April 13th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks ended Wednesday’s regular trading session on a down note. The S&P 500
closed 0.41% lower, while the Nasdaq Composite
dropped 0.85%. The Dow snapped a four-day winning streak, ending the day down 38.29 points, or 0.11%.

At the first, the major averages were earlier in the session following the release of March’s consumer price index report, which showed headline pressures slowed last month. The CPI advanced 0.1% month over month in March, and 5% from the prior year.

Traders’ sentiment turned in the afternoon after the release of minutes from the March Federal Open Market Committee meeting. In particular, the Fed expects the recent banking crisis to cause a recession later this year.

Dow……33647 -38.3 -0.11%
Nasdaq11929 -102.5 -0.85%
S&P 500.4092 -16.99 -0.41%

FTSE…..7825 +39.1 +0.50%
Dax……15704 +48.4 +0.31%
CAC……7397 +6.7 +0.09%

Nikkei…..28083 +159.3 +0.57%
HSI………20310 -175.4 -0.86%
Shanghai.3327 +13.6 +0.41%

IDX…..6798.96 -12.35 -0.18%
LQ45….943.18 +1.40 +0.15%
IDX30…491.46 +0.62 +0.13%

IDXEnergy…2052.28 -33.74 -1.62%
IDX BscMat 1158.66 -3.28 -0.28%
IDX Indstrl…1204.13 +11.57 +0.97%
IDXNONCYC.712.94 -3.69 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare1505.43 -8.02 -0.53%
IDXCYCLIC…..810.57 -1.42 -0.18%
IDX Techno..4817.76 -71.02 -1.45%
IDX Transp..1779.01 +6.01 +0.34%
IDX Infrast…..803.45 +0.94 +0.12%
IDX Finance.1391.44 +2.65 +0.19%
IDX Banking.1145.74 +4.32 +0.38%
IDX Property…694 -2.0 -0.28%

Indo10Yr.6.7472+0.0047+0.07%
ICBI….354.8340+0.0088+0.00%
US2Yr.3.9682 -0.0647 -1.60%
US5Yr 3.4659 -0.0690 -1.95%
US10Yr3.4000 -0.0320 -0.93%
US30Yr.3.6350+0.010 +0.28%
VIX…… 19.09 -0.01 -0.05%

USDIndx101.5000 -0.6530 -0.64%👍
Como Indx.275.73 +1.00 +0.37%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…156.52 +1.82 +1.17%

IndoCDS..92.110 +0.4900 +0.53%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/04)

IDR…..14880.00👍 -5.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.14866.00👍 -22.00 -0.15%

Euro……1.0994 +0.0080 +0.73%

TLKM….28.90 +0.05 +0.17%
(4297)
EIDO……23.90 +0.05 +0.17%
EEM……39.39 -0.28 -0.71%

Oil……83.26 +1.73 +2.12%
Gold.2024.90 +5.70 +0.28%
Timah..24308.00 – -%
(Closed 06/04)
Nickel..23565.00 +491.00 +2.13%
(Closed 11/04)
Silver……25.46 +0.27 +1.08%
Copper…408.10 +6.15 +1.53%

Nturl Gas.2.084 -0.1760 -7.91%‼️

Ammonia 3633.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/04)

Coal price.194.60 -0.55 -0.28%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.202.40 -2.60 -1.26%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.205.90 +1.40 +0.68%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.206.05 -2.10 -1.00%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.133.80 +4.35 +3.36%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.126.95 +0.95 +0.75%
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 125.35 +0.35 +0.28%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 125.75 -0.10 -0.08%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3775 -120 -3.08%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..627.75 +0.00 +0.00%
SoybeanOil54.16 -0.85 -1.55%
Wheat…..679.60 +5.50 +0.82%

Wood pulp..4740.00 -50.00 -1.05%
(Closed 11/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe ijo, asia varied, US dollar index turun, yang consequently means semua commodity yang diikat nilai nya ke dollar cenderung naik. Index mungkin akan sideways tapi saham terkait komoditi harusnya tetep jalan

Oil up, gas drop, coal newcastle down, coal rotterdam jump, cpo drop. Ini sih keliatannya giliran ANTM MDKA INCO TINS untuk jalan lagi

IHSG – stoch masih down, macdp, 833 almostbuy, MFI up, BD flat, FNB,w% flat, retracement pattern keliatan mau bawa naik after mantul di fibo 23, masih optimis double bottom jalan

