Posts Tagged ‘Federal Reserve’

DAily Analysis 20240506

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

May 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes higher by more than 400 points as April jobs report bolsters Fed rate cut hopes

Stocks jumped sharply Friday after a softer-than-expected April jobs report boosted hopes that the Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates soon.

Dow……38676 +450.02 +1.18%
Nasdaq16156 +315.4 +1.99%
S&P 500.5128 +63.6 +1.26%

FTSE…..8214 +41.3 +0.51%
Dax……18002 +105.1 +0.59%
CAC……7958 +42.9 +0.54%

Nikkei..38236 closed +0%
HSI…..18476 +268.8 +1.48%
Shanghai.3105 closed +0%

IDX….7134.72 +17.30 +0.24%
LQ45..903.33 +4.58 +0.51%
IDX30..457.92 +2.29 +0.50%

IDXEnergy..2199.06 -4.40 -0.20%
IDX BscMat1316.08 -7.73 -0.58%
IDX Indstrl..1061.54 -2.53 -0.24%
IDXNONCYC.691.68 +2.81 +0.41%
IDX Hlthcare1451.02+23.80 +0.41%
IDXCYCLIC…753.18 +2.31 +1.71%
IDXTechno3364.09 +36.02 +1.08%
IDX Transp 1298.73 -3.83 -0.29%
IDX Infrast 1617.93 -0.21 -0.01%
IDX Finance1395.14 +1.64 +0.12%
IDX Banking.1204.50+3.74 +0.31%
IDX Property.. 617 -0.10 -0.01%

Indo10Yr.7.0284 -0.0822👍 -1.16%
ICBI…376.5423 +2.0401 👍 +0.54%
US2Yr.4.806👍 -0.075 -1.54%
US5Yr 4.482 -0.095 -2.08👍%
US10Yr4.509 -0.150 -3.21%👍
US30Yr.4.660👍 -0.074 -1.56%
VIX..13.49👍 -1.19 -8.11%‼️

USDIndx 105.0300❗️-0.269 -0.26%
Como Indx..286.51 +1.77 +0.62%
BCOMIN..157.33 +2.33 +1.50%

IndoCDS..75.24👍 -0.40 -0.63%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/05)

IDR…..16083.00 -102.00👍 -0.62%
Jisdor.16094.00 -108.00👍 -0.66%

Euro….1.0761 +0.0032 +0.30%

TLKM…19.47 +0.10 +0.52%
( 3151)
EIDO….20.95 +0.42 +2.02%
EEM…..42.49 +0.39 +0.91%

Oil…….78.11 -1.04 -1.31%
Gold..2308.60 -4.90 -0.21%
Timah..31983.00 +1013.00 +3.28%‼️
(Closed 03/05)
Nickel..18792.50 +453.50 +2.41%
(Closed 03/05)
Silver…….26.69 -0.04 -à
Copper…455.70 +5.80 +1.29%2

Iron Ore 62% 118.03 -0.05 -0.04%
(02/05)⅔
Nturl Gas..2.150 +0.113 +5.55%‼️
Ammonia China.2983.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(29/04)

Coal price 145.15 -2.60 -1.76%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.40 -2.85 -1.92%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.60 -2.15 -1.46%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.85 -2.10 -1.42%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..107.15 -0.75 -0.70%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.00 -1.40 -1.27%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.65 -1.25 -1.13%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.55 -1.50 -1.35%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3842 -2 -0.05%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….460.25 +0.50 +0.11%
SoybeanOil 43.08 -0.16 -0.37%
Wheat..622.50 +18.25 +3.02%

Wood pulp..5860 unch +0%
(Closed 05/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at ijo semua, US Bond Yield down, harusnya sih lanjut ijo hari ini. USD index down, tapi gold silver iron ore juga down, WNS dulu ANTM, Tin Nickel Copper up. Oil gas coal down, masih belum jalan ini ELSA ADRO

IHSG – stoch up, macd buy, MFI down, w% sw, BD flat FNS, masih belum jalan sih… Tapi udah done koreksinya, tinggal hunting saham saham yang giliran jalan

Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO CPIN ENRG PNLF SILO

MACD Buy Signal: CTRA DRMA JPFA. Big Accum CTRA JPFA

Daily Analysis 20240502

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

May 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes higher as Powell says Fed’s next move is unlikely to be a hike

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell largely ruled out that the central bank’s next move could be a hike, easing investor worries that it was losing control of sticky inflation. The broader market finished lower, however, with losses from

