Posts Tagged ‘Election’

Daily Analysis 20241105

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

November 05th, 2024

Dow leads stocks lower as Wall Street braces for Election Day

US stocks slipped during a jittery session on Monday to kick off a week of potentially huge market-moving events — the presidential election and the Federal Reserve policy decision.

Dow…….41795 -257.6 -0.61%
Nasdaq. 18180 -59.93 -0.33%
S&P 500 5713 -16.1 -0.28%

FTSE…..8184 +7.1 +0.09%
Dax……19148 -107.1 -0.56%
CAC……7372 -37.4 -0.50%

Nikkei….38054 closed +0%
HSI………20568 +61.1 +0.30%
Shanghai.3310 +38.2 +1.17%

IDX…7479.50 -25.76 -0.34%
LQ45…913.42 +0.81 +0.09%
IDX30.470.71 +1.26 +0.26%

IDXEnergy….2717.76 -12.16 -0.45%
IDX BscMat1379.00 -21.60 -1.54%
IDX Indstrl..1090.32 -5.19 -0.47%
IDXNONCYC.748.63 +0.67 +0.09%
IDX Hlthcare1506.68 -15.60 -1.02%
IDXCYCLC…..868.43 -12.36 -1.40%
IDX Techno..3953.41 -49.09 -1.23%
IDX Transp 1445.59 -33.07 -2.24%
IDX Infrast 1472.57 -13.45 -1.23%
IDX Finance1512.89 -3.39 -0.22%
IDX Banking1292.34 +6.27. +0.49%
IDX Property..821 -12.6 -1.51%

Indo10Yr.6.8735❗️+0.0034 +0.49%
ICBI….392.7677❗️-0.0785 -0.02%
US2Yr.4.168 ❗️-0.044 -1.04%
US5Yr 4.148 ❗️-0.007 -0.17%
US10Yr4.293❗️ -0.093 -2.12%
US30Yr.4.466❗️-0.115 -2.51%
VIX..21.98 +0.10 +0.46%

USDIndx 103.8860❗️-0.400 -0.38%
Como Indx.282.75 +3.31 +1.18%
BCOMIN…..149.10 +0.69 +0.47%

IndoCDS..71.24 +1.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/11)

IDR…….15752.00‼️ +20.50 +0.13%
Jisdor..15723.00‼️ +28.00 +0.18%

Euro…1.0878❗️ +0.0006 +0.06%

TLKM.17.70 +0.21 +1.17%
( 2783)
EIDO…21.16 +0.08 +0.38%
EEM……44.74 +0.20 +0.45%

Oil………71.47 +1.98 +2.85%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.21 +2.10 +2.89%
(Brent)
Gold…2746.20 -3.00 -0.2l11%
(Comex)
Gold…2736.72 +0.19 +0.01%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.31724.00 +511.00 +1.64%
(Closed 01/11)
Nickel.16120.50 +136.50 +0.85%
(Closed 04/12)
Silver….32.6 -0.07 -0.21%
Copper.443.15 +6.00 +1.37%

Iron Ore 62% 102.49 -1.29 -1.24%
(01/11)
Nturl Gas 2.789 +0.126 +4.73%
Ammonia China 2766.67 +46.67 +1.72%
(Domestic Price)(04/11)

Coal price.143.90 -0.05 -0.03%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.90 -0.05 -0.03%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.90 +0.20 +0.14%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.70 +0.20 +0.14%
(Feb/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.05 +0.65 +0.55%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.20 +0.10 +0.21%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.20 +0.30 +0.25%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal Price 120.45 +0.20. +0.17%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jan) 4891 +26 +0.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………416.50 +2.00 +0.48%
SoybeanOil 45.56 -0.74 -1.60%
Wheat……568.75 +0.75. +0.13%

Wood pulp.4640.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Be loomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe merah, asia ijo, IHSG yang merah dalem, US Treasury bond merah dalem, kayanya technical rebound dulu hari ini mah IHSG, tapi ga banyak

USD index down, gold spot ijo tipis, tin nickel copper ijo, silver iron ore merah, perlu dicermati TINS dan INCO, oil ijo tebel, gas juga, coal melempem, CPO naik lagi, kita liat AKRA dan AALI LSIP