Kemarin BUMN konstruksi semua digoreng, Infrastructure jadi keliatan jalan, selain JSMR yang sudah run duluan. Industrials ASII kemarin naik tinggi, BMTR semoga nyusul, Financials BBCA BBRI BMRI kemaren jalan,semoga lanjut biar bisa ngangkat index, repot gendong GOTO yang bikin rusak aja

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII PGAS MTEL MTMH MIKA LMSH WINS

MACD Buy Signal: INTP ADHI MTMH PTPP TKIM ANJT

April 03rd, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher Friday, Nasdaq notches best quarter since 2020

Stocks rose Friday as Wall Street wrapped up a volatile, but winning quarter that saw more Federal Reserve rate tightening and a mini-financial panic spurred on by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.

Dow……33274 +415.1 +1.25%
Nasdaq12222 +208.4 +1.74%
S&P 500.4109 +58.5. +1.44%

FTSE…..7632 +11.3 +0.16%
Dax…..15629. +106.4 +0.69%
CAC……7322 +59.02 +0.81%

Nikkei…..28042 +258.6 +0.93%
HSI………20400 +90.98 +0.49%
Shanghai.3273 +11.6 +0.36%

IDX…..6805.28 -3.67 -0.06%
LQ45….937.68 -1.93 -0.20%
IDX30…488.29 -1.07 -0.22%

IDXEnergy…2103.64 +17.36 +0.83%
IDX BscMat 1183.75 +1.40 +0.12%
IDX Indstrl…1185.57 +8.39 +0.71%
IDXNONCYC.731.64 -3.08 -0.42%
IDX Hlthcare1540.65 +4.38 +0.29%
IDXCYCLIC…..822.32 -3.30 -0.40%
IDX Techno..5100.73 -37.97 -0.74%
IDX Transp..1789.36 -10.46 -0.58%
IDX Infrast…..808.84 -1.70 -0.21%
IDX Finance.1385.82 +1.72 +0.12%
IDX Banking.1136.13 -1.14 -0.10%
IDX Property…686 +4.2 +0.62%

Indo10Yr.6.7956 -0.0126 -0.19%👍
ICBI…..353.1919 +0.3423 +0.10%👍
US2Yr.4.0376 -0.0839 -2.03%
US5Yr 3.5836 -0.0966 -2.62%
US10Yr3.4730 -0.0740 -2.08%
US30Yr.3.4730-0.0790 -2.11%
VIX…… 19.02 -0.10 -0.52%

USDIndx102.1660 -0.4899 -0.47%
Como Indx.267.73 +3.35 +1.27%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…159.99 +0.95 +0.59%

IndoCDS..95.060 -3.950 -3.99%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/31)

IDR…..14995.50 -51.50 -0.34%👍
Jisdor.14977.00 -85.00 -0.56%👍

Euro……1.0839 -0.0068 -0.62%

TLKM….27.27 -0.16 -0.58%
(4084)
EIDO……23.53 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM……39.46 -0.05 -0.13%

Oil……75.67 +1.30 +1.75%
Gold.1986.20 -11.50 -0.58%
Timah 25835.00 -81.00 -0.31%
(Closed 03/31)
Nickel..23744.50 +652.00 +2.82%
(Closed 03/31)
Silver…..24.16 +0.17 +0.70%
Copper..409.45 +0.30 +0.07%

Nturl Gas.2.166 +0.062 +2.94%

Ammonia 3966.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/29)

Coal price.193.00 +5.50 +2.93%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.199.50 +4.00 +2.25%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.205.70 +5.70 +2.85%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price..208.15 +6.90 +3.43%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.90 +0.15 +0.11%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.137.00 -1.55 -1.12%
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 133.25 -2.25 -1.66%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 132.70 -1.60 -1.19%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3758 -33 -0.87%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..660.50 +11.00 +1.69%
SoybeanOil.55.49 +1.12 +2.06%
Wheat…..692.25 unch +0%

Wood pulp…5080.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua closing hijau jum’at, IHSG harusnya ijo lagi hari ini

Oil Gas Coal lanjut ijo, Metal2 tipis2 merah dan ijo kecuali nikel yang rebound, ANTM MDKA minor pullback dulu, INCO kita liat, CPO merah lagi

Coal Price belum terlihat firm reversal, walau dari supertrend dan macd sudah bilang up

IHSG – stoch mulai oversold, 833 sell, macd masih up, mungkin minor pullback or sideways dulu sebelum ngejar test resistance neckline double bottom, tapi yang bikin tenang MFI masih up, BD FF acc, w% masih uptrend

