Daily Analysis 20240507

Daily Analysis 20240507

May 07th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow climbs more than 170 points to post fourth straight winning day, propelled by rate cut hopes

Stocks advanced Monday, with Wall Street building on the previous session’s strong gains as traders lifted Federal Reserve rate cut expectations

Dow……38852 +176.6 +0.46%
Nasdaq16349 +192.9 +1.19%
S&P 500.5181 +52.95 +1.03%

FTSE…..8214 closed +0%
Dax……18175 +173.6 +0.96%
CAC……7997 +39.1 +0.49%

Nikkei..38236 closed +0%
HSI…..18578 +102.4 +0.55%
Shanghai.3141 +35.9 +1.16%

IDX….7135.89 +1.17 +0.02%
LQ45..906.29 +2.96 +0.33%
IDX30..458.96 +1.04 +0.23%

IDXEnergy..2221.85 +22.79 +1.04%
IDX BscMat1332.92 +16.84 +1.28%
IDX Indstrl..1042.88 -18.66 -1.76%
IDXNONCYC.696.32 +4.64 +0.67%
IDX Hlthcare1414.55 -0.48 -0.03%
IDXCYCLIC…756.03 +2.85 +0.38%
IDXTechno3414.18 +50.08 +1.49%
IDX Transp 1315.32 +16.59 +1.28%
IDX Infrast 1616.40 -1.52 -0.09%
IDX Finance1399.49 +4.35 +0.31%
IDX Banking.1213.81+9.32 +0.77%
IDX Property.. 633 +15.8 +2.56%

Indo10Yr.6.9824👍 -0.0444 -0.63%
ICBI…377.7043👍 +1.0191 +0.27%
US2Yr.4.833 +0.027 +0.56%
US5Yr 4.487 +0.005 +0.11%
US10Yr4.485👍 -0.024 -0.53%
US30Yr.4.638👍 -0.023 -0.49%
VIX..13.49 unch +0

USDIndx 105.0870❗️+0.06 +0.05%
Como Indx..287.61 +1.10 +0.38%
BCOMIN……158.05 +0.72 +0.46%

IndoCDS..75.25👍 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/05)

IDR…..16025.50 -57.50👍 -0.36%
Jisdor.16025.00 -69.00👍 -0.42%

Euro….1.0770 +0.0009 +0.08%

TLKM…19.42 -0.05 -0.21%
( 3112)
EIDO….20.99 +0.02 +0.10%
EEM…..42.51 +0.04 +0.09%

Oil…….78.48 +0.37 +0.47%
Gold..2331.30 +22.60 +0.96%
Timah..31983.00 closed +0%
(Closed 06/05)
Nickel..19246.50 closed +0%
(Closed 06/05)
Silver…….27.61 +0.92 +3.46‼️
Copper…461.50 +5.80 +1.27%

Iron Ore 62% 118.03 – -%
(03/05)
Nturl Gas..2.204 +0.054 +2.51%
Ammonia China.2983.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(03/05)

Coal price 145.30 +0.15 +0.10%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.95 +0.55 +0.38%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.10 +0.50 +0.34%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.20 +0.35 +0.24%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..109.35 +2.20 +2.05%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.45 +2.45 +2.25%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.95 +3.30 +3.01%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.95 +3.40 +3.10%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3863 +21 +0.55%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….469.00 +8.75 +1.90%
SoybeanOil 43.84 +0.76 +1.76%
Wheat..648.75 +26.25 +4.22%‼️

Wood pulp..5860 unch +0%
(Closed 06/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

US lanjut ijo, europe ijo tipis, asia ijo juga, bond yield pendek naik, panjang turun, masih wajar, harusnya masih ijo IHSG hari ini.

USD index naik dikit, gold silver copper naik, bisa jadi waktunya untuk re-entry ANTM, kita liat signalnya. oil gas coal naik, oil kita liat chart nya soalnya kemaren drop dalem, kalo coal keliatannya ok akan lanjut. Masih hold ADRO dkk. CPO lanjut ijo, LSIP kalo ga salah udah gerak, kita check later

IHSG – stoch up, macd up, MFI mulai up, w% up, tapi BD masih flat,masih FNS, masih ketahan belum rally lagi. Tapi keliatannya firm udah beres ABC correction nya, siap rally lagi

Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property, Technology,Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI PGEO PTBA ABMM DOID, PGEO big accum

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO ARTO BRIS CPIN AGRO ASSA SMIL TKIM. Big accum ADRO BRIS CPIN ASSA TKIM

Daily Analysis 20240417

Daily Analysis 20240417

April 17th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower as Powell warns rates need to stay high, Dow snaps 6-day losing streak

The S&P 500
slipped on Tuesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said interest rates may need to stay elevated.

