February 14th, 2025

S&P 500 nears record, Dow, Nasdaq jump as Trump announces reciprocal tariffs, delays implementation

US stocks moved higher on Thursday after President Donald Trump said he plans to introduce reciprocal tariffs but delayed their implementation, while investors digested another report that suggested inflation is once again heating up.

Dow……44711 +342.9 +0.77%
Nasdaq 19946 +295.7 +1.50%
S&P 500 6115 +63.1 +1.04%

FTSE…..8765 -42.7 -0.49%
Dax……22612 +463.99 +2.09%
CAC……8164 +121.9 +1.52%

Nikkei…39461 +497.8 +1.28%
HSI……21814 -43.6 -0.20%
Shanghai.3332 -13.9 -0.42%

IDX…6613.57 -32.21 -0.48%
LQ45…769.73 -6.58 -0.85%
IDX30.399.02 -2.27 -0.57%

IDXEnergy…..2553.36 -0.36 -0.01%
IDX BscMat..1125.55 +8.98 +0.80%
IDX Indstrl… .935.64 +4.53 +0.49%
IDXNONCYC.697.85 -0.67 -0.10%
IDX Hlthcare1380.53 +13.72 +1.00%
IDXCYCLC…803.06 +6.69 +0.84%
IDX Techno.4598.27 -9.02 -0.20%
IDX Transp ..1186.25 -7.65 -0.64%
IDX Infrast 1343.30. +7.54 +0.56%
IDX Finance1348.57 -2.37 -0.18%
IDX Banking1065.77 -6.13 -0.57%
IDX Property. 736 +11.7 +1.61%

Indo10Yr.6.9040❗️+0.0059 +0.09%
ICBI….399.6979❗️-0.0778 +0.02%
US2Yr.4.309 +0.048 -1.10%
US5Yr 4.391 -0.078 -1.75%
US10Yr4.526 -0.101 -2.18%
US30Yr.4.741 -0.091 -1.88%
VIX..15.10 -0.79 -4.97%❗️

USDIndx 107.0450❗️-0.933 -0.86%
Como Indx..313.19 +1.61 +0.52%
BCOMIN..148.79 +0.46 +0.31%

IndoCDS…75.20❗️-0.99 -1.30%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/02)

IDR…….16361.00❗️-15.00 -0.09 %
Jisdor..16365.00❗️+1.00 +0.006%

Euro…1.0468 +0.0081 +0.78%

TLKM…15.21 unch +0%
( 2489)
EIDO….17.59 +0.13 +0.74%
EEM…..44.07 +0.27 +0.62%

Oil………71.29 +0.07 +0.10%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.33 +0.22 +0.29%
(Brent)
Gold…2946.40‼️+12.80 +0.44%
(Comex)
Gold…2927.89‼️ +24.15 +0.83%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.31.58100 +417.00 +1.34%
(Closed 12/02)
.Nickel.15427.38 -32.50 -0.21%
(Closed 13/02)
Silver……32.73 +0.04 +0.09%
Copper..477.80 +8.25 +1.76%

Iron Ore 62% 107.26 +0.94 +0.88%
(12/02)
Nturl Gas ..3.647 +0.207 +6.02%‼️
Ammonia China. 2376.67 +6.67 +0.28%
(Domestic Price)(13/02)

Coal price.104.30 -0.20 -0.19%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.106.30 -1.10 -1.02%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 109.45 -1.30 -1.17%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 113.05 -1.30 -1.14%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price 102.15 -0.95 -0.92%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 100.35 -1.90 -1.86%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 100.10 -1.70 -1.67%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price 100.30 -1.85 -1.81%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4556 -68 -1.47%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………506.00 +2.00 +0.40%
SoybeanOil 46.68 +0.55 +1.19%
Wheat…..592.00 +4.00 +0.68%

Wood pulp…..6700 unch +0%
(Closed 13/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe inggris merah, asia cuma jepang ijo, us treasury bond yield drop, harusnya sih ijo IHSG hari ini

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali nickel, oil up gas up coal down cpo down, semoga AKRA jalan lagi, kita tunggu momentum re-entry

IHSG – Masih jelek, cuma 833 buy, memang mantul dari support kuat tapi belum firm reversal, reg bull div belum confirmed, masih NFS, sabar jangan aggressive dulu walau harga udah pada menarik buat diborong

Technology gorengannya udahan dulu, consumer non-cyclicals juga mulai slow, kita tunggu financials

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBTN JSMR PGEO SIDO TOWR BMTR BNGA BTPS ERAA GJTL HMSP MIKA SILO SMRA SSIA ULTJ, Big accum PGEO BNGA BTPS GJTL MIKA

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM SIDO PANI SILO, big accum ANTM

February 13th, 2025

Dow leads stocks lower as hot inflation data pushes back rate cut hopes

US stocks were largely lower on Wednesday as investors digested a hotter-than-expected January inflation reading and investors pared back bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2025.

