Daily Analysis 20221216

Daily Analysis 20221216

December 16th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes out its worst day in three months, falls more than 700 points as recession fears grow

Stocks fell sharply Thursday after new data showed retail sales declined more than expected in November, raising fears that the Federal Reserve’s relentless interest rate hikes are tipping the economy into a recession.

*Dow…….33202 -764.1 -2.25%*
*Nasdaq.10811 -360.4 -3.23%‼️*
*S&P 500..3896 -99.6 -2.49%*

FTSE…….7426 -69.8 -0.93%
*Dax……..14460 -473.97 -3.28%‼️*
*CAC……..6522 -208.02 -3.09%‼️*

Nikkei….28052 -104.5 -0.37%
HSI……..19369 -304.9 -1.55%
Shanghai..3169 -7.9 -0.25%
ST Times..3274 -4.8 -0.15%

IDX…….6751.86 -49.89 -0.73%
LQ45……942.36 -8.80 -0.93%

IDX Energy..2140.54 -6.98 -0.32%
IDX BscMat 1248.38 -2.87 -0.23%
IDX Indstrl…1177.96 -2.44 -0.21%
IDXNONCYC..725.61 -1.92 -0.26%
IDX Hlthcare.1546.72 -10.59 -0.68%
IDXCYCLIC…..849.78 -8.86 -1.03%
IDX Techno..5225.49 +45.25 +0.87%
IDX Transp…1711.51 +0.61 +0.04%
IDX Infrast……844.98 -5.81 -0.68%
IDX Finance 1438.41 -11.62 -0.80%
IDX Banking 1160.95 -10.84 -0.92%
IDX Property….705 -5.60 -0.79%

*Indo10Yr.7.0177 unch +0%*
*ICBI….343.6001 +0.0308 +0.01%*
*US10Yr..3.4500 -0.0530 -1.51%*
*VIX……22.83 +1.69 +7.99%*

*USDIndx.104.6080 +0.6060 +0.58%*
Como Indx.274.72 -1.91 -0.69%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN…..164.09 -3.42 -2.04%*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15619.00 +26.50 +0.17%*
*Jisdor..15630.00 +11.00 +0.07%*

*Euro……1.0625 -0.0058 -0.54%*

*TLKM…….22.41 -0.41 -2.07%*
*(3503)*
EIDO……….22.41 -0.41 -1.80%
*EEM……….37.72 -0.89 -2.31%*

Oil………….76.11 -1.17 -1.51%
*Gold …..1787.80 -30.90 -1.70%*
Timah…..24275 -369 -1.50%
*(Closed 14/12)*
Nickel…28296.50 -193.00 -0.68%
*(Closed 15/12)
*Silver………23.31 -0.83 -3.44%‼️*
*Copper….376.30 -11.50 -2.97%*

*Nturl Gas..6.876 +0.521 +8.20%‼️*

Ammonia..4790.00 -43.33 -0.90%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(14/12)

Coal price….401.90 -2.10 -0.52%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….376.55 -2.55 -0.67%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….359.80 -3.40 -0.94%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…240.00 -0.60 -0.25%
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price…218.60 -6.45 -2.87%*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price…219.30 -5.95 -2.64%*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)…..3874 -76 -1.42%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….653.50 +3.00 +0.46%
SoybeanOil.62.98 +0.14 +0.22%
Wheat………757.25 +8.00 +1.07%

Wood pulp…6510.00 unch +0%
(Closed 15/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US & Europe kebakaran semua indexnya, gara2 nilai retail sales yang jelek dan kekhawatiran efek kenaikan suku bunga Fed. Bisa dalem lagi kita hari ini

Semua komoditas turun kecuali gas yang malah naik tinggi. Coal juga turun tapi masih stay diatas 400, semoga ga ikut koreksi saham2 emiten batubara

IHSG – stoch buy, MACD masih down, kemaren Foreign udah tipis buangnya, bandar flat, regbull div belum tembus MA 10, lagi di area strong support, semoga kuat terus lanjut mantul

Sektor2 yang kemaren leading mulai rontok, tapi yang menggembirakan Financials mulai jalan, bareng basic materials, infrastructure, transportation. Tapi basic materials komoditas turun kayanya ikut kebanting dulu

Kemungkinan cuma energy yang bisa bertahan leading

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BBRI INDY INKP SMGR ELSA PTPP SRTG TKIM

MACD Buy Signal: BUKA JSMR

Daily Analysis 20221215

Daily Analysis 20221215

December 15th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 snaps 2-day winning streak after Fed raises rates and signals more hikes next year

Stocks slid Wednesday as investors absorbed the Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate hike decision in its efforts to crush inflation.