Dow……37799 +63.9 +0.17%
Nasdaq15865 -19.8 -0.12%
S&P 500.5051 -10.4 -0.21%

FTSE…..7820 -145.2 -1.82%
Dax……17766 -260.4 -1.44%
CAC……7933 -112.5 -1.40%

Nikkei..38471 -761.6 -1.94%
HSI……16428 -351.5 -2.12%
Shanghai.3007. -50.3 -1.65%

IDX…..7176.12 -110.76 -1.52%
LQ45….935.34 -28.38 -2.95%‼️
IDX30…473.50 -14.66 -3.00%‼️

IDXEnergy..2205.92 +50.11 +2.32%
IDX BscMat1392.12 +32.52 +2.39%
IDX Indstrl…1090.35 -6.40 -0.58%
IDXNONCYC.691.79 -23.57 -3.30%
IDX Hlthcare1343.23 -28.36 -2.07%
IDXCYCLIC…793.38 -21.85 -2.68%
IDXTechno3413.30 -99.84 -2.84%
IDX Transp 1415.62 -28.89 -2.60%
IDX Infrast 1590.33 -10.58 -0.66%
IDX Finance.1438.88 -36.67 -2.49%
IDX Banking.1267.50 -49.98 -3.79%
IDX Property.. 652 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.8293 +0.1245 +1.86%‼️
ICBI…378.1885 -2.4082 -0.63%‼️
US2Yr.4.985‼️ +0.060 +1.22%
US5Yr 4.698‼️ +0.071 +1.53%
US10Yr4.672‼️ +0.071 +1.54%
US30Yr.4.766‼️+0.042 +0.89%
VIX………18.40‼️ -0.83 -4.32%

USDIndx 106.2570‼️+0.049 +0.05%
Como Indx..296.84 -1.34 -0.45%
BCOMIN..151.39 -1.12 -0.74%

IndoCDS..77.18 +1.95 +2.59%
(5-yr INOCD5) (15/04)

IDR…..16175.00 +327.50 +2.07%‼️
Jisdor.16176.00 +303 +1.90%‼️

Euro….1.0619❗️ -0.0008 -0.08%

TLKM…20.07 -0.75 -3.60%‼️
( 3247)
EIDO….20.85 -0.64 -2.96%
EEM……39.74 -0.53 -1.32%

Oil…….85.29 -0.61 -0.71%
Gold..2401.20 -0.10 -0.004%
Timah..32230.00❗️ -123.00 -0.38%
(Closed 15/04)
Nickel..17991.50 -170.5 -0.95%
(Closed 16/04)
Silver….28.21 -0.76 -2.62%
Copper.437.50 -7.55 -1.72%

Iron Ore 62% 106.05 unch +0%
(15/04)
Nturl Gas..1.686‼️ -0.002 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3200.00❗️ -16.67 -0.52%
(Domestic Price)(04/04 – 15/04)

Coal price.129.25 -0.50 -0.39%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.40 -0.10 -0.07%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.25 +0.05 +0.04%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.85 +1.10 +0.78%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..121.50 +0.80 +0.66%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.900 +1.90 +1.61%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.00 +1.50 +1.27%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.55 +1.45 +1.22%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(J)..4074‼️ -67.00 -1.62%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….442.75 -1.50 -0.34%
SoybeanOil 45.48 -0.53 -1.15%
Wheat…564.50 -2.75 -0.48%

Wood pulp..5700 unch +0%
(Closed 16/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo, Nasdaq merah, SP500 merah, europe merah, asia merah, IHSG drop, US bond yield naik tinggi, masih jelek semua buat index kita hari ini

USD index naik, precious metals turun, oil gas turun, coal newcastle turun tipis, rotterdam ijo. CPO lanjut merah, kemaren jual AALI masih ga dapet, hari ini exit beneran di DCB ah

