Global update:

October 21th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower for second day as Treasury yields continue march to new highs

Stocks fell in choppy trading on Thursday as investors weighed several key earnings reports and

Dow…….30334 -90.2 -0.30%
Nasdaq.10615 -65.7 -0.61%
S&P 500..3666 -29.4 -0.80%

FTSE…….6944 +18.9 +0.27%
Dax……..12767 +26.0 +0.20%
CAC……..6086 +46.2 +0.76%

Nikkei….27007 -250.4 -0.92%
HSI……..16280 -231.1 -1.40%
Shanghai..3036 -9.3 -0.31%
ST Times..3023 -0.1 -0.00%

IDX…….6980.65 +120.24 +1.75%
LQ45…..993.68 +19.61 +2.01%

IDX Energy..2013.86 +55.53 +2.84%
IDX Bsc Mat.1258.58 +17.50 +1.41%
IDX Industrl..1257.29 +6.36 +0.51%
IDXNONCYC..736.76 +18.00 +2.50%
IDX Hlthcare.1469.92 +5.78 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC…..846.45 +4.19 +0.50%
IDX Techno..6538.56 +40.62 +0.63%
IDX Transp…1766.06 +4.88 +0.28%
IDX Infrast……931.86 +8.88 +0.96%
IDX Finance 1468.12 +16.81 +1.16%
IDX Banking.1158.80 +28.44 +2.52%
IDX Property…….684 +8.00 +1.18%

Indo10Yr….7.4883 +0.0390 +0.52%
ICBI……..331.9379 -0.7154 -0.22%
US10Yr……4.2260 +0.0990 +2.40%‼️
VIX……….29.98 -0.78 -2.54%

USDIndx 112.8500 -0.0430 -0.04%
Como Indx..271.72 +0.37 +0.14%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.70 +2.94 +2.06%
.
IndoCDS 160.00 +4.31 +2.77%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/10)

IDR……15571.50 +73.50 +0.47%‼️
Jisdor..15579.00 +110 +0.71%‼️

Euro……..0.9785 -0.0075 -0.76%‼️

TLKM……..27.52 +0.56 +2.08%
(4287
EIDO………23.26 +0.56 +2.47%
EEM………34.74 +0.22 +0.64%

Oil…………85.98 unch +0%
Gold ……1632.50 -1.50 -0.09%
Timah….19338 -112 -0.58%
(Closed 19/10)
Nickel…22195.50 +154.00 +0.70%
(Closed 20/10)
Silver………18.60 +0.19 +1.03%
Copper….339.75 +7.70 +2.32%

Nturl Gas…..5.317 -0.138 -2.53%

Ammonia..4146.67 -33.33 -0.80%
China
(Domestic Price)(19/10)

Coal price….391.95 +0.95 +0.24%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….396.15 +2.90 +0.74%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….398.50 +2.40 +0.61%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….270.00 +2.00 +0.75%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….258.50 +1.35 +0.52%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..257.30 +0.55 +0.55%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.45 unch +0%
Indonesial Coal Index (19/10)

CPO(Jan)……4100 -20 -0.48%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….684.00 +5.75 +0.85%
SoybeanOil…70.42 -0.22 -0.31%
Wheat………849.25 +8.00 +0.95%

Wood pulp…6846.00 unch +0%
(Closed 20/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing merah, europe masih pada ijo, asia merah kecuali IHSG. Hari ini kayanya mau merah berarti

Oil unchanged, gold timah merah, nikel silver copper ijo. MDKA turun dulu deh, minggu depan kita belanja MDKA. Gas merah coal ijo lagi, masih harus diperhatikan ini jebakan betmen atau bukan, cpo koreksi dikit

IHSG – stoch udah buy, macd dikit lagi, mulai FNB,bandar akum, MFI flat, closing diatas MA10 dibawah MA20, mahzab MA masih nunggu, tapi elliot wave udah firm wave 3 sih, LR mantul, DMI contraction tapi buy signal masih jauh. Masih selective buying saham saham yang firm jalan aja dan ada buy signalnya

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Basic Materials, Property sama Industrials… Financials belum terlihat, padahal kalo index mau lari financials harus dorong…

Kita check infobank15 dulu

Infobank15 – stoch buy, MACD almost buy, last day FNB, bandar akum, MFI up, inside cloud going up, elliot wave redraw, bikin lower low kemaren, sekarang udah mantul, udah closing diatas MA20 firm wave 3 ini… LR mantul DMI udah buy, lanjut dorong index ke atas…

Global Update:

October 19th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes up more than 300 points as strong earnings boost stocks in choppy market

Stocks rose for a second straight session on Tuesday as strong corporate earnings reports helped extend a rally to start the week.

