December 09th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes higher to end longest losing streak since October

Stocks rose Thursday as the S&P 500 broke its longest losing streak since October and Wall Street evaluated the odds of a recession ahead.

Dow…….33782 +183.6 +0.55%
Nasdaq.11082 +123.5 +1.13%
S&P 500..3964 +29.6 +0.75%

FTSE…….7472 -17.02 -0.23%
Dax……..14265 +3.4 +0.02%
CAC……..6647 -13.3 -0.20%

Nikkei….27574 -111.97 -0.40%
HSI……..19450 +635.4 +3.38%
Shanghai..3197 -2.3. -0.07%
ST Times..3236 +10.6 +0.33%

IDX…….6804.23 -14.52 -0.21%
LQ45……944.22 -1.36. -0.14%

IDX Energy..2170.29 -15.98 -0.73%
IDX BscMat 1253.44 +18.77 +1.52%

IDX Indstrl…1184.83 -12.66 -1.06%
IDXNONCYC..727.19 -4.52 -0.62%
IDX Hlthcare.1548.40 +8.16 +0.53%
IDXCYCLIC…..862.65 +0.09 +0.01%
IDX Techno….5286.67 -46.34 -0.87%
IDX Transp…1700.03 -27.18 -1.57%
IDX Infrast……862.56 +9.01 +1.06%
IDX Finance 1438.72 -2.67 -0.19%
IDX Banking 1160.27 -4.66. -0.40%
IDX Property….712 +7.10 +1.01%

Indo10Yr….7.0644 -0.0066 -0.09%
ICBI……..342.7032 +0.0371 +0.01%
US10Yr..3.4910 +0.0830 +2.44%
VIX……22.29 -0.39 -1.72%

USDIndx..104.8130 -0.3870 -0.37%‼️
Como Indx..266.40 +0.51 +0.19%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..170.69 -1.44 -0.84%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15620.50 -16.00 -0.10%‼️
Jisdor..15624.00 +5.00 +0.03%‼️

Euro……..1.0557 +0.0048 +0.46%👍

TLKM……..23.65 +0.21 +0.90%
(3695)
EIDO……….22.85 +0.18 +0.79%
EEM………..39.28 +0.47 +1.21%

Oil………….71.46 -0.55 -0.76%
Gold ……1801.50 +3.50 +0.19%
Timah…..24306 -508 -2.05%
(Closed 07/12)
Nickel…29481.50 -1334.50 -4.33%‼️
(Closed 08/12)
Silver………23.25. +0.32 +1.41%
Copper….388.35 +2.30 +0.60%

Nturl Gas…..5.935 +0.119 +2.05%

Ammonia..4890.00 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(07/12)

Coal price….395.50 -10.15 -2.50%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price…..378.85 -11.55 -2.96%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price…..370.00 -11.10 -2.91%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….256.50 -6.80 -2.58%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….250.75 -11.00 -4.20%‼️
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….252.00 -10.00 -3.82%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)…..3951 -18 -0.45%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….642.50 +1.25 +0.19%
SoybeanOil…60.48 +0.32 +0.53%
Wheat………746.25 -3.25 -0.43%

Wood pulp…6550.00 unch +0%
(Closed 07/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound, Europe tipis tipis, asia kemaren Hangseng naik tinggi singapore naik dikit, semoga udah rock bottom ini pas tutup gap kemaren

Gold Silver Copper naik, Timah Nikel turun dalem, Oil turun Gas naik, Coal turun rada banyak, balik kebawah 400, CPO lanjut kebawah. Mungkin masih mau dip lebih jauh ini coal tudei

Misalnya dianggap kemarin sudah bottom wave 2, proyeksi elliot wave nya jadi gini…

IHSG – technically masih jelek bener, amannya sih ya tunggu confirmed mantul secara teknikal, ada buy signal, bandar dan foreign akum

Cacing RSI belum banyak rubah, property yang keliatan cape, financials masih belum, energy, healthcare, consumer non-cyclicals masih leading

Stoch Buy Signal: BRPT LINK PTPP WSKT. Sektor infrastructure gerak bareng2 kemaren, apa iya mau lanjut windress sampe tutup tahun?

