Daily Analysis 20240403

Daily Analysis 20240403

April 03rd, 2024

Good morning,

Wall Street is coming off a losing session for the major benchmarks after sticky inflation data from last week, as well as some strong economic data, had investors concerned the Federal Reserve will take longer to cut interest rates. Treasury yields spiked, with the rate on the 10-year note touching its highest level since November. Oil prices also rose to five-month highs

Dow……39170 -396.6 -1.60%
Nasdaq16240 -156.4 -0.95%
S&P 500.5206 -37.96 -0.72%

FTSE…..7935 -17.5 -0.22%
Dax……18283 -209.4 -1.13%
CAC……8130 -75.8 -0.92%

Nikkei..39839 +35.8 +0.09%
HSI……16932 +390.1 +2.36%
Shanghai.3075 -2.4 -0.08%

IDX…..7236.98 +31.92 +0.44%
LQ45….968.37 -0.71 -0.71%
IDX30…491.79 -0.59 -0.12%

IDXEnergy..2137.49 +33.43 +1.59%
IDX BscMat1313.87 +20.74 +1.60%
IDX Indstrl…1093.62 +10.39 +0.96%
IDXNONCYC.722.05 +4.61 +0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1338.51 +16.16 +1.22%
IDXCYCLIC…818.65 +5.88 +0.72%
IDXTechno3561.36 +17.24 +0.49%
IDX Transp 1466.70 +20.93 +1.46%
IDX Infrast 1565.30 -2.65 -0.18%
IDX Finance.1485.34 -2.65 -0.18%
IDX Banking.1335.45 -13.01 -0.96%
IDX Property.. 660 +2.50 +0.39%

Indo10Yr.6.7156 +0.0041 +0.06%
ICBI…379.3888 -0.0289 -0.01%
US2Yr.4.693 -0.019 -0.40%
US5Yr 4.343 +0.016 +0.37%
US10Yr4.357 +0.045 +1.04%
US30Yr.4.497+0.045 +1.01%
VIX………14.61 +0.96 +7.03%‼️

USDIndx 104.8160 -0.203 -0.19%
Como Indx..294.23 +1.90 +0.65%
BCOMIN…..141.77 +1.50 +1.07%

IndoCDS..73.25 unch +0%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/04)

IDR…..15897.00‼️+2.50 +0.02%
Jisdor.15934.00‼️+25.00 +0.16%

Euro….1.0767 +0.0028 +0.26%

TLKM…21.68 -0.21 -0.96%
(3454)
EIDO……22.00 +0.05 +0.23%
EEM……41.28 +0.11 +0.27%

Oil…….85.50 +1.53 +1.82%‼️
Gold..2302.80 +31.80 +1.40%
Timah..27451.00 – -%
(Closed 29/03)
Nickel..17031.50 +349 +2.09%❗️
(Closed 02/04)
Silver….26.30 +1.08 +4.28%
Copper.407.95 +5.45 +1.34%

Iron Ore 62% 102.33 -7.20 -6.57%‼️
(28/03)
Nturl Gas..1.853 +0.013 +0.71%
Ammonia China.3073.33 -250 -7.52%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/04/24)

Coal price.132.25 +0.25 +0.19%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 134.00 +1.00 +0.75%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.05 +1.05 +0.78%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.45 +1.40 +1.03%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..122.15 +2.60 +2.17%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.25 +2.50 +2.12%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.70 +2.05 +1.74%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.60 +2.95 +2.53%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4308 +42.00 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……426.50 -9.00 -2.07%
SoybeanOil 48.60 +0.36 +0.75%
Wheat…545.25 -11.75 -2.11%

Wood pulp..5700 +10. +0.18 %
(Closed 02/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, sepertinya hari ini akan merah liat US bond yield rata2 naik semua dan US market nya merah

