July 12th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks fall from records as Tesla, Nvidia lead tech sell-off

US stocks rolled over on Thursday as investors rotated out of tech after a key inflation report showed consumer prices unexpectedly fell on a month-over-month basis for the first time since 2020.

Dow……39754 +32.4 +0.08%
Nasdaq18283 -364.04 -1.95%
S&P 500.5585 -49.4 -0.88%

FTSE…..8223 +29.8 +0.36%
Dax……18535 +127.3 +0.69%
CAC……7627 +53.6 +0.71%

Nikkei..42224 +392.03 +0.94%
HSI……17832 +360.7 +2.06%
Shanghai.2970 +31.02 +1.06%

IDX….7300.41 +13.37 +0.18%
LQ45..915.36 +3.03 +0.33%
IDX30.455.86 +0.48 +0.11%

IDXEnergy..2427.34 +7.70 +0.32%
IDX BscMat1388.84 +2.87 +0.21%
IDX Indstrl.1011.60 -2.39 -0.24%
IDXNONCYC.712.45 +2.24 +0.32%
IDX Hlthcare1428.92 -5.17 -0.36%
IDXCYCLIC…741.43 +4.40 +0.60%
IDXTechno3293.55 +21.59 +0.66%
IDX Transp 1327.02 +26.29 +2.02%
IDX Infrast 1595.06 +13.29 +0.84%
IDX Finance1387.39 -0.16 -0.01%
IDX Banking1228.89 +3.01 +0.25%
IDX Property…..616 – -%

Indo10Yr.7.0513 -0.0078 -0.11%
ICBI…381.5177 +0.2896 +0.08%
US2Yr.4.515 -0.109 -2.36%👍
US5Yr 4.144 -0.093 -2.19%👍
US10Yr4.209 -0.071 -1.66%
US30Yr.4.423 -0.074 -1.05%
VIX..12.92 +0.07 +0.54%

USDIndx 104.4400👍 -0.608 -0.58%
Como Indx….290.41 +0.70 +0.24%
BCOMIN…… 151.00 -1.50 -0.98%

IndoCDS..72.73 -0.98 -1.33%
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/07)

IDR…..16194.50❗️ -46.00 -0.28%
Jisdor.16200.00❗️ -56.00 -0.34%

Euro…1.0868 +0.0035 +0.32%

TLKM…19.58 +0.25 +1.29%
( 3172)
EIDO….20.29 +0.12 +0.57%
EEM…..44.33 +0.27 +0.60%

Oil…….82.95 +0.56 +0.68%
Gold…..2418.20 +39.90 +1.68%
Timah..34666.00 -341.00 -0.97%
(Closed 11/07)
Nickel..16867.50 +18.50 +0.11%
(Closed 11/07)
Silver….31.63 +0.53 +1.70%
Copper.452.15 -6.95 -1.51%

Iron Ore 62% 108.74 -1.77 -1.60%
(10/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.374 -0.051 -2.32%
Ammonia China 2783.33 -66.67 -2.34%
(Domestic Price)(10/07)

Coal price.133.75 unch +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.50 -1.50 -1.10%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.60 -1.45 -1.06%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 136.30 -0.80 -0.58%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.102.30 +0.45 +0.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..102.85 +0.20 +0.19%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.75 -0.25 -0.24%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 104.55 unch +0%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3935 +17 +0.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..410.75 +3.50 +0.86%
SoybeanOil 46.15 +0.57 +1.25%
Wheat…571.25 +9.75 +1.74%

Wood pulp..5220 -40 -0.76%
(Closed 11/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo tipis, nasdaq drop gara2 tesla dan nvidia, europe ijo, asia ijo, IHSG closing ijo tipis, US bond yield merah dalem, finally koreksi hari ini? harusnya sih nggak ya, kalo liat bond yield, tapi udah rally panjang, bound to pull back anytime soon

USD index merah, metal2 naik kecuali tin copper sama iron ore, oil ijo, gas drop, coal merah, CPO ijo, masih run nya ANTM ini… AALI LSIP semoga lanjut

IHSG – berhasil stay FNB, indicator pada bilang harus koreksi sehat, tinggal tunggu waktu aja. Biasanya gantian nanti yang jalan saham yang kemaren belum, yang udah pada naik giliran istirahat dulu

Industrials, Technology, Basic Materials, Property, Transportation bangun lagi

Stochastic Buy SIgnal: GGRM CFIN ELSA SCMA, Freq Spike ELSA SCMA, GGRM reg bull

MACD Buy Signal: KLBF, freq spike juga

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: BBNI BMRI MBMA. BBNI freq spike, MBMA vol breakout