December 08th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 notches fifth day of losses as traders consider recession odds, yields fall

The S&P 500 fell for a fifth day as traders weighed the possibility of a recession, and the likelihood of a longer-than-expected hiking cycle from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….33598 +1.6 +0.00%
Nasdaq.10959 -56.3. -0.51%
S&P 500..3934 -7.3 -0.19%

FTSE…….7489 -32.2 -0.43%
Dax……..14261 -82.0. -0.57%
CAC……..6661 -27.2 -0.41%

Nikkei….27686 -199.5 -0.72%
*HSI……..18815 -626.4 -3.22%*
Shanghai..3200 -12.9 -0.40%
ST Times..3205 -26.9 -0.83%

IDX…….6818.75 -73.82 -1.07%
LQ45……945.58 -16.26 -1.69%

IDX Energy..2186.27 +11.97 +0.55%
IDX BscMat 1234.67 -11.91 -0.96%
IDX Indstrl…1197.49 -1.19. -0.10%
IDXNONCYC..731.71 -3.49 -0.47%
*IDX Hlthcare.1540.24 +41.76 +2.79%*
IDXCYCLIC…..862.56 -3.88 -0.45%
IDX Techno….5333.01 -85.91 -1.99%
IDX Transp…1727.21 -30.32 -1.73%
IDX Infrast……853.35 -9.35 -1.08%
IDX Finance 1441.39 -20.90 -1.43%
*IDX Banking 1164.93 -29.14 -2.44%*
IDX Property….703 -12 -1.68%

Indo10Yr….7.0644 +0.0331 +0.47%
ICBI……..342.6661 -0.4961 -0.14%
*US10Yr..3.4080 -0.1050 -2.99%*
*VIX……22.68 +0.51 +2.30%*

*USDIndx..105.2000 -0.3550 -0.34%*
Como Indx..265.89 -1.56 -0.58%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN…..172.13 +3.67 +2.18%*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15636.50 +19.00 +0.12%‼️*
*Jisdor..15619.00 +43.00 +0.28%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0509 +0.0043 +0.41%*

TLKM……..23.44 +0.07 +0.30%
*(3661)*
EIDO……….22.67 -0.20 -0.87%
EEM………..38.81 -0.23 -0.59%

*Oil………….72.01 -2.24 -3.02%‼️*
*Gold ……1798.00 +15.60 +0.88%*
*Timah…..24814 +368. +1.81%*
*(Closed 06/12)*
*Nickel…30816.00 +1799.00 +6.20%‼️*
*(Closed 06/12)*
*Silver………22.92 +0.59 +2.63%*
Copper….386.05 +4.25 +1.11%

*Nturl Gas…..5.816 +0.444 +8.27%‼️*

*Ammonia..4890.00 +16.67 +0.34%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(06/12)

Coal price….405.00 -3.80 -0.93%
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price…..390.40 -11.95 -2.97%*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price…..381.10 -11.15 -2.84%*
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….263.30 -3.35 -1.26%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….261.75 -5.25 -1.97%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….262.00 -4.7 -1.76%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)…..3969 -117 -2.86%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….642.25 +5.00 +0.78%
SoybeanOil…60.29 -0.71 -1.16%
*Wheat……..749.50 +20.50 +2.81%*

Wood pulp…6550.00 -10 -0,15%
(Closed 07/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI berhenti minus, semoga IHSG rebound. Kemaren semua minus, Hangseng paling parah

Metal2 naik semua, nikel paling tinggi. Oil lanjut turun, coal turun, gas rebound tinggi, CPO minus lagi. Gantian terus commodity energy, selalu ada yang naik pas ada yang turun

IHSG – Memang terakhir drop gap nya belum firm ketutup. tapi karena langsung mantul diperkirakan udah dianggap done, sekarang jadi harus berpikir untuk amannya start belanja once gap itu ketutup. Kalo dibikin tail panjang kebawah terus closing di atas cakep ini…

Kalo liat stochastic dan MACD nya, dan foreign net sell yang tambah besar tiap hari, sepertinya ga bisa instant ngebalik terus rally window dressing. Minggu depan mungkin baru ngebalik bisa pada akum dan net buy

Masih belum berubah, masih Energy Healthcare Property sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals. Kita perlu sektor Financials jalan kalo mau santa claus rally

Stoch Buy Signal: ARTO EMTK JSMR

ARTO – stoch buy, MACD masih down, MFI down, FF dist, BD dist, masih belum mantul sih… Elliot wave reverse nya seems done, memang masih mungkin berhentinya di 2000-an, tapi ga lah, harga udah mulai konsolidasi di level ini, harusnya tinggal nunggu mantul. Tapi bagusnya stay away dari saham model gini, walau LQ45 tapi gorengan banget

EMTK – mirip ARTO, stoch buy macd masih down, BD FF dist walau sempet akum sehari 2 hari lalu, itungan ABC correction udah cukup, LR di lower channel. Tapi belum saatnya entry

JSMR – belum sih, stoch nya karena mentok bawah aja makanya bolak balik signalnya, memang ga efektif lagi once mentok. MACD masih down, bd ff masih massive dist, stay away

MACD ga ada buy signal

December 01st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 ends 3-day losing streak. Dow jumps 700 points after Powell signals smaller rate hikes

Stocks saw broad gains Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed that the central bank will slow the pace of its aggressive rate-hiking campaign that has weighed on markets.