USD index down, jelas lanjut gold dan precious metals kecuali iron ore, oil up, gas up, coal up, CPO up, harusnya sih, akan ada yang dikorbanin doang kaya TLKM kemaren, tapi saham saham terkait komoditas yang naik tetep jalan, ANTM ADRO AALI LSIP

IHSG – technically masih jelek, stoch macd MFI down, w% sw, BD accum FF exit. Harusnya sekarang bikin wave B dulu, baru wave C flat berhenti di low kemaren. Semoga cuma segitu aja koreksinya, kalo ga bisa berdarah darah market

Consumer Non Cyclicals, Energy. Yang terlihat mau jalan lagi Basic Materials,Property, Financials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO AKRA BRIS ESSA GOTO DSNG TBIG WIFI AALI. Big accum AKRA BRIS ESSA GOTO WIFI AALI

MACD buy signal: INDF SMAR, INDF big accum

Daily Analysis 20240401

Daily Analysis 20240401

April 01st, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes at a fresh record, posts strongest first-quarter performance since 2019

The S&P 500
rose Thursday, registering its best first-quarter performance in five years.

Dow……39807 +47.3 +0.12%
Nasdaq16379 -20.2 -0.12%
S&P 500.5254 +5.9 +0.11%

FTSE…..7953 +20.64 +0.26%
Dax……18493 +15.4 +0.15%
CAC……8205 +1.0 +0.01%

Nikkei..40370 +201.4 +0.50%
HSI……16541 closed +0%
Shanghai.3041+30.5 +1.01%

IDX…..7262.54 closed +0%
LQ45….985.97 closed +0%
IDX30…501.16 closed +0%

IDXEnergy..2122.53 closed +0%
IDX BscMat1288.43 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1088.02 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.724.74 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1343.34closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…820.13 closed +0%
IDXTechno3580.27 closed +0%
IDX Transp 1468.77 closed. +0%
IDX Infrast 1559.62 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1529.62closed +0%
IDX Banking.1397.26closed +0%
IDX Property.. 670 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7239❗️closed +0%
ICBI…378.8753 ❗️closed +0%
US2Yr.4.628 +0.060 +1.31%
US5Yr 4.220 +0.037 +0.88%
US10Yr4.210 +0.022 +0.53%
US30Yr.4.349 unch +0%
VIX………13.01 +0.23 +1.80%

USDIndx 104.4870 ❗️ -0.060 -0.06%
Como Indx..290.29 +3.53 +1.23%
BCOMIN…..139.75 +1.19 +0.86%

IndoCDS..73.25 +0.04 +0.05%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/03)

IDR…..15856.50‼️closed +0%
Jisdor.15873.00‼️closed +0%

Euro….1.0790 +0.00 +0.01%

TLKM…22.26 -0.01 -0.04%
(3530)
EIDO……22.53 -0.12 -0.53%
EEM……41.08 +0.16 +0.39%

Oil…….83.17 +1.82 +2.24%
Gold..2238.40‼️ +25.70 +1.16%
Timah..27451.00 -73.00 -0.27%
(Closed 28/03)
Nickel..16682.50 +39.50 +0.24%
(Closed 29/03)
Silver…..24.92 +0.16 +0.66%
Copper.400.70 +0.70 +0.17%

Iron Ore 62% 109.53 -0.31 -0.28%
(28/03)
Nturl Gas..1.752 +0.034 +1.98%
Ammonia China.3373.33 -60 -1.75%
(Domestic Price)(28/03/24)

Coal price.132.00 +0.90 +0.69%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 133.00 +0.90 +0.68%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.00 +0.65 +0.49%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.05 +0.70 +0.52%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price..119.55 -0.90 -0.75%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.75 -1.20 -1.01%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.65 -0.65 -0.55%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 116.65 -0.70 -0.60%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)..4197 +62.00 +1.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….442.00 +15.25 +3.57% ‼️
SoybeanOil 47.95 +0.28 +0.59%
Wheat…560.25 +12.75 +2.33%

