Posts Tagged ‘Consumer Cyclicals’

Daily Analysis 20241004

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

October 04th, 2024

Dow leads declines ahead of jobs report, oil surges 5% as Mideast focus intensifies

Stocks slipped on Thursday as Wall Street awaited the key jobs report and dissected a slew of economic data ahead of it. Meanwhile, the possibility of an Israeli retaliatory attack against Iran’s oil facilities sent oil soaring for a third day.

Dow…….42012 -184.9 -0.44%
Nasdaq. 17918 -6.7 -0.04%
S&P 500 5700 -9.6 -0.17%

FTSE…8283 -8.3 -0.10%
Dax……19015 -149.3 -0.78%
CAC……7478 -99.8 -1.32%

Nikkei..38552 +743.3 +1.97%
HSI……22114 -330.2 -1.47%
Shanghai.3337 closed. +0%

IDX…7543.83 -19.43 -0.26%
LQ45…937.39 -1.31 -1.31%
IDX30.483.56 -0.02 -0.00%

IDXEnergy…..2744.60 -19.69 -0.71%
IDX BscMat1401.62 -9.77 -0.69%
IDX Indstrl..1077.01 +3.32 +0.31%
IDXNONCYC.735.80 +0.36 +0.05%
IDX Hlthcare1571.51 -10.97 -0.69%
IDXCYCLIC…869.14 +5.54 +0.64%
IDXTechno 3754.83 -42.32 -1.11%
IDX Transp 1494.09 -2.09 -0.14%
IDX Infrast 1520.74 +1.02 +0.07%
IDX Finance1510.61 +4.57 +0.30%
IDX Banking1320.47 +5.00 +0.38%
IDX Property..793 +3.40 +0.44%

Indo10Yr.6.5610 +0.0359 +0.55%
ICBI….394.9446 -0.6365 -0.16%
US2Yr.3.705 +0.068 +1.87%
US5Yr 3.628 +0.076 +2.14%
US10Yr3.848 +0.062 +1.64%
US30Yr.4.181+0.053 +1.28%
VIX..20.49 +1.59 +8.41%‼️

USDIndx 101.9890❗️+0.312 +0.31%
Como Indx….291.15 +4.02 +1.40%
BCOMIN….154.39 -3.26 -2.07%

IndoCDS..69.26 +0.51 +0.74%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/10)

IDR…….15428.50❗️ +160.50 +1.05%
Jisdor..15394.00 ❗️ +147.00 +0.96%

Euro…1.1035❗️ -0.0012 -0.11%

TLKM.18.79 -0.37 -1.93%
( 2893)
EIDO…22.06 -0.26 -1.14%
EEM…46.54 -0.60 -1.27%

Oil………..73.83 +3.00 +4.24%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..77.62 +3.72 +5.03%‼️
(Brent)
Gold…2675.40 -4.20 -0.16%
(Comex)
Gold…2655.98 -5.04 -0.19%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.33709.00 -184.00 -0.54%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel.17825.50 -394.50 -2.17%
(Closed 03/10)
Silver… ..32.32 +0.20 +0.62%
Copper.454.70 -11.00 -2.36%

Iron Ore 62% 109.29‼️+0.55 +0.51%
(02/10)
Nturl Gas 2.970 +0.057 +1.96%
Ammonia China 2836.67 closed +0%
(Domestic Price)(03/10)

Coal price.140.80 +0.55 +0.39%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.65 +1.05 +0.74%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.20 +2.00 +1.40%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.25 +2.25 +1.56%
(Jan/Newcastle)

Coal price.117.00 +0.90 +0.78%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.60 +2.10 +1.82%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..118.50 +2.05 +1.76%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..119.90 +1.55 +1.31%
(Jan/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 4182 -14 -0 33%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………428.25 -4.25 -0.98%
SoybeanOil 44.53 +0.89 +2.04%
Wheat….603.50 -11.75 -1.91%

Wood pulp.4790.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren semua closing merah, urusan perang salah satu faktornya. US treasury bond yield naik, masih suram IHSG hari ini.

USD index up, metal2 doen kecuali silver dan iron ore, oil loncat lagi karena perangnya iran sebagai produsen besar minyak dunia, gas up coal up CPO down, AKRA ELSA MEDC masih manggung, mungkin ANTM INCO MDKA dkk konsolidasi atau malah udahan dulu, AALI LSIP mulai siap2 exit

IHSG – semua indic bilang down, gap dibawah, elliot wave bilang wave 4, BD sw FNS, sabar dulu, tunggu beres index turun

Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials, sama ada Consumer Cyclicals nongol kemaren kebawa sama ERAA

OIl Price hike yang paling belum jalan AKRA, kalo nekat mau nyusul ya masuknya di AKRA

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA MAHA MNCN VKTR, big accum AKRA VKTR

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR SMGR, JSMR big accum, SMGR FNB dan Vol Spike

Daily Analysis 20240806

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

August 06th, 2024

Good morning,

Dow tumbles 1,000 points, S&P 500 posts worst day since 2022 in global market sell-off

Stocks fell sharply on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
posting its worst day in nearly two years, as worries over the health of the U.S. economy sparked a global market sell-off.