*Dow…….34590 +737.2 +2.18%*
*Nasdaq.11468 +484.2 +4.41%*
*S&P 500..4080 +122.5 +3.09%*

FTSE…….7573 +61.1 +0.81%
Dax……..14397 +41.6 +0.29%
CAC……..6739 +69.6 +1.04%

Nikkei….27969 -58.9 -0.21%
HSI……..18597 +392.6 +2.16%
Shanghai..3151 +1.6 +0.05%
ST Times..3290 +14.1 +0.43%

IDX…….7081.31 +69.24 +0.99%
LQ45….1008.28 +13.06 +1.31%

IDX Energy..2078.75 +6.79 +0.33%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.28 +3.93 +0.31%
IDX Industrl..1246.26 +7.94 +0.64%
IDXNONCYC..744.99 +6.54 +0.89%
IDX Hlthcare.1537.02 +18.24 +1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…..894.72 +4.05 +0.45%
IDX Techno….5896.76 -108.60 -1.81%
IDX Transp…1775.28 -2.37 -0.13%
IDX Infrast……894.06 -1.51 -0.17%
IDX Finance 1509.34 +26.69 +1.80%,
*IDX Banking 1231.39 +33.53 +2.80%‼️*
IDX Property….718 +2.80 +0.39%

*Indo10Yr….7.1218 -0.0308 -0.43%👍*
*ICBI……..341.9633 +0.8271 +0.24%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7030 -0.0450 -1.22%*
*VIX……20.58 -1.31 -5.98%*

*USDIndx..106.0250 -0.8060 -0.75%*
Como Indx..279.76 +4.24 +1.54%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……162.30 +4.19 +2.65%*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15731.50 -11.00 -0.07%‼️*
*Jisdor..15742.00 +5.00 +0.03%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0408 +0.0079 +0.76%👍*

TLKM……..25.48 +0.37 +1.47%
*(4011)*
EIDO………23.77 +0.46 +1.97%
*EEM……….38.52 +1.11 +2.89%*

*Oil………….80.55 +2.35 +3.01%‼️*
Gold ……1759.90 -3.80 -0.22%
Timah…..22788 +434.00 +1.94%
*(Closed 29/11)*
Nickel…26928.50 +59.00 +0.22%
*(Closed 30/11)*
Silver………21.78 +0.35 +1.61%
Copper…..373.80 +9.85 +2.71%

Nturl Gas…..7.274 -0.055 -0.75%

Ammonia..4623.33 +33.33 +0.73%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(29/11)

*Coal price….398.50 +11.10 +2.87%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price….389.00 +15.50 +4.15%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….379.50 +14.25 +3.90%‼️*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….279.00 +19.00 +7.31%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….283.95 +23.45 +9.00%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….282.90 +24.50 +9.48%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……4236 +15 +0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….667.00 -2.50 -0.37%
SoybeanOil…71.88 -1.10 -1.51%
Wheat………795.50 +14.00 +1.79%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 30/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Ijo semua kecuali IHSG sama Nikkei, US ijo tebel abis pengumuman akan slow down kenaikan suku bunga fed. Bagus buat saham overall

Coal lanjut naik tinggi, metal metal ijo kecuali gold, oil rebond, gas koreksi tipis, CPO ijo tipis, masih bullish baru di coal. Banks keliatan di gas, mau mulai santa claus rally? Probably

IHSG – bener bener dibawa sideways, foreign masih net buy terus, optimis tinggal tunggu breakout

Energy, Healthcare, Property, disusul Industrials sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals dan Consumer Cyclicals, Basic Materials mulai gerak, ini kalo Financials lanjut firm jadi semuanya jalan, index lari lagi.

November 30th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close lower for third day as investors look to Fed Chair Powell’s speech

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed lower for a third straight session Tuesday as traders struggled to recover from sharp losses suffered in the previous session and looked ahead to more economic tea leaves coming later in the week.

Dow…….33853 +3.1 +0.01%
Nasdaq.10984 -65.7 -0.59%
S&P 500..3958 -6.3 -0.16%

FTSE…….7512 +37.98 +0.51%
Dax……..14356 -27.9 -0.19%
CAC……..6669 +3.8 +0.06%

Nikkei….28028 -134.99 -0.48%
*HSI……..18205 +906.7 +5.24%*
Shanghai..3150 +71.2 +2.31%
ST Times..3276 +36.3 +1.12%

