July 05th, 2023

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to Independence Day

Dow……34418 closed +0%
Nasdaq13817 closed +0%
S&P 500.4456 closed +0%

FTSE…..7520 -7.5 -0.10%
Dax……16039 -41.9 -0.26%
CAC……7370 -16.8 -0.23%

Nikkei…..33423 -330.8 -0.98%
HSI………19416 +109.1 +0.56%
Shanghai.3245 +1.4 +0.04%

IDX…..6681.75 -14.96 -0.22%
LQ45….948.73 -3.84 -0.40%
IDX30…492.96 -2.07 -0.42%

IDXEnergy…1774.79 +8.91 +0.50%
IDX BscMat..995.36 -0.61 -0.06%
IDX Indstrl…1172.67 +6.96 +0.51%
IDXNONCYC.752.65 +5.23 +0.70%
IDX Hlthcare1477.49 +3.83 +0.26%
IDXCYCLIC….885.66 +7.90 +0.90%
IDX Techno.4732.37 -12.88 -0.27%
IDX Transp..1922.21 +15.46 +0.81%
IDX Infrast… .854.49 +3.42 +0.40%
IDX Finance.1420.69+2.90 +0.20%
IDX Banking.1188.78 -4.24 -0.36%
IDX Property..724 -3.20 -0.44%

*Indo10Yr.6.3053👍 -0.0219-0.28%*
*ICBI….368.4171👍 +0.6973+0.18%*
*US2Yr.4.9400* closed +0%
*US5Yr 4.1910* closed +0%
*US10Yr3.8530* -0.0050 -0.13%
*US30Yr.3.8570* -0.0040 -0.10%
*VIX…….13.57 -0.02 -0.15%*

*USDIndx103.0390* +0.0510 +0.05%
Como Indx…260.90 closed +0%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……141.67 closed +0%

*IndoCDS.86.16 -1.98 -2.25%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(03/07)*
*IDR…..14994.50 -35.50 -0.24%*
*Jisdor.15018.00 -16.00 -0.11%*

*Euro……1.0879* -0.0035 -0.32%

TLKM…26.42 closed +0%
*(3968)*
EIDO….23.12 closed +0%
EEM….40.00 closed +0%

Oil…….71.00 +0.85 +1.21%
Gold…1933.10 +4.10 +0.21%
*Timah..27377.00 +590.00 +2.20%*
*(Closed 03/07)*
Nickel..20542.50 +109.00 +0.53%
(Closed 04/07)
Silver….. 23.17 +0.06 +0.26%
Copper..378.35 -1.05 -0.28%

*Iron Ore 62% 110.87 -1.70 -1.51%*
(03/07)
Nturl Gas.2.742 +0.045 +1.67%

*Coal price.143.15 -4.90 -3.31%*
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price.151.25 -3.20 -2.07%*
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.155.05 -2.25 -1.43%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.157.55 +0.05 +0.03%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price123.30 +1.85 +1.52%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.99 +1.85 +1.55%
(Agt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.65 +1.70 +1.44%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.45 +2.25 +1.92%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Sept)..3884 -101 -2.53%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..493.50 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 60.19 closed +0%
Wheat…641.75 closed +0%

*Wood pulp..4230.00* +20 +0.48%
(Closed 04/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US market tutup due to 4th of July, europe merah, asia varied, IHSG merah dikit seperti perkiraan…

USD index naik tipis, ga ngaruh sama komoditas jadinya, Gold Silver ijo,copper merah,timah nikel ijo iron ore merah, oil gas ijo, coal newcastle merah rotterdam ijo, masih aman harusnya buat emiten coal. CPO merah lagi, pas buat nungu LSIP dibawah

Gold MACD buy, bagus harusnya buat ANTM MDKA BRMS

IHSG – stoch rev up, MACD up, MFI down, w% sw, last day FNS, asih optimis lanjut karena financials udah bangun

