Daily Analysis 20240103

Daily Analysis 20240103

January 03rd, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower to begin 2024, Nasdaq notches worst day since October

The S&P 500
fell Tuesday, the first trading day of the year, as bond yields inched higher and investors took some money off the table following a surprisingly strong 2023.

Dow……37715 +25.5 +0.07%
Nasdaq14766 -245.4 -1.63%
S&P 500.4743 -27.00 -0.57%

FTSE…..7722 -11.7 -0.16%
Dax……16769 +17.7 +0.11%
CAC……7531 -12.3 -0.16%

Nikkei..33464 closed +0%
HSI…….16789 -258.8 -1.52%
Shanghai.2962 -12.66 -0.43%

IDX…..7323.59 +50.79 +0.70%
LQ45….979.43 +8.86 +0.91%
IDX30…498.42 +3.21 +0.65%

IDXEnergy..2142.96 +42.+2.00%
IDX BscMat.1332.14 +26.67 +1.89%}
IDX Indstrl…1105.51 +11.74 +1.07%
IDXNONCYC.724.41 +2.01 +0.28%
IDX Hlthcare1353.56 -22.40 -1.64%
IDXCYCLIC…825.05. +3.63 +0.44%
IDX Techno4418.00 -17.60 -0.40%
IDX Transp 1654.96 +53.45 +3.34%‼️
IDX Infrast 1576.31. +6.28 +0.40%
IDX Finance.1452.08 -6.24. -0.43%
IDX Banking.1269.00 -0.55 -0.04%
IDX Property.. 710 -3.60 -0.50%

Indo10Yr.6.6161+0.017 +0.26%
ICBI…374.6896 -0.1294 -0.03&%
US2Yr.4.324 +0.074 +1.74%
US5Yr 3.922 +0.082 +2.14%
US10Yr3.941 +0.075 +1.94%
US30Yr.4.083+0.064 +1.59%
VIX….13.20 +0.75 +6.02%‼️

USDIndx 102.2360 +0.903 +0.89%
Como Indx..262.63 -1.19 -0.45%
BCOMIN……141.17 -1.48 -1.04%

IndoCDS..69.29 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/01)

IDR…..15470.00 +71.00 +0.46%
Jisdor.15473.00 +34.00 +0.22%

Euro….1.0942 – -%

TLKM…25.90 +0.14 +0.54%
(4008)
EIDO….22.21 -0.11 -0.49%
EEM….39.74 -0.47 -1.17%

Oil……..70.38 -1.27 -1.77%
Gold..2073.40 +1.60 +0.08%
Timah..25415.00 – -%
(Closed 29/12)
Nickel..16565.00 -106 -0.64%
(Closed 02/01)
Silver……23.95 -0.13 -0.55%
Copper.388.05 -1.00 -0.26%

Iron Ore 62% 136.37 – -%
(29/12)
Nturl Gas..2.574 +0.077 +3.08%
Ammonia China.3623.33-183.34 -3.81%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/02)

Coal price.127.75 -9.2 -6.72%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.15 -7.65 -5.72%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.124.85 -7.10 -5.38%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.90 -6.55 -5.02%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.15 -2.15 -1.99%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 101.55 -2.30 -2.21%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price. 97.10 -2.75 -2.75%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price .95.20 -3.35 -3.40%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3660 -60 -1.61%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……463.75 -7.50 -1.59%
SoybeanOil 48.29 +0.11 +0.23%
Wheat….606.75 -21.25 -3.38%

Wood pulp..5040.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren IHSG ijo, asia merah europe merah US merah, so hari ini kemungkinan merah… Kalo mau belanja sore lebih ok kayanya

Update Global Economic Calendar
2 Jan 2023

INDONESIA MARKET :
Inflation Rate YoY (Dec)
Actual : 2.61%
Forecast : 2.85%
Previous : 2.86%

Core Inflation Rate YoY (Dec)
Actual : 1.8%
Forecast : 1.85%
Previous : 1.87%

Inflation Rate MoM (Dec)
Actual : 0.41%
Forecast : –
Previous : 0.38%

Tourist Arrivals YoY (Nov)
Actual : 30.17%
Forecast : –
Previous : 33.27%

GERMANY MARKET :
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 43.3
Forecast : 43.1
Previous : 42.6

