August 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 500 points lower Thursday as investors’ recession fears awaken

Stocks sold off Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
tumbling nearly 500 points, as investors’ fears over a recession surfaced.

Dow……40348 -494.8 -1.21%
Nasdaq17194 -405.3 -2.30%
S&P 500.5447 -75.6 -1.37%

FTSE…..8283 -84.6 -1.01%
Dax……18083 -425.6 -2.30%
CAC……7570 -161.04 -2.14%

Nikkei..38126 -975.9 -2.49%
HSI……..17305 -39.6 -0.34%
Shanghai.2932 -6.4 -0.22%

IDX….7325.98 +70.22 +0.97%
LQ45…925.51 +11.76 +1.29%
IDX30.461.45 +6.69 +1.47%

IDXEnergy..2459.65 +8.23 +0.34%
IDX BscMat1371.22 +7.60 +0.56%
IDX Indstrl.1036.57 -4.17 -0.40%
IDXNONCYC.705.02+0.29 +0.04%
IDX Hlthcare1448.34 -1.06 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC…759.81 +0.53 +0.07%
IDXTechno.3284.23 -3.28 -0.10%
IDX Transp 1391.58 +10.89 +0.20%
IDX Infrast 1568.46 -6.94 -0.44%
IDX Finance1417.15 +15.2 +1.09%
IDX Banking1263.32 +25.59 +2.07%
IDX Property…..649 +8.20 +1.29%

Indo10Yr.6.9175❗️ -0.0245 -0.35%
ICBI…384.4484❗️ +0.8774 +0.23%
US2Yr.4.156 -0.104 -2.44%👍
US5Yr 3.844👍 -0.073 -1.86%
US10Yr3.970👍 -0.0789 -1.93%
US30Yr.4.280 -0.026 -0.60%
VIX..18.59 +2.23 +13.63%‼️

USDIndx 104.4210 +0.325 +0.31%
Como Indx….273.59 -4.53 -1.63%
BCOMIN…..139.10 -1.33 -0.94%

IndoCDS..75.20 +000 +0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16237.00❗️ -23.00 -0.14%
Jisdor.16294.00❗️ -51.00 -0.31%

Euro…1.0789 -0.0037 -0.34%

TLKM…17.59 -0.26 -1.46%*
( 2866)
EIDO….20.19 +0.05 +0.27%
EEM……42.20 -0.73 -1.70%

Oil………..76.79 -1.77 -2.25%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.52 -1.20 -1.49%
(Brent)
Gold…..2489.20 -3.10 -0.12%
(Comex)
Gold……2448.00 -2.74 -0.11%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29894.00 -162.00 -0.54%
(Closed 01/08)
Nickel..16235.00 -276.00 -0.92%
(Closed 01/08)
Silver….28.61 -0.61 -2.09%
Copper.406.70 -12.65 -3.02%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 105.94 -0.31 -0.29%
(31/07)
Nturl Gas 1.978‼️ -0.064 -3.13%
Ammonia China 2346.67 -196.66 -7.73%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/08)

Coal price.142.55 +2.45 +1.75%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.80 +2.40 +1.70%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 145.25 +3.25 +2.29%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.65 +3.50 +2.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.95 +3.10 +2.65%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.80 +4.00 +3.42%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.45 +3.90 +3.35%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.55 +4.00 +3.43%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3871 -38 -0.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..398.50 -1.25 -0.31%
SoybeanOil 41.45 -0.87 -2.06%
Wheat…..532.00 +4.75 +0.90%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 01/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah dalem, europe juga, asia juga kecuali IHSG, sekarang kemungkinan besar nyusul merah

US Bond yield sebenernya merah, kalo pasar saham US ijo kita hampir pasti ijo juga, tapi ini nggak, US merah, kita masih jadwal wave 2, so kayanya hancur lagi. USD index up, consequently metal2 merah semua, oil gas CPO merah, coal ijo tebel sendiri. PTBA menarik ini

IHSG – kemarin FNB, tapi turnover vol transaksi kecil, ga terlalu valid jadinya. Technically masih jelek, very selective buying, malah amannya diem dulu keep cash

Bubar semua, Basic Materials yang terlihat mau mulai gerak. Healthcare masih bagus arahnya, tapi bukan spesialis contrarian, skip

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget, ANTM ICBP INCO KLBF PGEO TOWR UNTR UNVR BRMS CTRA MPMX NISP PWON SMRA TBIG TINS TRON PSSI ISSI, yang accum tapi cuma ANTM INCO PWON SMRA

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BMRI BRPT TOWR MICE, big accum ANTM BMRI BRPT

July 24th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks close slightly lower as Wall Street gears up for major tech earnings

The S&P 500
hovered near the flatline Tuesday as traders readied for earnings reports from major technology behemoths.

