November 05th, 2024

Dow leads stocks lower as Wall Street braces for Election Day

US stocks slipped during a jittery session on Monday to kick off a week of potentially huge market-moving events — the presidential election and the Federal Reserve policy decision.

Dow…….41795 -257.6 -0.61%
Nasdaq. 18180 -59.93 -0.33%
S&P 500 5713 -16.1 -0.28%

FTSE…..8184 +7.1 +0.09%
Dax……19148 -107.1 -0.56%
CAC……7372 -37.4 -0.50%

Nikkei….38054 closed +0%
HSI………20568 +61.1 +0.30%
Shanghai.3310 +38.2 +1.17%

IDX…7479.50 -25.76 -0.34%
LQ45…913.42 +0.81 +0.09%
IDX30.470.71 +1.26 +0.26%

IDXEnergy….2717.76 -12.16 -0.45%
IDX BscMat1379.00 -21.60 -1.54%
IDX Indstrl..1090.32 -5.19 -0.47%
IDXNONCYC.748.63 +0.67 +0.09%
IDX Hlthcare1506.68 -15.60 -1.02%
IDXCYCLC…..868.43 -12.36 -1.40%
IDX Techno..3953.41 -49.09 -1.23%
IDX Transp 1445.59 -33.07 -2.24%
IDX Infrast 1472.57 -13.45 -1.23%
IDX Finance1512.89 -3.39 -0.22%
IDX Banking1292.34 +6.27. +0.49%
IDX Property..821 -12.6 -1.51%

Indo10Yr.6.8735❗️+0.0034 +0.49%
ICBI….392.7677❗️-0.0785 -0.02%
US2Yr.4.168 ❗️-0.044 -1.04%
US5Yr 4.148 ❗️-0.007 -0.17%
US10Yr4.293❗️ -0.093 -2.12%
US30Yr.4.466❗️-0.115 -2.51%
VIX..21.98 +0.10 +0.46%

USDIndx 103.8860❗️-0.400 -0.38%
Como Indx.282.75 +3.31 +1.18%
BCOMIN…..149.10 +0.69 +0.47%

IndoCDS..71.24 +1.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (01/11)

IDR…….15752.00‼️ +20.50 +0.13%
Jisdor..15723.00‼️ +28.00 +0.18%

Euro…1.0878❗️ +0.0006 +0.06%

TLKM.17.70 +0.21 +1.17%
( 2783)
EIDO…21.16 +0.08 +0.38%
EEM……44.74 +0.20 +0.45%

Oil………71.47 +1.98 +2.85%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………75.21 +2.10 +2.89%
(Brent)
Gold…2746.20 -3.00 -0.2l11%
(Comex)
Gold…2736.72 +0.19 +0.01%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.31724.00 +511.00 +1.64%
(Closed 01/11)
Nickel.16120.50 +136.50 +0.85%
(Closed 04/12)
Silver….32.6 -0.07 -0.21%
Copper.443.15 +6.00 +1.37%

Iron Ore 62% 102.49 -1.29 -1.24%
(01/11)
Nturl Gas 2.789 +0.126 +4.73%
Ammonia China 2766.67 +46.67 +1.72%
(Domestic Price)(04/11)

Coal price.143.90 -0.05 -0.03%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.144.90 -0.05 -0.03%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.90 +0.20 +0.14%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.70 +0.20 +0.14%
(Feb/Newcastle)

Coal price.119.05 +0.65 +0.55%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.119.20 +0.10 +0.21%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price.120.20 +0.30 +0.25%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal Price 120.45 +0.20. +0.17%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jan) 4891 +26 +0.53%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………416.50 +2.00 +0.48%
SoybeanOil 45.56 -0.74 -1.60%
Wheat……568.75 +0.75. +0.13%

Wood pulp.4640.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Be loomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe merah, asia ijo, IHSG yang merah dalem, US Treasury bond merah dalem, kayanya technical rebound dulu hari ini mah IHSG, tapi ga banyak

USD index down, gold spot ijo tipis, tin nickel copper ijo, silver iron ore merah, perlu dicermati TINS dan INCO, oil ijo tebel, gas juga, coal melempem, CPO naik lagi, kita liat AKRA dan AALI LSIP

IHSG – nah ini mulai FNB, ada titik terang, stoch macd rsi mfi w% masih jelek semua, kalo ini wave 4 masih agak dalem, tapi sah aja berhenti sekarang juga, ABC nya cenderung flat. Kita cermati BBCA BBRI

Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals, Financials, nah ini kalo bener jalan index ikut… Energy sama healthcare siap2, infrstructure belum jadi jalan, JSMR terpaksa cutloss kemaren

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBRI KLBF PGAS PGEO BTPS PTMP SRTG MLIA, SRTG big accum

MACD Buy Signal ADRO SRTG

BBRI – stoch buy, MACD dikit lagi, MFI masih down, w% sw, BD masih dist, FF rev acc, ini bisa spec buy harusnya, bisa jadi hari ini start gerak

Big caps emang jarang spike, ini ada tapi kecil

Average aman, BD lagi pada diem, tunggu momentum aja ini, tapi BBRI seringkali kebaca di Stoch dan digerakin juga sama foreign, so Spec Buy BBRI at last close price, setengah botol dulu

SRTG – stoch MACD buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, tembus ke atas cloud ichimoku, alligatornya nyusun buy lagi, BD accum, FNS tapi, dari retracement pattern udah nyusun 50-38 mau ke 61. Agak resiko di index yang belum pasti jalan lagi wave 5, tapi faktor pendukung buy nya udah ok, BOW SRTG di tengah candle kemaren, setengah botol aja harusnya ok ini

spike kecil, spike gede sebelumnya belum done, masih mungkin dikejar sih ini

Average nya ga aman, amannya minimal buy di bawah average BB di 2335, so jangan FOMO, BOW 2330 aja deh setengah botol

ADRO – ada yang aneh ini, hajatan sendiri… stoch macd buy MFI up, BD FF acc, loncat2 pake bikin gap segala, padahal coal price nya melempem… Ga berani ngejar, kalo energy jalan juga masuk di ITMG aja sama INDY yang ketinggalan

KLBF – sedikit overpriced, masih ok lah buat trade, stoch buy macd belum ada reg bull div, MFI masih down, w% mulai up, BD dist, FNS, masuk watchlist dulu, retracement pattern sih harusnya bawa mantul dari fibo 23

PGAS – belum saatnya

October 04th, 2024

Dow leads declines ahead of jobs report, oil surges 5% as Mideast focus intensifies

Stocks slipped on Thursday as Wall Street awaited the key jobs report and dissected a slew of economic data ahead of it. Meanwhile, the possibility of an Israeli retaliatory attack against Iran’s oil facilities sent oil soaring for a third day.

Dow…….42012 -184.9 -0.44%
Nasdaq. 17918 -6.7 -0.04%
S&P 500 5700 -9.6 -0.17%

FTSE…8283 -8.3 -0.10%
Dax……19015 -149.3 -0.78%
CAC……7478 -99.8 -1.32%

Nikkei..38552 +743.3 +1.97%
HSI……22114 -330.2 -1.47%
Shanghai.3337 closed. +0%

IDX…7543.83 -19.43 -0.26%
LQ45…937.39 -1.31 -1.31%
IDX30.483.56 -0.02 -0.00%

IDXEnergy…..2744.60 -19.69 -0.71%
IDX BscMat1401.62 -9.77 -0.69%
IDX Indstrl..1077.01 +3.32 +0.31%
IDXNONCYC.735.80 +0.36 +0.05%
IDX Hlthcare1571.51 -10.97 -0.69%
IDXCYCLIC…869.14 +5.54 +0.64%
IDXTechno 3754.83 -42.32 -1.11%
IDX Transp 1494.09 -2.09 -0.14%
IDX Infrast 1520.74 +1.02 +0.07%
IDX Finance1510.61 +4.57 +0.30%
IDX Banking1320.47 +5.00 +0.38%
IDX Property..793 +3.40 +0.44%

Indo10Yr.6.5610 +0.0359 +0.55%
ICBI….394.9446 -0.6365 -0.16%
US2Yr.3.705 +0.068 +1.87%
US5Yr 3.628 +0.076 +2.14%
US10Yr3.848 +0.062 +1.64%
US30Yr.4.181+0.053 +1.28%
VIX..20.49 +1.59 +8.41%‼️

USDIndx 101.9890❗️+0.312 +0.31%
Como Indx….291.15 +4.02 +1.40%
BCOMIN….154.39 -3.26 -2.07%

IndoCDS..69.26 +0.51 +0.74%
(5-yr INOCD5) (02/10)

