Global Update:

September 28th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 ends Tuesday down after notching a fresh bear market low, Dow slips more than 100 points

The S&P 500 fell deeper into a bear market on Tuesday after setting a new 2022 low, while the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield continued to climb to levels not seen in at least a decade.

Dow…….29135 -125.8 -0.43%
Nasdaq.10830 +26.6 +0.25%
S&P 500..3647 -7.8 -0.21%

FTSE…….6985 -36.4 -0.52%
Dax……..12140 -88.2 -0.72%
CAC……..5754 -15.6 -0.27%

Nikkei….26572 +140.3 +0.53%
HSI……..17860 +5.2 +0.03%
Shanghai..3094 +42.6 +1.40%
ST Times..3166 -16.5 -0.52%

IDX…….7112.45 -15.05 -0.21%
LQ45…1015.98 -4.2q -0.41%

IDX Energy…1938.67 +26.31 1.38%
IDX Bsc Mat.1271.67 -12.34 -0.96%
IDX Industrl..1321.48 +3.30 +0.25%
IDXNONCYC..702.23 -2.06 -0.29%
IDX Hlthcare.1465.65 +4.14 +0.28%
IDXCYCLIC…..870.02 -2.78 -0.32%
IDX Techno..7250.75 +31.61 +0.44%
IDX Transp…1845.42 +7.88 +0.43%
IDX Infrast…..1009.48 +3.60 +0.36%
IDX Finance 1503.28 -5.05 -0.34%
IDX Banking..1162.64 -4.61 -0.39%
IDX Property….706 -5.90 -0.32%

Indo10Yr….7.3864 +0.0317 +0.43%
ICBI……..333.3681 -0.2493 -0.07%
US10Yr……3.9640 +0.0860 +2.22%‼️
VIX……….32.60 +0.34 +1.06%

USDIndx114.1030+0.0030 +0.00%‼️‼️
Como Indx..264.30 -4.17 -1.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..140.72 -1.68 -1.18%
.
IndoCDS…111.84 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (27/9)

IDR……15124.00 -5.50 -0.04%‼️
Jisdor..15155.00 +36.00 +0.24%‼️

Euro……..0.9589 -0.0001 -0.01%‼️

TLKM……..28.84 -0.07 -0.24%
(4371)
EIDO……….23.59 -0.18 -0.76%
EEM……….35.50 -0.04 -0.11%

Oil…………..78.22 +1.70 +2.22%
Gold ……1636.60 +5.20 +0.32%
Timah. .20640.00 +397 +1.96%
( Closed 26/9)
Nickel…21683.00 -460.00 -2.08%
(Closed 27/9)
Silver…….18.34 -0.01 -0.05%
Copper….329.45 +0.35 +0.11%

Nturl Gas…..6.812 -0.217 -3.09%

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(26/9)

Coal price….437.65 -0.35 -0.08%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.00 +0.10 +0.02%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.25 +0.25 +0.06%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….325.60 -0.15 -0.05%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….297.55 +2.95 +1.00%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….295.00 -1.00 -0.34%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3530 -16 -0.45%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………667.50 +1.25 +0.19%
SoybeanOil…62.39 -0.07 -0.11%
Wheat………871.50 +13.50 +1.57%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 27/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah Nasdaq ijo, europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo kecuali singapore sama indonesia

Kayanya kita ijo tipis dulu hari ini…

Oil gold timah copper naik, silver nikel gas cpo turun. Coal spot turun tipis, future nya naik tipis, masih belum kuat buat angkat saham coal

Basic materials mungin rada rebound hari ini

IHSG – closing price kemarin sudah dibawah MA 50, pemain MA bilang udah downtrend. Sudah koreksi sampe fibo 38, belum firm buat mulai buy, tunggu fibo 50, jaga2 kalo harus tutup gap

Healthcare melemah, techno ga jadi jalan, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Infrastructure, Financials (tapi resiko tinggi ini kalo index masih mau turun), Transportation

Global Update:

September 27th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 notches new closing low for 2022, Dow falls into bear market as dollar surges

The S&P 500 notched a new closing low for 2022 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped into a bear market as interest rates surged and turmoil rocked global currencies.

