December 09th, 2024

Nasdaq, S&P 500 pop to strong weekly gains after jobs report boosts Fed rate cut odds

US stocks mostly rose on Friday as investors digested the last monthly jobs report of the year, a crucial test of the prospects for interest rate cuts in December and beyond.

Dow……44643 -123.2 -0 28%
Nasdaq. 19860 +159.1 +0.81%
S&P 500 6090 +15.2 +0.25%

FTSE…..8309 -40.8 -0.49%
Dax……20385 +25.8 +0.13%
CAC……7427 +96.3 +0.31%

Nikkei….39091 -304.4 -0.77%
HSI……..19866 +305.4 +1.56%
Shanghai.3404 +35.2 +1.05%

IDX…7382.79 +69.47 +0.95%
LQ45…875.84 +1.40 +0.16%
IDX30.447.60 +1.39 +0.16%

IDXEnergy…2686.53 +25.26 +0.95%
IDX BscMat 1349.92 +0.37 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl..1078.96 +2.08 +0.19%
IDXNONCYC.738.20 +1.22 +0.17%
IDX Hlthcare1462.18 -8.96. -0.61%
IDXCYCLC…837.27 +2.61 +0.31%
IDX Techno..4274.70 +76.59 +1.82%
IDX Transp 1379.59 -8.96 -0.67%
IDX Infrast 1482.35 +15.45 +1.12%
IDX Finance1462.82 +4.25 +0.29%
IDX Banking1212.59 +6.08 +0.50%
IDX Property..791 +13.60 +1.76%

Indo10Yr.6.9860 +0.0146 +0.21%
ICBI….392.6320 -0.2569 -0.07%
US2Yr.4.096 -0.050 -1.21%
US5Yr 4.031 -0.047 -1.15%
US10Yr4.148 -0.030 -0.72%
US30Yr.4.333 -0.003 -0.07%
VIX..12.77👍 -0.77 -5.69%‼️

USDIndx 106.0550❗ +0.329 +0.31%
Como Indx..286.34 -0.09 -0.03%
BCOMIN..145.56 -1.02. -0.70,%

IndoCDS…72.22 -0.00 -0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (06/12)

IDR…….15845.00❗-17.00 -0.11%
Jisdor..15848.00❗-44.00 -0.27%

Euro…1.0568❗ -0.0020 -0.18%

TLKM.17.22 +0.05 +0.29%
( 2729)
EIDO…20.40 +0.01 +0.02%
EEM…43.84 -0.08 -0.18%

Oil………67.20 -1.10 -1.61+%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………71.12 -1.05 -1.45%
(Brent)
Gold…2659.60 +11.20 +0.42%
(Comex)
Gold…2631.91 -1.46 -0.06%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.29151.00 14.00 -0.05%
(Closed 06/12)
Nickel.16012.50 +50.50 +0.32%
(Closed 06/12)
Silver…..31.59 +0.05 +0.16%
Copper.419.65 +0.40 +0.10%

Iron Ore 62% 104.11 -2.18 -2.05%
(06/12)
Nturl Gas 3.076 -0.008 -0.26%
Ammonia China 2803.33 -16.67 -0.059%
(Domestic Price)(06/12)

Coal price.133.25 unch +0%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.40 -0.20 -0.15%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.50 -0.25 -0.19%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price 134.60 +0.10 +0.07%
(Mar/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.00 -0.50 -0.44%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.80 -1.10 -0.97%
(Jan/Rotterda)
Coal Price 111.85 -1.25 -1.11%
(Feb/Rotterdam),
Coal/Price 112.10 -1.25 -1.10%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Feb) 5132 -6 -0.11%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………440.00 +5.00 +1.15%
*SoybeanOil 42.31 +0.89 +2.15%
Wheat……557.25 -1.00 -0.18%

Wood pulp – – -0%
(Closed 09/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at US kebanyakan ijo tapi dow jones merah. Europe ijo, Asia ijo kecuali Jepang. US Treasury Bond turun, besar kemungkinan IHSG lanjut ijo

USD index up, metal2 varied, oil down, gas down, coal down, belum gerak juga energy udah masuk Desember… CPO slightly down, masih nunggu AALI

IHSG – 2 hari terakhir net sell lagi, stoch macd up MFI up w% uptrend, BD accum, udah breakout area resistance sih, semoga lanjut. Last day foreign exit dari big banks mungkin profit taking karena weekend, semoga hari ini pada entry lagi

Property

Stochastic Buy Signal: ISAT MEDC UNTR ABMM BNGA ELSA ENRG ERAA MAHA, big accum UNTR ELSA

MACD Buy Signal: INDF AUTO PANI SIMP

September 20th, 2024

Dow jumps 500 points, S&P 500 closes above 5,700 for the first time a day after Fed slashes rates

Stocks jumped Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
and S&P 500
rising to new all-time highs, as traders cheered the Federal Reserve’s Wednesday decision to lower interest rates by a half percentage point.

