Global update:

August 31st, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks extend their losing streak a third day, Dow closes down 300 points

Stocks fell for a third day on Tuesday, jeopardizing a summer comeback rally, as the Federal Reserve and other global central bankers continued to signal they will raise interest rates to squash inflation despite the negative consequences for economic growth and, potentially, corporate profits.

Dow…….31791 -308.1 -0.96%
Nasdaq.11884 -134.5 -1.12%
S&P 500..3986 -44.5 -1.10%

FTSE…….7362 -65.7 -0.88%
Dax……..12961 +68.2 +0.53%
CAC……..6210 -12.06 -0.19%

Nikkei….28196 +316.6 +1.14%
HSI……..19949 -74.2 -0.37%
Shanghai..3227 -13.5 -0.42%
ST Times..3222 -27.3 -0.84%

IDX…….7159.47 +27.43 +0.38%
LQ45…1021.75 +5.44 +0.54%

IDX Energy…1897.98 -19.74 -1.03%
IDX Bsc Mat.1297.19 +7.04 +0.56%
IDX Industrl..1321.59 +17.38 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC..708.13 -3.53 -0.50%
IDX Hlthcare.1425.85 +17.60 +1.25%
IDXCYCLIC…..889.13 +3.63 +0.41%
IDX Techno..7922.64 +123.98 +1.59%
IDX Transp…1961.06 +9.11 +0.47%
IDX Infrast…..1039.69 +13.35 +1.30%
IDX Finance 1492.14 +6.24 +0.42%
IDX Banking..1135.40 +7.62 +0.68%
IDX Property…704 -2.30 -0.32%

Indo10Yr….7.1686 +0.0312 +0.44%
ICBI……..335.8683 -0.6550 -0.19%
US10Yr…..3.1100 unch +0%
VIX……….26.21 -0.02 -0.00%

USDIndx 108.7730 -0.0620 -0.06%
Como Indx..293.58 -8.17 -2.71%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..154.55 -3.73 -2.35%
.
IndoCDS…116.42 +5.47 +4.93%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14842.50 -55.00 -0.37%
Jisdor..14875.00 -12.00 -0.08%

Euro………1.0019 +0.0019 +0.19%

TLKM……..29.65 -0.61 -2.20%
(4410)
EIDO………23.72 +0.11 +0.47%
EEM………39.29 -0.47 -1.18%

Oil…………..92.48 -4.38 -4.52%‼️
Gold ……..1735.00 -14.90 -0.85%
Timah. .24750.00 closed +0%
( Closed 29/8)
Nickel….21416.50 -279 -1.29%
(Closed 30/8)
Silver…….18.27 -0.40 -2.14%
Copper….355.50 -4.65 -1.29%

Nturl Gas…..9.077 -0.187 -2.02%

Ammonia….3750.00 +16.67 +0.45%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/8)

Coal price….414.55 -8.20 -1.94%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….405.00 -10.60 -2.55%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….399.45 -7.30 -1.79%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.00 -20.05 -5.34%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….354.00 -12.65 -3.45%‼️
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….346.50 -11.35 -3.17%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4133 -43 -1.03%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..677.25 -5.75 -0.84%
SoybeanOil…66.35 -0.09 -0.14%
Wheat……..820.25 -22.50 -2.67%

Wood pulp…6714.00 unch +0%
(Closed 30/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah, europe cuma dax yang ijo, asia nikkei kospi sama ihsg ijo

Komoditi turun semua kecuali timah dan cpo. Jadi ini ihsg merah kayanya hari ini

IHSG – kecuali akan breakhigh 7230, masih on schedule mau wave 2

RSI quadrant masih belum banyak berubah, Energy Healthcare Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Consumer Cyclicals

Global update:

August 29th, 2022

Good morning,

Powell comments fuel 1,000-point market rout Friday as stocks slide for a second week

Stocks plummeted Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in his Jackson Hole speech the central bank won’t back off in its fight against rapid inflation.

