Posts Tagged ‘Consumer Non-Cyclicals’

Daily Analysis 20240919

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

September 19th, 2024

Dow closes lower, giving up 375-point pop after big Fed rate cut

Stocks closed lower Wednesday in a volatile session as the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates in a half-percentage-point move. The outsized rate cut was cheered initially by traders, though it did raise concerns the Fed was trying to get ahead of potential economic weakness.

Dow…….41503 -103.08 -0.25%
Nasdaq. 17573 -54.8 -0.31%
S&P 500 5618 -16.3 -0.29%

FTSE…8254 -56.2 -0.68%
Dax……18712 -14.59 -0.08%
CAC……7445 -42.5 -0.57%

Nikkei….36380 +176.95 +0.49%
HSI……..17660 closed +0%
Shanghai.2717 +13.2 +0.49%

IDX….7829.14 -2.64 -0.03%
LQ45…970.25 +3.33 +0.34%
IDX30.495.10 +1.66 +0.34%

IDXEnergy. 2661.86 -5.08 -0.19%
IDX BscMat1321.61 -7.26 -0.55%
IDX Indstrl..1091.40 +9.31 +0.86%
IDXNONCYC.733.61 +0.73 +0.10%
IDX Hlthcare1543.11 +27.84+1.84%
IDXCYCLIC…904.06 -14.29 -1.66%
IDXTechno 3829.37 -101.65 -2.59%
IDX Transp 1501.09 +2.70 +0.18%
IDX Infrast 1624.68 -21.95 -1.33%
IDX Finance1557.49 +9.72 +1.63%
IDX Banking1385.86 +11.67 +0.85%
IDX Property….758 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6155👍-0.0014 -0.02%
ICBI….393.4510👍+0.1994 +0.05%
US2Yr.3.628 +0.021 +0.58%
US5Yr 3.493 +0.050 +1.45%
US10Yr3.715 +0.068 +1.86%
US30Yr.4.031 +0.071 +1.79%
VIX..18.23 +0.62 +3.52%‼️

USDIndx 100.9500❗️ +0.056 +0.06%
Como Indx….279.82 +1.16 +0.42%
BCOMIN….145.99 +0.30 +0.21%

IndoCDS..70.27 -0.94 -1.32%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/09)

IDR…….15335.00 unch +0%
Jisdor..15350.00 +12.00 +0.08%

Euro…1.1118❗️ -0.0001 -0.01%

TLKM.20.50 +0.33 +1.61%
( 3144)
EIDO…22.76 +0.12 +0.51%
EEM….42.87 -0.17 -0.38%

Oil………..70.91 -0.24 -0.34%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..72.88 -0.82 -1.11%
(Brent)
Gold…2598.60 +2.00 +0.08%
(Comex)
Gold…2558.54 -12.93 -0.48%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31594.00 -261.00 -0.82%
(Closed 18/09)
Nickel..16228.00 +92.00 +0.57%
(Closed 18/09)
Silver… ..30.69 -0.35 -1.13%
Copper.429.90 +2.05 +0.48%

Iron Ore 62% 91.94 -0.32 -0.35%
(16/09)
Nturl Gas 2.295 -0.021 -0.91%
Ammonia China 2710.00 +33.33 +1.25%
(Domestic Price)(18/09)

Coal price.139.00 -0.65 -0.47%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.25 -1.10 -0.81%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.30 -0.30 -0.22%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.85 -0.35 -0.25%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.25 -0.40 -0.35%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..112.60 -1.65 -1.44%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.45 -1.30 -1.14%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.45 -1.55 -1.36%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3848 +113 +3.03%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………412.75 +0.25 +0.06%
SoybeanOil 40.31 +0.43 +1.08%
Wheat……575.75 unch +0%

Wood pulp.4850.00 -4.00 -0.08%
(Closed 18/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah europe merah, asia kebanyakan ijo, IHSG merah tipis, US T bond yield naik lagi, ini bau baunya merah lagi ISHG hari ini, padahal harusnya efek fed dan BI cut rate bagus

USD index up, metal2 kebanyakan down kecuali nickel copper, oil down gas down coal down, CPO jump. Giliran AALI lanjut lari lagi nih. Yang lain keliatannya akan koreksi tipis2 dulu

IHSG – 833 sell, macd mulai rev down, hati hati yang big caps bisa mulai rontok

Property bangun dengan issue BI cut rate, Financials, Technology, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ASII TLKM AVIA BBYB BRMS BTPS ULTJ, big accum ACES ASII BBYB

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO BBRI BMRI INCO BBYB MARK MPMX TINS AMFG, big accum ARTO BBYB

Daily Analysis 20240918

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

September 18th, 2024

S&P 500 closes little changed Tuesday after notching all-time high ahead of key Fed decision

The S&P 500
ended Tuesday near the flatline after hitting a record high as the market awaited the Federal Reserve’s key interest rate cut decision.

