Posts Tagged ‘Consumer Cyclicals’

Daily Analysis 20230102

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

January 02nd, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks fall to end Wall Street’s worst year since 2008, S&P 500 finishes 2022 down nearly 20%

Stocks slipped on Friday to end a brutal 2022 with a whimper, as Wall Street wrapped up its worst year since 2008 on a sour note.

Dow…….33147 -73.6 -0.22%
Nasdaq.104667 -11.6 -0.11%
S&P 500..3840 -9.8 -0.25%

FTSE…….7452 -60.98 -0.81%
Dax……..13924 -148.1 -1.05%
CAC……..6474 -99.7 -1.52%

Nikkei…..26094 unch +0%
HSI………19781 +40.3 +0.20%
Shanghai…3089 +15.6 +0.51%
ST Times..3251 +2.1 +0.06%

IDX…….6850.62 -9.46 -0.14%
LQ45……937.18 -4.37 -0.38%

IDX Energy..2279.55 -3.98 -0.17%
IDX BscMat 1216.13 -7.87 -0.64%
IDX Indstrl…1174.34 -1.51 -0.13%
IDXNONCYC..716.56 -6.44 -0.89%
IDX Hlthcare.1564.97+10.64+0.68%
IDXCYCLIC…..850.90 +2.96 +0.35%
IDX Techno..5162.04 -46.34 -0.89%
IDX Transp…1661.94 +2.31 +0.14%
IDX Infrast……868.64 +11.50+1.34%
IDX Finance 1414.93 +4.43 +0.31%
IDX Banking 1150.98 +4.00 +0.35%
IDX Property….711 +0.37 +2.60%

Indo10Yr.7.0077 +0.0059 +0.08%
ICBI….344.7816 +0.0474 +0.01%
US10Yr..3.8790 +0.0440 +1.15%
VIX……21.67 +0.23 +1.07%

USDIndx.103.9790 -0.5570 -0.53%
Como Indx.277.75 +1.74 +0.63%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..165.34 -1.06 -0.64%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15572.50 -85.00 -0.54%
Jisdor..15592.00 -139.00-0.88%

Euro……1.0712 +0.0048 +0.45%

TLKM…..23.85 +0.17 +0.72%
(3719)
EIDO…….22.39 -0.03 -0.13%
EEM……..37.90 -0.53 -1.38%

Oil……..80.26 +1.86 +2.37%
Gold …1826.20 +0.20 +0.01%
Timah….24808 -108.00 -0.43%
(Closed 30/12)
Nickel.30058.50 -92.50 -0.31%
(Closed 30/12)
Silver…….24.04 -0.21 -0.87%
Copper…381.05 -1.35 -0.35%

Nturl Gas..4.081 -0.643 -13.61%‼️

Ammonia..4623.67 +16.6 +0.36%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/12)

Coal price….389.60 +9.55 +2.51%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….363.00 +7.90 +2.22%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….339.55 +5.95 +1.78%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price…190.50 +1.45 +0.74%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..190.00 +2.40 +1.28%
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..188.70 +2.15 +1.15%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..4178 +88 +2.15%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….678.50 -1.00 -0.15%
SoybeanOil…64.07 -2.29 -3.45%
Wheat………792.00 +18.00 +2.33%

Wood pulp…6446.00 unch +0%
(Closed 01/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI tahun 2022 jelek banget, dan pasti berefek pada semua bursa di dunia… Secara umum harga komoditas naik, inflasi, banyak negara besar terkena krisis ekonomi pasca covid. Semoga 2023 bener2 recovery

Posisi closing 2022 Oil Coal CPO naik, Gas drop, metal2 rata2 turun. Indikasinya saham energy akan lanjut naik minimal sampe winter beres, semoga saham2 CPO juga sama.

IHSG 2022 closing 4% diatas closing 2021, belum berhasil rally wave 3 setelah ABC correction yang start di april. Kalau liat pattern tahun 2021, semoga sampe maret april lanjut bullish

IHSG – stoch nya sell, MACD masih up, masih FNS terus, BD lagi rada flat, MFI naik tapi last day turun, udah breakout ascending triangle tapi konsolidasi lagi, semoga cuma retest, lanjut rally… Bisa mulai berani belanja selektif sih terutama di saham2 yang setiap tahun ada january effect

Technology sama Consumer Cyclicals

Stoch Buy Signal: CTRA SCMA SMRA WIIM

MACD Buy Signal: MMLP SCMA

Daily Analysis 20221221

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 21st, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes higher to end four-day losing streak

Stocks rose Tuesday as Wall Street shook off a surprise move from the Bank of Japan that sent global bond yields up. Investors also overlooked fears that a year-end rally may not come to pass.

