December 14th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher on cooler inflation report, notch second day of gains

Stocks rose Tuesday after the release of new U.S. inflation data, while traders awaited a key Federal Reserve policy decision.

Dow…….34109 +103.6 +0.30%
Nasdaq.11257 +113.1 +1.01%
S&P 500..4020 +29.1 +0.73%

FTSE…….7503 +56.9 +0.72%
Dax……..14498 +191.3 +1.34%
CAC……..6745 +94.4 +1.42%

Nikkei….27955 +112.5 +0.40%
HSI……..19596 +132.6 +0.68%
Shanghai..3176 -2.7. -0.09%
ST Times..3271 +31.6 +0.98%

IDX…….6810.32 +75.86 +1.13%
LQ45……952.79 +14.05 +1.50%

IDX Energy..2127.07 +1.43 +0.07%
IDX BscMat 1251.21 +0.41 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl…1174.98 +4.96 +0.42%
IDXNONCYC..728.83 +0.81 +0.11%
IDX Hlthcare.1538.08 -2.34 -0.15%
IDXCYCLIC…..861.99 +8.52 +1.00%
*IDX Techno..5290.98 +219.79 +4.33%‼️*
IDX Transp…1716.50 +4.51 +0.26%
IDX Infrast……848.81 -4.10 -0.48%
IDX Finance 1456.46 +23.77 +1.66%
IDX Banking 1177.89 +21.68 +1.88%
IDX Property….707 -6.40 -0.89%

*Indo10Yr…7.0236 -0.0173 -0.25%*
*ICBI…….343.1406 -0.0539 -0.02%*
*US10Yr..3.5010 -0.1100 -3.05%*
*VIX……22.55 -2.45 -9.80%*

*USDIndx..104.0020 -1.0340 -0.98%👍*
*Como Indx.275.03 +5.66 +2.10%*
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..167.96 -0.05 -0.03%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15657.00 +29.50 +0.19%*
*Jisdor..15661.00 +19.00 +0.12%*

*Euro……1.0632 +0.0095 +0.90%*

TLKM……..23.74 +0.15 +0.64%
*(3718)*
EIDO……….22.96 +0.43 +1.92%
EEM……….38.59 +0.27 +0.72%

*Oil………..75.39 +2.22 +3.03%‼️*
*Gold …..1825.50 +33.20 +1.85%*
Timah…..23950 -340 -1.40%
*(Closed 12/12)*
*Nickel…28292.00 -1011.50 -3.45%‼️*
*(Closed 13/12)*
*Silver………23.99 +0.59 +2.51%*
Copper….384.20 +4.15 +1.09%

*Nturl Gas…..6.965 +0.441 +6.75%‼️*

Ammonia..4856.67 -33.33 -0.68%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(12/12)

Coal price….404.25 +4.25 +1.06%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….377.65 +4.65 +1.25%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….363.65 +2.40 +0.67%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….247.00 -3.25 -1.30%
(Des/Rotterdam)
‘Coal price….234.55 -0.70 -0.30%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….235.10 -2.30 -0.97%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)…..3887 +146 +3.90%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….653.50 -0.50 -0.08%
*SoybeanOil.63.37 +1.90 +3.09%*
Wheat………750.75 -4.00 -4.00%

Wood pulp…6510.00 unch +0%
(Closed 13/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US lanjut ijo, europe ijo, asia kemaren kebanyakan ijo, semoga IHSG hari ini lanjut rally…

Oil naik tinggi, gas naik tinggi, coal naik ke 404, energy lanjut… Gold Silver Copper naik (USD index turun), timah nikel turun. CPO naik tinggi. MDAK ANTM perlu dicermati, AALI LSIP semoga mulai bullish, CPO nya semoga ga bolak balik ngedrop

IHSG – Regular Bullish Divergence RSI

Ada juga reg bull div di MACD

IHSG – masih NFS, tapi BD udah akum, stoch almost buy, freq analyzer ga ada spike, tapi secara umum naik, berarti transaksi lebih banyak yang nilainya besar, kemaren ada vol spike dari transaksi GOTO, belum bisa mewakili index, divergence RSI dan MACD biasanya kuat, harusnya jalan wave 3 ini, yang sebelumnya tertunda

Bagusnya: Financials bangun, jeleknya, yang leading keliatan cape: Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property, Energy, keliatannya kalo property sama consumer non-cyclicals udahan dulu, energy yang lanjut, mungkin nanti ditemenin sama basic materials dan infrastructure yang banyak BUMN perlu windress

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII GOTO TLKM TPIA ACES DSNG TAPG

MACD Buy Signal: BBRI CPIN AKRA

December 12th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow tumbles 300 points Friday, posts worst week since September

Stocks finished lower Friday, with all the major averages posting losses for the week as worries persisted over continued rate hikes.