Dow…….41606 -15.9 -0.04%
Nasdaq. 17628 +35.93 +0.20%
S&P 500 5635 +1.5 +0.03%

FTSE…8310 +31.4 +0.38%
Dax……18726 +92.97 +0.50%
CAC……7487 +37.98 +0.51%

Nikkei….36203 -378.5 -1.03%
HSI……..17660 +237.90 +1.37%
Shanghai.2704 closed +0%

IDX….7831.78 +19.65 +0.25%
LQ45…966.92 +7.57 +0.79%
IDX30.493.44 +4.41 +0.90%

IDXEnergy. 2666.94 +23.44 +0.89%
IDX BscMat1328.87 +4.83 +0.36%
IDX Indstrl..1082.09 +6.04 +0.56%
IDXNONCYC.732.88 +0.52 +0.07%
IDX Hlthcare1515.27 +17.21+1.15%
IDXCYCLIC…918.35 +14.73 +1.63%
IDXTechno 3931.02 +69.05 +1.78%
IDX Transp 1498.39 +13.36 +1.04%
IDX Infrast 1646.63 -13.62 -0.82%
IDX Finance1547.77 +12.48 +0.81%
IDX Banking1374.19 +17.43 +1.28%
IDX Property….758 – 1.50 -0.20%

Indo10Yr.6.6454👍-0.0285 -0.43%
ICBI….393.2566👍+0.5793 +0.15%
US2Yr.3.607 +0.052 +1.46%
US5Yr 3.443 +0.035 +1.15%
US10Yr3.647 +0.029 +0.80%
US30Yr.3.960 +0.029 +0.74%
VIX..17.61 +0.47 +2.74%‼️

USDIndx 100.8940❗️ +0.225 +0.22%
Como Indx….278.66 +1.80 +0.65%
BCOMIN….145.68 -0.45 -0.30%

IndoCDS..70.27 -0.94 -1.32%
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/09)

IDR…….15335.00👍 -66.50 -0.45%
Jisdor..15338.00 👍 -67.00 -0.43%

Euro…1.1119❗️ -0.0011 -0.10%

TLKM.20.18 -0.25 -1.22%
( 3095)
EIDO…22.66 +0.24 +1.07%
EEM….43.02 +0.07 +0.16%

Oil………..71.15 +0.62 +0.88%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..73.70 +0.95 +1.31%
(Brent)
Gold…2596.60 -13.1 -0.50%
(Comex)
Gold…2570.93 -12.00 -0.46%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..31855.00 -74.00 -0.23%
(Closed 17/09)
Nickel..16136.00 -187.50 -1.15%
(Closed 17/09)
Silver… ..31.04 -0.08 -0.26%
Copper.427.85 +4.25 +1.00%

Iron Ore 62% 91.94 -0.32 -0.35%
(16/09)
Nturl Gas 2.316 -0.08 -3.34%
Ammonia China 2676.67 +43.33 +1.65%
(Domestic Price)(13/09)

Coal price.139.65 +2.40 +1.75%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.35 +3.45 +2.60%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.60 +2.50 +1.86%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.20 +2.80 +2.07%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.65 +2.00 +1.78%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.25 +4.50 +4.10%‼️
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.75 +4.05 +3.69%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.00 +4.15 +3.78%‼️
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des).3735 -40 -1.06%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………412.50 +1.75 +0.43%
SoybeanOil 39.88 +0.77 +1.97%
Wheat……575.75 -2.75 -0.48%

Wood pulp.4854.00 unch +0%
(Closed 17/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah tipis, nasdaq ijo, europe ijo, asua jepang yang merah, US treasury bond ijo, hmm, katanya mau cut rate… Bisa merah IHSG hari ini

USD index up, metal2 down kecuali copper, oil up, gas down, coal up, CPO down, ANTM slow dulu kayanya, AKRA lanjut, coal coal kita pantau chart coal nya

IHSG – ontrack masih, udah rawan koreksi tapi belum ada signal sell… masih FNB terus juga, semoga sampe 8000

Financials, Technology, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: HRUM INCO INTP JSMR PTBA EMTK INDY MPMX PNLF SMSM VKTR, big accum INCO JSMR PTBA SMSM

MACD Buy Signal: CPIN BFIN PNLF LPIN BRAM, big accum CPIN BFIN

Daily Analysis 20240806

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

August 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow tumbles 1,000 points, S&P 500 posts worst day since 2022 in global market sell-off

Stocks fell sharply on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
posting its worst day in nearly two years, as worries over the health of the U.S. economy sparked a global market sell-off.

