June 15th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes nearly flat after Fed leaves rates unchanged, signals more hikes are coming

Stocks gyrated on Wednesday as the Federal Reserve paused its rate-hiking campaign and signaled it was making progress on fighting inflation

Dow……33979 -232.8 -0.68%
Nasdaq13626 +53.2 +0.39%
S&P 500.4373 +3.6 +0.08%

FTSE…..7603 +7.96 +0.10%
Dax……16311 +80.1 +0.49%
CAC……7328 +37.7 +0.52%

Nikkei…..33502 +483.8 +1.47%
HSI………19408 -113.0 -0.58%
Shanghai.3229 -4.7 -0.14%

IDX…..6699.72 -19.30 -0.29%
LQ45….949.81 -2.77 -0.29%
IDX30…494.00 -2.11 -0.42%

IDXEnergy…1791.15 +13.85 +0.78%
IDX BscMat…997.92 +12.65 +1.28%
IDX Indstrl…1180.20 +11.51 +0.98%
IDXNONCYC.747.61 -0.47 -0.06%
IDX Hlthcare1507.53 -18.80 -1.23%
IDXCYCLIC…884.65 -4.06 -0.46%
IDX Techno..4881.67 -51.97 -1.06%
IDX Transp..1958.33 +0.68 +0.03%
IDX Infrast…..854.51 +1.75 +0.21%
IDX Finance.1400.13 -4.75 -0.34%
IDX Banking.1172.08 -7.33 -0.67%
IDX Property..744 – -%

Indo10Yr.6.3417 -0.0124 -0.20%👍
ICBI..366.9494 +0.2153 +0.06%👍
US2Yr.4.707 +0.038 +0.81%
US5Yr 3.994 -0.007 -0.17%
US10Yr3.7940-0.020 -0.52%
US30Yr.3.8930-0.031 -0.79%
VIX……13.88 -0.73 -5.00%👍

USDIndx102.9480 -0.3900 -0.38%
Como Indx.260.27 -0.54 -0.21%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……148.03 +2.80 +1.93%

*IndoCDS.84.20👍 +0.01 +0.01%*[
(5-yr INOCD5) (13/06)

IDR…..14906.50‼ +43.00 +0.29%
Jisdor.14895.00‼ +27.00 +0.18%

Euro……1.0834 +0.0042 +0.39%

TLKM…26.83 +0.03 +0.11%
(3996)
EIDO….23.46 -0.02 -0.09%
EEM…..40.64 +0.30 +0.74%

Oil……68.64 -0.52 -0.75%
Gold…1957.00 -0.90 -0.05%
Timah..26065.00 +164.00 +0.63%
(Closed 13/06)
Nickel..22683.50 +635.50 +2.88%‼
(Closed 14/06)
Silver……24.00 +0.25 +1.05%
Copper..385.70. +2.80 +0.73%

Iron Ore 62% 112.45 +1.31 +1.18
(13/06)
Nturl Gas.2.338 +0.010 +0.42%

Coal price.132.00 -0.25 -0.19%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.136.15 -1.10 -0.80%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price.138.60 -1.05 -0.75%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price.141.55 -0.95 -0.67%
(Sept/Newcastle)

Coal price116.40 -1.10 -0.94%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price.116.80 +1.05 +0.91%
(Jul/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.114.20 +1.60 +1.42%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price.113.15 +1.70 +1.53%
(Sept/Rotterdam)

CPO(Agt)..3450 +28 +0.81%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……549.25 -2.00 -0.36%
SoybeanOil 53.71 +0.16 +0.30%
Wheat…630.25 -6.00 -0.94%

Wood pulp..4314.00 -20 -0.46%
(Closed 13/06)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah nasdaq ijo, europe ijo, asia varied, Fed Rate flat, signal bagus buat saham

Oil Coal merah, gas ijo, gold merah lagi tipis, silver copper ijo, timah nickel iron ore ijo, secara umum buat tambang mineral masih ok

IHSG – masih FF dist akhirnya kejedot fibo 23 terus koreksi begitu BD mulai dist juga… stoch masih up, macd up, MFI sw, w% down, minor IHNS in the making, kalo bener level support nya udah touched hari ini, tinggal mantul