Dow…….33476 -305.02 -0.90%
Nasdaq.11005 -77.4. -0.70%
S&P 500..3934 -29.1 -0.73%

FTSE…….7477 +4.5 +0.06%
Dax……..14371 +106.2 +0.74%
CAC……..6677 +30.3 +0.46%

Nikkei….27901 +326.6 +1.18%
HSI……..19901 +450.6 +2.32%
Shanghai..3207 +9.6 +0.30%
ST Times..3246 +9.9 +0.31%

IDX…….6715.12 -89.11 -1.31%
LQ45……933.01 -11.21 -1.19%

IDX Energy..2114.33 -55.96 -2.58%
IDX BscMat 1248.80 -4.64 -0.37%
IDX Indstrl…1167.50 -17.33 -1.46%
IDXNONCYC..719.31 -7.88 -1.08%
IDX Hlthcare.1529.19 -19.22 -1.24%
IDXCYCLIC…..863.09 -9.55 -1.11%
IDX Techno….5193.21-93.46 -1.77%
IDX Transp…1694.01 -6.02. -0.35%
IDX Infrast……854.97 -7.60 -0.88%
IDX Finance 1430.18 -8.54 -0.59%
IDX Banking 1153.21 -7.07 -0.61%
IDX Property….708 -4.20 -0.60%

Indo10Yr…7.0359 -0.0219 -0.31%
ICBI…….342.9951 +0.2918 -0.09%
US10Yr..3.5670 +0.0760 +2.18%
VIX……22.83 +0.54 +2.42%

USDIndx..104.8100 -0.0030 -0.002%
Como Indx..266.28 -0.12 -0.05%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..169.84 -0.85 -0.50%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15583.00 -37.50 -0.24%
Jisdor..15587.00 -37.00 -0.24%

Euro……1.0533 -0.0024 -0.23%

TLKM……..23.31 -0.34 -1.44%
(3633)
EIDO……….22.48 -0.37 -1.62%
EEM……….39.02 -0.26 -0.66%

Oil………….71.02 -0.44 -0.62%
Gold ……1810.70 +9.20 +0.51%
Timah…..24290 -335 -1.36%
(Closed 09/12)
Nickel…28822.50 -659.00 -2.23%
(Closed 09/12)
Silver………23.72 +0.47 +2.03%
Copper….387.85 -0.50 -0.13%

Nturl Gas…..6.307 +0.372 +6.27%

Ammonia..4890.00 – +%
China
(Domestic Price)(07/12)

Coal price….402.50 +7.00 +1.77%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….378.85 +3.25 +0.86%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price…..372.50 +2.50 +0.68%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….260.90 +4.40 +1.72%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….253.90 +3.15 +1.26%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….254.90 +2.90 +1.15%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)…..3987 +36 +0.91%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….644.00 +1.50 +0.23%
SoybeanOil…59.54 -0.94 -1.55%
Wheat………734.25 -12.00 -1.61%

Wood pulp…6510.00 -40 -0.61%
(Closed 11/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing merah pas jum’at, europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali IHSG yang turun dalem, harusnya rebound hari ini…

Metal metal varied, yang kesorot nikel yang turun agak besar. Oil masih turun, gas rebound tinggi, coal naik lagi ke atas 400 (harusnya aman ini lanjut rebound nya), CPO naik dikit, tapi masih belum firm trend nya

IHSG – diluar ada dalam area support kuat, technical nya index jelek banget, masih FNS terus, bandar juga banyakan distribusi, memang selama GOTO ARB terus berat banget ngangkat index, market cap nya terlalu besarbuat digendong yang lain. Tapi semoga di banks mulai akum, jadi tinggal nunggu mentoknya GOTO nanti mulai rebound index

Disini financials mulai ada kehidupan. Leading nya masih energy, healthcare, consumer non-cyclicals, sama property tapi keliatan mulai lesu

Stoch Buy Signal: BUKA KLBF ADHI

MACD Buy Signal: ERAA

December 09th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes higher to end longest losing streak since October

Stocks rose Thursday as the S&P 500 broke its longest losing streak since October and Wall Street evaluated the odds of a recession ahead.