Dow……37903 +87.4 +0.23%
Nasdaq15606 -52.3 -0.33%
S&P 500.5018 -17.3 -0.34%

FTSE…..8121 -22.9 -0.28%
Dax……17932 -186.2 -1.03%
CAC……7985 -80.2 -0.99%

Nikkei..38274 -131.6 -0.34%
HSI…..17763 +16.1 +0.09%
Shanghai.3104 -8.2 -0.26%

*IDX…..7234.20 +78.41* +1.10%
LQ45..926.73 +11.38 +1.24%
IDX30..470.64 +6.24 +1.34%

IDXEnergy..2228.96 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1346.47 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl..1062.90 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.693.58 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1389.52 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…764.27 closed +0%
IDXTechno3359.23 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1329.47 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1621.18 closed +0%
IDX Finance1433.33 closed. +0%
IDX Banking.1265.80closed +0%
IDX Property.. 626 closed +0%

*Indo10Yr.7.1237‼️ closed +0%*
*ICBI…373.3950‼️ closed +0%*
*US2Yr.4.969 -0.077 -1.54%*
*US5Yr 4.660 -0.063 -1.33%*
*US10Yr4.633 -0.054 -1.15%*
*US30Yr.4.759 -0.030 -0.63%*
*VIX…….15.39 -0.26 -1.66%*

*USDIndx 105.7550❗️-0.47 -0.44%*
*Como Indx..285.44 ‼️ -6.02 -2.07%*
*BCOMIN..156.90 -1.53 -0.97%*

*IndoCDS..75.71👍* – 1.02 -1.33%
(5-yr INOCD5) *(30/04)*

*IDR…..16259.00‼️closed +0%*
*Jisdor.16276.00‼️closed +0%*

*Euro….1.0717* +0.000 +0.05%

TLKM…19.45 unch +0%
*( 3166)*
EIDO……20.83 +0.06 +0.29%
EEM……41.03 -0.55 -1.31%

*Oil…….79.12‼️* +0.12 +0.15%
*Gold..2311.00* +8.10 +0.35%
*Timah..31216.00 -1350.00 -4.15%*
*(Closed 30/04)*
*Nickel..18926.50 -312.00 -1.62%*
(Closed 01/04)
Silver…….26.75 +0.09 +0.35%
Copper…454.60 -1.85 -0.41%

*Iron Ore 62% 110.91* +0.37 +0.33%
(30/04)
*Nturl Gas..1.931 -0.060 -3.01%‼️*
*Ammonia China.2983.33* -16.67 -0.56%
(Domestic Price)(29/04)

*Coal price 147.00 +4.75 +3.38%‼️*
(May/Newcastle)
*Coal price.147.40 +4.40 +3.08%‼️*
(Jun/Newcastle)
*Coal price.147.60 +4.20 +2.93%‼️*
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price.147.24 +3.30 +2.42%*
(Agt/Newcastle)

*Coal price..107.10 +4.20 +4.08%‼️*
(May/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.108.55 +3.40 +3.23%‼️*
(Jun/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.108.70 +2.85 +2.69%*
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price 108.25 +2.25 +2.11%*
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3900 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….450.75 +4.00 +0.90%
SoybeanOil 43.26 +0.25 +0.58%
Wheat….599.25 -4.00 -0.66%

*Wood pulp..5860* unch +0%
(Closed 01/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US DJI ijo, nasdaq merah, europe merah, asia kebanyakan merah, IDX closing ijo sebelum mayday, US bond yield down semua, harusnya lanjut ijo lagi hari ini.

USD index merah, gold silver iron ore ijo, tin nickel copper merah, oil ijo gas merah, coal ijo tebel, harusnya start jalan ini ADRO dkk

IHSG – MACD nya buy signal kalo closing di harga yang sama hari ini, harusnya beneran udah mau gerak ke atas lagi sih, yang jeleknya ada opening gap kemaren dan FF masih net sell. technically udah ok buat aggessive belanja. Beware aja gerakan tutup gap dulu

Berduyun duyun bergerak, tapi jelas kalo index mau naik, yang pasti gerak itu big banks, Financials, disusul property biasanya. Di chart ini terlihat Healthcare dan Technology ikutan

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRIS BRPT HRUM ITMG PGAS SMGR ASSA BFIN ELSA GTRA HRTA JSMR MPMX SMAR ANJT AALI. Big accum BRPT HRUM ITMG BFIN

MACD Buy Signal: BRPT BUKA PTMP TOWR AUTO BSDE CTRA IMAS MARK RAJA AUTO. Big Accum BRPT BTPS CTRA

Daily Analysis 20240417

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 17th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower as Powell warns rates need to stay high, Dow snaps 6-day losing streak

The S&P 500
slipped on Tuesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said interest rates may need to stay elevated.