Masih Energy dan Basic Materials, technology mulai goyang, transportation healthcare sama industrials masih ok

Stochastic Buy Signal: ASII MBSS SGRO

MACD Buy Signal: TOWR BTPS HEAL LPPF

Alligator Buy Signal: TOWR ADHI MIKA MYOR PTPP SGER

Supertrend Buy Signal: TKIM

*Good morning,*

Dow closes more than 300 points lower on discouraging Home Depot forecast, debt ceiling concerns

Stocks dipped Tuesday as investors digested a lackluster forecast from Home Depot. Wall Street also turned its attention to a meeting between congressional leaders and President Joe Biden on the U.S. debt ceiling.

Dow……33012 -336.5 -1.01%
Nasdaq12343 -22.2 -0.18%
S&P 500.4110 -26.4 -0.64%

FTSE…..7751 -26.6 -0.34%
Dax……15898 -19.3 -0.12%
CAC……7406 -12.2 -0.16%

Nikkei…..29843 +216.7 +0.73%
HSI………19978 +7.1 +0.04%
Shanghai.3291 -19.8 -0.60%

IDX…..6676.50 -35.18 -0.52%
LQ45….929.77 -5.23 -0.56%
IDX30…483.86 -2.43 -0.50%

IDXEnergy…1883.51 -22.73 -1.19%
IDX BscMat 1055.56 -17.12 -1.60%
IDX Indstrl…1169.33 -1.97 -0.17%
IDXNONCYC.742.69 -1.68 -0.23%⁶
IDX Hlthcare1496.97 +6.00. +0.40%
IDXCYCLIC…844.08 -8.01 -0.94%.
IDX Techno..4852.33 -64.33 -1.31%
*IDX Transp..1830.31 -39.61 -2.12%*
IDX Infrast…..820.86 +1.05 +0.19%
IDX Finance.1362.14 -10.19 -0.74%
IDX Banking.1132.17 -3.39 -0.30%
IDX Property…..722 -5.50 -0.76%

*Indo10Yr.6.5166👍-0.0268 -0.41%*
*ICBI….361.3133👍 +0.7217 +0.20%*
*US2Yr.4.0842* +0.0738 +1.84%
*US5Yr 3.5292* +0.0584 +1.70%
*US10Yr3.5410* +0.034 +0.96%
*US30Yr.3.8580* +0.0140 +0.36%
*VIX……17.99 +0.87 +5.08%*

*USDIndx102.5640 +0.130 +0.13%*
Como Indx.259.89 -1.76 -0.67%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…143.92 -2.13 -1.46%

*IndoCDS.97.51. -0.03 -0.03%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(15/05)*

*IDR…..14820.00 +15.50 +0.10%*
*Jisdor.14810.00 -2.00 -0.001%*

*Euro……1.0863 -0.0013 -0.12%*

TLKM..26.94 -0.20 -0.74%
*(3990)*
EIDO….23.51 -0.27 -1.14%
EEM…..39.98 -0.28 -0.71%

Oil……70.67 -0.76 -1.08%
*Gold…1993.30 -27.40 -1.36%*
Timah..24994.00 +158 +0.64%
*(Closed 15/05)*
*Nickel..21024.00 -813.50 -3.73%‼️*
(Closed 16/05)
Silver……23.91 -0.36 -1.48%
*Copper…366.05 -8.25 -2.20%*
*Iron Ore 62% 106.77 +1.61 +1.53%*
(15/05)
*Nturl Gas.2.366 +0.1840 +8.43%‼️*

Coal price.163.80 +0.05 +0.31%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.161.45 -1.05 -0.65%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.161.70 -2.65 -1.61%
(Jul/Newcastle)
*Coal price.163.05 -3.90 -2.33%*
(Agt/Newcastle)

Coal price.117.50 -0.65 -0.55%
(May/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.101.25 -2.15 -2.08%*
(Jun/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price 103.40 -3.85 -3.59%‼️*
(Jul/Rotterdam)
*Coal price..99.60 -3.90 -3.77%‼️*
(Agt/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Agt)…3458 -83.00 -2.34%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..581.25 -11.25 -1.90%
*SoybeanOil47.45 -2.24 -4.51%‼️*
*Wheat….647.50 -13.25 -2.01%*

