Posts Tagged ‘Consumer Cyclicals’

Daily Analysis 20240116

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

January 16th, 2024

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to Martin Luther King, Jr. Day

Dow……37593 closed +0%
Nasdaq14973 closed +0%
S&P 500.4784 closed +0%

FTSE…..7595 -30.02 -0.39%
Dax……16622 -82.3 -0.49%
CAC……7411 -53.5 -0.72%

Nikkei..35902 +324.7 +0.91%
HSI…….16216 -28.3 -0.17%
Shanghai.2886 +4.3 +0.15%

IDX…..7224.00 -17.14 -0.24%
LQ45….974.06 -3.76 -0.38%
IDX30…503.15 -1.11 -0.22%

IDXEnergy..2200.27 +22.91 +1.06%
IDX BscMat.1249.83 +0.41 +0.03%
IDX Indstrl…1127.74 +11.77+1.06%
IDXNONCYC.707.58 +2.74 +0.39%
IDX Hlthcare1336.46 -10.26 -0.76%
IDXCYCLIC…855.64 -2.56 -0.30%
IDX Techno4337.21 +0.65 +0.02%
IDX Transp 1711.74 +50.08 +3.01%
IDX Infrast 1532.06 -3.09 -0.20%
IDX Finance.1516.45 -8.04 -0.53%
IDX Banking.1332.63 -2.16 -0.16%
IDX Property.. 714 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6576 -0.0132 -0.20%
ICBI…375.0436 +0.2362 +0.06%
US2Yr.4.146 closed +0%
US5Yr 3.832 closed +0%
US10Yr3.986 +0.037 +0.94%
US30Yr.4.175 closed +0%
VIX….13.25 +0.55 +4.33%‼️

USDIndx 102.4040 closed +0%
Como Indx..264.38 closed +0%
BCOMIN……136.00 closed +0%

IndoCDS..74.23‼️ – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/01)

IDR…..15555.00 +5.00 +0.03%
Jisdor.15555.00 -4.00 -0.03%

Euro….1.0949 -0.0002 -0.02%

TLKM…25.93 closed +0%
(4033)
EIDO……22.64 closed +0%
EEM……39.20 closed +0%

Oil……..72.50 -0.18 -0.25%
Gold..2059.00 +7.40 +0.36%
Timah..24631.00 – -%
(Closed 12/01)
Nickel..16167.50 -142.5 -0.87%
(Closed 15/01)
Silver……23.33 +0.06 +0.26%
Copper.378.40 +4.35 +1.16%

Iron Ore 62% 137.22 – -%
(12/01)
Nturl Gas..3.106 -0.225 -6.75%‼️
Ammonia China.3250.00‼️ – -%
(Domestic Price)(12/02)

Coal price.129.85 -1.00 -0.76%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.25 -1.00 -0.79%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.25 -0.50 -0.40%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 125.00 -0.20 -0.16%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.107.50 -1.30 -1.19%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 101.50 -3.75 -3.56%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price…99.05 -3.90 -3.79%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price…97.50 -3.50 -3.47%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)..3800 -43 -1.12%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.00 closed +0%
SoybeanOil 48.25 closed +0%
Wheat…596.00 closed +0%

Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 15/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US market closed, europe merah, asia varied. masih sideways dulu ini kayanya IHSG. Metal2 kebanyakan naik, ada yang closed, nickel turun sendiri, oil merah gas drop, coal merah, cpo merah, rada lesu ini…

IHSG – technical masih jelek, BD juga distribusi, bagusnya masih FNB walau tipis. Masih belum waktunya aggressive

Financials, Energy, Industrials, Technology, Consumer Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: CPIN UNTR BELI BFIN DSNG. Big acc UNTR

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO INKP KLBF BFIN

Stochastic Continuation Signal and BigAcc: INDF ITMG PTBA

Supertrend Buy Signal: ISAT

Alligator Buy Signal: ACES

Daily Analysis 20240115

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

January 15th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 100 points lower Friday, ekes out a weekly gain

The Dow Jones industrial Average
slipped Friday as traders parsed through the first batch of fourth-quarter earnings and digested the second in a pair of closely watched inflation reports this week.