Dow…….30523 +337.98 +1.12%
Nasdaq.10772 +96.6 +0.90%
S&P 500..3720 +42.03 +1.14%

FTSE…….6937 +16.5 +0.24%
Dax……..12766 +116.6 +0.92%
CAC……..6067 +26.3 +0.44%

Nikkei….27156 +380.4 +1.42%
HSI……..16915 +301.7 +1.82%
Shanghai..3081 -3.98 -0.13%
ST Times..3025 +10.1 +0.34%

IDX…….6834.49 +3.38 +0.05%
LQ45…..971.35 -1.32 -0.14%

IDX Energy…1972.86 -13.75 -0.69%
IDX Bsc Mat.1228.64 +1.59 +0.13%
IDX Industrl..1246.83 -0.69 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC..709.63 +11.18 +1.60%
IDX Hlthcare.1456.13 +4.00 +0.20%
IDXCYCLIC…..835.94 +1.63 +0.85%
IDX Techno..6453.60 -26.80 -0.41%
IDX Transp…1752.25 -0.91 -0.05%
IDX Infrast……919.96 -3.54 -0.38%
IDX Finance 1431.36 -15.22 -1.06%
IDX Banking.1101.70 +15.66 +1.11%
IDX Property…….67/ +4.50 +0.67%

Indo10Yr….7.4396 +0.0032 +0.04%
ICBI……..332.9837 +0.0033 +0.00%
US10Yr……3.9980 -0.0170 -0.42%
VIX……….30.50 -0.87 -2.77%

USDIndx 112.0390 -0.0360 -0.03%👍
Como Indx..271.55 -3.78 -1.37%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..143.24 -0.84 -0.59%
.
IndoCDS 156.09 -8.23 -5.01%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/10)

IDR……15463.50 -24.00 -0.16%‼️
Jisdor..15469.00 -11 -0.07%‼️

Euro……..0.9860 +0.0136 +1.42%‼️

TLKM……..27.20 -0.75 -2.68%
(4208)
EIDO………22.64 -0.19 -0.83%
EEM………35.16 +0.01 +0.03%

Oil…………82.82 -3.18 -3.70%
Gold ……1655.80 -1.30 -0.08%
Timah…19645 -285 -1.43%
(Closed 17/10)
Nickel…21938.00 +324.50 +1.50%
(Closed 18/10)
Silver………18.60 -0.01 -0.53%
Copper….336.20 -4.65 -1.36%

Nturl Gas…..5.691 -0.291 -4.86%‼️

Ammonia..4206.67 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(17/10)

Coal price….387.85 -4.30 -1.10%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….386.80 -5.85 -1.49%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….386.30 -8.85 -2.24%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….267.00 -3.50 -1.29%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….255.00 -4.50 -1.73%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..254.90 -4.50 -1.73%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.45 -1.25 -1.31%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/10)

CPO(Jan)……4005 +127 +3.27%‼️

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….681.00 -2.50 -0.37%
SoybeanOil….68.74 +1.90 +2.84%
Wheat………849.50 -11.50 -1.34%

Wood pulp…6846.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Ijo semua kecuali shanghai, ayo IHSG jalan wave 3. Kalo ijo lagi hari ini jadi 3 white soldiers.

Oil Coal Gas turun, bener ini kayanya wave C dulu energy, bagus deh, siap2 winter rally lagi akhir tahun. Metal turun semua kecuali nikel. CPO naik lumayan. Kita liat technically sektor mana yang mau jalan

IHSG – technically belum firm mantul, baru LR aja yang bilang buy, tapi itungan elliot wave udah sih. Bandar masih flat, foreign masih belum entry lagi, MFI naik tapi, volume cukup untuk dianggap naiknya valid bukan gorengan. Semoga sudah firm lanjut wave 3 sampe awal tahun

Industrials & Basic Materials keliatannya next yang jalan, Consumer Cyclicals dan Consumer Non-Cyclicals ga meyakinkan cacingnya

Global Update:

October 07th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower as investors await September jobs report, Dow drops nearly 350 points

U.S. stocks fell Thursday, as traders weighed sharp swings in stocks and rates to start the month.