IHSG – hari pertama buka dibanting, Foreign keluar, bandar nahan cuma di saham saham yang terkait komoditas yang naik, semuabig cap dibanting, tapi jadi kemungkinan besar technical rebound hari ini. Outlook masih jelek, apalagi liat bond yield. Jangan aggressive dulu

Basic Materials, Energy, yang lain ga usah dilirik dlu, resiko

Stochastic Buy SIgnal: ADRO PTMP ASSA DOID ENRG HEAL HRTA. Big accum ASSA

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO ANTM INCO PTBA ENRG RAJA SSIA KKGI CINT. Big accum ANTM INCO PTBA

Daily Analysis 20240206

Daily Analysis 20240206

February 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 250 points lower, S&P 500 slips from record as bond yields surge

Stocks fell Monday as Treasury yields spiked higher on concerns that the Federal Reserve may not cut rates as much as expected. Lackluster results from McDonald’s also dampened investor sentiment.

Dow……38380 -274.3 -0.71%
Nasdaq15598 -31.3 -0.20%
S&P 500.4943 -15.8 -0.32%

FTSE…..7613 -2.7 -0.04%
Dax……16904 -14.2 -0.08%
CAC……7590 -2.3 -0.03%

Nikkei..36354 +196.2 +0.54%
HSI……15510 -23.6 -0.15%
Shanghai.2702-27.97 -1.02%

IDX…..7198.62 -40.17 -0.55%
LQ45….975.49 -9.18 -0.93%
IDX30…495.28 -4.32 -0.87%

IDXEnergy..2077.88 -8.11 -0.39%
IDX BscMat.1286.32 +5.98 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1088.65 +1.59 +0.15%
IDXNONCYC.701.14 +4.87 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare1338.64 -7.30 -0.54%
IDXCYCLIC…852.04 -5.17 -0.60%
IDX Techno4069.31 -25.47 -0.62%
IDX Transp 1563.64 +2.63 +0.17%
IDX Infrast 1519.13 -7.81 -0.51%
IDX Finance.1492.16 -2.88 -0.19%
IDX Banking.1332.38 -2.91 -0.22%
IDX Property.. 690 -0.50 -0.07%

Indo10Yr.6.6531 +0.0445 +0.67%
ICBI…376.6494 -1.0915 -0.29%
US2Yr.4.474 +0.102 +2.33%
US5Yr 4.122 +0.136 +3.41%‼️
US10Yr4.160 +0.138 +3.43%‼️
US30Yr.4.343+0.119 +2.82%
VIX…13.67 -0.18 -1.33%

USDIndx 104.4520 ‼️+0.530 +0.51%
Como Indx..269.19 +0.45 +0.17%
BCOMIN……134.80 -1.81 -1.33%

IndoCDS..74.69 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/02)

IDR…..15708.00‼️ +48.00 +0.31%
Jisdor.15705.00‼️ +17.00 +0.11%

Euro….1.0743 -0.0045 -0.42%

TLKM…25.14 -0.15 -0.61%
(3948)
EIDO……21.89 -0.17 -0.77%
EEM……38.70 +0.05 +0.13%

Oil…….72.78 +0.50 +0.69%
Gold..2041.40 -12.30 -0.60%
Timah..25550.00 – -%
(Closed 03/03)
Nickel..15948.00 -294.50 -1.81%
(Closed 02/02)
Silver……22.42 -0.38 -1.67%
Copper.377.40 -4.75 -1.24%

Iron Ore 62% 128.63 – -%
(02/02)
Nturl Gas..2.062 -0.029 -1.39%
Ammonia China.2983.33 -166.67-5.29%‼️
(Domestic Price)(05/02/02)

Coal price 119.00 -0.90 -0.75%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.123.65 +3.75 +3.12%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.60 +4.70 +3.95%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.124.00 +4.70 +3.94%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .98.15 -0.25 -0.25%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.20 -0.30 -0.31%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..92.80 -0.25 -0.27%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.90 -0.30 -0.33%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3799 +19 +0.60%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……442.75 unch +0%
SoybeanOil 45.33 +0.60 +1.34%
Wheat….590.25 -9.50 -1.58%

Wood pulp..5104.00 +6.00 +0.12%
(Closed 05/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nyusul merah semua after asia market kemaren… Udah curiga begitu dari bond rate yang naik tinggi. Ini masih naik lagi, USD index juga naik, lanjut merah lagi sepertinya IHSG hari ini.

