Daily Analysis 20240925

Daily Analysis 20240925

September 25th, 2024 S&P 500, Dow hit fresh records, China stocks soar on new stimulus US stocks rose modestly on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial average…
Daily Analysis 20240902

Daily Analysis 20240902

September 02nd, 2024 Stocks close higher Friday, S&P 500 posts fourth straight winning month Stocks rose on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average posting a fresh record high as…
Daily Analysis 20240802

Daily Analysis 20240802

August 02nd, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 500 points lower Thursday as investors’ recession fears awaken

Stocks sold off Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
tumbling nearly 500 points, as investors’ fears over a recession surfaced.

Dow……40348 -494.8 -1.21%
Nasdaq17194 -405.3 -2.30%
S&P 500.5447 -75.6 -1.37%

FTSE…..8283 -84.6 -1.01%
Dax……18083 -425.6 -2.30%
CAC……7570 -161.04 -2.14%

Nikkei..38126 -975.9 -2.49%
HSI……..17305 -39.6 -0.34%
Shanghai.2932 -6.4 -0.22%

IDX….7325.98 +70.22 +0.97%
LQ45…925.51 +11.76 +1.29%
IDX30.461.45 +6.69 +1.47%

IDXEnergy..2459.65 +8.23 +0.34%
IDX BscMat1371.22 +7.60 +0.56%
IDX Indstrl.1036.57 -4.17 -0.40%
IDXNONCYC.705.02+0.29 +0.04%
IDX Hlthcare1448.34 -1.06 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC…759.81 +0.53 +0.07%
IDXTechno.3284.23 -3.28 -0.10%
IDX Transp 1391.58 +10.89 +0.20%
IDX Infrast 1568.46 -6.94 -0.44%
IDX Finance1417.15 +15.2 +1.09%
IDX Banking1263.32 +25.59 +2.07%
IDX Property…..649 +8.20 +1.29%

Indo10Yr.6.9175❗️ -0.0245 -0.35%
ICBI…384.4484❗️ +0.8774 +0.23%
US2Yr.4.156 -0.104 -2.44%👍
US5Yr 3.844👍 -0.073 -1.86%
US10Yr3.970👍 -0.0789 -1.93%
US30Yr.4.280 -0.026 -0.60%
VIX..18.59 +2.23 +13.63%‼️

USDIndx 104.4210 +0.325 +0.31%
Como Indx….273.59 -4.53 -1.63%
BCOMIN…..139.10 -1.33 -0.94%

IndoCDS..75.20 +000 +0.00%
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16237.00❗️ -23.00 -0.14%
Jisdor.16294.00❗️ -51.00 -0.31%

Euro…1.0789 -0.0037 -0.34%

TLKM…17.59 -0.26 -1.46%*
( 2866)
EIDO….20.19 +0.05 +0.27%
EEM……42.20 -0.73 -1.70%

Oil………..76.79 -1.77 -2.25%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….79.52 -1.20 -1.49%
(Brent)
Gold…..2489.20 -3.10 -0.12%
(Comex)
Gold……2448.00 -2.74 -0.11%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29894.00 -162.00 -0.54%
(Closed 01/08)
Nickel..16235.00 -276.00 -0.92%
(Closed 01/08)
Silver….28.61 -0.61 -2.09%
Copper.406.70 -12.65 -3.02%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 105.94 -0.31 -0.29%
(31/07)
Nturl Gas 1.978‼️ -0.064 -3.13%
Ammonia China 2346.67 -196.66 -7.73%‼️
(Domestic Price)(01/08)

Coal price.142.55 +2.45 +1.75%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.80 +2.40 +1.70%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 145.25 +3.25 +2.29%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.65 +3.50 +2.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.95 +3.10 +2.65%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.80 +4.00 +3.42%‼️
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 120.45 +3.90 +3.35%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.55 +4.00 +3.43%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3871 -38 -0.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..398.50 -1.25 -0.31%
SoybeanOil 41.45 -0.87 -2.06%
Wheat…..532.00 +4.75 +0.90%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 01/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah dalem, europe juga, asia juga kecuali IHSG, sekarang kemungkinan besar nyusul merah

US Bond yield sebenernya merah, kalo pasar saham US ijo kita hampir pasti ijo juga, tapi ini nggak, US merah, kita masih jadwal wave 2, so kayanya hancur lagi. USD index up, consequently metal2 merah semua, oil gas CPO merah, coal ijo tebel sendiri. PTBA menarik ini

IHSG – kemarin FNB, tapi turnover vol transaksi kecil, ga terlalu valid jadinya. Technically masih jelek, very selective buying, malah amannya diem dulu keep cash

Bubar semua, Basic Materials yang terlihat mau mulai gerak. Healthcare masih bagus arahnya, tapi bukan spesialis contrarian, skip

