Posts Tagged ‘Federal Reserve’

Daily Analysis 20241105

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

November 05th, 2024

Dow leads stocks lower as Wall Street braces for Election Day

US stocks slipped during a jittery session on Monday to kick off a week of potentially huge market-moving events — the presidential election and the Federal Reserve policy decision.

Dow…….41795 -257.6 -0.61%
Nasdaq. 18180 -59.93 -0.33%
S&P 500 5713 -16.1 -0.28%

FTSE…..8184 +7.1 +0.09%
Dax……19148 -107.1 -0.56%
CAC……7372 -37.4 -0.50%

Nikkei….38054 closed +0%
HSI………20568 +61.1 +0.30%
Shanghai.3310 +38.2 +1.17%

IDX…7479.50 -25.76 -0.34%
LQ45…913.42 +0.81 +0.09%
IDX30.470.71 +1.26 +0.26%

IDXEnergy….2717.76 -12.16 -0.45%
IDX BscMat1379.00 -21.60 -1.54%
IDX Indstrl..1090.32 -5.19 -0.47%
IDXNONCYC.748.63 +0.67 +0.09%
IDX Hlthcare1506.68 -15.60 -1.02%
IDXCYCLC…..868.43 -12.36 -1.40%
IDX Techno..3953.41 -49.09 -1.23%
IDX Transp 1445.59 -33.07 -2.24%
IDX Infrast 1472.57 -13.45 -1.23%
IDX Finance1512.89 -3.39 -0.22%
IDX Banking1292.34 +6.27. +0.49%
IDX Property..821 -12.6 -1.51%

Indo10Yr.6.8735❗️+0.0034 +0.49%
ICBI….392.7677❗️-0.0785 -0.02%
US2Yr.4.168 ❗️-0.044 -1.04%
US5Yr 4.148 ❗️-0.007 -0.17%
US10Yr4.293❗️ -0.093 -2.12%
US30Yr.4.466❗️-0.115 -2.51%
VIX..21.98 +0.10 +0.46%

USDIndx 103.8860❗️-0.400 -0.38%
Como Indx.282.75 +3.31 +1.18%
BCOMIN…..149.10 +0.69 +0.47%

IndoCDS..71.24 +1.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/11)

IDR…….15752.00‼️ +20.50 +0.13%
Jisdor..15723.00‼️ +28.00 +0.18%

Euro…1.0878❗️ +0.0006 +0.06%

TLKM.17.70 +0.21 +1.17%
( 2783)
EIDO…21.16 +0.08 +0.38%
EEM……44.74 +0.20 +0.45%

Oil………71.47 +1.98 +2.85%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.21 +2.10 +2.89%
(Brent)
Gold…2746.20 -3.00 -0.2l11%
(Comex)
Gold…2736.72 +0.19 +0.01%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.31724.00 +511.00 +1.64%
(Closed 01/11)
Nickel.16120.50 +136.50 +0.85%
(Closed 04/12)
Silver….32.6 -0.07 -0.21%
Copper.443.15 +6.00 +1.37%

Iron Ore 62% 102.49 -1.29 -1.24%
(01/11)
Nturl Gas 2.789 +0.126 +4.73%
Ammonia China 2766.67 +46.67 +1.72%
(Domestic Price)(04/11)

Coal price.143.90 -0.05 -0.03%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.90 -0.05 -0.03%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.90 +0.20 +0.14%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.70 +0.20 +0.14%
(Feb/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.05 +0.65 +0.55%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.20 +0.10 +0.21%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.20 +0.30 +0.25%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal Price 120.45 +0.20. +0.17%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jan) 4891 +26 +0.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………416.50 +2.00 +0.48%
SoybeanOil 45.56 -0.74 -1.60%
Wheat……568.75 +0.75. +0.13%

Wood pulp.4640.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Be loomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe merah, asia ijo, IHSG yang merah dalem, US Treasury bond merah dalem, kayanya technical rebound dulu hari ini mah IHSG, tapi ga banyak

