May 08th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow jumps 500 points to break four-day losing streak as regional banks and Apple shares surge

Stocks popped on Friday as regional bank shares climbed off their lows and market-darling Apple jumped after posting better-than-expected quarterly earnings.

Dow……33674 +546.6 +1.65%
Nasdaq12235 +269.02 +2.25%
S&P 500.4136 +75.03 +1.85%

FTSE…..7778 +75.7 +0.98%
Dax……15961 +226.8 +1.44%
CAC……7333 +92.2 +1.26%

Nikkei…..29158 +34.7 +0.12%
HSI………20049 +100.6 +0.50%
Shanghai.3335 -15.96 -0.48%

IDX…..6788.03 -56.40 -0.82%
LQ45….945.05 -7.23 -0.76%
IDX30…492.37 -3.97 -0.80%

IDXEnergy…1954.36 -56.40 -0.82%
IDX BscMat 1114.85 -24.79 -2.18%
IDX Indstrl…1145.31 -24.79 -2.29%
IDXNONCYC.734.03 -1.64 -0.22%
IDX Hlthcare1485.63 -17.47 -1.16%
IDXCYCLIC….816.42 -0.50 -0.06%
IDX Techno..4874.77 -51.03 -1.04%
IDX Transp..1809.64 +5.44 +0.30%
IDX Infrast…..817.74 -4.33 -0.53%
IDX Finance.1378.19 +3.09 +0.23%
IDX Banking.1150.19 +3.07 +0.27%
IDX Property…703 -0.50 -0.07%

Indo10Yr.6.6543 -0.0048 -0.07%👍
ICBI….358.3823 -0.0739 -0.02%
US2Yr.3.9181 +0.1299 +3.43%‼
US5Yr 3.4104 +0.0852 +2.54%
US10Yr3.4350 +0.0580 +1.72%
US30Yr.3.7500 -0.0200 -0.54%
VIX…… 17.19 -2.90 -14.44%👍

USDIndx101.2140 -0.2110 -0.21%
Como Indx.261.60 +4.80 +1.87%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…153.56 +2.04 +1.35%

IndoCDS.100.49 +1.97 +2.00%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/05)

IDR…..14678.00👍 -7.00 -0.05%
Jisdor.14674.00👍 +42.00 +0.29%

Euro……1.1019 +0.0005 +0.05%

TLKM..28.60 +0.28 +0.99%
(4197)
EIDO….24.29 +0.13 +0.54%
EEM…..39.39 +0.52 +1.34%

Oil……71.34 +2.78 +4.05%‼
Gold.2024.80 -30.90 -1.50%
Timah..25600.00 -1117.00 -4.40%‼
(Closed 04/05)
Nickel..24712.50 +629.50 +2.61%
(Closed 05/05)
Silver……25.93 -0.30 -1.13%
Copper…388.30 +2.00 +0.52%
Iron Ore 62% 103.55 -0.32 -0.31%
(03/05)
Nturl Gas.2.113 +0.0270 +1.29%

Coal price.169.65 -1.00 -0.59%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.168.50 -1.50 -0.88%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.174.60 +1.30 +0.75%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.182.60 +3.80 +2.13%
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.127.15 +1.85 +1.48%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.122.05 +1.65 +1.37%
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.20 +2.05 +1.72%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 121.55 +2.55 +2.14%
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3597 +167.00 +4.87%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..596.50 +7.50 +1.27%
SoybeanOil54.33 +1.85 +3.53%
Wheat…..660.25 +15.25 +2.36%

Wood pulp..4000.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/05)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound kenceng closing jum’at, US ijo, asia varied, IDX yang merah dalem, sekarang harusnya nyusul ijo tebel

Suku bunga fed naik lagi, USD index turun, biasanya bagus buat komoditas. Oil rebound kenceng, gas ijo, coal masih merah, CPO ijo tebel… Kita liat chart nya

CPO – Kalo MACD nya cross, kita assess AALI LSIP dkk

Gold Silver Tin Iron Ore merah, Nickel Copper ijo, jelek buat ANTM MDKA, bagus buat INCO. ANTM cut loss di rebound hari ini

IHSG – Stoch sell, MACD sell, BD Acc, FF dist, MFI flat, w% down, retracement pattern harusnya mantul dari fibo 23, ditambah factor US Europe closing ijo, harusnya testing neckline lagi ke atas. Tapi beware, kalo hari ini MACD ga berhasil ngebalik mending cuci gudang dulu…

Infrastructure, Transportation, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Technology

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI BRIS PNLF RMKE

MACD Buy Signal: ENRG MYOR

Alligator Buy Signal: UNVR ADHI ISAT SMRA TKIM

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 250 points lower Wednesday after Fed hikes rates for a 10th time

