Daily Analysis 20220815

Daily Analysis 20220815

Global update:

August 15th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes up 400 points, S&P 500 rises for fourth straight week as investors warm to cooler inflation

Stocks rose sharply on Friday, clinching the fourth straight positive week for the S&P 500 as investors celebrated signs that inflation may be peaking.

Dow…….33761 +424.4 +1.27%
Nasdaq.13047 +267.3 +2.09%
S&P 500..4280 +72.9 +1.73%

FTSE…….7501 +34.98 +0.47%
Dax……..13796 +101.3 +0.74%
CAC……..6554 +9.2 +0.14%

Nikkei….28547 +727.7 +2.62%
HSI……..20175 +622.0 +2.21%
Shanghai..3277 +93.2 +0.46%
ST Times..3269 -32.7 -0.99%

IDX…….7129.28 -31.11 -0.43%
LQ45…1012.04 -6.29 -0.62%

IDX Energy…1816.88 -6.47 -0.35%
IDX Bsc Mat.1353.09 -4.36 -0.32%
IDX Industrl..1310.33 +3.07 +0.23%
IDXNONCYC..703.50 -1.36 -0.19%
IDX Hlthcare.1414.35 -0.51 -0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…..899.04 +3.88 +0.43%
IDX Techno..8083.54 -172.87 -2.09%
IDX Transp…2088.31 -20.36 -0.97%
IDX Infrast…..1050.72 +6.68 +0.64%
IDX Finance 1526.29 -11.28 -0.73%
IDX Banking..1156.62 -10.54 -0.50%
IDX Property…..712 +3.0 +0.43%

Indo10Yr….7.1203 -0.0886 -1.23%👍*
ICBI……..336.3364 +0.6001 +0.18%👍
US10Yr…..2.8490 -0.0390 -1.35%
VIX…………19.53 -0.67 -3.32%👍

USDIndx 105.6310 +0.5410 0.51%‼
Como Indx..293.48 -1.58 -0.54%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..160.44 -3.83 -2.33%
.
IndoCDS…97.19 – 5.20 -5.73%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14668.00 -97.50 -0.66%👍
Jisdor..14688 .00 -111.00 -0.75%👍

Euro………1.0259 -0.0068 -0.66%

TLKM……..31.31 +0.37 +1.20%
(4593)
EIDO………24.24 +0.14 +0.58%
EEM………41.05 +0.43 +1.06%

Oil…………..92.09 -2.02 -2.15%
Gold ……..1815.50 +10.80 +0.60%
Timah. .25177.00 -208.00 -0.82%
( Closed 12/8)
Nickel…23093.50 -607.50 -2.56%‼
(Closed 12/8)
Silver…….20.85 +0.61 +3.01%
Copper….366.85 -2.55 -0.69%

Nturl Gas…..8.780 +0.0530 +0.61%

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(11/8)

Coal price….407.65 +6.65 +1.66%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….403.00 +5.70 +1.43%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….392.25 +5.75 +1.48%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….350.50 +6.50 +1.89%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….341.70 +3.45 +1.02%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….331.70 +2.95 +0.90%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4420 +152 +3.56%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………642.25 +14.50 +2.31%
SoybeanOil…67.97 +0.35 +0.52%
Wheat………822.50 -3.75 -0.45%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel, Europe Ijo, Asia Varied, Nikkei Ijo tebel.
Gold Silver Coal CPO naik, Nickel Drop, Copper Tin Gas turun. Coal udah diatas 400 USD/MT lagi.

Kalo market normal, harusnya ini bagus buat MDKA ADRO, jelek buat ANTM INCO TINS. Oil sama Gas masih bolak balik aja belum jadi run buat ELSA MEDC PGAS

Worst Case Scenario, walaupun kemunginan besar tidakakan terjadi, tapi melihat gap-gap yang ada, harus siap menghadapi kemungkinan ini

Kalo ikut trend recovery mungkin gini, tutup gap yang bawah nya di skip

IHSG – Secara teknikal kemungkinan besar turun dulu, tutup gap sekalian bikin wave 2 baru lanjut ke atas, tapi US Europe ijo tebel, mungkin juga rada panjangan lagi wave 1 nya ke atas, ga cuma tutup gap aja.