Dow……44369 -224.97 -0.50%
Nasdaq 19650 +6.1 +0.03%
S&P 500 6052 -16.5 -0.27%

FTSE…..8807 +30.1 +0.34%
Dax……22148 +110.2 +0.50%
CAC……8042 +13.3 +0.17%

Nikkei…38964 +162.5 +0.42%
HSI……21858 +563.1 +2.64%
Shanghai.3343 +28.4 +0.85%

IDX…6645.78❗️+113.79 +1.74%
LQ45…776.31❗️+14.22 +1.87%
IDX30.401.30❗️ +6.72 +1.70%

IDXEnergy…..2553.73 +31.30 +1.24%
IDX BscMat..1116.57 +10.90 +0.99%
IDX Indstrl… .931.11 +7.67 +0.83%
IDXNONCYC.698.51 +3.59 +0.52%
IDX Hlthcare1366.81 +29.84 +2.23%
IDXCYCLC…796.36 +9.90 +1.26%
IDX Techno.4607.30 +77.50 +1.71%
IDX Transp ..1193.90 +4.17 +0.35%
IDX Infrast 1335.76 +37.63 +2.90%‼️
IDX Finance1350.95 +17.45 +1.31%
IDX Banking1071.30 +19.07 +1.81%
IDX Property. 725 +9.10 +1.28%

Indo10Yr.6.8981❗️+0.0057 +0.08%
ICBI….399.7757❗️+0.0807 +0.02%
US2Yr.4.357 +0.067 +1.56%
US5Yr 4.469 +0.097 +2.22%
US10Yr4.627 +0.091 +2.01%
US30Yr.4.832 +0.081 +1.70%
VIX..15.89 -0.13 -0.81%❗️

USDIndx 107.9780❗️+0.060 +0.06%
Como Indx..313.43 +1.42 +0.46%
BCOMIN..148.32 +1.01 +0.68%

IndoCDS…76.19❗️-0.01 -0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/02)

IDR…….16376.00❗️-7.50 -0.05%
Jisdor..16364.00❗️-16.00 -0.10%

Euro…1.0387 +0.0023 +0.22%

TLKM…15.21 +0.68 +4.64%‼️
( 2489)
EIDO….17.46 +0.17 +0.95%
EEM…..43.55 -0.18 -0.41%

Oil………71.22 -2.10 -2.86%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.01 -1.76 -2.29%
(Brent)
Gold…2932.60❗️ -6.30 -0.21%
(Comex)
Gold…2903.74❗️ +5.87 +0.20%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.31164.00 +19.00 +0.06%
(Closed 12/02)
.Nickel.15427.38 -32.50 -0.21%
(Closed 12/02)
Silver……32.70 +0.37 +1.15%
Copper.469.55 +9.45 +2.05%

Iron Ore 62% 106.32 -0.65 -0.61%
(10/02)
Nturl Gas ..3.441 +0.070 +2.03%
Ammonia China. 2370.00 – -%
(Domestic Price)(12/02)

Coal price.104.50 -0.25 -0.24%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.107.40 +0.70 +0.66%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 110.75 +0.65 +0.59%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 114.35 +0.60 +0.53%
(May/Newcastle)

Coal price 103.10 +0.20 +0.19%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 102.25 +0.35 +0.34%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 101.80 +0.35 +0.34%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price 102.15 +0.20 +0.20%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr) 4624 +29 +0.63%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………504.00 +6.00 +1.20%
SoybeanOil 46.13 -0.48 -1.03%
Wheat….574.25 -2.75 -0.48%

Wood pulp…..6700 unch +0%
(Closed 12/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah nasdaq ijo tipis europe asia ijo, US treasury bond yield jump, ga bagus ini, padahal maunya tutup gap nih IHSG

USD index naik dikit, metal2 naik kecuali iron ore, oil drop, gas up, coal up, CPO up, semoga rebound lanjut ADRO