Dow…….32283 -1000.4 -3.03%‼️
Nasdaq.12142 -497.6 -3.94%‼️
S&P 500..4058 -141.5 -3.37%‼️

FTSE…….7427 -52.4 -0.70%
Dax……..12972 -248.6 -1.88%
CAC……..6274 -107.3 -1.68%

Nikkei….28641 +162.4 +0.57%
HSI……..20170 +201.7 +1.01%
Shanghai..3236 -10.02 -0.31%
ST Times..3250 +1.7 +0.05%

IDX…….7135.25 -38.96 -0.54%
LQ45…1014.27 -7.21 -0.71%

IDX Energy…1904.45 +14.65 +0.78%
IDX Bsc Mat.1293.23 -6.09 -0.47%
IDX Industrl..1307.06 -9.66 -0.73%
IDXNONCYC..708.78 -1.63 -0.23%
IDX Hlthcare.1405.16 +1.88 +0.13%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.39 +0.04 +0.08%
IDX Techno..7976.84 -91.82 -1.14%
IDX Transp…1978.52 -19.78 -0.99%
IDX Infrast…..1035.59 +2.03 +0.20%
IDX Finance 1499.65 -4.63 -0.31%
IDX Banking..1134.19 -3.91 -0.34%
IDX Property…712 +2.80 +0.40%

Indo10Yr….7.1619 +0.0082 +0.12%
ICBI……..336.3949 -0.1514 -0.04%
US10Yr…..3.0350 +0.0090 +0.30%
VIX……….25.56 +3.78 +17.36%‼️

USDIndx 108.8030 +0.4020 +0.37%
Como Indx..299.09 +2.34 +0.79%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..159.48 +1.07 +0.67%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14816.50 -8.00 -0.05%
Jisdor..14814.00 -13.00 -0.09%

Euro………0.9966 -0.0012 -0.12%

TLKM……..29.93 -0.48 -1.58%
(4434)
EIDO………23.56 -0.37 -1.55%
EEM………40.01 -0.60 -1.48%

Oil…………..93.06 +0.37 +0.40%
Gold ……..1749.80 -20.70 -1.17%
Timah. .24750.00 +440.00 +1.81%
( Closed 26/8)
Nickel….21695.50 +18.50 +0.09%
(Closed 27/8)
Silver…….18.83 -0.33 -1.72%
Copper….369.70 -0.25 -0.07%

Nturl Gas…..9.320 -0.041 -0.44%

Ammonia….3733.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(25/8)

Coal price….427.00 +14.25 +3.45%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….419.85 +9.85 +2.40%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….411.00 +7.30 +1.81%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….383.10 +8.85 +2.36%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….374.65 +9.65 +2.64%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….365.85 +9.50 +2.67%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4181 -74 -1.74%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..664.25 +14.25 +2.19%
SoybeanOil…66.88 +0.97 +1.47%
Wheat……..805.25 +16.25 +2.06%

Wood pulp…6714.00 unch +0%
(Closed 28/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US DJI NASDAQ drop 3% pas jum’at, ngeri banget… Europe merah juga tapi ga separah itu. Asia masih ada ijo di Nikkei Hangseng sama Kospi. Semoga IHSG ga separah itu dibantingnya. Sudah diperkirakan mau wave 2 tapi kalo terlalu dalem turunnya juga saham yang harusnya jadwal jadi ganjel index bisa ikut keseret

Gold silver copper merah, timah nikel ijo, oil ijo coal tipis, gas merah, semoga masih on track energy healthcare sama consumer non-cyclicals jagain index

Sudah firm ya, MACD sell signal… Brace yourself for the ride downhill. Yang diluar healthcare energy dan consumer non-cyclicals mending dibuang kalo perlu cutloss dulu. Nanti belanja lagi dibawah. US merah dalem banget, IHSG kemungkinan besar ikut merah dalem, bisa jadi semua sektor juga keseret kebawah

IHSG – semua menunjukkan mau turun dulu, stoch down, macd sell, bandar distribusi, FNS, MFI down, LR down, PSAR down, ada gap dibawah, memang alligator dan supertrend masih up, tapi lagging indicator buat main major trend kan memang suka telat.