Metal2 lanjut merah semua, ANTM MDKA INCO TINS bubar dulu ini… Oil ijo, gas merah, coal spot merah dikit, future newcastle ijo tebel. Semoga ADRO lanjut. CPO naik dikit, AALI LSIP belum jelas kemana

IHSG – stoch up, macd ga jadi rev up, malah lanjut down, MFI sw, w% sw, masih FNB tapi agak turun, keliatannya bener lanjut wave C. Hati hati prefer keep cash

Tinggal heakthcare sama consumer non-cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: ESSA KLBF ADHI AGRO DSNG ERAA GTRA INDY PNLF SCMA INDS CINT. Big Accum KLBF AGRO SCMA

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI UNVR HEAL PTRO AMFG CINT, Big Accum UNVR

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: PTPP

Daily Analysis 20240205

Daily Analysis 20240205

February 05th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes at a record, rises for a fourth-straight week on strong tech earnings

The S&P 500
notched a fresh record high on Friday as quarterly results from technology companies including Facebook-parent Meta topped expectations and the January jobs report came in much better than expected.

Dow……38654 +134.6 +0.35%
Nasdaq15629 +267.3 +1.74%
S&P 500.4959 +52.4 +1.07%

FTSE…..7616 -6.6 -0.09%
Dax……16918 +59.2 +0.35%
CAC……7592 +3.5 +0.05%

Nikkei..36158 +146.6 +0.41%
HSI……15533 -32.7 -0.21%
Shanghai.2730 -40.6 -1.46%

IDX…..7238.79 +37.09 +0.52%
LQ45….984.67 +7.40 +0.76%
IDX30…499.60 +3.80 +0.77%

IDXEnergy..2077.88 -8.11 -0.39%
IDX BscMat.1286.32 +5.98 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1088.65 +1.59 +0.15%
IDXNONCYC.701.14 +4.87 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare1345.94 +9.82 +0.73%
IDXCYCLIC…857.21 -0.25 -0.03%
IDX Techno4094.79. -13.25 -0.32%
IDX Transp 1561.00 -1.25 -0.32%
IDX Infrast 1526.94 +2.59 +0.17%
IDX Finance.1495.04+0.88 +0.06%
IDX Banking.1335.30+10.31+0.78%
IDX Property.. 690 -1.50 -0.22%

Indo10Yr.6.6086👍 -0.0119 -0.18%
ICBI…377.6006👍 +0.3813 +0.10%
US2Yr.4.372 +0.167 +3.97%‼️
US5Yr 3.986 +0.173 +4.54%‼️
US10Yr4.024 +0.150 +3.88%‼️
US30Yr.4.224+0.106 +2.57%‼️
VIX…13.85 -0.03 -0.22%

USDIndx 103.9220 ❗️+0.852 +0.83%
Como Indx..267.74 -1.97 -0.73%
BCOMIN……136.61 -0.89 -0.65%

IndoCDS..74.69 -2.02 -2.63%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/02)

IDR…..15660.00 -104.50👍 -0.66%
Jisdor.15688.00 -87.00 -0.55%

Euro….1.0788 -0.0085 -0.78%

TLKM…25.29 -0.53 -2.05%
(3967)
EIDO……22.06 +0.03 +0.14%
EEM……38.65 -0.11 -0.28%

Oil…….72.28 -1.54 -2.09%
Gold..2053.70 -17.40 -0.84%
Timah..25550.00 -253.00 +0.98%
(Closed 03/03)
Nickel..16243.00 +1.00 +0.01%
(Closed 02/02)
Silver……22.80 -0.44 -1.89%
Copper.382.15 -3.20 -0.83%

Iron Ore 62% 128.63 -4.04 -3.05%‼️
(02/02)
Nturl Gas..2.092 +0.045 +2.20%
Ammonia China.3150.00 -86.67 -2.68%‼️
(Domestic Price)(02/02/02)

Coal price 119.90 +0.75 +0.65%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.119.90 +2.90 +2.48%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 118.90 +3.00 +2.59%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.119.30 +2.75 +2.36%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .98.40 +0.60 +0.61%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.50 +2.30 +2.44%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.05 +0.05 +0.05%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.20 +0.70 +0.77%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3780 -15 -0.40%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……442.75 -4.50 -1.01%
SoybeanOil 44.73 -0.87 -1.91%
Wheat….589.75 -1.75 -0.29%