Dow…….29927 -346.9 -1.15%
Nasdaq.11073 -75.3 -0.68%
S&P 500..3745 -38.8 -1.02%

FTSE…….6997 -55.4 -0.78%
Dax……..12471 -46.4 -0.82%
CAC……..5936 -49.04 -0.82%

Nikkei….27311 +190.8 +0.70%
HSI……..18012 -75.8 -0.42%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3151 -1.7 -0.05%

IDX…….7076.62 +1.24 +0.02%
LQ45…1010.68 -0.95 -0.09%

IDX Energy…2006.87 -2.59 -0.13%
IDX Bsc Mat.1253.96 -5.19 -0.41%
IDX Industrl..1289.50 -6.57 -0.51%
IDXNONCYC..701.32 +1.72 +0.25%
IDX Hlthcare.1462.84 -3.97 -0.27%
IDXCYCLIC…..867.43 +4.44 +0.51%
IDX Techno..7128.14 +68.89 +0.98%
IDX Transp…1859.14 +8.86 +0.48%
IDX Infrast…….981.94 +1.59 +0.16%
IDX Finance 1496.24 +7.87 +0.53%
IDX Banking.1158.94 +2.87 +0.25%
IDX Property….693 +0.20 +0.03%

Indo10Yr….7.3351 +0.001 +0.01%
ICBI……..334.5917 -0.1611 -0.05%
US10Yr……3.8260 +0.0670 +1.78%
VIX……….30.52 +1.97 +6.90%‼️

USDIndx 112.2580 +1.0500 +0.94%‼️
Como Indx..282.26 +0.37 +0.13%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..150.79 +0.09 +0.06%
.
IndoCDS 150.64 +1.33 +0.89%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15187.50 -5.50 -0.03%
Jisdor..15197.00 +1.00 +0.01%

Euro……..0.9797 -0.0087 -0.88%‼️

TLKM……..28.75 -0.32 -1.10%
(4369
EIDO………23.57 -0.10 -0.42%
EEM………36.41 -0.22 -0.60%

Oil…………89.03 +1.27 +1.45%
Gold ……1719.90 -0.90 -0.05%
Timah….20290 +83.00 +0.41%
(Closed 05/10)
Nickel…22675.50 +45.00 +0.20%
(Closed 06/10)
Silver…….20.65 +0.11 +0.54%
Copper….343.65 -6.40 -1.88%

Nturl Gas…..6.838 -0.087 -1.26%

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….400.00 +3.75 +0.95%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….405.95 +0.20 +0.05%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….404.95 +0.45 +0.11%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….267.85 -26.50 -9.00%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….262.05 -28.70 -9.87%‼️
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….261.00 -27.25 -9.45%‼️
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3701 +61 +1.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………675.50 -8.50 -1.24%
SoybeanOil….66.02 +0.48 +0.73%
Wheat……..879.00 -23.00 -2.55%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren semua lanjut merah kecuali IHSG sama Nikkei. Masih jadwal wave 2 ini sepertinya, big banks masih belum diangkat juga.

Oil lanjut naik, gold tilver timah nikel naik, copper gas turun, coal naik dikit pas ke 400 usd/mt, CPO juga lanjut ijo, menarik dicermati AALI LSIP ANTM INCO TINS

Yang garis kuning Infobank15, hampir setiap kali sejalan sama index…

IHGS – stoch buy, macd belum, MFI up, bandar flat, last day FNS, PSAR masih down, LR bisa kemana aja, 2 kali candle inverted hammer, candle reversal, IMHO ini masih belum firm mau jalan wave 3. Kita compare sama Infobank15

Infobank – stoch buy, macd down, mfi down, FNS, bandar flat, masih false breakout wave 3 dan IHNS, masih di area neckline, DMI ga jadi buy,masih belum firm jalan, selama bigbanks masih sideways, index juga sideways, WNS

Belum ada yang firm, masih bolak balik antara energy, consumer non-cyclicals, consumer cyclicals, WNS kecuali yang emang buy signal emitennya kita cermati dan kalopun bagus jangan masuk full dulu

Banyak buy signal, kita fokus yang di oversold area, ANTM WSKT

ANTM – Stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, bandar flat FNS 2 hari, retracement pattern sesuai, dari 38 koreksi ke 23, siap2 mantul, DMI belum buy signal, ada gap di bawah di 1800 an, ada gap 2 di atas di 2030 dan 2740. Spec buy half

WSKT – stoch buy, macd rev up, mfi down, bandar masih dist, FF dist tipis, sudah bikin higher low walau deket banget sama lowest nya setelah terjun, LR bilang up, DMI mulai contraction, mendekati akhir tahun biasanya window dressing, tapi kita tunggu firm index wave 3 deh, soalnya BUMN karya fundamentally belum recover

Yang deket2 consumer dan energy… INDF, SCMA… KBLI masuk kriteria saham invest coba kita liat juga