Masih Energy, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, disusul lagi sama Consumer Cyclicals. Industrials emerging, tapi index mau turun gini kayanya belum jalan lagi dulu

Global Update:

August 22th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks fall Friday to notch weekly loss, S&P 500 snaps 4-week-long rally

Stocks tumbled on Friday as Wall Street’s summer rally faltered and rate hike fears resurfaced, leading the major averages to end the week on a sour note.

Dow…….33707 -292.3 -0.86%
Nasdaq.12705 -260.1 -2.01%
S&P 500..4228 -55.3 -1.29%

FTSE…….7550 +8.5 +0.11%
Dax……..13545 -152.9 -1.12%
CAC……..6496 -61.6 -0.94%

Nikkei….28930 -11.8 -0.04%
HSI……..19773 +9.1 +0.05%
Shanghai..3258 -19.5 -0.59%
ST Times..3247 -26.97 -0.82%

IDX…….7172.43 -14.12 -0.29%
LQ45…1022.99 -3.35 -0.33%

IDX Energy…1825.18 +9.81 +0.54%
IDX Bsc Mat.1310.37 -5.91 -0.45%
IDX Industrl..1322.31 -8.32 -0.63%
IDXNONCYC..713.09 +1.38 +0.19%
IDX Hlthcare.1407.90 +8.32 +0.59%
IDXCYCLIC…..894.77 +2.22 +0.25%
IDX Techno..8045.99 -6.50 -0.08%
IDX Transp…2075.11 -11.61 -0.56%
IDX Infrast…..1042.69 -1.80 -0.17%
IDX Finance 1506.21 -6.01 -0.40%
IDX Banking..1141.81 -9.99 -0.83%
IDX Property…715 -4.7 -0.65%

Indo10Yr….7.1655 +0.0140 +0.20%
ICBI……..336.2590 -0.1379 -0.04%
US10Yr…..2.9890 +0.1090 +3.78%
VIX………….19.56 -0.34 -1.71%

USDIndx 108.1690 +0.6850 +0.64%‼
Como Indx..292.03 +1.70 +0.59%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..157.48 +1.08 +0.69%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 +3.65 +3.40%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14838.00 +1.50 +0.01%
Jisdor..14858 .00 +38.00 +0.24%

Euro………1.0040 -0.0049 -0.49%

TLKM……..30.66 -0.14 -0.45%
(4555)
EIDO………23.61 -0.25 -1.05%
EEM………39.90 -0.55 -1.36%

Oil…………..90.77 +0.14 +0.15%
Gold ……..1762.90 -9.60 -0.54%
Timah. .24795.00 +200. 00 +0.81%
( Closed 18/8)
Nickel….22071.00 +198.00 +0.91%
(Closed 18/8)
Silver…….19.18 -0.37 -1.89%
Copper….367.10 +2.20 +0.60%

Nturl Gas…..9.280 +0.108 +1.18%

Ammonia….3750.00 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(18/8)

Coal price….416.25 +2.35 +0.57%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….443.75 +8.75 +2.01%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….434.90 +8.60 +2.02%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….371.25 +6.25 +1.71%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….391.80 +12.70 +3.35%‼
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….380.25 +12.20 +3.29%‼
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4084 +37 +0.91%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..623.25 +7.50 +1.22%
SoybeanOil…65.70 +1.43 +2.22%
Wheat………771.00 +22.00 +2.94%

Wood pulp…6700.00 unch +0%
(Closed 21/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing jum’at merah lumayan dalem, overall merah juga, asia juga. Jadi kayanya ini IHSG wave 2

Harga commodity terkait energy, oil gas coal naik semua, sesuai sama gerakan sektoral nya juga

Metal varied, gold silver turun, timah nikel copper naik. CPO juga naik

FTSE GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX SERIES ASIA PACIFIC EX JAPAN EX CHINA SEPTEMBER 2022 SEMI ANNUAL REVIEW

(The changes will be effective after the close of business on Friday, 16 September 2022 (i.e. on Monday, 19 September 2022)

INDONESIA

• LARGE CAP

Inclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya) – Large Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid

• MID CAP

Inclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-BRIS (Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk) – Large to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid
-MSIN (MNC Studios International) – Mid Cap Addition

