Daily Analysis 20230109

Daily Analysis 20230109

January 09th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks stage first big rally of 2023 as hope grows that inflation will ease, Dow closes up 700 points

U.S. stocks advanced Friday after the December jobs report and an economic activity survey showed signs that inflation may be cooling, signaling that the Federal
Reserve’s interest rate hikes are having their intended effect.

Dow…….33631 +700.5 +2.13%
Nasdaq.10569 +264.1 +2.56%
S&P 500..3895 +86.98 +2.28%

FTSE…….7670 +66.04 +0.87%
Dax……..14610 +173.7 +1.20%
CAC……..6861 +99.5 +1.47%

Nikkei…..25974 +153.1 +0.59%
HSI………20992 -60.5 -0.29%
Shanghai…3158 +2.4 +0.08%
ST Times..3277 -15.9 -0.48%

IDX…..6684.56 +30.72 +0.46%
LQ45….913.02 +3.36 +0.37%

IDX Energy..2119.86 +29.34 +1.40%
IDX BscMat 1222.34 +21.89 +1.82%
IDX Indstrl…1138.16 +7.85 +0.69%
IDXNONCYC..726.04 +6.80 +0.95%
IDX Hlthcare1541.57 +0.81 +0.05%
IDXCYCLIC…822.22. -2.46 -0.30%
IDX Techno.5100.91 +23.02 +0.45%
IDX Transp..1621.01 +14.82 +0.92%
IDX Infrast…..848.42 -7.16 -0.84%
IDX Finance 1373.23 -5.30 -0.38%
IDX Banking 1110.66 -3.73 -0.34%
IDX Property….688 +3.60 +0.52%

Indo10Yr.7.0285 -0.0039 -0.06%
ICBI…345.1791 +0.1847 +0.05%
US10Yr..3.7200 +0.0110 +0.30%
VIX…..21.13 -1.33 -5.92%

USDIndx103.8790 -1.250 -1.19%
Como Indx.264.82 +1.13 +0.43%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..162.89 +2.56 +1.59%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15632.50 +16.00 +0.10%
Jisdor..15635.00 +25.00 +0.16%

Euro……1.0648 +0.0146 +1.39%

TLKM…..24.10 +0.07 +0.29%
(3768)
EIDO…..21.98 +0.38 +1.76%
EEM……40.07 +0.82 +2.09%

Oil…….73.77 +0.10 +0.14%
Gold ..1869.70 +29.10 +1.58%
Timah…25270 +409 +1.65%
(Closed 06/01)
Nickel.28824.50 +915.00 +3.28%‼️
(Closed 06/01)
Silver…….23.98 +0.56 +2.38%
Copper..391.10 +9.00 +2.36%

Nturl Gas..3.761 -0.013 -0.34%

Ammonia..4606.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/01)

Coal price….396.15 -1.35 -0.34%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….368.50 -3.50 -0.94%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….343.80 -3.70 -1.06%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price…172.30 -5.45 -3.06%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..170.70 -7.20 -4.05%‼️
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..170.45 -7.90 -4.42%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)…..4052 -38 -0.93%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……….654.00 +1.25 +0.19%
SoybeanOil..63.17 +0.75 +1.20%
Wheat……..743.50 -3.25 -0.44%

Wood pulp…6410.00. -10 -0.16%
(Closed 05/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at closing ijo semua kecuali hongkong sama singapore, US ijo tebel

Metal2 an naik semua, Oil naik tipis, gas rebound dikit, coal sempet naik lagi ke 400 usd/mt turun lagi ke 396, cpo turun

 

IHSG – minor ABC correction udah bisa dianggap done kali, kalo sampe tembus titik awal elliot wave di 6559 bisa bubar… Kemaren yang jadi urusan masih NFS dan bandar lokal ga nahan, malah ikutan buang, drop jauh deh. Jum’at masih NFS tapi ngurangin, BD akum, walhasil ijo. Semoga senin mulai NFB. Stoch masih down dan MACD sell, belum bisa langsung rally ini kayanya, tapi semoga ga koreksi lebih jauh, cuma konsolidasi sebelum mantul. Jangan aggressive dulu

Basic Materials yang menarik, consumer non-cyclicals ganjel index, property surprisingly terlihat menguat padahal suku bunga bank naik, Technology melesu, Infrastructure juga

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT CPIN HMSP PTBA DSNG LINK

MACD Buy Signal: ERAA INCO DSNG MPMX

Daily Analysis 20230105

Daily Analysis 20230105

January 05th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher, snap 2-day losing streak as Wall Street shakes off Fed minutes

Stocks closed higher Wednesday after a choppy session as investors looked past Federal Reserve meeting minutes that showed the central bank will remain aggressive in its policy to tame high inflation.