Wood pulp..5098.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, SP500 set new record high, europe mostly ijo, asia varied. US bond rates naik tinggi semua, USD index juga, jelek buat saham ini in general

Gold silver copper iron ore merah, tin nickel ijo, oil merah, gas coal ijo tebel, CPO merah. MDKA ANTM belum jadi, ELSA AKRA MEDC juga jadi ga asik, AALI LSIP belum aja, ADRO yang firm, coal yang lain belum

IHSG – stoch buy lagi, macdrev up, MFI w% sw, BD flat FNB, ikut efek US bond rates turun dulu ini mah…

Tinggal Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Daily Analysis 20240131

Daily Analysis 20240131

January 31st, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq 100 futures slide, Alphabet shares drop after results

Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100
fell Tuesday night after a pair of mega-cap tech companies posted their quarterly results. Wall Street also looked toward the Federal Reserve’s decision on rate policy.

Dow……38467 +133.9 +0.35%
Nasdaq15510 -118.2 -0.76%
S&P 500.4925 -2.96 -0.06%

FTSE…..7666 +33.6 +0.44%
Dax……16972 +30.6 +0.18%
CAC……7677 +36.7 +0.48%

Nikkei..36066 +38.9 +0.11%
HSI……15703 -373.8 -2.33%
Shanghai.2831 -52.8 -1.83%

IDX…..7192.22 +35.04 +0.49%
LQ45….971.70 +9.78 +1.02%
IDX30…493.78 +5.93 +1.22%

IDXEnergy..2097.94 -7.30 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1284.55 -5.74 -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1087.81 +2.42 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.693.75 -3.14 -0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1318.21+8.41. +0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…859.07 +7.60 +0.89%
IDX Techno4103.92 +118.31 +2.97%
IDX Transp 1515.04 -7.75 -0.51%
IDX Infrast 1497.23 -13.74 -0.91%
IDX Finance.1510.97 -8.20 -0.54%
IDX Banking.1300.04 +25.68 +2.02%
IDX Property.. 698 -2.30 -0.32%

Indo10Yr.6.6555 – 0.0229 -0.34%
ICBI…376.0857 +0.4541 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.339 +0.017 +0.39%
US5Yr 3.974 -0.012 -0.30%
US10Yr4.036 -0.036 -0.93%
US30Yr.4.251-0.064 -1.48%
VIX…13.31 -0.29 -2.13%

USDIndx 103.3970❗️ -0.212 -0.20%
Como Indx..274.00 +3.12 +1.15%
BCOMIN……140.02 +0.77 +0.55%

IndoCDS..76.73 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/01)

IDR…..15780.00‼️ -30.00 -0.19%
Jisdor.15825.00 ‼️ -29.00 -0.18%

Euro….1.0844 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.33 -0.22 -0.86%
(4008)
EIDO……21.75 +0.18 +0.83%
EEM……38.60 -0.31 -0.80%

Oil…….77.81 +0.85 +1.10%
Gold..2054.50 +3.30 +0.16%
Timah..26664.00 – -%
(Closed 29/01)
Nickel..16513.50 +54.00 +0.33%
(Closed 30/01)
Silver……23.28 -0.05 -0.21%
Copper.391.15 +2.55 +0.66%

Iron Ore 62% 135.55 unch +0%
(29/01)
Nturl Gas..2.091 +0.032 +1.55%
Ammonia China.3260.00 -83.00 -2.48%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 119.55 +3.15 +2.71%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.50 +5.00 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 120.30 +4.40 +3.80%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.119.80 +3.80 +3.28%‼️
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .96.15 +1.85 +1.96%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +1.90 +2.07%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.10 +1.20 +1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.75 +1.30 +1.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3842 -107 -2.71%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.75 +7.50 +1.70%
SoybeanOil 46.00 +0.45 +0.99%
Wheat…605.50 +12.20 +1.70%

Wood pulp..5076.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 30/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

REMINDER REBALANCING

UPDATE (29/01/2024)

EVALUASI INDEKS LQ45, IDX30, IDX80, KOMPAS100, PEFINDO25, INDEKS BUMN20, IDXSMC-LIQ, IDXSMC-COM, IDXHIDIV20, IDXV30, IDXG30, IDXQ30, IDXLQ45LCL

(Periode Efektif 01 Februari 2024 – 31 Juli 2024)