Daily Analysis 20220812

Daily Analysis 20220812

Global Update:

August 12th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes flat, Nasdaq dips as market comeback rally takes a breather

Stocks struggled for direction on Thursday as investors mulled another better-than-expected inflation report.

Dow…….33337 +27.2 +0.08%
Nasdaq.12780 -74.9 -0.58%
S&P 500..4207 -2.97 -0.07%

FTSE…….7466 -41.2 -0.55%
Dax……..13695 -6.4 -0.05%
CAC……..6555 +21.2 +0.33%

Nikkei….27819 closed +0%
HSI……..20082 +471.6 +2.40%
Shanghai..3282 +51.7 +1.60%
ST Times..3302 +15.6 +0.48%

IDX…….7160.38 +74.15 +1.05%
LQ45…1018.33 +10.53 +1.04%

IDX Energy…1823.35 +18.95 +1.05%
IDX Bsc Mat.1357.45 +26.07 +1.96%
IDX Industrl..1307.26 +3.14 +0.24%
IDXNONCYC..704.86 +0.90 +0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1414.86 +4.57 +0.32%
IDXCYCLIC…..895.15 -1.17 -0.13%
IDX Techno..8256.40 +221.65 +2.76%
IDX Transp…2108.67 +16.39 +0.78%
IDX Infrast…..1044.04 +11.63 +1.13%
IDX Finance 1537.57 +9.31 +0.61%
IDX Banking..1167.16 +3.58 +0.31%
IDX Property…..709 +13 +1.86%

Indo10Yr….7.2089 -0.0166 -0.23%
ICBI……..335.7363 +1.2252 +0.38%
US10Yr…..2.8880 +0.1020 +3.66%
VIX…………20.20 +0.46 +2.33%

USDIndx 105.0900 -0.1390 -0.13%‼️
Como Indx..295.06 +5.79 +2.00%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..164.27 +3.80 +2.37%
.
IndoCDS…102.39 – 9.85 -8.73%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14765.50 -105.00 -0.71%👍
Jisdor..14799 .00 -76.00 -0.51%👍

Euro………1.0327 +0.0024 +0.23%

TLKM……..30.94 +0.29 +0.95%
(4579)
EIDO………24.10 +0.10 +0.42%
EEM………40.62 +0.16 +0.40%

Oil…………..94.11 +2.53 +2.76%
Gold ……..1804.70 -3.60 -0.20%
Timah. .25541.00 +115.00 +0.47%
( Closed 10/8)
Nickel…23701.00 +1265.00 +5.64%‼️
(Closed 11/8)
Silver…….20.24 -0.33 -1.60%
Copper….369.40 +5.70 +1.57%

Nturl Gas…..8.727 +0.506 +6.15%‼️

Ammonia….3806.67 -unch -0%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/8)

Coal price….401.00 +2.35 +0.59%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….397.00 -3.70 -0.92%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….387.50 -2.50 -0.64%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….344.00 +2.00 +0.58%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….338.25 -0.25 -0.07%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….328.75 -0.25 -0.08%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)……4268 +162 +3.94%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………627.75 +9.25 +1.50%
SoybeanOil…67.62 +1.63 +2.47%
Wheat………826.25 +10.00 +1.23%

Wood pulp…6720.00 -6 -0.09%
(Closed 11/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing tipis2, Asia ijo masih ikut sentimen kemarennya, europe varied. VIX (volatility index) diatas 20, rada kurang baik buat saham

Lagi, semua komoditas ijo kecuali gold dan silver. Coal kembali diatas 400 USD/MT, Nikel Gas CPO naik tinggi

