Daily Analysis 20241105
November 05th, 2024 Dow leads stocks lower as Wall Street braces for Election Day US stocks slipped during a jittery session on Monday to kick off a week of potentially…
Daily Analysis 20240925
September 25th, 2024 S&P 500, Dow hit fresh records, China stocks soar on new stimulus US stocks rose modestly on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial average…
Daily Analysis 20240920
September 20th, 2024
Dow jumps 500 points, S&P 500 closes above 5,700 for the first time a day after Fed slashes rates
Stocks jumped Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
and S&P 500
rising to new all-time highs, as traders cheered the Federal Reserve’s Wednesday decision to lower interest rates by a half percentage point.
Dow…….42025 +522.1 +1.26%
Nasdaq. 18013 +440.7 +2.51%
S&P 500 5714 +95.4 +1.70%
FTSE…8329 +75.04 +0.91%
Dax……19002 +290.9 +1.55%
CAC……7615 +170.5 +2.29%
Nikkei..37155 +775.16 +2.13%
HSI……18013 +353.1 +2.20%
Shanghai.2736 +18.7 +0.69%
IDX….7905.39‼️ +76.26 +0.97%
LQ45…979.68 +9.43 +0.97%
IDX30.499.81 +4.71 +0.95%
IDXEnergy. 2688.52 +26.66 +1.00%
IDX BscMat1335.52 +13.91 +1.05%
IDX Indstrl..1092.57 +1.17 +0.11%
IDXNONCYC.736.48 +2.87 +0.39%
IDX Hlthcare1536.96 -6.15. -0.40%
IDXCYCLIC…905.33 +1.27 +0.18%
IDXTechno 3808.56 -20.65 -2.59%
IDX Transp 1514.00 +12.90 +0.86%
IDX Infrast 1644.97 +20.29 +1.25%
IDX Finance1572.24 +14.75 +0.95%
IDX Banking1404.75 +18.89 +1.36%
IDX Property..791 +17.30 +2.23%
Indo10Yr.6.5821👍-0.0334 -0.51%
ICBI….394.2302👍+0.7792 +0.20%
US2Yr.3.588 -0.040 -1.10%
US5Yr 3.486 -0.070 -0.20%
US10Yr3.719 +0.040 +0.11%
US30Yr.4.054 +0.023 +0.57%
VIX..16.33 -1.90 -10.42%👍
USDIndx 100.6140❗️ -0.336 -0.33%
Como Indx….282.19 +2.37 +0.85%
BCOMIN….147.23 +1.25 +0.85%
IndoCDS..67.73👍 -0.51 -0.75%
(5-yr INOCD5) (18/09)
IDR…….15239.00👍 -96.00 -0.63%
Jisdor..15287.00👍 -63.00 -0.41%
Euro…1.1162❗️ +0.0044 +0.40%
TLKM.20.62 +0.12 +0.59%
( 3152)
EIDO…23.32 +0.56 +2.46%
EEM….43.78 +0.93 +2.16%
Oil………..72.10 +1.19 +1.68%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..74.88 +2.00 +2.74%
(Brent)
Gold…2611.90 +13.30 +0.51%
(Comex)
Gold…2587.58 +29.04 +1.13%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31823.00 +229.00 .+0.72%
(Closed 18/09)
Nickel..16333.50 +105.50 +0.65%
(Closed 18/09)
Silver… ..31.12 +0.43 +1.40%
Copper.434.50 +4.60 +1.07%
Iron Ore 62% 91.57 -0.41 -0.45%
(18/09)
Nturl Gas 2.340 +0.045 +1.96%
Ammonia China 2710.00 +33.33 +1.25%
(Domestic Price)(18/09)
Coal price.139.50 +0.50 +0.36%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.75 +1.50 +1.11%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.00 +1.70 +1.26%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.25 +1.40 +1.02%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.114.25 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..110.80 -1.80 -1.60%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 110.75 -1.70 -1.51%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.20 -1.35 -1.11%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
CPO(Des) 3879 +31 +0.81%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………405.75 -7.00 -1.70%
SoybeanOil 40.93 +0.62 +1.54%
Wheat……565.50 -10.25 -1.78%
Wood pulp.4830.00 -20.00 -0.41%
(Closed 19/09)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US ijo tebel menyambut fed rate cut, europe ijo, asia udah ijo duluan, welcome 8000 IHSG
US T-bond yield yang pendek down, USD index down, metal2 up kecuali iron ore, oil up, gas up, coal up, CPO up, considering profit taking di beberapa saham yang udah gerak jauh. Begitu 8000 kena, peluang wave 4 incoming jadi besar banget
IHSG – stoch macd mfi up, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, efek BI dan Fed cut rate, harusnya sampe ke atas 8000
Property, Financials, Technology, Transportation, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare
Stochastic Buy Signal: DSNG PTMP
MACD Buy Signal: ASII INTP MEDC PTBA BRMS BTPS ENRG VKTR HAIS, big accum ASII MEDC BRMS BTPS VKTR
Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: BRPT BNGA
Daily Analysis 20240919
September 19th, 2024
Dow closes lower, giving up 375-point pop after big Fed rate cut
Stocks closed lower Wednesday in a volatile session as the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates in a half-percentage-point move. The outsized rate cut was cheered initially by traders, though it did raise concerns the Fed was trying to get ahead of potential economic weakness.
