January 29th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq fall Friday to snap six-day win streak, but both notch weekly gains

The S&P 500
closed slightly lower Friday, but clinched weekly gains as the latest economic data added to a positive picture of the economy.

Dow……38109 +60.3 +0.16%
Nasdaq15455 -55.1 -0.36%
S&P 500.4891 -3.2 -0.07%

FTSE…..7635 +105.4 +1.40%
Dax……16961 +54.5 +0.32%
CAC……7434 +169.9 +2.28%

Nikkei..35751 -485.40 -1.34%
HSI……15952 -259.7 -1.60%
Shanghai.2910 +4.1 +0.14%

IDX…..7137.09 -40.95 -0.57%
LQ45….951.49 -8.31 -0.87%
IDX30…482.83 -3.96 -0.81%

IDXEnergy..2115.97 -20.83 -0.97%
IDX BscMat.1284.91 -4.10 -0.32%
IDX Indstrl…1084.62 -3.73 -0.34%
IDXNONCYC.696.55 -4.51 -0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1311.94 -4.73. -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…848.85 -6.10 -0.71%
IDX Techno4074.19 -53.93 -1.31%
IDX Transp 1620.81 -15.05 -0.92%
IDX Infrast 1581.62 -39.19 -2.42%
IDX Finance.1519.17 +3.02 +0.20%
IDX Banking.1274.35 -12.27 -0.95%
IDX Property.. 701 +3.10 +0.44%

Indo10Yr.6.6901 +0.0083 +0.12%
ICBI…375.1719 -0.2428 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.357 +0.058 +1.35%
US5Yr 4.038 +0.036 +0.90%
US10Yr4.139 +0.018 +0.44%
US30Yr.4.372+0.002 +0.05%
VIX…13.26 -0.19 -1.41%

USDIndx 103.4330❗️ -0.141 -0.14%
Como Indx..273.57 +1.17 +0.43%
BCOMIN……139.82 +0.51 +0.36%

IndoCDS..76.21 +2.46 +3.34%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/01)

IDR…..15825.00‼️ -1.00 -0.01%
Jisdor.15829.00 ‼️+62.00 +0.39%

Euro….1.0853 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.45 +0.33 +1.37%
(4028)
EIDO……21.34 -0.23 -1.07%
EEM……38.90 +0.03 +0.098%

Oil…….78.01 +0.96 +1.25%
Gold..2036.10 -3.00 -0.15%
Timah..26664.00 +16.00 +0.06%
(Closed 26/01)
Nickel..16595.50 -175.50 -1.04%
(Closed 26/01)
Silver……22.87 -0.15 -0.65%
Copper.385.20 -1.60 -0.41%

Iron Ore 62% 135.55 +0.01 +0.01%
(26/01)
Nturl Gas..2.180 -0.008 -0.37%
Ammonia China.3343.33. – -%
(Domestic Price)(26/01/02)

Coal price 119.00 +0.90 +0.76%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.117.15 +1.75 +1.52%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 118.15 +2.65 +2.29%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.118.45 +2.85 +2.47%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .93.75 +1.50 +1.63%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..92.10 +2.55 +2.85%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.35 +2.15 +2.44%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.05 +2.65 +3.03%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..4021 +76 +1.93%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……446.25 -5.50 -1.22%
SoybeanOil 46.93 +0.40 +0.86%
Wheat…600.25 -12.00 -1.96%

Wood pulp..5066.00 unch +0%
(Closed 28/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI closing ijo jumat, tapi nasdaq dan sp500 merah, europe masih ijo, asia kebanyakan merah. Kemungkinan besar masih mau merah dulu IHSG hari ini, beresin ABC correction, mungkin juga sih mantul dulu karena kemaren merahnya dalem walau closing nya ditarik ke atas

US bond rates naik semua, jadi kayanya merah ini… USD index merah, tapi metal2 juga merah walau tipis, oil ijo das merah, coal mantul ijo, nanti kita liat apa udah waktunya masuk coal lagi. CPO ijo tebel, semoga ini dan IHSG beres ABC correction terus AALI LSIP berangkat

IHSG – masih FNS, BD flat, ABC correction belum beres, tapi mungkin aja minornya di wave A nya bikin abc kecil, kalo iya bisa jadi sekarang jadwal wave B. Tapi yang jelas masih berbahaya, masih mending banyak keep cash, masuk kecil di yang contrarian aja. MACD masih down, stoch tadinya up ini mau sell lagi, udah tembus EMA 50, kalo ikut pemain MA udah firm downtrend ini

Basic Materials, Infrastructure, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: HRUM INKP BSDE JSMR TKIM, ga ada yang big accum, malah HRUP TKIM big dist, BSDE spike

MACD buy signal: INTP MIKA OMED TAPG. healthcare mulai padagerak lagi ya, INTP big acc, TAPG spike

Stochastic Continuation Signal ga ada yang big accum, tapi keliatan Consumer Non-Cyclicals kompak gerak

Alligator Buy Signal: MTMH SSMS

January 12th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes little changed Thursday after hotter-than-anticipated inflation report

Stocks ended Thursday near the flat line after a fresh round of inflation data reflected an uptick in consumer prices for December.

