September 19th, 2024

Dow closes lower, giving up 375-point pop after big Fed rate cut

Stocks closed lower Wednesday in a volatile session as the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates in a half-percentage-point move. The outsized rate cut was cheered initially by traders, though it did raise concerns the Fed was trying to get ahead of potential economic weakness.

Dow…….41503 -103.08 -0.25%
Nasdaq. 17573 -54.8 -0.31%
S&P 500 5618 -16.3 -0.29%

FTSE…8254 -56.2 -0.68%
Dax……18712 -14.59 -0.08%
CAC……7445 -42.5 -0.57%

Nikkei….36380 +176.95 +0.49%
HSI……..17660 closed +0%
Shanghai.2717 +13.2 +0.49%

IDX….7829.14 -2.64 -0.03%
LQ45…970.25 +3.33 +0.34%
IDX30.495.10 +1.66 +0.34%

IDXEnergy. 2661.86 -5.08 -0.19%
IDX BscMat1321.61 -7.26 -0.55%
IDX Indstrl..1091.40 +9.31 +0.86%
IDXNONCYC.733.61 +0.73 +0.10%
IDX Hlthcare1543.11 +27.84+1.84%
IDXCYCLIC…904.06 -14.29 -1.66%
IDXTechno 3829.37 -101.65 -2.59%
IDX Transp 1501.09 +2.70 +0.18%
IDX Infrast 1624.68 -21.95 -1.33%
IDX Finance1557.49 +9.72 +1.63%
IDX Banking1385.86 +11.67 +0.85%
IDX Property….758 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6155👍-0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI….393.4510👍+0.1994 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.628 +0.021 +0.58%
US5Yr 3.493 +0.050 +1.45%
US10Yr3.715 +0.068 +1.86%
US30Yr.4.031 +0.071 +1.79%
VIX..18.23 +0.62 +3.52%‼️

USDIndx 100.9500❗️ +0.056 +0.06%
Como Indx….279.82 +1.16 +0.42%
BCOMIN….145.99 +0.30 +0.21%

IndoCDS..70.27 -0.94 -1.32%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/09)

IDR…….15335.00 unch +0%
Jisdor..15350.00 +12.00 +0.08%

Euro…1.1118❗️ -0.0001 -0.01%

TLKM.20.50 +0.33 +1.61%
( 3144)
EIDO…22.76 +0.12 +0.51%
EEM….42.87 -0.17 -0.38%

Oil………..70.91 -0.24 -0.34%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..72.88 -0.82 -1.11%
(Brent)
Gold…2598.60 +2.00 +0.08%
(Comex)
Gold…2558.54 -12.93 -0.48%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31594.00 -261.00 -0.82%
(Closed 18/09)
Nickel..16228.00 +92.00 +0.57%
(Closed 18/09)
Silver… ..30.69 -0.35 -1.13%
Copper.429.90 +2.05 +0.48%

Iron Ore 62% 91.94 -0.32 -0.35%
(16/09)
Nturl Gas 2.295 -0.021 -0.91%
Ammonia China 2710.00 +33.33 +1.25%
(Domestic Price)(18/09)

Coal price.139.00 -0.65 -0.47%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.25 -1.10 -0.81%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.30 -0.30 -0.22%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.85 -0.35 -0.25%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.25 -0.40 -0.35%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..112.60 -1.65 -1.44%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.45 -1.30 -1.14%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.45 -1.55 -1.36%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3848 +113 +3.03%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………412.75 +0.25 +0.06%
SoybeanOil 40.31 +0.43 +1.08%
Wheat……575.75 unch +0%

Wood pulp.4850.00 -4.00 -0.08%
(Closed 18/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, IHSG merah tipis, US T bond yield naik lagi, ini bau baunya merah lagi ISHG hari ini, padahal harusnya efek fed dan BI cut rate bagus

USD index up, metal2 kebanyakan down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO jump. Giliran AALI lanjut lari lagi nih. Yang lain keliatannya akan koreksi tipis2 dulu

IHSG – 833 sell, macd mulai rev down, hati hati yang big caps bisa mulai rontok

Property bangun dengan issue BI cut rate, Financials, Technology, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ASII TLKM AVIA BBYB BRMS BTPS ULTJ, big accum ACES ASII BBYB

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO BBRI BMRI INCO BBYB MARK MPMX TINS AMFG, big accum ARTO BBYB

August 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow tumbles 1,000 points, S&P 500 posts worst day since 2022 in global market sell-off

Stocks fell sharply on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
posting its worst day in nearly two years, as worries over the health of the U.S. economy sparked a global market sell-off.

