April 17th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower as Powell warns rates need to stay high, Dow snaps 6-day losing streak

The S&P 500
slipped on Tuesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said interest rates may need to stay elevated.

Dow……37799 +63.9 +0.17%
Nasdaq15865 -19.8 -0.12%
S&P 500.5051 -10.4 -0.21%

FTSE…..7820 -145.2 -1.82%
Dax……17766 -260.4 -1.44%
CAC……7933 -112.5 -1.40%

Nikkei..38471 -761.6 -1.94%
HSI……16428 -351.5 -2.12%
Shanghai.3007. -50.3 -1.65%

IDX…..7176.12 -110.76 -1.52%
LQ45….935.34 -28.38 -2.95%‼️
IDX30…473.50 -14.66 -3.00%‼️

IDXEnergy..2205.92 +50.11 +2.32%
IDX BscMat1392.12 +32.52 +2.39%
IDX Indstrl…1090.35 -6.40 -0.58%
IDXNONCYC.691.79 -23.57 -3.30%
IDX Hlthcare1343.23 -28.36 -2.07%
IDXCYCLIC…793.38 -21.85 -2.68%
IDXTechno3413.30 -99.84 -2.84%
IDX Transp 1415.62 -28.89 -2.60%
IDX Infrast 1590.33 -10.58 -0.66%
IDX Finance.1438.88 -36.67 -2.49%
IDX Banking.1267.50 -49.98 -3.79%
IDX Property.. 652 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.8293 +0.1245 +1.86%‼️
ICBI…378.1885 -2.4082 -0.63%‼️
US2Yr.4.985‼️ +0.060 +1.22%
US5Yr 4.698‼️ +0.071 +1.53%
US10Yr4.672‼️ +0.071 +1.54%
US30Yr.4.766‼️+0.042 +0.89%
VIX………18.40‼️ -0.83 -4.32%

USDIndx 106.2570‼️+0.049 +0.05%
Como Indx..296.84 -1.34 -0.45%
BCOMIN..151.39 -1.12 -0.74%

IndoCDS..77.18 +1.95 +2.59%
(5-yr INOCD5) (15/04)

IDR…..16175.00 +327.50 +2.07%‼️
Jisdor.16176.00 +303 +1.90%‼️

Euro….1.0619❗️ -0.0008 -0.08%

TLKM…20.07 -0.75 -3.60%‼️
( 3247)
EIDO….20.85 -0.64 -2.96%
EEM……39.74 -0.53 -1.32%

Oil…….85.29 -0.61 -0.71%
Gold..2401.20 -0.10 -0.004%
Timah..32230.00❗️ -123.00 -0.38%
(Closed 15/04)
Nickel..17991.50 -170.5 -0.95%
(Closed 16/04)
Silver….28.21 -0.76 -2.62%
Copper.437.50 -7.55 -1.72%

Iron Ore 62% 106.05 unch +0%
(15/04)
Nturl Gas..1.686‼️ -0.002 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3200.00❗️ -16.67 -0.52%
(Domestic Price)(04/04 – 15/04)

Coal price.129.25 -0.50 -0.39%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.40 -0.10 -0.07%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.25 +0.05 +0.04%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.85 +1.10 +0.78%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..121.50 +0.80 +0.66%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.900 +1.90 +1.61%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.00 +1.50 +1.27%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.55 +1.45 +1.22%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(J)..4074‼️ -67.00 -1.62%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….442.75 -1.50 -0.34%
SoybeanOil 45.48 -0.53 -1.15%
Wheat…564.50 -2.75 -0.48%

Wood pulp..5700 unch +0%
(Closed 16/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo, Nasdaq merah, SP500 merah, europe merah, asia merah, IHSG drop, US bond yield naik tinggi, masih jelek semua buat index kita hari ini

USD index naik, precious metals turun, oil gas turun, coal newcastle turun tipis, rotterdam ijo. CPO lanjut merah, kemaren jual AALI masih ga dapet, hari ini exit beneran di DCB ah

IHSG – hari pertama buka dibanting, Foreign keluar, bandar nahan cuma di saham saham yang terkait komoditas yang naik, semuabig cap dibanting, tapi jadi kemungkinan besar technical rebound hari ini. Outlook masih jelek, apalagi liat bond yield. Jangan aggressive dulu

Basic Materials, Energy, yang lain ga usah dilirik dlu, resiko

Stochastic Buy SIgnal: ADRO PTMP ASSA DOID ENRG HEAL HRTA. Big accum ASSA

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO ANTM INCO PTBA ENRG RAJA SSIA KKGI CINT. Big accum ANTM INCO PTBA

April 16th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close 1% lower as yields jump, traders await Israel response to Iran

Stocks retreated on Monday as rising yields and worries over the conflict in the Middle East overshadowed strong Goldman Sachs
earnings and hot retail sales data.