Dow…….42025 +522.1 +1.26%
Nasdaq. 18013 +440.7 +2.51%
S&P 500 5714 +95.4 +1.70%

FTSE…8329 +75.04 +0.91%
Dax……19002 +290.9 +1.55%
CAC……7615 +170.5 +2.29%

Nikkei..37155 +775.16 +2.13%
HSI……18013 +353.1 +2.20%
Shanghai.2736 +18.7 +0.69%

IDX….7905.39‼️ +76.26 +0.97%
LQ45…979.68 +9.43 +0.97%
IDX30.499.81 +4.71 +0.95%

IDXEnergy. 2688.52 +26.66 +1.00%
IDX BscMat1335.52 +13.91 +1.05%
IDX Indstrl..1092.57 +1.17 +0.11%
IDXNONCYC.736.48 +2.87 +0.39%
IDX Hlthcare1536.96 -6.15. -0.40%
IDXCYCLIC…905.33 +1.27 +0.18%
IDXTechno 3808.56 -20.65 -2.59%
IDX Transp 1514.00 +12.90 +0.86%
IDX Infrast 1644.97 +20.29 +1.25%
IDX Finance1572.24 +14.75 +0.95%
IDX Banking1404.75 +18.89 +1.36%
IDX Property..791 +17.30 +2.23%

Indo10Yr.6.5821👍-0.0334 -0.51%
ICBI….394.2302👍+0.7792 +0.20%
US2Yr.3.588 -0.040 -1.10%
US5Yr 3.486 -0.070 -0.20%
US10Yr3.719 +0.040 +0.11%
US30Yr.4.054 +0.023 +0.57%
VIX..16.33 -1.90 -10.42%👍

USDIndx 100.6140❗️ -0.336 -0.33%
Como Indx….282.19 +2.37 +0.85%
BCOMIN….147.23 +1.25 +0.85%

IndoCDS..67.73👍 -0.51 -0.75%
(5-yr INOCD5) (18/09)

IDR…….15239.00👍 -96.00 -0.63%
Jisdor..15287.00👍 -63.00 -0.41%

Euro…1.1162❗️ +0.0044 +0.40%

TLKM.20.62 +0.12 +0.59%
( 3152)
EIDO…23.32 +0.56 +2.46%
EEM….43.78 +0.93 +2.16%

Oil………..72.10 +1.19 +1.68%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..74.88 +2.00 +2.74%
(Brent)
Gold…2611.90 +13.30 +0.51%
(Comex)
Gold…2587.58 +29.04 +1.13%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31823.00 +229.00 .+0.72%
(Closed 18/09)
Nickel..16333.50 +105.50 +0.65%
(Closed 18/09)
Silver… ..31.12 +0.43 +1.40%
Copper.434.50 +4.60 +1.07%

Iron Ore 62% 91.57 -0.41 -0.45%
(18/09)
Nturl Gas 2.340 +0.045 +1.96%
Ammonia China 2710.00 +33.33 +1.25%
(Domestic Price)(18/09)

Coal price.139.50 +0.50 +0.36%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.75 +1.50 +1.11%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.00 +1.70 +1.26%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.25 +1.40 +1.02%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.25 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..110.80 -1.80 -1.60%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 110.75 -1.70 -1.51%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.20 -1.35 -1.11%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3879 +31 +0.81%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………405.75 -7.00 -1.70%
SoybeanOil 40.93 +0.62 +1.54%
Wheat……565.50 -10.25 -1.78%

Wood pulp.4830.00 -20.00 -0.41%
(Closed 19/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo tebel menyambut fed rate cut, europe ijo, asia udah ijo duluan, welcome 8000 IHSG

US T-bond yield yang pendek down, USD index down, metal2 up kecuali iron ore, oil up, gas up, coal up, CPO up, considering profit taking di beberapa saham yang udah gerak jauh. Begitu 8000 kena, peluang wave 4 incoming jadi besar banget

IHSG – stoch macd mfi up, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, efek BI dan Fed cut rate, harusnya sampe ke atas 8000

Property, Financials, Technology, Transportation, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: DSNG PTMP

MACD Buy Signal: ASII INTP MEDC PTBA BRMS BTPS ENRG VKTR HAIS, big accum ASII MEDC BRMS BTPS VKTR

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: BRPT BNGA

August 15th, 2024

S&P 500 closes higher for fifth straight day as easing inflation bolsters rate cut hopes

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
ticked up Wednesday after the release of more encouraging U.S. inflation data.