Dow…….29261 -329.6 -1.11%
Nasdaq.10803 -65.0 -0.60%
S&P 500..3655 -38.2 -1.03%

FTSE…….7021 +2.4 +0.03%
Dax……..12228 -56.3 -0.46%
CAC……..5769 -14.02 -0.24%

Nikkei….26432 -722.3 -2.66%
HSI……..17855 -78.1 -0.44%
Shanghai..3051 -37.1 -1.20%
ST Times..3182 -45.1 -1.40%

IDX…….7127.50 -51.08 -0.71%
LQ45…1020.20 -5.44 -0.53%

IDX Energy…1912.36 -79.32 -3.98%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.21 -17.44 -1.34%
IDX Industrl..1318.18 -36.96 -2.73%
IDXNONCYC..704.29 -4.28 -0.60%
IDX Hlthcare.1461.51 -3.75 -0.26%
IDXCYCLIC…..872.80 -2.52 -0.29%
IDX Techno..7219.13 -166.50 -2.25%
IDX Transp…1837.53 -24.35 -1.31%
IDX Infrast…..1005.88 -11.88 -0.10%
IDX Finance 1508.33 +3.22 +0.21%
IDX Banking..1167.25 +3.68 +0.32%
IDX Property….706 -5.90 -0.32%

Indo10Yr….7.3547 +0.0364 +0.50%
ICBI……..333.6174 -0.9262 -0.28%
US10Yr……3.8780 +0.1810 +4.90%‼️
VIX……….32.26 +2.34 +7.82%‼️

USDIndx114.1030+0.9110 +0.80%‼️‼️
Como Indx..264.30 -4.17 -1.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..142.40 -3.77 -2.58%‼️
.
IndoCDS…111.84 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/9)

IDR……15129.50 +92.00 +0.61%‼️
Jisdor..15119.00 +84.00 +0.56%‼️

Euro……..0.9590 -0.0097 -1.00%‼️

TLKM……..28.91 +0.20 +0.70%
(4371)
EIDO……….23.77 -0.17 -0.71%
EEM……….35.54 -0.44 -1.22%

Oil…………..76.52 -2.22 -2.82%‼️
Gold ……1631.60 -24.00 -1.45%‼️
Timah. .20243.00 – –
( Closed 23/9)
Nickel…22143.00 -1246.50 -5.33%‼️
(Closed 26/9)
Silver…….18.34 -0.57 -3.01%‼️
Copper….329.10 -5.20 -1.56%

Nturl Gas…..7.029 +0.038 +0.54%

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/9)

Coal price….438.00 +2.80 +0.64%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….422.90 +12.70 +3.10%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….425.00 +13.85 +3.37%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….325.75 -1.25 -0.38%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….294.60 -2.40 -0.81%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….296.00 -2.75 -0.92%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3546 -187 -5.00%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………666.25 -10.50 -1.55%
SoybeanOil…62.46 -1.22 -1.92%
Wheat………858.50 -22.50 -2.56%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 26/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Dari semua index, cuma FTSE yang closing ijo tipis, sisanya merah. Komoditi yang ijo cuma coal sama natural gas, masih dukung lanjut bursa merah hari ini. Masih jadwal lanjut wave2, walau minggu rebound dulu tutup opening gap kemarin

IHSG – masih half way ke perkiraan ujung wave 2 di closing gap 6740. Masih hati2 banget belanja. Mungkin hari ini rebound dulu tutup opening gap kemarin. Tapi belum waktunya untuk agresif belanja

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Infrastructure, Transportation

Global Update:

September 23th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower, major averages on pace for weekly declines as recession fears mount

Stocks on Thursday posted their third straight daily decline, as mounting fears that the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate hikes will push the economy into a recession dented risk appetite for investors.

Dow…….30077 -107.1 -0.35%
Nasdaq.11067 -153.4 -1.37%
S&P 500..3758 -31.9 -0.84%

FTSE…….7160 -78.1 -1.08%
Dax……..12532 -235.5 -1.84%
CAC……..5919 -112.8 -1.87%

Nikkei….27154 -159.3 -0.58%
HSI……..18148 -296.7 -1.61%
Shanghai..3109 -8.3 -0.27%
ST Times..3263 +1.3 +0.04%

IDX…….7218.91 +30.59 +0.43%
LQ45…1032.65 +3.43 +0.32%

IDX Energy..2020.15 +43.58 +2.21%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.60 +16.79 +1.30%
IDX Industrl..1368.75 +15.23 +1.12%
IDXNONCYC..703.64 +2.49 +0.36%
IDX Hlthcare.1465.79 -6.56 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…..878.25 -3.25 -0.37%
IDX Techno..7438.12 -33.59 -0.45%
IDX Transp…1852.54 +10.07 +0.55%
IDX Infrast…..1018.79 +6.57 +0.65%
IDX Finance 1507.53 +0.28 +0.02%
IDX Banking..1170.80 -1.88 -0.16%
IDX Property….720 +0.80 +0.11%

Indo10Yr….7.2763 +0.0130 +0.18%
ICBI……..335.2135 -0.4724 -0.14%
US10Yr……3.7080 +0.1980 +5.64%‼️
VIX……….27.35 -0.64 -2.29%

USDIndx 111.3530 +0.7110 +0.64%‼️
Como Indx..277.85 -0.38 -0.14%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..151.75 +0.03 +0.02%
.
IndoCDS…111.84 -11.04 -8.98%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……15022.00 +26.00 +0.17%‼️
Jisdor..15033.00 +22.00 +0.15%‼️