Dow……37735 -248.1 -0.65%
Nasdaq15885 -290.1 -1.79%
S&P 500.5062 -61.6 -1.20%

FTSE…..7966 -30.1 -0.38%
Dax……18027 +96.3 +0.54%
CAC……8045 +34.3 +0.43%

Nikkei..39233 -290.8 -0.74%
HSI……16601 -121.2 -0.72%
Shanghai.3057+37.9 +1.26%

IDX…..7286.88 closed +0%
LQ45….963.73 closed +0%
IDX30…488.17 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2155.81 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1359.61 closed. +0%
IDX Indstrl…1096.75 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.715.36 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1371.58 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…815.23 closed +0%
IDXTechno3513.14 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1444.51 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1600.91 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1475.65 closed +0%
IDX Banking.1317.47 closed +0%
IDX Property.. 652 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7048 closed +0%
ICBI…379.8860 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.925‼️ +0.013 +0.27%
US5Yr 4.627‼️ +0.016 +0.39%
US10Yr4.601‼️ -0.028 -0.61%
US30Yr.4.724‼️+0.016 +0.34%
VIX………19.23 +1.92 +11.09%‼️

USDIndx 106.2080‼️+0.17 +0.16%
Como Indx..298.18 +0.31 +0.10%
BCOMIN..152.51‼️ +1.97 +1.31%

IndoCDS..75.23 +1.01 +1.36%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/04)

IDR…..15848.00‼️closed +0%
Jisdor.15873.00‼️closed +0%

Euro….1.0627‼️ +0.00 +0.03%

TLKM…20.85 +0.10 +0.48%
( 3309)
EIDO……21.48 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM……40.27 -0.27 -0.65%

Oil…….85.90 +0.49 +0.57%
Gold..2401.20 +94.30 +4.08%‼️
(04/04-15/04)
Timah..28935.00 +3418.00 +11.81%‼️
(03/04 ’til 12/04)
Nickel..17991.50 +194.5 +1.09%❗️
(Closed 04/04)
Silver….28.97 +2.03 +7.53%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
Copper.437.50 +16.10 +3.77%
(04/04 – 15/04)
Iron Ore 62% 106.05 +5.64 +5.61%‼️
(03/04-12/04)
Nturl Gas..1.686‼️ -0.002 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3216.67 +183.34 +6.04%‼️
(Domestic Price)(04/04 – 12/04)

Coal price.129.75 +0.50 +0.39%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.50 +2.75 +2.06%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.20 +3.20 +2.35%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.75 +2.50 +1.80%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..120.70 -0.60 -0.49%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.00 -1.25 -1.05%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.50 -0.90 -0.75%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.55 -1.45 -1.21%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4202 -205.00 -4.88%‼️
(04/04 – 15/04)
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….444.25 -3.00 -0.67%
SoybeanOil 46.01 -0.44 -0.95%
Wheat…567.50 -3.00 -0.67%

Wood pulp..5700 unch +0%
(Closed 15/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lama libur, ketemu serangan Iran ke Israel… DJI sudah beberapa hari trun terus, europe varied, asia kebanyakan merah kemaren, IHSG hari ini kayanya akan rada goncang…

Suasana perang, selalu USD naik, commodity terkait energy naik, Bond Yield dan interest rate biasanya naik biar orang keep dana di system. Belum pasti gimana dampak ke BEI, kemungkinan besar akan goyang dulu, baru nanti setelah shock nya lewat yang hubungan sama energy yang jalan

Semua precious metals naik, oil naik, gas turun, coal naik, CPO drop. Normally saya akan hold ANTM erat erat, dan ELSA, dan ADRO, tapi entahlah dengan kondisi sekarang

IHSG – kalo dari elliot wavenya sih, emang jadwal nerusin ABC correction… walau terakhir market closing stoch buy, macd revup, FF rev net buy, tapi kondisi global memanas di saat kita libur bisa jadi efeknya meledak di opening day hari ini

dari sini sih masih jadwalnya basic materials, dan kalo liat metal2 naik ya cocok, tapi masih unpredictable karena suasana global

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BBCA INCO TLKM ELSA IMAS LPPF MIKA SGRO. Big accum ANTM INCO MIKA

MACD buy Signal: PGEO SIDO ADMR BSDE DOID JPFA. Big accum SIDO DOID

April 01st, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes at a fresh record, posts strongest first-quarter performance since 2019

The S&P 500
rose Thursday, registering its best first-quarter performance in five years.