Dow…….33966 -142.3 -0.42%
Nasdaq.11171 -85.9 -0.76%
S&P 500..3995 -24.3 -0.61%

FTSE…….7496 -6.96 -0.09%
Dax……..14460 -37.7 -0.26%
CAC……..6731 -14.2 -0.21%

Nikkei….28156 +201.4. +0.72%
HSI……..19674 +77.3 +0.39%
Shanghai..3177 +0.2 +0.01%
ST Times..3279 +7.3 +0.22%

IDX…….6801.75 -8.57 -0.13%
LQ45……951.16 -1.63. -0.17%

IDX Energy..2174.52 +20.45 +0.96%
IDX BscMat 1251.25 +0.04 +0.40%
IDX Indstrl…1180.40 +5.42 +0.46%
IDXNONCYC..727.53 -1.31 -0.18%
IDX Hlthcare.1557.30 +19.22+1.25%
IDXCYCLIC…..858.64 -3.35 -0.39%
*IDX Techno..5180.22 -110.75 -2.09%*
IDX Transp…1710.90 -5.60 -0.33%
IDX Infrast……850.80 +1.99 +0.23%
IDX Finance 1449.76 -6.72 -0.46%
IDX Banking 1171.79 -6.10 -0.52%
IDX Property….710 +3.00 +0.42%

*Indo10Yr.7.0177 -0.0059 -0.08%👍*
*ICBI….343.5693 +0.4287 +0.12%👍*
*US10Yr..3.5030 +0.0020 +0.06%*
*VIX……21.14 -1.41 -6.25%👍*

*USDIndx.104.0020 -1.034 -0.98%👍*
Como Indx.276.63 +1.60 +0.58%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..167.51 -0.45 -0.27%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15592.50 -64.00 -0.41%*
*Jisdor..15619.00 -42.00 -0.27%*

*Euro……1.0683 +0.0051 +0.47%👍*

TLKM……..23.68 -0.06 -0.25%
*(3699)*
EIDO……….22.82 -0.14 -0.61%
EEM……….38.61 +0.02 +0.05%

*Oil………..77.28 +1.89 +2.51%‼️*
Gold …..1818.70 -6.80 -0.37%
*Timah…..24644 +695 +2.90%*
*(Closed 13/12)*
Nickel…28489.50 +197.50 +0.70%
*(Closed 14/12)*
Silver………24.14 +0.15 +0.61%
Copper….387.80 +3.60 +0.94%

*Nturl Gas..6.356 -0.609 -8.74%‼️*

Ammonia..4856.67 -23.34 -0.48%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(13/12)

Coal price….404.00 -0.50 -0.12%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….379.10 +1.45 +0.38%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….363.20 -0.05 -0.01%
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price…240.60 -6.40 -2.59%*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price…225.05 -9.50 -4.05%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price…225.25 -9.85 -4.18%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)…..3950 +63 +1.62%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….650.50 -3.00 -0.46%
SoybeanOil.62.84 -0.53 -0.84%
Wheat………749.25 -1.50 -0.20%

Wood pulp…6510.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Market Asia masih ok kemaren, Europe dan US merah, antisipasi kebijakan fed naikin interest rate. Semoga kita tetep lanjut, kalopun koreksi tipis aja

Metal2 naik semua kecuali gold, Oil naik, gas drop, coal turun tipis. CPO naik lagi, coba kita liat chart nya

CPO – masih sideways…

IHSG – stoch buy, macd down rev, masih FNB, bandar last day dist, MFI up, masih wave 3, LR mantul, semoga panjang

Yang leading melemah semua, yang rising Transportation sama Basic Materials, sama Financials hopefully

Stochastic Buy Signal nya banyak banget, kita ambil beberapa aja ya… BBTN PTBA TINS AALI AKRA ASSA SCMA SIDO

Daily Analysis 20221130

Daily Analysis 20221130

November 30th, 2022 Good morning, S&P 500 and Nasdaq close lower for third day as investors look to Fed Chair Powell’s speech The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed lower…
Daily Analysis 20221103

Daily Analysis 20221103

November 03rd, 2022 Good morning, Dow closes 500 points lower, Nasdaq sheds 3% as Fed Chair Powell signals intent to continue hiking rates Stocks tumbled Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair…
Daily Analysis 20221028