USD index down, gold spot ijo tipis, tin nickel copper ijo, silver iron ore merah, perlu dicermati TINS dan INCO, oil ijo tebel, gas juga, coal melempem, CPO naik lagi, kita liat AKRA dan AALI LSIP

IHSG – nah ini mulai FNB, ada titik terang, stoch macd rsi mfi w% masih jelek semua, kalo ini wave 4 masih agak dalem, tapi sah aja berhenti sekarang juga, ABC nya cenderung flat. Kita cermati BBCA BBRI

Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, nah ini kalo bener jalan index ikut… Energy sama healthcare siap2, infrstructure belum jadi jalan, JSMR terpaksa cutloss kemaren

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI KLBF PGAS PGEO BTPS PTMP SRTG MLIA, SRTG big accum

MACD Buy Signal ADRO SRTG

BBRI – stoch buy, MACD dikit lagi, MFI masih down, w% sw, BD masih dist, FF rev acc, ini bisa spec buy harusnya, bisa jadi hari ini start gerak

Big caps emang jarang spike, ini ada tapi kecil

Average aman, BD lagi pada diem, tunggu momentum aja ini, tapi BBRI seringkali kebaca di Stoch dan digerakin juga sama foreign, so Spec Buy BBRI at last close price, setengah botol dulu

SRTG – stoch MACD buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, tembus ke atas cloud ichimoku, alligatornya nyusun buy lagi, BD accum, FNS tapi, dari retracement pattern udah nyusun 50-38 mau ke 61. Agak resiko di index yang belum pasti jalan lagi wave 5, tapi faktor pendukung buy nya udah ok, BOW SRTG di tengah candle kemaren, setengah botol aja harusnya ok ini

spike kecil, spike gede sebelumnya belum done, masih mungkin dikejar sih ini

Average nya ga aman, amannya minimal buy di bawah average BB di 2335, so jangan FOMO, BOW 2330 aja deh setengah botol

ADRO – ada yang aneh ini, hajatan sendiri… stoch macd buy MFI up, BD FF acc, loncat2 pake bikin gap segala, padahal coal price nya melempem… Ga berani ngejar, kalo energy jalan juga masuk di ITMG aja sama INDY yang ketinggalan

KLBF – sedikit overpriced, masih ok lah buat trade, stoch buy macd belum ada reg bull div, MFI masih down, w% mulai up, BD dist, FNS, masuk watchlist dulu, retracement pattern sih harusnya bawa mantul dari fibo 23

PGAS – belum saatnya

 

Daily Analysis 20240919

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

September 19th, 2024

Dow closes lower, giving up 375-point pop after big Fed rate cut

Stocks closed lower Wednesday in a volatile session as the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates in a half-percentage-point move. The outsized rate cut was cheered initially by traders, though it did raise concerns the Fed was trying to get ahead of potential economic weakness.

Dow…….41503 -103.08 -0.25%
Nasdaq. 17573 -54.8 -0.31%
S&P 500 5618 -16.3 -0.29%

FTSE…8254 -56.2 -0.68%
Dax……18712 -14.59 -0.08%
CAC……7445 -42.5 -0.57%

Nikkei….36380 +176.95 +0.49%
HSI……..17660 closed +0%
Shanghai.2717 +13.2 +0.49%

IDX….7829.14 -2.64 -0.03%
LQ45…970.25 +3.33 +0.34%
IDX30.495.10 +1.66 +0.34%

IDXEnergy. 2661.86 -5.08 -0.19%
IDX BscMat1321.61 -7.26 -0.55%
IDX Indstrl..1091.40 +9.31 +0.86%
IDXNONCYC.733.61 +0.73 +0.10%
IDX Hlthcare1543.11 +27.84+1.84%
IDXCYCLIC…904.06 -14.29 -1.66%
IDXTechno 3829.37 -101.65 -2.59%
IDX Transp 1501.09 +2.70 +0.18%
IDX Infrast 1624.68 -21.95 -1.33%
IDX Finance1557.49 +9.72 +1.63%
IDX Banking1385.86 +11.67 +0.85%
IDX Property….758 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6155👍-0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI….393.4510👍+0.1994 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.628 +0.021 +0.58%
US5Yr 3.493 +0.050 +1.45%
US10Yr3.715 +0.068 +1.86%
US30Yr.4.031 +0.071 +1.79%
VIX..18.23 +0.62 +3.52%‼️