Ada kemungkinan saham coal dilanjut naik, dan trio ANTM INCO TINS juga. Semoga PGAS yang jalan, udah sempet ada volume breakout tapi masih loyo

IHSG ada 3 gap dibawah… 6911 6740 sama 6162

Keliatannya tapi koreksi wave 2 ini nutup sampe gap yang 6740. Kalau sampe 6162 break pattern, bahaya bener

IHSG – stoch sell, MACD melandai, gap sudah ketutup, LR belum mentok, PSAR tanda2 mau reversal, lagging line di ichimoku, supertrend dan alligator still UP, majornya sih jelas sudah uptrend, tapi wave 2 is eminent sepertinya

Daily Analysis 20220805

Daily Analysis 20220805

Global Update:

August 05th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow slips as Wall Street awaits July jobs report

The Dow ticked down Thursday as traders awaited Friday’s July jobs report, which will give the latest snapshot on the labor market and the health of the economy.

Dow…….32723 -85.7 -0.26%
Nasdaq.12721 +52.4 +0.41%
S&P 500..4152 -3.23 -0.08%

FTSE…….7448 +2.4 +0.03%
Dax……..13663 +75.1 +0.55%
CAC……..6513 +41.3 +0.64%

Nikkei….27932 +190.3 +0.69%
HSI……..20174 +406.95+2.06%
Shanghai..3189 +25.4 +0.80%
ST Times..3270 +17.8 +0.55%

IDX…….7057.35 +10.71 +0.15%
LQ45…1003.77 +3.72 +0.38%

IDX Energy…1766.29 -45.54 -2.57%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.91 +9.94 +0.77%
IDX Industrl..1321.32 -6.29 -0.47%
IDXNONCYC..703.38 +1.24 +0.18%
IDX Hlthcare.1430.38 -0.99 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.52 +6.72 +0.76%
IDX Techno..8125.73 +242.45 +3.08%
IDX Transp…2015.22 -5.04 -0.25%
IDX Infrast…..1027.86 +26.79 +1.36%
IDX Finance 1517.57 -1.42 -0.09%
IDX Banking..1143.34 +0.81 +0.07%
IDX Property……. – -%

Indo10Yr….7.3039 -0.0210 -0.29%
ICBI……..332.7187 +0.3500 +0.11%
US10Yr…..2.6760 -0.0720 -2.62%
VIX…………21.44 -0.51 -2.32%‼️

USDIndx 105.6930 -0.8130 -0.76%‼️
Como Indx..281.21 -0.51 -0.18%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..154.70 +2.23 +1.46%

IndoCDS…120.12 -7.03 -5.53%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14932.50 +21.00 +0.14%‼️
Jisdor..14929 .00 +12.00 +0.08%‼️

Euro………1.0247 +0.0083 +0.75%

TLKM……..29.93 +0.05 +0.17%
(4468)
EIDO………23.47 +0.09 +0.38%
EEM………40.02 +0.28 +0.70%

Oil…………87.36 -3.06 -3.36%‼️
Gold ……1806.90 +26.30 +1.48%‼️
Timah. .24245.00 -4.00 -0.02%
( Closed 03/8)
Nickel…22288.00 -264.00 -1.17%
(Closed 04/8)
Silver…….20.15 +0.15 +0.75%
Copper….347.95 +0.70 +0.20%

Nturl Gas…..8.141 -0.147 -1.77%

Ammonia….3856.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/8)

Coal price….385.00 -8.50 -2.16%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….365.00 -13.55 -3.58%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….329.50 -25.50 -7.18%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…313.20 -23.25 -6.91%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3818 -42 -1.08%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………606.25 +10.00 +1.69%
SoybeanOil…61.42 +0.42 +0.69%
Wheat………782.50 +18.75 +2.45%

Wood pulp…6726.00 +4 +0.06%
(Closed 04/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah tipis tapi ga ada apa apa, regional lain ijo semua…

Oil turun coal turun gas turun, sektor energy keliatannya koreksi dulu. Beware kemaren entry PGAS, kita liat signalnya. Semoga contrarian sama sektornya dia