June 20th, 2024

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to Juneteenth

Dow……38835 closed +0%
Nasdaq17862 closed +0%
S&P 500.5487 closed +0%

FTSE…..8205 +13.8 +0.25%
Dax……18068 -64.4 -0.36%
CAC……7570 -58.6 -0.77%

Nikkei..38571 +88.7 +0.23%
HSI…..18430 +514.8 +2.87%
Shanghai.3018 -12.2 -0.40%

IDX….6726.92 -7.91 -0.12%
LQ45..839.62 -5.89 -0.70%
IDX30.414.50 -2.54 -0.63%

IDXEnergy..2225.10 +17.74 +0.80%
IDX BscMat1298.14 -2.02 -0.16%
IDX Indstrl. 898.31 +0.59 +0.07%
IDXNONCYC.680.39 -6.83 -0.99%
IDX Hlthcare1402.58-19.25 -1.35%
IDXCYCLIC…691.34 -13.68 -1.94%
IDXTechno3060.95 -41.45 -1.34%
IDX Transp 1198.13 -19.48. -1.60%
IDX Infrast 1449.64 +12.08 +0.84%
IDX Finance1296.15 -6.50 -0.50%
IDX Banking1089.28 -9.64 -0.88%
IDX Property…..593 -9.1 -1.52%

Indo10Yr.7.0818‼️+0.0411 +0.58%
ICBI…378.8874‼️ -0.5886 -0.16%
US2Yr.4.718 closed +0%
US5Yr 4.243 closed +0%
US10Yr4.232 closed +0%
US30Yr.4.352 closed +0%
VIX..12.48 +0.18 +1.46%

USDIndx 105.2540 ❗️-0.002 -0.001%
Como Indx….295.68 closed +0%
BCOMIN….150.57 closed +0%

IndoCDS..76.69 +4.54 +6.29%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (17/06)

IDR…16365.00‼️ -47.00 -0.29%
Jisdor.16368.00‼️-6.00. -0.04%

Euro….1.0745 +0.0005 +0.05%

TLKM…16.84 closed +0%*
( -)
EIDO….18.38 closed +0%
EEM…..42.89 closed +0%

Oil…….81.47 -0.02 -0.02%
Gold..2342.70 -1.00 -0.04%
Timah..32384.00 +240.00 +0.75%
(Closed 19/06)
Nickel..17346.00 +8.00 +0.05%
(Closed 19/06)
Silver….30.14 +0.55 +1.86%
Copper.447.60 +1.45 +0.33%

Iron Ore 62% 107.11 +0.06 +0.06%
(18/06)
Nturl Gas..2.915 +0.012 +0.41%
Ammonia China.2966.67 unch +0%
(Domestic Price)(19/06)

Coal price.134.10 +0.20 +1.50%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.00 +1.10 +0.82%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.00 +2.10 +1.52%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 142.75 +3.10 +2.22%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.110.75 +1.50 +1.37%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.40 +3.15 +2.86%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 116.90 +2.60 +2.27%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.55 +2.70 +2.29%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..3920 +37.00 +0.95%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..467.75 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 44.44 closed +0%
Wheat….599.00 closed +0%

Wood pulp..5720 -20 -0.35%
(Closed 19/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US Closed, Europer kebanyakan ijo, asia hangseng ijo tebel, yang lain tipis tipis. USD index turun tipis, metal2 ijo tipis kecuali gold, oil merah tipis, gas ijo coal ijo, CPO ijo, bisa kita liat lagi PTBA hari ini. Semoga AALI juga

IHSG – harusnya sih udah done turunnya, index lain pada ok koq, nasdaq malah record high, mungkin nunggu pelantikan presiden biar seolah olah presiden baru bikin ekonomi menggeliat. Tapi technically belum saatnya aggressive belanja

Healthcare, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES EXCL INCO UNVR ADMR BFIN BRMS ELSA HRTA JPFA. Big accum ACES ADMR BFIN BRMS ELSA JPFA

MACD Buy Signal: DRMA SSMS BRAM

June 10th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes flat near record, posts winning week

The S&P 500 ended flat on Friday, touching a record-high intraday, despite a stronger-than-expected jobs report.

Dow……38799 -87.2 -0.22%
Nasdaq17133 -39.99 -0.23%
S&P 500.5346 -5.97 -0.11%

FTSE…..8245 -39.97 -0.48%
Dax……18557 -95.4 -0.51%
CAC……8001 -38.3 -0.48%

Nikkei..38684 -19.6 -0.05%
HSI…..18367 -109.9 -0.59%
Shanghai.3051 +2.5 +0.08%

IDX….6897.95 -76.95 -1.10%
LQ45..883.93 -8.18 -0.92%
IDX30.441.02 -2.95 -0.66%

IDXEnergy..2262.65 +0.30 +0.01%
IDX BscMat1347.27 -2.71 -0.20%
IDX Indstrl. 943.90 -5.91 -0.62%
IDXNONCYC.698.28 -1.30 -0.19%
IDX Hlthcare1431.16 +16.96+1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…733.18 -3.85 -0.52%
IDXTechno3276.82 -43.51 -1.31%
IDX Transp 1265.25 +7.58 +0.60%
IDX Infrast 1439.25 -16.33 -1.12%
IDX Finance1351.84 -18.47 -1.35%
IDX Banking1160.38 -11.78 -1.00%
IDX Property…..615 +0.20 +0.33%