IDR…….15428.50❗️ +160.50 +1.05%
Jisdor..15394.00 ❗️ +147.00 +0.96%

Euro…1.1035❗️ -0.0012 -0.11%

TLKM.18.79 -0.37 -1.93%
( 2893)
EIDO…22.06 -0.26 -1.14%
EEM…46.54 -0.60 -1.27%

Oil………..73.83 +3.00 +4.24%‼️
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..77.62 +3.72 +5.03%‼️
(Brent)
Gold…2675.40 -4.20 -0.16%
(Comex)
Gold…2655.98 -5.04 -0.19%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah.33709.00 -184.00 -0.54%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel.17825.50 -394.50 -2.17%
(Closed 03/10)
Silver… ..32.32 +0.20 +0.62%
Copper.454.70 -11.00 -2.36%

Iron Ore 62% 109.29‼️+0.55 +0.51%
(02/10)
Nturl Gas 2.970 +0.057 +1.96%
Ammonia China 2836.67 closed +0%
(Domestic Price)(03/10)

Coal price.140.80 +0.55 +0.39%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.142.65 +1.05 +0.74%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.20 +2.00 +1.40%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.25 +2.25 +1.56%
(Jan/Newcastle)

Coal price.117.00 +0.90 +0.78%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.60 +2.10 +1.82%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..118.50 +2.05 +1.76%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..119.90 +1.55 +1.31%
(Jan/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 4182 -14 -0 33%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………428.25 -4.25 -0.98%
SoybeanOil 44.53 +0.89 +2.04%
Wheat….603.50 -11.75 -1.91%

Wood pulp.4790.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren semua closing merah, urusan perang salah satu faktornya. US treasury bond yield naik, masih suram IHSG hari ini.

USD index up, metal2 doen kecuali silver dan iron ore, oil loncat lagi karena perangnya iran sebagai produsen besar minyak dunia, gas up coal up CPO down, AKRA ELSA MEDC masih manggung, mungkin ANTM INCO MDKA dkk konsolidasi atau malah udahan dulu, AALI LSIP mulai siap2 exit

IHSG – semua indic bilang down, gap dibawah, elliot wave bilang wave 4, BD sw FNS, sabar dulu, tunggu beres index turun

Basic Materials, Energy, Industrials, sama ada Consumer Cyclicals nongol kemaren kebawa sama ERAA

OIl Price hike yang paling belum jalan AKRA, kalo nekat mau nyusul ya masuknya di AKRA

Stochastic Buy Signal: AKRA MAHA MNCN VKTR, big accum AKRA VKTR

MACD Buy Signal: JSMR SMGR, JSMR big accum, SMGR FNB dan Vol Spike

September 27th, 2024

Dow…….42175 +260.4 +0.62%
Nasdaq. 18190 +108.1 +0.60%
S&P 500 5745 +23.1 +0.40%

FTSE…8285 +16.2 +0.20%
Dax……19238 +319.9 +1.69%
CAC……7742 +176.5 +2.33%

Nikkei..38925 +1055.4 +2.79%
HSI…..19924 +795.5 +4.16%‼️
Shanghai.3001+104.6 +3.61%‼️

IDX…7744.52 +3.62 +0.05%
LQ45…970.55 -6.61 -0.68%
IDX30.497.08 -2.70 -0.56%

IDXEnergy. 2733.11 +20.79 +0.77%
IDX BscMat1381.37 +17.43 +1.28%
IDX Indstrl..1082.30 +1.72 +0.16%
IDXNONCYC.752.77 +4.81 +0.64%
IDX Hlthcare1585.01 +35.42 +2.29%
IDXCYCLIC…891.05 -3.68 -0.41%
IDXTechno 3899.70 +60.68 +1.58%
IDX Transp 1499.64 -11.92 -0.79%
IDX Infrast 1582.60 +7.96 +0.51%
IDX Finance1547.22 -6.29 -0.40%
IDX Banking1360.31 -16.13 -1.17%
IDX Property..799 +15.30 +0.15%

Indo10Yr.6.4968 +0.0182+0.28%
ICBI….396.9007 -0.3972 -0.10%
US2Yr.3.627 +0.066 +1.85%
US5Yr 3.565 +0.036 +1.02%
US10Yr3.802 +0.014 +0.37%
US30Yr.4.131 -0.014 -0.34%
VIX..15.37 -0.04 -0.26%