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Basic Materials

Stochastic Buy Signal: HRUM ITMG BSSR DSNG MAPI MYOR

MACD Buy Signal: AMRT PGAS ELSA

Alligator Buy Signal: ADMR

Supertrend Buy Signal: BRIS WINS

HRUM – kalo mau buy ga sekarang sih, jangan biasa ngejar2 saham yang udah lari. Buy signal MACD nya udah

duluan kemaren, Sekarang yang punya hold,yang belum punya cari yang lain aja, udah kejedot fibo 23 dan ada reg bear div juga

ITMG – belum jalan, tapi emang belum bikin higher low juga, abis drop 46% ga firm reversal kalo belum bikin higher low

MAPI – abis wave 5, harusnya ABC correction dulu, kalo MACD Buy kita liat lagi. BD juga masih dist

MYOR – harusnya masih wave 4, belum sampe fibo 50 atau 38 juga, BDkemaren udah acc, FF masih dist, liat lagi pas MACD buy

PGAS – Stoch buy macd up, BD FF rev acc, ada gap, belum bikin higher low, bisa spec buy half tapi amannya biar tunggu beres higher low

ELSA – stoch up, MACD buy, MFI up w% uptrend, BD dist FF acc, slope uptrend sambil bolak balik sideways, kaya dijaga belum boleh gerak jauh dulu, BD masih relatif belum aggressive. Karena pegang MEDC elsa nya skip dulu deh

Ada beberapa kali spike dan abis itu naik tapi ga terlalu firm spike nya dan target udah done. Masih lebih firm spike MEDC

ADMR – stoc ob, rev down, MACD up, BD acc, FF dist, MFIup, w% uptrend, udah bikin higherlow tapi ga terlalu significant, udah sah sih, tapi kayanya akan ketemu koreksi rada besar dulu baru lanjut jalan. Buat spec buy udah lewat momentumnya, buat full load belum firm. Kalo main panjang sih alligator buy bisa masuk, asal emang berani resiko di swing kebawah dulu

 

Ijo semua kemaren, IDX sesuai dugaan bikin tail tutup gap terus closing ijo. Harusnya lanjut ijo

Oil ijo Gas jump coal merah, gol tipis, silver copper ijo, tin closed nickel merah tipis, masih jadwal pullback INCO, CPO merah lagi

IHSG – stoch oversold, MACD down, MFI down w% downtrend, BD flat FF dist, reg bull div cancelled, udah tutup gap, retest support, Semoga closing hari ini mantul lagi kaya kemaren

Technology mulai melemah, watchout GOTO udahan dulu swingnya, kalo sell signal exit dulu aja

Leading: Property Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Infrastructure, yang menarik riding Financials sama Healthcare yang keliatan mau bangun

Stochastic Buy Signal: MDKA TINS AGII DOID MIKA TKIM

MACD Buy Signal: TBIG AGII ERAA

Alligator Buy Signal: GOTO AMFG

Supertrend buy signal: BMTR CPIN JPFA

May 11th, 2023

Good morning,

Nasdaq closes 1% higher Wednesday after inflation data is cooler than anticipated

The Nasdaq Composite
closed higher Wednesday as investors fled to tech stocks after a tamer-than-expected inflation report.

Dow……33531 -30.5 -0.09%
Nasdaq12206 +126.9 +1.04%
S&P 500.4138 +18.5 +0.49%

FTSE…..7741 -22.8 -0.29%
Dax……15896 -59.3 -0.37%
CAC……7361 -35.97 -0.49%

Nikkei…..29122 -120.6 -0.41%
HSI………19762 -106.4 -0.53%
Shanghai.3319 -38.5 -1.15%

IDX…..6811.90 +31.92 +0.47%
LQ45….947.49 +7.01 +0.75%
IDX30…493.49 +4.27 +0.87!%

IDXEnergy…1972.36 -0.07 -0.06%
IDX BscMat 1112.34 -5.27 -0.47%
IDX Indstrl…1172.49 +6.14 +0.53%
IDXNONCYC.738.28 +2.77 +0.38%
IDX Hlthcare1469.15 -1.59 -0.11%
IDXCYCLIC…838.15 -1.87 -0.22%
IDX Techno..5038.27 +77.38 +1.56%
IDX Transp..1856.87 +8.74 +0.47%
IDX Infrast…..829.64 +3.87 +0.47%
IDX Finance.1382.83 +2.95 +0.21%
IDX Banking.1143.56 +3.89 +0.34%
IDX Property…..728 -4.60 -0.64%

