Global update:

July 01st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts worst first half since 1970, Nasdaq falls more than 1% to end the quarter

Stocks fell on Thursday, as the S&P 500 capped its worst first half in more than 50 years.

Dow…….30775 -253.9 -0.27%
Nasdaq.11029 -149.2 -1.33%
S&P 500..3785 -33.5 -0.88%

FTSE…….7169 -143.04 -1.96%
Dax……..12784 -219.6 -1.69%
CAC……..5923 -108.6 -1.80%

Nikkei….26393 -411.6 -1.54%
HSI……..21860 -137.1 -0.62%
Shanghai..3399 +37.1 +1.10%
ST Times..3102 -32.7 -1.04%

IDX…….6911.58 -30.77 -0.44%
LQ45…..991.94 -3.77 -0.38%

IDX Energy…1638.18 -17.88 -1.08%
IDX Bsc Mat.1220.87 -21.18 -1.71%
IDX Industrl..1210.49 -6.26 -0.51%
IDXNONCYC..723.26 -1.96 -0.27%
IDX Hlthcare.1519.86 +16.85 +1.12%
IDXCYCLIC…..891.84 -6.28 -0.70%
IDX Techno..7885.76 +83.61 +1.07%
IDX Transp…1974.62 -34.10 -1.70%
IDX Infrast……965.61 -5.04 -0.52%
IDX Finance 1437.32 -15.34 -1.06%
IDX Property…….678 -4.20 -0.62%

Indo10Yr….7.3623 -0.0281 -0.38%‼
ICBI……….330.9035 +0.5162 +0.16%‼
US10Yr…..2.9720 -0.1210 -3.91%
VIX…………28.71 +0.55 +1.95%

USDIndx 104.6850 -0.4210 -0.40%
Como Indx….291.15 -8.19 -2.74%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..155.73 -4.99 -3.11%‼

IndoCDS…144.45 +8.46 +6.22%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14903.00 +50.50 +0.34%‼
Jisdor..14882.00 +e4.00 +0.23%‼

Euro………1.0478 +0.0034 +0.33%

TLKM……..27.04 -0.36 -1.31%
(4024)
EIDO……….22.38 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM……….40.10 -0.19 -0.47%

Oil………….105.88 -3.81 -3.47%‼
Gold …… .1805.60 -13.40 -0.74%
Timah. .26774.00 -26 -0.10%
( Closed 29/6)
Nickel..22745.50 -1152.00 -4.82%‼
(Closed 29/6)
Silver……….20.15 -0.59 -2.84%
Copper…..367.75 -10.45 -2.76%

Nturl Gas…..5.670 -0.764 -11.87%‼

Ammonia ..4773.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/6)

Coal price…380.00 +5.95 +1.57%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…368.95 +8.95 +2.49%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…370.00 +5.25 +1.44%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…352.00 +6.50 +1.88%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4912 +8 +0.16%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..619.75 -34.00 -5.20%‼
SoybeanOil…..64.46 -2.52 -3.76%‼
Wheat……….884.00 -46.00 -4.95%‼

Wood pulp…6624.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/6)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Regional hampir semua merah, cuma china yang ijo

Hampir semua commodity turun, kecuali coal yang naik signifikan dan cpo yang naik tipis. Momentum rebound buat saham coal, technically udah waktunya rebound sih

Yak, sesuai perkiraan mulai menukik… Sayangnya saham perkiraan bakal kontrarian nya ga pas, property ikut dibanting, infra ikut dibanting, even consumer yang kemaren jaya ikut dibanting walau ga jauh

Exit di DCB, off market sampe IHSG tercapai level aman buat buy lagi. Itu rencana paling moderate…

Either 6500-an atau 6055-an, sesuai itungan fibonacci extension-nya

Global Update:

June 30th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow rises modestly in volatile trading as Wall Street struggles to recover

Stocks fluctuated on Wednesday, after the major averages made a failed attempt at a bounce in the previous session, and as the market prepares to close out the worst first half of the year since 1970.

Dow…….31029 +82.3 +0.27%
Nasdaq.11178 -3.7 -0.03%
S&P 500..3819 -2.7 -0.07%

FTSE…….7312 -11.1 -0.15%
Dax……..13003 -228.5 -1.73%
CAC……..6031 -54.5 -0.90%

Nikkei….26805 -244.9 -0.91%
HSI……..21997 -422.1 -1.88%
Shanghai..3362 -47.7 -1.40%
ST Times..3135 -5.3 -0.17%

IDX…….6942.35 -54.10 -0.77%
LQ45…..995.71 -11.93 -1.18%

IDX Energy…1656.06 -10.31 -0.62%
IDX Bsc Mat.1242.06 -19.91 -1.58%
IDX Industrl..1216.74 -19.47 -1.57%
IDXNONCYC..725.23 -1.61 -0.22%
IDX Hlthcare.1503.01 +2.02 +0.13%
IDXCYCLIC…..898.12 +1.97 +0.22%
IDX Techno..7802.15 +63.14 +0.82%
IDX Transp…2008.72 -68.25 -3.29%
IDX Infrast……970.65 -7.13 -0.73%
IDX Finance 1452.66 -4.41 -0.30%
IDX Property…….683 -2.40 -0.35%

Indo10Yr….7.3904 -0.0193 -0.26%‼
ICBI……….330.3876 +0.2196 +0.07%‼
US10Yr…..3.0930 -0.1130 -3.52%
VIX…………28.16 -0.20 -0.71%

USDIndx 104.5060 +0.5670 +0.55%
Como Indx….299.34 -1.66 -0.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..160.72 +0.88 +0.55%

IndoCDS…135.99 +8.75 +6.88%‼
(5-yr INOCD5)  .