Energy leading, Basic Materials, Transportation, Financials, Consumer Cyclicals, sama yang keliatan mau jalan Technology. Consumer Non-Cyclicals anehnya di minggu kedua ramadhan malah melemah, mungkin mau lari lagi di deket lebaran

Stochastic Buy Signal: LMSH

MACD buy signal: ASII INTP PTBA SCMA LPPF

Alligator Buy SIgnal: AMRT BBCA CTRA ERAA

Supertrend Buy Signal: INCO ADMR PWON

March 14th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow falls for a fifth day despite emergency backstop of Silicon Valley Bank

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
dropped on Monday as a plan to backstop all the depositors in failed Silicon Valley Bank, along with other extraordinary measures, failed to boost bank shares.

The losses were contained as some investors bet the financial shock could cause the Federal Reserve to pause interest rate hikes.

Dow……31819 -90.5 -0.28%
Nasdaq11189 +49.95 +0.45%
S&P 500.3856 -5.8 -0.15%

FTSE…….7549 -199.7 -2.58%
Dax……..14959 -468.5 -3.04%
CAC……..7012 -209.2 -2.90%

Nikkei…..27833 -311.01 -1.11%
HSI………19696 +376.1 +1.95%
Shanghai.3269 +38.6 +1.20%

IDX…..6786.96 +21.65 +0.32%
LQ45….939.84 +2.70 +0.29%
IDX30…490.07 +2.39 +0.49%

IDXEnergy…2074.25 +23.96 +1.17%
IDX BscMat 1160.55 -16.52 -1.40%
IDX Indstrl..1174.59 +4.41 +0.38%
IDXNONCYC..726.72 -0.93 -0.13%
IDX Hlthcare1536.76 -7.30 -0.47%
IDXCYCLIC…828.46 -1.49 -0.18%
IDX Techno.5355.44 -2.63 -0.05%
IDX Transp.1786.86 -27.43 -1.51%
IDX Infrast….829.91 -1.87 -0.23%
IDX Finance1383.43 -10.20 -0.73%
IDX Banking1129.53 -3.31 -0.29%
IDX Property….680 -0.17 -0.20%

Indo10Yr.6.9204 -0.0509 -0.73%‼️
ICBI….350.2165 +1.0221 +0.29%‼️
US2Yr4.0158 -0.5767 -12.56%‼️
US5Yr 3.6818-0.3520 -8.89%‼️
US10Yr3.5450-0.1590-4.29%‼️
US30Yr.3.6940 -0.018 -0.48%
VIX…… 26.52 +1.72 +6.94%‼️

USDIndx103.5950-0.981 -0.94%👍
Como Indx.264.67 -0.32 -0.12%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…157.49 +1.20 +0.77%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15376.50 -73.50 -0.48%
Jisdor.15374.00 -94.00 -0.61%

Euro……1.0727 +0.00840 +0.79%

TLKM….26.09 +0.10 +0.38%
(4011)
EIDO……22.14 +0.10 +0.38%
EEM……37.90 +0.06 +0.16%

Oil….74.69 -1.99 -2.60%‼️
Gold1916.60+48.40 +2.59%‼️
Timah .22912.00 – -%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel..23166.00 +478.0 +2.11%
(Closed 03/13)
Silver…21.88 +1.38 +6.73%‼️
Copper.404.20 +4.15 +1.04%

Nturl Gas.2.436 -0.0560 -2.25%

Ammonia 4406.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/08)

Coal price.182.90 -2.35 -1.27%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.191.50 -1.50 -0.78%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.197.50 +0.15 +0.08%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.00 -0.50 -0.25%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.138.65 +3.65 +2.70%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 138.70 +6.70 +5.08%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 137.85 +6.35 +4.83%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 137.55 +6.05 +4.60%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4045 -53 -1.29%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..613.50 -3.75 -0.61%
SoybeanOil.55.86 -0.75 -1.32%
Wheat…..684.50 +5.25 +0.77%

Wood pulp…5670.00 -20 -0.35%
(Closed 03/13)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional lanjut pada merah, Nasdaq ijo tapi. Asia kebanyakan ijo kecuali nikkei.

