January 17th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 200 points lower Tuesday after 10-year Treasury yield tops 4%

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell Tuesday as bond yields ticked higher and Wall Street pored through the latest batch of fourth-quarter earnings.

Dow……37361 -231.9 -0.62%
Nasdaq14944 -28.4 -0.19%
S&P 500.4766 -17.9 -0.37%

FTSE…..7558 -36.6 -0.48%
Dax……16572 -50.5 -0.30%
CAC……7398 -13.7 -0.18%

Nikkei..35619 -15.42 -0.78%
HSI…….15866 -350.4 -2.16%
Shanghai.2894 +7.7 +0.27%

IDX…..7242.79 +18.70 +0.26%
LQ45….975.39 +1.34 +0.14%
IDX30…502.80 -0.35 -0.07%

IDXEnergy..2194.91 .91 +1.06%
IDX BscMat.1249.83 +0.41 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl…1127.74 +11.77+1.06%
IDXNONCYC.707.91 +1.34 +0.19%
IDX Hlthcare1310.72 -25.74 -1.93%
IDXCYCLIC…864.61 +8.98 +1.05%
IDX Techno4310.93 -26.38 -0.61%
IDX Transp 1710.92 -0.81 -0.05%
IDX Infrast 1534.48 +2.42 +0.16%
IDX Finance.1512.23 -4.22 -0.28%
IDX Banking.1331.17 -1.46 -0.11%
IDX Property.. 714 +1.40 +0.19%

Indo10Yr.6.6805 +0.0229 +0.34%
ICBI…375.0189 +0.0247 -0.01%
US2Yr.4.222 +0.076 +1.83%
US5Yr 3.934 +0.102 +2.66%
US10Yr4.064 +0.078 +1.96%
US30Yr.4.297 +0.122 +2.92%
VIX….13.84 +0.59 +4.45%‼️

USDIndx 103.3570❗️ +0.953 +0.93%
Como Indx..264.30 -0.08 -0.03%
BCOMIN……136.24 +0.24 +1.29%

IndoCDS..74.21 -0.02 -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/01)

IDR…..15592.50 +37.50 +0.24%
Jisdor.15592.00 +37.00 +0.24%

Euro….1.0877 -0.0072 -0.66%

TLKM…25.80 -0.12 -0.43%
(4033)
EIDO……22.44 -0.21 -0.93%
EEM……38.25 -0.95 -2.42%

Oil……..72.40 -0.10 -0.14%
Gold..2030.20 -28.80 -1.40%
Timah..24781.00 +150.00 +0.61%
(Closed 15/01)
Nickel..16227.00 +59.5 +0.37%
(Closed 16/01)
Silver……23.09 -0.24 -1.01%
Copper.376.65 -1.75 -0.46%

Iron Ore 62% 137.22 – -%
(12/01)
Nturl Gas..2.829 -0.277 -8.92%‼️
Ammonia China.3183.33‼️ -66.67 -2.05%
(Domestic Price)(15/02)

Coal price.129.50 -0.35 -0.39%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.40 +1.15 +0.91%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.127.25: +1.00 +0.80%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 125.85 +0.85 +0.68%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.107.75 +0.25 +0.23%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 +2.25 +2.22%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price..100.85 +1.80 +1.82%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…99.30 +1.80 +1.85%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3881 +61 +1.61%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……443.50 -3.50 -0.78%
SoybeanOil 48.25 -1.00 -2.07%
Wheat…582.00 -14.00 -2.35%

Wood pulp..5054.00+4.00 +0.10%
(Closed 16/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Weh, US lanjut merah, europe juga, asia cenderung merah, yang ijo tipis. IHSG kemaren ijo, jadi kemungkinan merah lagi hari ini.