USDIndx 100.5620❗️-0.350 -0.35%
Como Indx….284.63 -1.53 -0.53%
BCOMIN….153.98 +3.87 +2.58%‼️

IndoCDS..69.75 -0.53 -0.75%
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/09)

IDR…….15165.00 +63.00 +0.42%
Jisdor..15171.00 +79.00 +0.52%

Euro…1.1177❗️ +0.0044 +0.40%

TLKM.20.66 +0.05 +0.25%
( 3134)
EIDO…23.20 +0.01 +0.04%
EEM..46.70 +1.66 +3.69%‼️

Oil………..67.55 -2.00 -2.88%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..71.60 -1.86 -2.53%
(Brent)
Gold…2695.00 ‼️ +12.10 +0.45%
(Comex)
Gold…2672.56 +14.28 +0.54%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32435.00 +333.00 +1.04%
(Closed 26/09)
Nickel..16806.00 -12.00 -0.07%
(Closed 26/09)
Silver… ..32.30 +0.16 +0.50%
Copper.464.40 +15.50 +3.45%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 92.25 +0.37 +0.40%
(25/09)
Nturl Gas 2.742 -0.085 -3.01%
Ammonia China 2800.00* -10.00 +0.36%
(Domestic Price)(25/09)

Coal price.139.60 -0.15 -0.11%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.45 +0.55 +0.38%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.145.00 +0.60 +0.42%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.146.65 +0.90 +0.62%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.95 unch +0%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..116.50: +0.75 +0.65%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.05 +1.10 +0.95%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price..117.35 +1.20 +1.03%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 4052 +108 +2.67%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………413.25 -2.00 -0.48%
SoybeanOil 42.)0 -1.25 -2.83%
Wheat……584.25 -5.00 -0.85%

Wood pulp.4790.00 -10 -0.21%
(Closed 25/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional ijo semua, IHSG sempet merah dalem closing ijo tipis. China Hongong masih ijo tebel dengan stimulusnya. US T-bond yield up, masih berbahaya

USD index down, metal2 lanjut up, oil down lagi, prepare traiilng stop kena di AKRA MEDC, gss down coal up, congrats yang pegang coal, CPO lanjut up tinggi, bisa jadi ini Basic Materials versi tambang mineral dan CPO yang jalan even index wave 4

IHSG – technical nya ngeri banget, Stoch MACD down, itungan wave 4 agak dalem, udah 2 hari FNS dan vol besar, brace for impact

Technology, awas udah jalan jauh, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Energy, Basic Materials, Industrials

Oil prepare exit

Stochastic Buy Signal: GGRM GOTO INDF INKP ISAT TOWR HMSP MYOR PWON. Big Accum cuma PWON, beware technical trap

MACD buy Signal: EXCL CTRA TPIA, CTRA TPIA big accum

September 25th, 2024

S&P 500, Dow hit fresh records, China stocks soar on new stimulus

US stocks rose modestly on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial average notching record closes. Investors digested China’s launch of aggressive stimulus and a notable dip in US consumer sentiment.

Dow…….42208 +83.6 +0.20%
Nasdaq. 18075 +100.3 +0.56%
S&P 500 5733 +14.4 +0.25%

FTSE…8283 +23.1 +0.28%
Dax……18997 +149.8 +0.80%
CAC……7604 +95.9 +1.28%

Nikkei..37941 +216.7 +0.57%
HSI…..19001 +753.5 +4.13%‼️
Shanghai.2863+114.2 +4.15%‼️

IDX….7778.49 +2.76 +0.04%
LQ45…985.41 +0.16 +0.02%
IDX30.504.75 +0.76 +0.15%

IDXEnergy. 2726.29 +11.78 +0.43%
IDX BscMat1338.27 +6.89. +0.52%
IDX Indstrl..1084.77 -1.45 -0.13%
IDXNONCYC.750.63 +7.35 +0.99%
IDX Hlthcare1545.17 -3.63. -0.23%
IDXCYCLIC…896.57 -8.61 -0.95%
IDXTechno 3783.98 -43.64 -1.14%
IDX Transp 1528.75 +6.35 +0.42%
IDX Infrast 1573.30 +8.46 +0.54%
IDX Finance1575.02 +2.38 +0.15%
IDX Banking1410.37 -1.43 -0.24%
IDX Property..785 +0.30 +0.04%