USDIndx 100.9500❗️ +0.056 +0.06%
Como Indx….279.82 +1.16 +0.42%
BCOMIN….145.99 +0.30 +0.21%

IndoCDS..70.27 -0.94 -1.32%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/09)

IDR…….15335.00 unch +0%
Jisdor..15350.00 +12.00 +0.08%

Euro…1.1118❗️ -0.0001 -0.01%

TLKM.20.50 +0.33 +1.61%
( 3144)
EIDO…22.76 +0.12 +0.51%
EEM….42.87 -0.17 -0.38%

Oil………..70.91 -0.24 -0.34%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..72.88 -0.82 -1.11%
(Brent)
Gold…2598.60 +2.00 +0.08%
(Comex)
Gold…2558.54 -12.93 -0.48%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31594.00 -261.00 -0.82%
(Closed 18/09)
Nickel..16228.00 +92.00 +0.57%
(Closed 18/09)
Silver… ..30.69 -0.35 -1.13%
Copper.429.90 +2.05 +0.48%

Iron Ore 62% 91.94 -0.32 -0.35%
(16/09)
Nturl Gas 2.295 -0.021 -0.91%
Ammonia China 2710.00 +33.33 +1.25%
(Domestic Price)(18/09)

Coal price.139.00 -0.65 -0.47%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.25 -1.10 -0.81%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.30 -0.30 -0.22%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.85 -0.35 -0.25%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.25 -0.40 -0.35%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..112.60 -1.65 -1.44%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.45 -1.30 -1.14%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.45 -1.55 -1.36%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3848 +113 +3.03%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………412.75 +0.25 +0.06%
SoybeanOil 40.31 +0.43 +1.08%
Wheat……575.75 unch +0%

Wood pulp.4850.00 -4.00 -0.08%
(Closed 18/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, IHSG merah tipis, US T bond yield naik lagi, ini bau baunya merah lagi ISHG hari ini, padahal harusnya efek fed dan BI cut rate bagus

USD index up, metal2 kebanyakan down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO jump. Giliran AALI lanjut lari lagi nih. Yang lain keliatannya akan koreksi tipis2 dulu

IHSG – 833 sell, macd mulai rev down, hati hati yang big caps bisa mulai rontok

Property bangun dengan issue BI cut rate, Financials, Technology, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ASII TLKM AVIA BBYB BRMS BTPS ULTJ, big accum ACES ASII BBYB

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO BBRI BMRI INCO BBYB MARK MPMX TINS AMFG, big accum ARTO BBYB

Daily Analysis 20240527

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

May 27th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq closes Friday at record high as Nvidia and the AI trade rallies on

The Nasdaq closed Friday at a fresh record high as gains in chipmaker Nvidia outweighed worries that the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts.

Dow……39070 +4.3 +0.01%
Nasdaq16921 +184.8 +1.10%
S&P 500.5305 +36.9 +0.70%

FTSE…..8318 -21.6 -0.26%
Dax……18693 +2.1 +0.01%
CAC……8095 -7.4 -0.09%

Nikkei..38646 -457.1 -1.17%
HSI…..18609 -259.8 -1.38%
Shanghai.3089 -27.5 -0.88%

IDX….7222.38 closed +0%
LQ45..895.84 closed +0%
IDX30..450.75 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2292.57 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1438.10 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl..1023.14 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.701.53 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1416.69closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…738.50 closed +0%
IDXTechno3402.30 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1369.20 closed +0%
IDX Infrast 1618.96 closed +0%
IDX Finance1369.20 closed +0%
IDX Banking1174.72 closed +0%
IDX Property…..631 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.8787 closed +0%
ICBI…380.2554 closed +0%
US2Yr.4.948 +0.005 +0.09%
US5Yr 4.528 +0.003 +0.07%
US10Yr4.467 -0.006 -0.14%
US30Yr.4.573-0.004 -0.09%
VIX..11.93 -0.84 -6.58%👍