Dow…….41503 -103.08 -0.25%
Nasdaq. 17573 -54.8 -0.31%
S&P 500 5618 -16.3 -0.29%
FTSE…8254 -56.2 -0.68%
Dax……18712 -14.59 -0.08%
CAC……7445 -42.5 -0.57%
Nikkei….36380 +176.95 +0.49%
HSI……..17660 closed +0%
Shanghai.2717 +13.2 +0.49%
IDX….7829.14 -2.64 -0.03%
LQ45…970.25 +3.33 +0.34%
IDX30.495.10 +1.66 +0.34%
IDXEnergy. 2661.86 -5.08 -0.19%
IDX BscMat1321.61 -7.26 -0.55%
IDX Indstrl..1091.40 +9.31 +0.86%
IDXNONCYC.733.61 +0.73 +0.10%
IDX Hlthcare1543.11 +27.84+1.84%
IDXCYCLIC…904.06 -14.29 -1.66%
IDXTechno 3829.37 -101.65 -2.59%
IDX Transp 1501.09 +2.70 +0.18%
IDX Infrast 1624.68 -21.95 -1.33%
IDX Finance1557.49 +9.72 +1.63%
IDX Banking1385.86 +11.67 +0.85%
IDX Property….758 – -%
Indo10Yr.6.6155👍-0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI….393.4510👍+0.1994 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.628 +0.021 +0.58%
US5Yr 3.493 +0.050 +1.45%
US10Yr3.715 +0.068 +1.86%
US30Yr.4.031 +0.071 +1.79%
VIX..18.23 +0.62 +3.52%‼️
USDIndx 100.9500❗️ +0.056 +0.06%
Como Indx….279.82 +1.16 +0.42%
BCOMIN….145.99 +0.30 +0.21%
IndoCDS..70.27 -0.94 -1.32%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/09)
IDR…….15335.00 unch +0%
Jisdor..15350.00 +12.00 +0.08%
Euro…1.1118❗️ -0.0001 -0.01%
TLKM.20.50 +0.33 +1.61%
( 3144)
EIDO…22.76 +0.12 +0.51%
EEM….42.87 -0.17 -0.38%
Oil………..70.91 -0.24 -0.34%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..72.88 -0.82 -1.11%
(Brent)
Gold…2598.60 +2.00 +0.08%
(Comex)
Gold…2558.54 -12.93 -0.48%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31594.00 -261.00 -0.82%
(Closed 18/09)
Nickel..16228.00 +92.00 +0.57%
(Closed 18/09)
Silver… ..30.69 -0.35 -1.13%
Copper.429.90 +2.05 +0.48%
Iron Ore 62% 91.94 -0.32 -0.35%
(16/09)
Nturl Gas 2.295 -0.021 -0.91%
Ammonia China 2710.00 +33.33 +1.25%
(Domestic Price)(18/09)
Coal price.139.00 -0.65 -0.47%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.25 -1.10 -0.81%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.30 -0.30 -0.22%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.85 -0.35 -0.25%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.114.25 -0.40 -0.35%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..112.60 -1.65 -1.44%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.45 -1.30 -1.14%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.45 -1.55 -1.36%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
CPO(Des) 3848 +113 +3.03%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………412.75 +0.25 +0.06%
SoybeanOil 40.31 +0.43 +1.08%
Wheat……575.75 unch +0%
Wood pulp.4850.00 -4.00 -0.08%
(Closed 18/09)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
US merah europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, IHSG merah tipis, US T bond yield naik lagi, ini bau baunya merah lagi ISHG hari ini, padahal harusnya efek fed dan BI cut rate bagus
USD index up, metal2 kebanyakan down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO jump. Giliran AALI lanjut lari lagi nih. Yang lain keliatannya akan koreksi tipis2 dulu
IHSG – 833 sell, macd mulai rev down, hati hati yang big caps bisa mulai rontok
Property bangun dengan issue BI cut rate, Financials, Technology, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare
Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ASII TLKM AVIA BBYB BRMS BTPS ULTJ, big accum ACES ASII BBYB
MACD Buy Signal: ARTO BBRI BMRI INCO BBYB MARK MPMX TINS AMFG, big accum ARTO BBYB
Daily Analysis 20240918
September 18th, 2024
S&P 500 closes little changed Tuesday after notching all-time high ahead of key Fed decision
The S&P 500
ended Tuesday near the flatline after hitting a record high as the market awaited the Federal Reserve’s key interest rate cut decision.