Daily Analysis 20221028

Global Update:

October 28th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 200 points higher on better-than-expected GDP report, Nasdaq tumbles

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher Thursday after new data showed third-quarter GDP grew faster than expected and hinted at waning inflation, encouraging investors to buy stocks linked to the health of the economy

Dow…….32033 +194.2 +0.61%
Nasdaq.10792 -178.3 -1.63%
S&P 500..3807 -23.3 -0.61%

FTSE…….7074 +17.6 +0.25%
Dax……..13211 +15.4 +0.12%
CAC……..6244 -32.3 -0.51%

Nikkei….27345 -86.6 -0.32%
HSI……..15428 +110.3 +0 .72%
Shanghai..2983 -16.6 -0.55%
ST Times..3015 +6.9 +0.23%

IDX…….7091.76 +42.82 +0.68%
LQ45…1012.7€ +8.59 +0.86%

IDX Energy..2044.25 +7.76 +0.38%
IDX Bsc Mat.1255.45 +12.42 +1.03%
IDX Industrl..1298.42 +10.31 +0.80%
IDXNONCYC..746.55 +6.49 +0.88%
IDX Hlthcare.1511.54 +1.88 +0.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..868.60 +10.76 +1.25%
IDX Techno..6638.608 -41.58 -0.62%
IDX Transp…1792.10 +13.85 +0.78%
IDX Infrast……936.29 -1.01 -0.11%
IDX Finance 1501.18 +11.00 +0.94%
IDX Banking.1190.31 +11.06 -1.52%
IDX Property….691 +3.2 +0.47%

Indo10Yr….7.6076 -0.0162 -0.21%
ICBI……..330.7231 +0.5369 +0.16%
US10Yr……3.9370 -0.0780 -1.94%‼️
VIX……….27.39 +0.11 +0.40%

USDIndx 110.5720 +0.8720 +0.79%
Como Indx..276.81 -0.54 -0.19%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……148.57 -1.64 -1.09%
.
IndoCDS 142.82 -3.44 -2.35%‼️👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/10)

IDR……15567.00 +4.00 +0.03%‼️
Jisdor..15573.00 -23 -0.15%‼️

Euro……..0.9968 -0.0113 -1.12%

TLKM……..28.00 -0.07 -0.26%
(4360)
EIDO………23.61 -0.04 -0.17%
EEM……….34.50 -0.27 -0.78%

Oil…………88.08 +0.83 +0.94%
Gold ……1666.70 -2.70 -0.16%
Timah….18682 +205.00 +1.11%
(Closed 26/10)
Nickel…22293.50 -376.00 -1.66%
(Closed 27/10)
Silver………19.57 +0.03 +0.15%
Copper….352.45 -1.50 -0.42%

Nturl Gas…..5.855 -0.318 -5.15%‼️

Ammonia..4113.33 -16.67 +0.40%
China
(Domestic Price)(26/10)

Coal price….385.50 -0.90 -0.23%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….372.35 -2.10 -0.56%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….373.35 +1.00 +0.27%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….239.50 -1.20 -2.00%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….244.40 -4.90 -0.49%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..238.00 -4.50 -1.86%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..92.75 -0.65 -0.70%
Indonesial Coal Index (26/10)

CPO(Jan)……4151 +44 +1.07%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….682.25 -2.75 -0.40%
SoybeanOil…72.30 -1.12 -1.53%
Wheat………838.50 -2.00 -0.24%

Wood pulp…6810.00 -6 -0.09%
(Closed 27/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas,

DJI ijo, nasdaq masih merah, europe ijo kecuali perancis, asia varied, mulai sideways kayanya… IDX kemaren ijo lagi, semoga lanjut lah hari ini

Gold Copper Nickel merah, Silver Timah ijo. Kurang bagus buat MDKA ini, heu… Oil ijo gas drop dalem, coal merah tipis. masih meragukan ini sektor energy. Udah pengen buy ELSA tapi ragu2…

IHSG – stoch up dan mulai overbought, macdup, mfi up, 833 mulai mau ngajak koreksi, udah mulai harus liat sektor mana yang jalan selain finance, biasanya pas uptrend wave 3, pas sektor financials sideways/turun diganjel sama sektor lain supaya indexnyaga keseret jauh ke bawah.FF akum, BD rada flat, LR belum cross midline semogabukan kejedot, cuma harus testing beberapa bar sebelum breakout. DMI sideways abis buy sell lagi… Kita fokus check sektor

Masih financials, Industrials, nambah property dan technology

Daily Analysis 20221025

Daily Analysis 20221025

Global update:

October 25th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks notch second day of gains Monday, Dow closes more than 400 points higher

The three major indexes closed higher Monday as traders tried to add to sharp gains seen last week and weighed the latest moves in rates.