IHSG – nah ini mulai FNB, ada titik terang, stoch macd rsi mfi w% masih jelek semua, kalo ini wave 4 masih agak dalem, tapi sah aja berhenti sekarang juga, ABC nya cenderung flat. Kita cermati BBCA BBRI

Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, nah ini kalo bener jalan index ikut… Energy sama healthcare siap2, infrstructure belum jadi jalan, JSMR terpaksa cutloss kemaren

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI KLBF PGAS PGEO BTPS PTMP SRTG MLIA, SRTG big accum

MACD Buy Signal ADRO SRTG

BBRI – stoch buy, MACD dikit lagi, MFI masih down, w% sw, BD masih dist, FF rev acc, ini bisa spec buy harusnya, bisa jadi hari ini start gerak

Big caps emang jarang spike, ini ada tapi kecil

Average aman, BD lagi pada diem, tunggu momentum aja ini, tapi BBRI seringkali kebaca di Stoch dan digerakin juga sama foreign, so Spec Buy BBRI at last close price, setengah botol dulu

SRTG – stoch MACD buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, tembus ke atas cloud ichimoku, alligatornya nyusun buy lagi, BD accum, FNS tapi, dari retracement pattern udah nyusun 50-38 mau ke 61. Agak resiko di index yang belum pasti jalan lagi wave 5, tapi faktor pendukung buy nya udah ok, BOW SRTG di tengah candle kemaren, setengah botol aja harusnya ok ini

spike kecil, spike gede sebelumnya belum done, masih mungkin dikejar sih ini

Average nya ga aman, amannya minimal buy di bawah average BB di 2335, so jangan FOMO, BOW 2330 aja deh setengah botol

ADRO – ada yang aneh ini, hajatan sendiri… stoch macd buy MFI up, BD FF acc, loncat2 pake bikin gap segala, padahal coal price nya melempem… Ga berani ngejar, kalo energy jalan juga masuk di ITMG aja sama INDY yang ketinggalan

KLBF – sedikit overpriced, masih ok lah buat trade, stoch buy macd belum ada reg bull div, MFI masih down, w% mulai up, BD dist, FNS, masuk watchlist dulu, retracement pattern sih harusnya bawa mantul dari fibo 23

PGAS – belum saatnya

 

83(b) Election: Tax Strategy and When and Why to File

Written by admin. Posted in #, Financial Terms Dictionary

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What Is the 83(b) Election?

The 83(b) election is a provision under the Internal Revenue Code (IRC) that gives an employee, or startup founder, the option to pay taxes on the total fair market value of restricted stock at the time of granting.

Key Takeaways

  • The 83(b) election is a provision under the Internal Revenue Code (IRC) that gives an employee, or startup founder, the option to pay taxes on the total fair market value of restricted stock at the time of granting.
  • The 83(b) election applies to equity that is subject to vesting.
  • The 83(b) election alerts the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) to tax the elector for the ownership at the time of granting, rather than at the time of stock vesting.

Understanding the 83(b) Election

The 83(b) election applies to equity that is subject to vesting, and it alerts the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) to tax the elector for the ownership at the time of granting, rather than at the time of stock vesting.

The 83(b) election documents must be sent to the IRS within 30 days after the issuing of restricted shares. In addition to notifying the IRS of the election, the recipient of the equity must also submit a copy of the completed election form to their employer.

In effect, an 83(b) election means that you pre-pay your tax liability on a low valuation, assuming the equity value increases in the following years. However, if the value of the company instead declines consistently and continuously, this tax strategy would ultimately mean that you overpaid in taxes by pre-paying on higher equity valuation.

Typically, when a founder or employee receives compensation of equity in a company, the stake is subject to income tax according to its value. The fair market value of the equity at the time of the granting or transfer is the basis for the assessment of tax liability. The tax due must be paid in the actual year the stock is issued or transferred.

However, in many cases, the individual receives equity vesting over several years. Employees may earn company shares as they remain employed over time. In which case, the tax on the equity value is due at the time of vesting. If the company’s value grows over the vesting period, the tax paid during each vested year will also rise in accordance.

Example of an 83(b) Election

For example, a co-founder of a company is granted 1 million shares subject to vesting and valued at $0.001 at the time the shares are granted. At this time, the shares are worth the par value of $0.001 x number of shares, or $1,000, which the co-founder pays. The shares represent a 10% ownership of the firm for the co-founder and will be vested over a period of five years, which means that they will receive 200,000 shares every year for five years. In each of the five vested years, they will have to pay tax on the fair market value of the 200,000 shares vested. 