Indo10Yr.6.5976👍 -0.0389 -0.59%
ICBI….359.2373👍 +0.4745 +0.13%
US2Yr.3.9098 -0.1165 -2.89%
US5Yr 3.3794 -0.1187 -3.39%
US10Yr3.4390 -0.0830 -2.36%
US30Yr.3.7960 -0.0470 -1.22%
VIX……16.94👍 -0.77 -4.35%

USDIndx101.4770 -0.1280 -0.13%
Como Indx.262.22 -1.90 -0.73%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…149.50 -3.27 -2.14%

IndoCDS.97.53 +1.49 +1.55%
(5-yr INOCD5) (08/05)

IDR…..14732.00 -10.00 -0.07%
Jisdor.14746.00 -11.00 -0.07%

Euro……1.0984 +0.0018 +0.16%

TLKM..28.31 +0.51 +1.83%
(4174)
EIDO….24.23 +0.18 +0.75%
EEM…..39.15 -0.02 -0.05%

Oil……72.81 -0.74 -1.01%
Gold…2036.60 -6.70 -0.33%
Timah..25995.00 -69.00 -0.26%
(Closed 09/05)
Nickel..22509.50 -1019.00 -4.33%‼
(Closed 10/05)
Silver……25.58 -0.32 -1.24%
Copper…385.90 -5.55 -1.42%
Iron Ore 62% 106.05 -1.35 -1.26%
(09/05)
Nturl Gas.2.186 -0.071 -3.14%

Coal price.166.95 -2.05 -1.21%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.164.95 -2.70 -1.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.167.00 -5.85 -3.38%‼
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.170.45 -7.55 -4.24%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.122.45 -2.55 -2.04%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.45 -4.35 -3.69%‼
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 111.80 -6.00 -5.09%‼
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 112.40 -6.15 -5.19%‼
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3701 -103.00 -2.71%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..594.00 +9.25 +1.58%
SoybeanOil52.05 -0.99 -1.87%
Wheat…..641.25 -2.25 -0.35%

Wood pulp..4040.00 +10 +0.25%
(Closed 10/05)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah tipis, Nasdaq ijo tebel, Europe merah asia merah kecuali IDX, ini belum kebaca mau kemana hari ini, kemaren dikira mau merah ikut asia dan US kemarennya tapi malah ijo. Tapi emang rebound dari support sih, so mungkin jalan lag tudei, walau kemungkinan besar sideways doang hari ini

USD index turun, vix turun,which is good, tapi anehnya semua commodity turun. Saat aneh kaya gini fundamental analysis ga jalan, kita patokan tetep technical aja…

US interest rate turun, bagus buat saham sih…

IHSG – stoch masih down, macd flattening, 833 buy, BD acc, last day NFB, MFI w% sw, regbull div MACD confirmed by 2 bull candle, pas mantul di support dan fibo 23,supposedly lanjut…

Property Transportation Infrastructure Consumer Cyclicals Consumer Non-Cyclicals Technology. Tapi yang menggembirakan Financials mulai ada gerakan

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM MTMH TOBA ANJT IGAR

MACD Buy Signal: SRTG BBHI BSSR

Alligator Buy Signal: LMSH

May 08th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow jumps 500 points to break four-day losing streak as regional banks and Apple shares surge

Stocks popped on Friday as regional bank shares climbed off their lows and market-darling Apple jumped after posting better-than-expected quarterly earnings.

