Posts Tagged ‘Federal’

Daily Analysis 20240417

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 17th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower as Powell warns rates need to stay high, Dow snaps 6-day losing streak

The S&P 500
slipped on Tuesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said interest rates may need to stay elevated.

Dow……37799 +63.9 +0.17%
Nasdaq15865 -19.8 -0.12%
S&P 500.5051 -10.4 -0.21%

FTSE…..7820 -145.2 -1.82%
Dax……17766 -260.4 -1.44%
CAC……7933 -112.5 -1.40%

Nikkei..38471 -761.6 -1.94%
HSI……16428 -351.5 -2.12%
Shanghai.3007. -50.3 -1.65%

IDX…..7176.12 -110.76 -1.52%
LQ45….935.34 -28.38 -2.95%‼️
IDX30…473.50 -14.66 -3.00%‼️

IDXEnergy..2205.92 +50.11 +2.32%
IDX BscMat1392.12 +32.52 +2.39%
IDX Indstrl…1090.35 -6.40 -0.58%
IDXNONCYC.691.79 -23.57 -3.30%
IDX Hlthcare1343.23 -28.36 -2.07%
IDXCYCLIC…793.38 -21.85 -2.68%
IDXTechno3413.30 -99.84 -2.84%
IDX Transp 1415.62 -28.89 -2.60%
IDX Infrast 1590.33 -10.58 -0.66%
IDX Finance.1438.88 -36.67 -2.49%
IDX Banking.1267.50 -49.98 -3.79%
IDX Property.. 652 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.8293 +0.1245 +1.86%‼️
ICBI…378.1885 -2.4082 -0.63%‼️
US2Yr.4.985‼️ +0.060 +1.22%
US5Yr 4.698‼️ +0.071 +1.53%
US10Yr4.672‼️ +0.071 +1.54%
US30Yr.4.766‼️+0.042 +0.89%
VIX………18.40‼️ -0.83 -4.32%

USDIndx 106.2570‼️+0.049 +0.05%
Como Indx..296.84 -1.34 -0.45%
BCOMIN..151.39 -1.12 -0.74%

IndoCDS..77.18 +1.95 +2.59%
(5-yr INOCD5) (15/04)

IDR…..16175.00 +327.50 +2.07%‼️
Jisdor.16176.00 +303 +1.90%‼️

Euro….1.0619❗️ -0.0008 -0.08%

TLKM…20.07 -0.75 -3.60%‼️
( 3247)
EIDO….20.85 -0.64 -2.96%
EEM……39.74 -0.53 -1.32%

Oil…….85.29 -0.61 -0.71%
Gold..2401.20 -0.10 -0.004%
Timah..32230.00❗️ -123.00 -0.38%
(Closed 15/04)
Nickel..17991.50 -170.5 -0.95%
(Closed 16/04)
Silver….28.21 -0.76 -2.62%
Copper.437.50 -7.55 -1.72%

Iron Ore 62% 106.05 unch +0%
(15/04)
Nturl Gas..1.686‼️ -0.002 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3200.00❗️ -16.67 -0.52%
(Domestic Price)(04/04 – 15/04)

Coal price.129.25 -0.50 -0.39%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.40 -0.10 -0.07%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.25 +0.05 +0.04%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.85 +1.10 +0.78%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..121.50 +0.80 +0.66%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.900 +1.90 +1.61%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.00 +1.50 +1.27%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.55 +1.45 +1.22%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(J)..4074‼️ -67.00 -1.62%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….442.75 -1.50 -0.34%
SoybeanOil 45.48 -0.53 -1.15%
Wheat…564.50 -2.75 -0.48%

Wood pulp..5700 unch +0%
(Closed 16/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo, Nasdaq merah, SP500 merah, europe merah, asia merah, IHSG drop, US bond yield naik tinggi, masih jelek semua buat index kita hari ini

USD index naik, precious metals turun, oil gas turun, coal newcastle turun tipis, rotterdam ijo. CPO lanjut merah, kemaren jual AALI masih ga dapet, hari ini exit beneran di DCB ah

IHSG – hari pertama buka dibanting, Foreign keluar, bandar nahan cuma di saham saham yang terkait komoditas yang naik, semuabig cap dibanting, tapi jadi kemungkinan besar technical rebound hari ini. Outlook masih jelek, apalagi liat bond yield. Jangan aggressive dulu

Basic Materials, Energy, yang lain ga usah dilirik dlu, resiko

Stochastic Buy SIgnal: ADRO PTMP ASSA DOID ENRG HEAL HRTA. Big accum ASSA

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO ANTM INCO PTBA ENRG RAJA SSIA KKGI CINT. Big accum ANTM INCO PTBA