Exclusions :
-ADRO (Adaro Energy PT) – Mid to Large

• SMALL CAP

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)

Exclusions :
-AVIA (Avia Avian) – Small to Mid
-ISAT (Indosat) – Small to Mid

• MICRO CAP

Inclusions :
-ABMM (ABM Investama)
-ARCI (Archi Indonesia)
-NOBU (Bank Nationalnobu)
-BMSR (Bintang Mitra Semestaraya)
-BUDI (Budi Starch & Sweetener)
-DLTA (Delta Jakarta)
-IMAS (Indomobil Sukses Internasional)
-INDR (Indorama Synthetics)
-KAEF (Kimia Farma)
-PBID (Panca Budi Idaman)
-PANS (Panin Sekuritas)
-PTRO (Petrosea)
-RMKE (RMK Energy)
-SAMF (Saraswanti Anugerah Makmur)
-SPMA (Suparma)
-TRIM (Trimegah Sekuritas)
-CARE (Victoria Care)

Exclusions :
-BALI (Bali Towerindo Sentra)
-BULL (Buana Listya Tama)
-UFOE (Damai Sejahtera Abadi)
-INDY (Indika Energy Tbk PT)
-KIJA (Kawasan Industri Jababeka)
-RSGK (Kedoya Adyaraya)
-FILM (MD Pictures)
-MLPL (Multipolar)
-PZZA (Sarimelati Kencana)
-SSMS (Sawit Sumbermas Sarana )
-SMSM (Selamat Sempurna)
-RANC (Supra Boga Lestari)
-ESSA (Surya Esa Perkasa)
-TMAS (Temas)

• FTSE ALL-WORLD (LM)

Inclusions :
-ISAT (Indosat)
-MSIN (MNC Studios International)
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya)

Exclusions : –

• FTSE ALL-CAPS (LMS)

Inclusions :
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)
-MSIN (MNC Studios International)
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya)

Exclusions : –

• FTSE TOTAL-CAP (LMSµ)

Inclusions : (Yang disini harusnya efek rebalancing jadi naik)
-ABMM (ABM Investama)
-ARCI (Archi Indonesia)
-NOBU (Bank Nationalnobu)
-BMSR (Bintang Mitra Semestaraya)
-BUDI (Budi Starch & Sweetener)
-DLTA (Delta Jakarta)
-IMAS (Indomobil Sukses Internasional)
-INDR (Indorama Synthetics)
-SIDO (Industri Jamu Dan Farmasi Sido Muncul)
-KAEF (Kimia Farma)
-HEAL (Medikaloka Hermina)
-MSIN (MNC Studios International)
-PBID (Panca Budi Idaman)
-PANS (Panin Sekuritas)
-PTRO (Petrosea)
-RMKE (RMK Energy)
-SAMF (Saraswanti Anugerah Makmur)
-AMRT (Sumber Alfaria Trijaya)
-SPMA (Suparma)
-TRIM (Trimegah Sekuritas)
-CARE (Victoria Care Indonesia)

Exclusions : -(Yang disini efek rebalancing harusnya turun…)
-BALI (Bali Towerindo Sentra)
-BULL (Buana Listya Tama)
-UFOE (Damai Sejahtera Abadi)
-INDY (Indika Energy Tbk PT)
-KIJA (Kawasan Industri Jababeka)
-RSGK (Kedoya Adyaraya)
-FILM (MD Pictures)
-MLPL (Multipolar)
-PZZA (Sarimelati Kencana)
-SSMS (Sawit Sumbermas Sarana)
-SMSM (Selamat Sempurna)
-RANC (Supra Boga Lestari)
-ESSA (Surya Esa Perkasa)
-TMAS (Temas)

 

*****

(Listri Samudra | Phintraco Sekuritas (AT), Source : FTSE – Disclaimer On)

Ini penting buat dicermati pas ujung bulan, fund manager luar akan tuker barang yang keluar dari index FTSE sama yang baru masuk. Ini bentuk pertanggungjawaban dia ke client nya, bahwa mereka invest di saham yang di-rate bagus oleh FTSE. Kalaupun misalnya jual rugi ga masalah mereka