Dow……40358 -57.4 -0.14%
Nasdaq17997 -10.2 -0.06%
S&P 500.5556 -8.7 -0.16%

FTSE…..8167 -31.4 -0.38%
Dax……18558 +150.6 +0.82%
CAC……7589 -23.4 -0.31%

Nikkei..39594 -4.6 -0.01%
HSI……17469 -166.5 -0.94%
Shanghai.2915 -48.9 -1.65%

IDX….7313.86 -8.11 -0.11%
LQ45..923.26 +0.02 +0.00%
IDX30.460.95 -1.29 -0.28%

IDXEnergy..2467.96 -24.87 -1.00%
IDX BscMat1365.21 +5.83 +0.43%
IDX Indstrl.1023.64 -8.34 -0.81%
IDXNONCYC.712.97 -4.10 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare1434.60+9.42 +0.66%
IDXCYCLIC…745.17 -3.06 -0.41%
IDXTechno3438.72 +149.72 +4.55%‼️
IDX Transp 1376.79 +5.67 +0.41%
IDX Infrast 1607.34 +5.47 +0.34%
IDX Finance1405.23 -2.37 -0.17%
IDX Banking1252.42 -8.09 -0.64%
IDX Property…..644 -0.10 -0.01%

Indo10Yr.7.0303 +0.0219 +0.31%
ICBI…382.4694 -0.1720 -0.04%
US2Yr.4.496 -0.025 -0.55%
US5Yr 4.166 -0.009 -0.22%
US10Yr4.261 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4.487 +0.014 +0.31%
VIX..14.72 -0.19 -1.27%

USDIndx 104.4470 +0.133 +0.13%
Como Indx….280.44 -2.65 -0.94%
BCOMIN…..139.67 -1.20 -0.85%

IndoCDS..76.19 -2.00 +2.70%
(5-yr INOCD5) (22/07)

IDR…..16213.50❗️ -6.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.16204.00❗️ -24.00 -0.15%

Euro…1.0850 -0.0041 -0.38%

TLKM…19.38 +0.01 +0.03%
( 3140)
EIDO…..20.24 -0.10 -0.47,%
EEM…..42.72 -0.38 -0.88%

Oil………..77.42‼️ -2.36 -2.96%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….81.01 -1.39 -1.69%
(Brent)
Gold…..2457.50 +12.60 +0.52%
(Comex)
Gold……2408.59 -1.05. -0.04%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29418.00 -470.00‼️ -1.57%
(Closed 23/07)
Nickel..16213.00 -61.00 -0.37%
(Closed 23/07)
Silver……29.36 +0.08 +0.27%
Copper.415.45 -3.75. -0.89%

Iron Ore 62% 108.16 -0.29 -0.27%
(22/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.205 -0.074 -3.25%
Ammonia China 2833.33 +33.33 +1.19%
(Domestic Price)(23/07)

Coal price.134.70 -0.30 -0.22%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.20 -1.20 -0.86%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.40 -1.25 -0.90%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.40 -1.45 -1.04%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.25 +0.25 +0.24%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..109.60 +1.65 +1.53%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.95 +1.55 +1.43%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 110.35 +1.75 +1.61%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3953 -21 -0.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..417.25 +2.25. +0.54%
SoybeanOil 45.13 +0.28 +0.62%
Wheat…..542.75 -5.25 -0.96%

Wood pulp..5170 -26 -0.50%
(Closed 24/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional merah, USD bond yield pendeh down panjang up, mendingan sih buat saham, tapi memang masih cocoksama jadwal koreksi IHSG, masih kemungkinan besar merah

USD index up, Metal2 down kecuali gold silver, oil gas coal CPO down, asli ini sih lanjut merahnya, ga ada ganjel

IHSG – indicator masih bilang down, FNS juga, masih bagusan pegang cash, yang di saham hanya yang contrarian dan sektor consumer

melandai semua kecuali energy sama healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA MDKA SIDO MIKA SILO, big accum BBCA MIKA

MACD Buy Signal: ACES BBCA, big accum juga

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: ERAA

July 17th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow rallies 700 points for best day in more than a year, Russell 2000 small-cap index jumps 3%

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
advanced to new highs on Tuesday, as the bull market broadened out beyond technology names on hopes of forthcoming interest rate cuts.