Dow…….38703 -1033.99 -2.60%‼️
Nasdaq. 16201 -576.1 -3.43%‼️
S&P 500 5186 -160.2 -3.00%‼️

FTSE..8008.2 -166.5 -2.04%
Dax……17339 -322.2 -1.82%
CAC……7149 -102.8 -1.42%

Nikkei..31458‼️ -4451.3 -12.40%‼️
HSI…….16698 -247.2 -1.46%
Shanghai.2861 -44.6 -1.55%

IDX….7059.65‼️ -248.47 -3.40%‼️
LQ45…890.71 -28.66 -3.12%‼️
IDX30.443.34 -15.20 -3.32%‼️

IDXEnergy.2356.94 -122.55 -4.94%‼️
IDX BscMat1296.94 -63.70 -4.69%‼️
IDX Indstrl.997.88 -38.70 -3.73%‼️
IDXNONCYC.688.56 -12.44 -1.77%
IDX Hlthcare1431.38 -10.42 -0.72%
IDXCYCLIC…745.2 -18.89 -2.47%
IDXTechno.3176.47 -58.56 -2.92%
IDX Transp 1318.81 -58.25 -4.23%‼️
IDX Infrast 1508.33 -49.04 -3.15%‼️
IDX Finance1374.80 -37.96 -2.69%
IDX Banking1217.60 -41.59 -3.30%‼️
IDX Property…..632 -19.10 -3.05%‼️

Indo10Yr.6.8696❗️ -0.0387 -0.56%
ICBI…386.5794❗️ +0.7910 -0.21%
US2Yr.3.902 +0.024 +0.62%
US5Yr 3.625 +0.010 +0.28%
US10Yr3.792 unch +0%
US30Yr.4.066 -0.043 -1.05%
VIX..38.57‼️ +15.18 +64.90%‼️

USDIndx 102.6890❗️ -0.519 -0.50%
Como Indx….268.79 -1.34 -0.50%
BCOMIN…..136.12 -2.09 -1.51%

IndoCDS..77.20 +2.50 +3.35%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16189.00❗️ -11.00 -0.07%
Jisdor.16154.00❗️ -80.00 -0.49%

Euro…1.0955❗️ +0.0166 +1.54%

TLKM…17.03 -0.53 -2.99%
( 2751)
EIDO….19.55 -0.77 -3.79%‼️
EEM….40.42 -1.15 -2.76%

Oil………..74.03 -2.76 -3.59%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.30 -0.51 -0.66%
(Brent)
Gold…..2451.60 -18.20 -0.74%
(Comex)
Gold……2408.43 -34.81 -1.42%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29484.00 -704.00 -2.33%
(Closed 05/08)
Nickel..16203.50 -62.50 -0.38%
(Closed 05/08)
Silver….27.36 -10.30 -3.63%‼️
Copper.401.40 -8.90 -2.17%

Iron Ore 62% 104.00 +1.17 +1.14%
(02/08)
Nturl Gas 1.976 -0.002 -0.10%
Ammonia China 2346.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(02/08)

Coal price.143.70 -0.40 -0.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.75 unch +0%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 146.75 -0.15 -0.10%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.75 -0.65 -0.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.30 -2.05 -1.69%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.55 -2.65 -2.17%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.80 -1.95 -1.60%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.85 -2.25 -1.84%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3740 -118 -3.06%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..407.00 +3.75 +0.93%
SoybeanOil 40.23 -0.58 -1.42%
Wheat…..539.50 +0.50 +0.09%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 05/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lanjut berdarah darah semua index regional, yang paling parah jepang sampe minus 12%. IHSG kemaren sempet lebih dari 4 %, ga sampe trading halt sih, tapi berantakan semua. Ditambah US bond yield yang wajarnya naik untuk hold dana jadi kemungkinan masih lanjut merahnya hari ini. Tapi secara technical memang udah ditunggu, ga ada yang mengagetkan juga, kita assess lagi momentum beli setelah index tutup gap

USD index down, tapi semua metal juga down kecuali iron ore, oil gas coal down, cpo juga down, pulp and paper juga down, selamat buat yang kemaren udah keep cash, standby tunggu beres wave 2

IHSG – double top target udah done, itungan fibonacci extension udah done, nanggung tutup gap sekalian, abis itu baru kita pikirin belanja lagi…

