Posts Tagged ‘Consumer Cyclicals’

Daily Analysis 20230403

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

April 03rd, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher Friday, Nasdaq notches best quarter since 2020

Stocks rose Friday as Wall Street wrapped up a volatile, but winning quarter that saw more Federal Reserve rate tightening and a mini-financial panic spurred on by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.

Dow……33274 +415.1 +1.25%
Nasdaq12222 +208.4 +1.74%
S&P 500.4109 +58.5. +1.44%

FTSE…..7632 +11.3 +0.16%
Dax…..15629. +106.4 +0.69%
CAC……7322 +59.02 +0.81%

Nikkei…..28042 +258.6 +0.93%
HSI………20400 +90.98 +0.49%
Shanghai.3273 +11.6 +0.36%

IDX…..6805.28 -3.67 -0.06%
LQ45….937.68 -1.93 -0.20%
IDX30…488.29 -1.07 -0.22%

IDXEnergy…2103.64 +17.36 +0.83%
IDX BscMat 1183.75 +1.40 +0.12%
IDX Indstrl…1185.57 +8.39 +0.71%
IDXNONCYC.731.64 -3.08 -0.42%
IDX Hlthcare1540.65 +4.38 +0.29%
IDXCYCLIC…..822.32 -3.30 -0.40%
IDX Techno..5100.73 -37.97 -0.74%
IDX Transp..1789.36 -10.46 -0.58%
IDX Infrast…..808.84 -1.70 -0.21%
IDX Finance.1385.82 +1.72 +0.12%
IDX Banking.1136.13 -1.14 -0.10%
IDX Property…686 +4.2 +0.62%

Indo10Yr.6.7956 -0.0126 -0.19%👍
ICBI…..353.1919 +0.3423 +0.10%👍
US2Yr.4.0376 -0.0839 -2.03%
US5Yr 3.5836 -0.0966 -2.62%
US10Yr3.4730 -0.0740 -2.08%
US30Yr.3.4730-0.0790 -2.11%
VIX…… 19.02 -0.10 -0.52%

USDIndx102.1660 -0.4899 -0.47%
Como Indx.267.73 +3.35 +1.27%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…159.99 +0.95 +0.59%

IndoCDS..95.060 -3.950 -3.99%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/31)

IDR…..14995.50 -51.50 -0.34%👍
Jisdor.14977.00 -85.00 -0.56%👍

Euro……1.0839 -0.0068 -0.62%

TLKM….27.27 -0.16 -0.58%
(4084)
EIDO……23.53 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM……39.46 -0.05 -0.13%

Oil……75.67 +1.30 +1.75%
Gold.1986.20 -11.50 -0.58%
Timah 25835.00 -81.00 -0.31%
(Closed 03/31)
Nickel..23744.50 +652.00 +2.82%
(Closed 03/31)
Silver…..24.16 +0.17 +0.70%
Copper..409.45 +0.30 +0.07%

Nturl Gas.2.166 +0.062 +2.94%

Ammonia 3966.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/29)

Coal price.193.00 +5.50 +2.93%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.199.50 +4.00 +2.25%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.205.70 +5.70 +2.85%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price..208.15 +6.90 +3.43%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.90 +0.15 +0.11%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.137.00 -1.55 -1.12%
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 133.25 -2.25 -1.66%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 132.70 -1.60 -1.19%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3758 -33 -0.87%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..660.50 +11.00 +1.69%
SoybeanOil.55.49 +1.12 +2.06%
Wheat…..692.25 unch +0%

Wood pulp…5080.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua closing hijau jum’at, IHSG harusnya ijo lagi hari ini

Oil Gas Coal lanjut ijo, Metal2 tipis2 merah dan ijo kecuali nikel yang rebound, ANTM MDKA minor pullback dulu, INCO kita liat, CPO merah lagi

Coal Price belum terlihat firm reversal, walau dari supertrend dan macd sudah bilang up

IHSG – stoch mulai oversold, 833 sell, macd masih up, mungkin minor pullback or sideways dulu sebelum ngejar test resistance neckline double bottom, tapi yang bikin tenang MFI masih up, BD FF acc, w% masih uptrend

Energy leading, Basic Materials, Transportation, Financials, Consumer Cyclicals, sama yang keliatan mau jalan Technology. Consumer Non-Cyclicals anehnya di minggu kedua ramadhan malah melemah, mungkin mau lari lagi di deket lebaran

Stochastic Buy Signal: LMSH

MACD buy signal: ASII INTP PTBA SCMA LPPF

Alligator Buy SIgnal: AMRT BBCA CTRA ERAA

Supertrend Buy Signal: INCO ADMR PWON

Daily Analysis 20230331

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

March 31th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher a second-straight day, Dow jumps more than 100 points

The S&P 500 rose Thursday, as investors bet the worst of the regional bank crisis has passed.