,Dow……37711 +15.3 +0.04%
Nasdaq14970 +0.5 +0.00%
S&P 500.4780 -3.2 -0.07%

FTSE…..7577 -75.2 -0.98%
Dax……16547 -142.8 -0.86%
CAC……7388 -38.5 -0.52%

Nikkei..35050 +648.2 +1.77%
HSI…….16302 +204.8 +1.27%
Shanghai.2887+8.95 +0.31%

IDX…..7219.96 -7.33 -0.10%
LQ45….969.94 +0.81 +0.08%
IDX30…499.20 +1.25 +0.25%

IDXEnergy..2160.56 -7.75 -0.36%
IDX BscMat.1240.16 -6.97 -0.56%
IDX Indstrl…1106.62 +0.90 +0.08%
IDXNONCYC.705.40 -5.32 -0.75%
IDX Hlthcare1349.14+2.29 +0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…860.88 +7.42 +0.87%
IDX Techno4343.84 +11.60 +0.27%
IDX Transp 1679.28 +21.31 +1.29%
IDX Infrast 1549.81 -4.51 -0.27%
IDX Finance.1522.49+13.78 +0.91%
IDX Banking.1322.35+8.30 +0.63%
IDX Property.. 717 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6959 -0.0222 -0.33%
ICBI…374.1055 +0.6178 +0.17%
US2Yr.4.249 -0.111 -2.55%
US5Yr 3.881 -0.094 -2.36%
US10Yr3.968 -0.047 -1.17%
US30Yr.4.211-0.037 -0.88%
VIX….12.44 -0.25 -1.97%

USDIndx 102.3120 -0.050 -0.05%
Como Indx..264.10 +1.78 +0.68%
BCOMIN……136.75 +0.07 +0.05%

IndoCDS..77.21 +0.02 +0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/01)

IDR…..15548.50 -21.00 -0.13%
Jisdor.15558.00 -10.00 -0.06%

Euro….1.0974 +0.0001 +0.01%

TLKM…25.67 unch +0%
(3994)
EIDO….22.38 +0.07 +0.31%
EEM….39.06 +0.16 +0.41%

Oil……..72.02 +0.67 -1.23%
Gold..2019.20 -10.20 -0.50%
Timah..24435.00 +195.00 +0.80%
(Closed 10/01)
Nickel..16452.00 +50 +0.30%
(Closed 11/01)
Silver……22.71 -0.36 -1.56%
Copper.377.65 +2.05 +0.55%

Iron Ore 62% 138.16 -2.36 -1.68%
(10/01)
Nturl Gas..3.030 +0.085 +2.81%
Ammonia China.3400.00‼️ – -%
(Domestic Price)(09/02)

Coal price.130.75 -2.75 -2.06%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.25 -5.25 -3.99%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.25 -4.80 -3.69%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 124.70 -3.85 -2.99%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.50 -2.50 -2.29%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 102.30 -3.40 -3.32%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.100.20 -2.70 -2.62%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…98.05 -2.50 -2.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3796 +37 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……457.75 -0.38 -0.38%
SoybeanOil 48.72 +0.47 +0.97%
Wheat…603.75 -7.00 -1.15%

Wood pulp..5068.00 unch +0%
(Closed 11/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tipis tipis, europe merah, asia kemaren ijo tebel, IHSG merah tipis, bisa merah lagi kayanya ini tudei

US bond rates turun, USD index turn, good sih, tapi gold silver juga turun, timah nickel copper iron ore ijo, oil merah, gas ijo, coal merah dalem. Masih belum nih ANTM MDKA, coal coal an hati hati. CPO lanjut, go go AALI LSIP!

IHSG – bisa jadi mau wave B dulu, tapi yang jelas stoch down, mad down, MFI sw, w% downtrend, BD dist, masih FNB sih, lumayan. Kalo diukur pake fibonacci retracement hanya di wave 5 nya dari antara 61-78 mantul ke 38, lanjut wave c dong kalo gitu… Masih bahaya pokonya

Index beresiko tapi cacing RSI pada arahnya bagus, heu… FInancials paling deket 45 derajat, sama technology, tapi saya lebih prefer pegang consumer non-cyclicals, biasanya saham defensif ganjel bursa disitu

Oct 23rd, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 300 points lower after 10-year Treasury yield tops 5% for the first time since 2007

Stocks retreated Friday as a surge in the 10-year Treasury yield
prompted broader concerns about the state of the economy.

