December 16th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes out its worst day in three months, falls more than 700 points as recession fears grow

Stocks fell sharply Thursday after new data showed retail sales declined more than expected in November, raising fears that the Federal Reserve’s relentless interest rate hikes are tipping the economy into a recession.

*Dow…….33202 -764.1 -2.25%*
*Nasdaq.10811 -360.4 -3.23%‼️*
*S&P 500..3896 -99.6 -2.49%*

FTSE…….7426 -69.8 -0.93%
*Dax……..14460 -473.97 -3.28%‼️*
*CAC……..6522 -208.02 -3.09%‼️*

Nikkei….28052 -104.5 -0.37%
HSI……..19369 -304.9 -1.55%
Shanghai..3169 -7.9 -0.25%
ST Times..3274 -4.8 -0.15%

IDX…….6751.86 -49.89 -0.73%
LQ45……942.36 -8.80 -0.93%

IDX Energy..2140.54 -6.98 -0.32%
IDX BscMat 1248.38 -2.87 -0.23%
IDX Indstrl…1177.96 -2.44 -0.21%
IDXNONCYC..725.61 -1.92 -0.26%
IDX Hlthcare.1546.72 -10.59 -0.68%
IDXCYCLIC…..849.78 -8.86 -1.03%
IDX Techno..5225.49 +45.25 +0.87%
IDX Transp…1711.51 +0.61 +0.04%
IDX Infrast……844.98 -5.81 -0.68%
IDX Finance 1438.41 -11.62 -0.80%
IDX Banking 1160.95 -10.84 -0.92%
IDX Property….705 -5.60 -0.79%

*Indo10Yr.7.0177 unch +0%*
*ICBI….343.6001 +0.0308 +0.01%*
*US10Yr..3.4500 -0.0530 -1.51%*
*VIX……22.83 +1.69 +7.99%*

*USDIndx.104.6080 +0.6060 +0.58%*
Como Indx.274.72 -1.91 -0.69%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN…..164.09 -3.42 -2.04%*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15619.00 +26.50 +0.17%*
*Jisdor..15630.00 +11.00 +0.07%*

*Euro……1.0625 -0.0058 -0.54%*

*TLKM…….22.41 -0.41 -2.07%*
*(3503)*
EIDO……….22.41 -0.41 -1.80%
*EEM……….37.72 -0.89 -2.31%*

Oil………….76.11 -1.17 -1.51%
*Gold …..1787.80 -30.90 -1.70%*
Timah…..24275 -369 -1.50%
*(Closed 14/12)*
Nickel…28296.50 -193.00 -0.68%
*(Closed 15/12)
*Silver………23.31 -0.83 -3.44%‼️*
*Copper….376.30 -11.50 -2.97%*

*Nturl Gas..6.876 +0.521 +8.20%‼️*

Ammonia..4790.00 -43.33 -0.90%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(14/12)

Coal price….401.90 -2.10 -0.52%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….376.55 -2.55 -0.67%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….359.80 -3.40 -0.94%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…240.00 -0.60 -0.25%
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price…218.60 -6.45 -2.87%*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price…219.30 -5.95 -2.64%*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)…..3874 -76 -1.42%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….653.50 +3.00 +0.46%
SoybeanOil.62.98 +0.14 +0.22%
Wheat………757.25 +8.00 +1.07%

Wood pulp…6510.00 unch +0%
(Closed 15/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US & Europe kebakaran semua indexnya, gara2 nilai retail sales yang jelek dan kekhawatiran efek kenaikan suku bunga Fed. Bisa dalem lagi kita hari ini

Semua komoditas turun kecuali gas yang malah naik tinggi. Coal juga turun tapi masih stay diatas 400, semoga ga ikut koreksi saham2 emiten batubara

IHSG – stoch buy, MACD masih down, kemaren Foreign udah tipis buangnya, bandar flat, regbull div belum tembus MA 10, lagi di area strong support, semoga kuat terus lanjut mantul

Sektor2 yang kemaren leading mulai rontok, tapi yang menggembirakan Financials mulai jalan, bareng basic materials, infrastructure, transportation. Tapi basic materials komoditas turun kayanya ikut kebanting dulu

Kemungkinan cuma energy yang bisa bertahan leading

Stochastic Buy Signal: ADRO BBRI INDY INKP SMGR ELSA PTPP SRTG TKIM

MACD Buy Signal: BUKA JSMR

December 12th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow tumbles 300 points Friday, posts worst week since September

Stocks finished lower Friday, with all the major averages posting losses for the week as worries persisted over continued rate hikes.