Euro……..0.9837 -0.0124 -1.29%

TLKM……..29.30 +0.27 +0.93%
(4405)
EIDO………24.34 +0.12 +0.50%
EEM………36.89 -0.18 -0.49%

Oil…………..83.66 +0.64 +0.77%
Gold ……..1679.40 -0.20 -0.01%
Timah. .21170.00 -11 -0.05%
( Closed 21/9)
Nickel…24378.50 -448.50 -1.81%
(Closed 22/9)
Silver…….19.65 +0.12 +0.61%
Copper….346.50 +2.90 +0.84%

Nturl Gas…..7.204 -0.546 -7.05%‼️

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(21/9)

Coal price….435.65 -8.85 -1.99%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.65 -27.35 -6.10%‼️
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….420.9 -27.35 -6.10%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….323.65 -0.40 -0.12%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….290.00 -2.00 -0.68%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….293.00 -1.55 -0.53%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3891 -62 -1.59%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………688.15 +2.75 +0.40%
SoybeanOil…66.46 +1.46 +2.25%
Wheat………910.75 +7.00 +0.77%

Wood pulp…6730.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 22/9)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren US merah IDX ijo, sekarang US merah lagi, IDX ikut merah kayanya… Yang lain pada kompak merah kecuali Indonesia sama Singapore

Komoditi hampir kebalikan kemaren, oil naik gold turun, nikel naik silver naik, gas turun coal turun. saham coal pullback dulu lah… naiknya nanti aja bareng wave 3 index, idealnya…

IHSG – all technical technical says down…

Healthcare, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Healthcare – selain foreign yang exit, semua ok sih

HEAL, udah buy signal dari kemarin di stochastic, sekarang MACD

HEAL – bandar dan foreign sudah mulai entry lagi, harusnya firm, technical ok semua, kalo breakout 1540 with volume tambah muatan

Rada ketinggian diatas average bandar, tapi technical firm ok lah

Consumer Cyclicals – belum sih masih sideways…

Belum ada lagi… Terakhir SCMA kemaren

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – Itungan ABC correctionnya belum beres, tapi udah ada bullish divergence baru… MACD buy tapi sideways, Stoch abis buy terus sw juga, foreign masih inside. Belum ok sih, mungkin nanti dah rada turun indexnya lebih jauh baru mulai gerak

CPIN ICBP

CPIN – stoch buy, macd dikit lagi, ada freq spike, bandar sama foreign masih flat, MFI up, retracement pattern mantul di fibo 23, bullish divergence confirmed by MA 10, LR nempel bawah channel siap mantul, berani spec buy, pantau ketat stoploss di breakdown support 5500. Masuk setengah botol dulu, nunggu resistance and volume breakout baru entry lagi.

Harga dibanding average harga broker aman…

ICBP – udah dua kali vol breakout, Stoch up macd up, MFI SW, bandar&foreign inside, EW impulse wave 3, harusnya ok banget.PSAR up LR mantul jalan test midline. BOW

 

ICBP sedikit lebih tinggi, karena sekarang lagi jadwal index merah ada bagusnya pasang buy dibawah atau sama dengan harga bandar, siapa tau kejemput…

ICBP PTBA ESSA

BBTN CPIN PRDA

ARTO BRPT HEAL SRTG

Financials skip dulu ah… Apalagi ARTO

 

PTBA – stoch down macd sw MFI down bandar dan foreign mulai akum lagi, ABC flat style correction bisa lah dianggap selesai, sektor energy nya lagi galau, lagi duduk di MA 50, ada gap diatas belum ketutup, ada regular dan hidden divergence juga sudah confirmed by MA 10 tapi nanti dulu deh…

Belum feel safe, BOW kalo drop lagi di bawah harga bandar baru confident

BRPT – biasanya tertib divergence dan nurut sama stochastic, tapi kalo kondisi index wave 2 gini ga berani sembarangan… LR nya belum firm, bandar dan foreign kemaren keluar terus, baru 2 hari akum lagi, sektor belum jalan lagi, MA dan alligator masih bilang downtrend, WNS deh

Dari harganya menarik… Tapi saya pribadi skip dulu sih, yang mau speculative buy mangga… DYOR ya… Inget cutloss kalau breakdown support di latest low kemaren, 800

Global update:

September 19th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower on Friday, extending sell off for worst week since June for S&P 500 and Nasdaq

Stocks fell Friday as Wall Street wrapped up one of its worst weeks in months and traders reacted to an ugly earnings warning from FedEx about the global economy.