Dow…….38703 -1033.99 -2.60%‼️
Nasdaq. 16201 -576.1 -3.43%‼️
S&P 500 5186 -160.2 -3.00%‼️

FTSE..8008.2 -166.5 -2.04%
Dax……17339 -322.2 -1.82%
CAC……7149 -102.8 -1.42%

Nikkei..31458‼️ -4451.3 -12.40%‼️
HSI…….16698 -247.2 -1.46%
Shanghai.2861 -44.6 -1.55%

IDX….7059.65‼️ -248.47 -3.40%‼️
LQ45…890.71 -28.66 -3.12%‼️
IDX30.443.34 -15.20 -3.32%‼️

IDXEnergy.2356.94 -122.55 -4.94%‼️
IDX BscMat1296.94 -63.70 -4.69%‼️
IDX Indstrl.997.88 -38.70 -3.73%‼️
IDXNONCYC.688.56 -12.44 -1.77%
IDX Hlthcare1431.38 -10.42 -0.72%
IDXCYCLIC…745.2 -18.89 -2.47%
IDXTechno.3176.47 -58.56 -2.92%
IDX Transp 1318.81 -58.25 -4.23%‼️
IDX Infrast 1508.33 -49.04 -3.15%‼️
IDX Finance1374.80 -37.96 -2.69%
IDX Banking1217.60 -41.59 -3.30%‼️
IDX Property…..632 -19.10 -3.05%‼️

Indo10Yr.6.8696❗️ -0.0387 -0.56%
ICBI…386.5794❗️ +0.7910 -0.21%
US2Yr.3.902 +0.024 +0.62%
US5Yr 3.625 +0.010 +0.28%
US10Yr3.792 unch +0%
US30Yr.4.066 -0.043 -1.05%
VIX..38.57‼️ +15.18 +64.90%‼️

USDIndx 102.6890❗️ -0.519 -0.50%
Como Indx….268.79 -1.34 -0.50%
BCOMIN…..136.12 -2.09 -1.51%

IndoCDS..77.20 +2.50 +3.35%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (31/07)

IDR…..16189.00❗️ -11.00 -0.07%
Jisdor.16154.00❗️ -80.00 -0.49%

Euro…1.0955❗️ +0.0166 +1.54%

TLKM…17.03 -0.53 -2.99%
( 2751)
EIDO….19.55 -0.77 -3.79%‼️
EEM….40.42 -1.15 -2.76%

Oil………..74.03 -2.76 -3.59%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….76.30 -0.51 -0.66%
(Brent)
Gold…..2451.60 -18.20 -0.74%
(Comex)
Gold……2408.43 -34.81 -1.42%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29484.00 -704.00 -2.33%
(Closed 05/08)
Nickel..16203.50 -62.50 -0.38%
(Closed 05/08)
Silver….27.36 -10.30 -3.63%‼️
Copper.401.40 -8.90 -2.17%

Iron Ore 62% 104.00 +1.17 +1.14%
(02/08)
Nturl Gas 1.976 -0.002 -0.10%
Ammonia China 2346.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(02/08)

Coal price.143.70 -0.40 -0.28%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.75 unch +0%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 146.75 -0.15 -0.10%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.147.75 -0.65 -0.44%
(Nov/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.30 -2.05 -1.69%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.55 -2.65 -2.17%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.80 -1.95 -1.60%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.85 -2.25 -1.84%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3740 -118 -3.06%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..407.00 +3.75 +0.93%
SoybeanOil 40.23 -0.58 -1.42%
Wheat…..539.50 +0.50 +0.09%

Wood pulp..5150 unch +0%
(Closed 05/08)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Lanjut berdarah darah semua index regional, yang paling parah jepang sampe minus 12%. IHSG kemaren sempet lebih dari 4 %, ga sampe trading halt sih, tapi berantakan semua. Ditambah US bond yield yang wajarnya naik untuk hold dana jadi kemungkinan masih lanjut merahnya hari ini. Tapi secara technical memang udah ditunggu, ga ada yang mengagetkan juga, kita assess lagi momentum beli setelah index tutup gap

USD index down, tapi semua metal juga down kecuali iron ore, oil gas coal down, cpo juga down, pulp and paper juga down, selamat buat yang kemaren udah keep cash, standby tunggu beres wave 2

IHSG – double top target udah done, itungan fibonacci extension udah done, nanggung tutup gap sekalian, abis itu baru kita pikirin belanja lagi…

RSI nya belum ngikut, padahal pada drop semua ini… Tapi ya prospek tetep di basic materials dan healthcare dan consumer cyclicals dan consumer non-cyclicals yang sering pada defensif dan jadi ganjel bursa

Stochastic Buy Signal: MBMA SCMA, dua duanya big dist

Menarik kalo udah bisa short selling ini sebenernya, hehehe

Daily Analysis 20240724

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

July 24th, 2024

Good morning,

Stocks close slightly lower as Wall Street gears up for major tech earnings

The S&P 500
hovered near the flatline Tuesday as traders readied for earnings reports from major technology behemoths.

