July 21st 2023

Good morning,

Dow rises more than 100 points to notch first 9-day rally since 2017. Nasdaq tumbles 2%

The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped for a ninth consecutive day on Thursday after better-than-expected earnings results from drugmaker Johnson & Johnson. It was the Dow’s best daily winning streak since 2017.

But the broader market suffered after post-earnings declines in trader favorites Netflix and Tesla.

Dow……35225 +163.97 +0.47%
*Nasdaq14064 -294.7 -2.05%*
S&P 500.4535 -30.9 -0.68%

FTSE…..7646 +57.9 +0.76%
Dax……15204 +95.3 +0.59%
CAC……7385 +57.97 +0.79%

Nikkei…32491 -406.51 -1.23%
HSI…….18928 -24.3 -0.13%
Shanghai.3170 -29.3 -0.92%

IDX…..6864.19 +33.99 +0.50%
LQ45….961.53 +3.16 +0.33%
IDX30…499.59 +2.06. +0.41%

IDXEnergy…1896.18 +29.14 +1.56%
IDX BscMat.1046.76 +7.52 +0.72%
IDX Indstrl…1191.18 +1.29 +0.10%
IDXNONCYC.754.31 -2.09 -0.28%
IDX Hlthcare1533.91 -8.01 -0.52%
IDXCYCLIC….928.05 +2.33 +0.25%
IDX Techno.4883.29 -48.05 -0.97%
IDX Transp..1904.44 +6.92 +0.36%
IDX Infrast… .851.03 +3.27 +0.39%
IDX Finance.1434.67 +12.02 +0.85%
IDX Banking.1205.89 +12.24 +1.03%
*IDX Property..766 +11.50 +1.53%*

*Indo10Yr.6.3110*+0.0043 +0.07%
*ICBI….369.1376* -0.031 -0.01%
*US2Yr.4.8450* +0.077 +1.61%
*US5Yr 4.1050 +0.123 +3.09%‼️*
*US10Yr3.8510 +0.097 +2.58%*
*US30Yr.3.9200*+0.069 +1.79%
*VIX…….13.99 +0.23 +1.67%*

*USDIndx 100.8800* +0.5990 +0.60%
Como Indx…274.+0 +1.61 +0.59%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…….143.77 +1.18 +0.83%

*IndoCDS.82.24 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(18/07)*

*IDR…..14986.00 -11.00 -0.07%*
*Jisdor.14991.00 -3.00 -0.02%*

*Euro……1.1134* -0.0069 -0.62%

TLKM…25.63 -0.07 -0.27%
*(3793)*
EIDO….23.47 -0.06 -0.25%
EEM…..40.38 -0.30 -0.74%

Oil…..75.63 +0.40 +0.53%
*Gold…2011.40* -7.10 -0.35%
Timah..28540.00 – -%
*(Closed 18/07)*
*Nickel..21332.00 +400.50 +1.91%*
(Closed 20/07)
Silver…. 24.96 -0.35 -1.38%
Copper.382.95 +1.75 +0.46%

Iron Ore 62% 112.08 -0.09 -0.08%
(19/07)
*Nturl Gas.2.747 +0.1260 +4.81%‼️*
Ammonia China..2816.67 -16.66 -0.59%
(Domestic Price)(19/07)

Coal price.132.00 unch +0/%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.00 +1.60 +1.16%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.95 +1.80 +1.28%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.00 +2.25 +1.58%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price109.75 +1.75 +1.62%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.111.60 +5.60 +5.28%‼️*
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price.111.35 +5.85 +5.55%‼️*
(Sept/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.111.00 +5.80 +5.51%‼️*
(Oct/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Okt)..4047 +153 +3.92%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn….546.25 -6.75 -1.22%
SoybeanOil 62.42 +0.98 +1.60%
Wheat…727.00 -0.75 -0.10%

*Wood pulp..4380.00* unch +0%
(Closed 20/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI lanjut naik, Nasdaq drop. Europe ijo, asia merah kecuali IHSG. Semoga lanjut ijo IHSG hari ini.