Indo10Yr.6.9304 +0.0002 +0.002%
ICBI…380.8664 +0.2382 +0.06%
US2Yr.4.889 +0.165 +3.49%‼️
US5Yr 4.461 +0.163 +3.79%‼️
US10Yr4.433 +0.135 +3.14%‼️
US30Yr.4.553 +0.118 +2.66%
VIX..12.22 -0.36 -2.86%

USDIndx 104.8850❗️+0.7830 +0.75%
Como Indx….289.86 -2.56 -0.88%
BCOMIN….153.03 -5.76 -3.63%‼️

IndoCDS..72.72 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/06)

IDR…..16195.00 -67.50 -0.42%
Jisdor.16218.00 -61.00 -0.37%

Euro….1.0801 -0.0091 -0.84%

TLKM…18.57 -0.17 -0.88%
( 3011)
EIDO….19.77 -0.35 -1.72%
EEM…..42.04 -0.48 -1.12%

Oil…….75.53 -0.10 -0.13%
Gold..2325.00 -69.50 -2.90%‼️
Timah..31452.00 -746.00 -2.32%
(Closed 07/06)
Nickel..18609.50 +10.50 +0.06%
(Closed 07/06)
Silver….29.44 -2.02 -6.42%‼️
Copper.448.35 -18.60 -3.98%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 108.48 -0.02 -0.02%
(07/06)
Nturl Gas..2.937 +0.116 +4.11%‼️
Ammonia China.2966.67 +16.67 +0.57%
(Domestic Price)(06/06)

Coal price.131.45 -2.90 -2.16%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.133.00 -2.90 -2.13%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.05 -0.55 -0.40%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.35 +0.95 +0.69%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.00 -1.85 -1.68%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.110.60 -0.85 -0.76%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.05 -0.50 -0.44%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 115.35 +0.30 +0.26%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3976 +15.00 +0.38%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..448.75 -3.25 -0.72%
SoybeanOil 43.63 -0.72 -1.62%
Wheat…..627.50 -12.00 -1.88%

Wood pulp..5810 unch +0%
(Closed 05/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing jum’at US merah europe merah asia merah, US bond yield naik tinggi banget, fixed deh, IHSG tutup gap dulu hari ini

USD index up, gold silver copper drop, tin iron ore down, nickel up sendiri. Oil down gas up coal down, CPO lanjut ijo, ini bubar semua kecuali buat AALI LSIP, tapi kalo index merah dalem ya susah jalan juga

IHSG – technical jelek semua, cuma Elliot wave yang bilang udah deket beres ABC correction sekalian tutup gap, beware, semua open position pasang stop loss

Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak, KLBF UNTR ASSA BSDE ELSA GTRA SMRA SMAR AMFG MDKI AALI. Ga ada yang big accum, kita assess sekilas, yang emang bagus bisa jadi bagus diambil nanti sore kalau index merah dalem lagi tutup gap

MACD Buy Signal: SIDO

KLBF – technical relative ok semua, memang stoch nya udah tinggi, MACD udah diatas histogram, tapi retracement pattern says up ke fibo 38.Kalo misalnya hari ini dibanting ke deket level 1535 mungkin bagus buat pasang buy disitu plus 1 tick

Spike udah done

Ah, nggak dulu deh, biggest holdernya udah mulai lepas barang, tunggu koreksi dulu deh

UNTR – technical menarik, stoch buy macd up, MFI up, w% sw, tapi BD FF masih dist, ada gap, ASII nya juga udah terlihat siap jalan, BOW bisa ini harusnya

Spike nya ok

Biggest holder lagi hold, mungkin karena index lagi drop. Tapi ga buang, ok ini, bisa BOW UNTR idealnya level deket 22.200. Saya skip karena hold ASII

ASSA – dari chart nya kaya yang mau hajatan… stoch buy, macd almost buy, tapi MFI down karena vol kecil, bandar aja yang main kali, w% up, BD FF rev acc, reg bull div confirmed by MA 10 and 2 bull candle, harusnya bisa buy

Ada spike belum done

average aman, biggest holder accum, YP aja buang dikit. bisa buy ini, BOW sedikit diatas support 710 ideal

BSDE – Stoch rev buy belum sampe oversold sih, macd sw, MFI down, w% sw, BD FF acc tipis, mungkin aja beres sidewaysnya dan mau lanjut, tapi index kaya gini dan liat curve nya sih, ke bawah kayanya