Dow……39807 +47.3 +0.12%
Nasdaq16379 -20.2 -0.12%
S&P 500.5254 +5.9 +0.11%

FTSE…..7953 +20.64 +0.26%
Dax……18493 +15.4 +0.15%
CAC……8205 +1.0 +0.01%

Nikkei..40370 +201.4 +0.50%
HSI……16541 closed +0%
Shanghai.3041+30.5 +1.01%

IDX…..7262.54 closed +0%
LQ45….985.97 closed +0%
IDX30…501.16 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2122.53 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1288.43 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1088.02 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.724.74 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1343.34closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…820.13 closed +0%
IDXTechno3580.27 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1468.77 closed. +0%
IDX Infrast 1559.62 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1529.62closed +0%
IDX Banking.1397.26closed +0%
IDX Property.. 670 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7239❗️closed +0%
ICBI…378.8753 ❗️closed +0%
US2Yr.4.628 +0.060 +1.31%
US5Yr 4.220 +0.037 +0.88%
US10Yr4.210 +0.022 +0.53%
US30Yr.4.349 unch +0%
VIX………13.01 +0.23 +1.80%

USDIndx 104.4870 ❗️ -0.060 -0.06%
Como Indx..290.29 +3.53 +1.23%
BCOMIN…..139.75 +1.19 +0.86%

IndoCDS..73.25 +0.04 +0.05%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/03)

IDR…..15856.50‼️closed +0%
Jisdor.15873.00‼️closed +0%

Euro….1.0790 +0.00 +0.01%

TLKM…22.26 -0.01 -0.04%
(3530)
EIDO……22.53 -0.12 -0.53%
EEM……41.08 +0.16 +0.39%

Oil…….83.17 +1.82 +2.24%
Gold..2238.40‼️ +25.70 +1.16%
Timah..27451.00 -73.00 -0.27%
(Closed 28/03)
Nickel..16682.50 +39.50 +0.24%
(Closed 29/03)
Silver…..24.92 +0.16 +0.66%
Copper.400.70 +0.70 +0.17%

Iron Ore 62% 109.53 -0.31 -0.28%
(28/03)
Nturl Gas..1.752 +0.034 +1.98%
Ammonia China.3373.33 -60 -1.75%
(Domestic Price)(28/03/24)

Coal price.132.00 +0.90 +0.69%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 133.00 +0.90 +0.68%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.00 +0.65 +0.49%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.05 +0.70 +0.52%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..119.55 -0.90 -0.75%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.75 -1.20 -1.01%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.65 -0.65 -0.55%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 116.65 -0.70 -0.60%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4197 +62.00 +1.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….442.00 +15.25 +3.57% ‼️
SoybeanOil 47.95 +0.28 +0.59%
Wheat…560.25 +12.75 +2.33%

Wood pulp..5690.00 unch +0%
(Closed 31/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Terakhir market open kamis, sebeum good friday, dan US mostly ijo walau ga tebel, nasdaq merah tipis, europe ijo, asia ijo, IHSG ngotot beresin ABC correction, yang belum kejadian aja, ini US udah naik naik terus IHSG jadi ga sejalan. US bond yield naik semua jadi umumnya ga bagus buat saham

USD index turun, gold dan precious metals pada naik kecuali timah dan iron ore, semoga ANTM mantul, ga ada apa apa dibanting simply karena big cap aja kayanya, ASII juga gitu. Oil up, gas up, coal up, CPO up, semoga saham terkait komoditi nya jalan lagi

IHSG – mungkin ga akan dibawa terjun sampe level situ, kayanya akan flat style ABC nya, kecuali US tau2 crash. stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% down, BD flat FNS terus, still downtrend minornya, semoga ga asal ngorbanin big caps lagi kaya kemaren

Masih banyak yang terlihat jalan, yang leading dan belum banyak gerak masih Consumer Non-Cyclicals, lanjut Helathcare dan Energy, Basic materials terlihat melemah tapi BRPT nya menarik banget. Technology Property Consumer Cyclicals terlihat bagus tapi kemaren keseret semua sama index

StochasticBuy SIgnal: ADRO BMRI BRPT MAPI MBMA INDY TRON CINT. Big accum MBMA INDY

MACD Buy Signal: BFIN SGRO… Skip. UNTR Sell signal, waduh mesti di check ini, siapa tau perlu cutloss

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: ESSA ICBP TINS

March 28th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow surges more than 450 points, S&P 500 closes at a fresh record

The S&P 500
rose Wednesday, closing at a record as the index heads for its best first quarter since 2019.