Dow…….41606 -15.9 -0.04%
Nasdaq. 17628 +35.93 +0.20%
S&P 500 5635 +1.5 +0.03%
FTSE…8310 +31.4 +0.38%
Dax……18726 +92.97 +0.50%
CAC……7487 +37.98 +0.51%
Nikkei….36203 -378.5 -1.03%
HSI……..17660 +237.90 +1.37%
Shanghai.2704 closed +0%
IDX….7831.78 +19.65 +0.25%
LQ45…966.92 +7.57 +0.79%
IDX30.493.44 +4.41 +0.90%
IDXEnergy. 2666.94 +23.44 +0.89%
IDX BscMat1328.87 +4.83 +0.36%
IDX Indstrl..1082.09 +6.04 +0.56%
IDXNONCYC.732.88 +0.52 +0.07%
IDX Hlthcare1515.27 +17.21+1.15%
IDXCYCLIC…918.35 +14.73 +1.63%
IDXTechno 3931.02 +69.05 +1.78%
IDX Transp 1498.39 +13.36 +1.04%
IDX Infrast 1646.63 -13.62 -0.82%
IDX Finance1547.77 +12.48 +0.81%
IDX Banking1374.19 +17.43 +1.28%
IDX Property….758 – 1.50 -0.20%
Indo10Yr.6.6454👍-0.0285 -0.43%
ICBI….393.2566👍+0.5793 +0.15%
US2Yr.3.607 +0.052 +1.46%
US5Yr 3.443 +0.035 +1.15%
US10Yr3.647 +0.029 +0.80%
US30Yr.3.960 +0.029 +0.74%
VIX..17.61 +0.47 +2.74%‼️
USDIndx 100.8940❗️ +0.225 +0.22%
Como Indx….278.66 +1.80 +0.65%
BCOMIN….145.68 -0.45 -0.30%
IndoCDS..70.27 -0.94 -1.32%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/09)
IDR…….15335.00👍 -66.50 -0.45%
Jisdor..15338.00 👍 -67.00 -0.43%
Euro…1.1119❗️ -0.0011 -0.10%
TLKM.20.18 -0.25 -1.22%
( 3095)
EIDO…22.66 +0.24 +1.07%
EEM….43.02 +0.07 +0.16%
Oil………..71.15 +0.62 +0.88%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..73.70 +0.95 +1.31%
(Brent)
Gold…2596.60 -13.1 -0.50%
(Comex)
Gold…2570.93 -12.00 -0.46%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31855.00 -74.00 -0.23%
(Closed 17/09)
Nickel..16136.00 -187.50 -1.15%
(Closed 17/09)
Silver… ..31.04 -0.08 -0.26%
Copper.427.85 +4.25 +1.00%
Iron Ore 62% 91.94 -0.32 -0.35%
(16/09)
Nturl Gas 2.316 -0.08 -3.34%
Ammonia China 2676.67 +43.33 +1.65%
(Domestic Price)(13/09)
Coal price.139.65 +2.40 +1.75%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.35 +3.45 +2.60%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.60 +2.50 +1.86%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.20 +2.80 +2.07%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.114.65 +2.00 +1.78%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.25 +4.50 +4.10%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.75 +4.05 +3.69%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.00 +4.15 +3.78%‼️
(Dec/Rotterdam)
CPO(Des).3735 -40 -1.06%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………412.50 +1.75 +0.43%
SoybeanOil 39.88 +0.77 +1.97%
Wheat……575.75 -2.75 -0.48%
Wood pulp.4854.00 unch +0%
(Closed 17/09)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
DJI merah tipis, nasdaq ijo, europe ijo, asua jepang yang merah, US treasury bond ijo, hmm, katanya mau cut rate… Bisa merah IHSG hari ini
USD index up, metal2 down kecuali copper, oil up, gas down, coal up, CPO down, ANTM slow dulu kayanya, AKRA lanjut, coal coal kita pantau chart coal nya
IHSG – ontrack masih, udah rawan koreksi tapi belum ada signal sell… masih FNB terus juga, semoga sampe 8000
Financials, Technology, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare
Stochastic Buy Signal: HRUM INCO INTP JSMR PTBA EMTK INDY MPMX PNLF SMSM VKTR, big accum INCO JSMR PTBA SMSM
MACD Buy Signal: CPIN BFIN PNLF LPIN BRAM, big accum CPIN BFIN
Daily Analysis 20240806
August 06th, 2024
Good morning,
Dow tumbles 1,000 points, S&P 500 posts worst day since 2022 in global market sell-off
Stocks fell sharply on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
posting its worst day in nearly two years, as worries over the health of the U.S. economy sparked a global market sell-off.