Dow……32859 +141.4 +0.43%
Nasdaq12015 +87.2 +0.73%
S&P 500.4051 +23.02 +0.57%

FTSE…..7620 +56.2 +0.74%
Dax…..15522. +193.6 +1.26%
CAC……7263 +76.4 +1.06%

Nikkei…..27783 -100.9 +1.33%
HSI………20309 +116.7 +0.58%
Shanghai.3261 +21.2 +0.65%

IDX…..6808.95 -30.49 -0.45%
LQ45….939.61 -7.39 -0.78%
IDX30…489.36 -3.80 -0.77%

IDXEnergy…2086.28 -25.76 -1.22%
IDX BscMat 1182.35 +1.58 +0.13%
IDX Indstrl…1177.18 -3.52 -0.30%
IDXNONCYC.734.71 -5.93 -0.80%
IDX Hlthcare1536.27 -6.54 -0.42%
IDXCYCLIC…..825.62 -5.24 -0.63%
IDX Techno..5138.70 -100.36 -1.92%
IDX Transp..1799.82 -12.11 -0.67%
IDX Infrast…..810.54 -6.06 -0.74%
IDX Finance.1384.10 -3.58 -0.26%
IDX Banking.1137.27 -2.33 -0.20%
IDX Property…682 -3.6 -0.53%

Indo10Yr.6.8082 -0.0051 -0.07%
ICBI…..352.8497 +0.0169 +0.00%
US2Yr.4.1215 +0.0205 +0.50%
US5Yr 3.6802 -0.0017 -0.05%
US10Yr3.5470 -0.0190 -0.53%
US30Yr.3.7300-0.0350 -0.93%
VIX…… 19.02 -0.10 -0.52%

USDIndx102.1660 -0.4899 -0.47%
Como Indx.264.38 +1.67 +0.64%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…159.05 -0.78 -0.49%

IndoCDS..105.920 -0.986 -0.92%
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/29)

IDR…..15047.50👍 -8.50 -0.06%
Jisdor.15062.00👍 -32.00 -0.21%

Euro……1.0907 +0.0064 +0.59%

TLKM….27.43 +0.03 +0.11%
(4132)
EIDO……23.51 -0.12 -0.51%
EEM……39.51 +0.39 +1.00%

Oil……74.37 +1.40 +1.92%
Gold.1997.70 +13.20 +0.67%
Timah 25814.00 +44.00 +0.17%
(Closed 03/29)
Nickel..23092.50 -717.50 -3.03%‼️
(Closed 03/30)
Silver…..23.99 +0.52 +2.23%
Copper..409.15 +0.50 +0.12%

Nturl Gas.2.104 -0.080 -3.66%‼️

Ammonia 3966.67 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/29)

Coal price.176.75 +0.15 +0.08%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.187.50 -5.25 -2.72%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.40 -2.60 -1.31%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price..200.00 -0.25 -0.12%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.137.90 +0.15 +0.11%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.137.00 -1.55 -1.12%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 133.25 -2.25 -1.66%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 132.70 -1.60 -1.19%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3791 +101 +2.73%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..649.50 -1.00 -0.15%
SoybeanOil.54.37 -1.01 -1.82%
Wheat…..692.25 -12.50 -1.77%

Wood pulp…5200.00 -40 -0.76%
(Closed 03/30)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional ijo, IDX aja merah sendirian, hehehe… Tanda2 mau ijo lagi hari ini

Oil up gas down coal spot ijo tipis, future down, metal2 naik semua kecuali nikel yang drop, ANTM MDKA lanjut harusnya. CPO lanjut ijo, menarik dicermati

Nope, CPO belum ok chart nya…

IHSG – masih ok chart nya, despite ada gap dibawah… stoch macd up, MFI sw, w% masih uptrend, BD FF acc, dari retracement pattern setelah wave 5 terakhir pas kemaren rejection candle di fibo 38, ada kemungkinan dibawa ke fibo 23 lagi dulu sebelum lanjut rally, tapi kalo liat index lain bagus kayanya dilanjut ke fibo 50 dulu sebelum koreksi. Pas sama resistace previous high di 6960, bakal jadi double bottom kalo lanjut breakout

sudutnya paling ok Basic Materials, lanjut Financials,Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals. Anehnya Consumer Non-Cyclicals melemah, profit taking dulu mungkin, Property juga, Financials mulai gerak malah melemah