Wood pulp..5690.00 unch +0%
(Closed 31/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Terakhir market open kamis, sebeum good friday, dan US mostly ijo walau ga tebel, nasdaq merah tipis, europe ijo, asia ijo, IHSG ngotot beresin ABC correction, yang belum kejadian aja, ini US udah naik naik terus IHSG jadi ga sejalan. US bond yield naik semua jadi umumnya ga bagus buat saham

USD index turun, gold dan precious metals pada naik kecuali timah dan iron ore, semoga ANTM mantul, ga ada apa apa dibanting simply karena big cap aja kayanya, ASII juga gitu. Oil up, gas up, coal up, CPO up, semoga saham terkait komoditi nya jalan lagi

IHSG – mungkin ga akan dibawa terjun sampe level situ, kayanya akan flat style ABC nya, kecuali US tau2 crash. stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% down, BD flat FNS terus, still downtrend minornya, semoga ga asal ngorbanin big caps lagi kaya kemaren

Masih banyak yang terlihat jalan, yang leading dan belum banyak gerak masih Consumer Non-Cyclicals, lanjut Helathcare dan Energy, Basic materials terlihat melemah tapi BRPT nya menarik banget. Technology Property Consumer Cyclicals terlihat bagus tapi kemaren keseret semua sama index

StochasticBuy SIgnal: ADRO BMRI BRPT MAPI MBMA INDY TRON CINT. Big accum MBMA INDY

MACD Buy Signal: BFIN SGRO… Skip. UNTR Sell signal, waduh mesti di check ini, siapa tau perlu cutloss

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: ESSA ICBP TINS

Daily Analysis 20240306

Daily Analysis 20240306

March 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes lower by 400 points, Apple shares drag tech down

Stocks fell for a second session Tuesday, as steep declines in major tech names such as Apple
dragged the broader market further from record highs recently reached.

Dow……38585 -404.6 -1.04%
Nasdaq15940 -267.9 -1.65%
S&P 500.5079 -52.3 -1.02%

FTSE…..7646 +5.03 +0.08%
Dax……17698 -17.8 -0.10%
CAC……7933 -23.6 -0.30%

Nikkei..40098 -11.6 -0.03%
HSI…….16163 -433.3 -2.61%
Shanghai.3048 +8.5 +0.28%

IDX…..7252.98 -23.77 -0.33%
LQ45….979.88 -2.07 -0.21%
IDX30…497.39 -0.99 -0.20%

IDXEnergy..2139.21 +15.19 +0.72%
IDX BscMat.1242.08 -10.11 -0.81%
IDX Indstrl…1101.02 -4.95 -0.20%
IDXNONCYC.700.50 -6.28 -0.89%
IDX Hlthcare1312.42 -3.50 -0.27%
IDXCYCLIC…840.79 -6.37 -0.75%
IDX Techno3550.60 -30.65 -0.86%
IDX Transp 1552.52 -2.80 -0.18%’
IDX Infrast 1588.44 -10.30 -0.64%
IDX Finance.1503.96 -2.56 -0.17%
IDX Banking.1366.91 +2.89 +0.21%
IDX Property.. 676 -9.9 -1.04%

Indo10Yr.6.6986+0.0018 +0.27%
ICBI…377.8962 -0.3624 -0.10%
US2Yr.4.562 -0.050 -1.08%
US5Yr 4.148 -0.062 -1.45%
US10Yr4.154 -0.066 -1.56%
US30Yr.4.290-0.062 -1.42%
VIX………14.46 +0.97 +7.19%‼️

USDIndx 103.7780 -0.054 -0.05%
Como Indx..275.83 -1.46 -0.53%
BCOMIN…..137.84 -0.46 -0.34%

IndoCDS..70.24 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/03)