Dow…….33476 -305.02 -0.90%
Nasdaq.11005 -77.4. -0.70%
S&P 500..3934 -29.1 -0.73%

FTSE…….7477 +4.5 +0.06%
Dax……..14371 +106.2 +0.74%
CAC……..6677 +30.3 +0.46%

Nikkei….27901 +326.6 +1.18%
HSI……..19901 +450.6 +2.32%
Shanghai..3207 +9.6 +0.30%
ST Times..3246 +9.9 +0.31%

IDX…….6715.12 -89.11 -1.31%
LQ45……933.01 -11.21 -1.19%

IDX Energy..2114.33 -55.96 -2.58%
IDX BscMat 1248.80 -4.64 -0.37%
IDX Indstrl…1167.50 -17.33 -1.46%
IDXNONCYC..719.31 -7.88 -1.08%
IDX Hlthcare.1529.19 -19.22 -1.24%
IDXCYCLIC…..863.09 -9.55 -1.11%
IDX Techno….5193.21-93.46 -1.77%
IDX Transp…1694.01 -6.02. -0.35%
IDX Infrast……854.97 -7.60 -0.88%
IDX Finance 1430.18 -8.54 -0.59%
IDX Banking 1153.21 -7.07 -0.61%
IDX Property….708 -4.20 -0.60%

Indo10Yr…7.0359 -0.0219 -0.31%
ICBI…….342.9951 +0.2918 -0.09%
US10Yr..3.5670 +0.0760 +2.18%
VIX……22.83 +0.54 +2.42%

USDIndx..104.8100 -0.0030 -0.002%
Como Indx..266.28 -0.12 -0.05%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..169.84 -0.85 -0.50%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15583.00 -37.50 -0.24%
Jisdor..15587.00 -37.00 -0.24%

Euro……1.0533 -0.0024 -0.23%

TLKM……..23.31 -0.34 -1.44%
(3633)
EIDO……….22.48 -0.37 -1.62%
EEM……….39.02 -0.26 -0.66%

Oil………….71.02 -0.44 -0.62%
Gold ……1810.70 +9.20 +0.51%
Timah…..24290 -335 -1.36%
(Closed 09/12)
Nickel…28822.50 -659.00 -2.23%
(Closed 09/12)
Silver………23.72 +0.47 +2.03%
Copper….387.85 -0.50 -0.13%

Nturl Gas…..6.307 +0.372 +6.27%

Ammonia..4890.00 – +%
China
(Domestic Price)(07/12)

Coal price….402.50 +7.00 +1.77%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….378.85 +3.25 +0.86%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price…..372.50 +2.50 +0.68%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….260.90 +4.40 +1.72%
(Des/Rotterdam)
Coal price….253.90 +3.15 +1.26%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….254.90 +2.90 +1.15%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)…..3987 +36 +0.91%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….644.00 +1.50 +0.23%
SoybeanOil…59.54 -0.94 -1.55%
Wheat………734.25 -12.00 -1.61%

Wood pulp…6510.00 -40 -0.61%
(Closed 11/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing merah pas jum’at, europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali IHSG yang turun dalem, harusnya rebound hari ini…

Metal metal varied, yang kesorot nikel yang turun agak besar. Oil masih turun, gas rebound tinggi, coal naik lagi ke atas 400 (harusnya aman ini lanjut rebound nya), CPO naik dikit, tapi masih belum firm trend nya

IHSG – diluar ada dalam area support kuat, technical nya index jelek banget, masih FNS terus, bandar juga banyakan distribusi, memang selama GOTO ARB terus berat banget ngangkat index, market cap nya terlalu besarbuat digendong yang lain. Tapi semoga di banks mulai akum, jadi tinggal nunggu mentoknya GOTO nanti mulai rebound index

Disini financials mulai ada kehidupan. Leading nya masih energy, healthcare, consumer non-cyclicals, sama property tapi keliatan mulai lesu

Stoch Buy Signal: BUKA KLBF ADHI

MACD Buy Signal: ERAA

December 01st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 ends 3-day losing streak. Dow jumps 700 points after Powell signals smaller rate hikes

Stocks saw broad gains Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed that the central bank will slow the pace of its aggressive rate-hiking campaign that has weighed on markets.

