2, masih nahan terus, plus US kemaren ijo jadi stimulus. MACD belum cross up dan belum break high juga , masih lebih besar kemungkinan turun dulu wave 2

IHSG – stoch rev down, 833 sell, macd down, bandar distribusi (ini bahaya ini, harga diangkat bandar exit, profit taking berarti), foreign masih masuk terus, LR channel lagi melebar, karena price stay disitu terus, deviasi dari mean jadi ikut melebar. Koq kayanya hari ini malah start turunnya… WNS lah, kalo bikin ATH ya ikut belanja lagi

Energy melemah, Financials, Basic Materials, Industrials sama Property kalo liat buy signal kemaren

Global update:

September 08th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 400 points higher, Nasdaq snaps 7-day slump as Wall Street shakes off rate hike concerns

Stocks rose Wednesday — trying to shake off a three-week slide — as rates and oil prices eased, cooling investor concerns about continued high inflation.

Dow…….31581 +435.98 +1.40%
Nasdaq.11792 +246.99 +2.14%
S&P 500..3980 +71.7 +1.83%

FTSE…….7238 -62.6 -0.86%
Dax……..12916 +44.5 +0.35%
CAC……..6105 +1.3 +0.02%

Nikkei….27430 -196.2 -0.71%
HSI……..19044 -158.4 -0.82%
Shanghai..3246 +2.9 +0.09%
ST Times..3211 -13.4 -0.41%

IDX…….7186.76 -46.40 -0.64%
LQ45…1019.67 -7.35 -0.72%

IDX Energy..2043.70 -28.22 -1.36%
IDX Bsc Mat.1311.09 +4.04 +0.31%
IDX Industrl..1371.83 -0.54 -0.04%
IDXNONCYC..702.77 -3.79 -0.54%
IDX Hlthcare.1419.16 -2.66 -0.19%
IDXCYCLIC…..879.58 -0.57 -0.07%
IDX Techno..7526.51 -39.42 -0.52%
IDX Transp…1923.01 -18.78 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1026.81 -16.49 -1.58%
IDX Finance 1505.65 -12.59 -0.83%
IDX Banking..1154.91 -9.73 -0.84%
IDX Property…708 -0.90 -0.13%

Indo10Yr….7.2107 +0.026 +0.36%
ICBI……..335.2978 -0.6038 -0.18%
US10Yr……3.2650 -0.0750 -2.25%
VIX…………24.64 -2.27 -8.44%

USDIndx 109.5620 -0.6520 -0.59%
Como Indx..276.52 -6.10 -2.16%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..147.06 -1.30 -0.88%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14917.50 +32.50 +0.22%‼️
Jisdor..14927.00 +42.00 +0.28%‼️

Euro………1.009 +0.0187 +1.89%

TLKM……..30.10 -0.20 -0.66%
(4493)
EIDO………24.05 -0.08 -0.33%
EEM………38.64 +0.34 +0.89%

Oil…………..81.94 -4.90 -5.64%‼️
Gold ……..1727.80 +15.20 +0.89%
Timah. .21614.50 -414.00 -1.94%
( Closed 06/9)
Nickel…21614.50 +34.00 +0.16%
(Closed 07/9)
Silver…….18.26 +0.38 +2.13%
Copper….343.05 -2.40 -0.69%

Nturl Gas…..7.856 -0.21 -2.60%

Ammonia..4100.00 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(06/9)

Coal price….439.00 -11.25 -2.50%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.70 -16.55 -3.67%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.70 -16.20 -3.68%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.00 -5.00 -1.31%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….358.00 -23.25 -6.10%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….349.30 -25.40 -6.78%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3704 -95 -2.50%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..671.00 -5.00 -0.74%
SoybeanOil…62.10 -1.18 -1.86%
Wheat……..844.25 +27.35 +3.44%‼️

Wood pulp…6740.00 unch +0%
(Closed 07/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US akhirnya rebound kenceng, eropa masih tipis, inggris malah masih merah dalem. Asia merah semua kecuali Shanghai.