Stocks fell Wednesday after the Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points, as was widely expected

Dow……33414 -270.3 -0.80%
Nasdaq12025 -55.2 -0.46%
S&P 500.4091 -28.8 -0.70%

FTSE…..7788 +15.3 +0.20%
Dax……15815 +88.1 +0.56%
CAC……7404 +20.6 +0.28%

Nikkei…..29158 closed +0%
HSI………19699 -234.7 -1.18%
Shanghai.3323 closed +0%

IDX…..6812.72 -50.58 -0.74%
LQ45….947.65 -7.96 -0.83%
IDX30…493.92 -4.20 -0.84%

IDXEnergy…2002.37 -29.43 -1.45%
IDX BscMat 1138.16 -12.55 -1.09%
IDX Indstrl…1168.57 -15.75 -1.33%
IDXNONCYC.731.08 +8.43 +1.17%
IDX Hlthcare1499.47 -9.84 -0.65%
IDXCYCLIC….815.60 +2.22 +0.27%
IDX Techno..4857.67 -25.66 -0.53%
IDX Transp..1791.91 -21.10 -1.16%
IDX Infrast…..811.63 -1.63 -0.20%
IDX Finance.1377.01 -7.15 -0.52%
IDX Banking.1148.93 -8.50 -0.73%
IDX Property…700 +3.20 +0.46%

Indo10Yr.6.6924 -0.0366 -0.54%👍
ICBI….357.9499 +0.8065 +0.23%👍
US2Yr.3.8645 -0.1278 -3.20%‼
US5Yr 3.3457 -0.1233 -3.55%‼
US10Yr3.3540-0.0690 -2.01%
US30Yr.3.6930 -0.0210 -0.66%
VIX…… 18.34 +0.56 +3.15%

USDIndx101.3430 -0.6150 -0.60%
Como Indx.256.56 -4.07 -1.56%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…152.86 -1.31 -0.85%

IndoCDS..94.58 -1.46 -1.52%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/05)

IDR…..14692.00 -21.50 -0.15%
Jisdor.14706.00 +3 +0.02%

Euro……1.1068 +0.0062 +0.56%

TLKM..28.22 -0.32 -1.12%
(4150)
EIDO….24.14 -0.11 -0.45%
EEM….38.56 -0.06 -0.16%

Oil……66.54 -5.05 -7.05%‼
Gold.2068.00‼ +43.10 +2.13%
Timah..26491.00 +403.00 +1.54%
(Closed 02/05)
Nickel..24646.00 -309.50 -1.24%
(Closed 03/05)
Silver……26.06 +0.44 +1.72%
Copper…383.50 -3.10 -0.80%
Iron Ore 62% +2.40. +2.32%
(02/05)
Nturl Gas.2.217 -0.0700 -3.15%

Coal price.180.60 -6.95 -3.70%‼
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.182.30 -7.70 -4.05%‼
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.186.80 -7.20 -3.71%‼
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.191.20 -7.05 -3.56%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.131.50 -4.60 -3.38%‼
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price.128.00 -4.50 -3.40%‼
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.50 -5.00 -3.80%‼
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 126.75 -5.10 -3.87%‼
(Agt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3430 +18 +0.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..588.60 +8.50 +1.47%
SoybeanOil52.64 +0.85 +1.64%
Wheat…639.75 +30.50 +5.01%‼

Wood pulp..4000.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/05)

© ( DE ) – ( AT ) 04 – 05 – 2023

Source : Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia

US merah lagi, Europe ijo, asia banyak tutup, his idx merah dalem. Masih belum kondusif buat belanja belanja agresif

Oil Gas Coal drop, energy bye bye dulu ini, Metal2 varied, Gold Silver Tin Iron Ore Ijo, Nickel Copper merah, CPO ijo. ANTM bisa diperhatikan, MDKA belum masuk di technical

IHSG – stoch rev down, macd rev down, 833 sell, MFI down, w% down, BD flat, FNS 2 hari, prepare belanja pas udah sampe fibo 23 atau udah mantul lagi keatas fibo 38. Rejection resistance di neckline pattern emang suka kejam

Lho, infrastructure koq jalan terus cacingnya, padahal telco sama tower pada drop? Infrastructure, Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Healthcare, Technology

Checking manual, infra versi BUMN konstruksi sesuai dugaan koreksi dulu, kalo udah bikin higher low kita baru berani buy, tower2 drop, TLKM drop, ISAT EXCL yang soaring, later check apa layak riding