US Bond rate up rada tingi, bad for stocks, USD index juga naik, bad for commodities in general. Kebanyakan metal down kecuali Tin and Nickel, Oil down, Gas Drop, tapi Coal and CPO up. Good for ADRO PTBA ITMG INDY AALI LSIP

IHSG – stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% sw, BD sw, FNB, hidden bullish divergence, 833 buy, semoga rada ada dorongannya minimal ga dibanting, sideways correction aja

Still financials, energy, yang ketangkep kemaren beli KLBF ini mulai keliatan healthcare mau bangun. Property yang kayanya udahan

January 9th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq Composite closes 2% higher Monday as tech stocks’ revival lifts major averages

The major averages rose Monday, boosted by tech shares, as Wall Street tried to recover from a tough week

Dow……37683 +216.9 +0.58%
Nasdaq14844 +319.7 +2.20%
S&P 500.4764 +66.3 +1.41%

FTSE…..7694 +4.6 +0.06%
Dax……16716 +122.3 +0.74%
CAC……7450 +29.6 +0.40%

Nikkei..33377 closed +0%
HSI…….16225 -310.9 -1.88%
Shanghai.2888 -41.7 -1.42%

IDX…..7283.58 -67.05 -0.91%
LQ45….977.44 -9.82 -1.00%
IDX30…498.14 -3.58 -0.71%

IDXEnergy..2170.42 -10.32 -0.47%
IDX BscMat.1297.00 -28.84 -2.18%
IDX Indstrl…1100.76 -3.01 -0.27%
IDXNONCYC.713.49 -5.56 -0.77%
IDX Hlthcare1328.81+2.92 +0.22%
IDXCYCLIC…835.07 +0.58 +0.07%
IDX Techno4353.31 -28.10 -0.64%
IDX Transp 1679.79 -11.12 -0.66%
IDX Infrast 1556.02 -14.14 -0.90%
IDX Finance.1492.85+1.17 +0.08%
IDX Banking.1304.35 -6.90 -0.53%
IDX Property.. 716 +3.60 +0.51%

Indo10Yr.6.6734 +0.0164 +0.25%
ICBI…373.7378 -0.3219 -0.097%
US2Yr.4.375 -0.018 -0.41%
US5Yr 3.986 -0.119 -2.96%
US10Yr4.027-0.024 -0.59%
US30Yr.4.184-0.022 -0.52%
VIX….13.08 -0.27 -2.02%

USDIndx 102.4120 -0.010 -0.01%
Como Indx..261.65 -4.26 -1.60%
BCOMIN……137.05 -1.31 -0.95%

IndoCDS..77.69‼️ – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/01)

IDR…..15525.00 +9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor.15518.00 +4.00 +0.03%

Euro….1.0951 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.19 -0.13 -0.51%
(3909)
EIDO….22.52 -0.07 -0.31%
EEM….39.55 +0.11 +0.28 %

Oil……..70.77 -3.04 -4.12%‼️
Gold..2033.50 -16.30 -0.80%
Timah..24622.00 – -%
(Closed 05/01)
Nickel..16258.00 -86 -0.53%
(Closed 08/01)
Silver……23.31 -0.01 -0.04%
Copper.381.00 +0.40 +0.11%

Iron Ore 62% 141.45. – -%
(05/01)
Nturl Gas..2.943 +0.037 +1.27%
Ammonia China.3640.00 – -%
(Domestic Price)(05/02)

Coal price.132.00 +0.45 +0.34%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 129.50 -1.00 -0.76%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.25 -0.25 -0.19%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.50 -0.75 -0.59%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.112.75 -3.25 -2.88%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.70 -3.65 -3.22%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.106.10 -2.65 -2.44%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.00 -2.65 -2.51%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3694 +13 +0.35%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……455.00 -5.75 -1.25%
SoybeanOil 47.81 +0.18 +0.38%
Wheat…596.25 -19.75 -3.21%

Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 08/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo, nasdaq jump, Europe ijo, asia merah dalem termasuk IHSG. US Bond rate turun, vix turun, USD index turun tipis, IHSG harusnya rebound hari ini…