Dow……37799 +63.9 +0.17%
Nasdaq15865 -19.8 -0.12%
S&P 500.5051 -10.4 -0.21%

FTSE…..7820 -145.2 -1.82%
Dax……17766 -260.4 -1.44%
CAC……7933 -112.5 -1.40%

Nikkei..38471 -761.6 -1.94%
HSI……16428 -351.5 -2.12%
Shanghai.3007. -50.3 -1.65%

IDX…..7176.12 -110.76 -1.52%
LQ45….935.34 -28.38 -2.95%‼️
IDX30…473.50 -14.66 -3.00%‼️

IDXEnergy..2205.92 +50.11 +2.32%
IDX BscMat1392.12 +32.52 +2.39%
IDX Indstrl…1090.35 -6.40 -0.58%
IDXNONCYC.691.79 -23.57 -3.30%
IDX Hlthcare1343.23 -28.36 -2.07%
IDXCYCLIC…793.38 -21.85 -2.68%
IDXTechno3413.30 -99.84 -2.84%
IDX Transp 1415.62 -28.89 -2.60%
IDX Infrast 1590.33 -10.58 -0.66%
IDX Finance.1438.88 -36.67 -2.49%
IDX Banking.1267.50 -49.98 -3.79%
IDX Property.. 652 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.8293 +0.1245 +1.86%‼️
ICBI…378.1885 -2.4082 -0.63%‼️
US2Yr.4.985‼️ +0.060 +1.22%
US5Yr 4.698‼️ +0.071 +1.53%
US10Yr4.672‼️ +0.071 +1.54%
US30Yr.4.766‼️+0.042 +0.89%
VIX………18.40‼️ -0.83 -4.32%

USDIndx 106.2570‼️+0.049 +0.05%
Como Indx..296.84 -1.34 -0.45%
BCOMIN..151.39 -1.12 -0.74%

IndoCDS..77.18 +1.95 +2.59%
(5-yr INOCD5) (15/04)

IDR…..16175.00 +327.50 +2.07%‼️
Jisdor.16176.00 +303 +1.90%‼️

Euro….1.0619❗️ -0.0008 -0.08%

TLKM…20.07 -0.75 -3.60%‼️
( 3247)
EIDO….20.85 -0.64 -2.96%
EEM……39.74 -0.53 -1.32%

Oil…….85.29 -0.61 -0.71%
Gold..2401.20 -0.10 -0.004%
Timah..32230.00❗️ -123.00 -0.38%
(Closed 15/04)
Nickel..17991.50 -170.5 -0.95%
(Closed 16/04)
Silver….28.21 -0.76 -2.62%
Copper.437.50 -7.55 -1.72%

Iron Ore 62% 106.05 unch +0%
(15/04)
Nturl Gas..1.686‼️ -0.002 -0.12%
Ammonia China.3200.00❗️ -16.67 -0.52%
(Domestic Price)(04/04 – 15/04)

Coal price.129.25 -0.50 -0.39%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.40 -0.10 -0.07%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.25 +0.05 +0.04%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.85 +1.10 +0.78%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..121.50 +0.80 +0.66%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.900 +1.90 +1.61%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.00 +1.50 +1.27%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.55 +1.45 +1.22%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(J)..4074‼️ -67.00 -1.62%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….442.75 -1.50 -0.34%
SoybeanOil 45.48 -0.53 -1.15%
Wheat…564.50 -2.75 -0.48%

Wood pulp..5700 unch +0%
(Closed 16/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo, Nasdaq merah, SP500 merah, europe merah, asia merah, IHSG drop, US bond yield naik tinggi, masih jelek semua buat index kita hari ini

USD index naik, precious metals turun, oil gas turun, coal newcastle turun tipis, rotterdam ijo. CPO lanjut merah, kemaren jual AALI masih ga dapet, hari ini exit beneran di DCB ah

IHSG – hari pertama buka dibanting, Foreign keluar, bandar nahan cuma di saham saham yang terkait komoditas yang naik, semuabig cap dibanting, tapi jadi kemungkinan besar technical rebound hari ini. Outlook masih jelek, apalagi liat bond yield. Jangan aggressive dulu

Basic Materials, Energy, yang lain ga usah dilirik dlu, resiko

Stochastic Buy SIgnal: ADRO PTMP ASSA DOID ENRG HEAL HRTA. Big accum ASSA

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO ANTM INCO PTBA ENRG RAJA SSIA KKGI CINT. Big accum ANTM INCO PTBA