Dow……40358 -57.4 -0.14%
Nasdaq17997 -10.2 -0.06%
S&P 500.5556 -8.7 -0.16%

FTSE…..8167 -31.4 -0.38%
Dax……18558 +150.6 +0.82%
CAC……7589 -23.4 -0.31%

Nikkei..39594 -4.6 -0.01%
HSI……17469 -166.5 -0.94%
Shanghai.2915 -48.9 -1.65%

IDX….7313.86 -8.11 -0.11%
LQ45..923.26 +0.02 +0.00%
IDX30.460.95 -1.29 -0.28%

IDXEnergy..2467.96 -24.87 -1.00%
IDX BscMat1365.21 +5.83 +0.43%
IDX Indstrl.1023.64 -8.34 -0.81%
IDXNONCYC.712.97 -4.10 -0.57%
IDX Hlthcare1434.60+9.42 +0.66%
IDXCYCLIC…745.17 -3.06 -0.41%
IDXTechno3438.72 +149.72 +4.55%‼️
IDX Transp 1376.79 +5.67 +0.41%
IDX Infrast 1607.34 +5.47 +0.34%
IDX Finance1405.23 -2.37 -0.17%
IDX Banking1252.42 -8.09 -0.64%
IDX Property…..644 -0.10 -0.01%

Indo10Yr.7.0303 +0.0219 +0.31%
ICBI…382.4694 -0.1720 -0.04%
US2Yr.4.496 -0.025 -0.55%
US5Yr 4.166 -0.009 -0.22%
US10Yr4.261 +0.006 +0.14%
US30Yr.4.487 +0.014 +0.31%
VIX..14.72 -0.19 -1.27%

USDIndx 104.4470 +0.133 +0.13%
Como Indx….280.44 -2.65 -0.94%
BCOMIN…..139.67 -1.20 -0.85%

IndoCDS..76.19 -2.00 +2.70%
(5-yr INOCD5) (22/07)

IDR…..16213.50❗️ -6.50 -0.04%
Jisdor.16204.00❗️ -24.00 -0.15%

Euro…1.0850 -0.0041 -0.38%

TLKM…19.38 +0.01 +0.03%
( 3140)
EIDO…..20.24 -0.10 -0.47,%
EEM…..42.72 -0.38 -0.88%

Oil………..77.42‼️ -2.36 -2.96%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil……….81.01 -1.39 -1.69%
(Brent)
Gold…..2457.50 +12.60 +0.52%
(Comex)
Gold……2408.59 -1.05. -0.04%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..29418.00 -470.00‼️ -1.57%
(Closed 23/07)
Nickel..16213.00 -61.00 -0.37%
(Closed 23/07)
Silver……29.36 +0.08 +0.27%
Copper.415.45 -3.75. -0.89%

Iron Ore 62% 108.16 -0.29 -0.27%
(22/07)
Nturl Gas. 2.205 -0.074 -3.25%
Ammonia China 2833.33 +33.33 +1.19%
(Domestic Price)(23/07)

Coal price.134.70 -0.30 -0.22%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.20 -1.20 -0.86%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.40 -1.25 -0.90%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price 138.40 -1.45 -1.04%
(Oct/Newcastle)

Coal price.105.25 +0.25 +0.24%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price..109.60 +1.65 +1.53%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.109.95 +1.55 +1.43%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price 110.35 +1.75 +1.61%
(Oct/Rotterdam)

CPO(Oct)..3953 -21 -0.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..417.25 +2.25. +0.54%
SoybeanOil 45.13 +0.28 +0.62%
Wheat…..542.75 -5.25 -0.96%

Wood pulp..5170 -26 -0.50%
(Closed 24/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

Semua index regional merah, USD bond yield pendeh down panjang up, mendingan sih buat saham, tapi memang masih cocoksama jadwal koreksi IHSG, masih kemungkinan besar merah

USD index up, Metal2 down kecuali gold silver, oil gas coal CPO down, asli ini sih lanjut merahnya, ga ada ganjel

IHSG – indicator masih bilang down, FNS juga, masih bagusan pegang cash, yang di saham hanya yang contrarian dan sektor consumer

melandai semua kecuali energy sama healthcare

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA MDKA SIDO MIKA SILO, big accum BBCA MIKA

MACD Buy Signal: ACES BBCA, big accum juga

Stochastic Continuation Signal and big accum: ERAA

Daily Analysis 20240612

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

June 13th, 2024

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes above 5,400 for the first time as Fed notes ‘modest’ inflation progress

The S&P 500
jumped to a record and closed above 5,400 for the first time Wednesday after the Federal Reserve’s latest policy announcement and May inflation data pointed to easing pricing pressures.