Dow…….32850 +92.2    +0.28%
Nasdaq.10547 +1.1       +0.01%
S&P 500..3822 +3.96     +0.10%

FTSE…….7371  +9.3      +0.13%
Dax……..13885 -58.2     -0.42%
CAC……..6450  -22.9     -0.35%

Nikkei….26568  -669.6    -2.46%
HSI……..19095  -258.01  -1.33%
Shanghai..3074 -33.4      -1.07%
ST Times..3254 -2.64      -0.08%

IDX…….6768.32  -11.38   -0.17%
LQ45……938.90  -7.95     -0.84%

IDX Energy..2185.46 +34.17   +1.59%
IDX BscMat 1230.10 -16.63    -1.33%
IDX Indstrl…1169.68  -7.14     -0.61%
IDXNONCYC..724.18 +0.55   +0.08%
IDX Hlthcare.1549.69 -7.16    -0.46%
IDXCYCLIC…..847.51 +4.20   +0.50%
IDX Techno..5048.06 -68.07  -1.33%
IDX Transp…1684.56  -6.78   -0.40%
IDX Infrast……847.69  -2.14   -0.25%
IDX Finance 1423.55  -13.38  -0.93%
IDX Banking 1155.48  -8.42    -0.72%
IDX Property….690     -7.70     -1.10%

Indo10Yr.7.0059  unch       +0%
ICBI….344.1732  -0.0075  -0.00%
US10Yr..3.6840  +0.1030  +2.88%
VIX……21.48       -0.94       -4.19%👍

USDIndx.103.95  -0.771  -0.74%👍
Como Indx.272.27  +1.71   +0.63%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..163.67  +2.76   +1.72%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15602.50 +6.00   +0.04%
Jisdor..15608.00 -13.00  -0.08%

Euro……1.0621  +0.0014 +0.13%

TLKM…….23.55     -0.03    -0.13%
(3676)
EIDO……….22.60    -0.15    -0.66%
EEM……….37.85     -0.01   -0.03%

Oil………….76.09    +0.90    +1.20%
Gold …..1825.40  +27.70 +1.54%‼️
Timah…..23308     -228.00 -0.97%
(Closed 19/12)
Nickel.27933.00 +813.50 +2.99%‼️
(Closed 20/12)
Silver……24.27   +1.07      +4.62%‼️
Copper…379.90  +1.60    +0.42%

Nturl Gas..5.360   -0.483  -8.27%‼️

Ammonia..4580 -179.67 -3.71%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(19/12)

Coal price….400.05   -1.30    -0.32%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….376.55   +5.80  +1.56%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….362.00   +9.70  +2.75%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…230.45   -0.05     -0.02%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price…195.60 -6.15  -3.05%‼️
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…195.60  -6.05  -3.00%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)

VCoal(ICI 4)…..89.80         –              -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..3870   -62     -1.58%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….652.00 +4.75  +0.73%
SoybeanOil.64.81    +1.40   +2.21%
Wheat………750.50  +2.00   +0.27%

Wood pulp…6476.00  -24   -0.37%
(Closed 19/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Akhirnya US ijo juga…europe cuma inggris yang ijo, asia masih merah closingnya kemaren. Semoga hari ini rebound

Metal metal naik semua kecuali timah, bagus buat ANTM. Oil naik, gas drop jauh, coal spot turun dikit future nya drop di rotterdam price, semoga respon market tetep bagus, masih stay diatas 400

IHSG – masih FNS, BD akum, Stoch Up, MACD rev up, dikit lagi buy, MFI down, masih dalam rangka wave 3, price level di area support kuat, area mantul 17 oct 2022. US ijo semoga mulai rally naik jalan wave 3

Basic Materials, Infrastructure, Technology. Finance belum lagi, gagal ini santa claus rally deh…

Stochastic Buy Signal: BMRI EXCL MIKA Sama sektor Consumer Cyclicals dan Energy

MACD buy signal: ISAT ISSI sama sektor Energy

Kayanya mau jalan ini Infrastructure, TLKM ISAT EXCL pada nongol buy signals

Daily Analysis 20221201

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 01st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 ends 3-day losing streak. Dow jumps 700 points after Powell signals smaller rate hikes

Stocks saw broad gains Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed that the central bank will slow the pace of its aggressive rate-hiking campaign that has weighed on markets.