If the total value of the company’s equity increases to $100,000, then the co-founder’s 10% value increases to $10,000 from $1,000. The co-founder’s tax liability for year 1 will be deduced from ($10,000 – $1,000) x 20% i.e. in effect, ($100,000 – $10,000) x 10% x 20% = $1,800.

  • $100,000 is the Year 1 value of the firm
  • $10,000 is the value of the firm at inception or the book value
  • 10% is the ownership stake of the co-founder
  • 20% represents the 5-year vesting period for the co-founder’s 1 million shares (200,000 shares/1 million shares)

If, in year 2, the stock value increases further to $500,000, then the co-founder’s taxes will be ($500,000 – $10,000) x 10% x 20% = $9,800. By year 3, the value goes up to $1 million and the tax liability will be assessed from ($1 million – $10,000) x 10% x 20% = $19,800. Of course, if the total value of equity keeps climbing in Year 4 and Year 5, the co-founder’s additional taxable income will also increase for each of the years.

If at a later time, all the shares sell for a profit, the co-founder will be subject to a capital gains tax on his gain from the proceeds of the sale.

83(b) Election Tax Strategy

The 83(b) election gives the co-founder the option to pay taxes on the equity upfront before the vesting period starts. This tax strategy will only require that tax be paid on the book value of $1,000. The 83(b) election notifies the IRS that the elector has opted to report the difference between the amount paid for the stock and the fair market value of the stock as taxable income. The share value during the 5-year vesting period will not matter as the co-founder won’t pay any additional tax and gets to retain the vested shares. However, if the shares for sold for a profit, a capital gains tax will be applied. 

Following our example above, if the co-founder makes an 83(b) election to pay tax on the value of the stock upon issuance, the tax assessment will be made on $1,000 only. If the stock is sold after, say, ten years for $250,000, the taxable capital gain will be on $249,000 ($250,000 – $1,000 = $249,000).

The 83(b) election makes the most sense when the elector is sure that the value of the shares is going to increase over the coming years. Also, if the amount of income reported is small at the time of granting, an 83(b) election might be beneficial.

In a reverse scenario where the 83(b) election was triggered, and the equity value falls or the company files for bankruptcy, then the taxpayer overpaid in taxes for shares with a lesser or worthless amount. Unfortunately, the IRS does not allow an overpayment claim of taxes under the 83(b) election. For example, consider an employee whose total tax liability upfront after filing for an 83(b) election is $50,000. Since the vested stock proceeds to decline over a 4-year vesting period, they would have been better off without the 83(b) election, paying an annual tax on the reduced value of the vested equity for each of the four years, assuming the decline is significant.

Another instance where an 83(b) election would turn out to be a disadvantage will be if the employee leaves the firm before the vesting period is over. In this case, they would have paid taxes on shares that would never be received. Also, if the amount of reported income is substantial at the time of stock granting, filing for an 83(b) election will not make much sense.

When Is It Beneficial to File 83(b) Election?

An 83(b) election allows for the pre-payment of the tax liability on the total fair market value of the restricted stock at the time of granting. It is beneficial only if the restricted stock’s value increases in the subsequent years. Also, if the amount of income reported is small at the time of granting, an 83(b) election might be beneficial.

When Is It Detrimental to File 83(b) Election?

If an 83(b) election was filed with the IRS and the equity value falls or the company files for bankruptcy, then the taxpayer overpaid in taxes for shares with a lesser or worthless amount. Unfortunately, the IRS does not allow an overpayment claim of taxes under the 83(b) election.

Another instance is if the employee leaves the firm before the vesting period is over then the filing of 83(b) election would turn out to be a disadvantage as they would have paid taxes on shares they would never receive. Also, if the amount of reported income is substantial at the time of the stock granting, filing for an 83(b) election will not make much sense.

What Is Profits Interest?

Profits interest refers to an equity right based on the future value of a partnership awarded to an individual for their service to the partnership. The award consists of receiving a percentage of profits from a partnership without having to contribute capital. In effect, it is a form of equity compensation and is used as a means of incentivizing employees when monetary compensation may be difficult due to limited funds, such as with a start-up limited liability company (LLC). Usually, this type of worker compensation requires an 83(b) election.

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