USDIndx 104.7240❗️ -0.38 -0.37%
Como Indx..294.28 +0.50 +0.17%
BCOMIN….164.28 +0.31 +0.19%

IndoCDS..72.25 +1.49 +2.11%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/05)

IDR…..15995.00 closed +0%
Jisdor.15995.00 closed +0%

Euro….1.0847 +0.00 +0.30%

TLKM…18.31 +0.05 +0.27%
( 2947)
EIDO….20.50 +0.11 +0.54%
EEM…..43.01 +0.11 +0.24%

Oil…….77.72 +0.85 +1.11%
Gold..2356.90‼️ -2.80 -0.12%
Timah..33229.00 -222.00 -0.66%
(Closed 24/05)
Nickel..20318.00 +234.00 +1.17%
(Closed 24/05)
Silver…..30.50 +0.04 +0.14%
Copper.475.35 -3.90 -0.81%

Iron Ore 62% 117.66 +0.22 +0.19%
(24/05)
Nturl Gas..2.504 -0.154 -5.80%‼️
Ammonia China.3066.67 -100.00 -3.16% ‼️
(Domestic Price)(23/05)

Coal price 142.80 +0.05 +0.04%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.00 -1.40 -0.99%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.50 +0.30 +0.21%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.15 -2.20 -1.50%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..105.10 -0.10 -0.10%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.95 -1.05 -0.93%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.116.60 -0.60 -0.51%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.05 -0.45 -0.38%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3886 -8 -0.21%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….464.75 +0.85 +0.16%
SoybeanOil 44.96 -0.24 -0.53%
Wheat…..697.25 -0.75 -0.11%

Wood pulp..5872 unch +0%
(Closed 26/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyr«ight: Phintraco Sekuritas

CLosing jum’at US DJI ijo tipis, Nasdaq ijo tebel karena Nvidia, Europe ijo, asia merah, US Bond yield pending naik tipis, panjang turun tipis, sideways kali ya IHSG hari ini, mungkin cenderung ijo malah

USD index down, tapi metal2 juga sebagian turun kecuali Nickel silver iron ore, oil up, gas drop, coal cenderung down, CPO down, belum ok ini…

IHSG – stoch up, macd up, MFI down, w% sw, BD sw FNS, masih nahan nahan… Tapi secara technical udah ok, udah tutup gap, tinggal rally nya aja

Basic Materials, Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals. Kalo bener Financials jalan, jadi IHSG start rally

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII ESSA ANJT SGRO. Big accum and freq spike ASII

MACD Buy Signal: ITMG PTPP ANJT CEKA AALI. Menarik AALI kalo harga CPO firm reversal up

CPO price MACD udah buy sih, bisa ini AALI harusnya

Alligator Buy Signal: BMTR BSDE BTPS

Daily Analysis 20240507

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

May 07th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow climbs more than 170 points to post fourth straight winning day, propelled by rate cut hopes

Stocks advanced Monday, with Wall Street building on the previous session’s strong gains as traders lifted Federal Reserve rate cut expectations