Dow……37593 -118.04 -0.31%
Nasdaq14973 +2.6 +0.02%
S&P 500.4784 +3.6 +0.08%

FTSE…..7625 +48.3 +0.64%
Dax……16705 +157.5 +0.95%
CAC……7465 +77.5 +1.05%

Nikkei..35577 +527.3 +1.50%
HSI…….16245 -57.5 -0.35%
Shanghai.2882 -4.7 -0.16%

IDX…..7241.14 +21.17 +0.29%
LQ45….977.82 +7.88 +0.81%
IDX30…504.26 +5.06 +1.01%

IDXEnergy..2177.36 +16.81 +0.78%
IDX BscMat.1249.16 +9.25 +0.75%
IDX Indstrl…1115.97 +9.35 +0.84%
IDXNONCYC.704.84 -0.56 -0.08%
IDX Hlthcare1346.70 -2.44 -0.18%
IDXCYCLIC…858.20 -2.68 -0.31%
IDX Techno4336.56 -7.28 -0.17%
IDX Transp 1661.66 -17.61 -1.05%
IDX Infrast 1535.15 -14.66 -0.95%
IDX Finance.1524.48+1.99 +0.13%
IDX Banking.1334.79+12.45 +0.94%
IDX Property.. 717 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.6708 -0.0251 -0.37%
ICBI…374.6673 +0.5618 +0.15%
US2Yr.4.149 -0.103 -2.42%
US5Yr 3.832 -0.049 -1.26%
US10Yr3.939 -0.029 -0.73%
US30Yr.4.175-0.038 -0.85%
VIX….12.70 +0.26 +2.09%

USDIndx 102.4040 +0.092 +0.09%
Como Indx..264.38 +0.28 +0.11%
BCOMIN……136.00 -0.75 -0.55%

IndoCDS..74.23‼️ -0.03 -0.04%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/01)

IDR…..15550.00 +1.50 +0.01%
Jisdor.15559.00 +1.00 +0.01%

Euro….1.0951 -0.0023 -0.21%

TLKM…25.93 +0.26 +1.01%
(4034)
EIDO….22.64 +0.25 +1.12%
EEM….39.20 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil……..72.68 +0.67 +0.92%
Gold..2051.60 +32.40 +1.60%
Timah..24631.00 +77.00 +0.31%
(Closed 12/01)
Nickel..16310.00 -142 -0.86%
(Closed 12/01)
Silver……23.33 +0.62 +2.75%
Copper.374.05 -3.60 -0.95%

Iron Ore 62% 137.22 -1.63 -1.17%
(12/01)
Nturl Gas..3.331 +0.301 +9.93%‼️
Ammonia China.3250.00‼️ -56.67 -1.71%
(Domestic Price)(12/02)

Coal price.130.85 +0.10 +0.08%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 127.25 +1.00 +0.79%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.125.75 +0.50 +0.40%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 125.20 +0.50 +0.40%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.108.80 +2.30 +2.16%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 105.25 +2.95 +2.88%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.102.95 +2.75 +2.74%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.101.00 +2.95 +3.01%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3854 +58 +1.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……447.00 -10.75 -2.35%
SoybeanOil 48.25 -0.47 -0.96%
Wheat…596.00 -7.75 -1.28%

Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US DJI merah nasdaq S&P500 ijo tipis, europe ijo, asia varied. US bond rates turun, USD index naik dikit, masih bisa kemana mana hari ini, kalo ikut closing US merah, tapi bond turun biasanya saham naik

Gold akhirnya ijo rada tebel, tin silver ijo, nickel copper iron ore merah, oil up gas jump, coal naik dikit, CPO lanjut ijo lagi. Kayanya udah harusnya AALI LSIP lari ini. ANTM MDKA chartnya masih belum ok, semoga mulai turnaround dengan harga emas yang naik

IHSG – Stoch down macd down,833 buy, MFI sw,w% sw, bd dist, FNB, minor sih up kayanya, tapi belum beres ABC correction, mungkin sekarang di wave B, belum firm… Keliatannya akan test support 7046, area belanja pas mantul dari situ

Arahnya menarik Financials, Consumer Cyclicals, Energy, Technology.