Dow…….33270 +133.4 +0.40%
Nasdaq.10459 +71.8 +0.69%
S&P 500..3853 +28.8 +0.75%

FTSE…….7585 +31.1 +0.41%
*Dax…….14491 +309.1 +2.18%*
*CAC……..6776 +152.5 +2.30%*

Nikkei…..25717 -377.6 -1.45%
*HSI…….20793 +647.8 +3.22%*
Shanghai…3124 +7.0. +0.22%
ST Times..3242 -3.3 -0.10%

IDX…….6813.24 -75.52 -1.10%
LQ45……928.53 -11.92 -1.27%

*IDX Energy..2211.60 -73.20 -3.20%*
IDX BscMat 1232.72 -6.35 -0.51%
IDX Indstrl…1156.55 -25.08 -2.12%
IDXNONCYC..721.89 -1.82 -0.25%
IDX Hlthcare1533.83 -27.79 -1.78%
IDXCYCLIC….844.57 -6.80 -0.80%
IDX Techno.5225.79 +12.60+0.24%
IDX Transp..1649.17 -25.77 -1.54%
IDX Infrast……877.93 -8.97 -1.01%
IDX Finance 1405.94 -8.91 -0.63%
IDX Banking 1137.31 -11.51 -1.00%
IDX Property….700 -7.30 -1.04%

Indo10Yr.7.0398 -0.0025 -0.04%
ICBI….344.6642 +0.0910 +0.03%
*US10Yr..3.7090 -0.0840 -2.21%*
*VIX…..22.01 -0.89 -3.89%*

*USDIndx.104.2690 -0.4140 -0.40%*
*Como Indx.264.17 -6.01 -2.22%*
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..162.29 -3.17 -1.92%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15582.50 -18.50 -0.12%*
*Jisdor..15615.00 +25.00 +0.16%*

*Euro……1.0604 +0.057 +0.54%*

TLKM…..24.35 -0.05 -0.20%
*(3804)*
EIDO…….22.33 -0.09 -0.40%
*EEM……39.37 +1.15 +3.01%*

*Oil…….72.85 -4.09 -5.32%‼️*
*Gold …1859.00 +12.90 +0.70%*
*Timah….25473 +665 +2.68%*
*(Closed 03/01)*
*Nickel.29248.00 -2087.50 -6.66%‼️*
*(Closed 04/01)*
Silver…….23.96 -0.27 -1.12%
Copper…374.05 -2.60 -0.69%

*Nturl Gas..4.149 +0.140 +3.49%*

*Ammonia..4606.67 -66.66 -1.43%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(03/01)

Coal price….394.55 +1.45 +0.37%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….363.70 +3.05 +0.85%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….340.30 +3.35 +0.99%
(Mar/Newcastle)
*Coal price…178.75 -8.50 -4.54%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)
*Coal price..179.25 -8.80 -4.68%‼️*
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price..179.70 -7.40 -3.96%‼️*
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)…..4171 -84 -1.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn……….653.75 -16.75 -2.50%*
SoybeanOil…62.86 -0.35 -0.55%
*Wheat……..745.50 -30.00 -3.87%*

Wood pulp…6430.00. -6 -0.09%
(Closed 04/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo, europe ijo tebel, semoga IHSG hari ini rebound kenceng juga. Hangseng kemaren padahal naik tinggi

Metal2 ga kompak, Gold Timah naik, Nikel drop, silver copper turun. Masih ok buat ANTM sama MDKA. Oil lanjut drop, gas rebound, coal NCF naik, Rotterdam turun, agak mengkhawatirkan ini energy…

CPO turun lagi, watchout saham CPO, tertib teknikal, karena price reboundnya belum firm

IHSG – balik NFS lagi, walhasil drop, stoch masih down, MACD up tapi jadi goyang, MFI flat, BD dist (pantes drop, ga ditahan bandar lokal), belum berhasil firm breakout ascending triangle, masih bolak balik, kita liat perkembangannya gimana di infobank

Infobank15 – stoch udah buy, macd belum, outflow foreign belum beres, BD juga ikutan dist, belum bisa ngangkat index nih…