Dow…….40008 +242.8 +0.61%
Nasdaq. .17193 +4.99 +0.03%
S&P 500 5465 +20.8. +0.38%

FTSE..8281.1 +45.8 +0.56%
Dax……17886 +73.6 +0.41%
CAC……7333 +57.5 +0.79%

Nikkei…36442 +209.9 +0.58%
HSI……..17113 -60.7 -0.35%
Shanghai.2851 -17.3 -0.60%

IDX….7436.04 +79.40 +1.08%
LQ45…922.64 +10.13 +1.11%
IDX30.466.87 +4.97 +1.08%

IDXEnergy. 2653.88 +7.59 +0.30%
IDX BscMat1354.74 +16.99 +1.27%
IDX Indstrl..1033.53 +2.09 +0.20%
IDXNONCYC.709.20 +3.46 +0.49%
IDX Hlthcare1458.46 +10.20 +0.70%
IDXCYCLIC…819.26 +27.12 +3.42%
IDXTechno 3341.16 +24.70 +0.74%
IDX Transp 1392.31 +6.80 +0.49%
IDX Infrast 1598.63 +23.76 +1.51%
IDX Finance1435.38 +11.48 +0.81%
IDX Banking1286.56 +11.96 +0.94%
IDX Property…..666 -1.70 -0.25%

Indo10Yr.6.8056 -0.0271 -0.40%
ICBI…388.1434 +0.5913 +0.15%
US2Yr.3.960 +0.024 +0.61%
US5Yr 3.682 +0.005 +0.14%
US10Yr3.845 -0.005 -0.13%
US30Yr.4.129 -0.031 -0.75%
VIX..16.19 -1.93 -10.65%👍

USDIndx 102.5680👍 +0.009 +0.01%
Como Indx….275.48 -0.85 -0.31%
BCOMIN…..138.90 +0.11 +0.08%

IndoCDS..78.68 -1.49 -1.86%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/08)

IDR…..15675.00👍 -157.50 -0.99%
Jisdor.15891.00👍 -194.00 -1.22%

Euro…1.1013‼️ +0.0019 +0.17%

TLKM…18.28 +0.08 +0.44%
( 2905)
EIDO…..21.30 +0.31 +1.48%
EEM……..42.44 -0.22 -0.50%

Oil………..77.33 -1.36 -1.73%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.76 -0.93 -1.15%
(Brent)
Gold…..2485.00 -19.20 -0.77%
(Comex)
Gold……2447.87 -17.02 -0.69%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31430.00 +232.00 +0.74%
(Closed 14/08)
Nickel..16235.00 -162.50 -0.99%
(Closed 14/08)
Silver….27.63 -0.40 -1.43%
Copper.406.90 -0.20 -0.05%

Iron Ore 62% 100.44 -0.59 -0.58%
(12/08)
Nturl Gas 2.226 +0.063 +2.91%
Ammonia China 2466.67 +36.67 +1.51%
(Domestic Price)(13/08)

Coal price.145.75 -1.15 -0.78%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.40 -1.60 -1.07%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 149.90 -1.15 -0.76%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.151.40 -0.90 -0.59%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.65 -0.10 -0.08%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.05 -0.45 -0.37%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 123.65 -0.95 -0.76%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.125.65 +0.10 +0.08%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3725 +36 +0.98%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..400.75 +3.50 +0.88%
SoybeanOil 38.88 -0.21 -0.54%
Wheat…..556.25 +4.50 +0.82%

Wood pulp..5060 -20 -0.39%
(Closed 14/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Europe ijo, asia varied, US bond yield pendek up, yang panjang down, IHSG new record high, beware pullback. Banyak yang sell memanfaatkan hype ATH

USD Index up tipis, metal2 kebanyakan merah kecuali Tin, oil down gas up, coal down CPO up. agak ga asik buat INCO ANTM, semoga ga koreksi jauh, giliran AALI LSIP

IHSG – stoch up, MACD buy, FNB, vol transaksi turun, ketemu reg bear div, semoga lanjut sih, tapi beware kaya kejadian januari, all time high terus longsor

Energy

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BRPT GOTO PGEO SIDO UNTR BNGA ENRG GJTL MPMX, big accum PGEO SIDO GJTL

MACD Buy Signal banyak banget: AMRT ANTM BBRI BRPT GOTO ISATJSMR MDKA PGAS PTBA SIDO SMGR ABMM BTPS MYOR, big accum BBRI ISAT MDKA PTBA SIDO

August 05th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes down 600 points, Nasdaq enters correction after weak jobs report

Stocks fell sharply on Friday as a much weaker-than-anticipated jobs report for July ignited worries that the economy could be falling into a recession.