Metal2 masih tipis2 merah kecuali copper, oil lanjut merah dalem, gas ijo, coal newcastle ijo, rotterdam merah tebel, future nya merah semua, abis winternya. CPO ijo lagi, harusnya AALI LSIP jalan

IHSG – stoch sell, macd rev down, MFI doen w% down, bd dist, masih FNB bagusnya… kalo dari MA masih uptrend, dari elliot wave udah bahaya karena udah wave 5 dan udah lewat target minimal run nya, berharap sampe ke fibo ext 1.618 nya tapi. trailing stop on, stop loss ketat, siap2 cash buat beli lagi di bawah

bagusnya bahwa arah financials bagus,deket 45 derajat, semoga bisa gendong index. arah bagus consumer non-cyclicals, industrials, consumer cyclicals, property, transportation. Energy masih di leading quadrant tapi ga jelas

Stochastic Buy Signal: SIDO MSIN PNIN RMKE

Stochastic Continuation Signal: ITMG big accum, SCMA spike

Supertrend Buy Signal: EXCL

Alligator Buy Signal: BBTN INDF SMGR TINS

SIDO – kecuali stoch buy, jelek semua, skip…

ITMG – stoch up OB flattening, MACD up, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, udah jalan 14% lebih dari bottom kemaren tanpa koreksi berarti… wait higher low deh, index belum tentu lanjut dan oscillators pada overbought

Spike nya sih bagus

CC YU buang, wait dulu deh

SCMA – wah, saham LQ45 tapi chart nya kaya gorengan, ga berani dulu ah… tar kalo index nya jinak baru berani

EXCL – stoch up, macd up, mfi up, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, supertrend buy, alligator buy, udah bikin higher low, bisa sih ini buy harusnya, agak high risk tapi dengan posisi index begini dan sektor infrastrukturnya masih lemes

Spike nya ok

Average ok, 3 holder terbesar accum, seandainya index ga beresiko gini udah pasti ikut entry

tapi ga deh, sabar dulu aja, kecuali emang porto kosong dan mau speculative buy

INDF – stoch sell, macd still up, MFI still up, tapi BD FF dist, buat entry sekarang ga ok, buat saya yang udah ada masih hold sih, tapi stoploss udah dipasang, just in case

Masih firm price aman dan YP accum sih, hold

SMGR – kena hidbear dan turun, stoch sell, macd rev down, bd ff rev dist, cutloss di macd sell signal

Harga aman, tapi emang 2 holder gede lagi distribusi pelan pelan

Masih ada unclosed spike, masih hoping jalan, watch MACD

TINS – batal jalan keliatannya, stoch sell, macd rev down, MFI down, w% down, BD FF dist, testing support dulu, skip…

Sept 18th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow sheds nearly 300 points Friday, S&P 500 and Nasdaq suffer second straight week of losses

Stocks fell Friday as investors wrapped up a volatile week ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting.

Dow……34618 -288.9 -0.83%
Nasdaq13708 -217.7 -1.56%
S&P 500.4450 -54.8 -1.22%

FTSE…..7711 +38.3 +0.50%
Dax……15894 +88.2 +0.56%
CAC……7379 +70.2 +0.96%

Nikkei…33533 +364.99 +1.10%
HSI…….18183 +134.97 +0.75%
Shanghai.3118 -8.8 -0.28%

IDX…..6982.79 +23.46 +0.34%
LQ45….961.20 +5.59 +0.59%
IDX30…497.95 +2.54 +0.51%

IDXEnergy…2153.14 +5.09 +0.24%
*IDX BscMat.1332.21. +26.87 +2.06%*
IDX Indstrl…1183.94 +2.55 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.743.59 +1.20 +0.16%
IDX Hlthcare1460.65 -29.20. -1.96%
IDXCYCLIC…884.56 -7.90 -0.88%
IDX Techno.4406.44 -3.66 -0.08%
IDX Transp..1837.08 +2.96 +0.16%
IDX Infrast….917.42 +0.17 +0.02%
IDX Finance.1388.61 -1.42 -0.10%
IDX Banking.1202.52 +0.73 +0.06%
IDX Property..722 -7.90 -1.08%