Oil drop, coal drop, gas drop, sudah selesai kah wave 5 sektor IDX Energy? Kalo energy dan financials udahan, pas deh, IHSG wave 2. Kita pantau aja

Timah abis naik tinggi sendiri kemaren merah, metal2 lain rata2 naik kecuali copper. CPO juga turun banyak, kasian banget ini AALI sama LSIP ga jalan jalan, nanti mungkin bareng wave 3 index

Prediksi masih belum rubah banyak, index mau wave 2 dulu… kita belanja aggressive setelah tutup gap, atau paling cepet setelah retrace fibo 50

MACD index, masih belum firm kemana, tapi yang jelas belum aman buat aggressive belanja

IHSG – stoch up rev, macd still down, bandar mulai lepas barang, foreign entry menurun, MFI turun (consequently), PSAR masih up, price masih diatas MA20. Kalo pemain MA biasanya exit begitu price close dibawah MA 20

wah rada numpuk, kurang jelas…

Energy, Financials, Industrials sama Basic Materials. Saham2 sektor Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, hati2 kalo signal ngebalik buang dulu

Global Update:

September 07th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 100 points lower in post-Labor Day session as interest rates pop

U.S. stocks slumped on Tuesday in a volatile trading session as investors weighed what strong economic data and rising rates mean for the Federal Reserve’s aggressive tightening campaign.

Dow…….31145 -173.1 -0.55%
Nasdaq.11545 -85.95 -0.74%
S&P 500..3908 -16.1 -0.41%

FTSE…….7300 +13.01 +0.18%
Dax……..12871 +110.7 +0.87%
CAC……..6105 +11.4 +0.19%

Nikkei….27627 +6.9 +0.03%
HSI……..19203 -22.97 -0.12%
Shanghai..3200 +13.4 +0.42%
ST Times..3234 +18.6 +0.58%

IDX…….7233.15 +1.27 +0.02%
LQ45…1027.01 -2.28 -0.22%

IDX Energy..2071.92 +58.63 +2.91%‼️
IDX Bsc Mat.1307.05 +8.99 +0.69%
IDX Industrl..1372.37 +12.28 +0.90%
IDXNONCYC..706.56 -2.67 -0.38%
IDX Hlthcare.1421.82 +6.04 +0.43%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.15 -1.00 -0.11%
IDX Techno..7565.93 +8.45 +0.11%
IDX Transp…1941.80 +14.38 +0.75%
IDX Infrast…..1043.29 -4.78 -0.46%
IDX Finance 1518.24 -6.51 -0.43%
IDX Banking..1164.64 -7.52 -0.64%
IDX Property…709 +10.10 +1.45%

Indo10Yr….7.1847 +0.008 +0.11%
ICBI……..335.9016 -0.0317 -0.01%
US10Yr……3.3400 +0.1470 +4.60%‼️
VIX…………26.91 +0.92 +3.54%

USDIndx 110.2140 +0.3950 +0.33%‼️
Como Indx..282.62 -1.85 -0.65%
M(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.35 +1.98 +1.35%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14885.00 -22.00 -0.15%
Jisdor..14885.00 -35.00 -0.23%

Euro………0.9903 -0.0027 -0.27%

TLKM……..30.30 unch +0%
(4510)
EIDO………24.13 +0.09 +0.37%
EEM………38.30 -0.46 -1.19%

Oil…………..86.84 -1.98 -2.22%
Gold ……..1712.60 -8.60 -0.50%
Timah. .21625.00 +565.00 +2.68%‼️
( Closed 05/9)
Nickel…21580.50 -125.00 -0.06%
(Closed 06/9)
Silver…….17.88 -0.14 -0.78%
Copper….345.45 -0.20 -0.06%

Nturl Gas…..8.066 -0.697 -7.95%‼️

Ammonia..4100.00 +233.33 +6.03%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(05/9)

Coal price….450.25 -7.55 -1.65%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….451.25 -12.50 -2.70%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….439.90 -11.60 -2.57%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….380.00 -12.50 -3.18%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….381.25 -11.25 -2.87%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….374.70 -10.25 -2.68%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……3799 -113 -2.89%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..676.00 +10.25 +1.54%
SoybeanOil…63.28 -2.97 -4.48%‼️
Wheat……..817.00 +6.00 +0.74%

Wood pulp…6740.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 06/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Setelah libur US lanjut merah, europe ijo, asia mostly ijo kecuali hangseng

Oil Gas Coal turun, metal2 turun kecuali timah, CPO juga turun… Ini harusnya mendukung mau wave 2, tapi sektor financials masih up, ga sinkron jadinya

MACD nya almost golden cross… Sudah bikin higher high dibanding wave B, tapi masih belum break wave 5 kemaren… Jadi New Record High kalo break itu, euforia nya bakal luar biasa sepertinya

IHSG – candle kemaren rada rada shooting star, walau shadow nya pendek. Tapi tetep sih, candle reversal itu. Stochastic MACD akumulasi PSAR alligator supertrend, ichimoku masih indicate lanjut naik, tapi tetep, saya masih believe ini bakal turun. Too early to make a new record high tanpa ada recovery ekonomi yang jelas

Energy, Finance, Basic Materials, Industrials