Dow…….38703 -1033.99 -2.60%‼️
Nasdaq. 16201 -576.1 -3.43%‼️
S&P 500 5186 -160.2 -3.00%‼️

FTSE..8008.2 -166.5 -2.04%
Dax……17339 -322.2 -1.82%
CAC……7149 -102.8 -1.42%

Nikkei..31458‼️ -4451.3 -12.40%‼️
HSI…….16698 -247.2 -1.46%
Shanghai.2861 -44.6 -1.55%

IDX….7059.65‼️ -248.47 -3.40%‼️
LQ45…890.71 -28.66 -3.12%‼️
IDX30.443.34 -15.20 -3.32%‼️

IDXEnergy.2356.94 -122.55 -4.94%‼️
IDX BscMat1296.94 -63.70 -4.69%‼️
IDX Indstrl.997.88 -38.70 -3.73%‼️
IDXNONCYC.688.56 -12.44 -1.77%
IDX Hlthcare1431.38 -10.42 -0.72%
IDXCYCLIC…745.2 -18.89 -2.47%
IDXTechno.3176.47 -58.56 -2.92%
IDX Transp 1318.81 -58.25 -4.23%‼️
IDX Infrast 1508.33 -49.04 -3.15%‼️
IDX Finance1374.80 -37.96 -2.69%
IDX Banking1217.60 -41.59 -3.30%‼️
IDX Property…..632 -19.10 -3.05%‼️

Indo10Yr.6.8696❗️ -0.0387 -0.56%
ICBI…386.5794❗️ +0.7910 -0.21%
US2Yr.3.902 +0.024 +0.62%
US5Yr 3.625 +0.010 +0.28%
US10Yr3.792 unch +0%
US30Yr.4.066 -0.043 -1.05%
VIX..38.57‼️ +15.18 +64.90%‼️

USDIndx 102.6890❗️ -0.519 -0.50%
Como Indx….268.79 -1.34 -0.50%
BCOMIN…..136.12 -2.09 -1.51%

IndoCDS..77.20 +2.50 +3.35%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16189.00❗️ -11.00 -0.07%
Jisdor.16154.00❗️ -80.00 -0.49%

Euro…1.0955❗️ +0.0166 +1.54%

TLKM…17.03 -0.53 -2.99%
( 2751)
EIDO….19.55 -0.77 -3.79%‼️
EEM….40.42 -1.15 -2.76%

Oil………..74.03 -2.76 -3.59%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.30 -0.51 -0.66%
(Brent)
Gold…..2451.60 -18.20 -0.74%
(Comex)
Gold……2408.43 -34.81 -1.42%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29484.00 -704.00 -2.33%
(Closed 05/08)
Nickel..16203.50 -62.50 -0.38%
(Closed 05/08)
Silver….27.36 -10.30 -3.63%‼️
Copper.401.40 -8.90 -2.17%

Iron Ore 62% 104.00 +1.17 +1.14%
(02/08)
Nturl Gas 1.976 -0.002 -0.10%
Ammonia China 2346.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(02/08)

Coal price.143.70 -0.40 -0.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.75 unch +0%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 146.75 -0.15 -0.10%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.75 -0.65 -0.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.30 -2.05 -1.69%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.55 -2.65 -2.17%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.80 -1.95 -1.60%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.85 -2.25 -1.84%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3740 -118 -3.06%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..407.00 +3.75 +0.93%
SoybeanOil 40.23 -0.58 -1.42%
Wheat…..539.50 +0.50 +0.09%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 05/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lanjut berdarah darah semua index regional, yang paling parah jepang sampe minus 12%. IHSG kemaren sempet lebih dari 4 %, ga sampe trading halt sih, tapi berantakan semua. Ditambah US bond yield yang wajarnya naik untuk hold dana jadi kemungkinan masih lanjut merahnya hari ini. Tapi secara technical memang udah ditunggu, ga ada yang mengagetkan juga, kita assess lagi momentum beli setelah index tutup gap