USD index naik lagi, gols silver merah copper merah, nickel ijo, oil gas coal naik udah waktunya energy jalan lagi kayanya. CPO naik tinggi kita tunggu bangunnya AALI LSIP

Reminder !
LQ45 Major Rebalancing Jul23

Estimasi announcement akan dipublish pada minggu depan & efektif per penutupan market diperdagangan 31 Juli 2023. Beberapa saham potensial masuk & potensial keluar dengan asumsi memperhatikan likuiditas transaksi selama 1Q-2Q 2023 antara lain :

• Potential Inclusion
BUMI, ADMR, GGRM, ISAT, BRMS, MAPI
• Potential Exclusion
TINS, SIDO, SCMA, JPFA, TPIA, EMTK

*Disclaimer On
IndoPremier Wealth Management

Harus hati2 sama EMTK nih, masih ada di porto, kalo beneran keluar LQ45 kemungkinan besar dibanting lagi

IHSG – stoch sell, 833 down, MACD still up, FNB terus, BD acc, IHNS target udah done kemaren udah koreksi, kita liat target triple bottom yang lebih besar. MInimal target ke fibo 61 dulu

Technology Healthcare Property, Basic Materials sama Energy masih leading tapi lagi shaky. Yang ga asiknya financials slow down, padahal index ga bisa jalan kalo financials ga jalan

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI PGAS TBIG ENRG RAJA

MACD buy signal: EXCL BTPS GGRM PWON RAJA TOBA

Alligator Buy Signal: ANTM BFIN

Supertrend Buy Signal: BSDE

July 07th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 300 points lower as hot jobs data raises fears of Fed rate hikes

Stocks slid on Thursday after better-than-expected jobs data increased investors’ anxiety around the state of the economy and path of interest rates.

Dow……33922  -366.4   -1.07%
Nasdaq13679  -112.6   -0.82%
S&P 500.4412  -35.2     -0.79%

*FTSE…..7281   -161.6     -2.17%*
*Dax……15529  -409.04   -2.57%*
*CAC……7082   -228.5      -3.13%*

Nikkei…32773 -565.7     -1.70%
*HSI…….18533 -577.3     -3.02%”‼️*
Shanghai.3206 -17.4      -0.54%

IDX…..6757.33  +38.35  +0.57%
LQ45….956.40  +2.95    +0.31%
IDX30…497.11  +1.61    +0.32%

IDXEnergy…1836.94  +35.66 +1.98%
IDX BscMat.1020.99  +9.66   +0.96%
IDX Indstrl…1192.38  +11.71 +0.99%
IDXNONCYC.754.59  +0.19   +0.03%
IDX Hlthcare1480.51 -2.80    -0.19%
*IDXCYCLIC….912.79  +19.42 +2.17%*
IDX Techno.4774.82  +26.04 +0.55%
IDX Transp..1948.89  +5.13.  +0.26%
IDX Infrast… .863.76  +0.59   +0.07%
IDX Finance.1422.70 +0.48   +0.03%
IDX Banking.1189.27  -0.74   -0.06%
IDX Property..736       +5.30   +0.73%

*Indo10Yr.6.3021 +0.0112 +0.18%*
*ICBI….368.3600 -0.2405 -0.07%*
*US2Yr.4.9890*  +0.042   +0.85%
*US5Yr 4.3500  +0.101   +2.35%*
*US10Yr4.0330 +0.094   +2.39%*
*US30Yr.3.9960* +0.050  +1.27%
*VIX…….15.44   +1.26    +8.89%‼️*

*USDIndx103.1660* -0.2070  -0.20%
Como Indx…261.92   -0.89      -0.34%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……140.76    -0.74      -0.52%

*IndoCDS.85.19👍  -0.97   -1.13%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(05/07)*
*IDR…..15056.50‼️+38.50 +0.26%*
*Jisdor.15062.00‼️+49.00 +0.33%*