Dow……38712 -35.2 -0.09%
Nasdaq17609 +264.9 +1.53%
S&P 500.5421 +45.7 +0.85%

FTSE…..8215 +67.7 +0.83%
Dax……18630 +260.9 +1.42%
CAC……7865 +75.5 +0.97%

Nikkei..38877 -258.1 -0.66%
HSI…..17938 -238..6 -1.04%
Shanghai.3037+9.4 +0.31%

IDX….6850.10 -5.59 -0.08%
LQ45..862.86 -4.91 -0.57%
IDX30.427.08 -2.76 -0.64%

IDXEnergy..2224.41 -10.23 -0.46%
IDX BscMat1332.91 -13.95 -1.04%
IDX Indstrl. 906.46 -2.56 -0.28%
IDXNONCYC.692.23 -1.40 -0.20%
IDX Hlthcare1422.54 -12.65.-0.88%
IDXCYCLIC…711.55 -5.54 -0.77%
IDXTechno3128.66 -71.58 -2.24%
IDX Transp 1236.96 -21.73 -1.73%
IDX Infrast 1466.82 +3.12 +0.21%
IDX Finance1320.95 -10.43 -0.78%
IDX Banking1122.92 -13.65 -1.20%
IDX Property…..606 -3.60 -0.59%

Indo10Yr.6.9969❗️ -0.0046 -0.07%
ICBI…380.0102 +0.2140 +0.06%
US2Yr.4.756 -0.078 -1.61%
US5Yr 4.417 -0.097 -2.19%
US10Yr4.314 -0.089 -2.02%
US30Yr.4.479 -0.058 -1.28%
VIX..12.04 -0.81 -6.30%‼️

USDIndx 104.6450 ❗️-0.585 -0.56%
Como Indx….295.14 +2.39 +0.82%
BCOMIN….154.89 +2.90 +1.90%

IndoCDS..72.74 +0.02 +0.03%
(5-yr INOCD5) (11/06)

IDR…16294.50‼️ +3.50 +0.02%
Jisdor.16297.00‼️ +2.00 +0.01%

Euro….1.0813 +0.0072 +0.67%

TLKM…18.14 +0.29 +1.60%
( 2956)
EIDO….18.92 +0.03 +0.16%
EEM…..42.28 +0.42 +0.99%

Oil…….78.31 +0.08 +0.10%
Gold..2338.80 +5.70 +0.24%
Timah..33365.00 +1452.00 +4.56%‼️
(Closed 12/06)
Nickel..18031.00 -24.50 -0.14%
(Closed 12/06)
Silver….29.75 +0.38 +1.29%
Copper.451.80 -0.05 -0.01%

Iron Ore 62% 106.27 -1.11 -1.03%
(11/06)
Nturl Gas..3.033 -0.086 -2.75%
Ammonia China.3056.67 +50.00 +1.66%
(Domestic Price)(11/06)

Coal price.132.95 +1.70 +1.30%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.135.45 +2.20 +1.65%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.00 +0.55 +0.40%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price 139.00 +0.55 +0.40%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price.109.50 +0.85 +0.78%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.112.15 +1.50 +1.36%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price 115.35 +1.20 +1.05%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.80 +1.15 +0.99%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3961 +28.00 +0.71%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…..454.25 +4.75 +1.06%
SoybeanOil 43.79 +0.12 +0.27%
Wheat….617.00 -9.50 -1.52%

Wood pulp..5800 -10 -0.17%
(Closed 12/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI minus tipis, nasdaq ijo tebel lagi, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah,US bond yield merah dalem, harusnya IHSG mantul hari ini

USD index merah, gold silver tin ijo, nickel copper iron ore merah, oil ijo gas merah, coal CPO ijo, harusnya ANTM AALI mantul ini. Saham coal kita liat trend coal price dulu

IHSG – data US bagus buat saham, target koreksi ABC udah sah buat dianggap done, mantul lah harusnya ya. Semoga hari ini mulai FNB, duit lokal doang ternyata kurang buat ngangkat volume perdagangan IHSG

Healthcare, Financials, Consumer Cyclicals, Property, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: BRPT GOTO WIFI

MACD Buy Signal: HEAL

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