Oil Gas Coal merah, metal2 naik semua, pada tinggi malah, siap2 entry di ANTM MDKA, CPO masih merah lagi

IHSG – kirain mau terus NFB, ternyata kemarin walau ijo tapi NFS tipis banget. Stoch rev up,MACD down,MFI up, W% sw, BD flat, masih sideways dulu sih

Financials belum jadi, Energy rada gerak, tapi hari ini kemungkinan besar turun lagi, technology yang RSI nya masih nanjak

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT KLBF TLKM TKIM WSKT

MACD Buy Signal Sector Energy, tapi ga meyakinkan, komoditasnya pada turun

March 09th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow finishes slightly lower as traders consider a faster Fed tightening cycle

The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished slightly lower Wednesday as the market fought to overcome Tuesday’s selloff, spurred by comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hinting at higher interest rates for longer.

Dow…..32798 -58.1 -0.18%
Nasdaq11576 +45.7 +0.40%
S&P 500.3992 +5.6 +0.14%

FTSE…….7930 +10.4 +0.13%
Dax……..15632+72.3 +0.46%
CAC……..7325 -14.5 -0.20%

Nikkei…..28444 +135.03+0.25%
HSI……. .20051 -483.2 -2.35%
Shanghai.3283 -1.9 -0.06%

IDX…..6776.37 +9.61 +0.14%
LQ45….939.03 +3.30 +0.35%
IDX30…489.26 +2.32 +0.48%

IDXEnergy…2046.37 -6.48 -0.32%
IDX BscMat 1177.60 -15.24 -1.28%
IDX Indstrl..1164.92 -6.39 -0.50%
IDXNONCYC..732.02 +0.79 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare1529.90 -10.30 -0.67%
IDXCYCLIC…833.29 -8.32 -0.99%
IDX Techno.5423.28 -5.80 -0.11%
IDX Transp.1811.63 +11.54 +0.64%
IDX Infrast….835.37 +2.62 +0.31%
IDX Finance1398.12 +2.22 +0.16%
IDX Banking1133.34 +5.19 +0.46%
IDX Property….685 -0.00 -0.00%

Indo10Yr.6.9766 +0.0249+0.36%‼️
ICBI….348.6693 -0.520 -0.05%‼️
US2Yr5.0701‼️+0.0590 +1.18%
US5Yr 4.3453‼️+0.0300 +0.70%
US10Yr3.9890‼️+0.0140 +0.36%
US30Yr.3.8791‼️+0.0030 +0.08%
VIX……. 19.11 -0.48 -2.45%

USDIndx105.6690+1.3950+1.33%‼️
Como Indx.267.02 -2.56 -0.95%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…158.74 +0.83 +0.53%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15437.50 +70.50 +0.46%‼️
Jisdor.15451.00 +92.00. +0.60%‼️

Euro……1.0548 -0.0001 -0.01%

TLKM….25.70 +0.35 +1.38%
(3971)
EIDO……22.23 +0.12 +0.54%
EEM……38.90 +0.16 +0.41%

Oil….76.66 -0.92 -1.19%
Gold1818.60 -1.40 -0.08%
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel..23913.00 -304.00 -1.26%
(Closed 03/08)
Silver…..20.15 -0.05 -0.24%
Copper.402.70 +5.20 +1.31%

Nturl Gas.2.593 -0.0650 -2.45%

Ammonia 4406.67 -16.66 -0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/07)

Coal price.179.50 +0.25 +0.25%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.182.25 -1.00 -0.55%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.186.20 -0.30 -0.16%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.192.80 +0.15 +0.08%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.123.35 -1.15 -0.92%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.80 +0.30 +0.26%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.50 -1.00 -0.83%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.30 -0.70 -0.58%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4181 -25 -0.59%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..625.50 -8.75 -1.38%
SoybeanOil..59.06 +0.42 +0.72%
Wheat…….687.50 -10.50 -1.50%

Wood pulp…5730.00 -30 -0.52%
(Closed 03/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI closing merah tipis, Nasdaq udah rebound. Europe tipis2 kebanyakan ijo, Asia juga tipis2 kecuali Hangseng yang merah dalem. Ada harapan rebound kalo gini

Oil gas lanjut merah, coal ijo, metal2 merah kecuali copper, kita tunggu momentum reboundnya basic materials versi tambang mineral

IHSG – kemaren NFS, semoga lanjut asing masuk terus, udah cukup lah koreksi ke fibo 50. Technically stoch masih down, MACD down, MFI sw, w% downtrend done, ada gap di 6688, mungkin juga dibawa dip tutup gap baru naik lagi sih, tapi berdarah2 banget itu kalo kejadian. Belum saatnya aggressive belanja. Cari contrarian aja

Industrials keseret ASII dan UNTR yang koreksi abis loncat. Energy Property sama Technology yang upcoming