Stochastic Buy Signal: TLKM ISAT

MACD Buy Signal banyak: ACES SMGR TINS GGRM LSIP MTMH SMDR WSKT LSIP MPMX

Kita sort lagi pake FF dan bandarmology

Alligator Buy Signal: DOID

Supertrend Buy Signal: MPMX

Daily Analysis 20230301

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

March 01st, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 200 points lower Tuesday, major averages end February with losses

The major averages fell on Tuesday to round out a tough month for the stock market

Dow…..32657 -232.4 -0.71%
Nasdaq11456 -11.4 -0.10%
S&P 500.3970 -12.1 -0.30%

FTSE…….7876 -58.8 -0.74%
Dax……..15365 -16.3 -0.11%
CAC……..7268 -27.6 -0.38%

Nikkei…..27446 +21.6. +0.08%
HSI………19786 -157.6 -0.79%
Shanghai.3280 +21.6 +0.66%

IDX…..6843.24 -11.5 -0.17%
LQ45….942.97 -5.11 -0.54%
IDX30…490.50 -2.75 -0.56%

IDXEnergy…2101.21 +30.17 +1.46%
IDX BscMat 1243.21 +2.49 +0.20%
*IDX Indstrl.1198.81 +40.13 +3.46%‼️*
IDXNONCYC..742.11 -4.63 -0.62%
IDX Hlthcare1565.08 +6.16 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC…845.29 -2.67 -0.32%
IDX Techno.5385.85 -11.18 -0.21%
*IDX Transp1936.02 +53.34 +2.83%*
IDX Infrast….844.52 -8.20 -0.96%
IDX Finance1401.26 -5.92 -0.42%
IDX Banking1125.88 -14.52 -1.27%
IDX Property….699 +3.50 +0.51%

*Indo10Yr.6.8724 +0.0167 +0.24%*
*ICBI..349.8168 +0.0284 +0.01%*
*US5Yr 4.1853* +0.0120 +0.29%
*US10Yr3.9226* +0.0040 +0.10%
*US30Yr.3.9180* -0.0010 -0.03%
*VIX……. 20.70 -0.25 -1.19%*

*USDIndx104.9440+0.2710 +0.26%‼️*
Como Indx.269.84 +1.24 +0.46%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….161.71 +0.56 +0.35%

*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR…..15260.50 -0.50 -0.06%‼️*
*Jisdor.15240.00 -34.00 -0.22%‼️*

*Euro……1.0579 -0.0003 -0.28%*

TLKM….25.76 -0.18 -0.69%
*(3926)*
EIDO……22.91 -0.14 -0.61%
EEM……38.23 -0.27 -0.70%

*Oil…….76.79 +1.11 +1.47%*
*Gold 1836.80* +11.80 +0.65%
*Timah 25651 – -%*
*(Closed 02/24)*
*Nickel.24928.50 -469.50 -1.85%*
(Closed 02/28)
Silver…….21.07 +0.28 +1.34%
Copper..407.35 +6.25 +1.56%

*Nturl Gas.2.776 +0.056 +2.06%*

*Ammonia 4440.00 -50.00 -1.11%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(02/27)

Coal price.192.85 -3.65 -1.86%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.194.10 -2.90 -1.47%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.197.75 -2.25 -1.13%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.200.50 -2.20 -1.09%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.145.90 -2.25 -1.52%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 145.60 -2.50 -1.69%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 146.80 -1.35 -0.91%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 147.20 -1.75 -1.17%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

*CPO(May)….4136 -92 -2.17%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn……630.25 -13.25 -2.06%*
SoybeanOil..60.19 -0.15 -0.25%
Wheat……707.00 -3.00 -0.42%

*Wood pulp…5930.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 02/28)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_
*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US europe merah, asia kemaren varied, IHSG merah, kayanya masih belum rally dulu hari ini juga

OIl Gas ijo, coal merah lagi, kalo dari chart coal saatnya gerak tapi harga nya udah 2 hari turun, bisa jadi ini kesempatan beli di pullback. Metal naik semua kecuali nickel, perlu dicermati ANTM MDKA. CPO merah lagi, masih bolak balik AALI LSIP, minornya koreksi dulu

IHSG – stoch down, macd down, MFI sw, w% sw, NFS BD dist, masih belum okay, jangan agressive, yang profit dan chartnya meragukan TP dulu aja just to be safe, atau sell setengah botol lah karena major nya masih ok wave 3