Dow……33674 +546.6 +1.65%
Nasdaq12235 +269.02 +2.25%
S&P 500.4136 +75.03 +1.85%

FTSE…..7778 +75.7 +0.98%
Dax……15961 +226.8 +1.44%
CAC……7333 +92.2 +1.26%

Nikkei…..29158 +34.7 +0.12%
HSI………20049 +100.6 +0.50%
Shanghai.3335 -15.96 -0.48%

IDX…..6788.03 -56.40 -0.82%
LQ45….945.05 -7.23 -0.76%
IDX30…492.37 -3.97 -0.80%

IDXEnergy…1954.36 -56.40 -0.82%
IDX BscMat 1114.85 -24.79 -2.18%
IDX Indstrl…1145.31 -24.79 -2.29%
IDXNONCYC.734.03 -1.64 -0.22%
IDX Hlthcare1485.63 -17.47 -1.16%
IDXCYCLIC….816.42 -0.50 -0.06%
IDX Techno..4874.77 -51.03 -1.04%
IDX Transp..1809.64 +5.44 +0.30%
IDX Infrast…..817.74 -4.33 -0.53%
IDX Finance.1378.19 +3.09 +0.23%
IDX Banking.1150.19 +3.07 +0.27%
IDX Property…703 -0.50 -0.07%

Indo10Yr.6.6543 -0.0048 -0.07%👍
ICBI….358.3823 -0.0739 -0.02%
US2Yr.3.9181 +0.1299 +3.43%‼
US5Yr 3.4104 +0.0852 +2.54%
US10Yr3.4350 +0.0580 +1.72%
US30Yr.3.7500 -0.0200 -0.54%
VIX…… 17.19 -2.90 -14.44%👍

USDIndx101.2140 -0.2110 -0.21%
Como Indx.261.60 +4.80 +1.87%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…153.56 +2.04 +1.35%

IndoCDS.100.49 +1.97 +2.00%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/05)

IDR…..14678.00👍 -7.00 -0.05%
Jisdor.14674.00👍 +42.00 +0.29%

Euro……1.1019 +0.0005 +0.05%

TLKM..28.60 +0.28 +0.99%
(4197)
EIDO….24.29 +0.13 +0.54%
EEM…..39.39 +0.52 +1.34%

Oil……71.34 +2.78 +4.05%‼
Gold.2024.80 -30.90 -1.50%
Timah..25600.00 -1117.00 -4.40%‼
(Closed 04/05)
Nickel..24712.50 +629.50 +2.61%
(Closed 05/05)
Silver……25.93 -0.30 -1.13%
Copper…388.30 +2.00 +0.52%
Iron Ore 62% 103.55 -0.32 -0.31%
(03/05)
Nturl Gas.2.113 +0.0270 +1.29%

Coal price.169.65 -1.00 -0.59%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.168.50 -1.50 -0.88%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.174.60 +1.30 +0.75%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.182.60 +3.80 +2.13%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.127.15 +1.85 +1.48%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.05 +1.65 +1.37%
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.20 +2.05 +1.72%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.55 +2.55 +2.14%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3597 +167.00 +4.87%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..596.50 +7.50 +1.27%
SoybeanOil54.33 +1.85 +3.53%
Wheat…..660.25 +15.25 +2.36%

Wood pulp..4000.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/05)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound kenceng closing jum’at, US ijo, asia varied, IDX yang merah dalem, sekarang harusnya nyusul ijo tebel

Suku bunga fed naik lagi, USD index turun, biasanya bagus buat komoditas. Oil rebound kenceng, gas ijo, coal masih merah, CPO ijo tebel… Kita liat chart nya

CPO – Kalo MACD nya cross, kita assess AALI LSIP dkk

Gold Silver Tin Iron Ore merah, Nickel Copper ijo, jelek buat ANTM MDKA, bagus buat INCO. ANTM cut loss di rebound hari ini

IHSG – Stoch sell, MACD sell, BD Acc, FF dist, MFI flat, w% down, retracement pattern harusnya mantul dari fibo 23, ditambah factor US Europe closing ijo, harusnya testing neckline lagi ke atas. Tapi beware, kalo hari ini MACD ga berhasil ngebalik mending cuci gudang dulu…

Infrastructure, Transportation, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI BRIS PNLF RMKE

MACD Buy Signal: ENRG MYOR

Alligator Buy Signal: UNVR ADHI ISAT SMRA TKIM