 

Candle terakhir IHSG kaya candle rejection, Long Upper Shadow, beware mau jadi drop wave 2 dulu…

IHSG – stoch sw, macd sw, FF up, bandar jum’at distribusi, MFI down, LR kaya mentok, PSAR masih UP. Rawan banget koreksi ini…

Global Update:

August 18th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes lower Wednesday to end 5-day win streak, Wall Street mulls new retail data

Stocks fell on Wednesday as the rally that has pushed prices higher since mid-June appeared to lose steam. Traders also assessed the latest retail data and minutes from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….33980 -171.7 -1.19%
Nasdaq.12938 -164.4 -1.25%
S&P 500..4274 -31.2 -0.72%

FTSE…….7516 -20.3 -0.27%
Dax……..13623 -283.4 -2.04%
CAC……..6528 -64.3 -0.97%

Nikkei….29223 +353.9 +1.23%
HSI……..19922 +91.9 +0.46%
Shanghai..3293 +14.6 +0.45%
ST Times..3263 +8.97 +0.28%

IDX…….7133.45 closed +0%
LQ45…1016.36 closed +0%

IDX Energy…1793.62 closed +0%
IDX Bsc Mat.1323.86 closed +0%
IDX Industrl..1315.55 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC..704.94 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare.1406.35 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…..890.29 closed +0%
IDX Techno..8085.17 closed +0%
IDX Transp…2080.68 closed +0%
IDX Infrast…..1046.77 closed +0%
IDX Finance 1508.92 closed +0%
IDX Banking..1147.53 closed +0%
IDX Property…..721 closed +0%

Indo10Yr….7.1494 closed +0%
ICBI……..336.2197 closed +0%
US10Yr…..2.8930 +0.0690 +2.44%
VIX………….19.90 +0.21 +1.07%

USDIndx 106.5740 +0.0740 +0.07%‼
Como Indx..288.87 +1.20 +0.42%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.42 -2.30 -1.45%
.
IndoCDS…101.60 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14768.00 closed +0%
Jisdor..14767 .00 closed +0%

Euro………1.0179 +0.0009 +0.09%

TLKM……..30.70 -0.10 -0.32%
(4533)
EIDO………23.84 -0.14 -0.58%
EEM………40.68 -0.17 -0.42%

Oil…………..87.50 +0.49 +0.56%
Gold ……..1777.80 -12.00 -0.67%
Timah. .24600.00 -121. 00 -0.49%
( Closed 16/8)
Nickel…21971.00 -580.50 -2.57%‼
(Closed 17/8)
Silver…….19.85 -0.35 -1.73%
Copper….358.55 -3.90 -1.08%

Nturl Gas…..9.206 -0.142 -1.52%

Ammonia….3750.00 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(16/8)

Coal price….413.90 +8.90 +2.19%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….436.90 +11.55 +2.71%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….428.60 +11.60 +3.59%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….359.75 +1.70 +0.47%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….375.40 +6.40 +1.73%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….366.60 +6.10 +1.69%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4200 +17 +0.41%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..612.00 +1.75 +0.29%
SoybeanOil…65.60 -0.46 -0.70%
Wheat………780.50 -22.25 -2.77%

Wood pulp…6710.00 -10 -0.15%
(Closed 17/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI mau wave 2 juga? Mungkin aja. Yang jelas sering gitu IHSG, pas US ijo tebel kita libur, pas masuk pas US merah, jadi ikut turunnya doang, hehehe…

Closing rabu index di Asia ijo, europe merah, US merah

Metal2 turun semua, oil coal cpo naik, gas turun. Mau masuk winter energy lari lagi kayanya. Kita cari momentum re-entry saham coal dan oil ya.

Walau tgl 16 ijo tebel tapi keliatannya tetep mau wave 2, turun dulu tutup gap

GOTO naik 10% yang ngangkat index banget, yang ijo cuma 192 dari 788 emiten

IHSG – cuma Supertrend dan alligator yang masih up

Masih sama, Infra Property, next Consumer Non-Cyclicals Heathcare