ADRO terlihat mau nyusul,kita check later, coal yang lain terlihat jenuh

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO KLBF MEDC AVIA BTPS HEAL JPFA PNLF, yang big accum ADRO AVIA BTPS, spike AVIA

MACD Buy Signal: ASII BBRI GOTO DSNG OMED UNIC, ASII spike, BBRI big accum

Stochastic Continuation Signal and Big Accum: BBCA BMRI INCO MEDC UNTR AVIA ELSA, spike INCO

Supertrend Buy Signal: ESSA BTPS

Daily Analysis 20240110

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

January 10th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes slightly lower as stocks’ early 2024 struggles linger

The S&P 500
trimmed an earlier decline Tuesday, boosted by tech shares, but still ended the day with modest losses.

Dow……37525 -157.9 -0.42%
Nasdaq14857 +13.9 +0.09%
S&P 500.4757 -7.05 -0.15%

FTSE…..7684 -10.2 -0.13%
Dax……16688 -28.1 -0.17%
CAC……7427 -22.6 -0.32%

Nikkei..33377 closed +0%
HSI…….16190 -34.4 -0.62%
Shanghai.2893+5.7 +0.20%

IDX…..7200.20 -83.37 -1.14%
LQ45….970.08 -6.36 -0.65%
IDX30…497.85 -0.29 -0.06%

IDXEnergy..2156.90 -13.52 -0.62%
IDX BscMat.1241.32 -55.67 -4.29%‼️
IDX Indstrl…1102.94 +2.18 +0.20%
IDXNONCYC.708.58 -4.91 -0.69%
IDX Hlthcare1326.71 -2.10 -0.16%
IDXCYCLIC…845.35 +10.28 +1.23%
IDX Techno4338.89 -14.42 -0.33%
IDX Transp 1652.31 -27.48 -1.64%
IDX Infrast 1532.96 -23.06 -1.48%
IDX Finance.1502.59+9.75 +0.65%
IDX Banking.1315.00+10.65 +0.82%
IDX Property.. 717 +1.10 +0.15%

Indo10Yr.6.6734 +0.0164 +0.25%
ICBI…373.7378 -0.3219 -0.097%
US2Yr.4.366 -0.009 -0.21%
US5Yr 3.972 -0.014 -0.35%
US10Yr4.015-0.012 -0.30%
US30Yr.4.185+0.001+0.02%
VIX….12.76 -0.32 -2.45%

USDIndx 102.5080 +0.096 +0.09%
Como Indx..264.69 +3.04 +1.16%
BCOMIN……136.48 -0.57 -0.42%

IndoCDS..77.70‼️ +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (08/01)

IDR…..15520.00 -5.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.15518.00 -4.00 -0.03%

Euro….1.0932 -0.0019 -0.17%

TLKM…25.18 -0.01 -0.04%
(3907)
EIDO….22.28 -0.24 -1.07%
EEM….38.99 -0.56 -1.42%

Oil……..72.24 +1.47 +2.08%
Gold..2033.00 -0.50 -0.02%
Timah..24500.00 -122.00 -0.50%
(Closed 08/01)
Nickel..16226.00 -32 -0.20%
(Closed 09/01)
Silver……23.09 -0.22 -0.94%
Copper.375.86 -5.15 -1.35%

Iron Ore 62% 140.87 -0.58 -0.41%
(08/01)
Nturl Gas..2.943 +0.037 +1.27%
Ammonia China.3400.00‼️ -50.00 -1.45%
(Domestic Price)(09/02)