IDR…..15771.00‼️+29.00 +0.18%
Jisdor.15756.00‼️+33.00 +0.21%

Euro….1.0857 unch +0%

TLKM…24.46 -0.58 -2.30%
(3854)
EIDO……22.15 -0.03 -0.14%
EEM……40.03 -0.35 -0.87%

Oil…….78.15 -0.71 -0.90%
Gold..2141.90‼️ +19.70 +0.93%
Timah..26489.00 – -%
(Closed 01/03)
Nickel..17929.50 +161.00 +0.91%
(Closed 04/03)
Silver……23.96 -0.15 -0.62%
Copper.384.70 -1.10 -0.29%

Iron Ore 62% 116.94 +3.05 +2.68%
(04/03)
Nturl Gas..1.948 +0.018 +0.93%
Ammonia China.3110.0‼️ +16.67 +0.54%
(Domestic Price)(05/03/24)

Coal price.137.45 +1.45 +1.07%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 141.35 +1.25 +0.89%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.70 +1.50 +1.08%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.80 +1.95 +1.40%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price..112.75 +1.65 +1.49%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..112.65 +2.05 +1.85%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..110.35 +2.20 +2.03%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price..108.95 +2.20 +2.06%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)..3989 +49.00 +1.24%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……426.25 -3.75 -0.57%
SoybeanOil 45.04 -0.13 -0.29%
Wheat…561.00 -13.00 -2.31%

Wood pulp..5310.00 unch +0%
(Closed 05/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe juga mostly down, asia merah kecuali shanghaiUS bond rate turun, bagus harusnya buat saham tapi US keseret Apple jadi susah ijo. Harusnya kita ijo tipis hari ini, kemaren udah sempet merah dalem

USD index down, Gold nickel iron ore up, silver copper down, Oil down, gas up, coal lanjut up, CPO up, ayo lanjut LSIP ADRO INDY

IHSG – lanjut kebawah, walau mungkin hari ini ijo tipis dulu lah. masih FNS, BD nya ga nahan jadi kebanting. Keep cash kecuali hanya di beberapa yang hajatan

RSI nya masih seolah olah kebanyakan ok, padahal banyak yang siap2 turun. Yang keliatan firm jalan antara lain energy sama basic materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ESSA PTBA SMGR ABMM BRMS BSDE MNCN, Big acc BSDE MNCN

MACD Buy Signal: ITMG PTBA DOID TPIA. BigAcc ITMG

Daily Analysis 20240305

Daily Analysis 20240305

March 05th, 2024

Good morning,

Stock rally stalls as week begins, Nasdaq falls from record despite Nvidia gain

Stocks retreated Monday, pushing the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite off all-time highs, despite a rallying group of technology stocks tied to the artificial intelligence boom.

Dow……39890 -97.6 -0.25%
Nasdaq16208 -67.4 -0.41%
S&P 500.5131 -6.1 -0.12%

FTSE…..7640 -42.2 -0.55%
Dax……17716 -18.9 -0.11%
CAC……7956 +22.2 +0.28%

Nikkei..40109 +198.4 +0.50%
HSI…….16596 +6.5 +0.04%
Shanghai.3039 +12.3 +0.41%

IDX…..7276.75 -35.16 -0.48%
LQ45….981.95 -5.95 -0.60%
IDX30…498.38 -2.70 -0.54%

IDXEnergy..2115.02 +5.05 +0.24%
IDX BscMat.1252.18 -4.86 -0.39%
IDX Indstrl…1105.97 +2.19 +0.20%
IDXNONCYC.706.78 -3.42 -0.48%
IDX Hlthcare1315.92 -2.72 -0.21%
IDXCYCLIC…847.16 -0.58 -0.07%
IDX Techno3581.25 -97.97 -2.66%
IDX Transp 1555.32 -9.00 -0.58%’
IDX Infrast 1598.74 -11.52 -0.72%
IDX Finance.1506.52 -10.11 -0.67%
IDX Banking.1364.02 -9.50 -0.69%
IDX Property.. 686 -4.1 -0.60%