ELSA – belum sih, kemarin udah firm jalan tapi oil price ngebalik, kita tunggu firm naik lagi oil price nya

Tunggu oil price confirm dulu

AALI – belum boleh jalan, balik ke support low kemaren, stoch rev buy, macd up, MFI down, w% downtrend, BD FF dist, kesempatan ambil di bawah sih ini, tapi memang resiko, yang berani spec buy boleh, tapi break support buang

Spike nya sih cakep

Average aman, biggest holder udah berhenti buang, second nya accum, berani lah… Saya masih hold AALI

SIDO – technical ok, tapi overpriced, ga ada issue besar juga, skip ah

May 28th, 2024

Good morning,

US & UK Markets on holiday due to Memorial Day

Dow……39070 closed +0%
Nasdaq16921 closed +0%
S&P 500.5305 closed +0%

FTSE…..8318 closed +0%
Dax……18774 +813 +0.01%
CAC……8095 -7.4 -0.09%

Nikkei..38900 +253.9 +0.66%
HSI…..18827 +218.4 +1.17%
Shanghai.3089 +35.2 +1.14%

IDX….7176.42 -45.96 -0.64%
LQ45..889.80 -6.05 -0.68%
IDX30..441.12 -9.63 -2.14%

IDXEnergy..2269.37 -23.19 -1.01%
IDX BscMat1406.66 -21.68 -1.52%
IDX Indstrl..1018.96 -5.50 -0.54%
IDXNONCYC.709.22 +0.52 +0.07%
IDX Hlthcare1421.05-10.65 -0.74%
IDXCYCLIC…730.48 -8.04 -1.09%
IDXTechno3530.60 +81.48 +2.36%
IDX Transp 1282.34 -8.41 -0.65%
IDX Infrast 1596.95 -20.85 -1.29%
IDX Finance1357.84 -12.79 -0.93%
IDX Banking1152.49 -27.03 -2.29%
IDX Property…..621 -10.60 -1.69%

Indo10Yr.6.9033+0.0246 +0.36%
ICBI…380.1954 -0.3474 -0.09%
US2Yr.4.948 closed +0%
US5Yr 4.528 closed +0%
US10Yr4.459 closed +0%
US30Yr.4.573 closed +0%
VIX..12.36 +0.43 +3.60%‼️

USDIndx 104.5880❗️ -0.136 -0.13%
Como Indx..294.28 closed +0%
BCOMIN………164.28 closed +0%

IndoCDS..72.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/05)

IDR…..16071.50 +76.50 +0.48%
Jisdor.16064.00 +69.00 +0.43%

Euro….1.0858 +0.0011 +0.10%

TLKM…18.31 closed +0%
( -)
EIDO….20.50 closed +0%
EEM…..43.01 closed +0%

Oil…….78.55 +0.83 +1.07%
Gold..2374.70‼️ +17.80 +0.76%
Timah..33229.00 closed +0%
(Closed 24/05)
Nickel..20318.00 closed +0%
(Closed 24/05)
Silver…..31.85 +1.35 +4.41%
Copper.482.95 +7.60 +1.60%

Iron Ore 62% 117.66 – -%
(24/05)
Nturl Gas..2.797 +0.293 +11.70%‼️
Ammonia China.3033.33‼️ -33.34 -1.09%
(Domestic Price)(24/05)

Coal price 142.80 closed +0%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.00 closed +0%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.50 closed +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.15 closed +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..104.05 -1.05 -1.00%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.90 -0.05 -0.04%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.65 +1.05 +0.90%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.90 +0.85 +0.72%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3872 -14 -0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….464.75 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 44.95 closed +0%
Wheat…..697.25 closed +0%

Wood pulp..5872 unch +0%
(Closed 27/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyr«ight: Phintraco Sekuritas

US market closed, Europe sebagian tutup juga, yang buka rada tipis tipis. Asia kemaren ijo tebel kecuali IHSG yang compensate dari libur kemis jum’at kayanya, padahal harusnya ijo sih kalo cuma liat data closing jum’at

USD index down, metal2 up, oil gas up, coal rotterdam ga signifikan, harusnya ANTM MDKA mantul hari ini. MEDC ELSA harusnya lanjut juga. CPO down dikit, sabar AALI LSIP masih ketahan

IHSG – stoch rev down, macd up rev, MFI w% down, BD FF dist, masih belum boleh jalan ya, tapi pas lah, bikin higher low dulu baru start lagi

Walau kemaren dibanting big banks tapi RSI nya masih state jalan, bareng consumer non-cyclicals dan technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: HRUM ICBP ABMM CTRA MYOR PNLF INCI INDS KKGI. Big Accum ICBP

MACD Buy Signal: PNLF INCI.  PNLF vol breakout