Masih Technology sama Infrastructure (versi telco sama JSMR, BUMN konstruksi masih kacau) Sektor lain mulai mantul, tapi belum…

Stoch Buy Signal: INDF MEDC DSNG SRTG

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM TAPG

Daily Analysis 20221227

Daily Analysis 20221227

December 27th, 2022 Good morning, US, UK, and European markets on holiday due to Chritsmas Day Dow.......33204 closed +0% Nasdaq.10498 closed +0% S&P 500..3845 closed +0% FTSE.......7473 closed +0% Dax........13941…
Daily Analysis 20122226

Daily Analysis 20122226

December 26th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close higher Friday, but fall for a third straight week

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose Friday, but still posted a weekly loss as recession fears continue to batter investor sentiment.

Dow…….33204  +176.4   +0.53%
Nasdaq.10498  +21.7      +0.21%
S&P 500..3845  +22.4      +0.59%

FTSE…….7473  +3.7        +0.05%
Dax……..13941 +26.9      +0.19%
CAC……..6505   -13.1       -0.20%

Nikkei…..26235   -272.6 -1.03%
HSI………19593   -86.2    -0.44%
Shanghai…3046  -8.6      -0.28%
ST Times..3260 +13.3    +0.41%

IDX…….6800.67  -23.76   -0.35%
LQ45……934.26  -7.43      -0.79%

IDX Energy..2256.74   +1.76   +0.08%
IDX BscMat 1231.04   +5.78  +0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1178.79   -3.76    -0.32%
IDXNINCYC..722.15    -1.67    -0.23%
IDX Hlthcare.1552.67 -3.76    -0.32%
IDXCYCLIC…..846.73  -2.24    -0.26%
IDX Techno..5137.38  -15.63  -0.30%
IDX Transp…1677.17  -12.97  -0.77%
IDX Infrast……854.79  -0.42    -0.05%
IDX Finance 1420.79  -7.14     -0.60%
IDX Banking 1148.88  -9.44     -0.81%
IDX Property….692    +4.70     +0.68%

Indo10Yr.7.0089 -0.0024   -0.03%
ICBI….344.2860 +0.1558  +0.05%
US10Yr..3.7510  +0.0820  +2.23%
VIX……20.87     -1.10        -5.01%

USDIndx.104.3140 -0.099  -0.09%
Como Indx.278.11 +4.47  +1.63%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..164.71 +1.06  +0.65%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15592.50 +10.00 +0.06%
Jisdor..15605.00 +11.00 +0.07%

Euro……1.0617  +0.0021 +0.20%

TLKM…….24.03     +0.32   +1.350%
(3750)
EIDO………22.42     -0.03    -0.13%
EEM……….37.80    -0.05    -0.13%

Oil………..79.56   +2.07   +2.67%
Gold …..1804.20 +8.90     +0.50%
Timah…..23934  +4.00     +0.02%
(Closed 23/12)
Nickel.29684.00 -403.50 -1.37%
(Closed 23/12)
Silver…….23.92    +0.30   +1.25%
Copper…380.90   +5.20   +1.38%

Nturl Gas..5.125   +0.06  +1.18%

Ammonia..4573.33 unch     +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(22/12)

Coal price….401.10  +0.45   +0.11%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….371.10   +0.10  +0.03%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….347.05   +0.10  +0.03%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…288.70    -0.80    -0.35%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price….188.70  -4.40   -2.28%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….188.25  -4.15   -2.15%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80         –              -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..3831   -62    -1.59%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….666.25 +5.75   +0.87%
SoybeanOil..64.65   +0.64   +1.00%
Wheat………776.00  +13.75 +1.80%

Wood pulp…6446.00  unch  +0%
(Closed 25/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing jum’at ijo, europe mostly ijo, asia hampir semua merah

Metal2 naik semua kecuali nikel, oil gas coal naik, cpo yang turun… Harusnya hari ini lanjut ijo IHSG. Saham basic materials logam2an, coal coal, harusnya rally… AALI LSIP belum asik euy

Semua melemah… Ga jadi santa claus rally nya

Kita cari saham yang prepare gerak aja deh

Stochastic Buy Signal: EMTK DSNG PTPP TAPG

MACD Buy Signal: BRPT EMTK AALI DOID MTDL PTRO

Menarik DSNG sama AALI bareng buy signal, CPO mau bangun?

Daily Analysis 20221214

Daily Analysis 20221214

December 14th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher on cooler inflation report, notch second day of gains

Stocks rose Tuesday after the release of new U.S. inflation data, while traders awaited a key Federal Reserve policy decision.