Indo10Yr.6.6806+0.0052 +0.08%
ICBI…378.2586 -0.0048 -0.00%
US2Yr.4.612 +0.079 +1.74%
US5Yr 4.209 +0.047 +1.13%
US10Yr4.220 +0.034 +0.81%
US30Yr.4.352+0.021 +0.48%
VIX………13.49 +0.38 +2.90%

USDIndx 103.8320 -0.029 -0.03%
Como Indx..277.29 +0.18 +0.06%
BCOMIN…..138.30 +0.45 +0.33%

IndoCDS..70.24 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/03)

IDR…..15742.00‼️+38.00 +0.24%
Jisdor.15723.00‼️+27.00 +0.17%

Euro….1.0857 +0.0020 +0.18%

TLKM…25.04 -0.25 -0.97%
(4020)
EIDO……22.18 -0.30 -1.33%
EEM……40.39 -0.11 -0.26%

Oil…….78.86 -1.11 -1.39%
Gold..2122.20‼️ +26.30 +1.25%
Timah..26489.00 – -%
(Closed 01/03)
Nickel..17929.50 +161.00 +0.91%
(Closed 04/03)
Silver……24.13 +0.77 +3.29%
Copper.385.80 -0.55 -0.14%

Iron Ore 62% 113.89 -10.97 -8.79%‼️
(01/03)
Nturl Gas..1.930 +0.094 +5.11%
Ammonia China.2976.67 +16.67 +0.56%
(Domestic Price)(01/03/24)

Coal price.136.00 +4.00 +3.03%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 140.10 +4.10 +3.01%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.20 +3.35 +2.47%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.85 +3.35 +2.47%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price..111.10 +4.15 +3.88%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..110.60 +4.35 +4.09%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..108.15 +4.05 +3.89%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.75 +4.05 +3.94%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)..3940 -21.00 -0.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……430.00 +5.25 +1.24%
SoybeanOil 45.17 +0.01 +0.02%
Wheat…564.00 +6.25 +1.12%

Wood pulp..5310.00 +20 +0.38%
(Closed 02/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe mostly merah, US bond rate up, USD index slightly down, merah dulu IHSG hari ini harusnya

Gold Silver Nickel up, copper iron ore down, oil down gas up coal jump, CPO down. Lanjut ini saham2 coal harusnya

IHSG – firm mau terjun wave C… Yang masih ijo ayo di TP, yang signal ngebalik force sellkalo perlu cutloss, kita prepare belanja lagi begitu mau rebound

Yang paling leading mostly yang akan turun duluan juga, so, masuknya jangan di infastructure. Energy, Basic Materials sama Transportation lah kalo new entry, cari saham contrarian

Stochastic Buy Signal: MEDC SSIA INCI IGAR, big accum MEDC

MACD Buy Signal: ESSA SSMS

Daily Analysis 20240206

Daily Analysis 20240206

February 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 250 points lower, S&P 500 slips from record as bond yields surge

Stocks fell Monday as Treasury yields spiked higher on concerns that the Federal Reserve may not cut rates as much as expected. Lackluster results from McDonald’s also dampened investor sentiment.

Dow……38380 -274.3 -0.71%
Nasdaq15598 -31.3 -0.20%
S&P 500.4943 -15.8 -0.32%

FTSE…..7613 -2.7 -0.04%
Dax……16904 -14.2 -0.08%
CAC……7590 -2.3 -0.03%

Nikkei..36354 +196.2 +0.54%
HSI……15510 -23.6 -0.15%
Shanghai.2702-27.97 -1.02%

IDX…..7198.62 -40.17 -0.55%
LQ45….975.49 -9.18 -0.93%
IDX30…495.28 -4.32 -0.87%

IDXEnergy..2077.88 -8.11 -0.39%
IDX BscMat.1286.32 +5.98 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1088.65 +1.59 +0.15%
IDXNONCYC.701.14 +4.87 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare1338.64 -7.30 -0.54%
IDXCYCLIC…852.04 -5.17 -0.60%
IDX Techno4069.31 -25.47 -0.62%
IDX Transp 1563.64 +2.63 +0.17%
IDX Infrast 1519.13 -7.81 -0.51%
IDX Finance.1492.16 -2.88 -0.19%
IDX Banking.1332.38 -2.91 -0.22%
IDX Property.. 690 -0.50 -0.07%