*Indo10Yr.6.6890‼️ +0.0371 +0.56%*
*ICBI..366.9027‼️-0.5138 -0.14%*
*US2Yr.5.037‼️* +0.023 +0.46%
*US5Yr 4.465* +0.046 +1.04%
*US10Yr4.336* +0.052 +1.21%
*US30Yr.4.421*+0.041 +0.94%
*VIX……13.79‼️ +0.97 +7.57%*

*USDIndx 105.3220‼️ -0.0830 -0.08%*
Como Indx…289.61 -0.68 -0.23%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..142.57 -1.74 -1.21%

*IndoCDS.77.71👍* -0.50 -0.64%
(5-yr INOCD5) *(15/09)*

*IDR…..15355.50‼️+0.50 +0.00%*
*Jisdor.15367.00‼️+10.00 +0.07%*

*Euro……1.0657 +0.0013 +0.12%*

TLKM…24.08 +0.08 +0.33%
*(3700)*
EIDO….22.77 +0.03 +0.13%
EEM….39.13 -0.15 -0.38%

*Oil………90.77* +0.17 +0.19%
*Gold…1946.20* +15.3 +0.79%
*Timah..25703.00* -192.00 -0.74%
*(Closed 15/09)*
*Nickel..19922.50‼️ -337.50 -1.66%*
(Closed 15/09)
*Silver…23.39 +0.46 +2.01%*
Copper.380.10 -1.75 -0.46%

*Iron Ore 62%121.29‼️ +0.73 +0.61%*
(15/09)
*Nturl Gas…2.643 -0.061 -2.26%*
*Ammonia China..3816.67* unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(15/09)

Coal price.160.50 +0.35 +0.22%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.166.15 +1.20 +0.73%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.169.10 +1.05 +0.62%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.172.60 +0.50 +0.29%
(Des/Newcastle)

Coal price.122.25 +0.90 +0.74%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.15 +1.15 +0.93%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.124.70 +0.60 +0.48%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.126.15 +0.60 +0.48%
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)..3785 +26 +0.69%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………476.25 -4.25 -0.88%
SoybeanOil 62.06 +0.34 +0.55%
Wheat……604.25 +10.50 +1.77%

*Wood pulp..4820.00‼️unch +0%*
(Closed 17/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

 

Jum’at US closing merah, Europe masih pada ijo kaya asia juga. Prepare hari ini merah ya

VIX jump, saham jadi volatile hati hati… USD index merah, gold silver iron ore ijo, copper timah nickel merah. oil coal ijo gas merah, CPO ijo. Bagus ini buat ANTM MDKA ADRO PTBA ITMG INDY

IHSG – stoch down rev, macd down rev,MFI sw, w%up, mulai FNB, BD acc, 833 udah buy, sign mau lanjut sih, tapi belum firm. Masih ada kemungkinan mau ABC correction. Kita tunggu financials jalan

Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials, Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT EXCL AVIA BBKP BELI HSMP MMIX TAPG CEKA IPOL

MACD Buy Signal: TLKM ECII

Stochastic Continuation Signal: INKP TLKM HMSP TKIM

Supertrend Buy Signal: UNTR

July 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow rises for a 13th straight day, posting its best winning streak since 1987

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose Wednesday, notching its best winning streak since 1987 as traders digested a Federal Reserve rate hike and major corporate earnings.