INDEKS LQ45
Baru : MBMA, MTEL, PGEO, PTMP
Keluar : INDY, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

INDEKS IDX30
Baru : ACES, ICBP, INKP, PGEO
Keluar : EMTK, ESSA, HRUM, TOWR

INDEKS IDX80
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, MAPA, MBMA, PGEO, PTMP, SMIL, TRON, WIFI
Keluar : AVIA, DOID, HMSP, JKON, OMED, PNBN, RMKE, SMDR, WIKA

INDEKS KOMPAS100
Baru : AUTO, CFIN, DRMA, GTRA, HRTA, IMAS, MAPA, MARK, MBMA, NISP, PGEO, PTMP, PTRO, SILO, SMIL, SMSM, SSIA, TRON, WIIM
Keluar : AALI, AGII, AVIA, BBKP, BDMN, BELI, BSSR, HMSP, JKON, LSIP, MMIX, MSIN, OMED, PNBN, PNIN, RMKE, SMDR, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS PEFINDO25
Baru : ADMR, AUTO, DILD, ESSA, GJTL, LPPF, LSIP, MAPA, MIDI, TAPG
Keluar : AKRA, BSSR, DSNG, HEXA, HRTA, MIKA, POWR, SIDO, SMSM, SSIA

(Periode Efektif 05 Februari 2024 – 02 Agustus 2024)

INDEKS BUMN20
Baru : BJTM, PGEO,
Keluar : JKON, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-LIQ
Baru : AUTO, CMRY, GGRM, HEAL. INCO, MAPA, MIDI, TOWR
Keluar : ADMR, ARTO, BDMN, BEST, BJBR, LSIP, SSIA, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-COM
Baru : ARTA, AXIO, BEEF, GGRM, HOKI, INCO, JAWA, PDPP, TOWR
*zKeluar :*z ADMR, ARTO, BOLA, CUAN, DEFI, DSSA, FILM, GLVA, GSMF, HOMI, JIHD, MDLN, MREI, NIKL, PANI, PEGE, PGEO, PPRE, RONY, SMIL, SONA, TEBE, TFAS, TOPS, WEGE, WTON

INDEKS IDXHIDIV20
Baru : BRPT, ICBP, INKP, KLBF, SMGR, TPIA, UNVR
Keluar : BJBR, BJTM, BNGA, BSSR, HEXA, HMSP, MPMX

INDEKS IDXV30
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, JSMR, SMRA, WIFI
Keluar : DOID, JKON, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXG30
Baru : AUTO, BBTN, GJTL, MAPA
Keluar : ASSA, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXQ30
Baru : AKRA, AMRT, GGRM, MYOR, SMIL, TRON
Keluar : AVIA, EMTK, HMSP, RMKE, SRTG, TINS

INDEKS IDXLQ45LCL
Baru : MAPI, MBMA, MTEL, PGEO
Keluar : ASII, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

(Listri. Source : IDX)

SP500 abis cetak new record koreksi dulu, DJI nya ijo, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG sempet merah dulu tapi closing ijo, firm mau wave B

US bond rate pendek naik, panjang turun, semoga ga banyak pengaruh ke stock market, USD index merah, metal2 lanjut naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, coal ijonya tebel, CPO merah dalem, MDKA harusnya jalan, ELSA AKRA MEDC lanjut, coal apakah udah mau rebound? AALI LSIP agak kawatir ini

IHSG – dari ilmu elliot wave, wave B nya ga panjang ini keliatanya, daripada aggressive sekarang mending tunggu wave C beres… Udah 2 hari FNB, BD acc, big bank di push naik, GOTO di push naik, tapi in total saham yang turun lebih banyak dari saham yang naik. Masih keep cash

Terlihat Healthcare ngebalik nyusul basic materials, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure… Padahal kemaren KLBF dibanting sampe cutloss

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO ASII BBNI ITMG PTBA SIDO ASSA BRMS CTRA HMSP LPPF MTEL SMRA. Big Acc ASII BBNI PTBA

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTPP BRAM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: BRIS

Daily Analysis 20240125

Daily Analysis 20240125

January 25th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq, S&P 500 close higher for fifth straight day as Netflix shares surge

The S&P 500
rose Wednesday as Netflix
led a broader rally among technology names, pushing the broader market to new heights.