USD index down, tapi semua metal juga down kecuali iron ore, oil gas coal down, cpo juga down, pulp and paper juga down, selamat buat yang kemaren udah keep cash, standby tunggu beres wave 2

IHSG – double top target udah done, itungan fibonacci extension udah done, nanggung tutup gap sekalian, abis itu baru kita pikirin belanja lagi…

RSI nya belum ngikut, padahal pada drop semua ini… Tapi ya prospek tetep di basic materials dan healthcare dan consumer cyclicals dan consumer non-cyclicals yang sering pada defensif dan jadi ganjel bursa

Stochastic Buy Signal: MBMA SCMA, dua duanya big dist

Menarik kalo udah bisa short selling ini sebenernya, hehehe

June 10th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes flat near record, posts winning week

The S&P 500 ended flat on Friday, touching a record-high intraday, despite a stronger-than-expected jobs report.

Dow……38799 -87.2 -0.22%
Nasdaq17133 -39.99 -0.23%
S&P 500.5346 -5.97 -0.11%

FTSE…..8245 -39.97 -0.48%
Dax……18557 -95.4 -0.51%
CAC……8001 -38.3 -0.48%

Nikkei..38684 -19.6 -0.05%
HSI…..18367 -109.9 -0.59%
Shanghai.3051 +2.5 +0.08%

IDX….6897.95 -76.95 -1.10%
LQ45..883.93 -8.18 -0.92%
IDX30.441.02 -2.95 -0.66%

IDXEnergy..2262.65 +0.30 +0.01%
IDX BscMat1347.27 -2.71 -0.20%
IDX Indstrl. 943.90 -5.91 -0.62%
IDXNONCYC.698.28 -1.30 -0.19%
IDX Hlthcare1431.16 +16.96+1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…733.18 -3.85 -0.52%
IDXTechno3276.82 -43.51 -1.31%
IDX Transp 1265.25 +7.58 +0.60%
IDX Infrast 1439.25 -16.33 -1.12%
IDX Finance1351.84 -18.47 -1.35%
IDX Banking1160.38 -11.78 -1.00%
IDX Property…..615 +0.20 +0.33%

Indo10Yr.6.9304 +0.0002 +0.002%
ICBI…380.8664 +0.2382 +0.06%
US2Yr.4.889 +0.165 +3.49%‼️
US5Yr 4.461 +0.163 +3.79%‼️
US10Yr4.433 +0.135 +3.14%‼️
US30Yr.4.553 +0.118 +2.66%
VIX..12.22 -0.36 -2.86%

USDIndx 104.8850❗️+0.7830 +0.75%
Como Indx….289.86 -2.56 -0.88%
BCOMIN….153.03 -5.76 -3.63%‼️

IndoCDS..72.72 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/06)

IDR…..16195.00 -67.50 -0.42%
Jisdor.16218.00 -61.00 -0.37%

Euro….1.0801 -0.0091 -0.84%

TLKM…18.57 -0.17 -0.88%
( 3011)
EIDO….19.77 -0.35 -1.72%
EEM…..42.04 -0.48 -1.12%

Oil…….75.53 -0.10 -0.13%
Gold..2325.00 -69.50 -2.90%‼️
Timah..31452.00 -746.00 -2.32%
(Closed 07/06)
Nickel..18609.50 +10.50 +0.06%
(Closed 07/06)
Silver….29.44 -2.02 -6.42%‼️
Copper.448.35 -18.60 -3.98%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 108.48 -0.02 -0.02%
(07/06)
Nturl Gas..2.937 +0.116 +4.11%‼️
Ammonia China.2966.67 +16.67 +0.57%
(Domestic Price)(06/06)