EURO AREA MARKET :
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 44.4
Forecast : 44.2
Previous : 44.2

UNITED KINGDOM MARKET :
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 46.2
Forecast : 46.4
Previous : 47.2

U.S MARKET :
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final (Dec)
Actual : 47.9
Forecast : 48.2
Previous : 49.4

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
– Disclaimer On –

Visit our website :
www.phintracosekuritas.com
www.profits.co.id
www.taspro.co.id

Angka Inflasi indonesia lebih baik dari forecast, makanya ijo sendiri kemaren, nah, Europe dan US index manufacture nya dibawah forecast, wajarnya merah, dan hari ini masih pengaruh…

Berita jelek selalu disusul sama naiknya suku bunga, USD index juga naik jadi lengkap untuk bikin merah saham. metal2 merah semua kecuali emas yang ijo tipisoil merah gas ijo, coal DROP, CPO merah, wah masih berantakan ini, semoga ANTM MDKA keganjel harga emas yang lagi tinggi

IHSG – stoch OB, MACD up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, wave 5, hati hati koreksi, curigany mah akan kejedot level all time high baru merosot ABC correction

Index jalan hampir semua sektor jalan,yang arahnya paling deket 45 Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBKP TAPG

 

MACD Buy Signal banyak banget, yang big acc cuma ASSA, yang ada Spike EMTK, layak dipantau ICBP TBIG AALI

Stochastic Continuation Signal banyak, tapi ga ada yang big accum, malah INKP big dist. Paling SMDR yang ada spike

Daily Analysis 20231023

Daily Analysis 20231023

Oct 23rd, 2023 Good morning, Dow closes nearly 300 points lower after 10-year Treasury yield tops 5% for the first time since 2007 Stocks retreated Friday as a surge in…
Daily Analysis 20230814

Daily Analysis 20230814

August 14th, 2023

Good morning,

Nasdaq Composite slips Friday, falls two weeks straight for the first time in 2023

The Nasdaq Composite
ended Friday lower and notched its second consecutive losing week in 2023 as semiconductor stocks languished.

Dow……35281 +105..3 +0.30%
Nasdaq13645 -76.2 -0.56%
S&P 500.4464 -4.8 -0.11%

FTSE…..7524 -94.4 -1.24%
Dax……15832 -164.4 -1.03%
CAC……7340 -93.4 -1.26%

Nikkei…32474 closed +0%
HSI…….19075 -173.1 -0.90%
*Shanghai.3189 -65.3 -2.01%*

IDX…..6879.98 -13.30 -0.19%
LQ45….964.35 -2.14 -0.22%
IDX30…500.02 -1.43 -0.28%

IDXEnergy…1934.23 -6.72 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1110.71 +11.74+1.07%
IDX Indstrl…1202.52 -2.07 -0.17%
IDXNONCYC.751.45 +1.23 +0.16%
IDX Hlthcare1478.86 -11.62 -0.78%
IDXCYCLIC….920.31 +6.43 +0.70%
IDX Techno.4447.38 -37.30 -0.83%
IDX Transp..1863.62 +15.12 +0.81%
IDX Infrast… .859.90 +2.69 +0.31%
IDX Finance.1423.81 -4.31 -0.30%
IDX Banking.1223.61 -4.45 -0.36%
IDX Property..757 +1.80 +0.24%

*Indo10Yr.6.3948* -0.0016 -0.03%
*ICBI….369.4534* +0.2564 +0.07%
*US2Yr.4.8920* +0.042 +0.87%
*US5Yr 4.3030* +0.069 +1.63%
*US10Yr4.1580* +0.0430 +0.10%
*US30Yr.4.2640* -0.0040 -0.09%
*VIX…….14.84 -1.01 -6.37%👍*

*USDIndx 102.8420* +0.2190 +0.21%
Como Indx…279.74 -0.23 -0.08%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….140.62 -1.94 -1.36%

*IndoCDS.81.21 +0.02 +0.02%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(11/08)*