Dow……40955 +742.8 +1.85%
Nasdaq18509 +36.8 +0.20%
S&P 500.5667 +35.98 +0.64%

FTSE…..8165 -18.06 -0.22%
Dax……18518 -72.9 -0.39%
CAC……7580 -52.7 -0.69%

Nikkei..41275 +84.4 +0.43%
HSI……17727 -287.96 -1.60%
Shanghai.2976 +2.3 +0.08%

IDX….7278.86 -46.72 -0.66%
LQ45..912.58 -7.80 -0.85%
IDX30.450.86 -3.78 -0.83%

IDXEnergy..2417.64 +2.49 +0.10%
IDX BscMat1387.86 +8.90 +0.65%
IDX Indstrl.1016.35 -1.85 -0.18%
IDXNONCYC.709.45 -5.57 -0.78%
IDX Hlthcare1426.48 +0.05 +0.00%
IDXCYCLIC…753.01 +12.03 +1.62%
IDXTechno3331.16 +37.96 +1.15%
IDX Transp 1355.87 +6.02. +0.48%
IDX Infrast 1583.78 -11.75 -0.74%
IDX Finance1387.19 -8.55 -0.61%
IDX Banking1223.36 -11.08 -0.90%
IDX Property…..641 -1.80 -0.28%

Indo10Yr.7.0254 -0.0059 -0.08%
ICBI…382.2191 +0.1713 +0.04%
US2Yr.4.421👍 -0.039 -0.87%
US5Yr 4.076 👍 -0.059 -1.42%
US10Yr4.157👍 -0.068 -1.61%
US30Yr.4.372 👍-0.087 -1.95%
VIX..13.10 -0.02 -0.15%

USDIndx 104.2700 +0.081 +0.08%
Como Indx….285.79 -2.60 -0.90%
BCOMIN…… 148.07 -2.60 -1.73%

IndoCDS..71.73 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (15/07)

IDR…..16179.50❗️+9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor.16203.00❗️+29.00 +0.18%

Euro…1.0900 +0.0005 +0.05%

TLKM…19.32 -0.07 -0.34%
( 3130)
EIDO….20.08 -0.09 -0.42%
EEM…..44.29 +0.24 +0.54%

Oil…….80.80 -1.08 -1.32%
Gold…..2473.60‼️ +47.40 +1.95%
Timah..33171.00 -75.00 -0.23%
(Closed 16/07)
Nickel..16733.50 -28.00 -0.17%
(Closed 16/07)
Silver….31.63 -0.74 -2.33%
Copper.451.00 -1.15 0.25%

Iron Ore 62% 109.67 +0.09 +0.08%
(15/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.183 +0.021 +0.97%
Ammonia China 2783.33. unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(16/07)

Coal price.134.40 -0.55 -0.41%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.25 +0.50 +0.36%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.50 +0.45 +0.32%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 140.70 +1.15 +0.82%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.50 +0.35 +0.33%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..110.95 +1.80 +1.65%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price. 111.00 +1.30 +1.19%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 110.90 +1.20 +1.09%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3926 +52 +1.34%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..408.75 +4.50 +1.11%
SoybeanOil 44.94 +0.03 +0.07%
Wheat…..530.75 -1.75 -0.33%

Wood pulp..5220 unch +0%
(Closed 16/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI loncat tinggi banget, europe masih merah, asia varied, IHSG jelas merah agak dalem karena jadwal koreksi, US bond yield merah semua, normally kita ikut ijo hari ini, tapi koreksi belum cukup dalem, belum bisa di predict jadinya. Kalopun ijo akan tipis harusnya

USD index up tipis, gold iron ore up juga, metal2 lain down. Masih nahan ini ANTM ga ikut turun sama index. Oil down, gas up, coal up, CPO up, ELSA udahan harusnya run nya, chart oil firm kebawah ini

IHSG – semua indicator bilang harus turun dulu, tapi market US cerah banget, nuat hari ini sih mungkin ijo, tapi trend mid term nya lanjut turun dulu minimal tutup gap terdekat, atau area fibo 38 lah

Oil Price – hati hati yang pegang ELSA, kalo udah cukup profitnya mending pasang trailing stop, oil price nya ga mendukung

Coal – tanda tandanya sih mau naik, dan INDY yang paling belum ngikutin. Walau dari screening value investing, ADRO paling ok. Begitu index aman, dan ADRO nya buy signal, harusnya berani entry

Wah masih RSI nya seolah olah jalan, padahal udah 2 hari merah dalem. Hati-hati bisa misleading

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRIS MBMA HRTA MARK SMIL, pada ga jelas, BRIS buy signal tapi big dist

MACD Buy Signal: PGAS + big accum

July 16th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow rises 200 points to close at a record after Trump survives assassination attempt

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
advanced on Monday as investors bet the unsuccessful assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump will lead to big gains for the Republican presidential candidate and the GOP at the polls in November.

