Oct 23rd, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 300 points lower after 10-year Treasury yield tops 5% for the first time since 2007

Stocks retreated Friday as a surge in the 10-year Treasury yield
prompted broader concerns about the state of the economy.

Dow……33127 -286.9 -0.86%
Nasdaq12984 -202.4 -1.53%
S&P 500.4224 -53.8 -1.26%

FTSE…..7402 -97.4 -1.30%
Dax……14798 -246.8 -1.64%
CAC……6816 -105.2 -1.52%

Nikkei…31259 -171.3 -0.54%
HSI…….17172 -123.8 -0.72%
Shanghai.2983 -22.3 -0.74%

IDX….6849.17 +2.74 +0.34%
LQ45….911.89 +1.81 +0.20%
IDX30…470.40 +0.82 +0.17%

IDXEnergy..2076.00 +1.39 +0.07%
IDX BscMat.1242.30 +0.85 +0.07%
IDX Indstrl…1122.38 +0.16 +0.01%
IDXNONCYC.745.20 +0.38 +0.05%
IDX Hlthcare1484.38+3.41 +0.23%
IDXCYCLIC…853.51 -1.83 -0.21%
IDX Techno.3949.22 -66.56 -1.66%
IDX Transp 1683.76 -28.25 -1.65%
IDX Infrast..1215.98 -9.97 -0.81%
IDX Finance.1356.92 +1.85 +0.14%
IDX Banking.1174.98 +10.95+0.94%
IDX Property…698 -5.40 -0.77%

Indo10Yr.7.1419‼ +0.1088+1.55%
ICBI….361.0366‼-2.0354 -0.56%
US2Yr.5.071‼ -0.038 -0.74%
US5Yr 4.854 -0.100 -2.02%
US10Yr4.914 -0.081 -1.62%
US30Yr.5.078‼ -0.031 -0.61%
VIX…..21.71‼ +0.31 +1.45%

USDIndx 106.1630‼-0.090 -0.08%
Como Indx…286.01 -1.32 -0.46%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..136.16 -0.26 -0.19%

IndoCDS.102.96 +2.96 +2.96%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (20/10)

IDR…..15872.50‼ +57.50 +0.36%
Jisdor.15856.00‼ +18.00 +0.11%

Euro……1.0594 +0.0014 +0.13%

TLKM…23.53 -0.16 -0.68%
(3731)
EIDO….20.92 +0.08 +0.38%
EEM….36.79 -0.45 -1.21%

Oil………88.08‼ -2.26 -2.50%
Gold..1994.40‼ +8.00 +0.40%
Timah..24985.00 -220.00 -0.97%
(Closed 20/10)
Nickel..18648.00 +91.00 +0.49%
(Closed 20/10)
Silver……23.50 +0.35 +1.51%
Copper.356.30 -2.05 -0.57%

Iron Ore 62%118.65 -0.39 -0.33%
(20/10)
Nturl Gas…3.258 +0.303 +10.25%‼
Ammonia China.3700.00 +76.67 +2.12%
(Domestic Price)(19/10)

Coal price.138.00 +1.50 +1.10%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.00 +1.00 +0.70%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.40 -0.60 -0.41%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price 150.50 -0.45 -0.30%
(Jan/Newcastle)

Coal price.138.00 +0.50 +0.36%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.139.10 +1.00 +0.73%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.136.90 -0.10 -0.07%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price 136.20 -0.05 -0.04%
(Jan/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jan)..3771 +25 +0.67%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……495.00 -9.50 -1.88%
SoybeanOil 53.39 +0.28 +0.53%
Wheat….586.00 -8.00 -1.35%

Wood pulp..5700.00 -10 -0.18%
(Closed 22/10)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia.
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at kebakaran semua, bagusnya sih US Bond rate turun, harusnya dampaknya bagus ke saham, USD index turun, Gold silver naik, copper timah nickel iron ore turun, oil turun, gas loncat, Coal tipis2, spot ijo future merah. Harusnya bagus buat ANTM MDKA dan saham2 tambang batubara. PGAS sayangnya ga selalu sejalan sama harga gas, jadi walau loncat ga banyak ngaruh

IHSG – ga jadi buy MACD nya, stoch nya ngebalik sell, masih FNS terus, masih distribusi terus, bikin lower low,jadi terbuka kemungkinan ABC correction nya bukan kaya yang kemaren digambar, tapi di 6750 an targetnya. Masih bagus pegang cash…

Energy, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: ICBP AALI TAPG

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM BRMS

Stochastic Continuation Signal: SIDO BMTR HMSP LPPF

ICBP – stoch buy macd down, MFI sw, w% baru keluar downtrend area, BD rev acc, FF masih dist, abis wave 5 udah bikin abc correction,udah kemu reg bull div, baru satu cendol. Wait confirmation…

AALI – masih jelek semua kecuali stochastic buy dan ketemu reg bull div, tunggu confirm

TAPG – lebih bagus technicalnya, stoch buy, macd rev up, w% up, BD FF rev acc, bikin higher low, ada reg bear div di chaikin money index, tapi belum berani entry, macd buy signal kita assess lagi

 

Sept 18th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow sheds nearly 300 points Friday, S&P 500 and Nasdaq suffer second straight week of losses

Stocks fell Friday as investors wrapped up a volatile week ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting.