Indo10Yr.6.4992 -0.0062 -0.10%
ICBI….396.0881 +0.1320 +0.03%
US2Yr.3.540 -0.047 -1.31%
US5Yr 3.472 -0.034 -0.96%
US10Yr3.737 -0.012 -0.32%
US30Yr.4.086 -0.010 -0.24%
VIX..15.39 -0.50 -3.15%👍

USDIndx 100.4660❗️-0.385 -0.38%
Como Indx….287.59 +3.46 +1.22%
BCOMIN….150.35 +4.08 +2.79%

IndoCDS..70.28 +0.01 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (23/09)

IDR…….15187.00 -18.50 -0.12%
Jisdor..15186.00 -5.00 -0.03%

Euro…1.1185❗️ +0.073 +0.65%

TLKM.20.79 -0.09 -0.41%
( 3157)
EIDO…23.57 +0.17 +0.70%
EEM..45.53 +1.52 +3.45%‼️

Oil………..71.56 +0.89 +1.26%
(WTI,Nymex)
Oil………..75.17 +1.27 +1.79%
(Brent)
Gold…2682.30‼️ +29.60 +1.13%
(Comex)
Gold…2659.45‼️ +31.85 +1.21%
(Spot/XAUUSD)
Timah..32689.00 +394.00 +1.22%
(Closed 24/09)
Nickel..16745.00 +188.00 +1.14%
(Closed 24/09)
Silver… ..32.49 +1.45 +4.67%‼️
Copper.453.05 +18.55 +4.27%‼️

Iron Ore 62% 91.60 -0.33 -0.36%
(23/09)
Nturl Gas 2.816 -0.031 -1.09%
Ammonia China 2816.67 – -%
(Domestic Price)(24/09)

Coal price.139.50 unch +0%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price.140.40 +0.65 +0.47%
(Oct/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.65 +1.05 +0.75%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price.143.85 +1.10 +0.78%
(Dec/Newcastle)

Coal price.114.80 +0.15 +0.13%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price..113.35 -0.60 -0.53%
(Oct/Rotterdam)
Coal price 113.55 -0.35 -0.31%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.55 -0.45 -0.39%
(Dec/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des) 3989 +12 +0.30%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………411.75 -1.75 -0.42%
SoybeanOil 43.34 +1.50 +3.59%
Wheat……578.00 -4.50 -0.77%

Wood pulp.4800.00 unch +0%
(Closed 24/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua up, hongkong china up tebel banget, US treasury bond yield down, lanjut kenceng harusnya IHSG hari ini

USD index down, metal2 up kecuali iron ore, oil coal up, gas down, CPO up, harusnya lanjut ANTM MDKA INCO TINS AKRA MEDC AALI LSIP ADRO INDY PTBA

IHSG – stoch down macd down MFI sw, w% sw, bd acc FNB tapi turun, hati hati banget, technical udah bilang sell, kemungkinan besar ya mau wave 4

Technology, Transportation, Healthcare, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, tapi semuanya udah jalan duluan dan rawan koreksi, yang menarik diliat Basic Materials dan Energy

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT ESSA ITMG UNVR CTRA JPFA PWON SSMS SIMP, big accum AMRT ITMG CTRA

MACD Buy Signal: GGRM INKP MDKA CTRA PNLF SIMP, big accum CTRA

ITMG – bareng sama coal coal lain loncat, stopch buy macd almost buy, loncat kemaren juga cuma 2.7%, ga tinggi2 amat, masih layak dikejar kalo emang confirm jalan panjang, MFI bottoming, w% up, BD FF rev big acc, unclosed gap, menarik sih

spike target done, hmmm

XL pas kemaren loncat malah jualan, mencurigakan sih… Tapi bisa ini spec buy, idealnya BOW di average BK 26270

CTRA – udah run panjang, memang sih stimulus nya bunga bank turun, tapi technicalnya udah mau udahan harusnya, stoch macd buy, MFI up w% uptrend, BD FF big acc, tapi ini udah ujung wave 5, saya sih minggir dulu ya…

Udah diatas average bandar, ga rekomen deh

INKP – macd rev buy, stoch masih down, MFI up, w% sw, BD masih dist, FF rev acc, ada freq spike, harga belum gerak, menarik dicermati

spike ok

Biggest holder accum, 2’nd nya malah dist, 3’rd nya diem, hmmm… Tapi average aman

Harga Pulp and Paper naik, MACD nya buy, bisa spec buy INKP