*Dow…….34590 +737.2 +2.18%*
*Nasdaq.11468 +484.2 +4.41%*
*S&P 500..4080 +122.5 +3.09%*

FTSE…….7573 +61.1 +0.81%
Dax……..14397 +41.6 +0.29%
CAC……..6739 +69.6 +1.04%

Nikkei….27969 -58.9 -0.21%
HSI……..18597 +392.6 +2.16%
Shanghai..3151 +1.6 +0.05%
ST Times..3290 +14.1 +0.43%

IDX…….7081.31 +69.24 +0.99%
LQ45….1008.28 +13.06 +1.31%

IDX Energy..2078.75 +6.79 +0.33%
IDX Bsc Mat.1284.28 +3.93 +0.31%
IDX Industrl..1246.26 +7.94 +0.64%
IDXNONCYC..744.99 +6.54 +0.89%
IDX Hlthcare.1537.02 +18.24 +1.20%
IDXCYCLIC…..894.72 +4.05 +0.45%
IDX Techno….5896.76 -108.60 -1.81%
IDX Transp…1775.28 -2.37 -0.13%
IDX Infrast……894.06 -1.51 -0.17%
IDX Finance 1509.34 +26.69 +1.80%,
*IDX Banking 1231.39 +33.53 +2.80%‼️*
IDX Property….718 +2.80 +0.39%

*Indo10Yr….7.1218 -0.0308 -0.43%👍*
*ICBI……..341.9633 +0.8271 +0.24%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7030 -0.0450 -1.22%*
*VIX……20.58 -1.31 -5.98%*

*USDIndx..106.0250 -0.8060 -0.75%*
Como Indx..279.76 +4.24 +1.54%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……162.30 +4.19 +2.65%*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15731.50 -11.00 -0.07%‼️*
*Jisdor..15742.00 +5.00 +0.03%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0408 +0.0079 +0.76%👍*

TLKM……..25.48 +0.37 +1.47%
*(4011)*
EIDO………23.77 +0.46 +1.97%
*EEM……….38.52 +1.11 +2.89%*

*Oil………….80.55 +2.35 +3.01%‼️*
Gold ……1759.90 -3.80 -0.22%
Timah…..22788 +434.00 +1.94%
*(Closed 29/11)*
Nickel…26928.50 +59.00 +0.22%
*(Closed 30/11)*
Silver………21.78 +0.35 +1.61%
Copper…..373.80 +9.85 +2.71%

Nturl Gas…..7.274 -0.055 -0.75%

Ammonia..4623.33 +33.33 +0.73%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(29/11)

*Coal price….398.50 +11.10 +2.87%*
(Dec/Newcastle)
*Coal price….389.00 +15.50 +4.15%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….379.50 +14.25 +3.90%‼️*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price….279.00 +19.00 +7.31%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….283.95 +23.45 +9.00%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….282.90 +24.50 +9.48%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……4236 +15 +0.36%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….667.00 -2.50 -0.37%
SoybeanOil…71.88 -1.10 -1.51%
Wheat………795.50 +14.00 +1.79%

Wood pulp…6590.00 unch +0%
(Closed 30/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Ijo semua kecuali IHSG sama Nikkei, US ijo tebel abis pengumuman akan slow down kenaikan suku bunga fed. Bagus buat saham overall

Coal lanjut naik tinggi, metal metal ijo kecuali gold, oil rebond, gas koreksi tipis, CPO ijo tipis, masih bullish baru di coal. Banks keliatan di gas, mau mulai santa claus rally? Probably

IHSG – bener bener dibawa sideways, foreign masih net buy terus, optimis tinggal tunggu breakout

Energy, Healthcare, Property, disusul Industrials sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals dan Consumer Cyclicals, Basic Materials mulai gerak, ini kalo Financials lanjut firm jadi semuanya jalan, index lari lagi.

November 14th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq adds 1.9%, S&P 500 closes nearly 1% higher and notches best week since June

The S&P 500 closed out its best week since June as a report on Thursday showing slowing inflation raised hopes that the Federal Reserve would soon slow its tightening campaign.