IHSG – stoch macd mfi down, 833 buy, w% downtrend, masih NFS, BD rev acc, di support kuat 6500, ada gap di atas, reg bull div, semoga hari ini walaupun koreksi tapi terkendali terus lanjut mantul

Dari RSI masih technology dipimpin BUKA lanjut leading, terlihat bagus juga Consumer non-cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, Industrials, Healthcare, kaya udah siap2 buat IHSG mantul

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES ASII ESSA HRUM MDKA BBYB PNLF SRTG, big accum ASII BBYB

MACD Buy Signal: MAPI MDKA AUTO BTPS, big accum BTPS

CGS International Sekuritas Indonesia:
Kamis, 2 Januari 2025

Dow… 42,544.22 -29.51 -0.07%
S&P 500… 5,881.63 -25.31 -0.43%
FTSE 100… 8,173.02 +52.01 +0.64%
Nikkei… 39,894.54 -386.62 -0.96%

Indo 10 Yr… 7.00 -0.05 -0.31%
VIX… 17.35 -0.05 -0.29%
Indo CDS 5Y… 78.89 +0.75 +0.96%

TLKM (US)… 16.45 +0.02 +0.12%
EIDO… 18.48 -0.05 -0.27%

Oil… 71.72 +0.73 +1.03%
Gold… 2,624.50 +18.00 +0.69%
Timah… 28,846.00 -237.01 -0.81%
Nikel… 15,110.95 -78.88 -0.52%
Silver… 28.90 -0.05 -0.17%
Copper… 8,652.67 -142.18 -1.62%
Natural Gas… 3.63 -0.30 -7.70%
CPO… 4,861.00 -64.00 -1.30%
Coal*… 125.25 +0.70 +0.56%
Softwood Kraft Pulp 5,864.00 -14.00 -0.24%
*(Newcastle/Desember)
**majority closed per 31 Dec-24

Phintraco ga release data seperti biasa, kita cari dari beberapa sumber

US closing 30 des merah, europe ijo, asia merah, US treasury bond yield merah, masih belum menentu mau kemana, tapi kalo technical sih bilang mantul, cocok sama arah US treasury bond

USD index up, gold up metal2 lain down, oil up, gas down, coal up, coal sama oil ini menarik

IHSG – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, w% flat, elliot wave reverse done, lagi bikin higher low, reg bull div MACD RSI, confirmed by 2 bull candle, belum cancelled, sempet NFB tapi last day net sell lagi. Tanda2nya udah mau mantul sih

Terlihat mulai meriah, Infrastructure leading sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals, yang paling penting financials terlihat gerak

Stochastic Buy Signal Banyak, yang big accum AMMN, BUKA, GOTO, PTBA, AUTO, menarik dicermati BBCA BBNI

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR PTBA UNVR CMRY CTRA GJTL MPMX MYOR ULTJ, big accum PTBA UNVR SILO, GJTL kita liat juga

PTBA – abis reg bull div lanjut jalan, loncat kemaren 5% jadi stoch and macd buy, MFI up, w% up, BD FF rev acc, yang kosong portonya kayanya bisa bow di tengah candle kemaren

Coal price macd buy signal, menarik ini ADRO INDY ITMG PTBA

Abis spike jual ada spike kecil

AUTO – valuation ok, stoch buy macd almost buy, MFI still down, w%up, bd acc, FF masih dist, ada spike, kita check dulu

Harusnya sih target 2600 an ya, apalagi kalo liat retracement pattern harusnya bawa ke fibo 61 di 2900 an. Januari group astra suka jalan, kita liat AUTO gimana januari

Kurang ok ternyata… Nanti dulu deh

BBCA – stoch buy macd rev up MFI masih down, w%sw, BD FF udah sempet acc,last day rev dist lagi,reg bull div belum cancelled, confirmed by 2 bull candle

no spike… tapi Index sama BBCA seringnya searah, so 2 2 nya udah keliatan mau mantul, bisa spec buy

SILO – overpriced, skip

GJTL – stoch buy, macd buy, mfi sw, w% up, BD dist tipis, FF rev acc, abc correction seems down, valuation ok, harusnya bisa spec buy

Hajatan ini mah, saham LKH dan ada spike begini, dan bagusnya lagi ini valuation masih rendah ga kaya PTRO yang udah dihajatin sampe 4x lipat. BOW GJTL, idealnya dapet di fibo 23 di 1115