*IDR…..15219.00‼️+34.00 +0.22%*
*Jisdor.15225.00 ‼️+21.00 +0.14%*

*Euro……1.0949 -0.0033 -0.30%*

TLKM…24.70 +0.13 +0.53%
*(3760)*
EIDO….22.92 -0.18 -0.78%
EEM…..39.56 -0.59 -1.47%

*Oil………83.19* +0.29 +0.35%
*Gold…1946.60* +1.70 +0.09%
*Timah..26457.00‼️* -428.00 -1.59%
*(Closed 11/08)*
Nickel..20327.50 -103.00 -0.50%
(Closed 11/08)
Silver…… 22.74 -0.02 -0.09%
Copper.371.90 -3.75 -1.00%

*Iron Ore 62% 105.37 +0.77 +0.74%*
(11/08)
Nturl Gas.2.7860 +0.0010 +0.04%
*Ammonia China..3366.67 unch +0%*
(Domestic Price)(10/08)

Coal price..144.00 +1.00 +0.70%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.50 +2.50 +1.68%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.85 +2.60 +1.71%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.157.85 +2.35 +1.51%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price116.50 -1.00 -0.69%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.75 +0.50 +0.41%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.90 +0.35 +0.29%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.50 +0.40 +0.33%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3751 +24 +0.64%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………487.25 -9.00 -1.81%
SoybeanOil 60.22 -0.26 -0.43%
Wheat……653.75 -10.00 -1.51%

*Wood pulp..4620.00* unch +0%
(Closed 13/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

 

Closing Jum’at US merah, europe ijo, asia kerah kecuali nikkei dan kospi.

USD index naik, kebanyakan metal turun, yang ijo Gold Iron Ore Oil Gas Coal CPO. Semoga ANTM MDKA ADRO PTBA INDY ITMG rebound

IHSG – harusnya otw fibo 61,stoch almost buy, MACD still down, MFI down, w% sw, jum’at balik FNS makanya drop. Hopefully mau breakout triangle ke atas sih, ini lagi penentuan arah

Yang arahnya masih bagus Infrastructure, Financials, Property (walau kemaren melemah) sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO TPIA ADHI BRMS DOID ISAT PTPP TINS WIKA

MACD Buy Signal: BUKA ICBPMPMX MTMH SSMS

Alligator Buy Signal: ACES PNLF

Daily Analysis 20230804

Daily Analysis 20230804

Selamat pagi 🌻, 4 Agustus 23 Dow.. 35.215.89 -66.63 -0.19% Nasdaq.. 13.959.72 -13.73 -0.10% S&P 500.. 4.501,89 -11.5 -0.25% Brent Oil.. 85.25 +2.05 +2.46% Crude Oil WTI.. 81.77 +0.21 +0.26%…
Daily Analysis 20230718

Daily Analysis 20230718

July 18th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow rises for sixth straight day, closes at highest level in 2023

Stocks were higher Monday as Wall Street braced for quarterly reports from some of the biggest companies in the world.

Dow……34585 +76.3 +0.22%
Nasdaq14245 +131.3 +0.93%
S&P 500.4523 +17.4 +0.10%

FTSE…..7406 -28.2 -0.38%
Dax……16069 -36.4 -0.23%
CAC……7292 -82.9 -1.12%

Nikkei…32391 closed +0%
HSI…….19414 closed +0%
Shanghai.3210 -28.1 -0.87%

IDX…..6867.14 -2.43 -0.04%
LQ45….964.36 +0.28 +0.03%
IDX30…500.81 -0.01 -0.42%

IDXEnergy…1880.00 +16.11 +0.86%
IDX BscMat.1040.95 -3.61 -0.35%
IDX Indstrl…1196.34 -0.40 -0.03%
IDXNONCYC.757.36 -4.87 -0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1553.26-12.94 -0.83%
IDXCYCLIC….922.90 +5.82 +0.64%
IDX Techno.4962.22 +16.63 +0.34%
IDX Transp..1924.14 -3.74 -0.39%
IDX Infrast… .853.71 -3.38 -0.87%
IDX Finance.1433.14 +0.84 +0.06%
IDX Banking.1198.56 +2.56 +0.21%
IDX Property..760 – -%