Dow…….30822 -139.4 -0.45%
Nasdaq.11448 -103.95 -0.90%
S&P 500..3873 -28.02 -0.72%

FTSE…….7237 -45.4 -0.62%
Dax……..12741 -215.4 -1.66%
CAC……..6077 -80.5 -1.31%

Nikkei….27568 -308.3 -1.11%
HSI……..18762 -168.7 -0.89%
Shanghai..3126 -73.5 -2.30%
ST Times..3268 +0.31 +0.01%

IDX…….7168.87 -136.73 -1.87%
LQ45…1016.01 -25.04 -2.40%

IDX Energy..2034.77 -44.48 -2.14%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.13 +0.83 +0.06%
IDX Industrl..1363.44 -22.00 -1.59%
IDXNONCYC..702.55 -3.61 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare.1449.21 -5.57 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..880.03 -2.12 -0.24%
IDX Techno..7483.50 -35.58 -0.47%
IDX Transp…1903.48 -13.70 -0.71%
IDX Infrast…..1027.23 -3.55 -0.34%
IDX Finance 1512.67 -29.05 -1.88%
IDX Banking..1167.49 -33.02 -2.75%bangbang
IDX Property….737 -8.50 -1.14%

Indo10Yr….7.2394 +0.0326 +0.45%
ICBI……..335.6762 -0.6426 -0.19%
US10Yr……3.4480 -0.0110 -0.32%
VIX……….26.30 +0.03 +0.11%

USDIndx 109.7640 +0.0250 +0.02%
Como Indx..278.88 -2.12 -0.75%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..153.24 +1.24 +0.82%
.
IndoCDS…122.88 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14954.50 +57.00 +0.38%bangbang
Jisdor..14939.00 +40.00 +0.16%bangbang

Euro……..1.0016 +0.0022 +0.22%

TLKM……..29.20 -0.60 -2.01%
(4362)
EIDO………24.27 -0.48 -1.94%
EEM………37.79 -0.35 -0.92%
Oil…………..85.11 +0.38 +0.45%
Gold ……..1683.50 +11.80 +0.71%
Timah. .21137.00 +327.00 +1.57%
( Closed 16/9)
Nickel…24395.50 +1091.00 +4.68%bangbang
(Closed 16/9)
Silver…….19.38 +0.32 +1.68%
Copper….351.65 +4.96 +1.43%

Nturl Gas…..7.817 -0.475 -5.73%bangbang

Ammonia..4256.67 +66.67 +1.59%bangbang
China
(Domestic Price)(15/9)

Coal price….439.00 -6.50 -1.46%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.00 -10.00 -2.28%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….423.50 -11.00 -2.53%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….331.00 -6.20 -1.84%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….304.30 -13.70 -4.30%bangbang
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..305.55 -12.45 -3.92%bangbang
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3801 -116 -2.96%bangbang
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.25 -0.25 -0.04%
SoybeanOil…65.96 +1.66 +2.58%
Wheat……..859.75 +14.75 +1.75%

Wood pulp…6750.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/9)

copyrightPhintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at kompak merah semua, IHSG dalem banget dan ada opening gap down, membuka harapan rebound kecil hari ini… Energy dan Banking yang drop paling besar, udahan dulu emang keliatannya dari sisi sektornya.

Komoditas hampir semua naik kecuali natural gas sama coal dan  cpo, metal2 naik bisa berarti basic materials naik. Kita check chart sektornya later ya.

Keliatannya sesuai prediksi, sebelum santa claus rally akan drop dulu, bikin wave 3. Cocok nanti sama jadwal window dressing akhir tahun sekalian wave 3.

IHSG – stoch macd bilang sell, bandar dan foreign buang, MFI SW, ada banyak gap dibawah, LR bisa kemana aja, PSAR sell. Jelek banget ini…

IHSG kena regular bearish divergence MACD line dan MACD histogram, confirmed by MA10. So technically ngeri ini… Dan kemaren hype nya new ATH cuma segitu aja. Prepare buat terjunan wave 2. Kita liat sektor mana yang bakal jadi ganjel index

Bersih bersih dulu, mulai belanja lagi amannya setelah gap 6911 udah ketutup, kalo gap 6740 udah ketutup berani buy sambil merem, hehehe…

FTSE GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX SERIES ASIA PACIFIC EX JAPAN EX CHINA SEPTEMBER 2022 SEMI ANNUAL REVIEW

(The changes will be effective after the close of business on Friday, 16 September 2022 (i.e. on Monday, 19 September 2022)

INDONESIA

• LARGE CAP

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid

• MID CAP

Inclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large

• SMALL CAP

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Exclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
*
(Listri Samudra | Phintraco Sekuritas (AT), Source : FTSE – Disclaimer On)

Highlight di:

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid

-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Harusnya efek rebalancing akan bikin naik saham-saham ini karena akan diborong para Manager Investasi.

Cuma Property yang firm, tanda tanda perlawanan ada di basic materials, transportation, sama consumer cyclicals. Infra ada dikit tapi ok lah kita liat detailnya