Dow…….31499 +417.1 +1.34%
Nasdaq.10953 +92.9 +0.86%
S&P 500..3797 +44.6 +1.19%

FTSE…….7014 +44.3 +0.64%
Dax……..12931 +200.6 +1.58%
CAC……..6131 +95.97 +1.59%

Nikkei….26975 +84.3 +0.31%
*HSI……..15181 -1030.4 -6.36%‼️*
*Shanghai..2978 -61.4 -2.02%*
ST Times..2970 -52.8 -1.75%

IDX…….7053.04 +35.27 +0.50%
LQ45…1006.50 +6.14 +0.61%

IDX Energy..2034.23 +17.21 +0.85%
IDX Bsc Mat.1248.79 +1.43 +0.11%
IDX Industrl..1279.30 +16.15 +1.28%
IDXNONCYC..733.03 +0.47 +0.57%
IDX Hlthcare.1491.24 +14.11 +0.96%
IDXCYCLIC…..858.58 +4.95 +0.58%
IDX Techno..6419.58 -54.42 -0.84%
IDX Transp…1779.26 +1.09 +0.06%
IDX Infrast……937.73 -6.41 -0.68%
IDX Finance 1513.23 +22.68 +1.52%
IDX Banking.1200.38 +22.43 +1.90%
IDX Property…….681 -0.70 -0.10%

Indo10Yr….7.5869 +0.0289 +0.38%
ICBI……..330.5100 -0.1980 -0.06%
*US10Yr……4.2340 +0.0210 +0.50%‼️*
*VIX……….29.85 +0.16 +0.54%*

*USDIndx 111.9960 -0.0160 -0.01%👍*
Como Indx..271.82 -0.54 -0.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.45 -0.39 -0.26%
.
*IndoCDS 160.86 -4.98 -3.00%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(24/10)*

*IDR……15585.50 -46.00 -0.29%‼️*
*Jisdor..15590.00 -20 -0.13%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9880 +0.0018 +0.18%‼️*

TLKM……..28.25 +0.55 +1.99%
*(4404)*
EIDO………23.70 +0.06 +0.25%
*EEM………33.93 -1.34 -3.80%‼️*

Oil…………84.80 -0.25 -0.29%
Gold ……1655.00 -1.30 -0.08%
Timah….18484 – -%
*(Closed 21/10)*
Nickel…22239.50 +54.50 +0.25%
*(Closed 24/10)*
Silver………19.20 +0.60 +3.23%
Copper….343.20 +3.45 +1.02%

*Nturl Gas…..5.745 +0.273 +4.75%*

*Ammonia..4130.00 – -%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(20/10)

Coal price….390.00 unch +0%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….383.50 -6.45 -1.65%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….386.05 -3.95 -1.01%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….269.55 -0.45 -0.17%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….246.50 -9.90 -3.86%‼️*
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price…..245.40 -10.15 -3.97%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.15 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (21/10)

CPO(Jan)……4100 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….681.50 -2.75 -0.40%
SoybeanOil…71.87 +0.37 +0.52%
Wheat………838.75 -12.00 -1.41%

*Wood pulp…6820.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 24/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US europe lanjut ijo, asia varied, HSI yang drop gila gilaan, china dan singapore juga merah, nikkei dan IHSG aman. Semoga hari ini kita ikut US, jangan ikut hangseng

Gold merah tipis, silver ijo, copper ijo, timah unchanged nikel ijo oil merah gas naik rada gede coal spot flat, futur merah. Hati2 yang masih pegang energy, jangan terlalu pede lanjut rally

IHSG – all good, cuma MFI yang flat. Wave 3 biasanya paling panjang, kalo ketemu wave 3 gini ga usah mikirin gorengan, blue chip aja pada lari… Play safe dan jangan telat exit karena fomo naik terus, pasti ketemu koreksi nanti. Kalo mau buy and hold boleh tapi jangan dikit2 diliat, turun dikit galau…

Udah rally 6 days straight, jangan kaget kalo sekali sekali merah, yang penting major tren bullish, tapi tetep keluar masuk sesuai buy signal

Yang kebaca jelas, financials, yang lain agak agak goyang, tapi dari angka sih Basic Materials sama Industrials