Daily Analysis 20240403

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 03rd, 2024

Good morning,

Wall Street is coming off a losing session for the major benchmarks after sticky inflation data from last week, as well as some strong economic data, had investors concerned the Federal Reserve will take longer to cut interest rates. Treasury yields spiked, with the rate on the 10-year note touching its highest level since November. Oil prices also rose to five-month highs

Dow……39170 -396.6 -1.60%
Nasdaq16240 -156.4 -0.95%
S&P 500.5206 -37.96 -0.72%

FTSE…..7935 -17.5 -0.22%
Dax……18283 -209.4 -1.13%
CAC……8130 -75.8 -0.92%

Nikkei..39839 +35.8 +0.09%
HSI……16932 +390.1 +2.36%
Shanghai.3075 -2.4 -0.08%

IDX…..7236.98 +31.92 +0.44%
LQ45….968.37 -0.71 -0.71%
IDX30…491.79 -0.59 -0.12%

IDXEnergy..2137.49 +33.43 +1.59%
IDX BscMat1313.87 +20.74 +1.60%
IDX Indstrl…1093.62 +10.39 +0.96%
IDXNONCYC.722.05 +4.61 +0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1338.51 +16.16 +1.22%
IDXCYCLIC…818.65 +5.88 +0.72%
IDXTechno3561.36 +17.24 +0.49%
IDX Transp 1466.70 +20.93 +1.46%
IDX Infrast 1565.30 -2.65 -0.18%
IDX Finance.1485.34 -2.65 -0.18%
IDX Banking.1335.45 -13.01 -0.96%
IDX Property.. 660 +2.50 +0.39%

Indo10Yr.6.7156 +0.0041 +0.06%
ICBI…379.3888 -0.0289 -0.01%
US2Yr.4.693 -0.019 -0.40%
US5Yr 4.343 +0.016 +0.37%
US10Yr4.357 +0.045 +1.04%
US30Yr.4.497+0.045 +1.01%
VIX………14.61 +0.96 +7.03%‼️

USDIndx 104.8160 -0.203 -0.19%
Como Indx..294.23 +1.90 +0.65%
BCOMIN…..141.77 +1.50 +1.07%

IndoCDS..73.25 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/04)

IDR…..15897.00‼️+2.50 +0.02%
Jisdor.15934.00‼️+25.00 +0.16%

Euro….1.0767 +0.0028 +0.26%

TLKM…21.68 -0.21 -0.96%
(3454)
EIDO……22.00 +0.05 +0.23%
EEM……41.28 +0.11 +0.27%

Oil…….85.50 +1.53 +1.82%‼️
Gold..2302.80 +31.80 +1.40%
Timah..27451.00 – -%
(Closed 29/03)
Nickel..17031.50 +349 +2.09%❗️
(Closed 02/04)
Silver….26.30 +1.08 +4.28%
Copper.407.95 +5.45 +1.34%

Iron Ore 62% 102.33 -7.20 -6.57%‼️
(28/03)
Nturl Gas..1.853 +0.013 +0.71%
Ammonia China.3073.33 -250 -7.52%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/04/24)

Coal price.132.25 +0.25 +0.19%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 134.00 +1.00 +0.75%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.05 +1.05 +0.78%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.45 +1.40 +1.03%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..122.15 +2.60 +2.17%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.25 +2.50 +2.12%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.70 +2.05 +1.74%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.60 +2.95 +2.53%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4308 +42.00 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……426.50 -9.00 -2.07%
SoybeanOil 48.60 +0.36 +0.75%
Wheat…545.25 -11.75 -2.11%

Wood pulp..5700 +10. +0.18 %
(Closed 02/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, sepertinya hari ini akan merah liat US bond yield rata2 naik semua dan US market nya merah

USD index down, jelas lanjut gold dan precious metals kecuali iron ore, oil up, gas up, coal up, CPO up, harusnya sih, akan ada yang dikorbanin doang kaya TLKM kemaren, tapi saham saham terkait komoditas yang naik tetep jalan, ANTM ADRO AALI LSIP

IHSG – technically masih jelek, stoch macd MFI down, w% sw, BD accum FF exit. Harusnya sekarang bikin wave B dulu, baru wave C flat berhenti di low kemaren. Semoga cuma segitu aja koreksinya, kalo ga bisa berdarah darah market

Consumer Non Cyclicals, Energy. Yang terlihat mau jalan lagi Basic Materials,Property, Financials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO AKRA BRIS ESSA GOTO DSNG TBIG WIFI AALI. Big accum AKRA BRIS ESSA GOTO WIFI AALI

MACD buy signal: INDF SMAR, INDF big accum

Daily Analysis 20240319

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

March 19th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks close higher as tech rebounds, S&P snaps three-day losing streak

Stocks rose Monday as Wall Street looked to a key artificial intelligence conference and awaited new monetary policy guidance from the Federal Reserve.