Dow…….39737 -610.7 -1.51%
Nasdaq16776 -417.98 -2.43%
S&P 500.5347 -100.6 -1.84%

FTSE…..8175 -108.7 -1.31%
Dax……17661 -421.8 -2.33%
CAC……7252 -118.7 -1.61%

Nikkei..35910 -2216.7 -5.81%‼️
HSI…..16946 -359.5 -2.08%
Shanghai.2905 -27.1 -0.92%

IDX….7308.12 -17.86 -0.24%
LQ45…919.37 -6.14 -0.66%
IDX30.461.45 +6.69 +1.47%

IDXEnergy..2479.49 +19.86 +0.81%
IDX BscMat1360.74 -10.48 -0.76%
IDX Indstrl.1036.58 +0.01 +0.00%
IDXNONCYC.701.00 -4.02 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare1441.80 -6.55 -0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…764.18 +4.37 +0.57%
IDXTechno.3272.03 -12.19 -0.37%
IDX Transp 1377.07 -14.51 -1.04%
IDX Infrast 1557.37 -11.09 -0.71%
IDX Finance1412.80 -4.35 -0.31%
IDX Banking1259.19 -4.13 -0.33%
IDX Property…..652 +3.10 +0.48%

Indo10Yr.6.9083❗️ -0.0092 -0.13%
ICBI…385.6435❗️ +0.1951 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.878👍 -0.282 -6.78%‼️
US5Yr 3.615👍 -0.229 -5.96%‼️
US10Yr3.792👍 -0.178 -4.48%‼️
US30Yr.4.109 -0.171 -3.99%‼️
VIX..23.39‼️ +4.80 +25.82%‼️

USDIndx 103.2080👍 -1.213 -1.16%
Como Indx….270.13 -3.46 -1.26%
BCOMIN…..138.20 -0.90 -0.66%

IndoCDS..77.20 +2.50 +3.35%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16200.00❗️ -37.00 -0.23%
Jisdor.16234.00❗️ -9.00 -0.06%

Euro…1.0789 -0.0037 -0.34%

TLKM…17.55 -0.04 -0.20%*
( 2849)
EIDO….20.30 +0.12 +0.57%
EEM……41.60 -0.61 -1.44%

Oil………..76.79 -3.27 -4.25%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.81 -2.71 -3.41%
(Brent)
Gold…..2469.80 -19.40 -0.78%
(Comex)
Gold……2443.24 -4.76 -0.19%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..30188.00 +234.00 +0.98%
(Closed 01/08)
Nickel..16365.50 +130.50 +0.80%
(Closed 01/08)
Silver….28.39 -0.22 -0.77%
Copper.410.30 +3.60 +0.89%

Iron Ore 62% 104.00 +1.17 +1.14%
(02/08)
Nturl Gas 1.978‼️ -0.064 -3.13%
Ammonia China 2346.67 -196.66 -7.73%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/08)

Coal price.144.10 +1.55 +1.09%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.75 +1.95 +1.36%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 146.90 +1.65 +1.14%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.148.40 +1.75 +1.19%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.121.35 +1.40 +1.17%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.20 +1.40 +1.16%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.75 +1.30 +1.08%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.121.10 +1.55 +1.29%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3858 +35 +0.92%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..403.25 +4.75 +1.19%
SoybeanOil 40.81 -0.64 -1.54%
Wheat…..539.00 +7.009 +1.32%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 04/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index Regional merah semua pas closing jum’at, IHSG malah paling moderate. US bond yield drop, kalo hanya liat itu bisa ijo IHSG hari ini, tapi lebih besar kemungkinan merahnya sih, beresin wave 2, sama double top kemaren

USD index drop tapi metal2 jg drop kecuali iron ore, oil drop jauh, gas juga, coal yang bertahan ijo sama CPO. Waktunya PTBA AALI LSIP gerak

IHSG – stochastic nya seolah olah mau lanjut jalan, tapi MACD nya masih says down, price action juga malah hampir triple top, BD lagi sw, FF mulai net buy tapi curiga rebalancing LQ45 dan Kompas100 yang memicunya. Masih very selective buying

Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: MTEL PGAS PTBA ADMR BMTR BSDE ENRG ERAA PTPP KBLI SMDR, big accum PGAS PTBA ADMR BSDE

MACD Buy Signal: OTMG SIDO ADMR BSDE NISP TPIA, big accum ITMG ADMR BSDE