Coal price.135.65 +3.65 +2.77%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 134.20 +4.70 +3.63%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.132.25 +4.00 +3.12%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 130.25 +3.75 +2.96%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.111.25 -1.50 -1.33%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 108.15 -1.55 -1.41%
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.105.35 -0.75 -0.71%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.30 +0.30 +0.29%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3734 +40 +1.08%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……459.25 +4.25 +0.93%
SoybeanOil 48.45 +0.64 +1.34%
Wheat…610.00 +13.75 +2.31%

Wood pulp..5060.00 +10 +0.20%
(Closed 09/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US market merah, nasdaq masih ijo tipis, europe juga, asia merah kecuali shanghai

US bond rates turun lagi, harusnya bagus ini buat ngangkat saham. IHSG dua hari plunged down hard masa ga ada rebound sih…

USD index up, metal2 down, ga jadi jalan ini basic materials versi mineral mineral, consider exit ANTM INCO MDKA TINS dll di DCB hari ini

Oil rebound, gas up, coal newcastle up lumayan tinggi, CPO lanjut ijo, harusnya AALI LSIP jadi lanjut jalan ini walau market merah

IHSG – firm collapse after wave 5, stoch sell macd sell, mfi sw, w% down, BD dist masih FNB, ayo cuci gudang yang ga yakin contrarian ganjel bursa…

Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Industrials, Property

Daily Analysis 20240109

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

January 9th, 2024

Good morning,

Nasdaq Composite closes 2% higher Monday as tech stocks’ revival lifts major averages

The major averages rose Monday, boosted by tech shares, as Wall Street tried to recover from a tough week

Dow……37683 +216.9 +0.58%
Nasdaq14844 +319.7 +2.20%
S&P 500.4764 +66.3 +1.41%

FTSE…..7694 +4.6 +0.06%
Dax……16716 +122.3 +0.74%
CAC……7450 +29.6 +0.40%

Nikkei..33377 closed +0%
HSI…….16225 -310.9 -1.88%
Shanghai.2888 -41.7 -1.42%

IDX…..7283.58 -67.05 -0.91%
LQ45….977.44 -9.82 -1.00%
IDX30…498.14 -3.58 -0.71%

IDXEnergy..2170.42 -10.32 -0.47%
IDX BscMat.1297.00 -28.84 -2.18%
IDX Indstrl…1100.76 -3.01 -0.27%
IDXNONCYC.713.49 -5.56 -0.77%
IDX Hlthcare1328.81+2.92 +0.22%
IDXCYCLIC…835.07 +0.58 +0.07%
IDX Techno4353.31 -28.10 -0.64%
IDX Transp 1679.79 -11.12 -0.66%
IDX Infrast 1556.02 -14.14 -0.90%
IDX Finance.1492.85+1.17 +0.08%
IDX Banking.1304.35 -6.90 -0.53%
IDX Property.. 716 +3.60 +0.51%

Indo10Yr.6.6734 +0.0164 +0.25%
ICBI…373.7378 -0.3219 -0.097%
US2Yr.4.375 -0.018 -0.41%
US5Yr 3.986 -0.119 -2.96%
US10Yr4.027-0.024 -0.59%
US30Yr.4.184-0.022 -0.52%
VIX….13.08 -0.27 -2.02%

USDIndx 102.4120 -0.010 -0.01%
Como Indx..261.65 -4.26 -1.60%
BCOMIN……137.05 -1.31 -0.95%

IndoCDS..77.69‼️ – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (05/01)

IDR…..15525.00 +9.50 +0.06%
Jisdor.15518.00 +4.00 +0.03%

Euro….1.0951 +0.0008 +0.07%

TLKM…25.19 -0.13 -0.51%
(3909)
EIDO….22.52 -0.07 -0.31%
EEM….39.55 +0.11 +0.28 %

Oil……..70.77 -3.04 -4.12%‼️
Gold..2033.50 -16.30 -0.80%
Timah..24622.00 – -%
(Closed 05/01)
Nickel..16258.00 -86 -0.53%
(Closed 08/01)
Silver……23.31 -0.01 -0.04%
Copper.381.00 +0.40 +0.11%