Indo10Yr.6.6531 +0.0445 +0.67%
ICBI…376.6494 -1.0915 -0.29%
US2Yr.4.474 +0.102 +2.33%
US5Yr 4.122 +0.136 +3.41%‼️
US10Yr4.160 +0.138 +3.43%‼️
US30Yr.4.343+0.119 +2.82%
VIX…13.67 -0.18 -1.33%

USDIndx 104.4520 ‼️+0.530 +0.51%
Como Indx..269.19 +0.45 +0.17%
BCOMIN……134.80 -1.81 -1.33%

IndoCDS..74.69 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/02)

IDR…..15708.00‼️ +48.00 +0.31%
Jisdor.15705.00‼️ +17.00 +0.11%

Euro….1.0743 -0.0045 -0.42%

TLKM…25.14 -0.15 -0.61%
(3948)
EIDO……21.89 -0.17 -0.77%
EEM……38.70 +0.05 +0.13%

Oil…….72.78 +0.50 +0.69%
Gold..2041.40 -12.30 -0.60%
Timah..25550.00 – -%
(Closed 03/03)
Nickel..15948.00 -294.50 -1.81%
(Closed 02/02)
Silver……22.42 -0.38 -1.67%
Copper.377.40 -4.75 -1.24%

Iron Ore 62% 128.63 – -%
(02/02)
Nturl Gas..2.062 -0.029 -1.39%
Ammonia China.2983.33 -166.67-5.29%‼️
(Domestic Price)(05/02/02)

Coal price 119.00 -0.90 -0.75%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.123.65 +3.75 +3.12%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 123.60 +4.70 +3.95%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.124.00 +4.70 +3.94%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .98.15 -0.25 -0.25%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..96.20 -0.30 -0.31%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..92.80 -0.25 -0.27%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.90 -0.30 -0.33%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3799 +19 +0.60%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……442.75 unch +0%
SoybeanOil 45.33 +0.60 +1.34%
Wheat….590.25 -9.50 -1.58%

Wood pulp..5104.00 +6.00 +0.12%
(Closed 05/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Nyusul merah semua after asia market kemaren… Udah curiga begitu dari bond rate yang naik tinggi. Ini masih naik lagi, USD index juga naik, lanjut merah lagi sepertinya IHSG hari ini.

Metal2 lanjut merah semua, ANTM MDKA INCO TINS bubar dulu ini… Oil ijo, gas merah, coal spot merah dikit, future newcastle ijo tebel. Semoga ADRO lanjut. CPO naik dikit, AALI LSIP belum jelas kemana

IHSG – stoch up, macd ga jadi rev up, malah lanjut down, MFI sw, w% sw, masih FNB tapi agak turun, keliatannya bener lanjut wave C. Hati hati prefer keep cash

Tinggal heakthcare sama consumer non-cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: ESSA KLBF ADHI AGRO DSNG ERAA GTRA INDY PNLF SCMA INDS CINT. Big Accum KLBF AGRO SCMA

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI UNVR HEAL PTRO AMFG CINT, Big Accum UNVR

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: PTPP

Daily Analysis 20240131

Daily Analysis 20240131

January 31st, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq 100 futures slide, Alphabet shares drop after results

Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100
fell Tuesday night after a pair of mega-cap tech companies posted their quarterly results. Wall Street also looked toward the Federal Reserve’s decision on rate policy.