*Euro……1.0890* +0.0036  +0.33%

TLKM…26.26   -0.15    -0.57%
*(3955)*
EIDO….22.82   -0.27    -1.17%
*EEM…38.95   -0.81    -2.04%*

Oil…….71.82       -0.06    -0.08%
Gold…1916.30   -7.40    -0.38%
Timah..27633.00  +313.00   +1.15%
*(Closed 05/07)*
Nickel..21198.50   -24.00      -0.11%
(Closed 06/07)
Silver….. 22.91   -0.34     -1.46%
Copper..374.20  -1.90     -0.51%

*Iron Ore 62%  111.84 +0.97  +0.87%*
(05/07)
Nturl Gas.2.636  -0.019  -0.72%

*Coal price.139.65  -5.15  -3.56%‼️*
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price.143.75  -7.25   -5.04%‼️*
(Agt/Newcastle)
*Coal price.147.40  -7.20   -4.66%‼️*
(Sept/Newcastle)
*Coal price.149.45 -6.45   -4.14%‼️*
(Oct/Newcastle)

*Coal price117.25   -6.35  -5.14%‼️*
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.114.90  -7.25  -5.94%‼️*
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price.114.90 -6.20  -5.12%‼️*
(Sept/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.115.30 -5.80 -4.79%‼️*
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3911  +49  +1.27%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn….506.50       +13.00  +2.53%*
*SoybeanOil 59.24 -2.16     -3.52%‼️*
*Wheat…668.00     -16.25   -2.41%*

*Wood pulp..4290.00* +40  +0.94%
(Closed 06/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Kemaren IHSG berhasil melawan gravitasi, ijo sendiri, sekarang kayanya ga akan kuat sih… Rata2 pada dalem merahnya

Hampir semua komoditas turun,kecuali Timah, Iron Ore dan CPO. Trailing stop guys, hari hari bantingan hari ini

IHSG – bikin minor IHNS, chart pattern besarnya bikin triple bottom lanjut higher low, sudah harusnya tinggal mantul. Stoch buy MACD up,MFI up w% uptrend, FNB terus, tinggal rally nya

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Energy, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM BRPT BUKA ESSA GOTO INCO MEDC SMGR TBIG TINS AGII BABP BFIN DOID ENRG LPPF LTLS SGRO

Yang sambil big accum dan ada faktor lain: BRPT ESSA SMGR

MACD Buy Signal: EXCL AGII BABP BMTR ENRG AMFG

Allgator Buy Signal: BBNI BMTR

Supertrend Buy Signal: SMGR ITMG AGII

June 21st, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close lower for a second straight day, Dow sheds 200 points as market rally cools

Stocks fell Tuesday, the first trading day of the week, as a rally that drove the market to levels not seen in more than a year took a breather.

Dow……34054 -245.3 -0.72%
Nasdaq13667 -22.3 -0.16%
S&P 500.4339 -20.9 -0.47%

FTSE…..7569 -19.2 -0.25%
Dax……16111 -89.9 -0.55%
CAC……7294 -19.9 -0.27%

Nikkei…..33389 +18.5 +0.06%
HSI………19608 -305.8 -1.54%
Shanghai.3240 -15.4 -0.47%

IDX…..6660.46 -25.60 -0.38%
LQ45….948.81 -1.21 -0.13%
IDX30…493.61 -0.70 -0.14%

IDXEnergy…1797.12 +2.62 +0.15%
IDX BscMat..990.60 -16.50. -1.64%
IDX Indstrl…1168.07 -7.27 -0.62%
IDXNONCYC.738.81 -7.18 -0.96%
IDX Hlthcare1501.75 +2.72 +0.18%
IDXCYCLIC…868.69 -13.39 -1.52%
IDX Techno.4914.43 -64.66 -1.30%
IDX Transp..1911.26 -26.66 -1.38%
IDX Infrast..ẞz. .848.39 -4.66 -0.55%
IDX Finance.1389.73 -2.54 -0.19%
IDX Banking.1171.55 +0.46 +0.04 %
IDX Property..741 +7.40 +1.01%