*Dow…….34590 +737.2 +2.18%*
*Nasdaq.11468 +484.2 +4.41%*
*S&P 500..4080 +122.5 +3.09%*

FTSE…….7573 +61.1 +0.81%
Dax……..14397 +41.6 +0.29%
CAC……..6739 +69.6 +1.04%

Nikkei….27969 -58.9 -0.21%
HSI……..18597 +392.6 +2.16%
Shanghai..3151 +1.6 +0.05%
ST Times..3290 +14.1 +0.43%

IDX…….7081.31 +69.24 +0.99%
LQ45….1008.28 +13.06 +1.31%

IDX Energy..2078.75 +6.79 +0.33%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.28 +3.93 +0.31%
IDX Industrl..1246.26 +7.94 +0.64%
IDXNONCYC..744.99 +6.54 +0.89%
IDX Hlthcare.1537.02 +18.24 +1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…..894.72 +4.05 +0.45%
IDX Techno….5896.76 -108.60 -1.81%
IDX Transp…1775.28 -2.37 -0.13%
IDX Infrast……894.06 -1.51 -0.17%
IDX Finance 1509.34 +26.69 +1.80%,
*IDX Banking 1231.39 +33.53 +2.80%‼️*
IDX Property….718 +2.80 +0.39%

*Indo10Yr….7.1218 -0.0308 -0.43%👍*
*ICBI……..341.9633 +0.8271 +0.24%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7030 -0.0450 -1.22%*
*VIX……20.58 -1.31 -5.98%*

*USDIndx..106.0250 -0.8060 -0.75%*
Como Indx..279.76 +4.24 +1.54%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……162.30 +4.19 +2.65%*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15731.50 -11.00 -0.07%‼️*
*Jisdor..15742.00 +5.00 +0.03%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0408 +0.0079 +0.76%👍*

TLKM……..25.48 +0.37 +1.47%
*(4011)*
EIDO………23.77 +0.46 +1.97%
*EEM……….38.52 +1.11 +2.89%*

*Oil………….80.55 +2.35 +3.01%‼️*
Gold ……1759.90 -3.80 -0.22%
Timah…..22788 +434.00 +1.94%
*(Closed 29/11)*
Nickel…26928.50 +59.00 +0.22%
*(Closed 30/11)*
Silver………21.78 +0.35 +1.61%
Copper…..373.80 +9.85 +2.71%

Nturl Gas…..7.274 -0.055 -0.75%

Ammonia..4623.33 +33.33 +0.73%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(29/11)

*Coal price….398.50 +11.10 +2.87%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price….389.00 +15.50 +4.15%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….379.50 +14.25 +3.90%‼️*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….279.00 +19.00 +7.31%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….283.95 +23.45 +9.00%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….282.90 +24.50 +9.48%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……4236 +15 +0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….667.00 -2.50 -0.37%
SoybeanOil…71.88 -1.10 -1.51%
Wheat………795.50 +14.00 +1.79%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 30/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Ijo semua kecuali IHSG sama Nikkei, US ijo tebel abis pengumuman akan slow down kenaikan suku bunga fed. Bagus buat saham overall

Coal lanjut naik tinggi, metal metal ijo kecuali gold, oil rebond, gas koreksi tipis, CPO ijo tipis, masih bullish baru di coal. Banks keliatan di gas, mau mulai santa claus rally? Probably

IHSG – bener bener dibawa sideways, foreign masih net buy terus, optimis tinggal tunggu breakout

 

Energy, Healthcare, Property, disusul Industrials sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals dan Consumer Cyclicals, Basic Materials mulai gerak, ini kalo Financials lanjut firm jadi semuanya jalan, index lari lagi.

Daily Analysis 20221130

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

November 30th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close lower for third day as investors look to Fed Chair Powell’s speech

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed lower for a third straight session Tuesday as traders struggled to recover from sharp losses suffered in the previous session and looked ahead to more economic tea leaves coming later in the week.

Dow…….33853 +3.1 +0.01%
Nasdaq.10984 -65.7 -0.59%
S&P 500..3958 -6.3 -0.16%

FTSE…….7512 +37.98 +0.51%
Dax……..14356 -27.9 -0.19%
CAC……..6669 +3.8 +0.06%

Nikkei….28028 -134.99 -0.48%
*HSI……..18205 +906.7 +5.24%*
Shanghai..3150 +71.2 +2.31%
ST Times..3276 +36.3 +1.12%

IDX…….7012.07 -5.29 -0.08%
LQ45……995.22 -1.54 -0.15%

IDX Energy..2071.96 +34.40 +1.69%
IDX Bsc Mat.1280.35 +7.00 +0.55%
IDX Industrl..1280.35 +3.70 +0.30%
IDXNONCYC..738.45 +0.68 +0.09%
IDX Hlthcare.1518.79 +23.36 +1.56%
IDXCYCLIC…..890.67 +0.26 +0.03%
*IDX Techno.6004.76 -174.38 -2.82%‼️*
IDX Transp…1777.65 -2.59 -0.15%
IDX Infrast……895.58 -0.13 -0.01%
IDX Finance 1482.65 -2.77 -0.19%,
IDX Banking 1197.86 +5.38 +0.45%
IDX Property….710 +1.00 +0.14%