Dow…….38703 -1033.99 -2.60%‼️
Nasdaq. 16201 -576.1 -3.43%‼️
S&P 500 5186 -160.2 -3.00%‼️
FTSE..8008.2 -166.5 -2.04%
Dax……17339 -322.2 -1.82%
CAC……7149 -102.8 -1.42%
Nikkei..31458‼️ -4451.3 -12.40%‼️
HSI…….16698 -247.2 -1.46%
Shanghai.2861 -44.6 -1.55%
IDX….7059.65‼️ -248.47 -3.40%‼️
LQ45…890.71 -28.66 -3.12%‼️
IDX30.443.34 -15.20 -3.32%‼️
IDXEnergy.2356.94 -122.55 -4.94%‼️
IDX BscMat1296.94 -63.70 -4.69%‼️
IDX Indstrl.997.88 -38.70 -3.73%‼️
IDXNONCYC.688.56 -12.44 -1.77%
IDX Hlthcare1431.38 -10.42 -0.72%
IDXCYCLIC…745.2 -18.89 -2.47%
IDXTechno.3176.47 -58.56 -2.92%
IDX Transp 1318.81 -58.25 -4.23%‼️
IDX Infrast 1508.33 -49.04 -3.15%‼️
IDX Finance1374.80 -37.96 -2.69%
IDX Banking1217.60 -41.59 -3.30%‼️
IDX Property…..632 -19.10 -3.05%‼️
Indo10Yr.6.8696❗️ -0.0387 -0.56%
ICBI…386.5794❗️ +0.7910 -0.21%
US2Yr.3.902 +0.024 +0.62%
US5Yr 3.625 +0.010 +0.28%
US10Yr3.792 unch +0%
US30Yr.4.066 -0.043 -1.05%
VIX..38.57‼️ +15.18 +64.90%‼️
USDIndx 102.6890❗️ -0.519 -0.50%
Como Indx….268.79 -1.34 -0.50%
BCOMIN…..136.12 -2.09 -1.51%
IndoCDS..77.20 +2.50 +3.35%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)
IDR…..16189.00❗️ -11.00 -0.07%
Jisdor.16154.00❗️ -80.00 -0.49%
Euro…1.0955❗️ +0.0166 +1.54%
TLKM…17.03 -0.53 -2.99%
( 2751)
EIDO….19.55 -0.77 -3.79%‼️
EEM….40.42 -1.15 -2.76%
Oil………..74.03 -2.76 -3.59%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.30 -0.51 -0.66%
(Brent)
Gold…..2451.60 -18.20 -0.74%
(Comex)
Gold……2408.43 -34.81 -1.42%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29484.00 -704.00 -2.33%
(Closed 05/08)
Nickel..16203.50 -62.50 -0.38%
(Closed 05/08)
Silver….27.36 -10.30 -3.63%‼️
Copper.401.40 -8.90 -2.17%
Iron Ore 62% 104.00 +1.17 +1.14%
(02/08)
Nturl Gas 1.976 -0.002 -0.10%
Ammonia China 2346.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(02/08)
Coal price.143.70 -0.40 -0.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.75 unch +0%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 146.75 -0.15 -0.10%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.75 -0.65 -0.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.119.30 -2.05 -1.69%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.55 -2.65 -2.17%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.80 -1.95 -1.60%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.85 -2.25 -1.84%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
CPO(Oct)..3740 -118 -3.06%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn……..407.00 +3.75 +0.93%
SoybeanOil 40.23 -0.58 -1.42%
Wheat…..539.50 +0.50 +0.09%
Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 05/08)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
Lanjut berdarah darah semua index regional, yang paling parah jepang sampe minus 12%. IHSG kemaren sempet lebih dari 4 %, ga sampe trading halt sih, tapi berantakan semua. Ditambah US bond yield yang wajarnya naik untuk hold dana jadi kemungkinan masih lanjut merahnya hari ini. Tapi secara technical memang udah ditunggu, ga ada yang mengagetkan juga, kita assess lagi momentum beli setelah index tutup gap
USD index down, tapi semua metal juga down kecuali iron ore, oil gas coal down, cpo juga down, pulp and paper juga down, selamat buat yang kemaren udah keep cash, standby tunggu beres wave 2
IHSG – double top target udah done, itungan fibonacci extension udah done, nanggung tutup gap sekalian, abis itu baru kita pikirin belanja lagi…
RSI nya belum ngikut, padahal pada drop semua ini… Tapi ya prospek tetep di basic materials dan healthcare dan consumer cyclicals dan consumer non-cyclicals yang sering pada defensif dan jadi ganjel bursa
Stochastic Buy Signal: MBMA SCMA, dua duanya big dist
Menarik kalo udah bisa short selling ini sebenernya, hehehe