Dow……34618 -288.9 -0.83%
Nasdaq13708 -217.7 -1.56%
S&P 500.4450 -54.8 -1.22%

FTSE…..7711 +38.3 +0.50%
Dax……15894 +88.2 +0.56%
CAC……7379 +70.2 +0.96%

Nikkei…33533 +364.99 +1.10%
HSI…….18183 +134.97 +0.75%
Shanghai.3118 -8.8 -0.28%

IDX…..6982.79 +23.46 +0.34%
LQ45….961.20 +5.59 +0.59%
IDX30…497.95 +2.54 +0.51%

IDXEnergy…2153.14 +5.09 +0.24%
*IDX BscMat.1332.21. +26.87 +2.06%*
IDX Indstrl…1183.94 +2.55 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.743.59 +1.20 +0.16%
IDX Hlthcare1460.65 -29.20. -1.96%
IDXCYCLIC…884.56 -7.90 -0.88%
IDX Techno.4406.44 -3.66 -0.08%
IDX Transp..1837.08 +2.96 +0.16%
IDX Infrast….917.42 +0.17 +0.02%
IDX Finance.1388.61 -1.42 -0.10%
IDX Banking.1202.52 +0.73 +0.06%
IDX Property..722 -7.90 -1.08%

*Indo10Yr.6.6890‼️ +0.0371 +0.56%*
*ICBI..366.9027‼️-0.5138 -0.14%*
*US2Yr.5.037‼️* +0.023 +0.46%
*US5Yr 4.465* +0.046 +1.04%
*US10Yr4.336* +0.052 +1.21%
*US30Yr.4.421*+0.041 +0.94%
*VIX……13.79‼️ +0.97 +7.57%*

*USDIndx 105.3220‼️ -0.0830 -0.08%*
Como Indx…289.61 -0.68 -0.23%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..142.57 -1.74 -1.21%

*IndoCDS.77.71👍* -0.50 -0.64%
(5-yr INOCD5) *(15/09)*

*IDR…..15355.50‼️+0.50 +0.00%*
*Jisdor.15367.00‼️+10.00 +0.07%*

*Euro……1.0657 +0.0013 +0.12%*

TLKM…24.08 +0.08 +0.33%
*(3700)*
EIDO….22.77 +0.03 +0.13%
EEM….39.13 -0.15 -0.38%

*Oil………90.77* +0.17 +0.19%
*Gold…1946.20* +15.3 +0.79%
*Timah..25703.00* -192.00 -0.74%
*(Closed 15/09)*
*Nickel..19922.50‼️ -337.50 -1.66%*
(Closed 15/09)
*Silver…23.39 +0.46 +2.01%*
Copper.380.10 -1.75 -0.46%

*Iron Ore 62%121.29‼️ +0.73 +0.61%*
(15/09)
*Nturl Gas…2.643 -0.061 -2.26%*
*Ammonia China..3816.67* unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(15/09)

Coal price.160.50 +0.35 +0.22%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.166.15 +1.20 +0.73%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.169.10 +1.05 +0.62%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.172.60 +0.50 +0.29%
(Des/Newcastle)

Coal price.122.25 +0.90 +0.74%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.15 +1.15 +0.93%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.124.70 +0.60 +0.48%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.126.15 +0.60 +0.48%
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)..3785 +26 +0.69%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………476.25 -4.25 -0.88%
SoybeanOil 62.06 +0.34 +0.55%
Wheat……604.25 +10.50 +1.77%

*Wood pulp..4820.00‼️unch +0%*
(Closed 17/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

 

Jum’at US closing merah, Europe masih pada ijo kaya asia juga. Prepare hari ini merah ya

VIX jump, saham jadi volatile hati hati… USD index merah, gold silver iron ore ijo, copper timah nickel merah. oil coal ijo gas merah, CPO ijo. Bagus ini buat ANTM MDKA ADRO PTBA ITMG INDY

IHSG – stoch down rev, macd down rev,MFI sw, w%up, mulai FNB, BD acc, 833 udah buy, sign mau lanjut sih, tapi belum firm. Masih ada kemungkinan mau ABC correction. Kita tunggu financials jalan

Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT EXCL AVIA BBKP BELI HSMP MMIX TAPG CEKA IPOL

MACD Buy Signal: TLKM ECII

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INKP TLKM HMSP TKIM

Supertrend Buy Signal: UNTR

August 11th, 2023

 

Good morning,

 

Dow ends Thursday slightly higher, lifted by weaker-than-expected inflation data, Disney pops nearly 5%

 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average

edged higher Thursday, helped by a post-earnings Disney

rally and a key inflation reading showing slightly less year-over-year inflation growth than expected.