*Wood pulp..4040.00 -10 -0.25%*
(Closed 15/05)

*©️ ( DE ) – ( AT ) 17 – 05 – 2023*

*Source : Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia*

Waks lanjut merah US Europe, asia closing varied, Nikkei maih ijo tebel. IDX merah lagi, kelewatan sih, Semoga technical rebound mantul dari support hari ini

USD Index naik, US deposit rate naik, langsung commodities turun deh… oil lanjut turun, gas naik, coal spot naik future turun, gold silver copper nickel turun tin iron ore naik, cpo turun

IHSG – hampir tweezer bottom, kalo index susah persis lah ya, Semoga ga tembus terus mantul. Technically masih jelek, stoch udah oversold belum ngebalik, MACD still down, MFI down,w% downtrend, BD flat FF dist, belum ada sign reversal

RSI quadrant nya seolah masih ok, tapi big caps dihajar semua kecuali yang masih hajatan kaya GOTO. Highlight nya tapi di Financials sama Healthcare sih, yang terlihat start gerak, terutama kalo Financials gerak index pasti keangkat. Industrials kedorong BMTR, Semoga lanjut

Stochastic Buy Signal: TLKM DSNG HEAL

MACD Buy Signal: HMSP RAJA SGRO

Alligator Buy Signal: SMGR BTPS MTMH RAJA UNIC

Supertrend Buy Signal: ANJT

April 27th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow, S&P 500 close lower Wednesday as First Republic woes eclipse Big Tech earnings

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
lost more than 200 points as investors’ worries over First Republic overshadowed their excitement around Big Tech earnings.

Dow……33302 -228.96 -0.68%
Nasdaq11854 +55.2 +0.47%
S&P 500.4055 -15.6 -0.38%

FTSE…..7853 -38.5 -0.49%
Dax……15796 -76.4 -0.48%
CAC……7467 -64.95 -0.86%

Nikkei…..28416 -203.6 -0.71%
HSI………19757 +139.4 +0.71%
Shanghai.3264 -0.8 -0.02%

IDX…..6910.15 +88.34 +1.29%
LQ45….963.21 +14.87 +1.57%
IDX30…502.17 +8.08 +1.64%

IDXEnergy…2097.25 +30.69 +1.49%
IDX BscMat 1163.77 +5.61 +0.48%
IDX Indstrl…1227.68 +20.28 +1.68%
IDXNONCYC.715.67 +8.65 +1.22%
IDX Hlthcare1531.12+15.21 +1.00%
IDXCYCLIC…..810.00 +0.69 +0.09%
IDX Techno..4831.13 -9.64 -0.20%
IDX Transp..1777.92 +46.15 +2.66%
IDX Infrast…..818.64 +10.28 +1.27%
IDX Finance.1390.61 +0.81 +0.06%
IDX Banking.1158.39 +6.52. +0.57%
IDX Property…692 +8.00 +1.18%

Indo10Yr.6.7162 -0.0427 -0.63%👍
ICBI….356.6914 +1.1217 +0.32%👍
US2Yr.3.9480 +0.0008 +0.02%
US5Yr 3.4941 +0.0467 +1.35%
US10Yr3.4450+0.0450 +1.32%
US30Yr.3.7050+0.0490 +1.34%
VIX…… 18.84 +0.08 +0.43%

USDIndx101.4670 -0.3960 -0.39%
Como Indx.264.94 -3.84 -1.43%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…152.19 +0.52 +0.35%

IndoCDS..95.070 +0.010 +0.01%
(5-yr INOCD5) (25/04)

IDR…..14836.00 -103.00 -0.69%👍
Jisdor.14882.00 +27.00 +0.18%

Euro……1.1040 +0.0062 +0.56%

TLKM..29.16 +0.75 +2.64%
(4340)
EIDO…24.26 +0.54 +2.28%
EEM……38.41 +0.22 +0.58%

Oil……74.31 -2.93 -3.79%‼
Gold.1999.90 -8.00 -0.40%
Timah..25584.00 -1062.00 -3.99%‼
(Closed 25/04)
Nickel..23658.50 +398.00 +1.71%
(Closed 26/04)
Silver……25.18 -0.10 -0.40%
Copper…385.70 -1.65 -0.43%