September 27th, 2024

Dow…….42175 +260.4 +0.62%
Nasdaq. 18190 +108.1 +0.60%
S&P 500 5745 +23.1 +0.40%

FTSE…8285 +16.2 +0.20%
Dax……19238 +319.9 +1.69%
CAC……7742 +176.5 +2.33%

Nikkei..38925 +1055.4 +2.79%
HSI…..19924 +795.5 +4.16%‼️
Shanghai.3001+104.6 +3.61%‼️

IDX…7744.52 +3.62 +0.05%
LQ45…970.55 -6.61 -0.68%
IDX30.497.08 -2.70 -0.56%

IDXEnergy. 2733.11 +20.79 +0.77%
IDX BscMat1381.37 +17.43 +1.28%
IDX Indstrl..1082.30 +1.72 +0.16%
IDXNONCYC.752.77 +4.81 +0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1585.01 +35.42 +2.29%
IDXCYCLIC…891.05 -3.68 -0.41%
IDXTechno 3899.70 +60.68 +1.58%
IDX Transp 1499.64 -11.92 -0.79%
IDX Infrast 1582.60 +7.96 +0.51%
IDX Finance1547.22 -6.29 -0.40%
IDX Banking1360.31 -16.13 -1.17%
IDX Property..799 +15.30 +0.15%

Indo10Yr.6.4968 +0.0182+0.28%
ICBI….396.9007 -0.3972 -0.10%
US2Yr.3.627 +0.066 +1.85%
US5Yr 3.565 +0.036 +1.02%
US10Yr3.802 +0.014 +0.37%
US30Yr.4.131 -0.014 -0.34%
VIX..15.37 -0.04 -0.26%

USDIndx 100.5620❗️-0.350 -0.35%
Como Indx….284.63 -1.53 -0.53%
BCOMIN….153.98 +3.87 +2.58%‼️

IndoCDS..69.75 -0.53 -0.75%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/09)

IDR…….15165.00 +63.00 +0.42%
Jisdor..15171.00 +79.00 +0.52%

Euro…1.1177❗️ +0.0044 +0.40%

TLKM.20.66 +0.05 +0.25%
( 3134)
EIDO…23.20 +0.01 +0.04%
EEM..46.70 +1.66 +3.69%‼️

Oil………..67.55 -2.00 -2.88%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..71.60 -1.86 -2.53%
(Brent)
Gold…2695.00 ‼️ +12.10 +0.45%
(Comex)
Gold…2672.56 +14.28 +0.54%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32435.00 +333.00 +1.04%
(Closed 26/09)
Nickel..16806.00 -12.00 -0.07%
(Closed 26/09)
Silver… ..32.30 +0.16 +0.50%
Copper.464.40 +15.50 +3.45%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 92.25 +0.37 +0.40%
(25/09)
Nturl Gas 2.742 -0.085 -3.01%
Ammonia China 2800.00* -10.00 +0.36%
(Domestic Price)(25/09)

Coal price.139.60 -0.15 -0.11%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.45 +0.55 +0.38%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.00 +0.60 +0.42%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.65 +0.90 +0.62%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.95 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..116.50: +0.75 +0.65%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.05 +1.10 +0.95%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.35 +1.20 +1.03%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 4052 +108 +2.67%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………413.25 -2.00 -0.48%
SoybeanOil 42.)0 -1.25 -2.83%
Wheat……584.25 -5.00 -0.85%

Wood pulp.4790.00 -10 -0.21%
(Closed 25/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional ijo semua, IHSG sempet merah dalem closing ijo tipis. China Hongong masih ijo tebel dengan stimulusnya. US T-bond yield up, masih berbahaya

USD index down, metal2 lanjut up, oil down lagi, prepare traiilng stop kena di AKRA MEDC, gss down coal up, congrats yang pegang coal, CPO lanjut up tinggi, bisa jadi ini Basic Materials versi tambang mineral dan CPO yang jalan even index wave 4

IHSG – technical nya ngeri banget, Stoch MACD down, itungan wave 4 agak dalem, udah 2 hari FNS dan vol besar, brace for impact

Technology, awas udah jalan jauh, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Energy, Basic Materials, Industrials

Oil prepare exit

Stochastic Buy Signal: GGRM GOTO INDF INKP ISAT TOWR HMSP MYOR PWON. Big Accum cuma PWON, beware technical trap

MACD buy Signal: EXCL CTRA TPIA, CTRA TPIA big accum