Coal price.131.45 -2.90 -2.16%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.00 -2.90 -2.13%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.05 -0.55 -0.40%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.35 +0.95 +0.69%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.00 -1.85 -1.68%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.110.60 -0.85 -0.76%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.05 -0.50 -0.44%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 115.35 +0.30 +0.26%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3976 +15.00 +0.38%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..448.75 -3.25 -0.72%
SoybeanOil 43.63 -0.72 -1.62%
Wheat…..627.50 -12.00 -1.88%

Wood pulp..5810 unch +0%
(Closed 05/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at US merah europe merah asia merah, US bond yield naik tinggi banget, fixed deh, IHSG tutup gap dulu hari ini

USD index up, gold silver copper drop, tin iron ore down, nickel up sendiri. Oil down gas up coal down, CPO lanjut ijo, ini bubar semua kecuali buat AALI LSIP, tapi kalo index merah dalem ya susah jalan juga

IHSG – technical jelek semua, cuma Elliot wave yang bilang udah deket beres ABC correction sekalian tutup gap, beware, semua open position pasang stop loss

Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak, KLBF UNTR ASSA BSDE ELSA GTRA SMRA SMAR AMFG MDKI AALI. Ga ada yang big accum, kita assess sekilas, yang emang bagus bisa jadi bagus diambil nanti sore kalau index merah dalem lagi tutup gap

MACD Buy Signal: SIDO

KLBF – technical relative ok semua, memang stoch nya udah tinggi, MACD udah diatas histogram, tapi retracement pattern says up ke fibo 38.Kalo misalnya hari ini dibanting ke deket level 1535 mungkin bagus buat pasang buy disitu plus 1 tick

Spike udah done

Ah, nggak dulu deh, biggest holdernya udah mulai lepas barang, tunggu koreksi dulu deh

UNTR – technical menarik, stoch buy macd up, MFI up, w% sw, tapi BD FF masih dist, ada gap, ASII nya juga udah terlihat siap jalan, BOW bisa ini harusnya

Spike nya ok

Biggest holder lagi hold, mungkin karena index lagi drop. Tapi ga buang, ok ini, bisa BOW UNTR idealnya level deket 22.200. Saya skip karena hold ASII

ASSA – dari chart nya kaya yang mau hajatan… stoch buy, macd almost buy, tapi MFI down karena vol kecil, bandar aja yang main kali, w% up, BD FF rev acc, reg bull div confirmed by MA 10 and 2 bull candle, harusnya bisa buy

Ada spike belum done

average aman, biggest holder accum, YP aja buang dikit. bisa buy ini, BOW sedikit diatas support 710 ideal

BSDE – Stoch rev buy belum sampe oversold sih, macd sw, MFI down, w% sw, BD FF acc tipis, mungkin aja beres sidewaysnya dan mau lanjut, tapi index kaya gini dan liat curve nya sih, ke bawah kayanya

ELSA – belum sih, kemarin udah firm jalan tapi oil price ngebalik, kita tunggu firm naik lagi oil price nya

Tunggu oil price confirm dulu

AALI – belum boleh jalan, balik ke support low kemaren, stoch rev buy, macd up, MFI down, w% downtrend, BD FF dist, kesempatan ambil di bawah sih ini, tapi memang resiko, yang berani spec buy boleh, tapi break support buang

Spike nya sih cakep

Average aman, biggest holder udah berhenti buang, second nya accum, berani lah… Saya masih hold AALI

SIDO – technical ok, tapi overpriced, ga ada issue besar juga, skip ah

 

 

 

June 07th, 2024

Good morning,

Stock rally takes a breather ahead of key jobs report

US stocks were little changed on Thursday, hovering near record highs, with investors awaiting an update on the labor market amid growing hopes for interest rate cuts.