Dow…….33782 +183.6 +0.55%
Nasdaq.11082 +123.5 +1.13%
S&P 500..3964 +29.6 +0.75%

FTSE…….7472 -17.02 -0.23%
Dax……..14265 +3.4 +0.02%
CAC……..6647 -13.3 -0.20%

Nikkei….27574 -111.97 -0.40%
HSI……..19450 +635.4 +3.38%
Shanghai..3197 -2.3. -0.07%
ST Times..3236 +10.6 +0.33%

IDX…….6804.23 -14.52 -0.21%
LQ45……944.22 -1.36. -0.14%

IDX Energy..2170.29 -15.98 -0.73%
IDX BscMat 1253.44 +18.77 +1.52%

IDX Indstrl…1184.83 -12.66 -1.06%
IDXNONCYC..727.19 -4.52 -0.62%
IDX Hlthcare.1548.40 +8.16 +0.53%
IDXCYCLIC…..862.65 +0.09 +0.01%
IDX Techno….5286.67 -46.34 -0.87%
IDX Transp…1700.03 -27.18 -1.57%
IDX Infrast……862.56 +9.01 +1.06%
IDX Finance 1438.72 -2.67 -0.19%
IDX Banking 1160.27 -4.66. -0.40%
IDX Property….712 +7.10 +1.01%

Indo10Yr….7.0644 -0.0066 -0.09%
ICBI……..342.7032 +0.0371 +0.01%
US10Yr..3.4910 +0.0830 +2.44%
VIX……22.29 -0.39 -1.72%

USDIndx..104.8130 -0.3870 -0.37%‼️
Como Indx..266.40 +0.51 +0.19%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..170.69 -1.44 -0.84%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15620.50 -16.00 -0.10%‼️
Jisdor..15624.00 +5.00 +0.03%‼️

Euro……..1.0557 +0.0048 +0.46%👍

TLKM……..23.65 +0.21 +0.90%
(3695)
EIDO……….22.85 +0.18 +0.79%
EEM………..39.28 +0.47 +1.21%

Oil………….71.46 -0.55 -0.76%
Gold ……1801.50 +3.50 +0.19%
Timah…..24306 -508 -2.05%
(Closed 07/12)
Nickel…29481.50 -1334.50 -4.33%‼️
(Closed 08/12)
Silver………23.25. +0.32 +1.41%
Copper….388.35 +2.30 +0.60%

Nturl Gas…..5.935 +0.119 +2.05%

Ammonia..4890.00 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(07/12)

Coal price….395.50 -10.15 -2.50%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price…..378.85 -11.55 -2.96%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price…..370.00 -11.10 -2.91%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….256.50 -6.80 -2.58%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….250.75 -11.00 -4.20%‼️
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….252.00 -10.00 -3.82%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)…..3951 -18 -0.45%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….642.50 +1.25 +0.19%
SoybeanOil…60.48 +0.32 +0.53%
Wheat………746.25 -3.25 -0.43%

Wood pulp…6550.00 unch +0%
(Closed 07/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound, Europe tipis tipis, asia kemaren Hangseng naik tinggi singapore naik dikit, semoga udah rock bottom ini pas tutup gap kemaren

Gold Silver Copper naik, Timah Nikel turun dalem, Oil turun Gas naik, Coal turun rada banyak, balik kebawah 400, CPO lanjut kebawah. Mungkin masih mau dip lebih jauh ini coal tudei

Misalnya dianggap kemarin sudah bottom wave 2, proyeksi elliot wave nya jadi gini…

IHSG – technically masih jelek bener, amannya sih ya tunggu confirmed mantul secara teknikal, ada buy signal, bandar dan foreign akum

Cacing RSI belum banyak rubah, property yang keliatan cape, financials masih belum, energy, healthcare, consumer non-cyclicals masih leading

Stoch Buy Signal: BRPT LINK PTPP WSKT. Sektor infrastructure gerak bareng2 kemaren, apa iya mau lanjut windress sampe tutup tahun?

December 08th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 notches fifth day of losses as traders consider recession odds, yields fall

The S&P 500 fell for a fifth day as traders weighed the possibility of a recession, and the likelihood of a longer-than-expected hiking cycle from the Federal Reserve.