Dow……38790 +75.7 +0.20%
Nasdaq16103 +130.3 +0.82%
S&P 500.5149 +32.3 +0.63%

FTSE…..7723 -4.9 -0.06%
Dax……17933 -3.97 -0.02%
CAC……8148 -16.2 -0.20%

Nikkei..39740 +1032.8 +2.67%‼️
HSI……16737 +16.2 +0.10%
Shanghai.3085+30.3 +0.99%

IDX…..7323.03 -5.02 -0.07%
LQ45…993.60 -3.87 -0.39%
IDX30…505.55 -2.35 -0.46%

IDXEnergy..2114.66 -6.35 -0.30%
IDX BscMat1276.95 +8.58 +0.68%
IDX Indstrl…1105.23 +2.05 +0.19%
IDXNONCYC.712.20 +3.02 +0.43%
IDX Hlthcare1322.41 +0.54 +0.05%
IDXCYCLIC…821.53 -3.72 -0.45%
IDX Techno3658.59 +41.27 +1.14%
IDX Transp 1581.96 -6.98 -0.44%
IDX Infrast 1582.06 -3.83 -0.24%
IDX Finance.1505.64 -3.22 -0.21%
IDX Banking.1378.43 -8.46 -0.61%
IDX Property.. 671 +0.10 +0.02%

Indo10Yr.6.7064+0.0039 +0.06%
ICBI…378.7613 +0.1015 +0.03%
US2Yr.4.732 +0.004 +0.08%
US5Yr 4.349 +0.020 +0.46%
US10Yr4.327 +0.019 +0.44%
US30Yr.4.451 +0.020 +0.45%
VIX………14.33 -0.08 -0.56’%

USDIndx 103.5790‼️ +0.147 +0.14%
Como Indx..287.24 +2.@ +0.92%
BCOMIN…..142.91 -0.62 -0.43%

IndoCDS..68.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (15/03)

IDR…..15690.00‼️ +91.50 +0.59%
Jisdor.15672.00 ‼️ +48 +0.31%

Euro….1.0872 -0.0017 -0.16%

TLKM…25.05 -0.22 -0.87%
(3933)
EIDO……22.70 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM……40.84 +0.08 +0.18%

Oil…….82.77‼️ +1.73 +2.13%
Gold..2164.30 +2.80. +0.13%
Timah..28674.00‼️ – -%
(Closed 15/03)
Nickel..17938.50 -88.50 -0.49%
(Closed 18/03)
Silver…..25.25 -0.13 -0.51%
Copper.413.20 +0.75 +0.18%

Iron Ore 62% 109.61 – -%
(15/03)
Nturl Gas..1.712 +0.047 +2.82%
Ammonia China.3183.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(15/03/24)

Coal price.129.75 -1.25 -0.95%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.75 -2.35 -1.81%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.129.50 -1.75 -1.33%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.130.75 -1.50 -1.13%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price..112.15 -0.20 -0.18%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..110.95 -0.30 -0.27%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..109.30 +0.45 +0.41%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price..107.55 +0.60 +0.56%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4240‼️ +20.00 +0.47%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….436.00 -0.75 -0.17%
SoybeanOil 48.70 -0.72 -1.46%
Wheat…542.75 +14.25 +2.70%

Wood pulp..5480.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe merah, asia ijo semua kecuali IHSG. Masih naik lagi US bond rate, kayanya masih akan merah kalo gitu hari ini

USD index ijo, gold copper ijo, nickel silver merah, oil gas ijo, coal merah, CPO ijo, Waktunya re-entry LSIP AALI, ketinggalan sih, kemaren udah lari, kita BOW aja di minor pullback

IHSG – kena reg bear terus terjun… stoch down, macd sell, MFI down, w% down, BD FF dist, beresin ABC correctionnya dulu deh… Keep cash

Mulai mulai siap siap gerak… Yang firm Basic Materials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, sama Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: INDF GTRA IMAS SMRA TBIG TKIM ANJT AMFG, big accum GTRA, vol spike TKIM

MACD Buy Signal: GOTO NISP CEKA

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Acc: INKP UNVR ENRG GTRA

Daily Analysis 20240206

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

February 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 250 points lower, S&P 500 slips from record as bond yields surge

Stocks fell Monday as Treasury yields spiked higher on concerns that the Federal Reserve may not cut rates as much as expected. Lackluster results from McDonald’s also dampened investor sentiment.