Dow…….33748 +32.5 +0.10%
Nasdaq.11323 +209.2 +1.88%
S&P 500..3993 +36.6 +0.92%

FTSE…….7318 -57.3 -0.78%
Dax……..14225 +78.8 +0.58%
CAC……..6595 +37.8 +0.58%

*Nikkei….28264 +817.5 +2.98%*
*HSI……..17326 +1244.6 +7.74%‼️*
Shanghai..3087 +51.2 +1.68%
ST Times..3228 +55.2 +1.74%

IDX…….7089.21 +123.37 +1.76%
*LQ45….1012.94 +21.29 +2.15%*

IDX Energy..1980.57 +5.14 +0.26%
*IDX Bsc Mat.1318.27 +32.35 +2.52%*
IDX Industrl..1227.54 -7.22 -0.58%
IDXNONCYC..724.78 +0.30 +0.04%
IDX Hlthcare.1481.03 -13.39 -0.90%
IDXCYCLIC…..886.25 +5.40 +0.61%
*IDX Techno.6940.87 +289.14 +4.35%‼️*
IDX Transp…1808.41 -2.21 -0.12%
IDX Infrast……925.11 +8.06 +0.88%
*IDX Finance 1501.22 +33.73 +2.30%*
*IDX Banking.1205.82 +33.08 +2.82%*
IDX Property….698 +6.40 +0.92%

*Indo10Yr….7.4511 -0.0429 -0.57%‼️*
*ICBI……..335.2798 +1.4335 +0.43%👍*
*US10Yr..3.8130 -0.0160 -0.42%*
*VIX……22.52 -1.01 -4.29%👍*

*USDIndx106.2920 -1.6070 -1.49%‼️👍*
Como Indx..285.79 +3.67 +1.30%
(Core Commodity CRB)
*BCOMIN……164.35 +7.19 +4.57%‼️*
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 -19.45 -15.60%‼️👍*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15495.00 -198.50 -1.26%👍*
*Jisdor..15493.00 -208.00 -1.32%👍*

*Euro……..1.0347 +0.0145 +1.42%👍*

*TLKM……..25.98 -0.84 -3.13%‼️*
*(4025)*
EIDO………23.75 -0.02 -0.08%
*EEM……….38.16 +1.01 +2.72%*

*Oil…………88.96 +2.49 +2.88%*
*Gold ……1769.40 +15.70 +0.90%‼️*
*Timah…..21315 +991.00 +4.88%‼️*
*(Closed 11/11)*
*Nickel…27427.00 +1270.00 +4.86%‼️*
*(Closed 11/11)*
Silver………21.67 -0.04 -0.16%
*Copper…..391.35 +15.50 +4.14%‼️*

*Nturl Gas…..5.902 -0.249 -4.05%‼️*

Ammonia..4363.33 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(10/11)

Coal price….326.80 +2.55 +0.79%
(Nov/Newcastle)
*Coal price….299.50 +10.10 +3.49%‼️*
(Des/Newcastle)
*Coal price….296.00 +8.15 +2.83%*
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….190.55 -0.15 -0.05%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….180.50 -6.90 -3.68%‼️*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….181.30 -7.15 -3.79%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.80 unch +0%
Indonesial Coal Index (10/11)

*CPO(Jan)……4290 +96 +2.24%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….663.00 +3.50 +0.53%
SoybeanOil…74.54 +0.91 +1.24%
Wheat………835.25 +9.50 +1.15%

Wood pulp…6700.00 unch +0%
(Closed 13/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Ijo semua kecuali inggris, HSI rebound nya luar biasa kenceng
Semua komoditas naik kecuali gas. Logam2 an lanjut naik, cuma silver yang koreksi. Basic Materials masih lanjut ini. Coal kita tunggu momentum menjelang santa claus rally

Dari ichimoku, udah mau uptrend, dari lagging line yang udah mau tembus ke atas candle. Lagi mau ngetest breakout cloud, cloud nya juga tipis. supertrend udah bilang up dari 24 oktober, alligatornya lagi mau buy signal. Udah deket ini santa claus rally… Masih FNS udah 3 hari, sih, kita tunggu aja

IHSG – Dari banyak indicator, yang masih meragukan cuma MFI yang masih turun, keliatannya akan start jalan pas MFI nya mulai up

Masih Basic Materials, Finance keliatan mau bangun (harus bangun kalo index mau jalan lagi), Infrastructure, Technology, Energy belum…