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget, ANTM ICBP INCO KLBF PGEO TOWR UNTR UNVR BRMS CTRA MPMX NISP PWON SMRA TBIG TINS TRON PSSI ISSI, yang accum tapi cuma ANTM INCO PWON SMRA

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM BMRI BRPT TOWR MICE, big accum ANTM BMRI BRPT

Daily Analysis 20240709

Daily Analysis 20240709

July 09th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq close at all-time highs ahead of inflation data and second-quarter earnings reports

The S&P 500
and Nasdaq closed at record highs on Monday as investors await key inflation data to provide further clues about whether this year’s market rally is sustainable. Earnings from some major financial giants and consumer companies are also on the docket.

Dow……39345 -31.1 -0.08%
Nasdaq18404 +50.98 +0.28%
S&P 500.5573 +5.7 +0.10%

FTSE…..8193 -10.4 -0.13%
Dax……18472 -3.4 -0.02%
CAC……7627 -48.2 -0.63%

Nikkei..40781 -131.8 -0.32%
HSI…..17524 -275.6 -1.55%
Shanghai.2922 -27.5 -0.93%

IDX….7250.98 -2.39 -0.03%
LQ45..904.33 -2.31 -0.25%
IDX30.452.34 +0.09 +0.02%

IDXEnergy..2440.14 -10.81 -0.44%
IDX BscMat1390.64 -3.10 -0.43%
IDX Indstrl. 997.72 +11.58 +1.17%
IDXNONCYC.708.69 +9.02 +1.29%
IDX Hlthcare1447.18+18.20 +1.27%
IDXCYCLIC…738.37 +0.82 +1.21%
IDXTechno3299.93 +39.60 +1.21%
IDX Transp 1303.39 +2.49 +0.19%
IDX Infrast 1572.48 +23.95 +1.55%
IDX Finance1372.13 -2.71 -0.20%
IDX Banking1205.14 -6.85 -0.57%
IDX Property…..613 +13.50 +2.26%

Indo10Yr.7.0484👍 -0.0174 -0.25%
ICBI…381.3072👍 +0.4719 +0.12%
US2Yr.4.635 +0.029 +0.63%
US5Yr 4.241 +0.014 +0.33%
US10Yr4.275 -0.003 -0.07%
US30Yr.4.463 -0.013 -0.29%
VIX..12.37 -0.11 -0.88%

USDIndx 105.00 +0.125 +0.12%
Como Indx….290.91 -2.52 -0.86%
BCOMIN…… 154.38 -0.81 -0.52%

IndoCDS..74.22👍 -0.49 -0.66%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/07)

IDR…..16257.00❗️ -20.00 -0.12%
Jisdor.16265.00❗️ -47.00 -0.29%

Euro…1.0825 -0.0015 -0.14%

TLKM…18.69 +0.06 +0.30%
( 3040)
EIDO….19.87 +0.02 +0.10%
EEM…..43.64 +0.01 +0.41%

Oil…….82.22 -0.94 -1.13%
Gold…..2366.60 -31.10 -1.30%
Timah..34218.00 +344.00 +1.02%
(Closed 08/07)
Nickel..17441.00 +58.00 +0.33%
(Closed 08/07)
Silver….31.08 -0.61 -1.92%
Copper.461.60 -3.70 -0.80%

Iron Ore 62% 111.31 -1.75 -1.55%
(05/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.378 +0.048 +2.06%
Ammonia China 2846.67 -16.60 -0.58%
(Domestic Price)(05/07)

Coal price.135.70 -0.70 -0.52%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.00 -1.45 -1.05%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.35 -1.25 -0.90%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.10 -0.45 -0.32%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.104.50 -0.50 -0.48%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..106.05 -1.00 -0.93%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 107.70 -1.10 -1.01%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.75 -0.60 -0.55%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Sep)..4040 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..407.75 -16.25 -3.83%‼️
SoybeanOil 48.26 -0.44 -0.90%
Wheat…570.50 -20.00 -3.39%‼️

Wood pulp..5420 unch +0%
(Closed 08/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah nasdaq ijo, europe merah, asia merah, US bond yield yang 2 dan 5 tahun naik yang panjang2 turun, masih jadwal koreksi dulu kalo gini

USD index up, metal2 down kecuali tin nickel, oil down gas up coal down, yups, jadwal koreksi dulu

IHSG – ini ada dua gap mengkhawatirkan, hari ini IHSG nya ijo tebel lagi, happy sih, tapi khawatir kapan koreksinya dan model gimana koreksinya bakal kejadian

Basic Materials, Industrials, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: BSDE

MACD Buy Signal: ACES ICBP INCO DNSG ERAA MIKA PWON TRON. Big accum ACES MIKA

Stochastic Continuation Signal dan Big Accum Banyak jg, ANTM, BBCA, ESSA, MDKA, MTEL, PGAS, PGEO, BTPS, CTRA, ISAT, SCMA, SMSM. diatas 50% PGAS

Daily Analysis 20240605

Daily Analysis 20240605

June 05th, 2024

Good morning,
Stocks eke out gains as labor market cools, rate-cut bets rise

US stocks flipped between negative and positive territory on Tuesday, finishing narrowly in the green as investors shifted their rate-cut expectations after more weaker-than-expected economic data.