Indo10Yr.6.383 +0.0308 +0.48%
ICBI..365.9502 -0.3621 -0.10%
US2Yr.4.6900 -0.070 -1.47%
US5Yr 3.9440 -0.042 -1.05%
US10Yr3.7300-0.100 -2.63%
US30Yr.3.8100-0.110 -2.81%
VIX……13.88👍 -0.31 -2.18%

USDIndx102.5400 +0.0180 +0.02%
Como Indx….267.41 -3.49 -1.29%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……146.06 -2.96 -1.99%

IndoCDS.83.21 +0.02 +0.02%
(5-yr INOCD5) (19/06)

IDR…..15004.50‼+10.50 +0.07%
Jisdor.15040.00‼ +46.00 +0.31%

Euro……1.0919 -0.0007 -0.06%

TLKM…26.73 +0.02 +0.07%
(4020)
EIDO….22.97 -0.24 -1.03%
EEM…..40.08 -0.80 -1.96%

Oil………70.50 -0.79 -1.11%
Gold…1947.70 -16.40 -0.83%
Timah..26900.00 -51.00 -0.19%
(Closed 18/06)
Nickel..21976.00 -533.00 -2.36%
(Closed 20/06)
Silver….. 23.45 -0.81 -3.33%
Copper..389.35 +1.90 +0.49%

Iron Ore 62% 113.02 +0.09 +0.08%
(16/06)
Nturl Gas.2.485 -0.177 -6.65%‼

Coal price.126.55 -1.80 -1.40%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.55 +1.75 +1.31%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.55 +1.35 +1.00%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.45 +0.90 +0.65%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price117.20 +3.15 +2.76%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.118.00 +4.85 +4.29%‼
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.115.75 +4.30 +3.86%‼
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.95 +4.30 +3.89%‼
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)..3727 -31 -0.82%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……597.50 unch +0%
SoybeanOil 57.66 -0.21 -0.36%
Wheat…708.75 +7.25 +1.03%

Wood pulp..4280.00 -20 -0.47%
(Closed 20/06)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren index merah semua kecuali nikkei. USD index naik sedikit tapi semua komoditas turun lagi kecuali copper sama iron ore. Masih lesu…

IHSG – stoch sell lagi,MACD rev down, MFI sw, w% down, BD masih acc nahan biar ga drop jauh, masih FNS terus, breakdown MA 10 dan 20, rada mengkhawatirkan, yang signal ngebalik exit dulu di DCB ya, harusnya ada DCB kalo digebukin begini

Akhirnya Basic Materials sama Energy ikut loyo, hold cash dulu guys

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRIS MEDC

BMTR dibanting tapi diakum, menarik dicermati

MACD Buy Signal: BBTN MPMX. Group SRTG kayanya mulai gerak goreng sih, sebelumnya MDKA, kemaren AGII, sekarang MPMX

Alligator Buy Signal: SMGR TINS AGRO ENRG MTMH TKIM

Supertrend Buy Signal: AKRA

May 08th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow jumps 500 points to break four-day losing streak as regional banks and Apple shares surge

Stocks popped on Friday as regional bank shares climbed off their lows and market-darling Apple jumped after posting better-than-expected quarterly earnings.