Iron Ore 62% 141.45. – -%
(05/01)
Nturl Gas..2.943 +0.037 +1.27%
Ammonia China.3640.00 – -%
(Domestic Price)(05/02)

Coal price.132.00 +0.45 +0.34%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price 129.50 -1.00 -0.76%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.128.25 -0.25 -0.19%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 126.50 -0.75 -0.59%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price.112.75 -3.25 -2.88%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price 109.70 -3.65 -3.22%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam).
Coal price.106.10 -2.65 -2.44%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 103.00 -2.65 -2.51%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)..3694 +13 +0.35%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……455.00 -5.75 -1.25%
SoybeanOil 47.81 +0.18 +0.38%
Wheat…596.25 -19.75 -3.21%

Wood pulp..5050.00 unch +0%
(Closed 08/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo, nasdaq jump, Europe ijo, asia merah dalem termasuk IHSG. US Bond rate turun, vix turun, USD index turun tipis, IHSG harusnya rebound hari ini…

Metal2 masih tipis2 merah kecuali copper, oil lanjut merah dalem, gas ijo, coal newcastle ijo, rotterdam merah tebel, future nya merah semua, abis winternya. CPO ijo lagi, harusnya AALI LSIP jalan

IHSG – stoch sell, macd rev down, MFI doen w% down, bd dist, masih FNB bagusnya… kalo dari MA masih uptrend, dari elliot wave udah bahaya karena udah wave 5 dan udah lewat target minimal run nya, berharap sampe ke fibo ext 1.618 nya tapi. trailing stop on, stop loss ketat, siap2 cash buat beli lagi di bawah

bagusnya bahwa arah financials bagus,deket 45 derajat, semoga bisa gendong index. arah bagus consumer non-cyclicals, industrials, consumer cyclicals, property, transportation. Energy masih di leading quadrant tapi ga jelas

Stochastic Buy Signal: SIDO MSIN PNIN RMKE

Stochastic Continuation Signal: ITMG big accum, SCMA spike

Supertrend Buy Signal: EXCL

Alligator Buy Signal: BBTN INDF SMGR TINS

SIDO – kecuali stoch buy, jelek semua, skip…

ITMG – stoch up OB flattening, MACD up, MFI up, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, udah jalan 14% lebih dari bottom kemaren tanpa koreksi berarti… wait higher low deh, index belum tentu lanjut dan oscillators pada overbought

Spike nya sih bagus

CC YU buang, wait dulu deh

SCMA – wah, saham LQ45 tapi chart nya kaya gorengan, ga berani dulu ah… tar kalo index nya jinak baru berani

EXCL – stoch up, macd up, mfi up, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, supertrend buy, alligator buy, udah bikin higher low, bisa sih ini buy harusnya, agak high risk tapi dengan posisi index begini dan sektor infrastrukturnya masih lemes

Spike nya ok

Average ok, 3 holder terbesar accum, seandainya index ga beresiko gini udah pasti ikut entry

tapi ga deh, sabar dulu aja, kecuali emang porto kosong dan mau speculative buy

INDF – stoch sell, macd still up, MFI still up, tapi BD FF dist, buat entry sekarang ga ok, buat saya yang udah ada masih hold sih, tapi stoploss udah dipasang, just in case

Masih firm price aman dan YP accum sih, hold

SMGR – kena hidbear dan turun, stoch sell, macd rev down, bd ff rev dist, cutloss di macd sell signal

Harga aman, tapi emang 2 holder gede lagi distribusi pelan pelan

Masih ada unclosed spike, masih hoping jalan, watch MACD

TINS – batal jalan keliatannya, stoch sell, macd rev down, MFI down, w% down, BD FF dist, testing support dulu, skip…