Dow……38380 -274.3 -0.71%
Nasdaq15598 -31.3 -0.20%
S&P 500.4943 -15.8 -0.32%

FTSE…..7613 -2.7 -0.04%
Dax……16904 -14.2 -0.08%
CAC……7590 -2.3 -0.03%

Nikkei..36354 +196.2 +0.54%
HSI……15510 -23.6 -0.15%
Shanghai.2702-27.97 -1.02%

IDX…..7198.62 -40.17 -0.55%
LQ45….975.49 -9.18 -0.93%
IDX30…495.28 -4.32 -0.87%

IDXEnergy..2077.88 -8.11 -0.39%
IDX BscMat.1286.32 +5.98 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1088.65 +1.59 +0.15%
IDXNONCYC.701.14 +4.87 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare1338.64 -7.30 -0.54%
IDXCYCLIC…852.04 -5.17 -0.60%
IDX Techno4069.31 -25.47 -0.62%
IDX Transp 1563.64 +2.63 +0.17%
IDX Infrast 1519.13 -7.81 -0.51%
IDX Finance.1492.16 -2.88 -0.19%
IDX Banking.1332.38 -2.91 -0.22%
IDX Property.. 690 -0.50 -0.07%

Indo10Yr.6.6531 +0.0445 +0.67%
ICBI…376.6494 -1.0915 -0.29%
US2Yr.4.474 +0.102 +2.33%
US5Yr 4.122 +0.136 +3.41%‼️
US10Yr4.160 +0.138 +3.43%‼️
US30Yr.4.343+0.119 +2.82%
VIX…13.67 -0.18 -1.33%

USDIndx 104.4520 ‼️+0.530 +0.51%
Como Indx..269.19 +0.45 +0.17%
BCOMIN……134.80 -1.81 -1.33%

IndoCDS..74.69 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/02)

IDR…..15708.00‼️ +48.00 +0.31%
Jisdor.15705.00‼️ +17.00 +0.11%

Euro….1.0743 -0.0045 -0.42%

TLKM…25.14 -0.15 -0.61%
(3948)
EIDO……21.89 -0.17 -0.77%
EEM……38.70 +0.05 +0.13%

Oil…….72.78 +0.50 +0.69%
Gold..2041.40 -12.30 -0.60%
Timah..25550.00 – -%
(Closed 03/03)
Nickel..15948.00 -294.50 -1.81%
(Closed 02/02)
Silver……22.42 -0.38 -1.67%
Copper.377.40 -4.75 -1.24%

Iron Ore 62% 128.63 – -%
(02/02)
Nturl Gas..2.062 -0.029 -1.39%
Ammonia China.2983.33 -166.67-5.29%‼️
(Domestic Price)(05/02/02)

Coal price 119.00 -0.90 -0.75%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.123.65 +3.75 +3.12%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.60 +4.70 +3.95%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.124.00 +4.70 +3.94%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .98.15 -0.25 -0.25%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.20 -0.30 -0.31%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..92.80 -0.25 -0.27%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.90 -0.30 -0.33%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3799 +19 +0.60%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……442.75 unch +0%
SoybeanOil 45.33 +0.60 +1.34%
Wheat….590.25 -9.50 -1.58%

Wood pulp..5104.00 +6.00 +0.12%
(Closed 05/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nyusul merah semua after asia market kemaren… Udah curiga begitu dari bond rate yang naik tinggi. Ini masih naik lagi, USD index juga naik, lanjut merah lagi sepertinya IHSG hari ini.

Metal2 lanjut merah semua, ANTM MDKA INCO TINS bubar dulu ini… Oil ijo, gas merah, coal spot merah dikit, future newcastle ijo tebel. Semoga ADRO lanjut. CPO naik dikit, AALI LSIP belum jelas kemana

IHSG – stoch up, macd ga jadi rev up, malah lanjut down, MFI sw, w% sw, masih FNB tapi agak turun, keliatannya bener lanjut wave C. Hati hati prefer keep cash

Tinggal heakthcare sama consumer non-cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: ESSA KLBF ADHI AGRO DSNG ERAA GTRA INDY PNLF SCMA INDS CINT. Big Accum KLBF AGRO SCMA

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI UNVR HEAL PTRO AMFG CINT, Big Accum UNVR

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: PTPP