*Indo10Yr….7.1526 -0.0197 -0.27%👍*
*ICBI……..341.1362 +0.3482 +0.10%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7480 +0.0450 +1.22%*
VIX……21.89 -0.32 -1.44%

*USDIndx..106.8310 +0.1740 +0.16%‼️*
Como Indx..272.92 -0.33 -0.12%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……158.10 +2.46 +1.58%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15742.50 +20.50 +0.13%‼️*
*Jisdor..15737.00 +8.00 +0.05%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0329 -0.0014 -0.14%*

TLKM……..25.11 +0.07 +0.28%
*(3952)*
EIDO………23.31 +0.03 +0.13%
*EEM……….38.41 +0.81 +2.15%*

Oil………….78.20 +0.96 +1.24%
Gold ……1763.70 +8.40 +0.48%
Timah…..22354 +123.00 +0.55%
*(Closed 28/11)*
*Nickel…26869.50 +1302.50 +5.09%‼️*
*(Closed 29/11)*
Silver………21.44 +0.31 +1.47%
Copper…..363.95 +2.40 +0.66%

Nturl Gas…..7.274 -0.055 -0.75%

Ammonia..4590.00 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(28/11)

*Coal price….387.40 +8.40 +2.22%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….373.50 +5.00 +1.36%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….365.25 +3.60 +1.00%
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….260.00 +11.00 +4.42%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….260.50 +10.60 +4.24%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….258.40 +10.00 +4.03%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)……4223 +89 +2.15%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….669.50 -1.75 -0.26%
SoybeanOil…72.97 -0.14 -0.19%
Wheat………781.50 +0.75 +0.10%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

DJI plus dikit, nasdaq masih minus, europe mulai menghijau, asia kemaren pada ijo kecuali nikkei sama ihsg. Harusnya ijo hari ini…

Metal2 mantul, nikel naik tinggi

Oil rebound, Coal lanjut naik, gas koreksi dikit, sektor energy mau memimpin santa claus rally kah? Probably…

Harga CPO mulai menarik, terlihat mantul, kita tunggu AALI dan LSIP nongol buy signal

Sudah di sekitar fibo 23, harusnya lanjut ke 38…

IHSG – stoch sell, MACD sell, masih FNB, MFI flat, dibawa sideways sampe kapan ini index, ga lanjut2 wave 3 aja, keliatannya ga jadi ascending triangle, bakal jadi darvas box aja… Kita check Infobank lagi deh, biar bisa didateksi emang mau dibawa turun dulu apa nggak

Infobank15 – seminggu FNB terus, memang stoch dan macd masih sideways, MFI mulai up, ini kayanay tinggal nunggu momentum breakout, sekalian tutup gap. Safe to say bahwa index ga akan dibanting sih

Masih Energy Property, diikuti Industrials, Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals dan Consumer Cyclicals, pada ganjel aja ini keliatannya nunggu financials manggung lagi

Stochastic Buy Signal: INCO MIKA UNVR ELSA

MACD Buy Signal: MIKA. Memang kemaren naik tinggi banget sih, kita liat apa masih lanjut atau emang udah sekali jalan doang

INCO – Stoch Buy, MACD almost buy, MFI SW FF 3 hari FNB, bandar 2 hari dist, EW harusnya wave 3, triange pattern break ke atas tapi ga kenceng, target lumayan tinggi. Tapi historicalnya INCO gerak seiring bandar movement, jadi dengan posisi BD distribusi jangan dulu, walau FF akum

MIKA – stoch buy, macd by, MFI naik dikit, BD akum FNB walau masih tipis, masih wave 3, LR juga up, bisa BOW di tengah candle kemaren plus 1 tick

UNVR – stoch buy, macd buy, BD 3 hari akum, FF masih bolak balik, MFI up,ada gap 2 gede di atas, retracement pattern 0-38-23 harusnya sekarang otw 61. Tapi PBV PER udah 30 itu kemahalan banget, Saya pribadi skip, kalo yang mau buy technically ok sih

ELSA – stoch buy tapibolak balik, macd masih down, MFI up, BD FF bist, ret pattern abis kejedot fibo 50 dibawa hampir 23 lagi, ke area banyak transaksi dalam 200 bar terakhir, harusnya sih mantul lagi, tapi tunggu MACD dan BD FF akum deh