Dow…….34109 +103.6 +0.30%
Nasdaq.11257 +113.1 +1.01%
S&P 500..4020 +29.1 +0.73%

FTSE…….7503 +56.9 +0.72%
Dax……..14498 +191.3 +1.34%
CAC……..6745 +94.4 +1.42%

Nikkei….27955 +112.5 +0.40%
HSI……..19596 +132.6 +0.68%
Shanghai..3176 -2.7. -0.09%
ST Times..3271 +31.6 +0.98%

IDX…….6810.32 +75.86 +1.13%
LQ45……952.79 +14.05 +1.50%

IDX Energy..2127.07 +1.43 +0.07%
IDX BscMat 1251.21 +0.41 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl…1174.98 +4.96 +0.42%
IDXNONCYC..728.83 +0.81 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare.1538.08 -2.34 -0.15%
IDXCYCLIC…..861.99 +8.52 +1.00%
*IDX Techno..5290.98 +219.79 +4.33%‼️*
IDX Transp…1716.50 +4.51 +0.26%
IDX Infrast……848.81 -4.10 -0.48%
IDX Finance 1456.46 +23.77 +1.66%
IDX Banking 1177.89 +21.68 +1.88%
IDX Property….707 -6.40 -0.89%

*Indo10Yr…7.0236 -0.0173 -0.25%*
*ICBI…….343.1406 -0.0539 -0.02%*
*US10Yr..3.5010 -0.1100 -3.05%*
*VIX……22.55 -2.45 -9.80%*

*USDIndx..104.0020 -1.0340 -0.98%👍*
*Como Indx.275.03 +5.66 +2.10%*
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..167.96 -0.05 -0.03%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15657.00 +29.50 +0.19%*
*Jisdor..15661.00 +19.00 +0.12%*

*Euro……1.0632 +0.0095 +0.90%*

TLKM……..23.74 +0.15 +0.64%
*(3718)*
EIDO……….22.96 +0.43 +1.92%
EEM……….38.59 +0.27 +0.72%

*Oil………..75.39 +2.22 +3.03%‼️*
*Gold …..1825.50 +33.20 +1.85%*
Timah…..23950 -340 -1.40%
*(Closed 12/12)*
*Nickel…28292.00 -1011.50 -3.45%‼️*
*(Closed 13/12)*
*Silver………23.99 +0.59 +2.51%*
Copper….384.20 +4.15 +1.09%

*Nturl Gas…..6.965 +0.441 +6.75%‼️*

Ammonia..4856.67 -33.33 -0.68%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(12/12)

Coal price….404.25 +4.25 +1.06%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….377.65 +4.65 +1.25%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….363.65 +2.40 +0.67%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….247.00 -3.25 -1.30%
(Des/Rotterdam)
‘Coal price….234.55 -0.70 -0.30%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….235.10 -2.30 -0.97%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)…..3887 +146 +3.90%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….653.50 -0.50 -0.08%
*SoybeanOil.63.37 +1.90 +3.09%*
Wheat………750.75 -4.00 -4.00%

Wood pulp…6510.00 unch +0%
(Closed 13/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US lanjut ijo, europe ijo, asia kemaren kebanyakan ijo, semoga IHSG hari ini lanjut rally…

Oil naik tinggi, gas naik tinggi, coal naik ke 404, energy lanjut… Gold Silver Copper naik (USD index turun), timah nikel turun. CPO naik tinggi. MDAK ANTM perlu dicermati, AALI LSIP semoga mulai bullish, CPO nya semoga ga bolak balik ngedrop

IHSG – Regular Bullish Divergence RSI

Ada juga reg bull div di MACD

IHSG – masih NFS, tapi BD udah akum, stoch almost buy, freq analyzer ga ada spike, tapi secara umum naik, berarti transaksi lebih banyak yang nilainya besar, kemaren ada vol spike dari transaksi GOTO, belum bisa mewakili index, divergence RSI dan MACD biasanya kuat, harusnya jalan wave 3 ini, yang sebelumnya tertunda

Bagusnya: Financials bangun, jeleknya, yang leading keliatan cape: Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property, Energy, keliatannya kalo property sama consumer non-cyclicals udahan dulu, energy yang lanjut, mungkin nanti ditemenin sama basic materials dan infrastructure yang banyak BUMN perlu windress

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII GOTO TLKM TPIA ACES DSNG TAPG

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI CPIN AKRA