RSI nya belum ngikut, padahal pada drop semua ini… Tapi ya prospek tetep di basic materials dan healthcare dan consumer cyclicals dan consumer non-cyclicals yang sering pada defensif dan jadi ganjel bursa

Stochastic Buy Signal: MBMA SCMA, dua duanya big dist

Menarik kalo udah bisa short selling ini sebenernya, hehehe

Daily Analysis 20240618

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

June 18th, 2024
Good morning,
S&P 500 climbs to another record close Tuesday as Nvidia’s market cap tops Microsoft
The S&P 500
 rose to a fresh record as artificial intelligence darling Nvidia
 continued its march to new highs, topping Microsoft as the most valuable public company
Dow……38835  +56.8  +0.15%
Nasdaq17862  +5.2     +0.03%
S&P 500.5487  +13.8   +0.25%
FTSE…..8191   +49.1     +0.63%
Dax……18132  +63.8     +0.35%
CAC……7629   +57.2     +0.76%
Nikkei..38482   +379.7  +1.00%
HSI…..17916     -20.6      -0.11%
Shanghai.3030+14.4      +0.48%
IDX….6734.83 closed  +0%
LQ45..845.50   closed  +0%
IDX30.417.14  closed  +0%
IDXEnergy..2207.37  closed +0%
IDX BscMat1300.16  closed +0%
IDX Indstrl.  897.71   closed  +0%
IDXNONCYC.687.22 closed  +0%
IDX Hlthcare1421.83closed  +0%
IDXCYCLIC…705.02 closed  +0%
IDXTechno3102.40  closed  +0%
IDX Transp 1217.61 closed  +0%
IDX Infrast  1437.56 closed  +0%
IDX Finance1302.66 closed +0%
IDX Banking1098.92 closed +0%
IDX Property…..602   closed +0%
Indo10Yr.7.0407‼️closed  +0%
ICBI…379.1872‼️  closed  +0.%
US2Yr.4.718  -0.043    -0.90%
US5Yr 4.243  -0.171    -3.87%
US10Yr4.219 -0.060    -1.41%
US30Yr.4.352 -0.058   -1.33%
VIX..12.30   -0.45  -3.53%❗️
USDIndx 105.2560 ❗️-0.06 -0.06%
Como Indx….295.68  +2.61  +0.89%
BCOMIN….150.57 +0.08  +0.05%
 IndoCDS..76.69 +4.54  +6.29%‼️
  (5-yr INOCD5) (17/06)
IDR…16412.00‼️ closed  +0%
Jisdor.16374.00‼️closed +0%
Euro….1.0740     –           -%
TLKM…16.84  -0.42  -2.41%
( 2757)
EIDO….18.38 +0.11  +0.57%
EEM…..42.18       -0.09   -0.21%
Oil…….81.49  -0.08  -0.10%
Gold..2343.70 -3.20 -0.14%
Timah..32144.00  -4.00      -0.01%
(Closed 13/06)
Nickel..17338.00  -129.00  -0.74%
(Closed 17/06)
Silver….29.59    +0.03   +0.09%
Copper.446.15  +1.10   +0.25%
Iron Ore 62% 107.05 -0.28 -0.26%
 (17/06)
Nturl Gas..2.903  +0.115  +4.12%‼️
Ammonia China.2966.67  -83.33 -2.73%
(Domestic Price)(17/06)
Coal price.133.90   unch   +0%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.134.90   -0.60   -0.44%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.137.90  +0.30  +0.22%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.65  +0.60   +0.43%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.109.25  +0.15  +0.14%
 (Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.110.25  -0.85   -0.77%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 114.30  -0.45   -0.39%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price  117.85 unch   +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
CPO(Sep)..3883 -45.00  -1.15%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…..467.75      +4.75   +1.03%
SoybeanOil 44.44 +0.55   +1.25%
Wheat….599.00    -9.00     -1.48%
Wood pulp..5740  -20   -0.35%
(Closed 18/06)
©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Closing selasa ijo semua kecuali hangseng, US bond yield turun, IHSG terakhir plunged down deep, harusnya ijo hari ini

USD index down, metal2 juga pada down kecuali silver sama copper, oil down, gas up, coal sw, CPO turun lagi, belum jadi jalan ini AALI LSIP malah drop lagi

IHSG – sudah tutup gap drop lagi sampe lewat target level ABC correction, asli berdarah darah jadinya, sekarang di level support kuat, semoga mantul. Kalo dari indicator masih jelek semua

Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property. Yang lain ga jadi jalan, financials yang penting ditunggu rebound

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRAM

MACD Buy Signal: PTBA GTRA