Dow……33674 +546.6 +1.65%
Nasdaq12235 +269.02 +2.25%
S&P 500.4136 +75.03 +1.85%

FTSE…..7778 +75.7 +0.98%
Dax……15961 +226.8 +1.44%
CAC……7333 +92.2 +1.26%

Nikkei…..29158 +34.7 +0.12%
HSI………20049 +100.6 +0.50%
Shanghai.3335 -15.96 -0.48%

IDX…..6788.03 -56.40 -0.82%
LQ45….945.05 -7.23 -0.76%
IDX30…492.37 -3.97 -0.80%

IDXEnergy…1954.36 -56.40 -0.82%
IDX BscMat 1114.85 -24.79 -2.18%
IDX Indstrl…1145.31 -24.79 -2.29%
IDXNONCYC.734.03 -1.64 -0.22%
IDX Hlthcare1485.63 -17.47 -1.16%
IDXCYCLIC….816.42 -0.50 -0.06%
IDX Techno..4874.77 -51.03 -1.04%
IDX Transp..1809.64 +5.44 +0.30%
IDX Infrast…..817.74 -4.33 -0.53%
IDX Finance.1378.19 +3.09 +0.23%
IDX Banking.1150.19 +3.07 +0.27%
IDX Property…703 -0.50 -0.07%

Indo10Yr.6.6543 -0.0048 -0.07%👍
ICBI….358.3823 -0.0739 -0.02%
US2Yr.3.9181 +0.1299 +3.43%‼
US5Yr 3.4104 +0.0852 +2.54%
US10Yr3.4350 +0.0580 +1.72%
US30Yr.3.7500 -0.0200 -0.54%
VIX…… 17.19 -2.90 -14.44%👍

USDIndx101.2140 -0.2110 -0.21%
Como Indx.261.60 +4.80 +1.87%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…153.56 +2.04 +1.35%

IndoCDS.100.49 +1.97 +2.00%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/05)

IDR…..14678.00👍 -7.00 -0.05%
Jisdor.14674.00👍 +42.00 +0.29%

Euro……1.1019 +0.0005 +0.05%

TLKM..28.60 +0.28 +0.99%
(4197)
EIDO….24.29 +0.13 +0.54%
EEM…..39.39 +0.52 +1.34%

Oil……71.34 +2.78 +4.05%‼
Gold.2024.80 -30.90 -1.50%
Timah..25600.00 -1117.00 -4.40%‼
(Closed 04/05)
Nickel..24712.50 +629.50 +2.61%
(Closed 05/05)
Silver……25.93 -0.30 -1.13%
Copper…388.30 +2.00 +0.52%
Iron Ore 62% 103.55 -0.32 -0.31%
(03/05)
Nturl Gas.2.113 +0.0270 +1.29%

Coal price.169.65 -1.00 -0.59%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.168.50 -1.50 -0.88%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.174.60 +1.30 +0.75%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.182.60 +3.80 +2.13%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.127.15 +1.85 +1.48%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.05 +1.65 +1.37%
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.20 +2.05 +1.72%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.55 +2.55 +2.14%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3597 +167.00 +4.87%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..596.50 +7.50 +1.27%
SoybeanOil54.33 +1.85 +3.53%
Wheat…..660.25 +15.25 +2.36%

Wood pulp..4000.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/05)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound kenceng closing jum’at, US ijo, asia varied, IDX yang merah dalem, sekarang harusnya nyusul ijo tebel

Suku bunga fed naik lagi, USD index turun, biasanya bagus buat komoditas. Oil rebound kenceng, gas ijo, coal masih merah, CPO ijo tebel… Kita liat chart nya

CPO – Kalo MACD nya cross, kita assess AALI LSIP dkk

Gold Silver Tin Iron Ore merah, Nickel Copper ijo, jelek buat ANTM MDKA, bagus buat INCO. ANTM cut loss di rebound hari ini

IHSG – Stoch sell, MACD sell, BD Acc, FF dist, MFI flat, w% down, retracement pattern harusnya mantul dari fibo 23, ditambah factor US Europe closing ijo, harusnya testing neckline lagi ke atas. Tapi beware, kalo hari ini MACD ga berhasil ngebalik mending cuci gudang dulu…

Infrastructure, Transportation, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI BRIS PNLF RMKE

MACD Buy Signal: ENRG MYOR

Alligator Buy Signal: UNVR ADHI ISAT SMRA TKIM