INDF – menarik banget, memang stoch dan macd nya bolak balik terus jadi balum bisa dianggap valid kecuali ada vol breakout yang signifikan, tapi udah ada reg bull div yang cocok banget sama closing gap retracement pattern nya. Tapi belum sekarang entry nya kecuali mau bottom fishing. WNS tunggu breakout

SCMA – stoch buy macd buy, breakout resistance with volume, 3 white soldiers, reg bull div MACD histogram, DMI buy, cross up midline LR, perfect sih, bahwa pull back biasa… Semoga lanjut kenceng test fibo 23. Yang punya Hold, yang belum punya bisa BOW

KBLI – banyak indic bilang bagus, tapi memang signal bolakbalik terus karena sideways, FF cuek bandar cuek, belum lah, tunggu ada breakout aja. WNS

October 05th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow rallies more than 1,500 points in two days, S&P 500 posts best 2-day gain since 2020

Stocks surged Tuesday as Wall Street built on a sharp rally seen in the previous session and bond yields continued to fall.

Dow…….30316 +825.4 +2.80%
Nasdaq.11176 +360.97 +3.34%
S&P 500..3791 +112.5 +3.06%

FTSE…….7086 +177.7 +2.57%
Dax……..12671 +461.0 +3.78%
CAC……..6040 +245.5 +4.24%

Nikkei….26992 +776.4 +2.96%
HSI……..17080 closed +0%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3139 +31.8 +1.02%

IDX…….7072.26 +62.54 +0.89%
LQ45…1014.65 +8.27 +0.82%

IDX Energy…1994.63 +61.54 +3.18%
IDX Bsc Mat.1253.73 +24.55 +2.00%
IDX Industrl..1298.34 +14.77 +1.15%
IDXNONCYC..700.03 +0.41 +0.06%
IDX Hlthcare.1456.78 -2.45 -0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..850.49 +2.06 +0.17%
IDX Techno..6932.20 -17.38 -0.25%
IDX Transp…1799.98 +38.26 +2.17%
IDX Infrast…….982.22 +5.40 +0.55%
IDX Finance 1487.34 +12.02 +0.81%
IDX Banking.1159.78 +8.28 +0.63%
IDX Property….691 +2.60 +0.55%

Indo10Yr….7.3781 -0.0232 -0.31%
ICBI……..333.8328 +0.5965 +0.18%
US10Yr……3.6170 -0.0340 -0.93%
VIX……….29.07 -1.03 -3.42%

USDIndx 110.1990 -1.3440 -1.20%👍
Como Indx..280.43 +7.61 +2.79%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..149.65 +5.24 +3.63%‼️
.
IndoCDS 142.38 -18.57 -11.54%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15247.50 -55.50 -0.36%‼️
Jisdor..15276.00 -17.00 -0.11%‼️

Euro……..0.9984 +0.0158 +1.61%‼️

TLKM……..29.36 +0.16 +0.55%
(4485)
EIDO……..24.05 +0.49 +2.08%
EEM………36.61 +1.16 +3.27%

Oil…………86.52 +3.20 +3.84%‼️
Gold ……1730.40 +22.70 +1.33%‼️
Timah….20059 -575.00 -2.79%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel…21971.00 +672.00 +3.16%‼️
(Closed 04/10)
Silver…….21.10 +0.33 +1.59%
Copper….349.00 +7.25 +2.12%

Nturl Gas…..6.825 +0.311 +4.74%‼️

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….404.00 +2.50 +0.62%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….410.00 -2.50 -0.61%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….408.00 -1.50 -0.37%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….301.00 -14.85 -4.70%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….299.55 -14.30 -4.56%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….297.95 -12.90 -4.15%‼️
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3615 +187 +5.46%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………683.00 +2.25 +0.33%
SoybeanOil….66.00 +1.68 +2.65%
Wheat……..903.00 -9.00 -0.99%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional naik kemarin, US closing ijo tebel, europe juga, malah perancis index naik sampe diatas 4%

Hampir semua commodity naik kecuali timah, CPO naik tinggi, kita cermati apakah ini awal bangunnya saham CPO yang lama banget bearish

IHSG – stoch buy signal, macd down, histogram mulai ngebalik, MFI sw, 2 hari FNB, bandar flat, testing breakout cloud ichimoku, sedang menunggu konfirmasi apakah wave 2 sudah finished, karena levelnya sudah tercapai tapi masih ada gap belum tertutup di 6740. LR mantul sebelum kena lower channel, DMI mulai contraction. Spec buy dan bottom fishing udah ok dimulai, full muatan jangan dulu

Leading sector Consumer Non-Cyclicals, tapi yang menarik diikuti dan bisa long run keliatannya Energy dan Basic Materials yang baru mulai gerak