Dow……38711 +140.3 +0.36%
Nasdaq16857 +28.4 +0.17%
S&P 500.5291 +7.9 +0.15%

FTSE…..8232 -30.7 -0.37%
Dax……18406 -202.5 -1.09%
CAC……7938 -60.1 -0.76⁴%

Nikkei..38837 -85.6 -0.01%
HSI…..18444 +41.1 +0.22%
Shanghai.3091+12.7 +0.41%

IDX….7099.31 +63.12 +0.90%
LQ45..895.80 +7.52 +0.85%
IDX30.443.12 +0.50 +0.11%

IDXEnergy..2300.50 -32.43 -1.39%
IDX BscMat1423.13 +6.65 +0.47%
IDX Indstrl. .975.51 -5.55 -0.57%
IDXNONCYC.696.60 +6.06 +0.88%
IDX Hlthcare1391.93 -21.64 +1.58%
IDXCYCLIC…701.30 +4.70 +0.67%
IDXTechno3349.92 -35.42 -1.05%
IDX Transp 1269.05 +4.00 +0.32%
IDX Infrast 1508.97 +15.15 +1.01%
IDX Finance1365.00 +9.55 +0.70%
IDX Banking1160.50 +0.97 +0.08%
IDX Property…..617 +6.30 +1.04%

Indo10Yr.6.8950 -0.0100 -0.14%
ICBI…380.9066 +0.2006 +0.05%
US2Yr.4.773👍 -0.039 -0.81%
US5Yr 4.347👍 -0.063 -1.43%
US10Yr4.326👍 -0.065 -1.48%
US30Yr.4.474👍 -0.066 -1.45%
VIX..13.16 +0.06 +0.38%

USDIndx 104.110❗️ -0.030 -0.03%
Como Indx….286.27 -2.82 -0.98%
BCOMIN…..158.48 -2.43 -1.51%

IndoCDS..72.24 -21.13 -22.63%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/06)

IDR…..16220.00‼️ -10.50 -0.06%
Jisdor.16220.00‼️ -5.00 -0.03%

Euro….1.0879 -0.0029 -0.27%

TLKM…18.51 +0.38 +2.10%
( 3002)
EIDO….20.12 +0.07 +0.35%
EEM…..41.64 -0.61 -1.43%

Oil…….72.83‼️ -1.25 -1.69%
Gold..2347.10 -23.90 -1.01%
Timah..31932.00 -418.00 -1.29%
(Closed 04/05)
Nickel..18888.50 -633.50 -3.26%‼️
(Closed 04/05)
Silver….29.69 -1.18 -3.82%
Copper.454.50 -13.85 -2.95%

Iron Ore 62% 110.10 -7.42 -6.31%‼️
(03/06)
Nturl Gas..2.620 -0.138 -5.03%‼️
Ammonia China.2950.00 -150.00 -4.84%‼️
(Domestic Price)(03/06)

Coal price.137.95 -.2.25 -1.60%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.139.80 -4.65 -3.20%‼️
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.95 -4.55 -3.11%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 142.70. -5.30 -3.58%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.116.90 -2.10 -1.76%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.15 -3.20 -2.59%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 122.00 -3.55 -2.83%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 124.55 -1.55 -1.23%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..4079 -159.00 -389%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….442.50 -1.00 -0.23%
SoybeanOil 43.62 -0.52 -1.18%
Wheat….658.25 -14.50 -2.16%

Wood pulp..5862 -18 -0.31%
(Closed 04/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe merah, asia mostly ijo, US bond yield merah, harusnya ijo lagi IHSG hari ini

US index merah, tapi metal2 juga merah, oil gas coal merah juga, CPO juga merah, agak aneh ini… Tapi biar lah, mungkin giliran basic materials sama energy dan CPO bukan sekarang, ASII TLKM dan Bank bank dulu kayanya

IHSG – Stoch 833 udah buy, 1066 masih belum, MACD masih down, MFI sw, w% sw, BD belum banyak gerak, FNB tapi tipis, mantul dari LR juga, harapan bagus buat mulai gerak naik

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Energy, FInancials,Consumer Cyclicals, Industrials