IDR……14852.50 +22.00 +0.15%‼
Jisdor..14848.00 +11.00 +0.07%‼

Euro………1.0444 -0.0076 -0.72%

TLKM……..27.40 +0.19 +0.70%
(4068)
EIDO……….22.41 -0.31 -1.36%
EEM……….40.29 -0.16 -0.40%

Oil………….109.69 -2.13 -1.90%
Gold …… .1819.00 -1.70 -0.09%
Timah. .26800.00 -191 -0.71%
( Closed 28/6)
Nickel..23897.50 +660.50 +2.84%‼
(Closed 29/6)
Silver……….20.74 -0.09 -0.43%
Copper…..378.20 +2.35 +0.63%

Nturl Gas…..6.434 -0.215 -3.23%

Ammonia ..4773.33 -110 -2.25%
China
(Domestic Price)(28/6)

Coal price…380.00 -13.50 -3.43%‼
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…360.00 -16.45 -4.37%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…364.75 -1.75 -0.48%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…345.50 -2.50 -0.72%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..4904 -81 -1.62%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..653.75 -5.50 -0.83%
SoybeanOil…..66.98 +0.22 +0.33%
Wheat……….930.00 -6.00 -0.64%

Wood pulp…6624.00 +8 +0.12%
(Closed 29/6)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US DJI ijo tipis, nasdaq masih merah, europe dan asia semua merah juga

Hampir semua commodity turun, kecuali nickel dan copper

Yang infra healthcare consumer non-cylclicals siap2 exit, Property ama consumer cyclicals semoga jalan walau market merah. Siap2 entry di basic materials industry dan energy pas keluar buy signal di saham nya

Kita cari saham contrarian sama market karena kemungkinan koreksi masih lanjut wave C

Chart Cacing RSI nya dukung IHSG langsung rebound tanpa drop ke level 6500-an, semoga break pattern, tapi liat kondisi global dan ancaman perang ukraina, kayanya sih lanjut ke bawah dulu

Global Update:

June 29th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow falls nearly 500 points as bear market bounce loses steam

U.S. stocks fell on Tuesday, erasing earlier gains as the market failed to keep its rebound from the bear-market lows going

Dow…….30947 -491.3 -1.56%
Nasdaq.11182 -343.01 -2.98%
S&P 500..3822 -78.6 -2.01%

FTSE…….7323 +65.1 +0.90%
Dax……..13232 +45.8 +0.35%
CAC……..6086 +38.7 +0.64%

Nikkei….27050 +178.2 +0.66%
HSI……..22419 +189.5 +0.85%
Shanghai..3409 +30.03 +0.89%
ST Times..3140 +2.7 +0.09%

IDX…….6996.46 -19.60 -0.28%
LQ45….1007.64 -3.10 -0.31%

IDX Energy…1666.37 +19.54 +1.19%
IDX Bsc Mat.1261.96 -18.59 -1.45%
IDX Industrl..1236.21 +0.39 +0.03%
IDXNONCYC..726.84 +0.47 +0.07%
IDX Hlthcare.1500.99 +2.63 +0.01%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.15 -0.96 -0.11%
IDX Techno..7739.02 -77.57 -0.99%
IDX Transp…2076.98 -9.91 -0.47%
IDX Infrast……977.78 +0.25 +0.03%
IDX Finance 1457.07 -15.18 -1.03%
IDX Property…….685 -4.70 -0.68%

Indo10Yr….7.4097 -0.0186 -0.25%
ICBI……….330.1680 +0.2728 +0.08%
US10Yr….3.2060 +0.0120 +0.38%
VIX…………28.36 +1.41 +5.23%

USDIndx 104.5060 +0.5670 +0.55%
Como Indx….301.00 +2.22 +0.74%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..159.85 +0.71 +0.44%

IndoCDS…127.24 -0.58 -0.45%
(5-yr INOCD5) .