Dow……35520 +82.1 +0.23%
Nasdaq14127 -17.3 -0.12%
S&P 500.4567 -0.7 -0.02%

FTSE…..7677 -14.9 -0.19%
Dax……16131 -80.1 -0.49%
CAC……7315 -100.4 -1.35%

Nikkei…32668 -14.2 -0.04%
HSI…….19365 -69.3 -0.36%
Shanghai.3223 -8.5 -0.26%

IDX…..6948.28 +30.57 +0.44%
LQ45….969.29 +5.44 +0.56%
IDX30…504.10 +2.87 +0.57%

IDXEnergy…1973.90 +27.87 +1.43%
IDX BscMat.1065.99 -1.50 -0.14%
IDX Indstrl…1212.34 +8.97 +0.75%
IDXNONCYC.748.95 -1.33 -0.18%
IDX Hlthcare1543.08 -9.00 -0.58%
IDXCYCLIC….930.97 +4.22 +0.46%
IDX Techno.4768.08 -13.98 -0.29%
IDX Transp..1956.84 +22.99 +1.19%
IDX Infrast… .852.03 +0.99 +0.12%
IDX Finance.1434.25 +4.28 +0.30%
IDX Banking.1211.96 +6.23 +0.53%
IDX Property..756 -6.30 -0.82%

Indo10Yr.6.3408+0.0138 +0.22%
*ICBI….369.0492* -0.2372 -0.06%
US2Yr.4.8500 -0.029 -0.59%
US5Yr 4.1160 -0.052 -1.25%
US10Yr3.8750 -0.022 -0.56%
US30Yr.3.9320 -0.015 -0.38%
VIX…….13.19 -0.67 -4.83%👍

USDIndx 100.8870👍 -0.4620 -0.46%
Como Indx…280.87 -1.02 -0.3%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….146.18 -1.82 -1.23%

IndoCDS.80.21 -2.49 -3.01%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) *(25/07)*I

IDR…..15022.50‼ +24.50 +0.16%
Jisdor.15032.00 ‼+25.00 +0.17%

Euro……1.1088 +0.0025 +0.23%

TLKM…25.63 unch +0%
(3853)
EIDO….23.82 +0.19 +0.80%
EEM…..41.45 +0.24 +0.58%

Oil…..78.97 -0.36 -0.45%
*Gold…2013.40* +6.90 +0.34%
Timah..28899.00 +298.00 +1.04%
(Closed 25/07)
Nickel..21563.00 -939.50 -4.18%‼
(Closed 26/07)
Silver…. 25.09 +0.16 +0.64%
Copper.390.70 -1.15 -0.29%

Iron Ore 62% 112.72 +0.21 +0.19%
(25/07)
Nturl Gas.2.6810 -0.0490 -1.79%
Ammonia China..3000.00 +3.45%‼
(Domestic Price)(26/07)

Coal price..134.00 unch +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.65 +0.15 +0.10%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.150.95 -0.15 -0.10%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.154.15 -0.40 -0.26%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price111.25 +0.10 +0.09%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.115.05 -3.15 -2.66%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.50 -3.55 -2.93%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.20 -3.70 -2.99%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)..4063 -7 -0.17%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….548.25 -17.00 -3.01%‼
SoybeanOil 64.19 -1.07 -1.67%
Wheat……720.00 -40.25 -5.29%‼

*Wood pulp..4410.00* +30 +0.68%
(Closed 25/07)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI lanjut ijo, walau nasdaq dan SP500 merah tipis setelah rate fed naik 25 basis point

Yang lain merah, IHSG masih ijo, beware koreksi sekarang atau besok, antisipasi kenaikan minggu ini yang signifikan

USD index drop, Gold Silver ijo, copper merah, timah ijo nickel merah iron ore ijo, oil merah, coal tipis tipis, CPO juga

Harusnya bagus buat ANTM MDKA,yang lain keliatannya akan sideways or minor pullback dulu

Energy Technology Transportation

IHSG – stoch almost buy, macd up, mfi sw, w%uptrend, BD FF acc, testing neckline triple bottom, semoga tembus kenceng

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII EXCL INDY SRTG AALI ASSA AVIA JSMR MTEL INCI

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM TPIA PNBN AMFG IGAR

Aligator Buy Signal: GOTO MEDC SMDR

Supertrend Buy Signal: INCO IGAR