Daily Analysis 20240403

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 03rd, 2024

Good morning,

Wall Street is coming off a losing session for the major benchmarks after sticky inflation data from last week, as well as some strong economic data, had investors concerned the Federal Reserve will take longer to cut interest rates. Treasury yields spiked, with the rate on the 10-year note touching its highest level since November. Oil prices also rose to five-month highs

Dow……39170 -396.6 -1.60%
Nasdaq16240 -156.4 -0.95%
S&P 500.5206 -37.96 -0.72%

FTSE…..7935 -17.5 -0.22%
Dax……18283 -209.4 -1.13%
CAC……8130 -75.8 -0.92%

Nikkei..39839 +35.8 +0.09%
HSI……16932 +390.1 +2.36%
Shanghai.3075 -2.4 -0.08%

IDX…..7236.98 +31.92 +0.44%
LQ45….968.37 -0.71 -0.71%
IDX30…491.79 -0.59 -0.12%

IDXEnergy..2137.49 +33.43 +1.59%
IDX BscMat1313.87 +20.74 +1.60%
IDX Indstrl…1093.62 +10.39 +0.96%
IDXNONCYC.722.05 +4.61 +0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1338.51 +16.16 +1.22%
IDXCYCLIC…818.65 +5.88 +0.72%
IDXTechno3561.36 +17.24 +0.49%
IDX Transp 1466.70 +20.93 +1.46%
IDX Infrast 1565.30 -2.65 -0.18%
IDX Finance.1485.34 -2.65 -0.18%
IDX Banking.1335.45 -13.01 -0.96%
IDX Property.. 660 +2.50 +0.39%

Indo10Yr.6.7156 +0.0041 +0.06%
ICBI…379.3888 -0.0289 -0.01%
US2Yr.4.693 -0.019 -0.40%
US5Yr 4.343 +0.016 +0.37%
US10Yr4.357 +0.045 +1.04%
US30Yr.4.497+0.045 +1.01%
VIX………14.61 +0.96 +7.03%‼️

USDIndx 104.8160 -0.203 -0.19%
Como Indx..294.23 +1.90 +0.65%
BCOMIN…..141.77 +1.50 +1.07%

IndoCDS..73.25 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/04)

IDR…..15897.00‼️+2.50 +0.02%
Jisdor.15934.00‼️+25.00 +0.16%

Euro….1.0767 +0.0028 +0.26%

TLKM…21.68 -0.21 -0.96%
(3454)
EIDO……22.00 +0.05 +0.23%
EEM……41.28 +0.11 +0.27%

Oil…….85.50 +1.53 +1.82%‼️
Gold..2302.80 +31.80 +1.40%
Timah..27451.00 – -%
(Closed 29/03)
Nickel..17031.50 +349 +2.09%❗️
(Closed 02/04)
Silver….26.30 +1.08 +4.28%
Copper.407.95 +5.45 +1.34%

Iron Ore 62% 102.33 -7.20 -6.57%‼️
(28/03)
Nturl Gas..1.853 +0.013 +0.71%
Ammonia China.3073.33 -250 -7.52%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/04/24)

Coal price.132.25 +0.25 +0.19%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 134.00 +1.00 +0.75%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.05 +1.05 +0.78%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.45 +1.40 +1.03%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..122.15 +2.60 +2.17%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.25 +2.50 +2.12%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.70 +2.05 +1.74%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.60 +2.95 +2.53%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4308 +42.00 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……426.50 -9.00 -2.07%
SoybeanOil 48.60 +0.36 +0.75%
Wheat…545.25 -11.75 -2.11%

Wood pulp..5700 +10. +0.18 %
(Closed 02/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, sepertinya hari ini akan merah liat US bond yield rata2 naik semua dan US market nya merah

USD index down, jelas lanjut gold dan precious metals kecuali iron ore, oil up, gas up, coal up, CPO up, harusnya sih, akan ada yang dikorbanin doang kaya TLKM kemaren, tapi saham saham terkait komoditas yang naik tetep jalan, ANTM ADRO AALI LSIP

IHSG – technically masih jelek, stoch macd MFI down, w% sw, BD accum FF exit. Harusnya sekarang bikin wave B dulu, baru wave C flat berhenti di low kemaren. Semoga cuma segitu aja koreksinya, kalo ga bisa berdarah darah market

Consumer Non Cyclicals, Energy. Yang terlihat mau jalan lagi Basic Materials,Property, Financials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO AKRA BRIS ESSA GOTO DSNG TBIG WIFI AALI. Big accum AKRA BRIS ESSA GOTO WIFI AALI

MACD buy signal: INDF SMAR, INDF big accum