Dow……38886 +78.8 +0.20%
Nasdaq17173 -14.8 -0.09%
S&P 500.5353 -1.1 -0.02%

FTSE…..8285 +38.4 +0.47%
Dax……18653 +76.7 +0.41%
CAC……8040 +33.6 +0.42%

Nikkei..38704 +213.4 +0.55%
HSI…..18477 +51.8 +0.28%
Shanghai.3049 -16.6 -0.54%

IDX….6974.90 +27.23 +0.39%
LQ45..892.10 +10.40 +1.18%
IDX30.443.97 +5.31 +1.21%

IDXEnergy..2262.35 +1.24 +0.05%
IDX BscMat1349.99 +16.43 +1.23%
IDX Indstrl. 949.81 -12.70 -1.32%
IDXNONCYC.699.59 +3.99 +0.57%
IDX Hlthcare1414.20 +11.32+0.81%
IDXCYCLIC…737.03 +6.10 +0.83%
IDXTechno3320.34 +31.63 +0.96%
IDX Transp 1257.67 +1.66 +0.13%
IDX Infrast 1455.58 -22.88 -1.55%
IDX Finance1370.31 +10.33 +0.76%
IDX Banking1172.15 +20.34 +1.77%
IDX Property…..613 -4.60 -0.75%

Indo10Yr.6.9302 +0.0118 +0.17%
ICBI…380.6282 -0.1967 -0.05%
US2Yr.4.724 +0.020 +0.04%
US5Yr 4.298 +0.040 +0.09%
US10Yr4.298 +0.020 +0.47%
US30Yr.4.435 +0.004 +0.09%
VIX..12.58👍 -0.05 -0.40%

USDIndx 104.1020❗️-0.1960 -0.19%
Como Indx….290.42 +4.71 +1.64%
BCOMIN…..158.79 +2.03 +1.29%

IndoCDS..72.71 +0.47 +0.65%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/06)

IDR…..16264.00 -23.50 -0.14%
Jisdor.16279.00 -3.00 -0.02%

Euro….1.0892 +0.0021 +0.19%

TLKM…18.73 +0.06 +0.32%
( 3047)
EIDO….20.11 +0.21 +1.03%
EEM…..42.55 +0.21 +0.48%

Oil…….75.63❗️ +1.30 +1.80%
Gold..2394.50 ❗️ +17.80 +0.75%
Timah..32198.00 +877.00 +2.80%
(Closed 06/06)
Nickel..18609.50 +10.50 +0.06%
(Closed 06/06)
Silver….31.46 +1.30 +4.31%
Copper.466.95 +6.35 +1.38%

Iron Ore 62% 107.02 -0.67 -0.62%
(05/06)
Nturl Gas..2.821 +0.061 +2.21%
Ammonia China.2950.00 -16.67 -0.56%
(Domestic Price)(05/06)

Coal price.135.90 -1.65 -1.21%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.90 -1.10 -0.81%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.05 -3.55 -2.54%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 137.40 -3.00 -2.14%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.109.85 -2.25 -2.00%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.45 -3.55 -3.10%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.55 -4.25 -3.61%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 115.05 -3.70 -3.12%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3961 +54.00 +1.38%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..452.00 +12.75 +2.90%
SoybeanOil 44.35 +1.22 +2.83%
Wheat…..639.50 -7.25 -1.12%

Wood pulp..5810 -10. -0.17%
(Closed 05/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo nasdaq merah, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan ijo, us bond yield ijo juga, kayanya tipis tipis hari ini IHSG

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali iron ore, oil gas up, coal lanjut plunge down, CPO up, yang pegang saham coal hati2 pasang stoploss. AALI LSIP semoga lanjut jalan

IHSG – masih jelek technical nya, BD juga ga nahan, FNS lagi agak besar, bisa merah lagi hari ini… Hati-hati, selective buying only, dan pantau ketat

Consumer Cyclicals, Energy, Financials, COnsumer Non-Cyclicals, tapi energy meragukan kalo liat chart oil dan coal. Financials semoga bisa ngangkat index, nahan BREN

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT CPIN ICBP SRTG TOWR ADHI PTRO. Big accum SRTG TOWR

MACD Buy Signal: ICBP TOWR TBIG LTLS, Big accum TOWR. Terlihat menarik ini saham infrastructure ya?