Stochastic Buy Signal: EXCL, SIDO, AALI, ABMM, BSDE, MNCN

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO JPFA ABMM JSMR MAPI

Alligator Buy Signal: BRPT INKP TPIA BMTR HEAL PTPP

Supertrend Buy Signal: AMRT

April 10th, 2023

Good morning,

US, Europe, and Asian markets on holiday due to Good Friday

Dow……33485 closed +0%
Nasdaq12088 closed +0%
S&P 500.4105 closed +0%

FTSE…..7742 closed +0%
Dax……15598 closed +0%
CAC……7325 closes +0%

Nikkei…..27518 +45.7 +0.17%
HSI………20331 closed +0%
Shanghai.3327 +15.02 +0.45%

IDX…..6792.77 closed +0%
LQ45….937.20 closed +0%
IDX30…488.25 closed +0%

IDXEnergy…2110.30 closed +0%
IDX BscMat 1156.25 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1183.33 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC.711.75 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1498.62 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…..819.43 closed +0%
IDX Techno..4952.41 closed +0%
IDX Transp..1773.31 closed +0%
IDX Infrast…..802.66 closed +0%
IDX Finance.1389.60 closed +0%
IDX Banking.1140.96 closed +0%
IDX Property…687 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7561 closed +0%
ICBI…..354.4280 closed +0
*US2Yr.3.9930 +0.1641 +4.29%‼️
US5Yr 3.5161 +0.1423 +4.22%‼️
US10Yr3.4130 +0.1100 +3.33%‼️
US30Yr.3.6230+0.0750 +2.11%
VIX…… 18.40 closed +0%

USDIndx102.0560 -0.0360 -0.04%
Como Indx.271.99 closed +0%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…154.87 closed +0%

IndoCDS..91.610 -0.010 -0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/04)

IDR…..14912.00 closed +0%
Jisdor.14943.00 closed +0%

Euro……1.0909 -0.0008 -0.07%

TLKM….28.37 closed +0%
(4239)
EIDO……23.62 closed +0%
EEM……39.39 closed +0%

Oil……80.97 +0.27 +0.33%
Gold.2020.60 -5.80 -0.29%
Timah..24308.00 +61.00 +0.25%
(Closed 06/04)
Nickel..23073.00 closed. +0%
(Closed 07/04)
Silver……25.11 +0.01 +0.05%
Copper…402.00 +0.40 +0.11%

Nturl Gas.2.021 -0.015 -0.74%

Ammonia 3700.00 -83.33 +2.15%
China
(Domestic Price)(04/05)

Coal price.193.75 closed +0%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.203.25 closed +0%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.208.65 closed +0%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.211.20 closed +0%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.135.10 closed +0%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.131.95 closed +0%
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.00 closed +0%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.85 closed +0%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3800 -24 +0.63%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..643.50 closed +0%
SoybeanOil54.53 closed +0%
Wheat…..676.50 closed +0%

Wood pulp..4860.00 unch +0%
(Closed 09/04)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Jum’at pada libur paskah, asia yang buka kecuali IDX dan pada ijo

Oil ijo gas merah coal closed, metal2 ijo tipis kecuali gold yang merah. cpo ijo

Gold Price 4 hari merah, harus dipantau ketat ANTM MDKA for early reversal.

IHSG – stpch buy, macd masih up, mfi up, BD dist FF masih acc terus, masih positive outlook kalo gini, bandar lokal aja lagi profit taking kayanya. Masih optimis akan finish pattern double bottom

Masih Energy Leading, lanjut Property, Financials, Consumer Cyclicals, Transportation, Basic Materials, Technology. Begitu financials mulai gerak lagi harusnya index juga jalan lagi. Industrials sama Infrastructure mulai gerak

Stoch Buy Signal: BBRI. Yang lain banyak banget yang sell ikutan index

MACD Buy Signal: ERAA EKAD

Alligator Buy Signal: ADRO INCO AGII ELSA MBSS

Supertrend Buy Signal: ERAA JSMR

BBRI – masih sideways sih, tunggu breakout aja

ERAA – supertrend buy, vol breakout, MACD ngebalik buy lagi, BD FF acc, MFI up, w% uptrend, breakout CNH, agak ketinggian sih harga sekarang, tapi harusnya otw fibo 61

Spike belum, kalo buat ngejar tapi ga ada spike signfificant ga berani ah

udah diatas average bandar, kalo mau safe tunggu spike atau harga ke 500, dengan resiko ketinggalan kereta… Tapi better safe than sorry kan

EKAD skip

ADRO – lagi slow down, FNS, stoch almost sell, macd masih up, 833 sell, tunggu 833 buy lagi. Udah naik 20%, wajarnya koreksi dulu

ELSA – harga minyak masih naik, OPEC cut production, stoch sell, macd rev down, FF acc, BD dist, MFI sw, w% sw, lagi di fibo 23, HOLD, watch MACD

MBSS – udah beres gorengannya, skip

INCO – biarkan bikin higher low dulu, next swing baru ikutan

JSMR – udah ketinggian, entry pas MACD sekarang harusnya pullback dulu, wns

 

April 04th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points higher to begin April’s trading, S&P 500 notches fourth day of gains

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
added more than 300 points on Monday, as Wall Street shows resilience despite an oil output cut from OPEC+ that threatens to stoke inflation and recession fears.