Dow……39760 +477.8 +1.22%
Nasdaq16400 +83.8 +0.51%
S&P 500.5248 +44.9 +0.86%

FTSE…..7932 +1.02 +0.01%
Dax……18477 +92.7 +0.50%
CAC……8205 +20.1 +0.25%

Nikkei..40762 +364.7 +0.90%
HSI……16393 -225.5 -1.36%
Shanghai.2993-38.3 -1.26%

IDX…..7325.13 -40.54 -0.55%
LQ45….990.37 -7.43 -0.74%
IDX30…503.32 -4.14 -0.82%

IDXEnergy..2137.76 -2.59 -0.12%
IDX BscMat1289.45 -9.08 -0.70%
IDX Indstrl…1102.29 -1.59 -0.14%
IDXNONCYC.719.39 -1.87 -0.26%
IDX Hlthcare1354.31 -12.77 -0.93%
IDXCYCLIC…826.90 -4.24 -0.51%
IDXTechno3549.98 -34.69 -0.97%
IDX Transp 1512.95 -38.50 -2.48%
IDX Infrast 1566.69 -9.21 -0.58%
IDX Finance.1532.87 +1.14 +0.07%
IDX Banking.1405.48 -2.98. -0.21%
IDX Property.. 670 -4.70 -0.70%

Indo10Yr.6.7255❗️+0.0153+0.23%
ICBI…378.8459 ❗️-0.2104 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.568 -0.025 -0.54%
US5Yr 4.183 -0.040 -0.95%
US10Yr4.188 -0.046 -1.09%
US30Yr.4.349, -0.051 -1.16%
VIX………12.78 -0.46 -3.47%👍

USDIndx 104.3480 ❗️ +0.058 +0.06%
Como Indx..286.76 -1.05 -0.37%
BCOMIN…..138.56 -0.33 -0.24%

IndoCDS..72.26 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/03)

IDR…..15858.00‼️+65.50 +0.41%
Jisdor.15853.00‼️ +56.00 +0.35%

Euro….1.0812 -0.0020 -0.18%

TLKM…22.27 -0.51 -2.22%‼️
(3530)
EIDO……22.67 -0.11 -0.46%
EEM……40.93 +0.08 +0.18%

Oil…….81.68 +0.06 +0.07%
Gold..2212.70+11.10. +0.50%
Timah..27446.00 -134.00 -0.49%
(Closed 26/03)
Nickel..16643.50 -48.50 -0.29%
(Closed 27/03)
Silver…..24.75 +0.16 +0.65%
Copper.400.75 +0.75 +0.19%

Iron Ore 62% 110.28 -0.39 -0.35%
(26/03)
Nturl Gas..1.715 -0.069 -3.87%
Ammonia China.3433.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(27/03/24)

Coal price.129.00 +0.10 +0.08%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 131.1;0 +2.60 +2.02%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.10 +2.95 +2.28%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.35 +2.80 +2.14%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price..113.60 +0.35 +0.62%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.45 +6.15 +5.38%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.95 +6.10 +5.41%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.30 +6.35 +5.77%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4135 -102.00 -2.41%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….426.75 -5.75 -1.33%
SoybeanOil 47.67 -0.75 -1.55%
Wheat…547.50 +4.00 +0.74%

Wood pulp..5650.00 +50.00 +0.89%
(Closed 27/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US loncat, SP500 new record high, europe ijo, asia kemaren mostly masih merah, hari ini harusnya ijo juga. US bind yield turun, VIX turun, bagus buat saham

USD index up, gold masih up juga tapi along with Silver Copper, metal lain down. gas down oil coal up, kita pantau re-entry ADRO. CPO drop, bisa jadi harus exit dulu ini AALI LSIP

IHSG – stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% downtrend, BD flat FNS, masih jadwal koreksi, masih selective buying

Terlihat banyak yang jalan, leading Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare, Energy, nyusul technology, Property, Consumer Cyclicals terus Financials, Kalo bener Financials jalan, bisa break ABC correction nya

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI SRTG

MACD Buy Signal: ICBP RAJA SMSM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: JSMR