Sempet leading dan jalan lagi: Transportation, Consumer Cyclicals, yang emerging: Industrials (shout out to ASII and UNTR), Energy, Basic Materials dan Property

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO HRUM SRTG RAJA WIKA UNIC EKAD

MACD Buy Signal: CTRA LPPF TOBA MBSS

Alligator Buy Signal: TLKM

Supertrend Buy: ASII UNTR

Daily Analysis 20230227

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

February 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close lower Friday after hot inflation report; major averages log worst week in 2023

U.S. stocks fell sharply Friday, wrapping up their worst week of 2023, after the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge showed a stronger-than-expected increase in prices last month.

Dow…..32817 -337 -1.02%
Nasdaq11395 -195.5 -1.69%
S&P 500.3970 -42.3 -1.05%

FTSE…….7879 -29.1 -0.37%
Dax……..15210 -266 -1.72%
CAC……..7187 -130.2 -1.78%

Nikkei…..27453 +349.2 +1.29%
HSI………20010 -341.3 -1.68%
Shanghai.3267 -20.3 -0.62%

IDX…..6856.58 +17.12 +0.25%
LQ45….946.93 +2.50 +0.27%
IDX30…492.33 +1.59 +0.32%

IDXEnergy…2072.51 +15.05 +0.73%
IDX BscMat 1238.38 -0.64 -0.05%
IDX Indstrl…1155.94 +6.55 +0.57%
IDXNONCYC..752.10 -3.46 -0.46%
IDX Hlthcare1593.69 +11.83+0.75%
IDXCYCLIC…848.83 +2.48 +0.29%
IDX Techno.5449.20 +58.90+1.09%
IDX Transp1909.29 +12.17+0.64%
IDX Infrast….865.08 +2.25 +0.26%
IDX Finance1404.91 -3.87 -0.27%
IDX Banking1134.44 -3.19 -0.28%
IDX Property….688 -3.30 -0.48%

Indo10Yr.6.8382 +0.0085 +0.12%
ICBI..350.0712 +0.02222 +0.01%
US5Yr 4.2216+0.0016 +0.04%
US10Yr3.9470+0.0020 +0.05%
US30Yr.3.9300+0.0080+0.20%
VIX……. 21.67 +0.53 +2.51%

USDIndx105.2140+1.0310 +0.99%‼️
Como Indx.267.15 +0.21 +0.08%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….157.97 -3.95 -2.44%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15227.50 +35.50 +0.23%
Jisdor.15216.00 +29.00 +0.19%

Euro……1.0548 -0.0048 -0.45%

TLKM….26.15 +0.29 +1.12%
(3979)
EIDO……22.88 -0.12 -0.52%
EEM…38.30 -0.88 -2.25%

Oil…….76.32 +0.93 +1.23%
Gold 1817.10 -9.70 -0.53%
Timah 25651 -520.00 -1.99%
(Closed 02/24)
Nickel.24424 -878.00 -3.47%‼️
(Closed 02/24)
Silver…….20.94 -0.50 -2.34%
Copper..395.30 -10.30 -2.54%

Nturl Gas.2.726 +0.265+10.76%‼️

Ammonia 4490.00 +66.67 +1.51%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/23)

Coal price204.50 +2.65 +1.31%
(Mar/Newcastle)

Coal price 156.00 +8.00 +5.41%‼️
(Mar/ Rotterdam)

CPO(May)….4203 -32 -0.76%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..649.25 -10.00 -1.52%
SoybeanOil..61.22 -0.96 -1.54%
.Wheat….721.75 -28.75 -3.83%‼️

Wood pulp…5930.00 unch +0%
(Closed 02/23)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US europe closing merah pas jum’at. Asia masih varied kemaren, beware merah lagi hari ini.

commodity terkait energy naik semua, metal merah semua, cpo turun dikit. Keliatanya mulai swing terakhir energy sebelum winter selesai ini…

IHSG – Stoch still down, MACD down, udah tutup gap, ada gap di bawah, last day NFS, BD flat, MFI sw, koreksi udah cukup kemaren ke fibo 50, harusnya paling tutup gap dulu terus lanjut ke atas

Infrastructure, Consumer Cyclicals, Transportation, disusul Industrials, Energy, Technology

Stoch Buy Signal: ASII MEDC DOID MAPI WIKA LMSH LTLS

MACD Buy Signal: ESSA IGAR

Alligator Signal: MPMX PNLF