Gold Silver Copper naik, timah nikel turun, bagus buat holder MDKA, holder ANTM INCO TINS SOS ya, sebagian aja bagusnya kalo punya modal bawah

IHSG – kelihatannya akan dibawa lanjut sampe tutup gap…

Daily Analysis 20220803

Daily Analysis 20220803

Global Update:

August 03rd, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks fall a second day on U.S.-China tensions, hawkish comments from Fed leaders

Stocks slumped on Tuesday as investors weighed increased tensions between the U.S. and China with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s Taiwan visit and reacted to comments from Federal Reserve presidents about the central bank’s path forward.

Dow…….32396 -402.2 -1.23%
Nasdaq.12349 -20.2 -0.16%
S&P 500..4091 -27.4 -0.67%

FTSE…….7409 -4.3 -0.06%
Dax……..13449 -30.4 -0.23%
CAC……..6410 -27.1 -0.42%

Nikkei….27595 -398.6 -1.42%
HSI……..19689 -473.6 -2.36%
Shanghai..3186 -73.7 -2.26%
ST Times..3239 +0.4 +0.01%

IDX…….6988.16 +19.37 +0.28%
LQ45…..988.61 +6.62 +0.67%

IDX Energy…1815.73 -51.05 -2.74%
IDX Bsc Mat.1287.59 -8.66 -0.67%
IDX Industrl..1328.62 +23.6 +1.81%
IDXNONCYC..705.19 -2.9 -0.41%
IDX Hlthcare.1434.52 +1.08 +0.08%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.33 -0.08 -0.01%
IDX Techno..7637.16 -17.54 -0.23%
IDX Transp…1993.47 -7.10 -0.35%
IDX Infrast……999.00 +2.92 +0.29%
IDX Finance 1504.78 +0.28 +0.02%
IDX Banking..1131.86 +10.06 +0.90%
IDX Property…….689 -1.80 -0.26%

Indo10Yr….7.2855 +0.0080 +0.11%
ICBI……..332.9254 -0.1759 -0.05%
US10Yr…..2.7410 +0.1350 +5.18%
VIX…………23.94 +1.09 +4.77%

USDIndx 106.2410 +0.7910 +0.75%‼
Como Indx..283.11 -5.95 -2.04%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..154.30 -2.46 -1.57%

IndoCDS…127.15 +7.07 +5.89%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14889.00 +16.00 +0.11%
Jisdor..14888.00 +14.00 +0.09%

Euro………1.0170 -0.0092 -0.90%

TLKM……..28.60 -0.14 -0.49%
(4258)
EIDO………23.14 -0.09 -0.39%
EEM………39.43 -0.19 -0.48%

Oil…………93.70 -0.21 -0.22%
Gold ……1773.60 -15.30 -0.86%
Timah. .25047.00 – –
( Closed 29/7)
Nickel…22342.00 -2002.00 -8.22%‼
(Closed 02/8)
Silver…….19.92 -0.40 -1.97%
Copper….347.55 -6.05 -1.71%

Nturl Gas…..7.676 -0.542 -6.59%‼

Ammonia….3773.33 +83.33 +2.26%
China
(Domestic Price)(01/8)

Coal price….403.50 -1.50 -0.37%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….395.75 +2.35 +0.60%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….366.05 +0.55 +0.15%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…351.00 -2.30 -0.65%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3841 -232 -5.69%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………594.25 -15.50 -2.54%
SoybeanOil…61.39 -1.87 -2.96%
Wheat………774.75 -25.50 -3.19%‼

Wood pulp…67160.00 +26 +0.39%
(Closed 02/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Semua index regional closing merah kecuali IDX sama ST times. Tensi US-China ceritanya

Semua commodity juga turun, nikel cpo gas drop significant. Coal tipis tipis

IHSG – stochastic sell signal, bilang harus turun, MACD masih mungkin lanjut, alligator buy, supertrend juga buy, LR indikasi lanjut ke upper channel sekalian tutup gap atas

Kemaren sempet minus rada dalam, pas closing ditarik sampe ijo lagi. Semoga memang skenarionya tutupgap atas dulu baru koreksi wave2

Masih industrials sama energy

Daily Analysis 20220627

Daily Analysis 20220627

Global Update:

June 27th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow rallies 800 points on Friday to cap big comeback week for stocks

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied more than 800 points on Friday, rebounding off the lows of the bear market last week and capping its first weekly advance since May.