IDX…….7012.07 -5.29 -0.08%
LQ45……995.22 -1.54 -0.15%

IDX Energy..2071.96 +34.40 +1.69%
IDX Bsc Mat.1280.35 +7.00 +0.55%
IDX Industrl..1280.35 +3.70 +0.30%
IDXNONCYC..738.45 +0.68 +0.09%
IDX Hlthcare.1518.79 +23.36 +1.56%
IDXCYCLIC…..890.67 +0.26 +0.03%
*IDX Techno.6004.76 -174.38 -2.82%‼️*
IDX Transp…1777.65 -2.59 -0.15%
IDX Infrast……895.58 -0.13 -0.01%
IDX Finance 1482.65 -2.77 -0.19%,
IDX Banking 1197.86 +5.38 +0.45%
IDX Property….710 +1.00 +0.14%

*Indo10Yr….7.1526 -0.0197 -0.27%👍*
*ICBI……..341.1362 +0.3482 +0.10%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7480 +0.0450 +1.22%*
VIX……21.89 -0.32 -1.44%

*USDIndx..106.8310 +0.1740 +0.16%‼️*
Como Indx..272.92 -0.33 -0.12%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……158.10 +2.46 +1.58%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15742.50 +20.50 +0.13%‼️*
*Jisdor..15737.00 +8.00 +0.05%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0329 -0.0014 -0.14%*

TLKM……..25.11 +0.07 +0.28%
*(3952)*
EIDO………23.31 +0.03 +0.13%
*EEM……….38.41 +0.81 +2.15%*

Oil………….78.20 +0.96 +1.24%
Gold ……1763.70 +8.40 +0.48%
Timah…..22354 +123.00 +0.55%
*(Closed 28/11)*
*Nickel…26869.50 +1302.50 +5.09%‼️*
*(Closed 29/11)*
Silver………21.44 +0.31 +1.47%
Copper…..363.95 +2.40 +0.66%

Nturl Gas…..7.274 -0.055 -0.75%

Ammonia..4590.00 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(28/11)

*Coal price….387.40 +8.40 +2.22%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….373.50 +5.00 +1.36%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….365.25 +3.60 +1.00%
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….260.00 +11.00 +4.42%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….260.50 +10.60 +4.24%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….258.40 +10.00 +4.03%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)……4223 +89 +2.15%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….669.50 -1.75 -0.26%
SoybeanOil…72.97 -0.14 -0.19%
Wheat………781.50 +0.75 +0.10%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI plus dikit, nasdaq masih minus, europe mulai menghijau, asia kemaren pada ijo kecuali nikkei sama ihsg. Harusnya ijo hari ini…

Metal2 mantul, nikel naik tinggi

Oil rebound, Coal lanjut naik, gas koreksi dikit, sektor energy mau memimpin santa claus rally kah? Probably…

Harga CPO mulai menarik, terlihat mantul, kita tunggu AALI dan LSIP nongol buy signal

Sudah di sekitar fibo 23, harusnya lanjut ke 38…

IHSG – stoch sell, MACD sell, masih FNB, MFI flat, dibawa sideways sampe kapan ini index, ga lanjut2 wave 3 aja, keliatannya ga jadi ascending triangle, bakal jadi darvas box aja… Kita check Infobank lagi deh, biar bisa didateksi emang mau dibawa turun dulu apa nggak

Infobank15 – seminggu FNB terus, memang stoch dan macd masih sideways, MFI mulai up, ini kayanay tinggal nunggu momentum breakout, sekalian tutup gap. Safe to say bahwa index ga akan dibanting sih

Masih Energy Property, diikuti Industrials, Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals dan Consumer Cyclicals, pada ganjel aja ini keliatannya nunggu financials manggung lagi

Stochastic Buy Signal: INCO MIKA UNVR ELSA

MACD Buy Signal: MIKA. Memang kemaren naik tinggi banget sih, kita liat apa masih lanjut atau emang udah sekali jalan doang

INCO – Stoch Buy, MACD almost buy, MFI SW FF 3 hari FNB, bandar 2 hari dist, EW harusnya wave 3, triange pattern break ke atas tapi ga kenceng, target lumayan tinggi. Tapi historicalnya INCO gerak seiring bandar movement, jadi dengan posisi BD distribusi jangan dulu, walau FF akum

MIKA – stoch buy, macd by, MFI naik dikit, BD akum FNB walau masih tipis, masih wave 3, LR juga up, bisa BOW di tengah candle kemaren plus 1 tick

UNVR – stoch buy, macd buy, BD 3 hari akum, FF masih bolak balik, MFI up,ada gap 2 gede di atas, retracement pattern 0-38-23 harusnya sekarang otw 61. Tapi PBV PER udah 30 itu kemahalan banget, Saya pribadi skip, kalo yang mau buy technically ok sih

ELSA – stoch buy tapibolak balik, macd masih down, MFI up, BD FF bist, ret pattern abis kejedot fibo 50 dibawa hampir 23 lagi, ke area banyak transaksi dalam 200 bar terakhir, harusnya sih mantul lagi, tapi tunggu MACD dan BD FF akum deh