Nturl Gas.2.311 -0.0075 -3.14%‼

Ammonia 3050.00‼ unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(25/04)

Coal price.190.15 +1.10 +0.58%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.190.00 +3.15 +1.69%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.193.00 +1.25 +0.65%
(Jun/Newcastle)
Coal price.196.10 +0.50 +0.26%
(Jul/Newcastle)

Coal price.140.15 +0.15 +0.11%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price.134.90 -3.10 -2.25%
(May/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.00 -2.75 -2.05%
(Jun/Rotterdam)
Coal price 129.90 -2.50 -1.88%
(Jul/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jul)…3571 -67 -1.84%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..601.00 -6.75 -1.11%
SoybeanOil52.50 +0.36 +0.69%
Wheat…..642.00 -11.00 -1.68%

Wood pulp..4110.00‼ -50.00 -1.20%
(Closed 26/04)

©Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah Nasdaq ijo, Europe merah, Asia varied, IHSG sama Hangseng jalan. Hari ini koreksi sehat dulu keliatannya

oil gas merah, coal ijo, metal2 merah semua kecuali nikel, pas buat INCO. CPO masih merah lagi

IHSG – kemaren opening jump, tutup gap, closing lebih tinggi, candle long lower shadow, harusnya lanjut sih. Stoch up, MACDup, MFI flat, w% uptrend, BD FF acc, breakout resistance fibo 38, dikit lagi double bottom nya firm. Semoga lanjut rally nya

Industrials, Infrastructure

Stochastic Buy Signal banyak banget, kita liat yang sambil big accum: INCO JPFA APIC SMDR

MACD Buy Signal: CPIN PTBA AVIA LSIP

Alligator Buy Signal: BTPS

Supertrend Buy Signal: INDF ASSA HEAL PTPP SMDR

INCO – stoch buy macd up MFI down w% sw, BD FF acc, udah bikin higher low, posisi di modus volume profile, Elliot wave besarnya masih perkiraan wave 3, walau koreksi jauh tapi ga break bottom wave 2, bisa buy ini

Belum ada spike baru

Harga masih aman

JPFA – Abis drop jauh, sabar tunggu higher low

APIC – wah, saham hajatan, ga berani ah volatile banget gini ngejarnya

Udah tinggal ditunggu guyurannya ini sih

SMDR – stoch buy, macd up, MFI sw, w% uptrend, abis gorengan, koreksi udah sampe fibo 61, ok buat mantul, bikin double bottom, breakout resistance, menarik, kita check spike

Udah ada spike, tapi belum terlalu significant

harga sih aman, tinggal idealnya tunggu spike yang significant kita baru ikut entry

CPIN – sabar tunggu higher low

PTBA – stoch almost buy, macd buy, MFI up, w% uptrend, FF acc BD dist, mencurigakan… itungan proyeksi Elliot wave udah beres wave 5, dan ketemu reg bear div, jangan dulu deh… Buat new entry ga berani

LSIP – masuk saham value investing, stoch buy MACD buy MFI down w% sw, BD FF ngebalik buy, double bottom setelah bikin higher low, ok sih buat BOW setengah candle kemaren, soale pas CPO price juga turun.

Belum ada spike baru

Harga sih aman banget… BOW setengah botol dulu

BTPS – stoch rev down, MACD still up, 833 sell MFI sw w% sw, BD FF dist, udah bikin higher low sih, tapi skip dulu, belum waktunya

INDF – stoch buy macd up,MFI flat, w%uptrend, BD dist, FF acc, baru breakout resistance / neckline CNH, ketemu reg bear RSI, bisa BOW sih ini, stoploss kalo breakdown neckline lagi

Belum ah, ada reg bear ga ada spike bd dist… skip dulu

ASSA – stoch sell macd up 833buy.BD acc FF acc tipis, MFI down, w% uptrend, telat sih entry nya harusnya di MACD kemaren, walau sekarang ikut 833 bisa jadi ok continuation

Belum spike significant lagi

HEAL – stoch overbought, MACD up, MFI up BD FF acc, w% up, deket fibo 38, sabar tunggu bikin higher low di fibo 23

Spike lumayan