Friendlier fiscal policies ahead were seen as further spurring a broadening out of the bull market that started to take shape last week. Small-cap shares and banks climbed on Monday.

Dow……40212 +210.8 +0.53%
Nasdaq18473 +74.1 +0.40%
S&P 500.5631 +15.9 +0.28%

FTSE…..8183 -69.96 -0.85%
Dax……18591 -157.3 -0.84%
CAC……7633 -91.6 -1.19%

Nikkei..41191 closed +0%
HSI……18015 -277.4 -1.52%
Shanghai.2974 +2.7 +0.09%,

IDX….7278.86 -46.72 -0.66%
LQ45..912.58 -7.80 -0.85%
IDX30.454.63 -3.77 -0.82%

IDXEnergy..2415.15 +0.67 +0.03%
IDX BscMat1378.96 -7.39 -0.53%
IDX Indstrl.1018.19 -0.65 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC.715.02 +1.14 +0.16%
IDX Hlthcare1426.43 -6.28 -0.44%
IDXCYCLIC…740.98 +2.22 +0.30%
IDXTechno3293.20 +17.36 +0.53%
IDX Transp 1349.85 +11.97 +0.89%
IDX Infrast 1595.54 -16.88 -1.05%
IDX Finance1395.74 -5.03 -0.36%
IDX Banking1234.43 -10.06 -0.81%
IDX Property…..643 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr.7.0313 +0.0118 +0.17%
ICBI…382.0478 -0.3250 -0.08%
US2Yr.4.460 +0.002 +0.04%
US5Yr 4.135 +0.028 +0.68%
US10Yr4.225 -0.022 -0.52%
US30Yr.4.459 +0.059 +1.34%
VIX..13.12 +0.66 +5.30%‼️

USDIndx 104.1890👍 -0.211 -0.20%
Como Indx….288.39 -2.05 -0.71%
BCOMIN…… 150.67 -1.41 -0.93%

IndoCDS..71.72 -0.08 -0.11%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/07)

IDR…..16170.00❗️+33.50 +0.21%
Jisdor.16174.00❗️+20.00 +0.11%

Euro…1.0895 +0.0027 +0.25%

TLKM…19.39 -0.37 -1.85%
( 3136)
EIDO….20.16 -0.36 -1.73%
EEM…..44.04 -0.46 -1.02%

Oil…….81.88 -1.07 -1.28%
Gold…..2426.20 +8.80 +0.33%
Timah..33246.00 -449.00 -1.33%
(Closed 15/07)
Nickel..16923.00 -161.50 -0.95%
(Closed 15/07)
Silver….31.63 -0.74 -2.33%
Copper.451.00 -1.15 0.25%

Iron Ore 62% 109.58 +0.84 +0.77%
(12/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.162 -0.151 -6.53%‼️
Ammonia China 2783.33. unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(12/07)

Coal price.134.95 +1.10 +0.82%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.75 +2.40 +1.77%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.05 +2.30 +1.68%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.55 +2.00 +1.45%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.106.15 +1.85 +1.77%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..109.15 +4.25 +4.05%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.70 +3.90 +3.69%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.70 +3.50 +3.30%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3896 -39 -0.99%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..404.25 -10.50 -2.53%
SoybeanOil 44.91 -0.68 -1.49%
Wheat…532.50 -18.25 -3.31%‼️

Wood pulp..5220 unch +0%
(Closed 15/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

dikira akan merah karena percobaan pembunuhan trump, US malah ijo, europe merah, asia mostly merah, US bond yield naik padahal

USD index down, tapi metal2 banyak down, cuma gold sama iron ore up. Oil Gas down, coal up high, CPO down. Harusnya ANTM ijo hari ini, yang lain keliatannya lanjut merah ikut index

IHSG – FNS, awal koreksi ini, harusnya ga akan terlalu pendek karena kemaren rally nya lumayan jauh. Sementara belum bisa short sell sabar aja tunggu koreksi selesai

Liat ini seolah olah financials mau nyusul, yang efeknya akan ngangkar index, tapi hampir pasti ini jadwal minggu ini sih merah dulu, koreksi sehat. Biasanya consumer yang jadi ganjel index biar ga nyungsep2 banget

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN BRMS IMAS SMDR. Big accum BBTN BRMS.

MACD Buy Signal: SSIA, big accum juga

Stochastic Continuation Signal + big accum: BMRS ENRG