Dow……33127 -286.9 -0.86%
Nasdaq12984 -202.4 -1.53%
S&P 500.4224 -53.8 -1.26%

FTSE…..7402 -97.4 -1.30%
Dax……14798 -246.8 -1.64%
CAC……6816 -105.2 -1.52%

Nikkei…31259 -171.3 -0.54%
HSI…….17172 -123.8 -0.72%
Shanghai.2983 -22.3 -0.74%

IDX….6849.17 +2.74 +0.34%
LQ45….911.89 +1.81 +0.20%
IDX30…470.40 +0.82 +0.17%

IDXEnergy..2076.00 +1.39 +0.07%
IDX BscMat.1242.30 +0.85 +0.07%
IDX Indstrl…1122.38 +0.16 +0.01%
IDXNONCYC.745.20 +0.38 +0.05%
IDX Hlthcare1484.38+3.41 +0.23%
IDXCYCLIC…853.51 -1.83 -0.21%
IDX Techno.3949.22 -66.56 -1.66%
IDX Transp 1683.76 -28.25 -1.65%
IDX Infrast..1215.98 -9.97 -0.81%
IDX Finance.1356.92 +1.85 +0.14%
IDX Banking.1174.98 +10.95+0.94%
IDX Property…698 -5.40 -0.77%

Indo10Yr.7.1419‼ +0.1088+1.55%
ICBI….361.0366‼-2.0354 -0.56%
US2Yr.5.071‼ -0.038 -0.74%
US5Yr 4.854 -0.100 -2.02%
US10Yr4.914 -0.081 -1.62%
US30Yr.5.078‼ -0.031 -0.61%
VIX…..21.71‼ +0.31 +1.45%

USDIndx 106.1630‼-0.090 -0.08%
Como Indx…286.01 -1.32 -0.46%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..136.16 -0.26 -0.19%

IndoCDS.102.96 +2.96 +2.96%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (20/10)

IDR…..15872.50‼ +57.50 +0.36%
Jisdor.15856.00‼ +18.00 +0.11%

Euro……1.0594 +0.0014 +0.13%

TLKM…23.53 -0.16 -0.68%
(3731)
EIDO….20.92 +0.08 +0.38%
EEM….36.79 -0.45 -1.21%

Oil………88.08‼ -2.26 -2.50%
Gold..1994.40‼ +8.00 +0.40%
Timah..24985.00 -220.00 -0.97%
(Closed 20/10)
Nickel..18648.00 +91.00 +0.49%
(Closed 20/10)
Silver……23.50 +0.35 +1.51%
Copper.356.30 -2.05 -0.57%

Iron Ore 62%118.65 -0.39 -0.33%
(20/10)
Nturl Gas…3.258 +0.303 +10.25%‼
Ammonia China.3700.00 +76.67 +2.12%
(Domestic Price)(19/10)

Coal price.138.00 +1.50 +1.10%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.00 +1.00 +0.70%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.40 -0.60 -0.41%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price 150.50 -0.45 -0.30%
(Jan/Newcastle)

Coal price.138.00 +0.50 +0.36%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.139.10 +1.00 +0.73%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.136.90 -0.10 -0.07%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price 136.20 -0.05 -0.04%
(Jan/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jan)..3771 +25 +0.67%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……495.00 -9.50 -1.88%
SoybeanOil 53.39 +0.28 +0.53%
Wheat….586.00 -8.00 -1.35%

Wood pulp..5700.00 -10 -0.18%
(Closed 22/10)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia.
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at kebakaran semua, bagusnya sih US Bond rate turun, harusnya dampaknya bagus ke saham, USD index turun, Gold silver naik, copper timah nickel iron ore turun, oil turun, gas loncat, Coal tipis2, spot ijo future merah. Harusnya bagus buat ANTM MDKA dan saham2 tambang batubara. PGAS sayangnya ga selalu sejalan sama harga gas, jadi walau loncat ga banyak ngaruh

IHSG – ga jadi buy MACD nya, stoch nya ngebalik sell, masih FNS terus, masih distribusi terus, bikin lower low,jadi terbuka kemungkinan ABC correction nya bukan kaya yang kemaren digambar, tapi di 6750 an targetnya. Masih bagus pegang cash…

Energy, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: ICBP AALI TAPG

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM BRMS

Stochastic Continuation Signal: SIDO BMTR HMSP LPPF

ICBP – stoch buy macd down, MFI sw, w% baru keluar downtrend area, BD rev acc, FF masih dist, abis wave 5 udah bikin abc correction,udah kemu reg bull div, baru satu cendol. Wait confirmation…

AALI – masih jelek semua kecuali stochastic buy dan ketemu reg bull div, tunggu confirm

TAPG – lebih bagus technicalnya, stoch buy, macd rev up, w% up, BD FF rev acc, bikin higher low, ada reg bear div di chaikin money index, tapi belum berani entry, macd buy signal kita assess lagi

July 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow rises for a 13th straight day, posting its best winning streak since 1987

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose Wednesday, notching its best winning streak since 1987 as traders digested a Federal Reserve rate hike and major corporate earnings.