*Indo10Yr.6.3174* +0.0103 +0.16%
*ICBI….368.9041* -0.2092. -0.06%
*US2Yr.4.7420* -0.026 -0.55%
*US5Yr 4.0170* -0.028 -0.64%
*US10Yr3.8090* -0.509 -1.32%
*US30Yr.3.9260* unch +0%
*VIX…….13.48 +0.14 +1.05%*

*USDIndx 99.8420👍* -0.0720 -0.07%
Como Indx…267.90 -2.89 -1.07%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…….144.84 -2.55 -1.73%

*IndoCDS.80.72👍 – -1%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(14/07)*
*IDR…..15013.00 +54.50 +0.36%*
*Jisdor.15007.00 +62.00 +0.41%*

*Euro……1.1240* +0.0012 +0.11%

TLKM…25.88 -0.29 -1.11%
*(3883)*
EIDO….23.68 +0.07 +0.30%
EEM…..41.06 +0.05 +0.12%

*Oil…..74.09 -1.33 -1.76%*
*Gold…1958.70* -5.70 -0.29%
*Timah..28543.00* – -%
*(Closed 14/07)*
*Nickel..20923.50 -705.50 -3.26%*
(Closed 17/07)
Silver…. 25.05 -0.14 -0.55%
*Copper.383.80 -9.50 -2.42%*

*Iron Ore 62% 112.38 – -%*
(14/07)
Nturl Gas.2.532 -0.016 -0.63%
Ammonia China..2866.67 unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(17/07)

Coal price.131.10 -0.55 -0.42%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.00 +1.25 +0.94%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.05 +1.35 +1.01%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.00 unch +0%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price104.00 -0.15 -0.14%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.00 +1.50 +1.59%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…95.25 +0.85 +0.90%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..95.05 +0.30 +0.32%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)..3895 +38 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….506.00 -7.75 -1.51%
SoybeanOil 60.34 -0.42 -0.69%
Wheat…653.75 -7.75 -1.17%

*Wood pulp..4390.00* unch +0%
(Closed 17/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI lanjut ijo, Europe asia pada merah. Kemaren IDX udah merah walau tipis jadi harusnya hari ini ijo lagi

USD index turun tipis, semua commodity merah kecuali CPO, semoga saham terkait commodity cuma sideways

IHSG – stoch up, MACD up, MFI up, w% down, BD FF masih acc, done target IHNS, bikin candle shooting star, ini sign reversal euy, kemaren high deket fibo 50 dan close deket fibo38, semoga sih bisa lanjut bukan terus dibawa ke fibo 23 lagi.

Sekilas liat BBCA BBRI BMRI BBNI sih rada optimis lanjut, jarang BBCA gerak sampe MACD buy terus mendadak ngebalik lagi

Big Banks penggerak Utama index,kalo mereka gerak harusnya index juga jalan. Apalagi GOTO juga kemaren MACD buy, biasanya abis itu digoreng

Kalo dari sini yang paling menarik buat kita riding yang Healthcare, Property sama Technology, tapi hati2 saham technology suka ugal-ugalan supirnya. Basic Materials, Energy sama Consumer Cyclicals masih leading, pantau ketat tapi terutama yang udah pada jalan, jaga2 udah cape dan mau balik turun

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN ICBP UNVR ABMM LMSH, ICBP sama UNVR big accum dan NFB

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI BBTN GOTO ADHI, BBRI GOTO ADHI Big Accum

Alligator Buy Signal: AMRT BRPT TINS. AMRT BRPT ada spike kemaren

Daily Analysis 20230713

Daily Analysis 20230713

July 13th, 2023

Good morning,

Stock closes higher in after the S&P 500 closed at its highest level in over a year. Markets also looked ahead to another key inflation reading.