Dow……38467 +133.9 +0.35%
Nasdaq15510 -118.2 -0.76%
S&P 500.4925 -2.96 -0.06%

FTSE…..7666 +33.6 +0.44%
Dax……16972 +30.6 +0.18%
CAC……7677 +36.7 +0.48%

Nikkei..36066 +38.9 +0.11%
HSI……15703 -373.8 -2.33%
Shanghai.2831 -52.8 -1.83%

IDX…..7192.22 +35.04 +0.49%
LQ45….971.70 +9.78 +1.02%
IDX30…493.78 +5.93 +1.22%

IDXEnergy..2097.94 -7.30 -0.35%
IDX BscMat.1284.55 -5.74 -0.44%
IDX Indstrl…1087.81 +2.42 +0.22%
IDXNONCYC.693.75 -3.14 -0.45%
IDX Hlthcare1318.21+8.41. +0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…859.07 +7.60 +0.89%
IDX Techno4103.92 +118.31 +2.97%
IDX Transp 1515.04 -7.75 -0.51%
IDX Infrast 1497.23 -13.74 -0.91%
IDX Finance.1510.97 -8.20 -0.54%
IDX Banking.1300.04 +25.68 +2.02%
IDX Property.. 698 -2.30 -0.32%

Indo10Yr.6.6555 – 0.0229 -0.34%
ICBI…376.0857 +0.4541 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.339 +0.017 +0.39%
US5Yr 3.974 -0.012 -0.30%
US10Yr4.036 -0.036 -0.93%
US30Yr.4.251-0.064 -1.48%
VIX…13.31 -0.29 -2.13%

USDIndx 103.3970❗️ -0.212 -0.20%
Como Indx..274.00 +3.12 +1.15%
BCOMIN……140.02 +0.77 +0.55%

IndoCDS..76.73 +0.03 +0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (29/01)

IDR…..15780.00‼️ -30.00 -0.19%
Jisdor.15825.00 ‼️ -29.00 -0.18%

Euro….1.0844 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.33 -0.22 -0.86%
(4008)
EIDO……21.75 +0.18 +0.83%
EEM……38.60 -0.31 -0.80%

Oil…….77.81 +0.85 +1.10%
Gold..2054.50 +3.30 +0.16%
Timah..26664.00 – -%
(Closed 29/01)
Nickel..16513.50 +54.00 +0.33%
(Closed 30/01)
Silver……23.28 -0.05 -0.21%
Copper.391.15 +2.55 +0.66%

Iron Ore 62% 135.55 unch +0%
(29/01)
Nturl Gas..2.091 +0.032 +1.55%
Ammonia China.3260.00 -83.00 -2.48%
(Domestic Price)(29/01/02)

Coal price 119.55 +3.15 +2.71%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.120.50 +5.00 +4.33%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 120.30 +4.40 +3.80%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coalprice.119.80 +3.80 +3.28%‼️
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price .96.15 +1.85 +1.96%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price..93.65 +1.90 +2.07%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..91.10 +1.20 +1.33%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price..90.75 +1.30 +1.45%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3842 -107 -2.71%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.75 +7.50 +1.70%
SoybeanOil 46.00 +0.45 +0.99%
Wheat…605.50 +12.20 +1.70%

Wood pulp..5076.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 30/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

REMINDER REBALANCING

UPDATE (29/01/2024)

EVALUASI INDEKS LQ45, IDX30, IDX80, KOMPAS100, PEFINDO25, INDEKS BUMN20, IDXSMC-LIQ, IDXSMC-COM, IDXHIDIV20, IDXV30, IDXG30, IDXQ30, IDXLQ45LCL

(Periode Efektif 01 Februari 2024 – 31 Juli 2024)

INDEKS LQ45
Baru : MBMA, MTEL, PGEO, PTMP
Keluar : INDY, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

INDEKS IDX30
Baru : ACES, ICBP, INKP, PGEO
Keluar : EMTK, ESSA, HRUM, TOWR

INDEKS IDX80
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, MAPA, MBMA, PGEO, PTMP, SMIL, TRON, WIFI
Keluar : AVIA, DOID, HMSP, JKON, OMED, PNBN, RMKE, SMDR, WIKA