Dow……33601 +327.0 +0.98%
Nasdaq12189 -32.5 -0.27%
S&P 500.4125 +15.2. +0.37%

FTSE…..7673 +41.3 +0.54%
Dax…..15581. -47.9 -0.31%
CAC……7346 +23.6 +0.32%

Nikkei…..28188 +146.7 +0.52%
HSI………20409 +9.1. +0.04%
Shanghai.3296 +23.5 +0.72%

IDX…..6827.17 +21.90 +0.32%
LQ45….943.07 +5.39 +0.57%
IDX30…491.28 +3.00 +0.61%

IDXEnergy…2108.29 +4.65 +0.22%
IDX BscMat 1181.75 -2.00 -0.17%
IDX Indstrl…1182.25 -3.32 -0.28%
IDXNONCYC.724.49 -7.15 -0.98%
IDX Hlthcare1536.07 -4.58 -0.30%
IDXCYCLIC…..824.72 +2.40 -0.40%
IDX Techno..5077.11 -23.62 -0.46%
IDX Transp..1784.53 -4.82. -0.27%
IDX Infrast…..812.58 +3.74 +0.46%
IDX Finance.1393.10 +7.27 +0.52%
IDX Banking.1145.11 +8.98 +0.79%
IDX Property…686 -0.9 -0.13%

Indo10Yr.6.7978 +0.0022 +0.03%
ICBI…..353.5184 +0.1977 +0.06%👍
US2Yr.3.9696 -0.0680 -1.68%
US5Yr 3.5079 -0.0757 -2.11%
US10Yr 3.4150 -0.0580 -1.67%
US30Yr.3.6330 +0.1600 +4.61%👍
VIX…… 18.55 -0.15 -0.88%

USDIndx102.1660 -0.4899 -0.47%
Como Indx.271.34 +3.61 +1.35%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…158.29 -1.69 -1.06%

IndoCDS..95.060 -3.950 -3.99%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/31)

IDR…..14971.50 -24.50 -0.16%👍
Jisdor.14990.00 +13.00 +0.09%👍

Euro……1.0902 +0.0063 +0.58%

TLKM….27.50 +0.23 +0.84%
(4122)
EIDO……23.75 +0.22 +0.94%
EEM……39.54 +0.08 +0.20%

Oil……80.42 +4.75 +6.28%‼️
Gold.2000.40 +14.20 +0.71%
Timah 25835.00 -81.00 -0.31%
(Closed 03/31)
Nickel..23060.50 -684.00 -2.88%
(Closed 04/03)
Silver…..24.02 -0.13 -0.56%
Copper..404.55 -4.90 -1.20%

Nturl Gas.2.117 -0.049 -2.26%

Ammonia 3966.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/29)

Coal price.200.00 +7.00 +3.63%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.212.00 +12.50 +6.27%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.234.00 +28.30 +13.76%‼️
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.234.25 +26.10 +12.53%‼️
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.149.00 +11.10 +8.05%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.146.25 +9.35 +6.75%‼️
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 144.75 +11.50 +8.63%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 146.55 +13.85+10.43%‼️
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3885 +127 +3.38%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..657.75 -2.75 -0.42%
SoybeanOil.56.68 +1.19 +2.14%
Wheat…..693.50 +1.25 +0.8%

Wood pulp…5060.00 -20 -039%
(Closed 04/03)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI lanjut ijo, nasdaq merah dikit. Europe mostly ijo. Asia kemaren ijo semua, semoga hari ini lanjut rally

Oil Coal jump, gas down, gold rebound, metal2 lain lanjut merah. cpo jump

NCF naik tinggi hari kedua, dari hitungan ABC correction sudah done, oscillators says up, supertrend buy alligator sedikit lagi. seems okay

Oil juga price jump, saham minyak belum banyak gerak pas coal naik tinggi, mungkin sekarang gilirannya.

IHSG – masih terus FNB dan bd acc, walau 833 overbought dan sell signal, stoch up macd up mfi up, w% uptrend, masih belum tembus fibo 38, tapi optimis akan touch neckline double bottom

Energy, Financials, Basic Materials, Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals

AKRA leading, MEDC INDY udah jalan, yang baru mau gerak PGAS HRUM ELSA

Stochastic Buy Signal: LTLS

MACD Buy Signal: HRUM BMTR ELSA SMRA

Alligator Buy Signal (big acc sorted): TBIG BRMS

Supertrend Buy Signal: PTBA MEDC AALI MBSS