Dow……34347 +86.01 +0.25%
Nasdaq13981 +158.3 +1.18%
S&P 500.4472 +32.9 +0.74%

FTSE…..7416 +133.6 +1.83%
Dax……16203 +232.7 +1.47%
CAC……7333 +113.0 +1.57%

Nikkei…31943 -259.6 -0.81%
HSI…….18861 +201.1 +1.08%
Shanghai.3196 -25.2 -0.78%

IDX…..6808.21 +11.28 +0.17%
LQ45….957.99 +3.03 +0.32%
IDX30…497.19 +1.71 +0.35%

IDXEnergy…1840.99 -17.48 -0.94%
IDX BscMat.1036.93 -3.01 -0.29%
IDX Indstrl…1194.84 -2.03 -0.17%
IDXNONCYC.761.67 -0.10 -0.01%
IDX Hlthcare1523.16 +0.76 +2.88%
IDXCYCLIC….921.48 +0.00 +0.01%
IDX Techno.4815.68 +67.71 +1.43%
IDX Transp..1924.05 -0.29 -0.01%
IDX Infrast… .856.79 +0.16 +0.02%
IDX Finance.1425.15 +2.86 +0.20%
IDX Banking.1188.03 +3.53 +0.47%
IDX Property..751 +4.20 +0.56%

Indo10Yr.6.3102👍 -0.0270 -0.43%
ICBI….368.5678👍 +04692 +0.13%
US2Yr.4.8870 -0.139 -2.84%👍
US5Yr 4.0750 -0.164 -3.86%👍
US10Yr3.8620 -0.111 -2.79%👍
US30Yr.4.0110-0.062 -1.55%
VIX…….13.54 -1.30 -8.76%👍

USDIndx100.5210👍 -1.2110 -1.19%
Como Indx…268.30 +0.70 +0.26%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……145.40 +4.19 +2.97%

IndoCDS.87.66 -0.98 -1.11%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/07)
IDR…..15074.50 -78.50 -0.52%
Jisdor.15084.00 -78.00 -0.51%

Euro……1.1136 +0.0126 +1.14%

TLKM…26.41 +0.33 +1.27%
(3983)
EIDO….23.67 +0.63 +2.73%
EEM…..40.71 +0.89 +2.24%

Oil…..74.80 +1.08 +1.44%
Gold…1962.40‼ +24.50 +1.26%
Timah..27956.00 +6.00 +0.02%
(Closed 11/07)
Nickel..21628.00 +918.00 +4.43%‼
(Closed 12/07)
Silver…. 24.34 +1.01 +4.33%‼
Copper.385.65 +8.60 +2.28%

Iron Ore 62% 109.34 +0.13 +0.12%
(11/07)
Nturl Gas.2.6490 -0.083 -3.04%

Coal price.129.05 -1.95 -1.49%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.05 -5.95 -4.44%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.129.25 -6.60 -4.86%‼
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.70 -7.10 -5.08%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price104.05 -1.85 -1.70%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.45 -5.40 -5.41%‼
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…94.10 -5.50 -5.52%‼
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..94.90 -5.00 -5.00%‼
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3928 +40 +1.02%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…483.75 -17.75 -3.54%‼
SoybeanOil 59.36 -0.57 -0.95%
Wheat…632.75 -27.75 -4.20%‼

Wood pulp..4380.00 +20 +0.46%
(Closed 10/07)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

Index regional hampir semua ijo kecuali nikkei, kayanya lanjut rally ini IHSG

USD index drop, automatically precious metals naik tinggi semua. Oil ijo Gas drop, coal drop, cpo ijo. Consider exit yang coal coal ya, bahaya ini udha 3 hari berturut2 coal price turun, ini ketahan index jalan makanya masih bertahan emiten coal

IHSG – lanjut FNB, SUpertrend Buy, Alligator up, tembus cloud ichimoku ke atas, IHNS jalan, stoch up, macd up, harusnya lanjut rally sih

Malah property sama Consumer Cyclicals yang kebaca arahnya bagus, tapi dengan harga komoditi naik tinggi gini sih, basic materials harusnya jalan lagi

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES GOTO KLBF ADHI MIKA MBSS

MACD Buy SIgnal: ICBP MIKA LMSH SGRO

Alligator Buy Signal: MEDC

Supertrend Buy Signal: BABP