Dow……37806 -99.1 -0.26%
Nasdaq15482 +55.98 +0.36%
S&P 500.4869 +3.95 +0.08%
:
FTSE…..7528 +41.94 +0.56%
Dax……16890 +262.8 +1.58%
CAC……7456 +67.6 +0.91%

Nikkei..36227 -291.1 -0.80%
HSI…..15900 +545.9 +3.56%‼️
Shanghai.2821 +49.8 +1.80%

IDX…..7227.82 -28.41 -0.39%
LQ45….966.25 -5.52 -0.57%
IDX30…490.21 -2.85 -0.58%

IDXEnergy..2114.88 -13.00 -0.61%
IDX BscMat.1284.89 -14.85 -1.14%
IDX Indstrl…1081.56 -5.73 -0.53%
IDXNONCYC.700.77 +1.12 +0.16%*
IDX Hlthcare1325.02 +27.72+2.14%
IDXCYCLIC…860.90 -2.45 -0.28%
IDX Techno4145.07 -31.35 -0.75%
IDX Transp 1635.86 +13.91 +0.86%
IDX Infrast 1538.75 -8.56 -0.55%
IDX Finance.1543.67 +12.22+0.80%
IDX Banking.1301.20 -13.32 -1.01%
IDX Property.. 697 +1.20 +0.17%

Indo10Yr.6.6653 -0.0219 -0.33%
ICBI…375.5941 -0.3896 -0.10%
US2Yr.4.384 +0.012 +0.27%
US5Yr 4.092 +0.005 +1.24%
US10Yr4.179 +0.047 +1.14%
US30Yr.4.411 +0.044+1.01%
VIX….13.14 +0.59 +4.70%‼️

USDIndx 103.2360 -0.382 -0.37%
Como Indx..270.99 +2.78 +1.04%
BCOMIN……139.43 +2.25 +1.64%

IndoCDS..74.22 -0.50 -0.67%
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/01)

IDR…..15713.00 +76.00 +0.49%
Jisdor.15719.00 +63.00 +0.40%

Euro….1.0886 +0.0027 +0.25%

TLKM…25.55 +0.02 +0.08%
(4016)
EIDO……21.84 -0.03 -0.14%
EEM……38.81 +0.43 +1.12’%

Oil……..75.42 +1.05 +1.41%
Gold..2035.00 -10.20 -0.50%
Timah..26239.00 +622.00 +2.43%
(Closed 23/01)
Nickel..16292.50 +269.00 +1.68%
(Closed 24/01)
Silver……22.79 +0.33 +1.47%
Copper.387.30 +7.95 +2.09%

Iron Ore 62% 135.48 +0.06 +0.04%
(23/01)
Nturl Gas..2.288 +0.097 +4.43%‼️
Ammonia China.3343.33. – -%
(Domestic Price)(24/02)

Coal price.127.20 -0.10 -0.08%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 121.65 -1.60 -1.30%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.118.60 -1.40 -1.17%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 118.15 -2.10 -1.75%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.80 +0.30 +0.28%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price .94.80 +2.30 +2.49%
..(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price..92.00 +2.20 +2.45%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…90.00 +1.90 +2.16%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3992 +95 +2.44%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……452.25 +5.75 +1.29%
SoybeanOil 47.32 -0.89 -1.85%
Wheat…610.75 +14.25 +2.39%

Wood pulp..5070.00 unch +0%
(Closed 24/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI masih merah, nsadaq SP500 ijo, europe ijo, asia varied, tapi hangseng closing ijo tebel, kemaren IHSG merah harusnya bisa ijo lah hari ini. US bond rates naik semua, VIX naik, wah ga bagus… USD index turun, bagus buat commodities

Metal naik semua kecuali gold, Oil Gas up, coal newcastle down rotterdam up, CPO lanjut ijo tebel. Kita tunggu geraknya ANTM INCO TINS MDKA AALI LSIP

IHSG – masih FNS, stoch up, macd down, MFI down, w% sw, BD flat, itungan mau wave C, target either fibo 61 @6931, atau support 7046, atau gap dibawah 6900. Either way, masih beresiko, bagus banyak pegang cash

Still, Basic Materials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: ICBP INCO INTP KLBF SMGR TOWR UNVR ADMR HEAL MIKA MSIN. Big accum ICBP INCO INTP TOWR ADMR

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF, ada freq spike juga