Dow……38852 +176.6 +0.46%
Nasdaq16349 +192.9 +1.19%
S&P 500.5181 +52.95 +1.03%

FTSE…..8214 closed +0%
Dax……18175 +173.6 +0.96%
CAC……7997 +39.1 +0.49%

Nikkei..38236 closed +0%
HSI…..18578 +102.4 +0.55%
Shanghai.3141 +35.9 +1.16%

IDX….7135.89 +1.17 +0.02%
LQ45..906.29 +2.96 +0.33%
IDX30..458.96 +1.04 +0.23%

IDXEnergy..2221.85 +22.79 +1.04%
IDX BscMat1332.92 +16.84 +1.28%
IDX Indstrl..1042.88 -18.66 -1.76%
IDXNONCYC.696.32 +4.64 +0.67%
IDX Hlthcare1414.55 -0.48 -0.03%
IDXCYCLIC…756.03 +2.85 +0.38%
IDXTechno3414.18 +50.08 +1.49%
IDX Transp 1315.32 +16.59 +1.28%
IDX Infrast 1616.40 -1.52 -0.09%
IDX Finance1399.49 +4.35 +0.31%
IDX Banking.1213.81+9.32 +0.77%
IDX Property.. 633 +15.8 +2.56%

Indo10Yr.6.9824👍 -0.0444 -0.63%
ICBI…377.7043👍 +1.0191 +0.27%
US2Yr.4.833 +0.027 +0.56%
US5Yr 4.487 +0.005 +0.11%
US10Yr4.485👍 -0.024 -0.53%
US30Yr.4.638👍 -0.023 -0.49%
VIX..13.49 unch +0

USDIndx 105.0870❗️+0.06 +0.05%
Como Indx..287.61 +1.10 +0.38%
BCOMIN……158.05 +0.72 +0.46%

IndoCDS..75.25👍 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/05)

IDR…..16025.50 -57.50👍 -0.36%
Jisdor.16025.00 -69.00👍 -0.42%

Euro….1.0770 +0.0009 +0.08%

TLKM…19.42 -0.05 -0.21%
( 3112)
EIDO….20.99 +0.02 +0.10%
EEM…..42.51 +0.04 +0.09%

Oil…….78.48 +0.37 +0.47%
Gold..2331.30 +22.60 +0.96%
Timah..31983.00 closed +0%
(Closed 06/05)
Nickel..19246.50 closed +0%
(Closed 06/05)
Silver…….27.61 +0.92 +3.46‼️
Copper…461.50 +5.80 +1.27%

Iron Ore 62% 118.03 – -%
(03/05)
Nturl Gas..2.204 +0.054 +2.51%
Ammonia China.2983.33 – -%
(Domestic Price)(03/05)

Coal price 145.30 +0.15 +0.10%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.95 +0.55 +0.38%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.10 +0.50 +0.34%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.20 +0.35 +0.24%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..109.35 +2.20 +2.05%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.45 +2.45 +2.25%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.95 +3.30 +3.01%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.95 +3.40 +3.10%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)..3863 +21 +0.55%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….469.00 +8.75 +1.90%
SoybeanOil 43.84 +0.76 +1.76%
Wheat..648.75 +26.25 +4.22%‼️

Wood pulp..5860 unch +0%
(Closed 06/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

US lanjut ijo, europe ijo tipis, asia ijo juga, bond yield pendek naik, panjang turun, masih wajar, harusnya masih ijo IHSG hari ini.

USD index naik dikit, gold silver copper naik, bisa jadi waktunya untuk re-entry ANTM, kita liat signalnya. oil gas coal naik, oil kita liat chart nya soalnya kemaren drop dalem, kalo coal keliatannya ok akan lanjut. Masih hold ADRO dkk. CPO lanjut ijo, LSIP kalo ga salah udah gerak, kita check later

IHSG – stoch up, macd up, MFI mulai up, w% up, tapi BD masih flat,masih FNS, masih ketahan belum rally lagi. Tapi keliatannya firm udah beres ABC correction nya, siap rally lagi

Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property, Technology,Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI PGEO PTBA ABMM DOID, PGEO big accum

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO ARTO BRIS CPIN AGRO ASSA SMIL TKIM. Big accum ADRO BRIS CPIN ASSA TKIM