Dow……35520 +82.1 +0.23%
Nasdaq14127 -17.3 -0.12%
S&P 500.4567 -0.7 -0.02%

FTSE…..7677 -14.9 -0.19%
Dax……16131 -80.1 -0.49%
CAC……7315 -100.4 -1.35%

Nikkei…32668 -14.2 -0.04%
HSI…….19365 -69.3 -0.36%
Shanghai.3223 -8.5 -0.26%

IDX…..6948.28 +30.57 +0.44%
LQ45….969.29 +5.44 +0.56%
IDX30…504.10 +2.87 +0.57%

IDXEnergy…1973.90 +27.87 +1.43%
IDX BscMat.1065.99 -1.50 -0.14%
IDX Indstrl…1212.34 +8.97 +0.75%
IDXNONCYC.748.95 -1.33 -0.18%
IDX Hlthcare1543.08 -9.00 -0.58%
IDXCYCLIC….930.97 +4.22 +0.46%
IDX Techno.4768.08 -13.98 -0.29%
IDX Transp..1956.84 +22.99 +1.19%
IDX Infrast… .852.03 +0.99 +0.12%
IDX Finance.1434.25 +4.28 +0.30%
IDX Banking.1211.96 +6.23 +0.53%
IDX Property..756 -6.30 -0.82%

Indo10Yr.6.3408+0.0138 +0.22%
*ICBI….369.0492* -0.2372 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.8500 -0.029 -0.59%
US5Yr 4.1160 -0.052 -1.25%
US10Yr3.8750 -0.022 -0.56%
US30Yr.3.9320 -0.015 -0.38%
VIX…….13.19 -0.67 -4.83%👍

USDIndx 100.8870👍 -0.4620 -0.46%
Como Indx…280.87 -1.02 -0.3%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….146.18 -1.82 -1.23%

IndoCDS.80.21 -2.49 -3.01%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) *(25/07)*I

IDR…..15022.50‼ +24.50 +0.16%
Jisdor.15032.00 ‼+25.00 +0.17%

Euro……1.1088 +0.0025 +0.23%

TLKM…25.63 unch +0%
(3853)
EIDO….23.82 +0.19 +0.80%
EEM…..41.45 +0.24 +0.58%

Oil…..78.97 -0.36 -0.45%
*Gold…2013.40* +6.90 +0.34%
Timah..28899.00 +298.00 +1.04%
(Closed 25/07)
Nickel..21563.00 -939.50 -4.18%‼
(Closed 26/07)
Silver…. 25.09 +0.16 +0.64%
Copper.390.70 -1.15 -0.29%

Iron Ore 62% 112.72 +0.21 +0.19%
(25/07)
Nturl Gas.2.6810 -0.0490 -1.79%
Ammonia China..3000.00 +3.45%‼
(Domestic Price)(26/07)

Coal price..134.00 unch +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.65 +0.15 +0.10%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.95 -0.15 -0.10%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.15 -0.40 -0.26%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price111.25 +0.10 +0.09%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.115.05 -3.15 -2.66%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.50 -3.55 -2.93%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.20 -3.70 -2.99%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)..4063 -7 -0.17%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….548.25 -17.00 -3.01%‼
SoybeanOil 64.19 -1.07 -1.67%
Wheat……720.00 -40.25 -5.29%‼

*Wood pulp..4410.00* +30 +0.68%
(Closed 25/07)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI lanjut ijo, walau nasdaq dan SP500 merah tipis setelah rate fed naik 25 basis point

Yang lain merah, IHSG masih ijo, beware koreksi sekarang atau besok, antisipasi kenaikan minggu ini yang signifikan

USD index drop, Gold Silver ijo, copper merah, timah ijo nickel merah iron ore ijo, oil merah, coal tipis tipis, CPO juga

Harusnya bagus buat ANTM MDKA,yang lain keliatannya akan sideways or minor pullback dulu

Energy Technology Transportation

IHSG – stoch almost buy, macd up, mfi sw, w%uptrend, BD FF acc, testing neckline triple bottom, semoga tembus kenceng

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII EXCL INDY SRTG AALI ASSA AVIA JSMR MTEL INCI

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM TPIA PNBN AMFG IGAR

Aligator Buy Signal: GOTO MEDC SMDR

Supertrend Buy Signal: INCO IGAR