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget: ADRO ASII BBCA BRIS PTBA ABMM ADHI AUTO BMTR BTPS ERAA HEAL JSMR MAPA NISP PTPP SILO TBIG, BIg Accum ASII BBCA AUTO BMTR ERAA SILO TBIG

MACD Buy Signal: BMRI MAPI SMGR SRtG ADHI AUTO CTRA ERAA IMAS MyoR PTPP SSIA AALI. Big accum: BMRI MAPI AUTO. SMGR yang ditunggu kemaren naik tinggi, kita assess apakah bisa dikejar dan di level mana entry nya

Daily Analysis 20240528

Daily Analysis 20240528

May 28th, 2024

Good morning,

US & UK Markets on holiday due to Memorial Day

Dow……39070 closed +0%
Nasdaq16921 closed +0%
S&P 500.5305 closed +0%

FTSE…..8318 closed +0%
Dax……18774 +813 +0.01%
CAC……8095 -7.4 -0.09%

Nikkei..38900 +253.9 +0.66%
HSI…..18827 +218.4 +1.17%
Shanghai.3089 +35.2 +1.14%

IDX….7176.42 -45.96 -0.64%
LQ45..889.80 -6.05 -0.68%
IDX30..441.12 -9.63 -2.14%

IDXEnergy..2269.37 -23.19 -1.01%
IDX BscMat1406.66 -21.68 -1.52%
IDX Indstrl..1018.96 -5.50 -0.54%
IDXNONCYC.709.22 +0.52 +0.07%
IDX Hlthcare1421.05-10.65 -0.74%
IDXCYCLIC…730.48 -8.04 -1.09%
IDXTechno3530.60 +81.48 +2.36%
IDX Transp 1282.34 -8.41 -0.65%
IDX Infrast 1596.95 -20.85 -1.29%
IDX Finance1357.84 -12.79 -0.93%
IDX Banking1152.49 -27.03 -2.29%
IDX Property…..621 -10.60 -1.69%

Indo10Yr.6.9033+0.0246 +0.36%
ICBI…380.1954 -0.3474 -0.09%
US2Yr.4.948 closed +0%
US5Yr 4.528 closed +0%
US10Yr4.459 closed +0%
US30Yr.4.573 closed +0%
VIX..12.36 +0.43 +3.60%‼️

USDIndx 104.5880❗️ -0.136 -0.13%
Como Indx..294.28 closed +0%
BCOMIN………164.28 closed +0%

IndoCDS..72.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/05)

IDR…..16071.50 +76.50 +0.48%
Jisdor.16064.00 +69.00 +0.43%

Euro….1.0858 +0.0011 +0.10%

TLKM…18.31 closed +0%
( -)
EIDO….20.50 closed +0%
EEM…..43.01 closed +0%

Oil…….78.55 +0.83 +1.07%
Gold..2374.70‼️ +17.80 +0.76%
Timah..33229.00 closed +0%
(Closed 24/05)
Nickel..20318.00 closed +0%
(Closed 24/05)
Silver…..31.85 +1.35 +4.41%
Copper.482.95 +7.60 +1.60%

Iron Ore 62% 117.66 – -%
(24/05)
Nturl Gas..2.797 +0.293 +11.70%‼️
Ammonia China.3033.33‼️ -33.34 -1.09%
(Domestic Price)(24/05)

Coal price 142.80 closed +0%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.00 closed +0%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.50 closed +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.15 closed +0%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price..104.05 -1.05 -1.00%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.111.90 -0.05 -0.04%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.117.65 +1.05 +0.90%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 118.90 +0.85 +0.72%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3872 -14 -0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…….464.75 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 44.95 closed +0%
Wheat…..697.25 closed +0%

Wood pulp..5872 unch +0%
(Closed 27/05)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyr«ight: Phintraco Sekuritas

US market closed, Europe sebagian tutup juga, yang buka rada tipis tipis. Asia kemaren ijo tebel kecuali IHSG yang compensate dari libur kemis jum’at kayanya, padahal harusnya ijo sih kalo cuma liat data closing jum’at

USD index down, metal2 up, oil gas up, coal rotterdam ga signifikan, harusnya ANTM MDKA mantul hari ini. MEDC ELSA harusnya lanjut juga. CPO down dikit, sabar AALI LSIP masih ketahan

IHSG – stoch rev down, macd up rev, MFI w% down, BD FF dist, masih belum boleh jalan ya, tapi pas lah, bikin higher low dulu baru start lagi

Walau kemaren dibanting big banks tapi RSI nya masih state jalan, bareng consumer non-cyclicals dan technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: HRUM ICBP ABMM CTRA MYOR PNLF INCI INDS KKGI. Big Accum ICBP

MACD Buy Signal: PNLF INCI.  PNLF vol breakout