IDR……14830.50 +33.50 +0.23%‼️
Jisdor..14837.00 +33.00 +0.2%‼️

Euro………1.0520 -0.0062 -0.59%

TLKM……..27.21 -0.38 -1.38%
(4037)
EIDO……….22.72 -0.17 -0.74%
EEM……….40.45 -0.25 -0.61%

Oil………….111.82 +1.94 +1.77%
Gold …… .1820.70 -2.40 -0.13%
Timah. .26991.00 +2401 +9.76%‼️
( Closed 27/6)
Nickel..23237.50 +299.50 +1.31%
(Closed 28/6)
Silver……….20.83 -0.33 -1.56%
Copper…..375.85 -0.15 -0.04%

Nturl Gas…..6.645 +0.201 +3.11%

Ammonia ..4883.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/6)

Coal price…393.50 +1.05 +0.27%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…376.45 +0.55 +0.15%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…366.50 -5.50 -1.48%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…348.00 -6.50 -1.83%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…4985 +65 +1.32%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………..659.25 +6.25 +0.96%
SoybeanOil…..66.76 +1.08 +1.64%
Wheat………936.00 +18.50 +2.02%

Wood pulp…6616.00 +16 +0.24%
(Closed 28/6)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

US closing merah dalem, europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali IDX. Sudah 2 hari turun, IHSG harusnya ada rebound hari ini.
Timah nikel rebound, saatnya ANTM INCO TINS rebound. Coal lanjut naik, saham2 coal juga sudah lama oversold harusnya rebound
Oil naik lagi ke 111. ELSA MEDC kita assess detail abis ini

Customer Cyclical, Customer Non-cyclical, Property, Infrastructure

Global update:

June 28th, 2022

Good morning,

U.S. stocks fell on Monday following a major rebound last week from this year’s steep declines. Wall Street is preparing to wrap up the worst first half for stocks in decades.

Dow…….31438 -62.4 -0.20%
Nasdaq.11525 -83.1 -0.72%
S&P 500..3900 -11.6 -0.30%

FTSE…….7258 +49.5 +0.69%
Dax……..13186 +67.9 +0.52%
CAC……..6047 -26.04 -0.43%

Nikkei….26871 +379.3 +1.43%
HSI……..22230 +510.5 +2.35%
Shanghai..3379 +29.4 +0.88%
ST Times..3138 +25.9 +0.83%

IDX…….7016.06 -26.88 -0.38%
LQ45….1010.74 -8.25 -0.81%

IDX Energy…1646.83 -22.57 -1.35%
IDX Bsc Mat.1280.56 -8.60 -0.67%
IDX Industrl..1235.82 +8.76 +0.71%
IDXNONCYC..726.37 +2.81 +0.39%
IDX Hlthcare.1498.36 -0.08 -0.01%
IDXCYCLIC…..897.11 -2.77 -0.31%
IDX Techno..7816.59 -21.94 -0.28%
IDX Transp…2086.89 +98.38 +5.00%
IDX Infrast……977.53 +8.13 +0.84%
IDX Finance 1472.24 +4.40 +0.30%
IDX Property…….690 +2.10 +0.31%

Indo10Yr….7.4283 -0.0259 -0.35%
ICBI……….329.8951 +0.9667 +0.29%
US10Yr….3.1940 +0.0690 +2.21%
VIX…………26.95 -0.28 -1.03%

USDIndx 103.9390 -0.2460 -0.24%
Como Indx….298.78 +0.23 +0.08%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……..159.14 +1.31 +0.83%

IndoCDS…127.82 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) .

IDR……14797.50 -50.50 -0.34%‼️
Jisdor..14802.00 -44.00 -0.30%‼️

Euro………1.0582 +0.0029 +0.27%

TLKM……..27.59 unch +0%
(4084)
EIDO……….22.89 -0.36 -1.55%
EEM……….40.70 +0.05 +0.12%

Oil………….109.88 +2.26 +2.10%
Gold …… .1823.10 -7.20 -0.39%
Timah. .24590.00 – -%‼️
( Closed 24/6)
Nickel..22938.00 +810.00 +3.66%‼️
(Closed 27/6)
Silver……….21.16 unch +0%
Copper…..376.00 +1.70 +0.45%

Nturl Gas…..6.444 +0.269 +4.35%

Ammonia ..4883.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/6)

Coal price…392.45 +5.45 +1.41%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…375.90 +4.40 +1.18%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…372.00 +4.80 +1.31%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…354.50 +2.80 +0.80%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…4920 +264 +5.67%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………653.00 -21.00 -3.12%
SoybeanOil…..65.68 +0.73 +1.12%
Wheat………917.50 -19.00 -2.03%

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0%
(Closed 27/6)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
.

Giliran US merah, ihsg suka ikutan, kemaren US ijo asia ijo europe ijo kita merah juga padahal… Oil NIkel Coal Gas rebound, gold turun copper naik… Waktunya rebound buat saham saham coal dan trio kwek kwek ANTM INCO TINS

Ini ABC correction IHSG tahun kemaren, setelah MACD nya sell, balik lagi buy, tapi cuma dibawa sideways akhirnya turun lagi sampai level flat correction

Mungkin akan kejadian gitu lagi, karena simple ABC pattern kayanya dah ga mungkin, semua sektor mau gerak, susah dipaksa turun tajem indexnya, paling sideways dulu, sampe pada cape, baru dibawa turun lagi