INDEKS KOMPAS100
Baru : AUTO, CFIN, DRMA, GTRA, HRTA, IMAS, MAPA, MARK, MBMA, NISP, PGEO, PTMP, PTRO, SILO, SMIL, SMSM, SSIA, TRON, WIIM
Keluar : AALI, AGII, AVIA, BBKP, BDMN, BELI, BSSR, HMSP, JKON, LSIP, MMIX, MSIN, OMED, PNBN, PNIN, RMKE, SMDR, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS PEFINDO25
Baru : ADMR, AUTO, DILD, ESSA, GJTL, LPPF, LSIP, MAPA, MIDI, TAPG
Keluar : AKRA, BSSR, DSNG, HEXA, HRTA, MIKA, POWR, SIDO, SMSM, SSIA

(Periode Efektif 05 Februari 2024 – 02 Agustus 2024)

INDEKS BUMN20
Baru : BJTM, PGEO,
Keluar : JKON, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-LIQ
Baru : AUTO, CMRY, GGRM, HEAL. INCO, MAPA, MIDI, TOWR
Keluar : ADMR, ARTO, BDMN, BEST, BJBR, LSIP, SSIA, TAPG, WIKA

INDEKS IDXSMC-COM
Baru : ARTA, AXIO, BEEF, GGRM, HOKI, INCO, JAWA, PDPP, TOWR
*zKeluar :*z ADMR, ARTO, BOLA, CUAN, DEFI, DSSA, FILM, GLVA, GSMF, HOMI, JIHD, MDLN, MREI, NIKL, PANI, PEGE, PGEO, PPRE, RONY, SMIL, SONA, TEBE, TFAS, TOPS, WEGE, WTON

INDEKS IDXHIDIV20
Baru : BRPT, ICBP, INKP, KLBF, SMGR, TPIA, UNVR
Keluar : BJBR, BJTM, BNGA, BSSR, HEXA, HMSP, MPMX

INDEKS IDXV30
Baru : AUTO, GJTL, JSMR, SMRA, WIFI
Keluar : DOID, JKON, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXG30
Baru : AUTO, BBTN, GJTL, MAPA
Keluar : ASSA, PNBN, SMDR, TINS

INDEKS IDXQ30
Baru : AKRA, AMRT, GGRM, MYOR, SMIL, TRON
Keluar : AVIA, EMTK, HMSP, RMKE, SRTG, TINS

INDEKS IDXLQ45LCL
Baru : MAPI, MBMA, MTEL, PGEO
Keluar : ASII, SCMA, TBIG, TPIA

(Listri. Source : IDX)

SP500 abis cetak new record koreksi dulu, DJI nya ijo, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG sempet merah dulu tapi closing ijo, firm mau wave B

US bond rate pendek naik, panjang turun, semoga ga banyak pengaruh ke stock market, USD index merah, metal2 lanjut naik kecuali silver, oil gas coal ijo, coal ijonya tebel, CPO merah dalem, MDKA harusnya jalan, ELSA AKRA MEDC lanjut, coal apakah udah mau rebound? AALI LSIP agak kawatir ini

IHSG – dari ilmu elliot wave, wave B nya ga panjang ini keliatanya, daripada aggressive sekarang mending tunggu wave C beres… Udah 2 hari FNB, BD acc, big bank di push naik, GOTO di push naik, tapi in total saham yang turun lebih banyak dari saham yang naik. Masih keep cash

Terlihat Healthcare ngebalik nyusul basic materials, consumer non-cyclicals dan infrastructure… Padahal kemaren KLBF dibanting sampe cutloss

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO ASII BBNI ITMG PTBA SIDO ASSA BRMS CTRA HMSP LPPF MTEL SMRA. Big Acc ASII BBNI PTBA

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTPP BRAM

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big acc: BRIS