Dow…….33598 +1.6 +0.00%
Nasdaq.10959 -56.3. -0.51%
S&P 500..3934 -7.3 -0.19%

FTSE…….7489 -32.2 -0.43%
Dax……..14261 -82.0. -0.57%
CAC……..6661 -27.2 -0.41%

Nikkei….27686 -199.5 -0.72%
*HSI……..18815 -626.4 -3.22%*
Shanghai..3200 -12.9 -0.40%
ST Times..3205 -26.9 -0.83%

IDX…….6818.75 -73.82 -1.07%
LQ45……945.58 -16.26 -1.69%

IDX Energy..2186.27 +11.97 +0.55%
IDX BscMat 1234.67 -11.91 -0.96%
IDX Indstrl…1197.49 -1.19. -0.10%
IDXNONCYC..731.71 -3.49 -0.47%
*IDX Hlthcare.1540.24 +41.76 +2.79%*
IDXCYCLIC…..862.56 -3.88 -0.45%
IDX Techno….5333.01 -85.91 -1.99%
IDX Transp…1727.21 -30.32 -1.73%
IDX Infrast……853.35 -9.35 -1.08%
IDX Finance 1441.39 -20.90 -1.43%
*IDX Banking 1164.93 -29.14 -2.44%*
IDX Property….703 -12 -1.68%

Indo10Yr….7.0644 +0.0331 +0.47%
ICBI……..342.6661 -0.4961 -0.14%
*US10Yr..3.4080 -0.1050 -2.99%*
*VIX……22.68 +0.51 +2.30%*

*USDIndx..105.2000 -0.3550 -0.34%*
Como Indx..265.89 -1.56 -0.58%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN…..172.13 +3.67 +2.18%*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15636.50 +19.00 +0.12%‼️*
*Jisdor..15619.00 +43.00 +0.28%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0509 +0.0043 +0.41%*

TLKM……..23.44 +0.07 +0.30%
*(3661)*
EIDO……….22.67 -0.20 -0.87%
EEM………..38.81 -0.23 -0.59%

*Oil………….72.01 -2.24 -3.02%‼️*
*Gold ……1798.00 +15.60 +0.88%*
*Timah…..24814 +368. +1.81%*
*(Closed 06/12)*
*Nickel…30816.00 +1799.00 +6.20%‼️*
*(Closed 06/12)*
*Silver………22.92 +0.59 +2.63%*
Copper….386.05 +4.25 +1.11%

*Nturl Gas…..5.816 +0.444 +8.27%‼️*

*Ammonia..4890.00 +16.67 +0.34%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(06/12)

Coal price….405.00 -3.80 -0.93%
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price…..390.40 -11.95 -2.97%*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price…..381.10 -11.15 -2.84%*
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….263.30 -3.35 -1.26%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….261.75 -5.25 -1.97%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….262.00 -4.7 -1.76%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)…..3969 -117 -2.86%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….642.25 +5.00 +0.78%
SoybeanOil…60.29 -0.71 -1.16%
*Wheat……..749.50 +20.50 +2.81%*

Wood pulp…6550.00 -10 -0,15%
(Closed 07/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI berhenti minus, semoga IHSG rebound. Kemaren semua minus, Hangseng paling parah

Metal2 naik semua, nikel paling tinggi. Oil lanjut turun, coal turun, gas rebound tinggi, CPO minus lagi. Gantian terus commodity energy, selalu ada yang naik pas ada yang turun

IHSG – Memang terakhir drop gap nya belum firm ketutup. tapi karena langsung mantul diperkirakan udah dianggap done, sekarang jadi harus berpikir untuk amannya start belanja once gap itu ketutup. Kalo dibikin tail panjang kebawah terus closing di atas cakep ini…

Kalo liat stochastic dan MACD nya, dan foreign net sell yang tambah besar tiap hari, sepertinya ga bisa instant ngebalik terus rally window dressing. Minggu depan mungkin baru ngebalik bisa pada akum dan net buy

Masih belum berubah, masih Energy Healthcare Property sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals. Kita perlu sektor Financials jalan kalo mau santa claus rally

Stoch Buy Signal: ARTO EMTK JSMR

ARTO – stoch buy, MACD masih down, MFI down, FF dist, BD dist, masih belum mantul sih… Elliot wave reverse nya seems done, memang masih mungkin berhentinya di 2000-an, tapi ga lah, harga udah mulai konsolidasi di level ini, harusnya tinggal nunggu mantul. Tapi bagusnya stay away dari saham model gini, walau LQ45 tapi gorengan banget

EMTK – mirip ARTO, stoch buy macd masih down, BD FF dist walau sempet akum sehari 2 hari lalu, itungan ABC correction udah cukup, LR di lower channel. Tapi belum saatnya entry

JSMR – belum sih, stoch nya karena mentok bawah aja makanya bolak balik signalnya, memang ga efektif lagi once mentok. MACD masih down, bd ff masih massive dist, stay away

MACD ga ada buy signal