 

Dow……35176  +52.8      +0.18%

Nasdaq13738  +15.98    +0.12%

S&P 500.4469  +1.1         +0.03%

 

FTSE…..7619   +31.3       +0.41%

Dax……15997  +143.9     +0.91%

CAC……7434   +111.6     +1.52%

 

Nikkei…32474   +269.3  +0.84%

HSI…….19248   +2.2       +0.01%

Shanghai.3254 +10.1     +0.31%

 

IDX…..6893.23   +18.16    +0.12%

LQ45….966.48   +1.18       +0.12%

IDX30…501.45   +0.28       +0.06%

 

IDXEnergy…1940.94  +28.82 +1.51%

IDX BscMat.1098.97 +0.35   +0.03%

IDX Indstrl…1204.59  -7.90    -0.65%

IDXNONCYC.750.22 +0.17    +0.02%

IDX Hlthcare1490.49+1.59    +0.11%

IDXCYCLIC….913.88  -0.89    -0.10%

IDX Techno.4484.67 +30.83 +0.69%

IDX Transp..1873.52 +15.12 +0.81%

IDX Infrast… .858.21 +3.24   +0.38%

IDX Finance.1428.13 -2.54    -0.18%

IDX Banking.1228.06+1.50   +0.12%

IDX Property..755       -2.00   -2.70%

 

*Indo10Yr.6.3964* -0.0013  -0.02%

*ICBI….369.5720* +0.2564 +0.07%

*US2Yr.4.8500*  -0.040    -0.83%

*US5Yr 4.2340   +0.095   +2.30%*

*US10Yr4.1150  +0.1050 +2.62%*

*US30Yr.4.2680 +0.103   +2.47%*

*VIX…….15.85   -0.11      -0.69%*

 

*USDIndx 102.6230* +0.1330 +0.13%

Como Indx…279.96  -2.08   -0.74%

(Core Commodity CRB)

BCOMIN….142.56    -0.35    -0.24%

 

 

*IndoCDS.80.21  -0.02  -0.02%*

(5-yr INOCD5) *(09/08)*

 

*IDR…..15185.00‼️-4.50    -0.03%*

*Jisdor.15204.00 ‼️-2.00   -0.01%*

 

*Euro……1.0982  +0.0005  +0.05%*

 

TLKM…24.57  -0.01   -0.04%

*(3736)*

EIDO….23.10   +0.03  +0.13%

EEM…..40.15   +0.06  +0.15%

 

*Oil…..82.90‼️  -1.33   -1.58%*

*Gold…1944.90‼️* -4.00  -0.21%

Timah..27259.00  -41.00   -0.15%

*(Closed 09/08)*

Nickel..20430.50  -88.00   -0.43%

(Closed 10/08)

Silver…… 22.76  +0.02   +0.09%

Copper.375.65   -2.95     -0.78%

 

*Iron Ore 62%  104.70 +0.29 +0.28%*

(09/08)

Nturl Gas.2.7850  -0.0070  -0.25%

*Ammonia  China..3366.67 unch  +0%*

(Domestic Price)(10/08)

 

Coal price..143.00 +0.50 +0.35%

(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.149.00 +0.75  +0.51%

(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.152.25 +1.35  +0.89%

(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.155.50 +1.25  +0.81%

(Nov/Newcastle)

 

Coal price117.50  +1.65  +1.42%

(Agt/Rotterdam)

Coal price.120.25  -0.35   -0.29%

(Sept/ Rotterdam)

Coal price.120.55  -0.10   -0.08%

(Oct/Rotterdam)

Coal price.122.10  -0.30   -0.25%

(Nov/Rotterdam)

 

CPO(Oct)..3727  -38   -1.00%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

 

Corn………496.25  +2.00   +0.40%

SoybeanOil 60.48 +0.05   +0.08%

Wheat……663.75  +2.00   +0.40%

 

*Wood pulp..4620.00‼️* +20  +0.43%

(Closed 09/08)

 

©️Phintraco Sekuritas

Broker Code: *_AT_*

_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo europe ijo, asia ijo, ayo ijo lagi IHSG hari ini…

USD index naik, kebanyakan commodities turun kecuali silver, iron ore sama coal. Bagus buat PTBA dkk, tapi tambang mineral mineral logam jadi kurang OK

IHSG – stoch rev up almost buy, MACD down rev, BD flat, FNB 5 days straight, triangle keliatan mau breakout ke atas, semoga lanjut

Basic Materials dan Industrials rada slow down, Infrastructure Property Financials sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: INDY ITMG SRTG TOWR UNTR ABMM HMSP SMAR. Big accum: INDY ITMG SRTG TOWR. Kayanya emang coal mau hajatan ini…

MACD Buy Signal: SIDO ADMR JPFA CEKA

Alligator Buy Signal: BUKA

Supertrend Buy Signal: BBNI