Dow…….31501 +823.3 +2.68%
Nasdaq.11608 +375.4 +3.34%
S&P 500..3912 +116.01 +3.06%

FTSE…….7209 +188.4 +2.68%
Dax……..13118 +205.5 +1.59%
CAC……..6073 +190.02 +3.23%

Nikkei….26492 +320.7 +1.23%
HSI……..21719 +445.2 +2.09%
Shanghai..3350 +29.6 +0.89%
ST Times..3112 +18.9 +0.61%

IDX…….7042.94 +44.67 +0.64%
LQ45….1018.98 +5.77 +0.57%

IDX Energy…1669.40 +14.19 +0.86%
IDX Bsc Mat.1289.15 +8.09 +0.63%
IDX Industrl..1227.06 -0.48 -0.04%
IDXNONCYC..723.56 +6.76 +0.94%
IDX Hlthcare.1498.44 -20.54 -1.35%
IDXCYCLIC…..899.88 +11.34 +1.28%
IDX Techno..7838.53 +144.48 +1.88%
IDX Transp….1987.51 +9.39 +0.47%
IDX Infrast……969.40 +9.88 +1.03%
IDX Finance 1467.85 +3.65 +0.72%
IDX Property…….688 +2.40 +0.35%

Indo10Yr….7.4542 -0.0190 -0.25%
ICBI……….328.7999 +0.8292 +0.25%
US10Yr….3.1250 +0.0570 +1.86%
VIX…………27.23 -1.82 -6.27%

USDIndx 104.1850 -0.2460 -0.24%
Como Indx….298.55 +1.86 +0.63%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..157.83 -4.23 -2.61%

IndoCDS…127.82 -5.25 -3.94%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14847.50 +7.00 +0.05%‼
Jisdor..14846.00 +11.00 +0.07%‼

Euro………1.0553 +0.0005 +0.05%

TLKM……..27.59 -0.21 -0.76%
(4096)
EIDO……….23.25 +0.18 +0.78%
EEM……….40.65 +0.94 +2.37%

Oil………….107.62 +3.24 +3.10%‼
Gold …… .1830.30 +5.00 +0.27%
Timah. .24590.00 -2395.00 -8.88%‼
( Closed 24/6)
Nickel..22128.00 -1884.00 -7.85%‼
(Closed 25/6)
Silver……….21.16 +0.14 +0.66%
Copper…..374.45 -1.80 -0.48%

Nturl Gas…..6.173 -0.055 0.88%

Ammonia ..4883.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/6)

Coal price…387.00 -10.05 -2.53%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…371.50 -9.80 -2.57%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…367.20 -12.70 -3.34%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…351.70 -13.30 -3.64%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…4656 -94 -1.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………674.00 +18.25 +2.82%
SoybeanOil…..64.95 +1.06 +1.66%
Wheat………..936.50 -12.75 -1.34%

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0%
(Closed 26/6)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Closing jum’at semua index regional ijo. Semoga kalopun hari ini mulai lanjut koreksi wave c, jangan dalem2 dan saham2 yang sudah keluar buy signal ga keseret kebawah

Oil rebound, kebalikan sama coal yang drop Timah Nikel CPO turun Gold silver gas ijo, copper turun

WhatsApp Image 2022-06-27 at 6.24.00 AM

Techno dah off, yang paling deket 45 derajat Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare (tapi keangkat sama HEAL doang ini, MIKA dah off juga), Infra, Finance, terus Property